Wake Forest 38 @ Rutgers 10

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 2.53 | Odds: WAKE -16.5, O/U 62.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 154 ESPN team id 164
Total Plays 8472
Total EPA 20.78-11.08
  Offensive EPA 17.51-10.57
  Special Teams EPA -0.18-2.75
  Penalty EPA 3.454.73
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA 0.00-2.49
Production ESPN team id 154 ESPN team id 164
Scrimmage Plays 7662
  Yards 452292
  Yards/Play 5.954.71
  EPA 17.51-10.57
  EPA/Play 0.23-0.17
Passes 42 (55%)36 (58%)
  Yards 304165
  Yards/Play 7.244.58
  EPA 16.02-14.30
  EPA/Play 0.38-0.40
Rushes 34 (45%)26 (42%)
  Yards 174126
  Yards/Play 5.124.85
  EPA 1.493.73
  EPA/Play 0.040.14
Rushing ESPN team id 154 ESPN team id 164
Scrimmage Plays 7662
Rushes 34 (45%)26 (42%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 1 (3%)1 (4%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 1 (100%)1 (100%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 6 (18%)7 (27%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 17 (50%)11 (42%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 14 (41%)13 (50%)
OL Line Yards 48.837.2
  Per Carry 1.441.43
Highlight Yards 75.544.5
  Per Rush Opportunity 5.393.42
Explosiveness ESPN team id 154 ESPN team id 164
Total Plays 8472
Scrimmage Plays 7662
Explosive Plays 7 (9%)7 (11%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 4 (10%)4 (11%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 3 (9%)3 (12%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -5.74-29.21
  EPA/Play -0.08-0.53
  When Passing 1.97-25.61
    EPA/Play 0.05-0.71
  When Rushing -7.71-3.61
    EPA/Play -0.25-0.16
Situational ESPN team id 154 ESPN team id 164
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 31 (41%)24 (39%)
  When Passing 21 (50%)11 (31%)
  When Rushing 10 (29%)13 (50%)
  On Standard Downs 18 (37%)14 (38%)
  On Passing Downs 13 (48%)10 (40%)
  On Early Downs 21 (35%)17 (38%)
  On Late Downs 10 (63%)7 (41%)
  During "Middle 8" 5 (42%)4 (33%)
Early Downs 6045
  First Downs Created 16 (27%)9 (20%)
  EPA -2.22-2.03
  EPA/Play -0.04-0.05
  Passes 32 (53%)22 (49%)
  Rushes 28 (47%)23 (51%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 15 (47%)6 (27%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 6 (21%)11 (48%)
"Middle 8" Plays 1212
  EPA -0.40-7.41
  EPA/play -0.03-0.62
  Passes 9 (75%)7 (58%)
  Rushes 3 (25%)5 (42%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 3 (33%)2 (29%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 2 (67%)2 (40%)
Drives ESPN team id 154 ESPN team id 164
Total 109
Avg Starting Field Position Own 23Own 32
Plays/Drive 9.398.16
Yards/Drive 62.9942.18
Available Yards % 82%62%
Defensive ESPN team id 154 ESPN team id 164
Scrimmage Plays 6276
Stop Rate 52%8%
Havoc Plays Created 11 (18%)8 (11%)
  Passing 7 (19%)4 (10%)
  Rushing 4 (15%)4 (12%)
TFLs Generated 98
  Passing 54
  Rushing 44
Sacks Generated 3 (8%)3 (7%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 20
Fumbles Forced 01
Turnovers ESPN team id 154 ESPN team id 164
Turnovers 02
  Fumbles 10
  Fumbles Lost 00
  Fumbles Recovered 10
  Interceptions 02
Turnover Margin 2-2
Expected Turnovers 0.50.9
Expected Turnover Margin 0.4-0.4
Turnover Luck (pts) 7.8-7.8
Special Teams ESPN team id 154 ESPN team id 164
Total Plays 8 10
Total EPA -0.18 -2.75
  Field Goal EPA 1.83 0.7
  Punting EPA 1.07 0.1
  Kickoff Return EPA -3.07 -3.56

Wake Forest [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Sam Hartman 23/39, 304 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 3 Scks, 78.9 xQBR 7.24 0.38 16.02 50% 18.0%
Rush attempts
Sam Hartman 3 carries, 47 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 15.67 1.55 4.65 67% 2.0%
Justice Ellison 9 carries, 59 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.56 0.39 3.48 44% 0.0%
Christian Turner 10 carries, 43 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.30 -0.15 -1.54 20% 0.0%
Quinton Cooley 4 carries, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.50 -0.41 -1.62 0% 0.0%
Christian Beal-Smith 8 carries, 23 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.88 -0.43 -3.48 25% 1.0%
Pass targets
A.T. Perry 10 catches (10 targets), 127 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.70 1.63 16.29 100% 14.0%
Ke'Shawn Williams 2 catches (2 targets), 38 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 19.00 2.26 4.52 100% 4.0%
Taylor Morin 4 catches (4 targets), 58 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.50 0.89 3.57 75% 1.0%
Brandon Chapman 2 catches (2 targets), 5 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.50 1.74 3.48 100% 3.0%
Donald Stewart 2 catches (2 targets), 43 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 21.50 1.57 3.14 100% 3.0%
Blake Whiteheart 2 catches (2 targets), 35 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 17.50 1.38 2.76 100% 3.0%
Justice Ellison 1 catch (1 target), -2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -2.00 -1.08 -1.08 0% -1.0%

Rutgers [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Isaiah Washington 1/1, 27 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 77.7 xQBR 27.00 2.49 2.49 100% 2.0%
Johnny Langan 2/2, 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 63.6 xQBR 10.50 0.93 1.86 100% 1.0%
Evan Simon 0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 11.6 xQBR 0.00 -0.73 -0.73 0% 0.0%
Noah Vedral 8/13, 87 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 3 Scks, 27.7 xQBR 5.44 -0.28 -4.46 31% -12.0%
Gavin Wimsatt 7/16, 30 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 0 Scks, 21.8 xQBR 1.88 -0.84 -13.46 19% -2.0%
Rush attempts
Gavin Wimsatt 4 carries, 38 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.50 0.88 3.50 75% 0.0%
Aaron Young 7 carries, 33 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.71 0.30 2.13 57% 1.0%
Jamier Wright-Collins 2 carries, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.00 0.44 0.88 50% -1.0%
Johnny Langan 6 carries, 20 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.33 -0.16 -0.97 33% -2.0%
Noah Vedral 7 carries, 33 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.71 -0.26 -1.82 43% -2.0%
Pass targets
Joshua Youngblood 2 catches (2 targets), 25 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.50 2.17 4.34 100% 4.0%
Jovani Haskins 2 catches (2 targets), 32 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 16.00 2.12 4.23 100% 2.0%
Matt Alaimo 1 catch (1 target), 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 17.00 3.24 3.24 100% 2.0%
Isaiah Washington 2 catches (2 targets), 20 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.00 1.19 2.39 100% 2.0%
Christian Dremel 1 catch (1 target), 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.00 -0.01 -0.01 0% 0.0%
Shameen Jones 1 catch (1 target), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 -0.01 -0.01 0% -2.0%
Johnny Langan 6 catches (6 targets), 57 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.50 -0.10 -0.60 67% 2.0%
Jamier Wright-Collins 3 catches (3 targets), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.67 -0.62 -1.87 0% -1.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 2:16 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 11 at RUTG 29) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 29 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 4.64 85.7% 7.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.36 = 4.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.36)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.7%

Win Probability (After): 92.9%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:15 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 7 at RUTG 27) Justice Ellison run for 27 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 4.18 99.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.82 = 4.18

Score Difference (Before): 21 (23.82)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 31 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:42 ESPN team id 164 (3rd & 5 at WAKE 7) Noah Vedral pass intercepted Gavin Holmes return for 2 yds to the WFrst 2 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 -4.02 15.7% -5.8%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 98

Started Drive at: RUTG 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.10 - 3.92 = -4.02

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.08)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.10)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.7%

Win Probability (After): 9.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:50 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 26 at WAKE 28) Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 28 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST down - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 3.60 92.5% 3.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 44

Started Drive at: WAKE 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.67 - 0.07 = 3.60

Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.07)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.5%

Win Probability (After): 96.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:39 ESPN team id 164 (3rd & 11 at RUTG 24) Noah Vedral pass complete to Matt Alaimo for 17 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST down - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 3.24 5.0% 1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 59

Started Drive at: RUTG 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - -2.06 = 3.24

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.06)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.0%

Win Probability (After): 6.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:54 ESPN team id 164 (4th & 4 at WAKE 38) Noah Vedral pass incomplete - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 -3.17 4.3% -1.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 62

Started Drive at: RUTG 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.77 - 0.40 = -3.17

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.60)

Score Difference (End): 13 (15.77)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.3%

Win Probability (After): 2.6%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 8:30 ESPN team id 164 (3rd & 8 at RUTG 43) Noah Vedral pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 21 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST down - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 3.09 5.5% 2.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 36

Started Drive at: RUTG 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.08 - -0.01 = 3.09

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.01)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.5%

Win Probability (After): 7.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:14 ESPN team id 164 (4th & 5 at WAKE 34) Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 3 yds to the WFrst 31 - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 -3.05 0.5% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 69

Started Drive at: RUTG 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.53 - -0.49 = -3.05

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.49)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.53)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 6:35 ESPN team id 154 (4th & 4 at RUTG 36) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 6 yds to the Rutgr 30 for a 1ST down - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 2.99 99.8% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 30

Started Drive at: WAKE 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.66 - 1.67 = 2.99

Score Difference (Before): 21 (22.67)

Score Difference (End): 21 (25.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 7:59 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 8 at RUTG 42) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 21 yds to the Rutgr 21 for a 1ST down - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 2.82 94.6% 1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 21

Started Drive at: WAKE 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.85 - 2.03 = 2.82

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.03)

Score Difference (End): 10 (14.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.6%

Win Probability (After): 96.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 2:16 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 11 at RUTG 29) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 29 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 4.64 85.7% 7.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.36 = 4.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.36)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.7%

Win Probability (After): 92.9%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:42 ESPN team id 164 (3rd & 5 at WAKE 7) Noah Vedral pass intercepted Gavin Holmes return for 2 yds to the WFrst 2 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 -4.02 15.7% -5.8%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 98

Started Drive at: RUTG 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.10 - 3.92 = -4.02

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.08)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.10)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.7%

Win Probability (After): 9.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:02 ESPN team id 164 (4th & Goal at WAKE 11) Valentino Ambrosio 28 yd FG GOOD - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 0.70 10.8% 4.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11

Started Drive at: RUTG 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.30 = 0.70

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.70)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.8%

Win Probability (After): 15.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 14:30 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 6 at WAKE 20) Christian Beal-Smith run for 5 yds to the WFrst 25 - WAKE 0, RUTG 0 0.19 85.8% 4.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 75

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.53 - 0.34 = 0.19

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.34)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 0, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.8%

Win Probability (After): 90.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:21 ESPN team id 154 (4th & 11 at RUTG 19) Nick Sciba 37 yd FG GOOD - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 0.77 87.9% 4.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.23 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.23)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.9%

Win Probability (After): 92.0%

Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 8:50 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 26 at WAKE 28) Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 28 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST down - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 3.60 92.5% 3.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 44

Started Drive at: WAKE 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.67 - 0.07 = 3.60

Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.07)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.5%

Win Probability (After): 96.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 154 (4th & 1 at RUTG 11) Nick Sciba 29 yd FG GOOD - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 0.96 94.3% 2.7%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11

Started Drive at: WAKE 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.04 = 0.96

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.04)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.3%

Win Probability (After): 97.0%

Away Score: 17 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 12:51 ESPN team id 164 (2nd & Goal at WAKE 9) Noah Vedral pass incomplete - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 -0.83 15.3% -2.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9

Started Drive at: RUTG 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.63 - 4.47 = -0.83

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.53)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.3%

Win Probability (After): 12.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:56 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 45) Sam Hartman pass complete to Blake Whiteheart for 26 yds to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST down - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 1.78 91.9% 2.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 29

Started Drive at: WAKE 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 1.28 = 1.78

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.28)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.9%

Win Probability (After): 94.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:01 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 6 at RUTG 14) Sam Hartman sacked by Drew Singleton for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 19 - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 -1.62 90.3% -2.3%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 19

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 3.91 = -1.62

Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.91)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.3%

Win Probability (After): 88.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 11:34 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & Goal at RUTG 4) Sam Hartman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 4 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 1.44 93.0% 1.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.56 = 1.44

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.56)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.0%

Win Probability (After): 94.6%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:11 ESPN team id 164 (1st & 10 at WAKE 12) Aaron Young run for 12 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) - WAKE 7, RUTG 7 2.14 13.2% 1.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 99

Started Drive at: RUTG 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.86 = 2.14

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.14)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.2%

Win Probability (After): 14.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:16 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 11 at RUTG 29) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 29 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 4.64 85.7% 7.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.36 = 4.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.36)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.7%

Win Probability (After): 92.9%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:02 ESPN team id 164 (4th & Goal at WAKE 11) Valentino Ambrosio 28 yd FG GOOD - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 0.70 10.8% 4.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11

Started Drive at: RUTG 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.30 = 0.70

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.70)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.8%

Win Probability (After): 15.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 8:21 ESPN team id 154 (4th & 11 at RUTG 19) Nick Sciba 37 yd FG GOOD - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 0.77 87.9% 4.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.23 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.23)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.9%

Win Probability (After): 92.0%

Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 154 (4th & 1 at RUTG 11) Nick Sciba 29 yd FG GOOD - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 0.96 94.3% 2.7%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11

Started Drive at: WAKE 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.04 = 0.96

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.04)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.3%

Win Probability (After): 97.0%

Away Score: 17 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:37 ESPN team id 154 (4th & Goal at RUTG 5) Nick Sciba 23 yd FG GOOD - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 0.09 95.7% 1.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5

Started Drive at: WAKE 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.91 = 0.09

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.91)

Score Difference (End): 13 (13.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.7%

Win Probability (After): 97.0%

Away Score: 20 (23) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 12:24 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & Goal at RUTG 1) Sam Hartman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 1 yd for a TD, (Sam Hartman pass to A.T. Perry for Two-Point Conversion) - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 2.04 98.6% 1.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 5.96 = 2.04

Score Difference (Before): 13 (18.96)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 23 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:15 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 7 at RUTG 27) Justice Ellison run for 27 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 4.18 99.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.82 = 4.18

Score Difference (Before): 21 (23.82)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 31 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 154 (Kickoff at WAKE 35) Guy Fava kickoff for 62 yds , Taylor Morin return for 13 yds to the WFrst 16 - WAKE 0, RUTG 0 -1.68 88.8% -1.6%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 84

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.82 - 0.86 = -1.68

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 0, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.8%

Win Probability (After): 87.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:45 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 16) Christian Beal-Smith run for 4 yds to the WFrst 20 - WAKE 0, RUTG 0 -0.49 90.7% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 80

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.14 - 0.63 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.63)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 0, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.7%

Win Probability (After): 90.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:30 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 6 at WAKE 20) Christian Beal-Smith run for 5 yds to the WFrst 25 - WAKE 0, RUTG 0 0.19 85.8% 4.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 75

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.53 - 0.34 = 0.19

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.34)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 0, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.8%

Win Probability (After): 90.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:10 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 1 at WAKE 25) RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Julius Turner) to the WFrst 30 for a 1ST down - WAKE 0, RUTG 0 1.15 86.0% 0.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.64 - 0.49 = 1.15

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.49)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 0, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.0%

Win Probability (After): 86.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:50 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 30) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 8 yds to the WFrst 38 - WAKE 0, RUTG 0 0.55 87.1% 1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 62

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.24 - 1.69 = 0.55

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.69)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 0, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.1%

Win Probability (After): 88.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:31 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 2 at WAKE 38) Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST down - WAKE 0, RUTG 0 0.09 88.4% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 58

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.33 - 2.25 = 0.09

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.25)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 0, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.4%

Win Probability (After): 88.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:11 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 42) Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 26 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST down - WAKE 0, RUTG 0 1.81 90.0% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 32

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.09 - 2.28 = 1.81

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.28)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 0, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.0%

Win Probability (After): 89.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:00 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at RUTG 32) RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Cam'Ron Stewart) to the Rutgr 27 - WAKE 0, RUTG 0 0.52 89.7% 1.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 27

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.60 - 4.08 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.08)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 0, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.7%

Win Probability (After): 91.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:39 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 5 at RUTG 27) RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Kyonte Hamilton) to the Rutgr 22 for a 1ST down - WAKE 0, RUTG 0 0.02 90.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 22

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.63 - 4.61 = 0.02

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.61)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 0, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.5%

Win Probability (After): 90.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:20 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at RUTG 22) Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for no gain to the Rutgr 22 - WAKE 0, RUTG 0 -0.57 91.0% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 22

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.08 - 4.66 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.66)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 0, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.0%

Win Probability (After): 90.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:03 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 10 at RUTG 22) Sam Hartman pass complete to Donald Stewart for 16 yds to the Rutgr 6 for a 1ST down - WAKE 0, RUTG 0 1.64 90.7% 1.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 6

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.73 - 4.09 = 1.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.09)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 0, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.7%

Win Probability (After): 92.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:54 ESPN team id 154 (1st & Goal at RUTG 6) Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 4 - WAKE 0, RUTG 0 -0.15 92.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 4

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.58 - 5.73 = -0.15

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.73)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 0, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.5%

Win Probability (After): 92.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:34 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & Goal at RUTG 4) Sam Hartman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 4 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 1.44 93.0% 1.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.56 = 1.44

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.56)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.0%

Win Probability (After): 94.6%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:34 ESPN team id 164 (Kickoff at RUTG 35) Ivan Mora kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 0.00 5.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: RUTG 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.13 - -0.13 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.13)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.4%

Win Probability (After): 5.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:29 ESPN team id 164 (1st & 10 at RUTG 25) Noah Vedral pass incomplete - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 -0.57 5.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: RUTG 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.70 - -0.13 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.13)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.4%

Win Probability (After): 5.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:20 ESPN team id 164 (2nd & 10 at RUTG 25) Noah Vedral run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 24 - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 -1.32 5.8% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 76

Started Drive at: RUTG 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.15 - -0.83 = -1.32

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.83)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.8%

Win Probability (After): 4.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:39 ESPN team id 164 (3rd & 11 at RUTG 24) Noah Vedral pass complete to Matt Alaimo for 17 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST down - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 3.24 5.0% 1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 59

Started Drive at: RUTG 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - -2.06 = 3.24

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.06)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.0%

Win Probability (After): 6.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:00 ESPN team id 164 (1st & 10 at RUTG 41) Aaron Young run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 48 - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 0.61 5.8% 0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 52

Started Drive at: RUTG 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 1.24 = 0.61

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.76)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.8%

Win Probability (After): 6.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:00 ESPN team id 164 (2nd & 3 at RUTG 48) Gavin Wimsatt run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 43 - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 -2.09 6.6% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 57

Started Drive at: RUTG 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.11 - 1.99 = -2.09

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.01)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.6%

Win Probability (After): 5.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:30 ESPN team id 164 (3rd & 8 at RUTG 43) Noah Vedral pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 21 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST down - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 3.09 5.5% 2.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 36

Started Drive at: RUTG 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.08 - -0.01 = 3.09

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.01)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.5%

Win Probability (After): 7.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:01 ESPN team id 164 (1st & 10 at WAKE 36) Johnny Langan run for 9 yds to the WFrst 27 - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 0.96 7.4% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 27

Started Drive at: RUTG 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.94 - 2.98 = 0.96

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.02)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.4%

Win Probability (After): 7.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:15 ESPN team id 164 (2nd & 1 at WAKE 27) Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the WFrst 24 for a 1ST down - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 -0.14 8.8% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 24

Started Drive at: RUTG 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.84 - 3.98 = -0.14

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.02)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.8%

Win Probability (After): 7.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:34 ESPN team id 164 (1st & 10 at WAKE 24) Johnny Langan run for 2 yds to the WFrst 22 - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 -0.15 8.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 22

Started Drive at: RUTG 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.70 - 3.85 = -0.15

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.15)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.9%

Win Probability (After): 9.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:53 ESPN team id 164 (2nd & 8 at WAKE 22) Noah Vedral pass incomplete - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 -0.73 9.4% -1.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 22

Started Drive at: RUTG 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.96 - 3.69 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.31)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.4%

Win Probability (After): 8.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:45 ESPN team id 164 (3rd & 8 at WAKE 22) Noah Vedral pass complete to Joshua Youngblood for 10 yds to the WFrst 12 for a 1ST down - WAKE 7, RUTG 0 1.85 8.3% 2.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 12

Started Drive at: RUTG 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.83 - 2.97 = 1.85

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.03)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 0

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.3%

Win Probability (After): 10.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:11 ESPN team id 164 (1st & 10 at WAKE 12) Aaron Young run for 12 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) - WAKE 7, RUTG 7 2.14 13.2% 1.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 99

Started Drive at: RUTG 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.86 = 2.14

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.14)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.2%

Win Probability (After): 14.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:11 ESPN team id 154 (Kickoff at WAKE 35) Guy Fava kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WAKE 7, RUTG 7 0.00 85.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 1.07 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.9%

Win Probability (After): 85.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:03 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 25) Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds to the WFrst 28 - WAKE 7, RUTG 7 -0.46 85.8% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.61 - 1.07 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.8%

Win Probability (After): 85.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:47 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 7 at WAKE 28) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 7, RUTG 7 -1.07 81.9% 1.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.46 - 0.61 = -1.07

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.61)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.9%

Win Probability (After): 83.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:35 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 7 at WAKE 28) Sam Hartman run for 9 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST down - WAKE 7, RUTG 7 2.45 82.0% 1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 63

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - -0.46 = 2.45

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.46)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.0%

Win Probability (After): 83.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:14 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 37) Sam Hartman pass complete to Blake Whiteheart for 9 yds to the WFrst 46 - WAKE 7, RUTG 7 0.98 85.0% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 54

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.96 - 1.99 = 0.98

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.99)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.0%

Win Probability (After): 85.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:52 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 1 at WAKE 46) Christian Beal-Smith run for 16 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST down - WAKE 7, RUTG 7 0.67 85.4% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 38

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.62 - 2.95 = 0.67

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.95)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.4%

Win Probability (After): 86.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:31 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at RUTG 38) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 7, RUTG 7 -0.62 85.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 38

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.98 - 3.60 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.60)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.8%

Win Probability (After): 85.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:25 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 10 at RUTG 38) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 10 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST down - WAKE 7, RUTG 7 1.32 86.4% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 28

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.30 - 2.98 = 1.32

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.98)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.4%

Win Probability (After): 86.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:10 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at RUTG 28) Sam Hartman run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 25 - WAKE 7, RUTG 7 -0.37 87.8% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 25

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.94 - 4.31 = -0.37

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.31)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.8%

Win Probability (After): 87.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:00 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 7 at RUTG 25) Christian Beal-Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 29 - WAKE 7, RUTG 7 -1.59 87.6% -1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 29

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.35 - 3.94 = -1.59

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.94)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 7, RUTG 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.6%

Win Probability (After): 85.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:16 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 11 at RUTG 29) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 29 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 4.64 85.7% 7.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.36 = 4.64

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.36)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.7%

Win Probability (After): 92.9%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:16 ESPN team id 164 (Kickoff at RUTG 35) Ivan Mora kickoff for 59 yds , Joshua Youngblood return for 17 yds to the Rutgr 23 - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 -1.17 8.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 77

Started Drive at: RUTG 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.19 - -0.02 = -1.17

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.02)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.1%

Win Probability (After): 8.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:02 ESPN team id 164 (1st & 10 at RUTG 23) Aaron Young run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 29 - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 0.09 7.9% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 71

Started Drive at: RUTG 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.14 - 0.04 = 0.09

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.96)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.9%

Win Probability (After): 8.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:25 ESPN team id 164 (2nd & 4 at RUTG 29) Noah Vedral run for no gain to the Rutgr 29 - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 -0.89 8.5% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71

Started Drive at: RUTG 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.60 - 0.29 = -0.89

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.71)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.5%

Win Probability (After): 7.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:30 ESPN team id 164 (3rd & 4 at RUTG 29) Langan, Johnny rush for loss of 4 yards to the RUTGERS25, PENALTY WAKEFOREST face mask (Fox, Miles) 15 yards to the RUTGERS44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN RUTGERS. - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 2.24 8.8% 0.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 56

Started Drive at: RUTG 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - -0.56 = 2.24

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.56)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.8%

Win Probability (After): 9.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:10 ESPN team id 164 (1st & 10 at RUTG 44) Noah Vedral run for 16 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST down - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 1.21 10.9% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 40

Started Drive at: RUTG 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.90 - 1.69 = 1.21

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.31)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.9%

Win Probability (After): 11.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:55 ESPN team id 164 (1st & 10 at WAKE 40) Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the WFrst 37 - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 -0.49 10.4% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 37

Started Drive at: RUTG 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.41 - 2.90 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.10)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.4%

Win Probability (After): 10.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:05 ESPN team id 164 (2nd & 7 at WAKE 37) Isaiah Washington pass complete to Johnny Langan for 27 yds to the WFrst 10 for a 1ST down - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 2.49 10.9% 2.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 10

Started Drive at: RUTG 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.91 - 2.43 = 2.49

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.57)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.9%

Win Probability (After): 13.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:20 ESPN team id 164 (1st & Goal at WAKE 10) Aaron Young run for 1 yd to the WFrst 9 - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 -0.49 14.9% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 9

Started Drive at: RUTG 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.44 - 4.93 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.07)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.9%

Win Probability (After): 13.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:51 ESPN team id 164 (2nd & Goal at WAKE 9) Noah Vedral pass incomplete - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 -0.83 15.3% -2.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9

Started Drive at: RUTG 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.63 - 4.47 = -0.83

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.53)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.3%

Win Probability (After): 12.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:40 ESPN team id 164 (3rd & Goal at WAKE 9) Noah Vedral sacked by Jasheen Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 11 - WAKE 14, RUTG 7 -1.18 13.3% -1.5%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 11

Started Drive at: RUTG 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.45 - 3.63 = -1.18

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.37)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.3%

Win Probability (After): 11.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:02 ESPN team id 164 (4th & Goal at WAKE 11) Valentino Ambrosio 28 yd FG GOOD - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 0.70 10.8% 4.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11

Started Drive at: RUTG 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.30 = 0.70

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.70)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.8%

Win Probability (After): 15.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 12:02 ESPN team id 154 (Kickoff at WAKE 35) Guy Fava kickoff for 63 yds , Taylor Morin return for 14 yds to the WFrst 16 - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 -1.39 87.8% -0.8%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 84

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.21 - 1.60 = -1.39

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.60)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.8%

Win Probability (After): 87.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:49 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 16) RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Mike Tverdov) to the WFrst 21 - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 0.63 88.0% -0.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 79

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 1.23 = 0.63

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.23)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.0%

Win Probability (After): 87.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:20 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 5 at WAKE 21) Christian Turner run for 10 yds to the WFrst 31 for a 1ST down - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 0.32 88.4% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 69

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 1.81 = 0.32

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.81)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.4%

Win Probability (After): 88.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:00 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 31) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 8 yds to the WFrst 39 - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 0.57 89.2% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 61

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.65 - 2.08 = 0.57

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.08)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.2%

Win Probability (After): 89.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:45 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 2 at WAKE 39) Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the WFrst 41 for a 1ST down - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 -0.03 88.5% 1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 59

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.57 - 2.61 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.61)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.5%

Win Probability (After): 90.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:30 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 41) Sam Hartman pass complete to Donald Stewart for 27 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST down - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 1.49 89.1% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 32

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.08 - 2.58 = 1.49

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.58)

Score Difference (End): 4 (8.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.1%

Win Probability (After): 89.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:52 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at RUTG 32) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 -0.46 90.4% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.54 - 4.00 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.00)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.4%

Win Probability (After): 90.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:35 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 10 at RUTG 32) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 14 yds to the Rutgr 18 for a 1ST down - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 1.30 90.4% 1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 18

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.80 - 3.50 = 1.30

Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.50)

Score Difference (End): 4 (8.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.4%

Win Probability (After): 91.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:23 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at RUTG 18) Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 14 - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 -0.13 91.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 14

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.68 - 4.81 = -0.13

Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.81)

Score Difference (End): 4 (8.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.5%

Win Probability (After): 91.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:08 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 6 at RUTG 14) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 -0.76 90.5% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.91 - 4.67 = -0.76

Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.67)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.5%

Win Probability (After): 90.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:01 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 6 at RUTG 14) Sam Hartman sacked by Drew Singleton for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 19 - WAKE 14, RUTG 10 -1.62 90.3% -2.3%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 19

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 3.91 = -1.62

Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.91)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 14, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.3%

Win Probability (After): 88.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:21 ESPN team id 154 (4th & 11 at RUTG 19) Nick Sciba 37 yd FG GOOD - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 0.77 87.9% 4.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19

Started Drive at: WAKE 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.23 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.23)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.9%

Win Probability (After): 92.0%

Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 8:21 ESPN team id 164 (Kickoff at RUTG 35) Ivan Mora kickoff for 59 yds , Joshua Youngblood return for 25 yds to the Rutgr 31 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 -0.45 8.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 69

Started Drive at: RUTG 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - 0.44 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.56)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.7%

Win Probability (After): 8.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:07 ESPN team id 164 (1st & 10 at RUTG 31) Evan Simon pass incomplete - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 -0.73 8.8% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69

Started Drive at: RUTG 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.35 - 1.08 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.92)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.8%

Win Probability (After): 8.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:03 ESPN team id 164 (2nd & 10 at RUTG 31) Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 -0.81 8.6% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69

Started Drive at: RUTG 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.41 - 0.40 = -0.81

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.60)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.6%

Win Probability (After): 7.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:55 ESPN team id 164 (3rd & 10 at RUTG 31) Noah Vedral pass complete to Joshua Youngblood for 15 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST down - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 2.49 7.9% 1.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 54

Started Drive at: RUTG 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.05 - -0.43 = 2.49

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.43)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.9%

Win Probability (After): 9.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:18 ESPN team id 164 (1st & 10 at RUTG 46) Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 -0.61 9.3% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 54

Started Drive at: RUTG 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.55 - 2.17 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.83)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.3%

Win Probability (After): 9.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:06 ESPN team id 164 (2nd & 10 at RUTG 46) Noah Vedral run for 7 yds to the WFrst 47 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 0.18 9.8% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 47

Started Drive at: RUTG 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.86 - 1.67 = 0.18

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.33)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.8%

Win Probability (After): 8.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:02 ESPN team id 164 (3rd & 3 at WAKE 47) Noah Vedral pass complete to Johnny Langan for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 -2.17 9.9% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 50

Started Drive at: RUTG 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.33 - 1.84 = -2.17

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.16)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.9%

Win Probability (After): 8.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:09 ESPN team id 164 (4th & 6 at 50) Adam Korsak punt for 44 yds, downed at the WFrst 6 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 -0.20 9.2% -0.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 94

Started Drive at: RUTG 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.56 - -0.36 = -0.20

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.36)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.56)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.2%

Win Probability (After): 8.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 6:05 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 6) Christian Beal-Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 2 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 -1.07 90.8% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 98

Started Drive at: WAKE 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.75 - 0.32 = -1.07

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.32)

Score Difference (End): 7 (6.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.8%

Win Probability (After): 89.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:41 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 14 at WAKE 2) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 -0.74 90.3% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 98

Started Drive at: WAKE 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.64 - -0.90 = -0.74

Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.10)

Score Difference (End): 7 (5.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.3%

Win Probability (After): 88.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:35 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 14 at WAKE 2) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 -0.86 89.3% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 98

Started Drive at: WAKE 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.38 - -1.52 = -0.86

Score Difference (Before): 7 (5.48)

Score Difference (End): 7 (4.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.3%

Win Probability (After): 88.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:23 ESPN team id 154 (4th & 14 at WAKE 2) Ivan Mora punt for 52 yds, downed at the Rutgr 46 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 0.31 89.4% -1.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 54

Started Drive at: WAKE 6

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.94 - -2.25 = 0.31

Score Difference (Before): 7 (4.75)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.06)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.4%

Win Probability (After): 88.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 5:20 ESPN team id 164 (1st & 10 at RUTG 46) Noah Vedral run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 48 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 -0.39 11.0% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 52

Started Drive at: RUTG 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - 2.07 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.93)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.0%

Win Probability (After): 10.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:31 ESPN team id 164 (2nd & 8 at RUTG 48) Noah Vedral pass complete to Johnny Langan for 18 yds to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST down - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 1.65 11.1% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 34

Started Drive at: RUTG 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 1.68 = 1.65

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.32)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.1%

Win Probability (After): 12.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:59 ESPN team id 164 (1st & 10 at WAKE 34) Johnny Langan pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 10 yds to the WFrst 24 for a 1ST down - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 0.72 12.8% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 24

Started Drive at: RUTG 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.93 - 3.22 = 0.72

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.78)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.8%

Win Probability (After): 13.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:22 ESPN team id 164 (1st & 10 at WAKE 24) Aaron Young run for 8 yds to the WFrst 16 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 1.06 14.0% 2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 16

Started Drive at: RUTG 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.81 - 3.76 = 1.06

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.24)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.0%

Win Probability (After): 16.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:35 ESPN team id 164 (2nd & 2 at WAKE 16) Noah Vedral run for 4 yds to the WFrst 12 for a 1ST down - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 0.21 15.0% 1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 12

Started Drive at: RUTG 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.81 - 4.61 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.39)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.0%

Win Probability (After): 16.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:01 ESPN team id 164 (1st & 10 at WAKE 12) Aaron Young run for no gain to the WFrst 12 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 -0.40 15.9% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12

Started Drive at: RUTG 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.21 - 4.61 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.39)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.9%

Win Probability (After): 14.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:58 ESPN team id 164 (2nd & 10 at WAKE 12) Timeout WAKE FOREST, clock 01:58 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 0.00 15.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12

Started Drive at: RUTG 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.21 - 4.21 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.79)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.1%

Win Probability (After): 15.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:51 ESPN team id 164 (2nd & 10 at WAKE 12) Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 5 yds to the WFrst 7 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 -0.01 17.0% -1.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 7

Started Drive at: RUTG 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.98 - 4.00 = -0.01

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.00)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.0%

Win Probability (After): 15.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:50 ESPN team id 164 (3rd & 5 at WAKE 7) Timeout WAKE FOREST, clock 01:50 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 0.00 16.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7

Started Drive at: RUTG 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.98 - 3.98 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.02)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.4%

Win Probability (After): 16.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:42 ESPN team id 164 (3rd & 5 at WAKE 7) Noah Vedral pass intercepted Gavin Holmes return for 2 yds to the WFrst 2 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 -4.02 15.7% -5.8%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 98

Started Drive at: RUTG 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.10 - 3.92 = -4.02

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.08)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.10)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.7%

Win Probability (After): 9.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:40 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 2) RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kessawn Abraham) to the WFrst 17 for a 1ST down - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 0.64 90.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 83

Started Drive at: WAKE 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.66 - 0.02 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.02)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.0%

Win Probability (After): 89.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:29 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 17) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 -0.10 90.0% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 83

Started Drive at: WAKE 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.31 - 0.40 = -0.10

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.40)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.0%

Win Probability (After): 89.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:25 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 10 at WAKE 17) Justice Ellison run for 18 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST down - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 0.92 89.7% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 65

Started Drive at: WAKE 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - 0.27 = 0.92

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.27)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.7%

Win Probability (After): 91.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:18 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 35) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 -0.31 91.0% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: WAKE 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.97 - 1.27 = -0.31

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.27)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.0%

Win Probability (After): 90.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:14 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 10 at WAKE 35) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 9 yds to the WFrst 44 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 0.13 90.7% 0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 56

Started Drive at: WAKE 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.20 - 1.07 = 0.13

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.07)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.7%

Win Probability (After): 91.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:08 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 1 at WAKE 44) Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST down - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 0.36 91.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 55

Started Drive at: WAKE 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.58 - 1.21 = 0.36

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.21)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.7%

Win Probability (After): 91.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:56 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 45) Sam Hartman pass complete to Blake Whiteheart for 26 yds to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST down - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 1.78 91.9% 2.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 29

Started Drive at: WAKE 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 1.28 = 1.78

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.28)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.9%

Win Probability (After): 94.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:50 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at RUTG 29) RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kessawn Abraham) to the Rutgr 20 for a 1ST down - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 0.53 94.2% 0.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 20

Started Drive at: WAKE 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.57 - 3.04 = 0.53

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.04)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.2%

Win Probability (After): 95.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:48 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at RUTG 20) WAKE FOREST Penalty, False Start (A.T. Perry) to the Rutgr 25 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 -0.76 95.1% -1.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 25

Started Drive at: WAKE 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.83 - 3.59 = -0.76

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.59)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.1%

Win Probability (After): 93.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:45 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 15 at RUTG 25) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 -0.42 93.8% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25

Started Drive at: WAKE 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.38 - 2.80 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.80)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.8%

Win Probability (After): 92.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:42 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 15 at RUTG 25) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 -0.28 92.9% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25

Started Drive at: WAKE 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.10 - 2.37 = -0.28

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.37)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.9%

Win Probability (After): 92.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:36 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 15 at RUTG 25) Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 14 yds to the Rutgr 11 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 0.78 92.6% 1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 11

Started Drive at: WAKE 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.96 - 2.18 = 0.78

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.18)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.6%

Win Probability (After): 94.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:02 ESPN team id 154 (4th & 1 at RUTG 11) Timeout WAKE FOREST, clock 00:02 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 0.00 94.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11

Started Drive at: WAKE 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.96 - 2.96 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.96)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.6%

Win Probability (After): 94.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:02 ESPN team id 154 (4th & 1 at RUTG 11) Timeout RUTGERS, clock 00:02 - WAKE 17, RUTG 10 0.00 94.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11

Started Drive at: WAKE 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.96 - 2.96 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.96)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 17, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.7%

Win Probability (After): 94.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 154 (4th & 1 at RUTG 11) Nick Sciba 29 yd FG GOOD - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 0.96 94.3% 2.7%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11

Started Drive at: WAKE 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.04 = 0.96

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.04)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.3%

Win Probability (After): 97.0%

Away Score: 17 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 164 (Kickoff at RUTG 35) Ivan Mora kickoff for 60 yds , Joshua Youngblood return for 19 yds to the Rutgr 24 - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 -1.16 5.8% -0.3%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 76

Started Drive at: RUTG 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.22 - -0.06 = -1.16

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.06)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-11.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.8%

Win Probability (After): 5.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:56 ESPN team id 164 (1st & 10 at RUTG 24) Aaron Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 23 - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 -0.87 5.8% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 77

Started Drive at: RUTG 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.10 - -0.22 = -0.87

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.22)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-11.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.8%

Win Probability (After): 5.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:24 ESPN team id 164 (2nd & 11 at RUTG 23) Gavin Wimsatt pass intercepted Zion Keith return for no gain to the WFrst 36 - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 -1.52 5.3% -1.5%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 64

Started Drive at: RUTG 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.61 - -1.09 = -1.52

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-11.09)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.61)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.3%

Win Probability (After): 3.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:20 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 36) Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd to the WFrst 37 - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 -0.57 95.4% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 63

Started Drive at: WAKE 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.11 - 2.68 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.68)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.4%

Win Probability (After): 95.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:00 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 9 at WAKE 37) Sam Hartman sacked by Mohamed Toure for a loss of 7 yards to the WFrst 30 - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 -1.80 95.8% -1.3%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 70

Started Drive at: WAKE 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.34 - 2.13 = -1.80

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.13)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.8%

Win Probability (After): 94.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:41 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 16 at WAKE 30) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 -0.90 95.4% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 70

Started Drive at: WAKE 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.60 - 0.31 = -0.90

Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.31)

Score Difference (End): 10 (9.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.4%

Win Probability (After): 94.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:34 ESPN team id 154 (4th & 16 at WAKE 30) Ivan Mora punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Joshua Youngblood at the Rutgr 24 - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 0.76 94.8% -0.4%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 76

Started Drive at: WAKE 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.14 - -0.62 = 0.76

Score Difference (Before): 10 (9.38)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.14)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.8%

Win Probability (After): 94.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 13:26 ESPN team id 164 (1st & 10 at RUTG 24) Johnny Langan pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 11 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST down - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 1.14 5.6% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 65

Started Drive at: RUTG 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.00 - -0.14 = 1.14

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.14)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.6%

Win Probability (After): 6.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:45 ESPN team id 164 (1st & 10 at RUTG 35) Johnny Langan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 33 - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 -1.32 5.8% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 67

Started Drive at: RUTG 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.29 - 1.03 = -1.32

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.97)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.8%

Win Probability (After): 5.3%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:07 ESPN team id 164 (2nd & 12 at RUTG 33) Noah Vedral pass complete to Christian Dremel for 4 yds to the Rutgr 37 - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 -0.01 5.5% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 63

Started Drive at: RUTG 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.35 - -0.34 = -0.01

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.34)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.5%

Win Probability (After): 5.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:20 ESPN team id 164 (3rd & 8 at RUTG 37) Noah Vedral sacked by Dion Bergan Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the Rutgr 27 - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 -2.37 6.2% -1.9%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 73

Started Drive at: RUTG 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.87 - -0.50 = -2.37

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.50)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-12.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.2%

Win Probability (After): 4.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:34 ESPN team id 164 (4th & 18 at RUTG 27) Adam Korsak punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 33 - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 0.30 4.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 67

Started Drive at: RUTG 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.43 - -2.73 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-12.73)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.43)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.6%

Win Probability (After): 4.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 10:34 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 33) RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Cam'Ron Stewart) to the WFrst 38 - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 0.71 95.2% 0.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 62

Started Drive at: WAKE 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.22 - 2.51 = 0.71

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.51)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.2%

Win Probability (After): 96.0%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:28 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 5 at WAKE 38) Justice Ellison run for 6 yds to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST down - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 -0.12 96.3% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 56

Started Drive at: WAKE 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.12 - 3.23 = -0.12

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.23)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.3%

Win Probability (After): 95.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:00 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 44) Sam Hartman sacked by Naijee Jones for a loss of 14 yards to the WFrst 30 Sam Hartman fumbled, forced by Naijee Jones, recovered by WFrst Justice Ellison , return for 0 yards - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 -1.69 95.3% 0.2%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 70

Started Drive at: WAKE 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.41 - 3.10 = -1.69

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.10)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.3%

Win Probability (After): 95.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:30 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 24 at WAKE 30) Sam Hartman pass complete to Justice Ellison for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 28 - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 -1.08 94.4% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 72

Started Drive at: WAKE 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.23 - 1.31 = -1.08

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.31)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.4%

Win Probability (After): 93.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:50 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 26 at WAKE 28) Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 28 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST down - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 3.60 92.5% 3.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 44

Started Drive at: WAKE 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.67 - 0.07 = 3.60

Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.07)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.5%

Win Probability (After): 96.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:24 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at RUTG 44) Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 42 - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 -0.57 95.8% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 42

Started Drive at: WAKE 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.04 - 3.62 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.62)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.8%

Win Probability (After): 94.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:08 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 8 at RUTG 42) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 -0.98 95.5% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: WAKE 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.05 - 3.03 = -0.98

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.03)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.5%

Win Probability (After): 94.8%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:59 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 8 at RUTG 42) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 21 yds to the Rutgr 21 for a 1ST down - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 2.82 94.6% 1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 21

Started Drive at: WAKE 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.85 - 2.03 = 2.82

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.03)

Score Difference (End): 10 (14.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.6%

Win Probability (After): 96.4%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:42 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at RUTG 21) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 -0.55 96.1% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21

Started Drive at: WAKE 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.26 - 4.81 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): 10 (14.81)

Score Difference (End): 10 (14.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.1%

Win Probability (After): 96.2%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:33 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 10 at RUTG 21) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 14 yds to the Rutgr 7 for a 1ST down - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 1.43 95.9% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 7

Started Drive at: WAKE 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.67 - 4.24 = 1.43

Score Difference (Before): 10 (14.24)

Score Difference (End): 10 (15.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.9%

Win Probability (After): 96.7%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:10 ESPN team id 154 (1st & Goal at RUTG 7) Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 5 - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 -0.27 96.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 5

Started Drive at: WAKE 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.45 - 5.73 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): 10 (15.73)

Score Difference (End): 10 (15.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.7%

Win Probability (After): 96.5%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:47 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & Goal at RUTG 5) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 -1.04 96.6% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5

Started Drive at: WAKE 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.45 - 5.49 = -1.04

Score Difference (Before): 10 (15.49)

Score Difference (End): 10 (14.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.6%

Win Probability (After): 96.1%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:41 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & Goal at RUTG 5) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 20, RUTG 10 -1.53 96.1% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5

Started Drive at: WAKE 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.91 - 4.44 = -1.53

Score Difference (Before): 10 (14.44)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 20, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.1%

Win Probability (After): 95.6%

Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:37 ESPN team id 154 (4th & Goal at RUTG 5) Nick Sciba 23 yd FG GOOD - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 0.09 95.7% 1.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5

Started Drive at: WAKE 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.91 = 0.09

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.91)

Score Difference (End): 13 (13.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 57 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.7%

Win Probability (After): 97.0%

Away Score: 20 (23) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:37 ESPN team id 164 (Kickoff at RUTG 35) Ivan Mora kickoff for 64 yds , Joshua Youngblood return for 22 yds to the Rutgr 23 Joshua Youngblood fumbled, forced by J.J. Roberts, recovered by Rutgr Tyreem Powell - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 -1.14 4.0% -0.4%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 77

Started Drive at: RUTG 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.07 - 0.08 = -1.14

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.92)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-14.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.0%

Win Probability (After): 3.6%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:05 ESPN team id 164 (1st & 10 at RUTG 23) Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Jamier Wright-Collins for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 21 - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 -1.09 4.0% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 79

Started Drive at: RUTG 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.12 - -0.03 = -1.09

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-13.03)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-14.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.0%

Win Probability (After): 3.4%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:00 ESPN team id 164 (2nd & 12 at RUTG 21) Gavin Wimsatt run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 25 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, Personal Foul (Ryan Smenda Jr.) to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST down - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 2.49 3.4% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 60

Started Drive at: RUTG 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.36 - -1.13 = 2.49

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-14.12)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-11.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.4%

Win Probability (After): 4.3%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:20 ESPN team id 164 (1st & 10 at RUTG 40) Jamier Wright-Collins run for no gain to the Rutgr 40 - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 -0.54 4.8% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60

Started Drive at: RUTG 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.77 - 1.31 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-11.69)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-12.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.8%

Win Probability (After): 4.1%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:35 ESPN team id 164 (2nd & 10 at RUTG 40) Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 6 yds to the Rutgr 46 - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 0.15 4.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 54

Started Drive at: RUTG 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.87 - 0.72 = 0.15

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.28)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-12.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.7%

Win Probability (After): 4.7%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:55 ESPN team id 164 (3rd & 4 at RUTG 46) Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 10 yds to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST down - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 1.67 4.3% 1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 44

Started Drive at: RUTG 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.53 - 0.86 = 1.67

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.14)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-10.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.3%

Win Probability (After): 5.4%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:15 ESPN team id 164 (1st & 10 at WAKE 44) Johnny Langan run for 5 yds to the WFrst 39 - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 0.17 5.7% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 39

Started Drive at: RUTG 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.68 - 2.51 = 0.17

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-10.49)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-10.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.7%

Win Probability (After): 5.3%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:27 ESPN team id 164 (2nd & 5 at WAKE 39) Noah Vedral sacked by Rondell Bothroyd for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 43 - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 -1.72 6.0% -1.3%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 43

Started Drive at: RUTG 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.96 - 2.68 = -1.72

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-10.32)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-12.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.0%

Win Probability (After): 4.6%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:46 ESPN team id 164 (3rd & 9 at WAKE 43) Noah Vedral run for 5 yds to the WFrst 38 - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 -0.81 4.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 38

Started Drive at: RUTG 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - 1.02 = -0.81

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-11.98)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-12.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.3%

Win Probability (After): 4.3%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:54 ESPN team id 164 (4th & 4 at WAKE 38) Noah Vedral pass incomplete - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 -3.17 4.3% -1.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 62

Started Drive at: RUTG 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.77 - 0.40 = -3.17

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.60)

Score Difference (End): 13 (15.77)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.3%

Win Probability (After): 2.6%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 0:13 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 38) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 8 yds to the WFrst 46 - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 0.55 96.9% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 54

Started Drive at: WAKE 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.32 - 2.77 = 0.55

Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.77)

Score Difference (End): 13 (16.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.9%

Win Probability (After): 97.2%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:55 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 2 at WAKE 46) Justice Ellison run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 45 - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 -1.08 97.1% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 55

Started Drive at: WAKE 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.23 - 3.31 = -1.08

Score Difference (Before): 13 (16.31)

Score Difference (End): 13 (15.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.1%

Win Probability (After): 96.7%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:30 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 3 at WAKE 45) Sam Hartman run for 35 yds to the Rutgr 20 for a 1ST down - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 2.58 96.8% 1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 20

Started Drive at: WAKE 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.84 - 2.27 = 2.58

Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.27)

Score Difference (End): 13 (17.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.8%

Win Probability (After): 97.9%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:05 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at RUTG 20) Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 18 yds to the Rutgr 2 for a 1ST down - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 1.56 98.0% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 2

Started Drive at: WAKE 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.35 - 4.79 = 1.56

Score Difference (Before): 13 (17.79)

Score Difference (End): 13 (19.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.0%

Win Probability (After): 98.3%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:30 ESPN team id 154 (1st & Goal at RUTG 2) Justice Ellison run for no gain to the Rutgr 2 - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 -0.32 98.6% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 2

Started Drive at: WAKE 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.03 - 6.35 = -0.32

Score Difference (Before): 13 (19.35)

Score Difference (End): 13 (19.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.6%

Win Probability (After): 98.4%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:05 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & Goal at RUTG 2) Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 1 - WAKE 23, RUTG 10 -0.04 98.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 1

Started Drive at: WAKE 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.99 - 6.03 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): 13 (19.03)

Score Difference (End): 13 (18.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 23, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 98.4%

Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:24 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & Goal at RUTG 1) Sam Hartman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 1 yd for a TD, (Sam Hartman pass to A.T. Perry for Two-Point Conversion) - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 2.04 98.6% 1.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 38

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 5.96 = 2.04

Score Difference (Before): 13 (18.96)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 23 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:24 ESPN team id 164 (Kickoff at RUTG 35) Ivan Mora kickoff for 63 yds , Joshua Youngblood return for 27 yds to the Rutgr 29 - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 -0.79 0.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 71

Started Drive at: RUTG 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.00 - -1.20 = -0.79

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-22.20)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-23.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:04 ESPN team id 164 (1st & 10 at RUTG 29) Gavin Wimsatt run for 32 yds to the WFrst 39 for a 1ST down - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 2.71 0.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 39

Started Drive at: RUTG 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - -0.73 = 2.71

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.73)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-19.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:49 ESPN team id 164 (1st & 10 at WAKE 39) Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 -0.72 0.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39

Started Drive at: RUTG 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.30 - 2.02 = -0.72

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-18.98)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-19.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:30 ESPN team id 164 (2nd & 10 at WAKE 39) Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Jamier Wright-Collins for 5 yds to the WFrst 34 - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 -0.23 0.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 34

Started Drive at: RUTG 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.13 - 1.36 = -0.23

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-19.64)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-19.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:21 ESPN team id 164 (3rd & 5 at WAKE 34) Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 -1.87 0.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34

Started Drive at: RUTG 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.71 - 1.16 = -1.87

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-19.84)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:14 ESPN team id 164 (4th & 5 at WAKE 34) Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 3 yds to the WFrst 31 - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 -3.05 0.5% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 69

Started Drive at: RUTG 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.53 - -0.49 = -3.05

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.49)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.53)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 11:10 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 31) Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the WFrst 32 - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 -0.62 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 68

Started Drive at: WAKE 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - 3.47 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.47)

Score Difference (End): 21 (23.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:25 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 9 at WAKE 32) Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 10 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST down - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 0.92 99.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 58

Started Drive at: WAKE 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.84 - 2.92 = 0.92

Score Difference (Before): 21 (23.92)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:32 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 42) Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the WFrst 46 - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 -0.21 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 54

Started Drive at: WAKE 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.53 - 3.74 = -0.21

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.74)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:46 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 6 at WAKE 46) Christian Turner run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST down - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 1.47 99.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 42

Started Drive at: WAKE 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.41 - 2.94 = 1.47

Score Difference (Before): 21 (23.94)

Score Difference (End): 21 (25.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:09 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at RUTG 42) Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 40 - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 -0.38 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 40

Started Drive at: WAKE 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.64 - 4.02 = -0.38

Score Difference (Before): 21 (25.02)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:22 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 8 at RUTG 40) Sam Hartman pass incomplete - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 -0.93 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40

Started Drive at: WAKE 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.71 - 3.64 = -0.93

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.64)

Score Difference (End): 21 (23.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:18 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 8 at RUTG 40) Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 36 - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 -1.10 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 36

Started Drive at: WAKE 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.73 - 2.83 = -1.10

Score Difference (Before): 21 (23.83)

Score Difference (End): 21 (22.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:35 ESPN team id 154 (4th & 4 at RUTG 36) Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 6 yds to the Rutgr 30 for a 1ST down - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 2.99 99.8% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 30

Started Drive at: WAKE 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.66 - 1.67 = 2.99

Score Difference (Before): 21 (22.67)

Score Difference (End): 21 (25.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 6:05 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at RUTG 30) Quinton Cooley run for no gain to the Rutgr 30 - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 -0.40 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30

Started Drive at: WAKE 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.12 - 4.52 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): 21 (25.52)

Score Difference (End): 21 (25.12)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:05 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 10 at RUTG 30) Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 27 - WAKE 31, RUTG 10 -0.51 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 27

Started Drive at: WAKE 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.35 - 3.86 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.86)

Score Difference (End): 21 (24.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 31, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:15 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 7 at RUTG 27) Justice Ellison run for 27 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 4.18 99.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 99

Started Drive at: WAKE 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.82 = 4.18

Score Difference (Before): 21 (23.82)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 31 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:15 ESPN team id 164 (Kickoff at RUTG 35) Nick Sciba kickoff for 47 yds , Avery Young return for 36 yds to the WFrst 46 - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 1.16 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 46

Started Drive at: WAKE 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.34 - 0.18 = 1.16

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-27.82)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-26.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:53 ESPN team id 164 (1st & 10 at WAKE 46) Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Jamier Wright-Collins for 2 yds to the WFrst 44 - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 -0.55 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 44

Started Drive at: WAKE 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.70 - 2.25 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-25.75)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-26.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:40 ESPN team id 164 (2nd & 8 at WAKE 44) Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 -0.67 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44

Started Drive at: WAKE 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.17 - 1.85 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-26.15)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-26.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:32 ESPN team id 164 (3rd & 8 at WAKE 44) Gavin Wimsatt run for 7 yds to the WFrst 37 - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 0.40 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 37

Started Drive at: WAKE 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.57 - 1.17 = 0.40

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-26.83)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-26.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:06 ESPN team id 164 (4th & 1 at WAKE 37) Jamier Wright-Collins run for 2 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST down - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 1.42 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 35

Started Drive at: WAKE 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.92 - 1.50 = 1.42

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-26.50)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-25.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 2:52 ESPN team id 164 (1st & 10 at WAKE 35) Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 -0.42 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35

Started Drive at: WAKE 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.37 - 2.79 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-25.21)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-25.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:44 ESPN team id 164 (2nd & 10 at WAKE 35) Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 6 yds to the WFrst 29 - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 0.33 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 29

Started Drive at: WAKE 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - 2.27 = 0.33

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-25.73)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-25.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:25 ESPN team id 164 (3rd & 4 at WAKE 29) Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 -1.38 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 29

Started Drive at: WAKE 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.14 - 2.52 = -1.38

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-25.48)

Score Difference (End): -28 (-26.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:19 ESPN team id 164 (4th & 4 at WAKE 29) Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 -2.68 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 71

Started Drive at: WAKE 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.54 - 1.14 = -2.68

Score Difference (Before): -28 (-26.86)

Score Difference (End): 28 (29.54)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 2:15 ESPN team id 154 (1st & 10 at WAKE 29) Quinton Cooley run for 2 yds to the WFrst 31 - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 -0.44 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 69

Started Drive at: WAKE 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.17 - 1.61 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): 28 (29.61)

Score Difference (End): 28 (29.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:34 ESPN team id 154 (2nd & 8 at WAKE 31) Quinton Cooley run for 2 yds to the WFrst 33 - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 -0.10 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 67

Started Drive at: WAKE 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.80 - 0.90 = -0.10

Score Difference (Before): 28 (28.90)

Score Difference (End): 28 (28.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:40 ESPN team id 154 (3rd & 6 at WAKE 33) Quinton Cooley run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 31 - WAKE 38, RUTG 10 -0.68 99.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 69

Started Drive at: WAKE 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.21 - 0.47 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): 28 (28.47)

Score Difference (End): 28 (27.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WAKE 38, RUTG 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3