Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 2.53 | Odds: WAKE -16.5, O/U 62.5 | Download Chart
Expected Points
Team Stats [show/hide]
| Overall |  |
 |
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 84 | 72 |
| Total EPA | 20.78 | -11.08 |
| Offensive EPA | 17.51 | -10.57 |
| Special Teams EPA | -0.18 | -2.75 |
| Penalty EPA | 3.45 | 4.73 |
| Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA | 0.00 | -2.49 |
| Production | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 76 | 62 |
| Yards | 452 | 292 |
| Yards/Play | 5.95 | 4.71 |
| EPA | 17.51 | -10.57 |
| EPA/Play | 0.23 | -0.17 |
| Passes | 42 (55%) | 36 (58%) |
| Yards | 304 | 165 |
| Yards/Play | 7.24 | 4.58 |
| EPA | 16.02 | -14.30 |
| EPA/Play | 0.38 | -0.40 |
| Rushes | 34 (45%) | 26 (42%) |
| Yards | 174 | 126 |
| Yards/Play | 5.12 | 4.85 |
| EPA | 1.49 | 3.73 |
| EPA/Play | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| Rushing | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 76 | 62 |
| Rushes | 34 (45%) | 26 (42%) |
| Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) | 1 (3%) | 1 (4%) |
| Successful Power Runs (Rate) | 1 (100%) | 1 (100%) |
| Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) | 6 (18%) | 7 (27%) |
| Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) | 17 (50%) | 11 (42%) |
| Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) | 14 (41%) | 13 (50%) |
| OL Line Yards | 48.8 | 37.2 |
| Per Carry | 1.44 | 1.43 |
| Highlight Yards | 75.5 | 44.5 |
| Per Rush Opportunity | 5.39 | 3.42 |
| Explosiveness | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 84 | 72 |
| Scrimmage Plays | 76 | 62 |
| Explosive Plays | 7 (9%) | 7 (11%) |
| When Passing (EPA > 2.4) | 4 (10%) | 4 (11%) |
| When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) | 3 (9%) | 3 (12%) |
| EPA w/o Explosive Plays | -5.74 | -29.21 |
| EPA/Play | -0.08 | -0.53 |
| When Passing | 1.97 | -25.61 |
| EPA/Play | 0.05 | -0.71 |
| When Rushing | -7.71 | -3.61 |
| EPA/Play | -0.25 | -0.16 |
| Situational | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Successful Plays (EPA > 0) | 31 (41%) | 24 (39%) |
| When Passing | 21 (50%) | 11 (31%) |
| When Rushing | 10 (29%) | 13 (50%) |
| On Standard Downs | 18 (37%) | 14 (38%) |
| On Passing Downs | 13 (48%) | 10 (40%) |
| On Early Downs | 21 (35%) | 17 (38%) |
| On Late Downs | 10 (63%) | 7 (41%) |
| During "Middle 8" | 5 (42%) | 4 (33%) |
| Early Downs | 60 | 45 |
| First Downs Created | 16 (27%) | 9 (20%) |
| EPA | -2.22 | -2.03 |
| EPA/Play | -0.04 | -0.05 |
| Passes | 32 (53%) | 22 (49%) |
| Rushes | 28 (47%) | 23 (51%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 15 (47%) | 6 (27%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 6 (21%) | 11 (48%) |
| "Middle 8" Plays | 12 | 12 |
| EPA | -0.40 | -7.41 |
| EPA/play | -0.03 | -0.62 |
| Passes | 9 (75%) | 7 (58%) |
| Rushes | 3 (25%) | 5 (42%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 3 (33%) | 2 (29%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 2 (67%) | 2 (40%) |
| Drives | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total | 10 | 9 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 23 | Own 32 |
| Plays/Drive | 9.39 | 8.16 |
| Yards/Drive | 62.99 | 42.18 |
| Available Yards % | 82% | 62% |
| Defensive | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 62 | 76 |
| Stop Rate | 52% | 8% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 11 (18%) | 8 (11%) |
| Passing | 7 (19%) | 4 (10%) |
| Rushing | 4 (15%) | 4 (12%) |
| TFLs Generated | 9 | 8 |
| Passing | 5 | 4 |
| Rushing | 4 | 4 |
| Sacks Generated | 3 (8%) | 3 (7%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 2 | 0 |
| Fumbles Forced | 0 | 1 |
| Turnovers | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 0 | 2 |
| Fumbles | 1 | 0 |
| Fumbles Lost | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 1 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 2 |
| Turnover Margin | 2 | -2 |
| Expected Turnovers | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| Expected Turnover Margin | 0.4 | -0.4 |
| Turnover Luck (pts) | 7.8 | -7.8 |
| Special Teams | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 8 | 10 |
| Total EPA | -0.18 | -2.75 |
| Field Goal EPA | 1.83 | 0.7 |
| Punting EPA | 1.07 | 0.1 |
| Kickoff Return EPA | -3.07 | -3.56 |
Wake Forest [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Sam Hartman | 23/39, 304 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 3 Scks, 78.9 xQBR | 7.24 | 0.38 | 16.02 | 50% | 18.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Sam Hartman | 3 carries, 47 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 15.67 | 1.55 | 4.65 | 67% | 2.0% | |
| Justice Ellison | 9 carries, 59 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.56 | 0.39 | 3.48 | 44% | 0.0% | |
| Christian Turner | 10 carries, 43 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.30 | -0.15 | -1.54 | 20% | 0.0% | |
| Quinton Cooley | 4 carries, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.50 | -0.41 | -1.62 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Christian Beal-Smith | 8 carries, 23 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.88 | -0.43 | -3.48 | 25% | 1.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| A.T. Perry | 10 catches (10 targets), 127 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.70 | 1.63 | 16.29 | 100% | 14.0% | |
| Ke'Shawn Williams | 2 catches (2 targets), 38 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 19.00 | 2.26 | 4.52 | 100% | 4.0% | |
| Taylor Morin | 4 catches (4 targets), 58 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 14.50 | 0.89 | 3.57 | 75% | 1.0% | |
| Brandon Chapman | 2 catches (2 targets), 5 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.50 | 1.74 | 3.48 | 100% | 3.0% | |
| Donald Stewart | 2 catches (2 targets), 43 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 21.50 | 1.57 | 3.14 | 100% | 3.0% | |
| Blake Whiteheart | 2 catches (2 targets), 35 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 17.50 | 1.38 | 2.76 | 100% | 3.0% | |
| Justice Ellison | 1 catch (1 target), -2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | -2.00 | -1.08 | -1.08 | 0% | -1.0% | |
Rutgers [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Isaiah Washington | 1/1, 27 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 77.7 xQBR | 27.00 | 2.49 | 2.49 | 100% | 2.0% | |
| Johnny Langan | 2/2, 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 63.6 xQBR | 10.50 | 0.93 | 1.86 | 100% | 1.0% | |
| Evan Simon | 0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 11.6 xQBR | 0.00 | -0.73 | -0.73 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Noah Vedral | 8/13, 87 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 3 Scks, 27.7 xQBR | 5.44 | -0.28 | -4.46 | 31% | -12.0% | |
| Gavin Wimsatt | 7/16, 30 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 0 Scks, 21.8 xQBR | 1.88 | -0.84 | -13.46 | 19% | -2.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Gavin Wimsatt | 4 carries, 38 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.50 | 0.88 | 3.50 | 75% | 0.0% | |
| Aaron Young | 7 carries, 33 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.71 | 0.30 | 2.13 | 57% | 1.0% | |
| Jamier Wright-Collins | 2 carries, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 1.00 | 0.44 | 0.88 | 50% | -1.0% | |
| Johnny Langan | 6 carries, 20 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.33 | -0.16 | -0.97 | 33% | -2.0% | |
| Noah Vedral | 7 carries, 33 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.71 | -0.26 | -1.82 | 43% | -2.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Joshua Youngblood | 2 catches (2 targets), 25 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.50 | 2.17 | 4.34 | 100% | 4.0% | |
| Jovani Haskins | 2 catches (2 targets), 32 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 16.00 | 2.12 | 4.23 | 100% | 2.0% | |
| Matt Alaimo | 1 catch (1 target), 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 17.00 | 3.24 | 3.24 | 100% | 2.0% | |
| Isaiah Washington | 2 catches (2 targets), 20 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.00 | 1.19 | 2.39 | 100% | 2.0% | |
| Christian Dremel | 1 catch (1 target), 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.00 | -0.01 | -0.01 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Shameen Jones | 1 catch (1 target), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.00 | -0.01 | -0.01 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Johnny Langan | 6 catches (6 targets), 57 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.50 | -0.10 | -0.60 | 67% | 2.0% | |
| Jamier Wright-Collins | 3 catches (3 targets), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 1.67 | -0.62 | -1.87 | 0% | -1.0% | |
Big Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute EPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2:16 | |
(3rd & 11 at RUTG 29) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 29 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 | 4.64 | 85.7% | 7.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 99 Started Drive at: WAKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.36 = 4.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.36) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.7% Win Probability (After): 92.9% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:15 | |
(3rd & 7 at RUTG 27) Justice Ellison run for 27 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 | 4.18 | 99.9% | 0.1% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 99 Started Drive at: WAKE 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.82 = 4.18 Score Difference (Before): 21 (23.82) Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 31 (38) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:42 | |
(3rd & 5 at WAKE 7) Noah Vedral pass intercepted Gavin Holmes return for 2 yds to the WFrst 2 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | -4.02 | 15.7% | -5.8% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 98 Started Drive at: RUTG 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.10 - 3.92 = -4.02 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.08) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.10) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.7% Win Probability (After): 9.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:50 | |
(3rd & 26 at WAKE 28) Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 28 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST down - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | 3.60 | 92.5% | 3.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 44 Started Drive at: WAKE 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.67 - 0.07 = 3.60 Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.07) Score Difference (End): 10 (13.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.5% Win Probability (After): 96.2% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:39 | |
(3rd & 11 at RUTG 24) Noah Vedral pass complete to Matt Alaimo for 17 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST down - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 | 3.24 | 5.0% | 1.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 59 Started Drive at: RUTG 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - -2.06 = 3.24 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.06) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.0% Win Probability (After): 6.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:54 | |
(4th & 4 at WAKE 38) Noah Vedral pass incomplete - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 | -3.17 | 4.3% | -1.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 62 Started Drive at: RUTG 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.77 - 0.40 = -3.17 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.60) Score Difference (End): 13 (15.77) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.3% Win Probability (After): 2.6% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 8:30 | |
(3rd & 8 at RUTG 43) Noah Vedral pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 21 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST down - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 | 3.09 | 5.5% | 2.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 36 Started Drive at: RUTG 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.08 - -0.01 = 3.09 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.01) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.5% Win Probability (After): 7.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:14 | |
(4th & 5 at WAKE 34) Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 3 yds to the WFrst 31 - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 | -3.05 | 0.5% | -0.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 69 Started Drive at: RUTG 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.53 - -0.49 = -3.05 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.49) Score Difference (End): 21 (24.53) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.5% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 6:35 | |
(4th & 4 at RUTG 36) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 6 yds to the Rutgr 30 for a 1ST down - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 | 2.99 | 99.8% | 0.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 30 Started Drive at: WAKE 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.66 - 1.67 = 2.99 Score Difference (Before): 21 (22.67) Score Difference (End): 21 (25.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.8% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 7:59 | |
(3rd & 8 at RUTG 42) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 21 yds to the Rutgr 21 for a 1ST down - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | 2.82 | 94.6% | 1.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 21 Started Drive at: WAKE 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.85 - 2.03 = 2.82 Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.03) Score Difference (End): 10 (14.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.6% Win Probability (After): 96.4% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2:16 | |
(3rd & 11 at RUTG 29) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 29 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 | 4.64 | 85.7% | 7.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 99 Started Drive at: WAKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.36 = 4.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.36) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.7% Win Probability (After): 92.9% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:42 | |
(3rd & 5 at WAKE 7) Noah Vedral pass intercepted Gavin Holmes return for 2 yds to the WFrst 2 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | -4.02 | 15.7% | -5.8% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 98 Started Drive at: RUTG 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.10 - 3.92 = -4.02 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.08) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.10) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.7% Win Probability (After): 9.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:02 | |
(4th & Goal at WAKE 11) Valentino Ambrosio 28 yd FG GOOD - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 | 0.70 | 10.8% | 4.6% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11 Started Drive at: RUTG 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.30 = 0.70 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.70) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.8% Win Probability (After): 15.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 14:30 | |
(2nd & 6 at WAKE 20) Christian Beal-Smith run for 5 yds to the WFrst 25 - WAKE 0, RUTG 0 | 0.19 | 85.8% | 4.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 75 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.53 - 0.34 = 0.19 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.34) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 0, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.8% Win Probability (After): 90.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:21 | |
(4th & 11 at RUTG 19) Nick Sciba 37 yd FG GOOD - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | 0.77 | 87.9% | 4.2% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.23 = 0.77 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.23) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.9% Win Probability (After): 92.0% Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 8:50 | |
(3rd & 26 at WAKE 28) Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 28 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST down - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | 3.60 | 92.5% | 3.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 44 Started Drive at: WAKE 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.67 - 0.07 = 3.60 Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.07) Score Difference (End): 10 (13.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.5% Win Probability (After): 96.2% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:00 | |
(4th & 1 at RUTG 11) Nick Sciba 29 yd FG GOOD - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | 0.96 | 94.3% | 2.7% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11 Started Drive at: WAKE 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.04 = 0.96 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.04) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.3% Win Probability (After): 97.0% Away Score: 17 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 12:51 | |
(2nd & Goal at WAKE 9) Noah Vedral pass incomplete - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 | -0.83 | 15.3% | -2.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9 Started Drive at: RUTG 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.63 - 4.47 = -0.83 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.53) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.3% Win Probability (After): 12.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:56 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 45) Sam Hartman pass complete to Blake Whiteheart for 26 yds to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST down - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | 1.78 | 91.9% | 2.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 29 Started Drive at: WAKE 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 1.28 = 1.78 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.28) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.9% Win Probability (After): 94.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:01 | |
(3rd & 6 at RUTG 14) Sam Hartman sacked by Drew Singleton for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 19 - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 | -1.62 | 90.3% | -2.3% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 19 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 3.91 = -1.62 Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.91) Score Difference (End): 4 (6.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.3% Win Probability (After): 88.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Scoring Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 11:34 | |
(2nd & Goal at RUTG 4) Sam Hartman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 4 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 | 1.44 | 93.0% | 1.6% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.56 = 1.44 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.56) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.0% Win Probability (After): 94.6% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:11 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 12) Aaron Young run for 12 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) - WAKE 7, RUTG 7 | 2.14 | 13.2% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 99 Started Drive at: RUTG 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.86 = 2.14 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.14) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 7 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.2% Win Probability (After): 14.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:16 | |
(3rd & 11 at RUTG 29) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 29 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 | 4.64 | 85.7% | 7.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 99 Started Drive at: WAKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.36 = 4.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.36) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.7% Win Probability (After): 92.9% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:02 | |
(4th & Goal at WAKE 11) Valentino Ambrosio 28 yd FG GOOD - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 | 0.70 | 10.8% | 4.6% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11 Started Drive at: RUTG 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.30 = 0.70 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.70) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.8% Win Probability (After): 15.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 8:21 | |
(4th & 11 at RUTG 19) Nick Sciba 37 yd FG GOOD - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | 0.77 | 87.9% | 4.2% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.23 = 0.77 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.23) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.9% Win Probability (After): 92.0% Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:00 | |
(4th & 1 at RUTG 11) Nick Sciba 29 yd FG GOOD - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | 0.96 | 94.3% | 2.7% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11 Started Drive at: WAKE 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.04 = 0.96 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.04) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.3% Win Probability (After): 97.0% Away Score: 17 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 6:37 | |
(4th & Goal at RUTG 5) Nick Sciba 23 yd FG GOOD - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 | 0.09 | 95.7% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5 Started Drive at: WAKE 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.91 = 0.09 Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.91) Score Difference (End): 13 (13.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.7% Win Probability (After): 97.0% Away Score: 20 (23) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 12:24 | |
(3rd & Goal at RUTG 1) Sam Hartman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 1 yd for a TD, (Sam Hartman pass to A.T. Perry for Two-Point Conversion) - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 | 2.04 | 98.6% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: WAKE 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 5.96 = 2.04 Score Difference (Before): 13 (18.96) Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.6% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 23 (31) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:15 | |
(3rd & 7 at RUTG 27) Justice Ellison run for 27 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 | 4.18 | 99.9% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 99 Started Drive at: WAKE 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.82 = 4.18 Score Difference (Before): 21 (23.82) Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 31 (38) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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All Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at WAKE 35) Guy Fava kickoff for 62 yds , Taylor Morin return for 13 yds to the WFrst 16 - WAKE 0, RUTG 0 | -1.68 | 88.8% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 84 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.82 - 0.86 = -1.68 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 0, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.8% Win Probability (After): 87.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:45 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 16) Christian Beal-Smith run for 4 yds to the WFrst 20 - WAKE 0, RUTG 0 | -0.49 | 90.7% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 80 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.14 - 0.63 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.63) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 0, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.7% Win Probability (After): 90.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:30 | |
(2nd & 6 at WAKE 20) Christian Beal-Smith run for 5 yds to the WFrst 25 - WAKE 0, RUTG 0 | 0.19 | 85.8% | 4.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 75 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.53 - 0.34 = 0.19 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.34) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 0, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.8% Win Probability (After): 90.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:10 | |
(3rd & 1 at WAKE 25) RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Julius Turner) to the WFrst 30 for a 1ST down - WAKE 0, RUTG 0 | 1.15 | 86.0% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.64 - 0.49 = 1.15 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.49) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 0, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.0% Win Probability (After): 86.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:50 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 30) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 8 yds to the WFrst 38 - WAKE 0, RUTG 0 | 0.55 | 87.1% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 62 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.24 - 1.69 = 0.55 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.69) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 0, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.1% Win Probability (After): 88.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:31 | |
(2nd & 2 at WAKE 38) Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST down - WAKE 0, RUTG 0 | 0.09 | 88.4% | -0.0% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 58 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.33 - 2.25 = 0.09 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.25) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 0, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.4% Win Probability (After): 88.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:11 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 42) Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 26 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST down - WAKE 0, RUTG 0 | 1.81 | 90.0% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 32 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.09 - 2.28 = 1.81 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.28) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 0, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.0% Win Probability (After): 89.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:00 | |
(1st & 10 at RUTG 32) RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Cam'Ron Stewart) to the Rutgr 27 - WAKE 0, RUTG 0 | 0.52 | 89.7% | 1.6% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 27 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.60 - 4.08 = 0.52 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.08) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 0, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.7% Win Probability (After): 91.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:39 | |
(1st & 5 at RUTG 27) RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Kyonte Hamilton) to the Rutgr 22 for a 1ST down - WAKE 0, RUTG 0 | 0.02 | 90.5% | -0.2% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 22 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.63 - 4.61 = 0.02 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.61) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 0, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.5% Win Probability (After): 90.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:20 | |
(1st & 10 at RUTG 22) Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for no gain to the Rutgr 22 - WAKE 0, RUTG 0 | -0.57 | 91.0% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 22 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.08 - 4.66 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.66) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 0, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.0% Win Probability (After): 90.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:03 | |
(2nd & 10 at RUTG 22) Sam Hartman pass complete to Donald Stewart for 16 yds to the Rutgr 6 for a 1ST down - WAKE 0, RUTG 0 | 1.64 | 90.7% | 1.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 6 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.73 - 4.09 = 1.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.09) Score Difference (End): 0 (5.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 0, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.7% Win Probability (After): 92.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:54 | |
(1st & Goal at RUTG 6) Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 4 - WAKE 0, RUTG 0 | -0.15 | 92.5% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 4 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.58 - 5.73 = -0.15 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.73) Score Difference (End): 0 (5.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 0, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.5% Win Probability (After): 92.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:34 | |
(2nd & Goal at RUTG 4) Sam Hartman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 4 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 | 1.44 | 93.0% | 1.6% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.56 = 1.44 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.56) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.0% Win Probability (After): 94.6% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:34 | |
(Kickoff at RUTG 35) Ivan Mora kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 | 0.00 | 5.4% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: RUTG 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.13 - -0.13 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.13) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.4% Win Probability (After): 5.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:29 | |
(1st & 10 at RUTG 25) Noah Vedral pass incomplete - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 | -0.57 | 5.4% | -0.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: RUTG 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.70 - -0.13 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.13) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.4% Win Probability (After): 5.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:20 | |
(2nd & 10 at RUTG 25) Noah Vedral run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 24 - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 | -1.32 | 5.8% | -1.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 76 Started Drive at: RUTG 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.15 - -0.83 = -1.32 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.83) Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.8% Win Probability (After): 4.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:39 | |
(3rd & 11 at RUTG 24) Noah Vedral pass complete to Matt Alaimo for 17 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST down - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 | 3.24 | 5.0% | 1.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 59 Started Drive at: RUTG 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - -2.06 = 3.24 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.06) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.0% Win Probability (After): 6.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:00 | |
(1st & 10 at RUTG 41) Aaron Young run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 48 - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 | 0.61 | 5.8% | 0.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 52 Started Drive at: RUTG 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 1.24 = 0.61 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.76) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.8% Win Probability (After): 6.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:00 | |
(2nd & 3 at RUTG 48) Gavin Wimsatt run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 43 - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 | -2.09 | 6.6% | -1.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 57 Started Drive at: RUTG 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.11 - 1.99 = -2.09 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.01) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.6% Win Probability (After): 5.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:30 | |
(3rd & 8 at RUTG 43) Noah Vedral pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 21 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST down - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 | 3.09 | 5.5% | 2.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 36 Started Drive at: RUTG 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.08 - -0.01 = 3.09 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.01) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.5% Win Probability (After): 7.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:01 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 36) Johnny Langan run for 9 yds to the WFrst 27 - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 | 0.96 | 7.4% | 0.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 27 Started Drive at: RUTG 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.94 - 2.98 = 0.96 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.02) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.4% Win Probability (After): 7.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:15 | |
(2nd & 1 at WAKE 27) Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the WFrst 24 for a 1ST down - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 | -0.14 | 8.8% | -0.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 24 Started Drive at: RUTG 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.84 - 3.98 = -0.14 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.02) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.8% Win Probability (After): 7.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:34 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 24) Johnny Langan run for 2 yds to the WFrst 22 - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 | -0.15 | 8.9% | 0.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 22 Started Drive at: RUTG 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.70 - 3.85 = -0.15 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.15) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.9% Win Probability (After): 9.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:53 | |
(2nd & 8 at WAKE 22) Noah Vedral pass incomplete - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 | -0.73 | 9.4% | -1.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 22 Started Drive at: RUTG 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.96 - 3.69 = -0.73 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.31) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.4% Win Probability (After): 8.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:45 | |
(3rd & 8 at WAKE 22) Noah Vedral pass complete to Joshua Youngblood for 10 yds to the WFrst 12 for a 1ST down - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 | 1.85 | 8.3% | 2.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 12 Started Drive at: RUTG 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.83 - 2.97 = 1.85 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.03) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.3% Win Probability (After): 10.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:11 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 12) Aaron Young run for 12 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) - WAKE 7, RUTG 7 | 2.14 | 13.2% | 1.8% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 99 Started Drive at: RUTG 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.86 = 2.14 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.14) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 7 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.2% Win Probability (After): 14.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:11 | |
(Kickoff at WAKE 35) Guy Fava kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WAKE 7, RUTG 7 | 0.00 | 85.9% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: WAKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 1.07 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.07) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.9% Win Probability (After): 85.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:03 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 25) Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds to the WFrst 28 - WAKE 7, RUTG 7 | -0.46 | 85.8% | -0.5% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72 Started Drive at: WAKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.61 - 1.07 = -0.46 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.07) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.8% Win Probability (After): 85.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:47 | |
(2nd & 7 at WAKE 28) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 7, RUTG 7 | -1.07 | 81.9% | 1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72 Started Drive at: WAKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.46 - 0.61 = -1.07 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.61) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.9% Win Probability (After): 83.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:35 | |
(3rd & 7 at WAKE 28) Sam Hartman run for 9 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST down - WAKE 7, RUTG 7 | 2.45 | 82.0% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 63 Started Drive at: WAKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - -0.46 = 2.45 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.46) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.0% Win Probability (After): 83.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:14 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 37) Sam Hartman pass complete to Blake Whiteheart for 9 yds to the WFrst 46 - WAKE 7, RUTG 7 | 0.98 | 85.0% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 54 Started Drive at: WAKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.96 - 1.99 = 0.98 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.99) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.0% Win Probability (After): 85.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:52 | |
(2nd & 1 at WAKE 46) Christian Beal-Smith run for 16 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST down - WAKE 7, RUTG 7 | 0.67 | 85.4% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 38 Started Drive at: WAKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.62 - 2.95 = 0.67 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.95) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.4% Win Probability (After): 86.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:31 | |
(1st & 10 at RUTG 38) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 7, RUTG 7 | -0.62 | 85.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 38 Started Drive at: WAKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.98 - 3.60 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.60) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.8% Win Probability (After): 85.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:25 | |
(2nd & 10 at RUTG 38) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 10 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST down - WAKE 7, RUTG 7 | 1.32 | 86.4% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 28 Started Drive at: WAKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.30 - 2.98 = 1.32 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.98) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.4% Win Probability (After): 86.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:10 | |
(1st & 10 at RUTG 28) Sam Hartman run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 25 - WAKE 7, RUTG 7 | -0.37 | 87.8% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 25 Started Drive at: WAKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.94 - 4.31 = -0.37 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.31) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.8% Win Probability (After): 87.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:00 | |
(2nd & 7 at RUTG 25) Christian Beal-Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 29 - WAKE 7, RUTG 7 | -1.59 | 87.6% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 29 Started Drive at: WAKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.35 - 3.94 = -1.59 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.94) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.6% Win Probability (After): 85.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:16 | |
(3rd & 11 at RUTG 29) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 29 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 | 4.64 | 85.7% | 7.2% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 99 Started Drive at: WAKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.36 = 4.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.36) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.7% Win Probability (After): 92.9% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:16 | |
(Kickoff at RUTG 35) Ivan Mora kickoff for 59 yds , Joshua Youngblood return for 17 yds to the Rutgr 23 - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 | -1.17 | 8.1% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 77 Started Drive at: RUTG 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.19 - -0.02 = -1.17 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.02) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.1% Win Probability (After): 8.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:02 | |
(1st & 10 at RUTG 23) Aaron Young run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 29 - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 | 0.09 | 7.9% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 71 Started Drive at: RUTG 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.14 - 0.04 = 0.09 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.96) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.9% Win Probability (After): 8.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:25 | |
(2nd & 4 at RUTG 29) Noah Vedral run for no gain to the Rutgr 29 - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 | -0.89 | 8.5% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71 Started Drive at: RUTG 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.60 - 0.29 = -0.89 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.71) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.5% Win Probability (After): 7.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:30 | |
(3rd & 4 at RUTG 29) Langan, Johnny rush for loss of 4 yards to the RUTGERS25, PENALTY WAKEFOREST face mask (Fox, Miles) 15 yards to the RUTGERS44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN RUTGERS. - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 | 2.24 | 8.8% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 56 Started Drive at: RUTG 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - -0.56 = 2.24 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.56) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.8% Win Probability (After): 9.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:10 | |
(1st & 10 at RUTG 44) Noah Vedral run for 16 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST down - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 | 1.21 | 10.9% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 40 Started Drive at: RUTG 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.90 - 1.69 = 1.21 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.31) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.9% Win Probability (After): 11.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:55 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 40) Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the WFrst 37 - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 | -0.49 | 10.4% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 37 Started Drive at: RUTG 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.41 - 2.90 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.10) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.4% Win Probability (After): 10.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:05 | |
(2nd & 7 at WAKE 37) Isaiah Washington pass complete to Johnny Langan for 27 yds to the WFrst 10 for a 1ST down - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 | 2.49 | 10.9% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 10 Started Drive at: RUTG 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.91 - 2.43 = 2.49 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.57) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.9% Win Probability (After): 13.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:20 | |
(1st & Goal at WAKE 10) Aaron Young run for 1 yd to the WFrst 9 - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 | -0.49 | 14.9% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 9 Started Drive at: RUTG 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.44 - 4.93 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.07) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.9% Win Probability (After): 13.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:51 | |
(2nd & Goal at WAKE 9) Noah Vedral pass incomplete - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 | -0.83 | 15.3% | -2.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9 Started Drive at: RUTG 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.63 - 4.47 = -0.83 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.53) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.3% Win Probability (After): 12.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:40 | |
(3rd & Goal at WAKE 9) Noah Vedral sacked by Jasheen Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 11 - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 | -1.18 | 13.3% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 11 Started Drive at: RUTG 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.45 - 3.63 = -1.18 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.37) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.3% Win Probability (After): 11.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:02 | |
(4th & Goal at WAKE 11) Valentino Ambrosio 28 yd FG GOOD - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 | 0.70 | 10.8% | 4.6% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11 Started Drive at: RUTG 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.30 = 0.70 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.70) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.8% Win Probability (After): 15.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 12:02 | |
(Kickoff at WAKE 35) Guy Fava kickoff for 63 yds , Taylor Morin return for 14 yds to the WFrst 16 - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 | -1.39 | 87.8% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 84 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.21 - 1.60 = -1.39 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.60) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.8% Win Probability (After): 87.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:49 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 16) RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Mike Tverdov) to the WFrst 21 - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 | 0.63 | 88.0% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 79 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 1.23 = 0.63 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.23) Score Difference (End): 4 (5.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.0% Win Probability (After): 87.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:20 | |
(1st & 5 at WAKE 21) Christian Turner run for 10 yds to the WFrst 31 for a 1ST down - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 | 0.32 | 88.4% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 69 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 1.81 = 0.32 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.81) Score Difference (End): 4 (6.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.4% Win Probability (After): 88.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:00 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 31) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 8 yds to the WFrst 39 - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 | 0.57 | 89.2% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 61 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.65 - 2.08 = 0.57 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.08) Score Difference (End): 4 (6.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.2% Win Probability (After): 89.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:45 | |
(2nd & 2 at WAKE 39) Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the WFrst 41 for a 1ST down - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 | -0.03 | 88.5% | 1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 59 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.57 - 2.61 = -0.03 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.61) Score Difference (End): 4 (6.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.5% Win Probability (After): 90.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:30 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 41) Sam Hartman pass complete to Donald Stewart for 27 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST down - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 | 1.49 | 89.1% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 32 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.08 - 2.58 = 1.49 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.58) Score Difference (End): 4 (8.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.1% Win Probability (After): 89.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:52 | |
(1st & 10 at RUTG 32) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 | -0.46 | 90.4% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.54 - 4.00 = -0.46 Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.00) Score Difference (End): 4 (7.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.4% Win Probability (After): 90.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:35 | |
(2nd & 10 at RUTG 32) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 14 yds to the Rutgr 18 for a 1ST down - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 | 1.30 | 90.4% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 18 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.80 - 3.50 = 1.30 Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.50) Score Difference (End): 4 (8.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.4% Win Probability (After): 91.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:23 | |
(1st & 10 at RUTG 18) Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 14 - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 | -0.13 | 91.5% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 14 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.68 - 4.81 = -0.13 Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.81) Score Difference (End): 4 (8.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.5% Win Probability (After): 91.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:08 | |
(2nd & 6 at RUTG 14) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 | -0.76 | 90.5% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.91 - 4.67 = -0.76 Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.67) Score Difference (End): 4 (7.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.5% Win Probability (After): 90.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:01 | |
(3rd & 6 at RUTG 14) Sam Hartman sacked by Drew Singleton for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 19 - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 | -1.62 | 90.3% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 19 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 3.91 = -1.62 Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.91) Score Difference (End): 4 (6.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.3% Win Probability (After): 88.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:21 | |
(4th & 11 at RUTG 19) Nick Sciba 37 yd FG GOOD - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | 0.77 | 87.9% | 4.2% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19 Started Drive at: WAKE 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.23 = 0.77 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.23) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.9% Win Probability (After): 92.0% Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 8:21 | |
(Kickoff at RUTG 35) Ivan Mora kickoff for 59 yds , Joshua Youngblood return for 25 yds to the Rutgr 31 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | -0.45 | 8.7% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 69 Started Drive at: RUTG 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - 0.44 = -0.45 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.56) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.7% Win Probability (After): 8.6% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:07 | |
(1st & 10 at RUTG 31) Evan Simon pass incomplete - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | -0.73 | 8.8% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69 Started Drive at: RUTG 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.35 - 1.08 = -0.73 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.92) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.8% Win Probability (After): 8.6% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:03 | |
(2nd & 10 at RUTG 31) Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | -0.81 | 8.6% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69 Started Drive at: RUTG 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.41 - 0.40 = -0.81 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.60) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.6% Win Probability (After): 7.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:55 | |
(3rd & 10 at RUTG 31) Noah Vedral pass complete to Joshua Youngblood for 15 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST down - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | 2.49 | 7.9% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 54 Started Drive at: RUTG 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.05 - -0.43 = 2.49 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.43) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.9% Win Probability (After): 9.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:18 | |
(1st & 10 at RUTG 46) Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | -0.61 | 9.3% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 54 Started Drive at: RUTG 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.55 - 2.17 = -0.61 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.83) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.3% Win Probability (After): 9.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:06 | |
(2nd & 10 at RUTG 46) Noah Vedral run for 7 yds to the WFrst 47 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | 0.18 | 9.8% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 47 Started Drive at: RUTG 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.86 - 1.67 = 0.18 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.33) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.8% Win Probability (After): 8.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:02 | |
(3rd & 3 at WAKE 47) Noah Vedral pass complete to Johnny Langan for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | -2.17 | 9.9% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 50 Started Drive at: RUTG 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.33 - 1.84 = -2.17 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.16) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.9% Win Probability (After): 8.6% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:09 | |
(4th & 6 at 50) Adam Korsak punt for 44 yds, downed at the WFrst 6 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | -0.20 | 9.2% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 94 Started Drive at: RUTG 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.56 - -0.36 = -0.20 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.36) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.56) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.2% Win Probability (After): 8.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 6:05 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 6) Christian Beal-Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 2 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | -1.07 | 90.8% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 98 Started Drive at: WAKE 6 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.75 - 0.32 = -1.07 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.32) Score Difference (End): 7 (6.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, -4 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.8% Win Probability (After): 89.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:41 | |
(2nd & 14 at WAKE 2) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | -0.74 | 90.3% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 98 Started Drive at: WAKE 6 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.64 - -0.90 = -0.74 Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.10) Score Difference (End): 7 (5.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -4 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.3% Win Probability (After): 88.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:35 | |
(3rd & 14 at WAKE 2) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | -0.86 | 89.3% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 98 Started Drive at: WAKE 6 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.38 - -1.52 = -0.86 Score Difference (Before): 7 (5.48) Score Difference (End): 7 (4.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -4 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.3% Win Probability (After): 88.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:23 | |
(4th & 14 at WAKE 2) Ivan Mora punt for 52 yds, downed at the Rutgr 46 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | 0.31 | 89.4% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 54 Started Drive at: WAKE 6 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.94 - -2.25 = 0.31 Score Difference (Before): 7 (4.75) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.06) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -4 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.4% Win Probability (After): 88.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 5:20 | |
(1st & 10 at RUTG 46) Noah Vedral run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 48 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | -0.39 | 11.0% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 52 Started Drive at: RUTG 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - 2.07 = -0.39 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.93) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.0% Win Probability (After): 10.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:31 | |
(2nd & 8 at RUTG 48) Noah Vedral pass complete to Johnny Langan for 18 yds to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST down - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | 1.65 | 11.1% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 34 Started Drive at: RUTG 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 1.68 = 1.65 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.32) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.1% Win Probability (After): 12.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:59 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 34) Johnny Langan pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 10 yds to the WFrst 24 for a 1ST down - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | 0.72 | 12.8% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 24 Started Drive at: RUTG 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.93 - 3.22 = 0.72 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.78) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.8% Win Probability (After): 13.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:22 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 24) Aaron Young run for 8 yds to the WFrst 16 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | 1.06 | 14.0% | 2.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 16 Started Drive at: RUTG 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.81 - 3.76 = 1.06 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.24) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.0% Win Probability (After): 16.1% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:35 | |
(2nd & 2 at WAKE 16) Noah Vedral run for 4 yds to the WFrst 12 for a 1ST down - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | 0.21 | 15.0% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 12 Started Drive at: RUTG 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.81 - 4.61 = 0.21 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.39) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.0% Win Probability (After): 16.1% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:01 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 12) Aaron Young run for no gain to the WFrst 12 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | -0.40 | 15.9% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12 Started Drive at: RUTG 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.21 - 4.61 = -0.40 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.39) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.9% Win Probability (After): 14.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:58 | |
(2nd & 10 at WAKE 12) Timeout WAKE FOREST, clock 01:58 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | 0.00 | 15.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12 Started Drive at: RUTG 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.21 - 4.21 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.79) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.1% Win Probability (After): 15.1% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 1:51 | |
(2nd & 10 at WAKE 12) Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 5 yds to the WFrst 7 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | -0.01 | 17.0% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 7 Started Drive at: RUTG 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.98 - 4.00 = -0.01 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.00) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.0% Win Probability (After): 15.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 1:50 | |
(3rd & 5 at WAKE 7) Timeout WAKE FOREST, clock 01:50 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | 0.00 | 16.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7 Started Drive at: RUTG 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.98 - 3.98 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.02) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.4% Win Probability (After): 16.4% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 1:42 | |
(3rd & 5 at WAKE 7) Noah Vedral pass intercepted Gavin Holmes return for 2 yds to the WFrst 2 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | -4.02 | 15.7% | -5.8% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 98 Started Drive at: RUTG 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.10 - 3.92 = -4.02 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.08) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.10) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.7% Win Probability (After): 9.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:40 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 2) RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kessawn Abraham) to the WFrst 17 for a 1ST down - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | 0.64 | 90.0% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 83 Started Drive at: WAKE 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.66 - 0.02 = 0.64 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.02) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.0% Win Probability (After): 89.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:29 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 17) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | -0.10 | 90.0% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 83 Started Drive at: WAKE 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.31 - 0.40 = -0.10 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.40) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.0% Win Probability (After): 89.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:25 | |
(2nd & 10 at WAKE 17) Justice Ellison run for 18 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST down - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | 0.92 | 89.7% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 65 Started Drive at: WAKE 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - 0.27 = 0.92 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.27) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.7% Win Probability (After): 91.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:18 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 35) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | -0.31 | 91.0% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65 Started Drive at: WAKE 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.97 - 1.27 = -0.31 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.27) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.0% Win Probability (After): 90.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:14 | |
(2nd & 10 at WAKE 35) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 9 yds to the WFrst 44 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | 0.13 | 90.7% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 56 Started Drive at: WAKE 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.20 - 1.07 = 0.13 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.07) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.7% Win Probability (After): 91.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:08 | |
(3rd & 1 at WAKE 44) Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST down - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | 0.36 | 91.7% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 55 Started Drive at: WAKE 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.58 - 1.21 = 0.36 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.21) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.7% Win Probability (After): 91.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:56 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 45) Sam Hartman pass complete to Blake Whiteheart for 26 yds to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST down - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | 1.78 | 91.9% | 2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 29 Started Drive at: WAKE 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 1.28 = 1.78 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.28) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.9% Win Probability (After): 94.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:50 | |
(1st & 10 at RUTG 29) RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kessawn Abraham) to the Rutgr 20 for a 1ST down - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | 0.53 | 94.2% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 20 Started Drive at: WAKE 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.57 - 3.04 = 0.53 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.04) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.2% Win Probability (After): 95.1% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:48 | |
(1st & 10 at RUTG 20) WAKE FOREST Penalty, False Start (A.T. Perry) to the Rutgr 25 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | -0.76 | 95.1% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 25 Started Drive at: WAKE 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.83 - 3.59 = -0.76 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.59) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.1% Win Probability (After): 93.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:45 | |
(1st & 15 at RUTG 25) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | -0.42 | 93.8% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25 Started Drive at: WAKE 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.38 - 2.80 = -0.42 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.80) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.8% Win Probability (After): 92.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:42 | |
(2nd & 15 at RUTG 25) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | -0.28 | 92.9% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25 Started Drive at: WAKE 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.10 - 2.37 = -0.28 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.37) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.9% Win Probability (After): 92.5% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:36 | |
(3rd & 15 at RUTG 25) Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 14 yds to the Rutgr 11 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | 0.78 | 92.6% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 11 Started Drive at: WAKE 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.96 - 2.18 = 0.78 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.18) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.6% Win Probability (After): 94.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:02 | |
(4th & 1 at RUTG 11) Timeout WAKE FOREST, clock 00:02 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | 0.00 | 94.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11 Started Drive at: WAKE 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.96 - 2.96 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.96) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.6% Win Probability (After): 94.6% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:02 | |
(4th & 1 at RUTG 11) Timeout RUTGERS, clock 00:02 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 | 0.00 | 94.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11 Started Drive at: WAKE 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.96 - 2.96 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.96) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.7% Win Probability (After): 94.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:00 | |
(4th & 1 at RUTG 11) Nick Sciba 29 yd FG GOOD - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | 0.96 | 94.3% | 2.7% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11 Started Drive at: WAKE 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.04 = 0.96 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.04) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.3% Win Probability (After): 97.0% Away Score: 17 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at RUTG 35) Ivan Mora kickoff for 60 yds , Joshua Youngblood return for 19 yds to the Rutgr 24 - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | -1.16 | 5.8% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 76 Started Drive at: RUTG 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.22 - -0.06 = -1.16 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.06) Score Difference (End): -10 (-11.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.8% Win Probability (After): 5.5% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:56 | |
(1st & 10 at RUTG 24) Aaron Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 23 - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | -0.87 | 5.8% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 77 Started Drive at: RUTG 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.10 - -0.22 = -0.87 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.22) Score Difference (End): -10 (-11.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.8% Win Probability (After): 5.1% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:24 | |
(2nd & 11 at RUTG 23) Gavin Wimsatt pass intercepted Zion Keith return for no gain to the WFrst 36 - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | -1.52 | 5.3% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 64 Started Drive at: RUTG 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.61 - -1.09 = -1.52 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-11.09) Score Difference (End): 10 (12.61) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.3% Win Probability (After): 3.8% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:20 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 36) Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd to the WFrst 37 - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | -0.57 | 95.4% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 63 Started Drive at: WAKE 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.11 - 2.68 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.68) Score Difference (End): 10 (12.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.4% Win Probability (After): 95.5% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:00 | |
(2nd & 9 at WAKE 37) Sam Hartman sacked by Mohamed Toure for a loss of 7 yards to the WFrst 30 - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | -1.80 | 95.8% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 70 Started Drive at: WAKE 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.34 - 2.13 = -1.80 Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.13) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -6 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.8% Win Probability (After): 94.6% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:41 | |
(3rd & 16 at WAKE 30) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | -0.90 | 95.4% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 70 Started Drive at: WAKE 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.60 - 0.31 = -0.90 Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.31) Score Difference (End): 10 (9.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -6 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.4% Win Probability (After): 94.7% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:34 | |
(4th & 16 at WAKE 30) Ivan Mora punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Joshua Youngblood at the Rutgr 24 - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | 0.76 | 94.8% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 76 Started Drive at: WAKE 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.14 - -0.62 = 0.76 Score Difference (Before): 10 (9.38) Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.14) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -6 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.8% Win Probability (After): 94.4% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 13:26 | |
(1st & 10 at RUTG 24) Johnny Langan pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 11 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST down - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | 1.14 | 5.6% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 65 Started Drive at: RUTG 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.00 - -0.14 = 1.14 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.14) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.6% Win Probability (After): 6.0% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:45 | |
(1st & 10 at RUTG 35) Johnny Langan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 33 - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | -1.32 | 5.8% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 67 Started Drive at: RUTG 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.29 - 1.03 = -1.32 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.97) Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.8% Win Probability (After): 5.3% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:07 | |
(2nd & 12 at RUTG 33) Noah Vedral pass complete to Christian Dremel for 4 yds to the Rutgr 37 - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | -0.01 | 5.5% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 63 Started Drive at: RUTG 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.35 - -0.34 = -0.01 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.34) Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.5% Win Probability (After): 5.2% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:20 | |
(3rd & 8 at RUTG 37) Noah Vedral sacked by Dion Bergan Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the Rutgr 27 - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | -2.37 | 6.2% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 73 Started Drive at: RUTG 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.87 - -0.50 = -2.37 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.50) Score Difference (End): -10 (-12.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.2% Win Probability (After): 4.4% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:34 | |
(4th & 18 at RUTG 27) Adam Korsak punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 33 - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | 0.30 | 4.6% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 67 Started Drive at: RUTG 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.43 - -2.73 = 0.30 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-12.73) Score Difference (End): 10 (12.43) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.6% Win Probability (After): 4.7% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 10:34 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 33) RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Cam'Ron Stewart) to the WFrst 38 - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | 0.71 | 95.2% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 62 Started Drive at: WAKE 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.22 - 2.51 = 0.71 Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.51) Score Difference (End): 10 (13.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.2% Win Probability (After): 96.0% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:28 | |
(1st & 5 at WAKE 38) Justice Ellison run for 6 yds to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST down - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | -0.12 | 96.3% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 56 Started Drive at: WAKE 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.12 - 3.23 = -0.12 Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.23) Score Difference (End): 10 (13.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.3% Win Probability (After): 95.8% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:00 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 44) Sam Hartman sacked by Naijee Jones for a loss of 14 yards to the WFrst 30 Sam Hartman fumbled, forced by Naijee Jones, recovered by WFrst Justice Ellison , return for 0 yards - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | -1.69 | 95.3% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 70 Started Drive at: WAKE 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.41 - 3.10 = -1.69 Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.10) Score Difference (End): 10 (11.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -8 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.3% Win Probability (After): 95.5% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:30 | |
(2nd & 24 at WAKE 30) Sam Hartman pass complete to Justice Ellison for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 28 - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | -1.08 | 94.4% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 72 Started Drive at: WAKE 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.23 - 1.31 = -1.08 Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.31) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -10 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.4% Win Probability (After): 93.8% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:50 | |
(3rd & 26 at WAKE 28) Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 28 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST down - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | 3.60 | 92.5% | 3.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 44 Started Drive at: WAKE 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.67 - 0.07 = 3.60 Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.07) Score Difference (End): 10 (13.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.5% Win Probability (After): 96.2% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:24 | |
(1st & 10 at RUTG 44) Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 42 - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | -0.57 | 95.8% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 42 Started Drive at: WAKE 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.04 - 3.62 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.62) Score Difference (End): 10 (13.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.8% Win Probability (After): 94.6% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:08 | |
(2nd & 8 at RUTG 42) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | -0.98 | 95.5% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42 Started Drive at: WAKE 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.05 - 3.03 = -0.98 Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.03) Score Difference (End): 10 (12.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.5% Win Probability (After): 94.8% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:59 | |
(3rd & 8 at RUTG 42) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 21 yds to the Rutgr 21 for a 1ST down - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | 2.82 | 94.6% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 21 Started Drive at: WAKE 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.85 - 2.03 = 2.82 Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.03) Score Difference (End): 10 (14.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.6% Win Probability (After): 96.4% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:42 | |
(1st & 10 at RUTG 21) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | -0.55 | 96.1% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21 Started Drive at: WAKE 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.26 - 4.81 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): 10 (14.81) Score Difference (End): 10 (14.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.1% Win Probability (After): 96.2% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:33 | |
(2nd & 10 at RUTG 21) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 14 yds to the Rutgr 7 for a 1ST down - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | 1.43 | 95.9% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 7 Started Drive at: WAKE 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.67 - 4.24 = 1.43 Score Difference (Before): 10 (14.24) Score Difference (End): 10 (15.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.9% Win Probability (After): 96.7% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:10 | |
(1st & Goal at RUTG 7) Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 5 - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | -0.27 | 96.7% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 5 Started Drive at: WAKE 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.45 - 5.73 = -0.27 Score Difference (Before): 10 (15.73) Score Difference (End): 10 (15.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.7% Win Probability (After): 96.5% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:47 | |
(2nd & Goal at RUTG 5) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | -1.04 | 96.6% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5 Started Drive at: WAKE 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.45 - 5.49 = -1.04 Score Difference (Before): 10 (15.49) Score Difference (End): 10 (14.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.6% Win Probability (After): 96.1% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:41 | |
(3rd & Goal at RUTG 5) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 | -1.53 | 96.1% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5 Started Drive at: WAKE 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.91 - 4.44 = -1.53 Score Difference (Before): 10 (14.44) Score Difference (End): 10 (12.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.1% Win Probability (After): 95.6% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:37 | |
(4th & Goal at RUTG 5) Nick Sciba 23 yd FG GOOD - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 | 0.09 | 95.7% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5 Started Drive at: WAKE 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.91 = 0.09 Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.91) Score Difference (End): 13 (13.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.7% Win Probability (After): 97.0% Away Score: 20 (23) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 6:37 | |
(Kickoff at RUTG 35) Ivan Mora kickoff for 64 yds , Joshua Youngblood return for 22 yds to the Rutgr 23 Joshua Youngblood fumbled, forced by J.J. Roberts, recovered by Rutgr Tyreem Powell - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 | -1.14 | 4.0% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 77 Started Drive at: RUTG 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.07 - 0.08 = -1.14 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.92) Score Difference (End): -13 (-14.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.0% Win Probability (After): 3.6% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:05 | |
(1st & 10 at RUTG 23) Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Jamier Wright-Collins for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 21 - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 | -1.09 | 4.0% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 79 Started Drive at: RUTG 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.12 - -0.03 = -1.09 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-13.03) Score Difference (End): -13 (-14.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.0% Win Probability (After): 3.4% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:00 | |
(2nd & 12 at RUTG 21) Gavin Wimsatt run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 25 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, Personal Foul (Ryan Smenda Jr.) to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST down - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 | 2.49 | 3.4% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 60 Started Drive at: RUTG 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.36 - -1.13 = 2.49 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-14.12) Score Difference (End): -13 (-11.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.4% Win Probability (After): 4.3% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:20 | |
(1st & 10 at RUTG 40) Jamier Wright-Collins run for no gain to the Rutgr 40 - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 | -0.54 | 4.8% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60 Started Drive at: RUTG 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.77 - 1.31 = -0.54 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-11.69) Score Difference (End): -13 (-12.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.8% Win Probability (After): 4.1% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:35 | |
(2nd & 10 at RUTG 40) Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 6 yds to the Rutgr 46 - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 | 0.15 | 4.7% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 54 Started Drive at: RUTG 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.87 - 0.72 = 0.15 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.28) Score Difference (End): -13 (-12.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.7% Win Probability (After): 4.7% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:55 | |
(3rd & 4 at RUTG 46) Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 10 yds to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST down - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 | 1.67 | 4.3% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 44 Started Drive at: RUTG 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.53 - 0.86 = 1.67 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.14) Score Difference (End): -13 (-10.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.3% Win Probability (After): 5.4% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:15 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 44) Johnny Langan run for 5 yds to the WFrst 39 - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 | 0.17 | 5.7% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 39 Started Drive at: RUTG 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.68 - 2.51 = 0.17 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-10.49) Score Difference (End): -13 (-10.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.7% Win Probability (After): 5.3% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:27 | |
(2nd & 5 at WAKE 39) Noah Vedral sacked by Rondell Bothroyd for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 43 - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 | -1.72 | 6.0% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 43 Started Drive at: RUTG 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.96 - 2.68 = -1.72 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-10.32) Score Difference (End): -13 (-12.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.0% Win Probability (After): 4.6% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:46 | |
(3rd & 9 at WAKE 43) Noah Vedral run for 5 yds to the WFrst 38 - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 | -0.81 | 4.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 38 Started Drive at: RUTG 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - 1.02 = -0.81 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-11.98) Score Difference (End): -13 (-12.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.3% Win Probability (After): 4.3% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:54 | |
(4th & 4 at WAKE 38) Noah Vedral pass incomplete - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 | -3.17 | 4.3% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 62 Started Drive at: RUTG 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.77 - 0.40 = -3.17 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.60) Score Difference (End): 13 (15.77) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.3% Win Probability (After): 2.6% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 0:13 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 38) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 8 yds to the WFrst 46 - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 | 0.55 | 96.9% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 54 Started Drive at: WAKE 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.32 - 2.77 = 0.55 Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.77) Score Difference (End): 13 (16.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.9% Win Probability (After): 97.2% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:55 | |
(2nd & 2 at WAKE 46) Justice Ellison run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 45 - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 | -1.08 | 97.1% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 55 Started Drive at: WAKE 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.23 - 3.31 = -1.08 Score Difference (Before): 13 (16.31) Score Difference (End): 13 (15.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.1% Win Probability (After): 96.7% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:30 | |
(3rd & 3 at WAKE 45) Sam Hartman run for 35 yds to the Rutgr 20 for a 1ST down - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 | 2.58 | 96.8% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 20 Started Drive at: WAKE 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.84 - 2.27 = 2.58 Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.27) Score Difference (End): 13 (17.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.8% Win Probability (After): 97.9% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:05 | |
(1st & 10 at RUTG 20) Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 18 yds to the Rutgr 2 for a 1ST down - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 | 1.56 | 98.0% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 2 Started Drive at: WAKE 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.35 - 4.79 = 1.56 Score Difference (Before): 13 (17.79) Score Difference (End): 13 (19.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.0% Win Probability (After): 98.3% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:30 | |
(1st & Goal at RUTG 2) Justice Ellison run for no gain to the Rutgr 2 - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 | -0.32 | 98.6% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 2 Started Drive at: WAKE 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.03 - 6.35 = -0.32 Score Difference (Before): 13 (19.35) Score Difference (End): 13 (19.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.6% Win Probability (After): 98.4% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:05 | |
(2nd & Goal at RUTG 2) Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 1 - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 | -0.04 | 98.5% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 1 Started Drive at: WAKE 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.99 - 6.03 = -0.04 Score Difference (Before): 13 (19.03) Score Difference (End): 13 (18.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.5% Win Probability (After): 98.4% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:24 | |
(3rd & Goal at RUTG 1) Sam Hartman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 1 yd for a TD, (Sam Hartman pass to A.T. Perry for Two-Point Conversion) - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 | 2.04 | 98.6% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: WAKE 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 5.96 = 2.04 Score Difference (Before): 13 (18.96) Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.6% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 23 (31) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:24 | |
(Kickoff at RUTG 35) Ivan Mora kickoff for 63 yds , Joshua Youngblood return for 27 yds to the Rutgr 29 - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 | -0.79 | 0.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 71 Started Drive at: RUTG 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.00 - -1.20 = -0.79 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-22.20) Score Difference (End): -21 (-23.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.5% Win Probability (After): 0.5% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:04 | |
(1st & 10 at RUTG 29) Gavin Wimsatt run for 32 yds to the WFrst 39 for a 1ST down - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 | 2.71 | 0.6% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 39 Started Drive at: RUTG 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - -0.73 = 2.71 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.73) Score Difference (End): -21 (-19.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.6% Win Probability (After): 0.6% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:49 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 39) Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 | -0.72 | 0.7% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39 Started Drive at: RUTG 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.30 - 2.02 = -0.72 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-18.98) Score Difference (End): -21 (-19.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.7% Win Probability (After): 0.6% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:30 | |
(2nd & 10 at WAKE 39) Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Jamier Wright-Collins for 5 yds to the WFrst 34 - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 | -0.23 | 0.7% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 34 Started Drive at: RUTG 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.13 - 1.36 = -0.23 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-19.64) Score Difference (End): -21 (-19.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.7% Win Probability (After): 0.6% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:21 | |
(3rd & 5 at WAKE 34) Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 | -1.87 | 0.6% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34 Started Drive at: RUTG 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.71 - 1.16 = -1.87 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-19.84) Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.6% Win Probability (After): 0.5% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:14 | |
(4th & 5 at WAKE 34) Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 3 yds to the WFrst 31 - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 | -3.05 | 0.5% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 69 Started Drive at: RUTG 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.53 - -0.49 = -3.05 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.49) Score Difference (End): 21 (24.53) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.5% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 11:10 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 31) Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the WFrst 32 - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 | -0.62 | 99.8% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 68 Started Drive at: WAKE 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - 3.47 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.47) Score Difference (End): 21 (23.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.8% Win Probability (After): 99.8% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:25 | |
(2nd & 9 at WAKE 32) Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 10 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST down - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 | 0.92 | 99.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 58 Started Drive at: WAKE 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.84 - 2.92 = 0.92 Score Difference (Before): 21 (23.92) Score Difference (End): 21 (24.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.8% Win Probability (After): 99.8% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:32 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 42) Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the WFrst 46 - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 | -0.21 | 99.8% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 54 Started Drive at: WAKE 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.53 - 3.74 = -0.21 Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.74) Score Difference (End): 21 (24.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.8% Win Probability (After): 99.8% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:46 | |
(2nd & 6 at WAKE 46) Christian Turner run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST down - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 | 1.47 | 99.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 42 Started Drive at: WAKE 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.41 - 2.94 = 1.47 Score Difference (Before): 21 (23.94) Score Difference (End): 21 (25.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.8% Win Probability (After): 99.8% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:09 | |
(1st & 10 at RUTG 42) Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 40 - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 | -0.38 | 99.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 40 Started Drive at: WAKE 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.64 - 4.02 = -0.38 Score Difference (Before): 21 (25.02) Score Difference (End): 21 (24.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:22 | |
(2nd & 8 at RUTG 40) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 | -0.93 | 99.8% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40 Started Drive at: WAKE 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.71 - 3.64 = -0.93 Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.64) Score Difference (End): 21 (23.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.8% Win Probability (After): 99.8% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:18 | |
(3rd & 8 at RUTG 40) Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 36 - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 | -1.10 | 99.8% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 36 Started Drive at: WAKE 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.73 - 2.83 = -1.10 Score Difference (Before): 21 (23.83) Score Difference (End): 21 (22.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.8% Win Probability (After): 99.8% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:35 | |
(4th & 4 at RUTG 36) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 6 yds to the Rutgr 30 for a 1ST down - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 | 2.99 | 99.8% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 30 Started Drive at: WAKE 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.66 - 1.67 = 2.99 Score Difference (Before): 21 (22.67) Score Difference (End): 21 (25.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.8% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 6:05 | |
(1st & 10 at RUTG 30) Quinton Cooley run for no gain to the Rutgr 30 - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 | -0.40 | 99.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30 Started Drive at: WAKE 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.12 - 4.52 = -0.40 Score Difference (Before): 21 (25.52) Score Difference (End): 21 (25.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:05 | |
(2nd & 10 at RUTG 30) Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 27 - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 | -0.51 | 99.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 27 Started Drive at: WAKE 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.35 - 3.86 = -0.51 Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.86) Score Difference (End): 21 (24.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:15 | |
(3rd & 7 at RUTG 27) Justice Ellison run for 27 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 | 4.18 | 99.9% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 99 Started Drive at: WAKE 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.82 = 4.18 Score Difference (Before): 21 (23.82) Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 31 (38) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:15 | |
(Kickoff at RUTG 35) Nick Sciba kickoff for 47 yds , Avery Young return for 36 yds to the WFrst 46 - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 | 1.16 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 46 Started Drive at: WAKE 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.34 - 0.18 = 1.16 Score Difference (Before): -28 (-27.82) Score Difference (End): -28 (-26.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:53 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 46) Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Jamier Wright-Collins for 2 yds to the WFrst 44 - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 | -0.55 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 44 Started Drive at: WAKE 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.70 - 2.25 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): -28 (-25.75) Score Difference (End): -28 (-26.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:40 | |
(2nd & 8 at WAKE 44) Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 | -0.67 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44 Started Drive at: WAKE 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.17 - 1.85 = -0.67 Score Difference (Before): -28 (-26.15) Score Difference (End): -28 (-26.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:32 | |
(3rd & 8 at WAKE 44) Gavin Wimsatt run for 7 yds to the WFrst 37 - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 | 0.40 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 37 Started Drive at: WAKE 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.57 - 1.17 = 0.40 Score Difference (Before): -28 (-26.83) Score Difference (End): -28 (-26.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:06 | |
(4th & 1 at WAKE 37) Jamier Wright-Collins run for 2 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST down - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 | 1.42 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 35 Started Drive at: WAKE 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.92 - 1.50 = 1.42 Score Difference (Before): -28 (-26.50) Score Difference (End): -28 (-25.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 2:52 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 35) Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 | -0.42 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35 Started Drive at: WAKE 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.37 - 2.79 = -0.42 Score Difference (Before): -28 (-25.21) Score Difference (End): -28 (-25.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:44 | |
(2nd & 10 at WAKE 35) Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 6 yds to the WFrst 29 - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 | 0.33 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 29 Started Drive at: WAKE 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - 2.27 = 0.33 Score Difference (Before): -28 (-25.73) Score Difference (End): -28 (-25.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:25 | |
(3rd & 4 at WAKE 29) Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 | -1.38 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 29 Started Drive at: WAKE 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.14 - 2.52 = -1.38 Score Difference (Before): -28 (-25.48) Score Difference (End): -28 (-26.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:19 | |
(4th & 4 at WAKE 29) Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 | -2.68 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 71 Started Drive at: WAKE 46 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.54 - 1.14 = -2.68 Score Difference (Before): -28 (-26.86) Score Difference (End): 28 (29.54) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 2:15 | |
(1st & 10 at WAKE 29) Quinton Cooley run for 2 yds to the WFrst 31 - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 | -0.44 | 99.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 69 Started Drive at: WAKE 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.17 - 1.61 = -0.44 Score Difference (Before): 28 (29.61) Score Difference (End): 28 (29.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:34 | |
(2nd & 8 at WAKE 31) Quinton Cooley run for 2 yds to the WFrst 33 - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 | -0.10 | 99.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 67 Started Drive at: WAKE 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.80 - 0.90 = -0.10 Score Difference (Before): 28 (28.90) Score Difference (End): 28 (28.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:40 | |
(3rd & 6 at WAKE 33) Quinton Cooley run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 31 - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 | -0.68 | 99.9% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 69 Started Drive at: WAKE 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.21 - 0.47 = -0.68 Score Difference (Before): 28 (28.47) Score Difference (End): 28 (27.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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