Iowa 17 @ Kentucky 20

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 5.29 | Odds: UK -3, O/U 43.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 2294 ESPN team id 96
Total Plays 7085
Total EPA -1.460.49
  Offensive EPA -0.43-2.39
  Special Teams EPA -3.210.64
  Penalty EPA 2.193.91
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA -0.01-1.67
Production ESPN team id 2294 ESPN team id 96
Scrimmage Plays 6075
  Yards 387364
  Yards/Play 6.454.85
  EPA -0.43-2.39
  EPA/Play -0.01-0.03
Passes 30 (50%)34 (45%)
  Yards 211233
  Yards/Play 7.036.85
  EPA 0.441.47
  EPA/Play 0.010.04
Rushes 30 (50%)41 (55%)
  Yards 173159
  Yards/Play 5.773.88
  EPA -0.87-3.85
  EPA/Play -0.03-0.09
Rushing ESPN team id 2294 ESPN team id 96
Scrimmage Plays 6075
Rushes 30 (50%)41 (55%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 3 (10%)2 (5%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 0 (0%)1 (50%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 5 (17%)7 (17%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 10 (33%)18 (44%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 17 (57%)19 (46%)
OL Line Yards 57.181.9
  Per Carry 1.902.00
Highlight Yards 5325.5
  Per Rush Opportunity 3.121.34
Explosiveness ESPN team id 2294 ESPN team id 96
Total Plays 7085
Scrimmage Plays 6075
Explosive Plays 2 (3%)2 (3%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 1 (3%)2 (6%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 1 (3%)0 (0%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -7.48-11.16
  EPA/Play -0.13-0.15
  When Passing -2.97-7.31
    EPA/Play -0.10-0.21
  When Rushing -4.51-3.85
    EPA/Play -0.16-0.09
Situational ESPN team id 2294 ESPN team id 96
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 30 (50%)36 (48%)
  When Passing 15 (50%)16 (47%)
  When Rushing 15 (50%)20 (49%)
  On Standard Downs 24 (52%)30 (54%)
  On Passing Downs 6 (43%)6 (32%)
  On Early Downs 26 (54%)30 (51%)
  On Late Downs 4 (33%)6 (38%)
  During "Middle 8" 4 (50%)5 (38%)
Early Downs 4859
  First Downs Created 13 (27%)15 (25%)
  EPA 5.064.49
  EPA/Play 0.110.08
  Passes 23 (48%)26 (44%)
  Rushes 25 (52%)33 (56%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 12 (52%)13 (50%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 14 (56%)17 (52%)
"Middle 8" Plays 813
  EPA -3.54-4.66
  EPA/play -0.44-0.36
  Passes 6 (75%)4 (31%)
  Rushes 2 (25%)9 (69%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 3 (50%)1 (25%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 1 (50%)4 (44%)
Drives ESPN team id 2294 ESPN team id 96
Total 1111
Avg Starting Field Position Own 25Own 24
Plays/Drive 6.528.91
Yards/Drive 46.1049.03
Available Yards % 62%64%
Defensive ESPN team id 2294 ESPN team id 96
Scrimmage Plays 7560
Stop Rate 36%37%
Havoc Plays Created 12 (16%)5 (8%)
  Passing 7 (21%)3 (10%)
  Rushing 5 (12%)2 (7%)
TFLs Generated 112
  Passing 60
  Rushing 52
Sacks Generated 6 (18%)0 (0%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 13
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 2294 ESPN team id 96
Turnovers 42
  Fumbles 11
  Fumbles Lost 11
  Fumbles Recovered 00
  Interceptions 31
Turnover Margin -22
Expected Turnovers 1.71.2
Expected Turnover Margin -0.40.4
Turnover Luck (pts) -7.87.8
Special Teams ESPN team id 2294 ESPN team id 96
Total Plays 10 10
Total EPA -3.21 0.64
  Field Goal EPA 0.52 0.56
  Punting EPA -1.72 0.08
  Kickoff Return EPA -2.02 0
Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Spencer Petras 19/30, 211 yds, 1 TD, 3 INT, 0 Scks, 52.9 xQBR 7.03 0.01 0.44 50% 11.0%
Rush attempts
Arland Bruce IV 2 carries, 21 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.50 1.55 3.10 50% 15.0%
Gavin Williams 16 carries, 98 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.12 0.13 2.16 56% -1.0%
Ivory Kelly-Martin 1 carry, 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.00 0.47 0.47 100% 1.0%
Leshon Williams 10 carries, 42 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.20 -0.19 -1.88 40% -12.0%
Spencer Petras 1 carry, 0 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 0.00 -4.72 -4.72 0% -7.0%
Pass targets
Sam LaPorta 7 catches (9 targets), 122 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 17.43 0.71 6.39 67% 34.0%
Ivory Kelly-Martin 2 catches (2 targets), 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.50 1.21 2.42 100% 6.0%
Luke Lachey 2 catches (2 targets), 27 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 13.50 1.17 2.33 100% 10.0%
Gavin Williams 2 catches (2 targets), 14 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.00 0.29 0.58 100% 1.0%
Monte Pottebaum 1 catch (1 target), 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.09 -0.09 0% 0.0%
Jackson Ritter 1 catch (1 target), 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.00 -0.17 -0.17 0% 0.0%
Arland Bruce IV 4 catches (6 targets), 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 -0.22 -1.31 50% -1.0%
Nico Ragaini 0 catches (4 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.72 -2.86 0% -6.0%

Kentucky [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Will Levis 17/28, 233 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 6 Scks, 46.6 xQBR 6.85 0.04 1.47 47% 43.0%
Rush attempts
Chris Rodriguez Jr. 20 carries, 107 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.35 0.18 3.66 55% 25.0%
TEAM 2 carries, -3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -1.50 -0.07 -0.14 50% 10.0%
Will Levis 9 carries, 27 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.33 -2.94 56% -4.0%
JuTahn McClain 10 carries, 28 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 2.80 -0.44 -4.43 30% -16.0%
Pass targets
Wan'Dale Robinson 10 catches (13 targets), 170 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 17.00 0.85 11.03 77% 64.0%
DeMarcus Harris 2 catches (2 targets), 28 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.00 1.42 2.84 100% 7.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. 1 catch (1 target), 5 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 1.08 1.08 100% 11.0%
Justin Rigg 2 catches (2 targets), 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.50 0.25 0.50 50% 3.0%
Izayah Cummings 1 catch (3 targets), 13 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 13.00 -0.07 -0.20 33% 3.0%
Chauncey Magwood 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.35 -0.35 0% -2.0%
Brenden Bates 1 catch (2 targets), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 -0.31 -0.62 50% -5.0%
Chris Lewis 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.63 -0.63 0% -5.0%
JuTahn McClain 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.90 -0.90 0% -3.0%
Jacquez Jones 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.95 -0.95 0% -1.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q3 7:47 ESPN team id 2294 (4th & 1 at UK 11) Spencer Petras run for no gain to the Kent 11 - IOWA 3, UK 13 -4.72 21.0% -7.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 89

Started Drive at: IOWA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.16 - 3.57 = -4.72

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.43)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.16)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.0%

Win Probability (After): 13.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 1:55 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & 10 at UK 47) Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 52 yds to the Iowa 1 for a 1ST down - IOWA 17, UK 13 4.71 25.0% 45.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 1

Started Drive at: UK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.19 - 1.49 = 4.71

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.51)

Score Difference (End): -4 (2.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.0%

Win Probability (After): 70.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 7:13 ESPN team id 96 (4th & 1 at IOWA 35) JuTahn McClain run for no gain to the Iowa 35 - IOWA 17, UK 13 -4.20 41.6% -15.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 65

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.04 - 2.16 = -4.20

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.84)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.04)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.6%

Win Probability (After): 25.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 5:45 ESPN team id 96 (3rd & 26 at UK 46) Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 34 yds to the Iowa 20 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 7 4.07 65.4% 8.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 20

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.49 - 0.42 = 4.07

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.42)

Score Difference (End): 4 (8.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.4%

Win Probability (After): 74.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:21 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 5 at UK 20) Arland Bruce IV run for 20 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK) - IOWA 10, UK 13 3.63 18.6% 16.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.37 = 3.63

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.63)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 10, UK 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.6%

Win Probability (After): 34.8%

Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:09 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 11 at IOWA 24) Spencer Petras pass intercepted D'Eryk Jackson return for 3 yds to the Iowa 31 - IOWA 3, UK 10 -3.50 24.0% -5.9%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 31

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.08 - 0.42 = -3.50

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.58)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.08)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: IOWA 3, UK 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.0%

Win Probability (After): 18.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:54 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 3 at UK 36) Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 36 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK) - IOWA 17, UK 13 3.41 49.1% 18.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 99

Started Drive at: IOWA 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.59 = 3.41

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.59)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 92 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.1%

Win Probability (After): 67.2%

Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:48 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 5 at UK 40) Spencer Petras pass intercepted DeAndre Square return for no gain to the Kent 26 - IOWA 17, UK 20 -2.77 30.1% -21.7%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 74

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.78 - 1.99 = -2.77

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.01)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.78)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: IOWA 17, UK 20

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.1%

Win Probability (After): 8.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 3:18 ESPN team id 96 (3rd & Goal at IOWA 2) Will Levis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 3 - IOWA 3, UK 7 -2.39 74.5% -2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 3

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.92 - 5.31 = -2.39

Score Difference (Before): 4 (9.31)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 7

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.5%

Win Probability (After): 71.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:10 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 2 at IOWA 46) Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 34 yds to the Kent 20 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 13 2.26 18.7% 6.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 20

Started Drive at: IOWA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.29 - 2.03 = 2.26

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.97)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.7%

Win Probability (After): 24.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q4 1:55 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & 10 at UK 47) Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 52 yds to the Iowa 1 for a 1ST down - IOWA 17, UK 13 4.71 25.0% 45.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 1

Started Drive at: UK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.19 - 1.49 = 4.71

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.51)

Score Difference (End): -4 (2.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.0%

Win Probability (After): 70.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:48 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 5 at UK 40) Spencer Petras pass intercepted DeAndre Square return for no gain to the Kent 26 - IOWA 17, UK 20 -2.77 30.1% -21.7%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 74

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.78 - 1.99 = -2.77

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.01)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.78)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: IOWA 17, UK 20

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.1%

Win Probability (After): 8.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 10:54 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 3 at UK 36) Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 36 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK) - IOWA 17, UK 13 3.41 49.1% 18.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 99

Started Drive at: IOWA 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.59 = 3.41

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.59)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 92 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.1%

Win Probability (After): 67.2%

Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:21 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 5 at UK 20) Arland Bruce IV run for 20 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK) - IOWA 10, UK 13 3.63 18.6% 16.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.37 = 3.63

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.63)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 10, UK 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.6%

Win Probability (After): 34.8%

Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:13 ESPN team id 96 (4th & 1 at IOWA 35) JuTahn McClain run for no gain to the Iowa 35 - IOWA 17, UK 13 -4.20 41.6% -15.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 65

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.04 - 2.16 = -4.20

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.84)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.04)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.6%

Win Probability (After): 25.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 1:48 ESPN team id 96 (1st & Goal at IOWA 6) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) - IOWA 17, UK 20 1.66 66.3% 15.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: UK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.34 = 1.66

Score Difference (Before): -4 (1.34)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 20

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.3%

Win Probability (After): 82.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 4:41 ESPN team id 96 (3rd & 8 at UK 26) Levis, Will pass incomplete to Robinson, Wan'Dale, PENALTY IOWA pass interference (Moss, Riley) 15 yards to the KENTUCKY41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTUCKY. - IOWA 17, UK 13 2.25 25.6% 13.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 59

Started Drive at: UK 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - -0.38 = 2.25

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.38)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.6%

Win Probability (After): 39.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:03 ESPN team id 2294 (4th & 9 at UK 10) Caleb Shudak 28 yd FG GOOD - IOWA 3, UK 7 0.52 29.3% 12.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 10

Started Drive at: IOWA 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.48 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.52)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.3%

Win Probability (After): 41.6%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 5:32 ESPN team id 96 (1st & Goal at IOWA 5) Will Levis pass complete to Chris Rodriguez Jr. for 5 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) - IOWA 0, UK 7 1.08 62.2% 10.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: UK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.92 = 1.08

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.92)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 7

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.2%

Win Probability (After): 72.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:05 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & 11 at UK 25) TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 23 - IOWA 17, UK 20 0.06 89.7% 10.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 77

Started Drive at: UK 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 0.07 = 0.06

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.07)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 20

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.7%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 5:32 ESPN team id 96 (1st & Goal at IOWA 5) Will Levis pass complete to Chris Rodriguez Jr. for 5 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) - IOWA 0, UK 7 1.08 62.2% 10.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: UK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.92 = 1.08

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.92)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 7

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.2%

Win Probability (After): 72.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:03 ESPN team id 2294 (4th & 9 at UK 10) Caleb Shudak 28 yd FG GOOD - IOWA 3, UK 7 0.52 29.3% 12.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 10

Started Drive at: IOWA 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.48 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.52)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.3%

Win Probability (After): 41.6%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 2:48 ESPN team id 96 (4th & Goal at IOWA 3) Matt Ruffolo 21 yd FG GOOD - IOWA 3, UK 10 0.10 72.2% 10.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 3

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.90 = 0.10

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.90)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 10

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.2%

Win Probability (After): 82.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:38 ESPN team id 96 (4th & 8 at IOWA 9) Matt Ruffolo 27 yd FG GOOD - IOWA 3, UK 13 0.46 82.2% 6.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9

Started Drive at: IOWA 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.54 = 0.46

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.54)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.2%

Win Probability (After): 88.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 3:21 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 5 at UK 20) Arland Bruce IV run for 20 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK) - IOWA 10, UK 13 3.63 18.6% 16.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.37 = 3.63

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.63)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 10, UK 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.6%

Win Probability (After): 34.8%

Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:54 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 3 at UK 36) Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 36 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK) - IOWA 17, UK 13 3.41 49.1% 18.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 99

Started Drive at: IOWA 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.59 = 3.41

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.59)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 92 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.1%

Win Probability (After): 67.2%

Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:48 ESPN team id 96 (1st & Goal at IOWA 6) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) - IOWA 17, UK 20 1.66 66.3% 15.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: UK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.34 = 1.66

Score Difference (Before): -4 (1.34)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 20

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.3%

Win Probability (After): 82.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 2294 (Kickoff at IOWA 35) Chance Poore kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - IOWA 0, UK 0 0.00 42.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.1%

Win Probability (After): 42.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:49 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 25) Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 12 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST down - IOWA 0, UK 0 0.74 49.3% -1.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 63

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 1.09 = 0.74

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.09)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.3%

Win Probability (After): 47.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:05 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 37) Gavin Williams run for 5 yds to the Iowa 42 - IOWA 0, UK 0 0.08 50.9% 1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 58

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.09 - 2.00 = 0.08

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.00)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.9%

Win Probability (After): 51.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:54 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 5 at IOWA 42) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Nico Ragaini - IOWA 0, UK 0 -1.04 51.7% -3.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 58

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.08 - 2.12 = -1.04

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.12)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.7%

Win Probability (After): 48.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:41 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 5 at IOWA 42) Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 3 yds to the Iowa 45 - IOWA 0, UK 0 -1.30 49.3% -3.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 55

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.25 - 1.05 = -1.30

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.3%

Win Probability (After): 46.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:00 ESPN team id 2294 (4th & 2 at IOWA 45) Tory Taylor punt for 55 yds for a touchback - IOWA 0, UK 0 -0.53 45.7% 0.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 80

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.76 - -0.23 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.23)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.76)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: IOWA 0, UK 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.7%

Win Probability (After): 45.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 12:50 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at UK 20) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 27 - IOWA 0, UK 0 0.50 52.5% 3.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 73

Started Drive at: UK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.30 - 0.80 = 0.50

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.80)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.5%

Win Probability (After): 55.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:19 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & 3 at UK 27) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST down - IOWA 0, UK 0 0.71 54.8% 1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 65

Started Drive at: UK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - 1.27 = 0.71

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.27)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.8%

Win Probability (After): 56.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:39 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at UK 35) Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 5 yds to the Kent 40 - IOWA 0, UK 0 0.03 57.8% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 60

Started Drive at: UK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - 1.95 = 0.03

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.95)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.8%

Win Probability (After): 57.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:55 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & 5 at UK 40) JuTahn McClain run for 2 yds to the Kent 42 - IOWA 0, UK 0 -0.70 58.2% -3.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 58

Started Drive at: UK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.26 - 1.97 = -0.70

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.97)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.2%

Win Probability (After): 55.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:34 ESPN team id 96 (3rd & 3 at UK 42) JuTahn McClain run for 5 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST down - IOWA 0, UK 0 1.21 55.1% 4.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 53

Started Drive at: UK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.60 - 1.39 = 1.21

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.39)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 55.1%

Win Probability (After): 59.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:55 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at UK 47) Will Levis pass complete to Justin Rigg for 9 yds to the Iowa 44 - IOWA 0, UK 0 0.93 58.7% 2.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 44

Started Drive at: UK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.61 - 2.69 = 0.93

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.69)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.7%

Win Probability (After): 61.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:23 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & 1 at IOWA 44) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST down - IOWA 0, UK 0 0.25 60.3% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 35

Started Drive at: UK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.85 - 3.60 = 0.25

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.60)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.3%

Win Probability (After): 60.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:47 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at IOWA 35) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Iowa 31 - IOWA 0, UK 0 -0.01 61.4% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 31

Started Drive at: UK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.80 - 3.81 = -0.01

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.81)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.4%

Win Probability (After): 60.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:55 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & 6 at IOWA 31) Will Levis pass complete to Justin Rigg for 2 yds to the Iowa 29 - IOWA 0, UK 0 -0.43 59.5% 0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 29

Started Drive at: UK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 3.76 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.76)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.5%

Win Probability (After): 60.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:25 ESPN team id 96 (3rd & 4 at IOWA 29) Will Levis pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 14 yds to the Iowa 15 for a 1ST down - IOWA 0, UK 0 1.73 56.8% 5.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 15

Started Drive at: UK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.01 - 3.28 = 1.73

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.28)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.8%

Win Probability (After): 62.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:48 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at IOWA 15) Will Levis pass complete to Brenden Bates for 6 yds to the Iowa 9 - IOWA 0, UK 0 0.11 60.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 9

Started Drive at: UK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.14 - 5.03 = 0.11

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.03)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 0

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.8%

Win Probability (After): 60.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:06 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & 4 at IOWA 9) Will Levis run for 4 yds to the Iowa 5 for a 1ST down - IOWA 0, UK 0 0.74 61.5% 1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 5

Started Drive at: UK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.92 - 5.18 = 0.74

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.18)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 0

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.5%

Win Probability (After): 62.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:32 ESPN team id 96 (1st & Goal at IOWA 5) Will Levis pass complete to Chris Rodriguez Jr. for 5 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) - IOWA 0, UK 7 1.08 62.2% 10.5%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: UK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.92 = 1.08

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.92)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 7

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 80 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.2%

Win Probability (After): 72.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:28 ESPN team id 2294 (Kickoff at IOWA 35) Chance Poore kickoff for 65 yds , Charlie Jones return for 13 yds to the Iowa 13 - IOWA 0, UK 7 -1.69 29.6% -0.9%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 87

Started Drive at: IOWA 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.74 - -0.05 = -1.69

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.05)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.6%

Win Probability (After): 28.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:19 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 13) Arland Bruce IV run for 1 yd to the Iowa 14 - IOWA 0, UK 7 -0.53 29.4% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 86

Started Drive at: IOWA 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.13 - -0.60 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.60)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.4%

Win Probability (After): 28.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:30 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 9 at IOWA 14) Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 3 yds to the Iowa 17 - IOWA 0, UK 7 -0.50 29.4% -2.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 83

Started Drive at: IOWA 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.62 - -1.12 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.12)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.4%

Win Probability (After): 27.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:11 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 6 at IOWA 17) Petras, Spencer pass incomplete to LaPorta, Sam, PENALTY KENTUCKY holding (Corker, Yusuf) 10 yards to the IOWA27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA. - IOWA 0, UK 7 1.96 28.3% 2.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 73

Started Drive at: IOWA 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.34 - -1.62 = 1.96

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.62)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.3%

Win Probability (After): 31.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:00 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 27) Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the Iowa 31 - IOWA 0, UK 7 -0.18 31.1% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 69

Started Drive at: IOWA 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.17 - 0.35 = -0.18

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.65)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.1%

Win Probability (After): 30.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:35 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 6 at IOWA 31) Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the Iowa 34 - IOWA 0, UK 7 -0.05 30.3% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 66

Started Drive at: IOWA 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.12 - 0.16 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.84)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.3%

Win Probability (After): 30.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:59 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 3 at IOWA 34) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPorta - IOWA 0, UK 7 -1.79 30.1% -2.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66

Started Drive at: IOWA 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.68 - 0.10 = -1.79

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.90)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.1%

Win Probability (After): 27.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:52 ESPN team id 2294 (4th & 3 at IOWA 34) Tory Taylor punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Wan'Dale Robinson at the Kent 22 - IOWA 0, UK 7 -0.41 28.3% -2.9%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 78

Started Drive at: IOWA 13

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.09 - -1.68 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.68)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.09)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: IOWA 0, UK 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.3%

Win Probability (After): 25.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 2:25 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at UK 22) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 21 - IOWA 0, UK 7 -0.86 74.4% -2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 79

Started Drive at: UK 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.24 - 2.10 = -0.86

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.10)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.4%

Win Probability (After): 72.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:10 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & 11 at UK 21) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 22 - IOWA 0, UK 7 -0.72 72.3% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 78

Started Drive at: UK 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - 1.23 = -0.72

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.23)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.3%

Win Probability (After): 71.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:00 ESPN team id 96 (3rd & 10 at UK 22) Will Levis sacked by Zach VanValkenburg for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 14 - IOWA 0, UK 7 -1.76 70.7% -3.3%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 86

Started Drive at: UK 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.24 - 0.52 = -1.76

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.52)

Score Difference (End): 7 (5.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.7%

Win Probability (After): 67.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:44 ESPN team id 96 (4th & 18 at UK 14) Colin Goodfellow punt for 54 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 3 yds to the Iowa 35 - IOWA 0, UK 7 0.06 66.8% 2.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 65

Started Drive at: UK 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.16 - -1.21 = 0.06

Score Difference (Before): 7 (5.79)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.84)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: IOWA 0, UK 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.8%

Win Probability (After): 69.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 0:34 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 35) Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - IOWA 0, UK 7 0.90 30.8% 1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 50

Started Drive at: IOWA 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.06 - 1.16 = 0.90

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.84)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.8%

Win Probability (After): 32.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:03 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at 50) Gavin Williams run for 8 yds to the Kent 42 - IOWA 0, UK 7 0.73 32.4% 2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 42

Started Drive at: IOWA 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.77 - 2.04 = 0.73

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.96)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.4%

Win Probability (After): 34.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:50 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 2 at UK 42) Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 8 yds to the Kent 34 for a 1ST down - IOWA 0, UK 7 0.48 32.6% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 34

Started Drive at: IOWA 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.24 - 2.76 = 0.48

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.24)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.6%

Win Probability (After): 33.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:00 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at UK 34) Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the Kent 30 - IOWA 0, UK 7 -0.03 32.7% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 30

Started Drive at: IOWA 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.22 - 3.25 = -0.03

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.75)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.7%

Win Probability (After): 32.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:28 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 6 at UK 30) Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST down - IOWA 0, UK 7 0.65 34.6% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 24

Started Drive at: IOWA 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.87 - 3.23 = 0.65

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.77)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.6%

Win Probability (After): 34.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:10 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at UK 24) Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 13 yds to the Kent 11 for a 1ST down - IOWA 0, UK 7 1.05 35.8% 4.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 11

Started Drive at: IOWA 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.94 - 3.89 = 1.05

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.11)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.8%

Win Probability (After): 40.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:14 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at UK 11) Gavin Williams run for 2 yds to the Kent 9 - IOWA 0, UK 7 -0.41 37.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 9

Started Drive at: IOWA 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.49 - 4.90 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.10)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.9%

Win Probability (After): 37.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:54 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 8 at UK 9) Spencer Petras pass complete to Jackson Ritter for 4 yds to the Kent 5 - IOWA 0, UK 7 -0.17 36.7% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 5

Started Drive at: IOWA 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.32 - 4.49 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.51)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.7%

Win Probability (After): 36.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:31 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 4 at UK 5) IOWA Penalty, False Start (Connor Colby) to the Kent 10 - IOWA 0, UK 7 -0.82 36.1% -2.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 10

Started Drive at: IOWA 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.56 - 4.37 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.63)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.1%

Win Probability (After): 33.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:06 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 9 at UK 10) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Arland Bruce IV - IOWA 0, UK 7 -1.11 33.3% -3.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 10

Started Drive at: IOWA 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.46 - 3.58 = -1.11

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.42)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 0, UK 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.3%

Win Probability (After): 29.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:03 ESPN team id 2294 (4th & 9 at UK 10) Caleb Shudak 28 yd FG GOOD - IOWA 3, UK 7 0.52 29.3% 12.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 10

Started Drive at: IOWA 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.48 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.52)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.3%

Win Probability (After): 41.6%

Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 11:03 ESPN team id 96 (Kickoff at UK 35) Caleb Shudak kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - IOWA 3, UK 7 0.00 64.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.53 - 1.53 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.53)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.8%

Win Probability (After): 64.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:56 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at UK 25) Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 16 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 7 1.04 64.2% 3.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 59

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.58 - 1.53 = 1.04

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.53)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.2%

Win Probability (After): 67.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:00 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at UK 41) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 49 - IOWA 3, UK 7 0.48 67.6% 1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 51

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.05 - 2.58 = 0.48

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.58)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.6%

Win Probability (After): 68.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:39 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & 2 at UK 49) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 7 0.26 68.5% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 48

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.19 - 2.94 = 0.26

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.94)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.5%

Win Probability (After): 68.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:45 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at IOWA 48) JuTahn McClain run for 8 yds to the Iowa 40 - IOWA 3, UK 7 0.82 67.9% 2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 40

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.75 - 2.92 = 0.82

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.92)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.9%

Win Probability (After): 70.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:28 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & 2 at IOWA 40) Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale Robinson - IOWA 3, UK 7 -0.74 69.2% -1.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - 3.58 = -0.74

Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.58)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.2%

Win Probability (After): 67.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:21 ESPN team id 96 (3rd & 2 at IOWA 40) Will Levis run for 2 yds to the Iowa 38 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 7 0.72 67.6% 1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 38

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.47 - 2.75 = 0.72

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.75)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.6%

Win Probability (After): 69.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:37 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at IOWA 38) Will Levis sacked by Joe Evans for a loss of 8 yards to the Iowa 46 - IOWA 3, UK 7 -1.64 69.7% -5.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 46

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.78 - 3.41 = -1.64

Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.41)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.7%

Win Probability (After): 64.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:59 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & 18 at IOWA 46) Timeout KENTUCKY, clock 06:59 - IOWA 3, UK 7 0.00 65.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.78 - 1.78 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.78)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.5%

Win Probability (After): 65.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:17 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & 18 at IOWA 46) Will Levis sacked by Zach VanValkenburg for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 46 - IOWA 3, UK 7 -1.20 68.5% -5.5%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 54

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.72 - 1.92 = -1.20

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.92)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.5%

Win Probability (After): 63.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:45 ESPN team id 96 (3rd & 26 at UK 46) Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 34 yds to the Iowa 20 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 7 4.07 65.4% 8.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 20

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.49 - 0.42 = 4.07

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.42)

Score Difference (End): 4 (8.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.4%

Win Probability (After): 74.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:27 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at IOWA 20) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 12 yds to the Iowa 8 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 7 0.92 74.5% 0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 8

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.27 - 4.35 = 0.92

Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.35)

Score Difference (End): 4 (9.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.5%

Win Probability (After): 75.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:44 ESPN team id 96 (1st & Goal at IOWA 8) JuTahn McClain run for no gain to the Iowa 8 - IOWA 3, UK 7 -0.69 75.4% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.59 - 5.29 = -0.69

Score Difference (Before): 4 (9.29)

Score Difference (End): 4 (8.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 7

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.4%

Win Probability (After): 74.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:59 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & Goal at IOWA 8) Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 6 yds to the Iowa 2 - IOWA 3, UK 7 0.68 75.1% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 2

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.26 - 4.58 = 0.68

Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.58)

Score Difference (End): 4 (9.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 7

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.1%

Win Probability (After): 74.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:18 ESPN team id 96 (3rd & Goal at IOWA 2) Will Levis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 3 - IOWA 3, UK 7 -2.39 74.5% -2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 3

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.92 - 5.31 = -2.39

Score Difference (Before): 4 (9.31)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 7

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.5%

Win Probability (After): 71.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:48 ESPN team id 96 (4th & Goal at IOWA 3) Matt Ruffolo 21 yd FG GOOD - IOWA 3, UK 10 0.10 72.2% 10.3%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 3

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.90 = 0.10

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.90)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 10

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.2%

Win Probability (After): 82.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 2:48 ESPN team id 2294 (Kickoff at IOWA 35) Chance Poore kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - IOWA 3, UK 10 0.00 26.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.85 - 0.85 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.15)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 10

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.3%

Win Probability (After): 26.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:22 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 25) Leshon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 24 - IOWA 3, UK 10 -0.85 26.3% -2.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 76

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.18 - 1.04 = -0.85

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.96)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.3%

Win Probability (After): 23.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 2:09 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 11 at IOWA 24) Spencer Petras pass intercepted D'Eryk Jackson return for 3 yds to the Iowa 31 - IOWA 3, UK 10 -3.50 24.0% -5.9%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 31

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.08 - 0.42 = -3.50

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.58)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.08)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: IOWA 3, UK 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.0%

Win Probability (After): 18.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:01 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at IOWA 31) JuTahn McClain run for 10 yds to the Iowa 21 for a 1ST down IOWA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Logan Lee) to the Iowa 11 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 10 1.61 83.0% 3.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 11

Started Drive at: IOWA 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.68 - 3.01 = 1.61

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.08)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 10

Drive Summary: 1 play, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.0%

Win Probability (After): 86.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:24 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at IOWA 11) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Iowa 6 - IOWA 3, UK 10 0.35 87.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 6

Started Drive at: IOWA 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.81 - 4.46 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.46)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 10

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.0%

Win Probability (After): 87.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:48 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & 5 at IOWA 6) JuTahn McClain run for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 9 - IOWA 3, UK 10 -1.38 88.0% -3.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 9

Started Drive at: IOWA 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.35 - 4.74 = -1.38

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.74)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.0%

Win Probability (After): 84.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:45 ESPN team id 96 (3rd & 8 at IOWA 9) Timeout KENTUCKY, clock 00:45 - IOWA 3, UK 10 0.00 85.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9

Started Drive at: IOWA 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.35 - 3.35 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.35)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 10

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.9%

Win Probability (After): 85.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:42 ESPN team id 96 (3rd & 8 at IOWA 9) Will Levis pass incomplete to JuTahn McClain - IOWA 3, UK 10 -0.90 85.6% -3.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9

Started Drive at: IOWA 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.54 - 3.44 = -0.90

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.44)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 10

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.6%

Win Probability (After): 82.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:38 ESPN team id 96 (4th & 8 at IOWA 9) Matt Ruffolo 27 yd FG GOOD - IOWA 3, UK 13 0.46 82.2% 6.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9

Started Drive at: IOWA 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.54 = 0.46

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.54)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.2%

Win Probability (After): 88.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:34 ESPN team id 2294 (Kickoff at IOWA 35) Chance Poore kickoff for 65 yds , Charlie Jones return for 17 yds to the Iowa 17 - IOWA 3, UK 13 -0.33 19.5% -1.0%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 83

Started Drive at: IOWA 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.02 - 0.35 = -0.33

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.65)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.5%

Win Probability (After): 18.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:27 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 17) Spencer Petras pass complete to Gavin Williams for 10 yds to the Iowa 27 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 13 0.26 18.8% 0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 73

Started Drive at: IOWA 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.42 - 0.16 = 0.26

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.84)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.8%

Win Probability (After): 19.7%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:21 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 27) Spencer Petras pass complete to Ivory Kelly-Martin for 10 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 13 0.35 19.6% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 63

Started Drive at: IOWA 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.55 - 0.20 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.80)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.6%

Win Probability (After): 20.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:17 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 37) Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 12 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 13 0.47 19.9% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 51

Started Drive at: IOWA 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 0.34 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.66)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.9%

Win Probability (After): 21.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:16 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 49) Timeout IOWA, clock 00:16 - IOWA 3, UK 13 0.00 21.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 51

Started Drive at: IOWA 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 0.81 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.19)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.3%

Win Probability (After): 21.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:10 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 49) Spencer Petras pass complete to Gavin Williams for 4 yds to the Kent 47 - IOWA 3, UK 13 0.32 20.0% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 47

Started Drive at: IOWA 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - 0.59 = 0.32

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.41)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.0%

Win Probability (After): 20.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:09 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 6 at UK 47) Timeout IOWA, clock 00:09 - IOWA 3, UK 13 0.00 20.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 47

Started Drive at: IOWA 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - 0.90 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.10)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.1%

Win Probability (After): 20.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:05 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 6 at UK 47) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPorta - IOWA 3, UK 13 -0.02 18.5% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 47

Started Drive at: IOWA 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - 0.66 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.34)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.5%

Win Probability (After): 18.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:05 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 6 at UK 47) Spencer Petras pass intercepted, touchback. Quandre Mosely return for no gain - IOWA 3, UK 13 -0.57 18.0% -5.6%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 80

Started Drive at: IOWA 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.06 - 0.57 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.43)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.06)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.0%

Win Probability (After): 12.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 96 (Kickoff at UK 35) Caleb Shudak kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - IOWA 3, UK 13 0.00 87.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.79 - 1.79 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.79)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.6%

Win Probability (After): 87.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:50 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at UK 25) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kent 34 - IOWA 3, UK 13 0.80 88.6% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 66

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.73 - 1.93 = 0.80

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.93)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.6%

Win Probability (After): 87.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:18 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & 1 at UK 34) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 13 -0.18 87.5% 1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 64

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.67 - 2.85 = -0.18

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.85)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.5%

Win Probability (After): 88.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:38 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at UK 36) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 44 - IOWA 3, UK 13 0.56 87.3% 0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 56

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.24 - 2.68 = 0.56

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.68)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.3%

Win Probability (After): 88.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:00 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & 2 at UK 44) JuTahn McClain run for 1 yd to the Kent 45 - IOWA 3, UK 13 -0.63 87.8% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 55

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.61 - 3.24 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.24)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.8%

Win Probability (After): 87.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:12 ESPN team id 96 (3rd & 1 at UK 45) Levis, Will rush for no gain to the KENTUCKY45, PENALTY IOWA offside (Waggoner, John) 5 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTUCKY. - IOWA 3, UK 13 0.74 87.0% 0.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 50

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.35 - 2.61 = 0.74

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.61)

Score Difference (End): 10 (13.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.0%

Win Probability (After): 87.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:36 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at 50) Will Levis sacked by Logan Lee for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 46 - IOWA 3, UK 13 -1.14 87.8% -1.0%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 54

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.17 - 3.31 = -1.14

Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.31)

Score Difference (End): 10 (12.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.8%

Win Probability (After): 86.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:22 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & 14 at UK 46) Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale Robinson - IOWA 3, UK 13 -1.14 86.9% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 54

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.92 - 2.06 = -1.14

Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.06)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.9%

Win Probability (After): 86.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:09 ESPN team id 96 (3rd & 14 at UK 46) Will Levis run for 7 yds to the Iowa 47 - IOWA 3, UK 13 -0.90 86.2% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 47

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.06 - 0.96 = -0.90

Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.96)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.2%

Win Probability (After): 85.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:31 ESPN team id 96 (4th & 7 at IOWA 47) Colin Goodfellow punt for 47 yds for a touchback - IOWA 3, UK 13 0.14 85.9% -2.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 80

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.33 - 0.19 = 0.14

Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.19)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.33)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.9%

Win Probability (After): 83.5%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 10:24 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 20) Gavin Williams run for 18 yds to the Iowa 38 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 13 1.38 16.8% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 62

Started Drive at: IOWA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.23 - -0.16 = 1.38

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.16)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.8%

Win Probability (After): 17.4%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:50 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 38) Gavin Williams run for 8 yds to the Iowa 46 - IOWA 3, UK 13 0.77 16.7% 1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 54

Started Drive at: IOWA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.01 - 1.24 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.76)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.7%

Win Probability (After): 18.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:10 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 2 at IOWA 46) Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 34 yds to the Kent 20 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 13 2.26 18.7% 6.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 20

Started Drive at: IOWA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.29 - 2.03 = 2.26

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.97)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.7%

Win Probability (After): 24.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:03 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at UK 20) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Nico Ragaini - IOWA 3, UK 13 -0.53 24.9% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20

Started Drive at: IOWA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.73 - 4.26 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.74)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.9%

Win Probability (After): 24.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:55 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 10 at UK 20) Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 8 yds to the Kent 12 - IOWA 3, UK 13 0.49 24.1% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 12

Started Drive at: IOWA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.20 - 3.71 = 0.49

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.29)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.1%

Win Probability (After): 24.3%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:18 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 2 at UK 12) Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the Kent 11 - IOWA 3, UK 13 -0.62 24.2% -2.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 11

Started Drive at: IOWA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.59 - 4.21 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.79)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.2%

Win Probability (After): 21.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:47 ESPN team id 2294 (4th & 1 at UK 11) Spencer Petras run for no gain to the Kent 11 - IOWA 3, UK 13 -4.72 21.0% -7.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 89

Started Drive at: IOWA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.16 - 3.57 = -4.72

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.43)

Score Difference (End): 10 (11.16)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.0%

Win Probability (After): 13.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 7:17 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at UK 11) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 12 - IOWA 3, UK 13 -0.71 86.5% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 88

Started Drive at: UK 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.45 - 1.16 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.16)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.5%

Win Probability (After): 86.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:28 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & 9 at UK 12) Will Levis sacked by Noah Shannon for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 9 - IOWA 3, UK 13 -1.52 85.9% -0.7%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 91

Started Drive at: UK 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.00 - 0.52 = -1.52

Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.52)

Score Difference (End): 10 (9.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.9%

Win Probability (After): 85.1%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:14 ESPN team id 96 (3rd & 12 at UK 9) Will Levis pass incomplete to Jacquez Jones - IOWA 3, UK 13 -0.95 84.7% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 91

Started Drive at: UK 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.89 - -0.94 = -0.95

Score Difference (Before): 10 (9.06)

Score Difference (End): 10 (8.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.7%

Win Probability (After): 83.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:07 ESPN team id 96 (4th & 12 at UK 9) Colin Goodfellow punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the 50 yard line - IOWA 3, UK 13 -0.14 83.7% -1.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 50

Started Drive at: UK 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.03 - -1.88 = -0.14

Score Difference (Before): 10 (8.12)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.97)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.7%

Win Probability (After): 82.2%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:01 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at 50) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Nico Ragaini - IOWA 3, UK 13 -0.48 17.8% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.50 - 1.98 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.02)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.8%

Win Probability (After): 17.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:43 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 10 at 50) Leshon Williams run for 8 yds to the Kent 42 - IOWA 3, UK 13 0.44 17.2% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 42

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 1.39 = 0.44

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.61)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.2%

Win Probability (After): 17.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:25 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 2 at UK 42) KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Offside (Marquan McCall) to the Kent 37 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 13 1.04 17.8% 1.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 37

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.86 - 1.82 = 1.04

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.18)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.8%

Win Probability (After): 18.9%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:45 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at UK 37) Leshon Williams run for 12 yds to the Kent 25 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 13 0.93 19.0% 2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 25

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.78 - 2.85 = 0.93

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.15)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.0%

Win Probability (After): 21.0%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:27 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at UK 25) Gavin Williams run for 2 yds to the Kent 23 - IOWA 3, UK 13 -0.33 21.3% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 23

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.45 - 3.78 = -0.33

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.22)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.3%

Win Probability (After): 20.8%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:54 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 8 at UK 23) Spencer Petras pass complete to Monte Pottebaum for 3 yds to the Kent 20 - IOWA 3, UK 13 -0.09 20.3% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 20

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.36 - 3.44 = -0.09

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.56)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 3, UK 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.3%

Win Probability (After): 20.6%

Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:21 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 5 at UK 20) Arland Bruce IV run for 20 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK) - IOWA 10, UK 13 3.63 18.6% 16.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99

Started Drive at: 50

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.37 = 3.63

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.63)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 10, UK 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.6%

Win Probability (After): 34.8%

Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:21 ESPN team id 96 (Kickoff at UK 35) Caleb Shudak kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - IOWA 10, UK 13 0.00 67.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.43 - 1.43 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.43)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 10, UK 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.6%

Win Probability (After): 67.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:02 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at UK 25) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 28 - IOWA 10, UK 13 -0.48 67.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.00 - 1.47 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.47)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 10, UK 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.6%

Win Probability (After): 67.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:34 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & 7 at UK 28) Will Levis run for 6 yds to the Kent 34 - IOWA 10, UK 13 0.68 68.0% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 66

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.69 - 1.01 = 0.68

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.01)

Score Difference (End): 3 (4.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 10, UK 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.0%

Win Probability (After): 67.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:03 ESPN team id 96 (3rd & 1 at UK 34) Will Levis run for 2 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST down - IOWA 10, UK 13 0.61 68.2% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 64

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 1.69 = 0.61

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.69)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 10, UK 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.2%

Win Probability (After): 69.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:26 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at UK 36) Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 10 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST down - IOWA 10, UK 13 0.51 70.7% 2.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 54

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.83 - 2.32 = 0.51

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.32)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 10, UK 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.7%

Win Probability (After): 73.5%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:44 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at UK 46) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 49 - IOWA 10, UK 13 -0.44 71.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 51

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.41 - 2.85 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.85)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 10, UK 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.2%

Win Probability (After): 71.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:07 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & 7 at UK 49) JuTahn McClain run for 2 yds to the Iowa 49 - IOWA 10, UK 13 -0.39 70.7% -1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 49

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.00 - 2.38 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.38)

Score Difference (End): 3 (5.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 10, UK 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.7%

Win Probability (After): 68.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:55 ESPN team id 96 (3rd & 5 at IOWA 49) Will Levis run for 1 yd to the Iowa 48 - IOWA 10, UK 13 -1.82 70.1% -3.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 48

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.16 - 1.98 = -1.82

Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.98)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 10, UK 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.1%

Win Probability (After): 67.1%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:09 ESPN team id 96 (4th & 4 at IOWA 48) Colin Goodfellow punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 8 - IOWA 10, UK 13 0.03 67.7% -1.4%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 92

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.21 - 0.18 = 0.03

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.18)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.21)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: IOWA 10, UK 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.7%

Win Probability (After): 66.2%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 14:03 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 8) Gavin Williams run for 19 yds to the Iowa 27 for a 1ST down - IOWA 10, UK 13 1.36 33.5% 2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 73

Started Drive at: IOWA 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.13 - -0.23 = 1.36

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.23)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 10, UK 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.5%

Win Probability (After): 35.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:35 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 27) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Nico Ragaini - IOWA 10, UK 13 -0.81 35.6% -1.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73

Started Drive at: IOWA 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.33 - 1.13 = -0.81

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.87)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 10, UK 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.6%

Win Probability (After): 34.3%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:32 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 10 at IOWA 27) Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the Iowa 30 - IOWA 10, UK 13 -0.65 34.3% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 70

Started Drive at: IOWA 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.33 - 0.32 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.68)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 10, UK 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.3%

Win Probability (After): 32.7%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:06 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 7 at IOWA 30) Spencer Petras pass complete to Ivory Kelly-Martin for 7 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST down - IOWA 10, UK 13 2.07 32.6% 5.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 63

Started Drive at: IOWA 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - -0.30 = 2.07

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.30)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 10, UK 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.6%

Win Probability (After): 38.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:49 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 37) Leshon Williams run for 8 yds to the Iowa 45 - IOWA 10, UK 13 0.67 38.2% 3.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 55

Started Drive at: IOWA 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.42 - 1.75 = 0.67

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.25)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 10, UK 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.2%

Win Probability (After): 41.4%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:15 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 2 at IOWA 45) Leshon Williams run for no gain to the Iowa 45 - IOWA 10, UK 13 -0.89 41.8% -5.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55

Started Drive at: IOWA 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.54 - 2.43 = -0.89

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.57)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 10, UK 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.8%

Win Probability (After): 36.9%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:30 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 2 at IOWA 45) Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 12 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST down - IOWA 10, UK 13 1.43 37.3% 8.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 43

Started Drive at: IOWA 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.08 - 1.65 = 1.43

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.35)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 10, UK 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.3%

Win Probability (After): 45.6%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:12 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at UK 43) Gavin Williams run for 7 yds to the Kent 36 - IOWA 10, UK 13 0.50 46.0% 3.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 36

Started Drive at: IOWA 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 3.10 = 0.50

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.10)

Score Difference (End): -3 (0.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 10, UK 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.0%

Win Probability (After): 49.0%

Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:54 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 3 at UK 36) Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 36 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK) - IOWA 17, UK 13 3.41 49.1% 18.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 99

Started Drive at: IOWA 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.59 = 3.41

Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.59)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 92 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.1%

Win Probability (After): 67.2%

Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:54 ESPN team id 96 (Kickoff at UK 35) Caleb Shudak kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - IOWA 17, UK 13 0.00 39.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.80 - 0.80 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.20)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.5%

Win Probability (After): 39.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:47 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at UK 25) Will Levis pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 14 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST down - IOWA 17, UK 13 1.11 39.7% 1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 61

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.92 - 0.81 = 1.11

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.19)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.7%

Win Probability (After): 41.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:11 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at UK 39) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 43 - IOWA 17, UK 13 -0.18 41.4% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 57

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 2.00 = -0.18

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.00)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.4%

Win Probability (After): 41.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:37 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & 6 at UK 43) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 13 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST down - IOWA 17, UK 13 1.29 41.4% 3.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 44

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.12 - 1.82 = 1.29

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.18)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.4%

Win Probability (After): 45.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:51 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at IOWA 44) JuTahn McClain run for 3 yds to the Iowa 41 - IOWA 17, UK 13 -0.08 43.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 41

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - 2.91 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.09)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.6%

Win Probability (After): 43.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:17 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & 7 at IOWA 41) Will Levis run for 5 yds to the Iowa 36 - IOWA 17, UK 13 0.17 43.1% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 36

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.81 - 2.64 = 0.17

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.36)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.1%

Win Probability (After): 42.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:55 ESPN team id 96 (3rd & 2 at IOWA 36) Will Levis run for 1 yd to the Iowa 35 - IOWA 17, UK 13 -0.76 43.0% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 35

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.01 - 2.76 = -0.76

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.24)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.0%

Win Probability (After): 41.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:13 ESPN team id 96 (4th & 1 at IOWA 35) JuTahn McClain run for no gain to the Iowa 35 - IOWA 17, UK 13 -4.20 41.6% -15.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 65

Started Drive at: UK 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.04 - 2.16 = -4.20

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.84)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.04)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.6%

Win Probability (After): 25.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 6:48 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 35) Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the Iowa 37 - IOWA 17, UK 13 -0.56 77.6% -2.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 63

Started Drive at: IOWA 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.60 - 2.15 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.15)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.6%

Win Probability (After): 75.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:30 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 8 at IOWA 37) Leshon Williams run for 7 yds to the Iowa 44 - IOWA 17, UK 13 0.52 77.4% 0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 56

Started Drive at: IOWA 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.06 - 1.54 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.54)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.4%

Win Probability (After): 78.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:11 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 1 at IOWA 44) Leshon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 43 - IOWA 17, UK 13 -1.91 78.3% -6.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 57

Started Drive at: IOWA 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.11 - 1.80 = -1.91

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.80)

Score Difference (End): 4 (3.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.3%

Win Probability (After): 71.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:58 ESPN team id 2294 (4th & 2 at IOWA 43) Tory Taylor punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Wan'Dale Robinson at the Kent 11 - IOWA 17, UK 13 0.11 71.6% -3.4%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 89

Started Drive at: IOWA 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - -0.16 = 0.11

Score Difference (Before): 4 (3.84)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.96)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.6%

Win Probability (After): 68.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 5:52 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at UK 11) Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 13 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST down - IOWA 17, UK 13 0.68 31.9% 2.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 76

Started Drive at: UK 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.70 - 0.01 = 0.68

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.99)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.9%

Win Probability (After): 34.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:18 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at UK 24) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 26 - IOWA 17, UK 13 -0.54 32.0% 1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 74

Started Drive at: UK 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.24 - 0.78 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.22)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.0%

Win Probability (After): 33.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:46 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & 8 at UK 26) Will Levis pass incomplete to Brenden Bates - IOWA 17, UK 13 -0.73 30.1% -5.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74

Started Drive at: UK 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.41 - 0.32 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.68)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.1%

Win Probability (After): 24.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:41 ESPN team id 96 (3rd & 8 at UK 26) Levis, Will pass incomplete to Robinson, Wan'Dale, PENALTY IOWA pass interference (Moss, Riley) 15 yards to the KENTUCKY41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTUCKY. - IOWA 17, UK 13 2.25 25.6% 13.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 59

Started Drive at: UK 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - -0.38 = 2.25

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.38)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.6%

Win Probability (After): 39.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:34 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at UK 41) Will Levis pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 13 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST down - IOWA 17, UK 13 0.80 38.9% 4.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 46

Started Drive at: UK 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - 1.89 = 0.80

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.11)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.9%

Win Probability (After): 43.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:13 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at IOWA 46) Will Levis pass incomplete to Izayah Cummings - IOWA 17, UK 13 -0.35 39.4% 0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46

Started Drive at: UK 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.20 - 2.55 = -0.35

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.45)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.4%

Win Probability (After): 40.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:09 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & 10 at IOWA 46) Will Levis pass incomplete to Chris Lewis - IOWA 17, UK 13 -0.63 37.3% -4.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46

Started Drive at: UK 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.38 - 2.01 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.99)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.3%

Win Probability (After): 32.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:04 ESPN team id 96 (3rd & 10 at IOWA 46) Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale Robinson - IOWA 17, UK 13 -1.61 32.9% -8.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46

Started Drive at: UK 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.15 - 1.47 = -1.61

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.53)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.9%

Win Probability (After): 24.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:59 ESPN team id 96 (4th & 10 at IOWA 46) Will Levis pass intercepted Jermari Harris return for no gain to the Iowa 36 - IOWA 17, UK 13 -1.71 24.2% -9.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 64

Started Drive at: UK 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.79 - -0.08 = -1.71

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.08)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.79)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.2%

Win Probability (After): 14.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:53 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 36) Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the Iowa 42 - IOWA 17, UK 13 0.13 86.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 58

Started Drive at: IOWA 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.91 - 1.78 = 0.13

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.78)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.8%

Win Probability (After): 86.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:51 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 4 at IOWA 42) Timeout KENTUCKY, clock 03:51 - IOWA 17, UK 13 0.00 87.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 58

Started Drive at: IOWA 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.91 - 1.91 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.91)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.1%

Win Probability (After): 87.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:45 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 4 at IOWA 42) Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the Iowa 45 - IOWA 17, UK 13 -0.22 89.2% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 55

Started Drive at: IOWA 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 1.90 = -0.22

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.90)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.2%

Win Probability (After): 87.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 3:44 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 1 at IOWA 45) Timeout KENTUCKY, clock 03:44 - IOWA 17, UK 13 0.00 87.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55

Started Drive at: IOWA 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 1.67 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.67)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.8%

Win Probability (After): 87.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 3:39 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 1 at IOWA 45) Gavin Williams run for no gain to the Iowa 45 - IOWA 17, UK 13 -1.38 88.1% -6.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55

Started Drive at: IOWA 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - 1.67 = -1.38

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.67)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.1%

Win Probability (After): 81.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 3:38 ESPN team id 2294 (4th & 1 at IOWA 45) Timeout KENTUCKY, clock 03:38 - IOWA 17, UK 13 0.00 81.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55

Started Drive at: IOWA 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - 0.29 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.29)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.3%

Win Probability (After): 81.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:38 ESPN team id 2294 (4th & 1 at IOWA 45) Timeout IOWA, clock 03:38 - IOWA 17, UK 13 0.00 81.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55

Started Drive at: IOWA 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - 0.29 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.29)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.5%

Win Probability (After): 81.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:31 ESPN team id 2294 (4th & 1 at IOWA 45) Tory Taylor punt for 55 yds for a touchback - IOWA 17, UK 13 -0.89 83.0% -7.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 80

Started Drive at: IOWA 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.63 - 0.26 = -0.89

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.26)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.37)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.0%

Win Probability (After): 75.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:21 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at UK 20) Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 7 yds to the Kent 27 - IOWA 17, UK 13 0.18 23.9% 1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 73

Started Drive at: UK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.80 - 0.62 = 0.18

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.38)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.9%

Win Probability (After): 25.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:51 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & 3 at UK 27) Will Levis sacked by Lukas Van Ness for a loss of 7 yards to the Kent 20 - IOWA 17, UK 13 -1.36 24.1% -4.7%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 80

Started Drive at: UK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.46 - 0.90 = -1.36

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.10)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.1%

Win Probability (After): 19.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:42 ESPN team id 96 (3rd & 10 at UK 20) Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 17 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST down - IOWA 17, UK 13 1.79 18.4% 8.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 63

Started Drive at: UK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - -0.28 = 1.79

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.28)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.4%

Win Probability (After): 26.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:22 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at UK 37) Will Levis pass incomplete to Izayah Cummings - IOWA 17, UK 13 -0.66 25.8% -1.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63

Started Drive at: UK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.00 - 1.66 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.34)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.8%

Win Probability (After): 24.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:16 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & 10 at UK 37) Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 10 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST down - IOWA 17, UK 13 0.84 24.0% 3.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 53

Started Drive at: UK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.00 - 1.16 = 0.84

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.84)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.0%

Win Probability (After): 27.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 2:07 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at UK 47) Will Levis pass incomplete to Chauncey Magwood - IOWA 17, UK 13 -0.35 26.5% -1.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 53

Started Drive at: UK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.52 - 1.88 = -0.35

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.12)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.5%

Win Probability (After): 24.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:55 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & 10 at UK 47) Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 52 yds to the Iowa 1 for a 1ST down - IOWA 17, UK 13 4.71 25.0% 45.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 1

Started Drive at: UK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.19 - 1.49 = 4.71

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.51)

Score Difference (End): -4 (2.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.0%

Win Probability (After): 70.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:54 ESPN team id 96 (1st & Goal at IOWA 1) KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Austin Dotson) to the Iowa 6 - IOWA 17, UK 13 -0.75 70.5% -4.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 6

Started Drive at: UK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.40 - 6.14 = -0.75

Score Difference (Before): -4 (2.14)

Score Difference (End): -4 (1.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 13

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.5%

Win Probability (After): 65.9%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:48 ESPN team id 96 (1st & Goal at IOWA 6) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) - IOWA 17, UK 20 1.66 66.3% 15.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: UK 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.34 = 1.66

Score Difference (Before): -4 (1.34)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 20

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.3%

Win Probability (After): 82.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:48 ESPN team id 2294 (Kickoff at IOWA 35) Chance Poore kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - IOWA 17, UK 20 0.00 23.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.92 - 0.92 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.08)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 20

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.1%

Win Probability (After): 23.1%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:43 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 25) Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 12 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST down - IOWA 17, UK 20 0.45 22.7% 4.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 63

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.36 - 0.91 = 0.45

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.09)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 20

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.7%

Win Probability (After): 27.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:38 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 37) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Arland Bruce IV - IOWA 17, UK 20 -0.34 26.5% -2.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.97 - 1.32 = -0.34

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.68)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 20

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.5%

Win Probability (After): 24.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:29 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 10 at IOWA 37) Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the Iowa 43 - IOWA 17, UK 20 0.20 24.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 57

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.98 - 0.78 = 0.20

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.22)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 20

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.0%

Win Probability (After): 24.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:12 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 4 at IOWA 43) Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 12 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST down - IOWA 17, UK 20 0.77 24.2% 6.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 45

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.74 - 0.97 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.03)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 20

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.2%

Win Probability (After): 30.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:06 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at UK 45) Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 5 yds to the Kent 40 - IOWA 17, UK 20 0.47 27.8% 7.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 40

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.15 - 1.68 = 0.47

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.32)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 20

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.8%

Win Probability (After): 35.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:48 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 5 at UK 40) Spencer Petras pass intercepted DeAndre Square return for no gain to the Kent 26 - IOWA 17, UK 20 -2.77 30.1% -21.7%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 74

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.78 - 1.99 = -2.77

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.01)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.78)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: IOWA 17, UK 20

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.1%

Win Probability (After): 8.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:44 ESPN team id 96 (1st & 10 at UK 26) TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 25 - IOWA 17, UK 20 -0.20 94.0% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 75

Started Drive at: UK 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.32 - 0.52 = -0.20

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.52)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 20

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.0%

Win Probability (After): 93.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:05 ESPN team id 96 (2nd & 11 at UK 25) TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 23 - IOWA 17, UK 20 0.06 89.7% 10.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 77

Started Drive at: UK 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 0.07 = 0.06

Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.07)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: IOWA 17, UK 20

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.7%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 20 (20)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2