Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 5.29 | Odds: UK -3, O/U 43.5 | Download Chart
Expected Points
Team Stats [show/hide]
| Overall |  |
 |
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 70 | 85 |
| Total EPA | -1.46 | 0.49 |
| Offensive EPA | -0.43 | -2.39 |
| Special Teams EPA | -3.21 | 0.64 |
| Penalty EPA | 2.19 | 3.91 |
| Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA | -0.01 | -1.67 |
| Production | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 60 | 75 |
| Yards | 387 | 364 |
| Yards/Play | 6.45 | 4.85 |
| EPA | -0.43 | -2.39 |
| EPA/Play | -0.01 | -0.03 |
| Passes | 30 (50%) | 34 (45%) |
| Yards | 211 | 233 |
| Yards/Play | 7.03 | 6.85 |
| EPA | 0.44 | 1.47 |
| EPA/Play | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Rushes | 30 (50%) | 41 (55%) |
| Yards | 173 | 159 |
| Yards/Play | 5.77 | 3.88 |
| EPA | -0.87 | -3.85 |
| EPA/Play | -0.03 | -0.09 |
| Rushing | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 60 | 75 |
| Rushes | 30 (50%) | 41 (55%) |
| Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) | 3 (10%) | 2 (5%) |
| Successful Power Runs (Rate) | 0 (0%) | 1 (50%) |
| Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) | 5 (17%) | 7 (17%) |
| Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) | 10 (33%) | 18 (44%) |
| Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) | 17 (57%) | 19 (46%) |
| OL Line Yards | 57.1 | 81.9 |
| Per Carry | 1.90 | 2.00 |
| Highlight Yards | 53 | 25.5 |
| Per Rush Opportunity | 3.12 | 1.34 |
| Explosiveness | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 70 | 85 |
| Scrimmage Plays | 60 | 75 |
| Explosive Plays | 2 (3%) | 2 (3%) |
| When Passing (EPA > 2.4) | 1 (3%) | 2 (6%) |
| When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) | 1 (3%) | 0 (0%) |
| EPA w/o Explosive Plays | -7.48 | -11.16 |
| EPA/Play | -0.13 | -0.15 |
| When Passing | -2.97 | -7.31 |
| EPA/Play | -0.10 | -0.21 |
| When Rushing | -4.51 | -3.85 |
| EPA/Play | -0.16 | -0.09 |
| Situational | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Successful Plays (EPA > 0) | 30 (50%) | 36 (48%) |
| When Passing | 15 (50%) | 16 (47%) |
| When Rushing | 15 (50%) | 20 (49%) |
| On Standard Downs | 24 (52%) | 30 (54%) |
| On Passing Downs | 6 (43%) | 6 (32%) |
| On Early Downs | 26 (54%) | 30 (51%) |
| On Late Downs | 4 (33%) | 6 (38%) |
| During "Middle 8" | 4 (50%) | 5 (38%) |
| Early Downs | 48 | 59 |
| First Downs Created | 13 (27%) | 15 (25%) |
| EPA | 5.06 | 4.49 |
| EPA/Play | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| Passes | 23 (48%) | 26 (44%) |
| Rushes | 25 (52%) | 33 (56%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 12 (52%) | 13 (50%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 14 (56%) | 17 (52%) |
| "Middle 8" Plays | 8 | 13 |
| EPA | -3.54 | -4.66 |
| EPA/play | -0.44 | -0.36 |
| Passes | 6 (75%) | 4 (31%) |
| Rushes | 2 (25%) | 9 (69%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 3 (50%) | 1 (25%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 1 (50%) | 4 (44%) |
| Drives | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total | 11 | 11 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 25 | Own 24 |
| Plays/Drive | 6.52 | 8.91 |
| Yards/Drive | 46.10 | 49.03 |
| Available Yards % | 62% | 64% |
| Defensive | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 75 | 60 |
| Stop Rate | 36% | 37% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 12 (16%) | 5 (8%) |
| Passing | 7 (21%) | 3 (10%) |
| Rushing | 5 (12%) | 2 (7%) |
| TFLs Generated | 11 | 2 |
| Passing | 6 | 0 |
| Rushing | 5 | 2 |
| Sacks Generated | 6 (18%) | 0 (0%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1 | 3 |
| Fumbles Forced | 0 | 0 |
| Turnovers | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 4 | 2 |
| Fumbles | 1 | 1 |
| Fumbles Lost | 1 | 1 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 3 | 1 |
| Turnover Margin | -2 | 2 |
| Expected Turnovers | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Expected Turnover Margin | -0.4 | 0.4 |
| Turnover Luck (pts) | -7.8 | 7.8 |
| Special Teams | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 10 | 10 |
| Total EPA | -3.21 | 0.64 |
| Field Goal EPA | 0.52 | 0.56 |
| Punting EPA | -1.72 | 0.08 |
| Kickoff Return EPA | -2.02 | 0 |
Iowa [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Spencer Petras | 19/30, 211 yds, 1 TD, 3 INT, 0 Scks, 52.9 xQBR | 7.03 | 0.01 | 0.44 | 50% | 11.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Arland Bruce IV | 2 carries, 21 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.50 | 1.55 | 3.10 | 50% | 15.0% | |
| Gavin Williams | 16 carries, 98 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.12 | 0.13 | 2.16 | 56% | -1.0% | |
| Ivory Kelly-Martin | 1 carry, 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.00 | 0.47 | 0.47 | 100% | 1.0% | |
| Leshon Williams | 10 carries, 42 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.20 | -0.19 | -1.88 | 40% | -12.0% | |
| Spencer Petras | 1 carry, 0 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) | 0.00 | -4.72 | -4.72 | 0% | -7.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Sam LaPorta | 7 catches (9 targets), 122 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 17.43 | 0.71 | 6.39 | 67% | 34.0% | |
| Ivory Kelly-Martin | 2 catches (2 targets), 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.50 | 1.21 | 2.42 | 100% | 6.0% | |
| Luke Lachey | 2 catches (2 targets), 27 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 13.50 | 1.17 | 2.33 | 100% | 10.0% | |
| Gavin Williams | 2 catches (2 targets), 14 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 7.00 | 0.29 | 0.58 | 100% | 1.0% | |
| Monte Pottebaum | 1 catch (1 target), 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | -0.09 | -0.09 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Jackson Ritter | 1 catch (1 target), 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.00 | -0.17 | -0.17 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Arland Bruce IV | 4 catches (6 targets), 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.00 | -0.22 | -1.31 | 50% | -1.0% | |
| Nico Ragaini | 0 catches (4 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.72 | -2.86 | 0% | -6.0% | |
Kentucky [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Will Levis | 17/28, 233 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 6 Scks, 46.6 xQBR | 6.85 | 0.04 | 1.47 | 47% | 43.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. | 20 carries, 107 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.35 | 0.18 | 3.66 | 55% | 25.0% | |
| TEAM | 2 carries, -3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | -1.50 | -0.07 | -0.14 | 50% | 10.0% | |
| Will Levis | 9 carries, 27 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | -0.33 | -2.94 | 56% | -4.0% | |
| JuTahn McClain | 10 carries, 28 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) | 2.80 | -0.44 | -4.43 | 30% | -16.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Wan'Dale Robinson | 10 catches (13 targets), 170 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 17.00 | 0.85 | 11.03 | 77% | 64.0% | |
| DeMarcus Harris | 2 catches (2 targets), 28 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 14.00 | 1.42 | 2.84 | 100% | 7.0% | |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. | 1 catch (1 target), 5 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.00 | 1.08 | 1.08 | 100% | 11.0% | |
| Justin Rigg | 2 catches (2 targets), 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.50 | 0.25 | 0.50 | 50% | 3.0% | |
| Izayah Cummings | 1 catch (3 targets), 13 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 13.00 | -0.07 | -0.20 | 33% | 3.0% | |
| Chauncey Magwood | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.35 | -0.35 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Brenden Bates | 1 catch (2 targets), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.00 | -0.31 | -0.62 | 50% | -5.0% | |
| Chris Lewis | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.63 | -0.63 | 0% | -5.0% | |
| JuTahn McClain | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.90 | -0.90 | 0% | -3.0% | |
| Jacquez Jones | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.95 | -0.95 | 0% | -1.0% | |
Big Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute EPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 7:47 | |
(4th & 1 at UK 11) Spencer Petras run for no gain to the Kent 11 - IOWA 3, UK 13 | -4.72 | 21.0% | -7.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 89 Started Drive at: IOWA 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.16 - 3.57 = -4.72 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.43) Score Difference (End): 10 (11.16) Change of Possession: 1 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.0% Win Probability (After): 13.6% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 1:55 | |
(2nd & 10 at UK 47) Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 52 yds to the Iowa 1 for a 1ST down - IOWA 17, UK 13 | 4.71 | 25.0% | 45.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 1 Started Drive at: UK 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.19 - 1.49 = 4.71 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.51) Score Difference (End): -4 (2.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 79 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.0% Win Probability (After): 70.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 7:13 | |
(4th & 1 at IOWA 35) JuTahn McClain run for no gain to the Iowa 35 - IOWA 17, UK 13 | -4.20 | 41.6% | -15.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 65 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.04 - 2.16 = -4.20 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.84) Score Difference (End): 4 (6.04) Change of Possession: 1 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.6% Win Probability (After): 25.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 5:45 | |
(3rd & 26 at UK 46) Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 34 yds to the Iowa 20 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 7 | 4.07 | 65.4% | 8.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 20 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.49 - 0.42 = 4.07 Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.42) Score Difference (End): 4 (8.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.4% Win Probability (After): 74.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:21 | |
(3rd & 5 at UK 20) Arland Bruce IV run for 20 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK) - IOWA 10, UK 13 | 3.63 | 18.6% | 16.1% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99 Started Drive at: 50 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.37 = 3.63 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.63) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 10, UK 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.6% Win Probability (After): 34.8% Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:09 | |
(2nd & 11 at IOWA 24) Spencer Petras pass intercepted D'Eryk Jackson return for 3 yds to the Iowa 31 - IOWA 3, UK 10 | -3.50 | 24.0% | -5.9% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 31 Started Drive at: IOWA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.08 - 0.42 = -3.50 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.58) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.08) Change of Possession: 1 Score: IOWA 3, UK 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.0% Win Probability (After): 18.1% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:54 | |
(2nd & 3 at UK 36) Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 36 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK) - IOWA 17, UK 13 | 3.41 | 49.1% | 18.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 99 Started Drive at: IOWA 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.59 = 3.41 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.59) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 92 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.1% Win Probability (After): 67.2% Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:48 | |
(2nd & 5 at UK 40) Spencer Petras pass intercepted DeAndre Square return for no gain to the Kent 26 - IOWA 17, UK 20 | -2.77 | 30.1% | -21.7% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 74 Started Drive at: IOWA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.78 - 1.99 = -2.77 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.01) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.78) Change of Possession: 1 Score: IOWA 17, UK 20 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.1% Win Probability (After): 8.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 3:18 | |
(3rd & Goal at IOWA 2) Will Levis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 3 - IOWA 3, UK 7 | -2.39 | 74.5% | -2.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 3 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.92 - 5.31 = -2.39 Score Difference (Before): 4 (9.31) Score Difference (End): 4 (6.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 7 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 72 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.5% Win Probability (After): 71.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:10 | |
(2nd & 2 at IOWA 46) Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 34 yds to the Kent 20 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 13 | 2.26 | 18.7% | 6.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 20 Started Drive at: IOWA 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.29 - 2.03 = 2.26 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.97) Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.7% Win Probability (After): 24.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 1:55 | |
(2nd & 10 at UK 47) Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 52 yds to the Iowa 1 for a 1ST down - IOWA 17, UK 13 | 4.71 | 25.0% | 45.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 1 Started Drive at: UK 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.19 - 1.49 = 4.71 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.51) Score Difference (End): -4 (2.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 79 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.0% Win Probability (After): 70.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:48 | |
(2nd & 5 at UK 40) Spencer Petras pass intercepted DeAndre Square return for no gain to the Kent 26 - IOWA 17, UK 20 | -2.77 | 30.1% | -21.7% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 74 Started Drive at: IOWA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.78 - 1.99 = -2.77 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.01) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.78) Change of Possession: 1 Score: IOWA 17, UK 20 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.1% Win Probability (After): 8.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 10:54 | |
(2nd & 3 at UK 36) Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 36 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK) - IOWA 17, UK 13 | 3.41 | 49.1% | 18.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 99 Started Drive at: IOWA 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.59 = 3.41 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.59) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 92 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.1% Win Probability (After): 67.2% Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:21 | |
(3rd & 5 at UK 20) Arland Bruce IV run for 20 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK) - IOWA 10, UK 13 | 3.63 | 18.6% | 16.1% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99 Started Drive at: 50 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.37 = 3.63 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.63) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 10, UK 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.6% Win Probability (After): 34.8% Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:13 | |
(4th & 1 at IOWA 35) JuTahn McClain run for no gain to the Iowa 35 - IOWA 17, UK 13 | -4.20 | 41.6% | -15.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 65 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.04 - 2.16 = -4.20 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.84) Score Difference (End): 4 (6.04) Change of Possession: 1 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.6% Win Probability (After): 25.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 1:48 | |
(1st & Goal at IOWA 6) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) - IOWA 17, UK 20 | 1.66 | 66.3% | 15.7% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99 Started Drive at: UK 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.34 = 1.66 Score Difference (Before): -4 (1.34) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 20 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.3% Win Probability (After): 82.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 4:41 | |
(3rd & 8 at UK 26) Levis, Will pass incomplete to Robinson, Wan'Dale, PENALTY IOWA pass interference (Moss, Riley) 15 yards to the KENTUCKY41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTUCKY. - IOWA 17, UK 13 | 2.25 | 25.6% | 13.4% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 59 Started Drive at: UK 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - -0.38 = 2.25 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.38) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.6% Win Probability (After): 39.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:03 | |
(4th & 9 at UK 10) Caleb Shudak 28 yd FG GOOD - IOWA 3, UK 7 | 0.52 | 29.3% | 12.4% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 10 Started Drive at: IOWA 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.48 = 0.52 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.52) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.3% Win Probability (After): 41.6% Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 5:32 | |
(1st & Goal at IOWA 5) Will Levis pass complete to Chris Rodriguez Jr. for 5 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) - IOWA 0, UK 7 | 1.08 | 62.2% | 10.5% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99 Started Drive at: UK 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.92 = 1.08 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.92) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 7 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.2% Win Probability (After): 72.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:05 | |
(2nd & 11 at UK 25) TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 23 - IOWA 17, UK 20 | 0.06 | 89.7% | 10.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 77 Started Drive at: UK 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 0.07 = 0.06 Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.07) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 20 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -3 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.7% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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Scoring Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 5:32 | |
(1st & Goal at IOWA 5) Will Levis pass complete to Chris Rodriguez Jr. for 5 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) - IOWA 0, UK 7 | 1.08 | 62.2% | 10.5% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99 Started Drive at: UK 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.92 = 1.08 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.92) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 7 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.2% Win Probability (After): 72.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:03 | |
(4th & 9 at UK 10) Caleb Shudak 28 yd FG GOOD - IOWA 3, UK 7 | 0.52 | 29.3% | 12.4% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 10 Started Drive at: IOWA 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.48 = 0.52 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.52) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.3% Win Probability (After): 41.6% Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 2:48 | |
(4th & Goal at IOWA 3) Matt Ruffolo 21 yd FG GOOD - IOWA 3, UK 10 | 0.10 | 72.2% | 10.3% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 3 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.90 = 0.10 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.90) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 10 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 72 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.2% Win Probability (After): 82.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:38 | |
(4th & 8 at IOWA 9) Matt Ruffolo 27 yd FG GOOD - IOWA 3, UK 13 | 0.46 | 82.2% | 6.2% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9 Started Drive at: IOWA 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.54 = 0.46 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.54) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.2% Win Probability (After): 88.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 3:21 | |
(3rd & 5 at UK 20) Arland Bruce IV run for 20 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK) - IOWA 10, UK 13 | 3.63 | 18.6% | 16.1% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99 Started Drive at: 50 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.37 = 3.63 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.63) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 10, UK 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.6% Win Probability (After): 34.8% Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:54 | |
(2nd & 3 at UK 36) Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 36 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK) - IOWA 17, UK 13 | 3.41 | 49.1% | 18.1% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 99 Started Drive at: IOWA 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.59 = 3.41 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.59) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 92 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.1% Win Probability (After): 67.2% Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:48 | |
(1st & Goal at IOWA 6) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) - IOWA 17, UK 20 | 1.66 | 66.3% | 15.7% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99 Started Drive at: UK 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.34 = 1.66 Score Difference (Before): -4 (1.34) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 20 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.3% Win Probability (After): 82.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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All Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at IOWA 35) Chance Poore kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - IOWA 0, UK 0 | 0.00 | 42.1% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: IOWA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.1% Win Probability (After): 42.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:49 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 25) Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 12 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST down - IOWA 0, UK 0 | 0.74 | 49.3% | -1.5% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 63 Started Drive at: IOWA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 1.09 = 0.74 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.09) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.3% Win Probability (After): 47.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:05 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 37) Gavin Williams run for 5 yds to the Iowa 42 - IOWA 0, UK 0 | 0.08 | 50.9% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 58 Started Drive at: IOWA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.09 - 2.00 = 0.08 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.00) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.9% Win Probability (After): 51.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:54 | |
(2nd & 5 at IOWA 42) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Nico Ragaini - IOWA 0, UK 0 | -1.04 | 51.7% | -3.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 58 Started Drive at: IOWA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.08 - 2.12 = -1.04 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.12) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.7% Win Probability (After): 48.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:41 | |
(3rd & 5 at IOWA 42) Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 3 yds to the Iowa 45 - IOWA 0, UK 0 | -1.30 | 49.3% | -3.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 55 Started Drive at: IOWA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.25 - 1.05 = -1.30 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.05) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.3% Win Probability (After): 46.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:00 | |
(4th & 2 at IOWA 45) Tory Taylor punt for 55 yds for a touchback - IOWA 0, UK 0 | -0.53 | 45.7% | 0.2% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 80 Started Drive at: IOWA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.76 - -0.23 = -0.53 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.23) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.76) Change of Possession: 1 Score: IOWA 0, UK 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.7% Win Probability (After): 45.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 12:50 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 20) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 27 - IOWA 0, UK 0 | 0.50 | 52.5% | 3.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 73 Started Drive at: UK 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.30 - 0.80 = 0.50 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.80) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.5% Win Probability (After): 55.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:19 | |
(2nd & 3 at UK 27) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST down - IOWA 0, UK 0 | 0.71 | 54.8% | 1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 65 Started Drive at: UK 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - 1.27 = 0.71 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.27) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.8% Win Probability (After): 56.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:39 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 35) Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 5 yds to the Kent 40 - IOWA 0, UK 0 | 0.03 | 57.8% | -0.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 60 Started Drive at: UK 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - 1.95 = 0.03 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.95) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.8% Win Probability (After): 57.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:55 | |
(2nd & 5 at UK 40) JuTahn McClain run for 2 yds to the Kent 42 - IOWA 0, UK 0 | -0.70 | 58.2% | -3.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 58 Started Drive at: UK 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.26 - 1.97 = -0.70 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.97) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.2% Win Probability (After): 55.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:34 | |
(3rd & 3 at UK 42) JuTahn McClain run for 5 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST down - IOWA 0, UK 0 | 1.21 | 55.1% | 4.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 53 Started Drive at: UK 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.60 - 1.39 = 1.21 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.39) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.1% Win Probability (After): 59.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:55 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 47) Will Levis pass complete to Justin Rigg for 9 yds to the Iowa 44 - IOWA 0, UK 0 | 0.93 | 58.7% | 2.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 44 Started Drive at: UK 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.61 - 2.69 = 0.93 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.69) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.7% Win Probability (After): 61.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:23 | |
(2nd & 1 at IOWA 44) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST down - IOWA 0, UK 0 | 0.25 | 60.3% | 0.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 35 Started Drive at: UK 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.85 - 3.60 = 0.25 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.60) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.3% Win Probability (After): 60.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:47 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 35) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Iowa 31 - IOWA 0, UK 0 | -0.01 | 61.4% | -0.8% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 31 Started Drive at: UK 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.80 - 3.81 = -0.01 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.81) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.4% Win Probability (After): 60.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:55 | |
(2nd & 6 at IOWA 31) Will Levis pass complete to Justin Rigg for 2 yds to the Iowa 29 - IOWA 0, UK 0 | -0.43 | 59.5% | 0.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 29 Started Drive at: UK 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 3.76 = -0.43 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.76) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.5% Win Probability (After): 60.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:25 | |
(3rd & 4 at IOWA 29) Will Levis pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 14 yds to the Iowa 15 for a 1ST down - IOWA 0, UK 0 | 1.73 | 56.8% | 5.5% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 15 Started Drive at: UK 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.01 - 3.28 = 1.73 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.28) Score Difference (End): 0 (5.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 0 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.8% Win Probability (After): 62.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:48 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 15) Will Levis pass complete to Brenden Bates for 6 yds to the Iowa 9 - IOWA 0, UK 0 | 0.11 | 60.8% | -0.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 9 Started Drive at: UK 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.14 - 5.03 = 0.11 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.03) Score Difference (End): 0 (5.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 0 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.8% Win Probability (After): 60.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:06 | |
(2nd & 4 at IOWA 9) Will Levis run for 4 yds to the Iowa 5 for a 1ST down - IOWA 0, UK 0 | 0.74 | 61.5% | 1.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 5 Started Drive at: UK 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.92 - 5.18 = 0.74 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.18) Score Difference (End): 0 (5.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 0 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.5% Win Probability (After): 62.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:32 | |
(1st & Goal at IOWA 5) Will Levis pass complete to Chris Rodriguez Jr. for 5 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) - IOWA 0, UK 7 | 1.08 | 62.2% | 10.5% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99 Started Drive at: UK 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.92 = 1.08 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.92) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 7 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.2% Win Probability (After): 72.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:28 | |
(Kickoff at IOWA 35) Chance Poore kickoff for 65 yds , Charlie Jones return for 13 yds to the Iowa 13 - IOWA 0, UK 7 | -1.69 | 29.6% | -0.9% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 87 Started Drive at: IOWA 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.74 - -0.05 = -1.69 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.05) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.6% Win Probability (After): 28.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:19 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 13) Arland Bruce IV run for 1 yd to the Iowa 14 - IOWA 0, UK 7 | -0.53 | 29.4% | -1.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 86 Started Drive at: IOWA 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.13 - -0.60 = -0.53 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.60) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.4% Win Probability (After): 28.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:30 | |
(2nd & 9 at IOWA 14) Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 3 yds to the Iowa 17 - IOWA 0, UK 7 | -0.50 | 29.4% | -2.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 83 Started Drive at: IOWA 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.62 - -1.12 = -0.50 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.12) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.4% Win Probability (After): 27.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:11 | |
(3rd & 6 at IOWA 17) Petras, Spencer pass incomplete to LaPorta, Sam, PENALTY KENTUCKY holding (Corker, Yusuf) 10 yards to the IOWA27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA. - IOWA 0, UK 7 | 1.96 | 28.3% | 2.7% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 73 Started Drive at: IOWA 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.34 - -1.62 = 1.96 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.62) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.3% Win Probability (After): 31.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:00 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 27) Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the Iowa 31 - IOWA 0, UK 7 | -0.18 | 31.1% | -0.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 69 Started Drive at: IOWA 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.17 - 0.35 = -0.18 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.65) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.1% Win Probability (After): 30.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:35 | |
(2nd & 6 at IOWA 31) Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the Iowa 34 - IOWA 0, UK 7 | -0.05 | 30.3% | -0.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 66 Started Drive at: IOWA 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.12 - 0.16 = -0.05 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.84) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.3% Win Probability (After): 30.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:59 | |
(3rd & 3 at IOWA 34) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPorta - IOWA 0, UK 7 | -1.79 | 30.1% | -2.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66 Started Drive at: IOWA 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.68 - 0.10 = -1.79 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.90) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.1% Win Probability (After): 27.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:52 | |
(4th & 3 at IOWA 34) Tory Taylor punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Wan'Dale Robinson at the Kent 22 - IOWA 0, UK 7 | -0.41 | 28.3% | -2.9% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 78 Started Drive at: IOWA 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.09 - -1.68 = -0.41 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.68) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.09) Change of Possession: 1 Score: IOWA 0, UK 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.3% Win Probability (After): 25.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 2:25 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 22) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 21 - IOWA 0, UK 7 | -0.86 | 74.4% | -2.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 79 Started Drive at: UK 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.24 - 2.10 = -0.86 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.10) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.4% Win Probability (After): 72.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:10 | |
(2nd & 11 at UK 21) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 22 - IOWA 0, UK 7 | -0.72 | 72.3% | -1.0% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 78 Started Drive at: UK 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - 1.23 = -0.72 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.23) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.3% Win Probability (After): 71.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:00 | |
(3rd & 10 at UK 22) Will Levis sacked by Zach VanValkenburg for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 14 - IOWA 0, UK 7 | -1.76 | 70.7% | -3.3% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 86 Started Drive at: UK 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.24 - 0.52 = -1.76 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.52) Score Difference (End): 7 (5.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -8 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.7% Win Probability (After): 67.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:44 | |
(4th & 18 at UK 14) Colin Goodfellow punt for 54 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 3 yds to the Iowa 35 - IOWA 0, UK 7 | 0.06 | 66.8% | 2.5% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 65 Started Drive at: UK 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.16 - -1.21 = 0.06 Score Difference (Before): 7 (5.79) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.84) Change of Possession: 1 Score: IOWA 0, UK 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -8 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.8% Win Probability (After): 69.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 0:34 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 35) Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - IOWA 0, UK 7 | 0.90 | 30.8% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 50 Started Drive at: IOWA 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.06 - 1.16 = 0.90 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.84) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.8% Win Probability (After): 32.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:03 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) Gavin Williams run for 8 yds to the Kent 42 - IOWA 0, UK 7 | 0.73 | 32.4% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 42 Started Drive at: IOWA 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.77 - 2.04 = 0.73 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.96) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.4% Win Probability (After): 34.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:50 | |
(2nd & 2 at UK 42) Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 8 yds to the Kent 34 for a 1ST down - IOWA 0, UK 7 | 0.48 | 32.6% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 34 Started Drive at: IOWA 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.24 - 2.76 = 0.48 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.24) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.6% Win Probability (After): 33.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:00 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 34) Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the Kent 30 - IOWA 0, UK 7 | -0.03 | 32.7% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 30 Started Drive at: IOWA 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.22 - 3.25 = -0.03 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.75) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.7% Win Probability (After): 32.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:28 | |
(2nd & 6 at UK 30) Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST down - IOWA 0, UK 7 | 0.65 | 34.6% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 24 Started Drive at: IOWA 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.87 - 3.23 = 0.65 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.77) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.6% Win Probability (After): 34.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:10 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 24) Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 13 yds to the Kent 11 for a 1ST down - IOWA 0, UK 7 | 1.05 | 35.8% | 4.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 11 Started Drive at: IOWA 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.94 - 3.89 = 1.05 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.11) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.8% Win Probability (After): 40.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:14 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 11) Gavin Williams run for 2 yds to the Kent 9 - IOWA 0, UK 7 | -0.41 | 37.9% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 9 Started Drive at: IOWA 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.49 - 4.90 = -0.41 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.10) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.9% Win Probability (After): 37.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:54 | |
(2nd & 8 at UK 9) Spencer Petras pass complete to Jackson Ritter for 4 yds to the Kent 5 - IOWA 0, UK 7 | -0.17 | 36.7% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 5 Started Drive at: IOWA 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.32 - 4.49 = -0.17 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.51) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.7% Win Probability (After): 36.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:31 | |
(3rd & 4 at UK 5) IOWA Penalty, False Start (Connor Colby) to the Kent 10 - IOWA 0, UK 7 | -0.82 | 36.1% | -2.5% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 10 Started Drive at: IOWA 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.56 - 4.37 = -0.82 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.63) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.1% Win Probability (After): 33.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:06 | |
(3rd & 9 at UK 10) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Arland Bruce IV - IOWA 0, UK 7 | -1.11 | 33.3% | -3.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 10 Started Drive at: IOWA 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.46 - 3.58 = -1.11 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.42) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 0, UK 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.3% Win Probability (After): 29.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:03 | |
(4th & 9 at UK 10) Caleb Shudak 28 yd FG GOOD - IOWA 3, UK 7 | 0.52 | 29.3% | 12.4% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 10 Started Drive at: IOWA 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.48 = 0.52 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.52) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.3% Win Probability (After): 41.6% Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 11:03 | |
(Kickoff at UK 35) Caleb Shudak kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - IOWA 3, UK 7 | 0.00 | 64.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.53 - 1.53 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.53) Score Difference (End): 4 (5.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.8% Win Probability (After): 64.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:56 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 25) Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 16 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 7 | 1.04 | 64.2% | 3.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 59 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.58 - 1.53 = 1.04 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.53) Score Difference (End): 4 (6.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.2% Win Probability (After): 67.6% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:00 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 41) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 49 - IOWA 3, UK 7 | 0.48 | 67.6% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 51 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.05 - 2.58 = 0.48 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.58) Score Difference (End): 4 (7.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.6% Win Probability (After): 68.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:39 | |
(2nd & 2 at UK 49) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 7 | 0.26 | 68.5% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 48 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.19 - 2.94 = 0.26 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.94) Score Difference (End): 4 (7.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.5% Win Probability (After): 68.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:45 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 48) JuTahn McClain run for 8 yds to the Iowa 40 - IOWA 3, UK 7 | 0.82 | 67.9% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 40 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.75 - 2.92 = 0.82 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.92) Score Difference (End): 4 (7.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.9% Win Probability (After): 70.0% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:28 | |
(2nd & 2 at IOWA 40) Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale Robinson - IOWA 3, UK 7 | -0.74 | 69.2% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - 3.58 = -0.74 Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.58) Score Difference (End): 4 (6.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.2% Win Probability (After): 67.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:21 | |
(3rd & 2 at IOWA 40) Will Levis run for 2 yds to the Iowa 38 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 7 | 0.72 | 67.6% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 38 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.47 - 2.75 = 0.72 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.75) Score Difference (End): 4 (7.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.6% Win Probability (After): 69.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:37 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 38) Will Levis sacked by Joe Evans for a loss of 8 yards to the Iowa 46 - IOWA 3, UK 7 | -1.64 | 69.7% | -5.0% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 46 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.78 - 3.41 = -1.64 Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.41) Score Difference (End): 4 (5.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.7% Win Probability (After): 64.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:59 | |
(2nd & 18 at IOWA 46) Timeout KENTUCKY, clock 06:59 - IOWA 3, UK 7 | 0.00 | 65.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.78 - 1.78 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.78) Score Difference (End): 4 (5.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.5% Win Probability (After): 65.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:17 | |
(2nd & 18 at IOWA 46) Will Levis sacked by Zach VanValkenburg for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 46 - IOWA 3, UK 7 | -1.20 | 68.5% | -5.5% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 54 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.72 - 1.92 = -1.20 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.92) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.5% Win Probability (After): 63.0% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:45 | |
(3rd & 26 at UK 46) Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 34 yds to the Iowa 20 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 7 | 4.07 | 65.4% | 8.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 20 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.49 - 0.42 = 4.07 Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.42) Score Difference (End): 4 (8.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.4% Win Probability (After): 74.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:27 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 20) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 12 yds to the Iowa 8 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 7 | 0.92 | 74.5% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 8 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.27 - 4.35 = 0.92 Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.35) Score Difference (End): 4 (9.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 7 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 67 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.5% Win Probability (After): 75.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:44 | |
(1st & Goal at IOWA 8) JuTahn McClain run for no gain to the Iowa 8 - IOWA 3, UK 7 | -0.69 | 75.4% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.59 - 5.29 = -0.69 Score Difference (Before): 4 (9.29) Score Difference (End): 4 (8.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 7 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 67 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.4% Win Probability (After): 74.3% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:59 | |
(2nd & Goal at IOWA 8) Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 6 yds to the Iowa 2 - IOWA 3, UK 7 | 0.68 | 75.1% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 2 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.26 - 4.58 = 0.68 Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.58) Score Difference (End): 4 (9.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 7 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 73 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.1% Win Probability (After): 74.3% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:18 | |
(3rd & Goal at IOWA 2) Will Levis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 3 - IOWA 3, UK 7 | -2.39 | 74.5% | -2.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 3 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.92 - 5.31 = -2.39 Score Difference (Before): 4 (9.31) Score Difference (End): 4 (6.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 7 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 72 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.5% Win Probability (After): 71.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:48 | |
(4th & Goal at IOWA 3) Matt Ruffolo 21 yd FG GOOD - IOWA 3, UK 10 | 0.10 | 72.2% | 10.3% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 3 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.90 = 0.10 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.90) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 10 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 72 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.2% Win Probability (After): 82.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 7 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 2:48 | |
(Kickoff at IOWA 35) Chance Poore kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - IOWA 3, UK 10 | 0.00 | 26.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: IOWA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.85 - 0.85 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.15) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.3% Win Probability (After): 26.3% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:22 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 25) Leshon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 24 - IOWA 3, UK 10 | -0.85 | 26.3% | -2.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 76 Started Drive at: IOWA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.18 - 1.04 = -0.85 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.96) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.3% Win Probability (After): 23.3% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:09 | |
(2nd & 11 at IOWA 24) Spencer Petras pass intercepted D'Eryk Jackson return for 3 yds to the Iowa 31 - IOWA 3, UK 10 | -3.50 | 24.0% | -5.9% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 31 Started Drive at: IOWA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.08 - 0.42 = -3.50 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.58) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.08) Change of Possession: 1 Score: IOWA 3, UK 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.0% Win Probability (After): 18.1% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:01 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 31) JuTahn McClain run for 10 yds to the Iowa 21 for a 1ST down IOWA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Logan Lee) to the Iowa 11 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 10 | 1.61 | 83.0% | 3.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 11 Started Drive at: IOWA 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.68 - 3.01 = 1.61 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.08) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.0% Win Probability (After): 86.3% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:24 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 11) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Iowa 6 - IOWA 3, UK 10 | 0.35 | 87.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 6 Started Drive at: IOWA 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.81 - 4.46 = 0.35 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.46) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.0% Win Probability (After): 87.1% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:48 | |
(2nd & 5 at IOWA 6) JuTahn McClain run for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 9 - IOWA 3, UK 10 | -1.38 | 88.0% | -3.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 9 Started Drive at: IOWA 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.35 - 4.74 = -1.38 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.74) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.0% Win Probability (After): 84.6% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:45 | |
(3rd & 8 at IOWA 9) Timeout KENTUCKY, clock 00:45 - IOWA 3, UK 10 | 0.00 | 85.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9 Started Drive at: IOWA 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.35 - 3.35 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.35) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.9% Win Probability (After): 85.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:42 | |
(3rd & 8 at IOWA 9) Will Levis pass incomplete to JuTahn McClain - IOWA 3, UK 10 | -0.90 | 85.6% | -3.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9 Started Drive at: IOWA 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.54 - 3.44 = -0.90 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.44) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.6% Win Probability (After): 82.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:38 | |
(4th & 8 at IOWA 9) Matt Ruffolo 27 yd FG GOOD - IOWA 3, UK 13 | 0.46 | 82.2% | 6.2% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9 Started Drive at: IOWA 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.54 = 0.46 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.54) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.2% Win Probability (After): 88.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:34 | |
(Kickoff at IOWA 35) Chance Poore kickoff for 65 yds , Charlie Jones return for 17 yds to the Iowa 17 - IOWA 3, UK 13 | -0.33 | 19.5% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 83 Started Drive at: IOWA 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.02 - 0.35 = -0.33 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.65) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.5% Win Probability (After): 18.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:27 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 17) Spencer Petras pass complete to Gavin Williams for 10 yds to the Iowa 27 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 13 | 0.26 | 18.8% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 73 Started Drive at: IOWA 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.42 - 0.16 = 0.26 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.84) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.8% Win Probability (After): 19.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:21 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 27) Spencer Petras pass complete to Ivory Kelly-Martin for 10 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 13 | 0.35 | 19.6% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 63 Started Drive at: IOWA 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.55 - 0.20 = 0.35 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.80) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.6% Win Probability (After): 20.3% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:17 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 37) Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 12 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 13 | 0.47 | 19.9% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 51 Started Drive at: IOWA 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 0.34 = 0.47 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.66) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.9% Win Probability (After): 21.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:16 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 49) Timeout IOWA, clock 00:16 - IOWA 3, UK 13 | 0.00 | 21.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 51 Started Drive at: IOWA 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 0.81 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.19) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.3% Win Probability (After): 21.3% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:10 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 49) Spencer Petras pass complete to Gavin Williams for 4 yds to the Kent 47 - IOWA 3, UK 13 | 0.32 | 20.0% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 47 Started Drive at: IOWA 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - 0.59 = 0.32 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.41) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.0% Win Probability (After): 20.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:09 | |
(2nd & 6 at UK 47) Timeout IOWA, clock 00:09 - IOWA 3, UK 13 | 0.00 | 20.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 47 Started Drive at: IOWA 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - 0.90 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.10) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.1% Win Probability (After): 20.1% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:05 | |
(2nd & 6 at UK 47) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPorta - IOWA 3, UK 13 | -0.02 | 18.5% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 47 Started Drive at: IOWA 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - 0.66 = -0.02 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.34) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.5% Win Probability (After): 18.0% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:05 | |
(3rd & 6 at UK 47) Spencer Petras pass intercepted, touchback. Quandre Mosely return for no gain - IOWA 3, UK 13 | -0.57 | 18.0% | -5.6% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 80 Started Drive at: IOWA 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.06 - 0.57 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.43) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.06) Change of Possession: 1 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.0% Win Probability (After): 12.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at UK 35) Caleb Shudak kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - IOWA 3, UK 13 | 0.00 | 87.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.79 - 1.79 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.79) Score Difference (End): 10 (11.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.6% Win Probability (After): 87.6% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:50 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 25) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kent 34 - IOWA 3, UK 13 | 0.80 | 88.6% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 66 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.73 - 1.93 = 0.80 Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.93) Score Difference (End): 10 (12.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.6% Win Probability (After): 87.6% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:18 | |
(2nd & 1 at UK 34) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 13 | -0.18 | 87.5% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 64 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.67 - 2.85 = -0.18 Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.85) Score Difference (End): 10 (12.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.5% Win Probability (After): 88.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:38 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 36) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 44 - IOWA 3, UK 13 | 0.56 | 87.3% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 56 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.24 - 2.68 = 0.56 Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.68) Score Difference (End): 10 (13.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.3% Win Probability (After): 88.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:00 | |
(2nd & 2 at UK 44) JuTahn McClain run for 1 yd to the Kent 45 - IOWA 3, UK 13 | -0.63 | 87.8% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 55 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.61 - 3.24 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.24) Score Difference (End): 10 (12.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.8% Win Probability (After): 87.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:12 | |
(3rd & 1 at UK 45) Levis, Will rush for no gain to the KENTUCKY45, PENALTY IOWA offside (Waggoner, John) 5 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTUCKY. - IOWA 3, UK 13 | 0.74 | 87.0% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 50 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.35 - 2.61 = 0.74 Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.61) Score Difference (End): 10 (13.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.0% Win Probability (After): 87.6% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:36 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) Will Levis sacked by Logan Lee for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 46 - IOWA 3, UK 13 | -1.14 | 87.8% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 54 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.17 - 3.31 = -1.14 Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.31) Score Difference (End): 10 (12.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.8% Win Probability (After): 86.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:22 | |
(2nd & 14 at UK 46) Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale Robinson - IOWA 3, UK 13 | -1.14 | 86.9% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 54 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.92 - 2.06 = -1.14 Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.06) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.9% Win Probability (After): 86.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:09 | |
(3rd & 14 at UK 46) Will Levis run for 7 yds to the Iowa 47 - IOWA 3, UK 13 | -0.90 | 86.2% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 47 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.06 - 0.96 = -0.90 Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.96) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.2% Win Probability (After): 85.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:31 | |
(4th & 7 at IOWA 47) Colin Goodfellow punt for 47 yds for a touchback - IOWA 3, UK 13 | 0.14 | 85.9% | -2.5% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 80 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.33 - 0.19 = 0.14 Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.19) Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.33) Change of Possession: 1 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.9% Win Probability (After): 83.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 10:24 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 20) Gavin Williams run for 18 yds to the Iowa 38 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 13 | 1.38 | 16.8% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 62 Started Drive at: IOWA 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.23 - -0.16 = 1.38 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.16) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.8% Win Probability (After): 17.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:50 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 38) Gavin Williams run for 8 yds to the Iowa 46 - IOWA 3, UK 13 | 0.77 | 16.7% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 54 Started Drive at: IOWA 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.01 - 1.24 = 0.77 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.76) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.7% Win Probability (After): 18.6% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:10 | |
(2nd & 2 at IOWA 46) Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 34 yds to the Kent 20 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 13 | 2.26 | 18.7% | 6.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 20 Started Drive at: IOWA 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.29 - 2.03 = 2.26 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.97) Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.7% Win Probability (After): 24.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:03 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 20) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Nico Ragaini - IOWA 3, UK 13 | -0.53 | 24.9% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20 Started Drive at: IOWA 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.73 - 4.26 = -0.53 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.74) Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.9% Win Probability (After): 24.3% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:55 | |
(2nd & 10 at UK 20) Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 8 yds to the Kent 12 - IOWA 3, UK 13 | 0.49 | 24.1% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 12 Started Drive at: IOWA 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.20 - 3.71 = 0.49 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.29) Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.1% Win Probability (After): 24.3% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:18 | |
(3rd & 2 at UK 12) Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the Kent 11 - IOWA 3, UK 13 | -0.62 | 24.2% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 11 Started Drive at: IOWA 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.59 - 4.21 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.79) Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.2% Win Probability (After): 21.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:47 | |
(4th & 1 at UK 11) Spencer Petras run for no gain to the Kent 11 - IOWA 3, UK 13 | -4.72 | 21.0% | -7.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 89 Started Drive at: IOWA 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.16 - 3.57 = -4.72 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.43) Score Difference (End): 10 (11.16) Change of Possession: 1 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.0% Win Probability (After): 13.6% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 7:17 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 11) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 12 - IOWA 3, UK 13 | -0.71 | 86.5% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 88 Started Drive at: UK 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.45 - 1.16 = -0.71 Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.16) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.5% Win Probability (After): 86.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:28 | |
(2nd & 9 at UK 12) Will Levis sacked by Noah Shannon for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 9 - IOWA 3, UK 13 | -1.52 | 85.9% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 91 Started Drive at: UK 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.00 - 0.52 = -1.52 Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.52) Score Difference (End): 10 (9.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.9% Win Probability (After): 85.1% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:14 | |
(3rd & 12 at UK 9) Will Levis pass incomplete to Jacquez Jones - IOWA 3, UK 13 | -0.95 | 84.7% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 91 Started Drive at: UK 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.89 - -0.94 = -0.95 Score Difference (Before): 10 (9.06) Score Difference (End): 10 (8.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.7% Win Probability (After): 83.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:07 | |
(4th & 12 at UK 9) Colin Goodfellow punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the 50 yard line - IOWA 3, UK 13 | -0.14 | 83.7% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 50 Started Drive at: UK 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.03 - -1.88 = -0.14 Score Difference (Before): 10 (8.12) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.97) Change of Possession: 1 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.7% Win Probability (After): 82.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 6:01 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Nico Ragaini - IOWA 3, UK 13 | -0.48 | 17.8% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50 Started Drive at: 50 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.50 - 1.98 = -0.48 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.02) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.8% Win Probability (After): 17.0% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:43 | |
(2nd & 10 at 50) Leshon Williams run for 8 yds to the Kent 42 - IOWA 3, UK 13 | 0.44 | 17.2% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 42 Started Drive at: 50 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 1.39 = 0.44 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.61) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.2% Win Probability (After): 17.6% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:25 | |
(3rd & 2 at UK 42) KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Offside (Marquan McCall) to the Kent 37 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 13 | 1.04 | 17.8% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 37 Started Drive at: 50 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.86 - 1.82 = 1.04 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.18) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.8% Win Probability (After): 18.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:45 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 37) Leshon Williams run for 12 yds to the Kent 25 for a 1ST down - IOWA 3, UK 13 | 0.93 | 19.0% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 25 Started Drive at: 50 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.78 - 2.85 = 0.93 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.15) Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.0% Win Probability (After): 21.0% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:27 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 25) Gavin Williams run for 2 yds to the Kent 23 - IOWA 3, UK 13 | -0.33 | 21.3% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 23 Started Drive at: 50 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.45 - 3.78 = -0.33 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.22) Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.3% Win Probability (After): 20.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:54 | |
(2nd & 8 at UK 23) Spencer Petras pass complete to Monte Pottebaum for 3 yds to the Kent 20 - IOWA 3, UK 13 | -0.09 | 20.3% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 20 Started Drive at: 50 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.36 - 3.44 = -0.09 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.56) Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 3, UK 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.3% Win Probability (After): 20.6% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:21 | |
(3rd & 5 at UK 20) Arland Bruce IV run for 20 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK) - IOWA 10, UK 13 | 3.63 | 18.6% | 16.1% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99 Started Drive at: 50 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.37 = 3.63 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.63) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 10, UK 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.6% Win Probability (After): 34.8% Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:21 | |
(Kickoff at UK 35) Caleb Shudak kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - IOWA 10, UK 13 | 0.00 | 67.6% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.43 - 1.43 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.43) Score Difference (End): 3 (4.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 10, UK 13 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.6% Win Probability (After): 67.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:02 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 25) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 28 - IOWA 10, UK 13 | -0.48 | 67.6% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.00 - 1.47 = -0.48 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.47) Score Difference (End): 3 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 10, UK 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.6% Win Probability (After): 67.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:34 | |
(2nd & 7 at UK 28) Will Levis run for 6 yds to the Kent 34 - IOWA 10, UK 13 | 0.68 | 68.0% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 66 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.69 - 1.01 = 0.68 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.01) Score Difference (End): 3 (4.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 10, UK 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.0% Win Probability (After): 67.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:03 | |
(3rd & 1 at UK 34) Will Levis run for 2 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST down - IOWA 10, UK 13 | 0.61 | 68.2% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 64 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 1.69 = 0.61 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.69) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 10, UK 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.2% Win Probability (After): 69.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:26 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 36) Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 10 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST down - IOWA 10, UK 13 | 0.51 | 70.7% | 2.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 54 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.83 - 2.32 = 0.51 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.32) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 10, UK 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.7% Win Probability (After): 73.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:44 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 46) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 49 - IOWA 10, UK 13 | -0.44 | 71.2% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 51 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.41 - 2.85 = -0.44 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.85) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 10, UK 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.2% Win Probability (After): 71.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:07 | |
(2nd & 7 at UK 49) JuTahn McClain run for 2 yds to the Iowa 49 - IOWA 10, UK 13 | -0.39 | 70.7% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 49 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.00 - 2.38 = -0.39 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.38) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 10, UK 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.7% Win Probability (After): 68.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:55 | |
(3rd & 5 at IOWA 49) Will Levis run for 1 yd to the Iowa 48 - IOWA 10, UK 13 | -1.82 | 70.1% | -3.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 48 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.16 - 1.98 = -1.82 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.98) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 10, UK 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.1% Win Probability (After): 67.1% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:09 | |
(4th & 4 at IOWA 48) Colin Goodfellow punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 8 - IOWA 10, UK 13 | 0.03 | 67.7% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 92 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.21 - 0.18 = 0.03 Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.18) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.21) Change of Possession: 1 Score: IOWA 10, UK 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.7% Win Probability (After): 66.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 14:03 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 8) Gavin Williams run for 19 yds to the Iowa 27 for a 1ST down - IOWA 10, UK 13 | 1.36 | 33.5% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 73 Started Drive at: IOWA 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.13 - -0.23 = 1.36 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.23) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 10, UK 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.5% Win Probability (After): 35.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:35 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 27) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Nico Ragaini - IOWA 10, UK 13 | -0.81 | 35.6% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73 Started Drive at: IOWA 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.33 - 1.13 = -0.81 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.87) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 10, UK 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.6% Win Probability (After): 34.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:32 | |
(2nd & 10 at IOWA 27) Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the Iowa 30 - IOWA 10, UK 13 | -0.65 | 34.3% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 70 Started Drive at: IOWA 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.33 - 0.32 = -0.65 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.68) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 10, UK 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.3% Win Probability (After): 32.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:06 | |
(3rd & 7 at IOWA 30) Spencer Petras pass complete to Ivory Kelly-Martin for 7 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST down - IOWA 10, UK 13 | 2.07 | 32.6% | 5.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 63 Started Drive at: IOWA 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - -0.30 = 2.07 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.30) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 10, UK 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.6% Win Probability (After): 38.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:49 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 37) Leshon Williams run for 8 yds to the Iowa 45 - IOWA 10, UK 13 | 0.67 | 38.2% | 3.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 55 Started Drive at: IOWA 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.42 - 1.75 = 0.67 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.25) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 10, UK 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.2% Win Probability (After): 41.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:15 | |
(2nd & 2 at IOWA 45) Leshon Williams run for no gain to the Iowa 45 - IOWA 10, UK 13 | -0.89 | 41.8% | -5.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55 Started Drive at: IOWA 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.54 - 2.43 = -0.89 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.57) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 10, UK 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.8% Win Probability (After): 36.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:30 | |
(3rd & 2 at IOWA 45) Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 12 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST down - IOWA 10, UK 13 | 1.43 | 37.3% | 8.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 43 Started Drive at: IOWA 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.08 - 1.65 = 1.43 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.35) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 10, UK 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.3% Win Probability (After): 45.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:12 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 43) Gavin Williams run for 7 yds to the Kent 36 - IOWA 10, UK 13 | 0.50 | 46.0% | 3.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 36 Started Drive at: IOWA 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 3.10 = 0.50 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.10) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 10, UK 13 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.0% Win Probability (After): 49.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:54 | |
(2nd & 3 at UK 36) Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 36 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK) - IOWA 17, UK 13 | 3.41 | 49.1% | 18.1% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 99 Started Drive at: IOWA 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.59 = 3.41 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.59) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 92 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.1% Win Probability (After): 67.2% Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:54 | |
(Kickoff at UK 35) Caleb Shudak kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - IOWA 17, UK 13 | 0.00 | 39.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.80 - 0.80 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.20) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.5% Win Probability (After): 39.5% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:47 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 25) Will Levis pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 14 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST down - IOWA 17, UK 13 | 1.11 | 39.7% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 61 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.92 - 0.81 = 1.11 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.19) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.7% Win Probability (After): 41.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:11 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 39) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 43 - IOWA 17, UK 13 | -0.18 | 41.4% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 57 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 2.00 = -0.18 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.00) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.4% Win Probability (After): 41.6% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:37 | |
(2nd & 6 at UK 43) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 13 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST down - IOWA 17, UK 13 | 1.29 | 41.4% | 3.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 44 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.12 - 1.82 = 1.29 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.18) Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.4% Win Probability (After): 45.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:51 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 44) JuTahn McClain run for 3 yds to the Iowa 41 - IOWA 17, UK 13 | -0.08 | 43.6% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 41 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - 2.91 = -0.08 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.09) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.6% Win Probability (After): 43.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:17 | |
(2nd & 7 at IOWA 41) Will Levis run for 5 yds to the Iowa 36 - IOWA 17, UK 13 | 0.17 | 43.1% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 36 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.81 - 2.64 = 0.17 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.36) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.1% Win Probability (After): 42.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:55 | |
(3rd & 2 at IOWA 36) Will Levis run for 1 yd to the Iowa 35 - IOWA 17, UK 13 | -0.76 | 43.0% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 35 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.01 - 2.76 = -0.76 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.24) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.0% Win Probability (After): 41.6% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:13 | |
(4th & 1 at IOWA 35) JuTahn McClain run for no gain to the Iowa 35 - IOWA 17, UK 13 | -4.20 | 41.6% | -15.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 65 Started Drive at: UK 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.04 - 2.16 = -4.20 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.84) Score Difference (End): 4 (6.04) Change of Possession: 1 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.6% Win Probability (After): 25.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 6:48 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 35) Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the Iowa 37 - IOWA 17, UK 13 | -0.56 | 77.6% | -2.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 63 Started Drive at: IOWA 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.60 - 2.15 = -0.56 Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.15) Score Difference (End): 4 (5.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.6% Win Probability (After): 75.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:30 | |
(2nd & 8 at IOWA 37) Leshon Williams run for 7 yds to the Iowa 44 - IOWA 17, UK 13 | 0.52 | 77.4% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 56 Started Drive at: IOWA 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.06 - 1.54 = 0.52 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.54) Score Difference (End): 4 (6.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.4% Win Probability (After): 78.4% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:11 | |
(3rd & 1 at IOWA 44) Leshon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 43 - IOWA 17, UK 13 | -1.91 | 78.3% | -6.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 57 Started Drive at: IOWA 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.11 - 1.80 = -1.91 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.80) Score Difference (End): 4 (3.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.3% Win Probability (After): 71.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:58 | |
(4th & 2 at IOWA 43) Tory Taylor punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Wan'Dale Robinson at the Kent 11 - IOWA 17, UK 13 | 0.11 | 71.6% | -3.4% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 89 Started Drive at: IOWA 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - -0.16 = 0.11 Score Difference (Before): 4 (3.84) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.96) Change of Possession: 1 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.6% Win Probability (After): 68.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 5:52 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 11) Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 13 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST down - IOWA 17, UK 13 | 0.68 | 31.9% | 2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 76 Started Drive at: UK 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.70 - 0.01 = 0.68 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.99) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.9% Win Probability (After): 34.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:18 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 24) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 26 - IOWA 17, UK 13 | -0.54 | 32.0% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 74 Started Drive at: UK 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.24 - 0.78 = -0.54 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.22) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.0% Win Probability (After): 33.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:46 | |
(2nd & 8 at UK 26) Will Levis pass incomplete to Brenden Bates - IOWA 17, UK 13 | -0.73 | 30.1% | -5.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74 Started Drive at: UK 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.41 - 0.32 = -0.73 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.68) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.1% Win Probability (After): 24.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:41 | |
(3rd & 8 at UK 26) Levis, Will pass incomplete to Robinson, Wan'Dale, PENALTY IOWA pass interference (Moss, Riley) 15 yards to the KENTUCKY41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTUCKY. - IOWA 17, UK 13 | 2.25 | 25.6% | 13.4% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 59 Started Drive at: UK 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - -0.38 = 2.25 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.38) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.6% Win Probability (After): 39.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:34 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 41) Will Levis pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 13 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST down - IOWA 17, UK 13 | 0.80 | 38.9% | 4.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 46 Started Drive at: UK 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - 1.89 = 0.80 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.11) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.9% Win Probability (After): 43.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:13 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 46) Will Levis pass incomplete to Izayah Cummings - IOWA 17, UK 13 | -0.35 | 39.4% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46 Started Drive at: UK 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.20 - 2.55 = -0.35 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.45) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.4% Win Probability (After): 40.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:09 | |
(2nd & 10 at IOWA 46) Will Levis pass incomplete to Chris Lewis - IOWA 17, UK 13 | -0.63 | 37.3% | -4.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46 Started Drive at: UK 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.38 - 2.01 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.99) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.3% Win Probability (After): 32.5% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:04 | |
(3rd & 10 at IOWA 46) Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale Robinson - IOWA 17, UK 13 | -1.61 | 32.9% | -8.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46 Started Drive at: UK 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.15 - 1.47 = -1.61 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.53) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.9% Win Probability (After): 24.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:59 | |
(4th & 10 at IOWA 46) Will Levis pass intercepted Jermari Harris return for no gain to the Iowa 36 - IOWA 17, UK 13 | -1.71 | 24.2% | -9.3% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 64 Started Drive at: UK 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.79 - -0.08 = -1.71 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.08) Score Difference (End): 4 (5.79) Change of Possession: 1 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.2% Win Probability (After): 14.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 3:53 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 36) Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the Iowa 42 - IOWA 17, UK 13 | 0.13 | 86.8% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 58 Started Drive at: IOWA 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.91 - 1.78 = 0.13 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.78) Score Difference (End): 4 (5.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.8% Win Probability (After): 86.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:51 | |
(2nd & 4 at IOWA 42) Timeout KENTUCKY, clock 03:51 - IOWA 17, UK 13 | 0.00 | 87.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 58 Started Drive at: IOWA 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.91 - 1.91 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.91) Score Difference (End): 4 (5.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.1% Win Probability (After): 87.1% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 3:45 | |
(2nd & 4 at IOWA 42) Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the Iowa 45 - IOWA 17, UK 13 | -0.22 | 89.2% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 55 Started Drive at: IOWA 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 1.90 = -0.22 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.90) Score Difference (End): 4 (5.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.2% Win Probability (After): 87.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 3:44 | |
(3rd & 1 at IOWA 45) Timeout KENTUCKY, clock 03:44 - IOWA 17, UK 13 | 0.00 | 87.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55 Started Drive at: IOWA 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 1.67 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.67) Score Difference (End): 4 (5.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.8% Win Probability (After): 87.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 3:39 | |
(3rd & 1 at IOWA 45) Gavin Williams run for no gain to the Iowa 45 - IOWA 17, UK 13 | -1.38 | 88.1% | -6.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55 Started Drive at: IOWA 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - 1.67 = -1.38 Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.67) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.1% Win Probability (After): 81.5% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 3:38 | |
(4th & 1 at IOWA 45) Timeout KENTUCKY, clock 03:38 - IOWA 17, UK 13 | 0.00 | 81.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55 Started Drive at: IOWA 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - 0.29 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.29) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.3% Win Probability (After): 81.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 3:38 | |
(4th & 1 at IOWA 45) Timeout IOWA, clock 03:38 - IOWA 17, UK 13 | 0.00 | 81.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55 Started Drive at: IOWA 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - 0.29 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.29) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.5% Win Probability (After): 81.5% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 3:31 | |
(4th & 1 at IOWA 45) Tory Taylor punt for 55 yds for a touchback - IOWA 17, UK 13 | -0.89 | 83.0% | -7.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 80 Started Drive at: IOWA 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.63 - 0.26 = -0.89 Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.26) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.37) Change of Possession: 1 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.0% Win Probability (After): 75.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 3:21 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 20) Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 7 yds to the Kent 27 - IOWA 17, UK 13 | 0.18 | 23.9% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 73 Started Drive at: UK 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.80 - 0.62 = 0.18 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.38) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.9% Win Probability (After): 25.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:51 | |
(2nd & 3 at UK 27) Will Levis sacked by Lukas Van Ness for a loss of 7 yards to the Kent 20 - IOWA 17, UK 13 | -1.36 | 24.1% | -4.7% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 80 Started Drive at: UK 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.46 - 0.90 = -1.36 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.10) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.1% Win Probability (After): 19.4% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:42 | |
(3rd & 10 at UK 20) Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 17 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST down - IOWA 17, UK 13 | 1.79 | 18.4% | 8.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 63 Started Drive at: UK 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - -0.28 = 1.79 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.28) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.4% Win Probability (After): 26.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:22 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 37) Will Levis pass incomplete to Izayah Cummings - IOWA 17, UK 13 | -0.66 | 25.8% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63 Started Drive at: UK 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.00 - 1.66 = -0.66 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.34) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.8% Win Probability (After): 24.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:16 | |
(2nd & 10 at UK 37) Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 10 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST down - IOWA 17, UK 13 | 0.84 | 24.0% | 3.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 53 Started Drive at: UK 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.00 - 1.16 = 0.84 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.84) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.0% Win Probability (After): 27.4% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:07 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 47) Will Levis pass incomplete to Chauncey Magwood - IOWA 17, UK 13 | -0.35 | 26.5% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 53 Started Drive at: UK 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.52 - 1.88 = -0.35 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.12) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.5% Win Probability (After): 24.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:55 | |
(2nd & 10 at UK 47) Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 52 yds to the Iowa 1 for a 1ST down - IOWA 17, UK 13 | 4.71 | 25.0% | 45.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 1 Started Drive at: UK 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.19 - 1.49 = 4.71 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.51) Score Difference (End): -4 (2.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 79 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.0% Win Probability (After): 70.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:54 | |
(1st & Goal at IOWA 1) KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Austin Dotson) to the Iowa 6 - IOWA 17, UK 13 | -0.75 | 70.5% | -4.6% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 6 Started Drive at: UK 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.40 - 6.14 = -0.75 Score Difference (Before): -4 (2.14) Score Difference (End): -4 (1.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 79 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.5% Win Probability (After): 65.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:48 | |
(1st & Goal at IOWA 6) Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) - IOWA 17, UK 20 | 1.66 | 66.3% | 15.7% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99 Started Drive at: UK 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.34 = 1.66 Score Difference (Before): -4 (1.34) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 20 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.3% Win Probability (After): 82.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 13 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:48 | |
(Kickoff at IOWA 35) Chance Poore kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - IOWA 17, UK 20 | 0.00 | 23.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: IOWA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.92 - 0.92 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.08) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 20 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.1% Win Probability (After): 23.1% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 1:43 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 25) Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 12 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST down - IOWA 17, UK 20 | 0.45 | 22.7% | 4.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 63 Started Drive at: IOWA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.36 - 0.91 = 0.45 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.09) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 20 Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.7% Win Probability (After): 27.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 1:38 | |
(1st & 10 at IOWA 37) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Arland Bruce IV - IOWA 17, UK 20 | -0.34 | 26.5% | -2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63 Started Drive at: IOWA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.97 - 1.32 = -0.34 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.68) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 20 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.5% Win Probability (After): 24.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 1:29 | |
(2nd & 10 at IOWA 37) Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the Iowa 43 - IOWA 17, UK 20 | 0.20 | 24.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 57 Started Drive at: IOWA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.98 - 0.78 = 0.20 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.22) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 20 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.0% Win Probability (After): 24.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 1:12 | |
(3rd & 4 at IOWA 43) Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 12 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST down - IOWA 17, UK 20 | 0.77 | 24.2% | 6.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 45 Started Drive at: IOWA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.74 - 0.97 = 0.77 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.03) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 20 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.2% Win Probability (After): 30.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 1:06 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 45) Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 5 yds to the Kent 40 - IOWA 17, UK 20 | 0.47 | 27.8% | 7.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 40 Started Drive at: IOWA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.15 - 1.68 = 0.47 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.32) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 20 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.8% Win Probability (After): 35.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 0:48 | |
(2nd & 5 at UK 40) Spencer Petras pass intercepted DeAndre Square return for no gain to the Kent 26 - IOWA 17, UK 20 | -2.77 | 30.1% | -21.7% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 74 Started Drive at: IOWA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.78 - 1.99 = -2.77 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.01) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.78) Change of Possession: 1 Score: IOWA 17, UK 20 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.1% Win Probability (After): 8.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:44 | |
(1st & 10 at UK 26) TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 25 - IOWA 17, UK 20 | -0.20 | 94.0% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 75 Started Drive at: UK 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.32 - 0.52 = -0.20 Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.52) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 20 Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.0% Win Probability (After): 93.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:05 | |
(2nd & 11 at UK 25) TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 23 - IOWA 17, UK 20 | 0.06 | 89.7% | 10.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 77 Started Drive at: UK 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 0.07 = 0.06 Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.07) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: IOWA 17, UK 20 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -3 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.7% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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