Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 5.08 | Odds: OKST -1, O/U 45.0 | Download Chart
Expected Points
Team Stats [show/hide]
| Overall |  |
 |
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 111 | 105 |
| Total EPA | 6.55 | -4.25 |
| Offensive EPA | 9.59 | 0.43 |
| Special Teams EPA | -1.90 | -5.03 |
| Penalty EPA | -1.14 | 0 |
| Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA | 0.00 | 0.35 |
| Production | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 95 | 89 |
| Yards | 604 | 562 |
| Yards/Play | 6.36 | 6.31 |
| EPA | 9.59 | 0.43 |
| EPA/Play | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Passes | 52 (55%) | 70 (79%) |
| Yards | 371 | 509 |
| Yards/Play | 7.13 | 7.27 |
| EPA | 16.18 | 14.62 |
| EPA/Play | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| Rushes | 43 (45%) | 19 (21%) |
| Yards | 244 | 52 |
| Yards/Play | 5.67 | 2.74 |
| EPA | -6.59 | -14.19 |
| EPA/Play | -0.15 | -0.75 |
| Rushing | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 95 | 89 |
| Rushes | 43 (45%) | 19 (21%) |
| Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) | 1 (2%) | 0 (0%) |
| Successful Power Runs (Rate) | 1 (100%) | 0 (0%) |
| Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) | 7 (16%) | 4 (21%) |
| Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) | 18 (42%) | 9 (47%) |
| Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) | 20 (47%) | 7 (37%) |
| OL Line Yards | 48.1 | 30 |
| Per Carry | 1.12 | 1.58 |
| Highlight Yards | 98.5 | 6 |
| Per Rush Opportunity | 4.92 | 0.86 |
| Explosiveness | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 111 | 105 |
| Scrimmage Plays | 95 | 89 |
| Explosive Plays | 6 (6%) | 6 (7%) |
| When Passing (EPA > 2.4) | 3 (6%) | 6 (9%) |
| When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) | 3 (7%) | 0 (0%) |
| EPA w/o Explosive Plays | -5.59 | -20.30 |
| EPA/Play | -0.06 | -0.24 |
| When Passing | 7.91 | -6.11 |
| EPA/Play | 0.15 | -0.09 |
| When Rushing | -13.50 | -14.19 |
| EPA/Play | -0.34 | -0.75 |
| Situational | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Successful Plays (EPA > 0) | 44 (46%) | 33 (37%) |
| When Passing | 26 (50%) | 31 (44%) |
| When Rushing | 18 (42%) | 2 (11%) |
| On Standard Downs | 37 (56%) | 20 (36%) |
| On Passing Downs | 7 (24%) | 13 (39%) |
| On Early Downs | 40 (50%) | 22 (32%) |
| On Late Downs | 4 (27%) | 11 (52%) |
| During "Middle 8" | 9 (60%) | 4 (50%) |
| Early Downs | 80 | 68 |
| First Downs Created | 28 (35%) | 13 (19%) |
| EPA | 13.44 | -10.89 |
| EPA/Play | 0.17 | -0.16 |
| Passes | 40 (50%) | 52 (76%) |
| Rushes | 40 (50%) | 16 (24%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 23 (58%) | 20 (38%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 17 (43%) | 2 (13%) |
| "Middle 8" Plays | 15 | 8 |
| EPA | 13.34 | 4.99 |
| EPA/play | 0.89 | 0.62 |
| Passes | 11 (73%) | 5 (63%) |
| Rushes | 4 (27%) | 3 (38%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 8 (73%) | 4 (80%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 1 (25%) | 0 (0%) |
| Drives | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total | 17 | 17 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 28 | Own 23 |
| Plays/Drive | 7.35 | 6.83 |
| Yards/Drive | 49.15 | 46.27 |
| Available Yards % | 68% | 60% |
| Defensive | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 89 | 95 |
| Stop Rate | 40% | 39% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 15 (17%) | 10 (11%) |
| Passing | 11 (16%) | 3 (6%) |
| Rushing | 4 (21%) | 7 (16%) |
| TFLs Generated | 5 | 8 |
| Passing | 2 | 3 |
| Rushing | 3 | 5 |
| Sacks Generated | 2 (3%) | 1 (2%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1 | 0 |
| Fumbles Forced | 1 | 2 |
| Turnovers | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 2 |
| Fumbles | 2 | 1 |
| Fumbles Lost | 2 | 1 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 1 |
| Turnover Margin | 0 | 0 |
| Expected Turnovers | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| Expected Turnover Margin | 0.2 | -0.2 |
| Turnover Luck (pts) | -1.1 | 1.1 |
| Special Teams | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 16 | 16 |
| Total EPA | -1.9 | -5.03 |
| Field Goal EPA | 0.07 | -2.18 |
| Punting EPA | -0.15 | -0.82 |
| Kickoff Return EPA | -1.82 | -2.04 |
Oklahoma State [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Spencer Sanders | 34/51, 371 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 88.3 xQBR | 7.13 | 0.31 | 16.18 | 50% | 44.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Spencer Sanders | 16 carries, 136 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) | 8.50 | 0.28 | 4.48 | 62% | -3.0% | |
| LD Brown | 3 carries, 27 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.00 | 0.39 | 1.16 | 33% | 0.0% | |
| Dominic Richardson | 1 carry, 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | -0.04 | -0.04 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| TEAM | 2 carries, -7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | -3.50 | -0.53 | -1.06 | 0% | -6.0% | |
| John Paul Richardson | 1 carry, -1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | -1.00 | -1.16 | -1.16 | 0% | -3.0% | |
| Jaylen Warren | 19 carries, 82 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.32 | -0.19 | -3.52 | 37% | -6.0% | |
| Brennan Presley | 1 carry, 4 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) | 4.00 | -6.43 | -6.43 | 0% | -16.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Tay Martin | 10 catches (14 targets), 104 yds, 3 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.40 | 0.74 | 10.39 | 64% | 36.0% | |
| Brennan Presley | 10 catches (15 targets), 137 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 13.70 | 0.35 | 5.20 | 53% | 12.0% | |
| John Paul Richardson | 4 catches (5 targets), 42 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.50 | 0.49 | 2.46 | 60% | 2.0% | |
| Rashod Owens | 1 catch (1 target), 25 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 25.00 | 2.28 | 2.28 | 100% | 3.0% | |
| Jaden Bray | 1 catch (4 targets), 9 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.00 | 0.19 | 0.75 | 25% | 3.0% | |
| Bryson Green | 1 catch (3 targets), 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 17.00 | -0.08 | -0.25 | 33% | 1.0% | |
| LD Brown | 1 catch (1 target), 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | -0.30 | -0.30 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Jaylen Warren | 6 catches (7 targets), 34 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.67 | -0.09 | -0.63 | 43% | -5.0% | |
Notre Dame [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Jack Coan | 38/68, 509 yds, 5 TD, 1 INT, 2 Scks, 61.1 xQBR | 7.27 | 0.21 | 14.62 | 44% | 29.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Braden Lenzy | 1 carry, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.31 | -0.31 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Audric Estime | 1 carry, -1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | -1.00 | -1.16 | -1.16 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Chris Tyree | 6 carries, 18 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | -0.25 | -1.47 | 17% | -6.0% | |
| Jack Coan | 2 carries, 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | -0.93 | -1.86 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Logan Diggs | 9 carries, 29 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) | 3.22 | -1.04 | -9.39 | 11% | -22.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Lorenzo Styles Jr. | 8 catches (10 targets), 136 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 17.00 | 1.07 | 10.67 | 80% | 26.0% | |
| Chris Tyree | 6 catches (7 targets), 115 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 19.17 | 1.25 | 8.78 | 71% | 15.0% | |
| Michael Mayer | 7 catches (12 targets), 72 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.29 | 0.62 | 7.39 | 58% | 23.0% | |
| Kevin Austin Jr. | 6 catches (12 targets), 105 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 17.50 | 0.27 | 3.18 | 50% | 15.0% | |
| Logan Diggs | 4 catches (5 targets), 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.25 | 0.10 | 0.49 | 20% | 2.0% | |
| Deion Colzie | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -1.59 | -1.59 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Braden Lenzy | 7 catches (15 targets), 60 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.57 | -0.23 | -3.39 | 27% | -16.0% | |
Big Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute EPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 12:41 | |
(1st & Goal at ND 5) Brennan Presley run for 4 yds Brennan Presley fumbled, forced by Drew White, recovered by NDame Ramon Henderson - OKST 31, ND 28 | -6.43 | 79.8% | -16.5% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 80 Started Drive at: OKST 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.57 - 5.86 = -6.43 Score Difference (Before): 3 (8.86) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.43) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.8% Win Probability (After): 63.3% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:13 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 44) Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the OKSt 44 Logan Diggs fumbled, forced by Kolby Harvell-Peel, recovered by OKSt Kolby Harvell-Peel , return for 3 yds to the OKSt 44 - OKST 31, ND 28 | -5.72 | 46.9% | -16.9% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 56 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.74 - 2.98 = -5.72 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.02) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.74) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.9% Win Probability (After): 30.0% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:05 | |
(3rd & 7 at ND 47) Chris Tyree 53 Yd pass from Jack Coan (Jonathan Doerer Kick) - OKST 0, ND 14 | 5.03 | 70.3% | 8.9% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 99 Started Drive at: ND 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.97 = 5.03 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.97) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 76 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.3% Win Probability (After): 79.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:35 | |
(2nd & 16 at OKST 30) Jack Coan pass intercepted Malcolm Rodriguez return for 11 yds to the OKSt 29 - OKST 34, ND 28 | -4.30 | 31.2% | -13.4% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 71 Started Drive at: ND 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.57 - 2.73 = -4.30 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.27) Score Difference (End): 6 (7.57) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.2% Win Probability (After): 17.8% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:05 | |
(2nd & 10 at OKST 25) Jack Coan pass complete to Kevin Austin Jr. for 25 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK) - OKST 37, ND 35 | 3.88 | 5.2% | 22.0% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.12 = 3.88 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-5.88) Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 37, ND 35 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 70 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.2% Win Probability (After): 27.2% Away Score: 37 (37) Home Score: 28 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:07 | |
(2nd & 14 at ND 15) Spencer Sanders run for 4 yds to the NDame 11 Spencer Sanders fumbled, forced by Isaiah Foskey, recovered by NDame Drew White - OKST 34, ND 28 | -3.73 | 96.3% | -14.9% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 89 Started Drive at: OKST 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.28 - 3.45 = -3.73 Score Difference (Before): 6 (9.45) Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.72) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.3% Win Probability (After): 81.3% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:21 | |
(3rd & 4 at OKST 29) Lorenzo Styles Jr. 29 Yd pass from Jack Coan (Jonathan Doerer Kick) - OKST 0, ND 7 | 3.67 | 54.3% | 9.6% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 99 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.33 = 3.67 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.33) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.3% Win Probability (After): 63.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:18 | |
(3rd & 10 at ND 40) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 29 yds to the NDame 11 for a 1ST down - OKST 34, ND 28 | 3.06 | 90.0% | 4.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 11 Started Drive at: OKST 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.89 - 1.83 = 3.06 Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.83) Score Difference (End): 6 (10.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.0% Win Probability (After): 94.5% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:23 | |
(3rd & 9 at OKST 27) Jack Coan pass complete to Kevin Austin Jr. for 20 yds to the OKSt 7 for a 1ST down - OKST 7, ND 21 | 3.00 | 86.7% | 4.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 7 Started Drive at: ND 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.23 - 2.23 = 3.00 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.23) Score Difference (End): 14 (19.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.7% Win Probability (After): 90.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:38 | |
(4th & 6 at ND 15) Jack Coan pass incomplete to Kevin Austin Jr., broken up by Kolby Harvell-Peel - OKST 34, ND 28 | -2.77 | 13.2% | -10.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 15 Started Drive at: ND 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.18 - -1.40 = -2.77 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-7.40) Score Difference (End): 6 (10.18) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.2% Win Probability (After): 2.7% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 1:05 | |
(2nd & 10 at OKST 25) Jack Coan pass complete to Kevin Austin Jr. for 25 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK) - OKST 37, ND 35 | 3.88 | 5.2% | 22.0% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.12 = 3.88 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-5.88) Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 37, ND 35 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 70 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.2% Win Probability (After): 27.2% Away Score: 37 (37) Home Score: 28 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:13 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 44) Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the OKSt 44 Logan Diggs fumbled, forced by Kolby Harvell-Peel, recovered by OKSt Kolby Harvell-Peel , return for 3 yds to the OKSt 44 - OKST 31, ND 28 | -5.72 | 46.9% | -16.9% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 56 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.74 - 2.98 = -5.72 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.02) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.74) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.9% Win Probability (After): 30.0% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:41 | |
(1st & Goal at ND 5) Brennan Presley run for 4 yds Brennan Presley fumbled, forced by Drew White, recovered by NDame Ramon Henderson - OKST 31, ND 28 | -6.43 | 79.8% | -16.5% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 80 Started Drive at: OKST 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.57 - 5.86 = -6.43 Score Difference (Before): 3 (8.86) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.43) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.8% Win Probability (After): 63.3% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:07 | |
(2nd & 14 at ND 15) Spencer Sanders run for 4 yds to the NDame 11 Spencer Sanders fumbled, forced by Isaiah Foskey, recovered by NDame Drew White - OKST 34, ND 28 | -3.73 | 96.3% | -14.9% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 89 Started Drive at: OKST 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.28 - 3.45 = -3.73 Score Difference (Before): 6 (9.45) Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.72) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.3% Win Probability (After): 81.3% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:35 | |
(2nd & 16 at OKST 30) Jack Coan pass intercepted Malcolm Rodriguez return for 11 yds to the OKSt 29 - OKST 34, ND 28 | -4.30 | 31.2% | -13.4% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 71 Started Drive at: ND 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.57 - 2.73 = -4.30 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.27) Score Difference (End): 6 (7.57) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.2% Win Probability (After): 17.8% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:02 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 43) TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 46 - OKST 37, ND 35 | -0.86 | 99.1% | -12.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 46 Started Drive at: ND 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 1.71 = -0.86 Score Difference (Before): 9 (10.71) Score Difference (End): 2 (2.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 37, ND 35 Drive Summary: 1 play, -3 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.1% Win Probability (After): 86.5% Away Score: 37 (37) Home Score: 28 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:06 | |
(4th & 17 at ND 21) Tanner Brown 38 Yd Field Goal - OKST 31, ND 28 | 0.79 | 54.9% | 12.5% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21 Started Drive at: OKST 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.21 = 0.79 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.21) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.9% Win Probability (After): 67.4% Away Score: 28 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 14:43 | |
(3rd & 10 at ND 37) Jack Coan pass complete to Michael Mayer for 19 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST down - OKST 31, ND 28 | 2.66 | 35.8% | 11.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 44 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.03 - 0.37 = 2.66 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.63) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.8% Win Probability (After): 47.6% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:52 | |
(1st & Goal at ND 5) Tay Martin 5 Yd pass from Spencer Sanders (Tanner Brown Kick) - OKST 21, ND 28 | 1.40 | 20.1% | 11.7% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99 Started Drive at: OKST 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.60 = 1.40 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.40) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 87 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.1% Win Probability (After): 31.8% Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:07 | |
(4th & 15 at ND 24) Tanner Brown 41 Yd Field Goal - OKST 34, ND 28 | 1.04 | 69.9% | 11.3% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24 Started Drive at: OKST 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.96 = 1.04 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.96) Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.9% Win Probability (After): 81.2% Away Score: 31 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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Scoring Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 13:21 | |
(3rd & 4 at OKST 29) Lorenzo Styles Jr. 29 Yd pass from Jack Coan (Jonathan Doerer Kick) - OKST 0, ND 7 | 3.67 | 54.3% | 9.6% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 99 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.33 = 3.67 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.33) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.3% Win Probability (After): 63.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:05 | |
(3rd & 7 at ND 47) Chris Tyree 53 Yd pass from Jack Coan (Jonathan Doerer Kick) - OKST 0, ND 14 | 5.03 | 70.3% | 8.9% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 99 Started Drive at: ND 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.97 = 5.03 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.97) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 76 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.3% Win Probability (After): 79.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:46 | |
(2nd & 6 at ND 9) Jaden Bray 9 Yd pass from Spencer Sanders (Tanner Brown Kick) - OKST 7, ND 14 | 2.39 | 27.9% | 6.6% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99 Started Drive at: OKST 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.61 = 2.39 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.39) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 14 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 82 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.9% Win Probability (After): 34.5% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:04 | |
(3rd & 2 at OKST 16) Michael Mayer 16 Yd pass from Jack Coan (Jonathan Doerer Kick) - OKST 7, ND 21 | 2.27 | 73.4% | 7.3% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 99 Started Drive at: ND 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.73 = 2.27 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.73) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 78 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.4% Win Probability (After): 80.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:16 | |
(2nd & Goal at OKST 7) Michael Mayer 7 Yd pass from Jack Coan (Jonathan Doerer Kick) - OKST 7, ND 28 | 2.50 | 90.9% | 6.6% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99 Started Drive at: ND 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.50 = 2.50 Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.50) Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 28 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.9% Win Probability (After): 97.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:37 | |
(1st & Goal at ND 9) Tay Martin 9 Yd pass from Spencer Sanders (Tanner Brown Kick) - OKST 14, ND 28 | 2.33 | 9.1% | 6.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.67 = 2.33 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-16.33) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 14, ND 28 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.1% Win Probability (After): 15.4% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:52 | |
(1st & Goal at ND 5) Tay Martin 5 Yd pass from Spencer Sanders (Tanner Brown Kick) - OKST 21, ND 28 | 1.40 | 20.1% | 11.7% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99 Started Drive at: OKST 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.60 = 1.40 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.40) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 87 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.1% Win Probability (After): 31.8% Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:47 | |
(1st & Goal at ND 8) Tay Martin 8 Yd pass from Spencer Sanders (Tanner Brown Kick) - OKST 28, ND 28 | 1.71 | 39.9% | 9.6% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99 Started Drive at: OKST 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.29 = 1.71 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.71) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 28, ND 28 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 89 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.9% Win Probability (After): 49.5% Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:06 | |
(4th & 17 at ND 21) Tanner Brown 38 Yd Field Goal - OKST 31, ND 28 | 0.79 | 54.9% | 12.5% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21 Started Drive at: OKST 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.21 = 0.79 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.21) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.9% Win Probability (After): 67.4% Away Score: 28 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 9:07 | |
(4th & 15 at ND 24) Tanner Brown 41 Yd Field Goal - OKST 34, ND 28 | 1.04 | 69.9% | 11.3% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24 Started Drive at: OKST 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.96 = 1.04 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.96) Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.9% Win Probability (After): 81.2% Away Score: 31 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 2:16 | |
(4th & 3 at ND 8) Tanner Brown 25 yd FG GOOD - OKST 37, ND 28 | 0.37 | 94.5% | 3.9% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8 Started Drive at: ND 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.63 = 0.37 Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.63) Score Difference (End): 9 (9.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 37, ND 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.5% Win Probability (After): 98.4% Away Score: 34 (37) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 1:05 | |
(2nd & 10 at OKST 25) Jack Coan pass complete to Kevin Austin Jr. for 25 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK) - OKST 37, ND 35 | 3.88 | 5.2% | 22.0% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.12 = 3.88 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-5.88) Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 37, ND 35 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 70 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.2% Win Probability (After): 27.2% Away Score: 37 (37) Home Score: 28 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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All Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at ND 35) Tanner Brown kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - OKST 0, ND 0 | 0.00 | 49.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.4% Win Probability (After): 49.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:51 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 25) Jack Coan pass complete to Chris Tyree for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - OKST 0, ND 0 | 1.62 | 50.3% | 4.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 50 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.70 - 1.08 = 1.62 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.08) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.3% Win Probability (After): 55.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:23 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) Jack Coan pass complete to Kevin Austin Jr. for 15 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST down - OKST 0, ND 0 | 1.15 | 54.5% | 2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 35 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.98 - 2.83 = 1.15 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.83) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.5% Win Probability (After): 56.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:56 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 35) Jack Coan pass incomplete to Braden Lenzy, broken up by Jarrick Bernard-Converse - OKST 0, ND 0 | -0.70 | 56.3% | -1.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.18 - 3.88 = -0.70 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.88) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.3% Win Probability (After): 55.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:49 | |
(2nd & 10 at OKST 35) Jack Coan pass complete to Chris Tyree for 6 yds to the OKSt 29 - OKST 0, ND 0 | 0.17 | 55.5% | -0.5% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 29 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.38 - 3.21 = 0.17 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.21) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.5% Win Probability (After): 55.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:21 | |
(3rd & 4 at OKST 29) Lorenzo Styles Jr. 29 Yd pass from Jack Coan (Jonathan Doerer Kick) - OKST 0, ND 7 | 3.67 | 54.3% | 9.6% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 99 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.33 = 3.67 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.33) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.3% Win Probability (After): 63.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:21 | |
(Kickoff at OKST 35) Jonathan Doerer kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - OKST 0, ND 7 | 0.00 | 41.5% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.21 - -0.21 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.21) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.5% Win Probability (After): 41.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:14 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 25) Spencer Sanders run for 14 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST down - OKST 0, ND 7 | 1.17 | 40.0% | 4.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 61 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.98 - -0.19 = 1.17 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.19) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.0% Win Probability (After): 44.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:51 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 39) Jaylen Warren run for no gain to the OKSt 39 - OKST 0, ND 7 | -0.63 | 40.7% | -0.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.36 - 0.99 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.01) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.7% Win Probability (After): 40.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:20 | |
(2nd & 10 at OKST 39) Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the OKSt 42 - OKST 0, ND 7 | -0.53 | 38.5% | -0.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 58 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.17 - 0.36 = -0.53 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.64) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.5% Win Probability (After): 38.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:44 | |
(3rd & 7 at OKST 42) Spencer Sanders sacked by Isaiah Foskey for a loss of 11 yards to the OKSt 31 - OKST 0, ND 7 | -2.20 | 35.9% | -4.0% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 69 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.46 - -0.25 = -2.20 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.25) Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.9% Win Probability (After): 31.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:03 | |
(4th & 18 at OKST 31) Tom Hutton punt for 45 yds , Matt Salerno returns for 3 yds to the NDame 27 - OKST 0, ND 7 | 0.24 | 31.6% | 1.8% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 73 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.36 - -2.60 = 0.24 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.60) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.36) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 0, ND 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.6% Win Probability (After): 33.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 10:57 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 27) Logan Diggs run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 24 - OKST 0, ND 7 | -1.16 | 66.8% | -2.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 76 Started Drive at: ND 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.25 - 2.40 = -1.16 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.40) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, -3 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.8% Win Probability (After): 64.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:36 | |
(2nd & 13 at ND 24) Jack Coan pass complete to Logan Diggs for 6 yds to the NDame 30 - OKST 0, ND 7 | -0.36 | 64.9% | -0.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 70 Started Drive at: ND 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.96 - 1.32 = -0.36 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.32) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.9% Win Probability (After): 64.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:08 | |
(3rd & 7 at ND 30) Jack Coan pass incomplete to Kevin Austin Jr., broken up by Christian Holmes - OKST 0, ND 7 | -1.32 | 63.6% | -2.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 70 Started Drive at: ND 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.27 - 1.05 = -1.32 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.05) Score Difference (End): 7 (6.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.6% Win Probability (After): 60.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:00 | |
(4th & 7 at ND 30) Jay Bramblett punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 17 - OKST 0, ND 7 | 0.79 | 60.6% | 3.0% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 83 Started Drive at: ND 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.52 - -0.26 = 0.79 Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.74) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.52) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 0, ND 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.6% Win Probability (After): 63.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 9:54 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 17) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 3 yds to the OKSt 20 - OKST 0, ND 7 | -0.71 | 36.4% | -0.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 80 Started Drive at: OKST 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.99 - -0.28 = -0.71 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.28) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.4% Win Probability (After): 35.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:38 | |
(2nd & 7 at OKST 20) Jaylen Warren run for no gain to the OKSt 20 - OKST 0, ND 7 | -0.95 | 36.2% | -2.5% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80 Started Drive at: OKST 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.75 - -0.80 = -0.95 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.80) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.2% Win Probability (After): 33.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:21 | |
(3rd & 7 at OKST 20) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Brennan Presley - OKST 0, ND 7 | -1.14 | 34.8% | -2.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80 Started Drive at: OKST 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.90 - -1.77 = -1.14 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.77) Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.8% Win Probability (After): 32.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:13 | |
(4th & 7 at OKST 20) Tom Hutton punt for 46 yds , Matt Salerno returns for no gain to the NDame 34 Matt Salerno fumbled, recovered by NDame Matt Salerno - OKST 0, ND 7 | 0.13 | 32.9% | -3.0% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 66 Started Drive at: OKST 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.80 - -2.93 = 0.13 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.93) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.80) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 0, ND 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.9% Win Probability (After): 29.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 9:02 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 34) Jack Coan pass complete to Chris Tyree for 10 yds to the NDame 44 for a 1ST down - OKST 0, ND 7 | 0.45 | 69.6% | 3.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 56 Started Drive at: ND 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.25 - 2.80 = 0.45 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.80) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.6% Win Probability (After): 72.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:39 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 44) NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Kevin Austin Jr.) to the NDame 39 - OKST 0, ND 7 | -0.62 | 71.2% | -0.7% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 61 Started Drive at: ND 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.63 - 3.26 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.26) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.2% Win Probability (After): 70.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:28 | |
(1st & 15 at ND 39) NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Jarrett Patterson) to the NDame 34 - OKST 0, ND 7 | -0.19 | 69.4% | -1.0% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 66 Started Drive at: ND 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.42 - 2.62 = -0.19 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.62) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.4% Win Probability (After): 68.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:18 | |
(1st & 20 at ND 34) Jack Coan pass complete to Lorenzo Styles Jr. for 14 yds to the NDame 48 - OKST 0, ND 7 | 0.60 | 67.6% | 3.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 52 Started Drive at: ND 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.04 - 2.44 = 0.60 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.44) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.6% Win Probability (After): 70.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
|||||
| Q1 7:44 | |
(2nd & 6 at ND 48) Chris Tyree run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 47 - OKST 0, ND 7 | -1.09 | 71.7% | -2.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 53 Started Drive at: ND 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.90 - 2.99 = -1.09 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.99) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.7% Win Probability (After): 68.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
|||||
| Q1 7:05 | |
(3rd & 7 at ND 47) Chris Tyree 53 Yd pass from Jack Coan (Jonathan Doerer Kick) - OKST 0, ND 14 | 5.03 | 70.3% | 8.9% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 99 Started Drive at: ND 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.97 = 5.03 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.97) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 76 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.3% Win Probability (After): 79.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:05 | |
(Kickoff at OKST 35) Jonathan Doerer kickoff for 60 yds , Brennan Presley return for 17 yds to the OKSt 22 - OKST 0, ND 14 | -1.20 | 22.6% | -0.6% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 78 Started Drive at: OKST 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.70 - -0.49 = -1.20 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.49) Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 14 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.6% Win Probability (After): 22.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:55 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 22) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to John Paul Richardson - OKST 0, ND 14 | -0.67 | 22.5% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 78 Started Drive at: OKST 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.25 - -0.58 = -0.67 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.58) Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.5% Win Probability (After): 21.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:51 | |
(2nd & 10 at OKST 22) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Jaylen Warren - OKST 0, ND 14 | -0.88 | 21.7% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 78 Started Drive at: OKST 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.08 - -1.20 = -0.88 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.20) Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.7% Win Probability (After): 20.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:43 | |
(3rd & 10 at OKST 22) Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 2 yds to the OKSt 24 - OKST 0, ND 14 | -1.02 | 20.5% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 76 Started Drive at: OKST 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.11 - -2.09 = -1.02 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-16.09) Score Difference (End): -14 (-17.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.5% Win Probability (After): 19.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:10 | |
(4th & 8 at OKST 24) Tom Hutton punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Matt Salerno at the NDame 29 - OKST 0, ND 14 | 0.33 | 18.6% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 71 Started Drive at: OKST 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.76 - -3.09 = 0.33 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-17.09) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.76) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 0, ND 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.6% Win Probability (After): 19.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 6:04 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 29) Jack Coan pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 5 yds to the NDame 34 - OKST 0, ND 14 | -0.01 | 81.2% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 66 Started Drive at: ND 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.81 - 2.82 = -0.01 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.82) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.2% Win Probability (After): 81.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:35 | |
(2nd & 5 at ND 34) Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the NDame 37 - OKST 0, ND 14 | -0.41 | 80.9% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 63 Started Drive at: ND 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.42 - 2.83 = -0.41 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.83) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.9% Win Probability (After): 81.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:56 | |
(3rd & 2 at ND 37) Logan Diggs run for 1 yd to the NDame 38 - OKST 0, ND 14 | -1.35 | 80.7% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 62 Started Drive at: ND 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.03 - 2.39 = -1.35 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.39) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.7% Win Probability (After): 79.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:15 | |
(4th & 1 at ND 38) Jay Bramblett punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 18 - OKST 0, ND 14 | -0.13 | 78.8% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 82 Started Drive at: ND 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.82 - 0.95 = -0.13 Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.95) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.82) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 0, ND 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.8% Win Probability (After): 77.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 4:04 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 18) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaylen Warren for 13 yds to the OKSt 31 for a 1ST down - OKST 0, ND 14 | 1.02 | 22.1% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 69 Started Drive at: OKST 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.21 - -0.82 = 1.02 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.82) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.1% Win Probability (After): 23.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:42 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 31) LD Brown run for 2 yds to the OKSt 33 - OKST 0, ND 14 | -0.70 | 23.2% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 67 Started Drive at: OKST 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.49 - 0.21 = -0.70 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.79) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.2% Win Probability (After): 22.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:26 | |
(2nd & 8 at OKST 33) LD Brown run for 22 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST down - OKST 0, ND 14 | 2.48 | 22.5% | 3.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 45 Started Drive at: OKST 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.00 - -0.47 = 2.48 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.47) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.5% Win Probability (After): 25.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:12 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 45) Spencer Sanders pass complete to LD Brown for 3 yds to the NDame 42 - OKST 0, ND 14 | -0.30 | 25.6% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 42 Started Drive at: OKST 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - 1.98 = -0.30 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.02) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.6% Win Probability (After): 25.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:48 | |
(2nd & 7 at ND 42) Jaylen Warren run for 13 yds to the NDame 29 for a 1ST down - OKST 0, ND 14 | 1.72 | 25.1% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 29 Started Drive at: OKST 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.38 - 1.66 = 1.72 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.34) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.1% Win Probability (After): 27.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:30 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 29) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaylen Warren for 16 yds to the NDame 13 for a 1ST down - OKST 0, ND 14 | 1.26 | 26.9% | 1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 13 Started Drive at: OKST 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.65 - 3.39 = 1.26 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.61) Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.9% Win Probability (After): 28.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:15 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 13) Jaylen Warren run for 4 yds to the NDame 9 - OKST 0, ND 14 | -0.09 | 28.0% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 9 Started Drive at: OKST 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.58 - 4.67 = -0.09 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.33) Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 0, ND 14 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 73 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.0% Win Probability (After): 28.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:46 | |
(2nd & 6 at ND 9) Jaden Bray 9 Yd pass from Spencer Sanders (Tanner Brown Kick) - OKST 7, ND 14 | 2.39 | 27.9% | 6.6% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99 Started Drive at: OKST 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.61 = 2.39 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.39) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 14 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 82 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.9% Win Probability (After): 34.5% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:46 | |
(Kickoff at ND 35) Tanner Brown kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - OKST 7, ND 14 | 0.00 | 68.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.20 - 2.20 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.20) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 14 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.9% Win Probability (After): 68.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:40 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 25) Logan Diggs run for 1 yd to the NDame 26 - OKST 7, ND 14 | -0.51 | 68.9% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 74 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.71 - 2.22 = -0.51 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.22) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.9% Win Probability (After): 68.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:07 | |
(2nd & 9 at ND 26) Jack Coan pass incomplete to Braden Lenzy - OKST 7, ND 14 | -0.98 | 68.3% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.75 - 1.73 = -0.98 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.73) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.3% Win Probability (After): 67.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:03 | |
(3rd & 9 at ND 26) Jack Coan sacked by Brock Martin for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 22 - OKST 7, ND 14 | -1.64 | 67.0% | -3.9% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 78 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.89 - 0.75 = -1.64 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.75) Score Difference (End): 7 (6.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.0% Win Probability (After): 63.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:24 | |
(4th & 13 at ND 22) Jay Bramblett punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 35 - OKST 7, ND 14 | -0.27 | 63.1% | 3.3% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 65 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.16 - -0.88 = -0.27 Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.12) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.84) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 7, ND 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.1% Win Probability (After): 66.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 0:18 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 35) Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd to the OKSt 36 - OKST 7, ND 14 | -0.60 | 33.5% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 64 Started Drive at: OKST 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.56 - 1.16 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.84) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.5% Win Probability (After): 33.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:03 | |
(2nd & 9 at OKST 36) Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd to the OKSt 37 - OKST 7, ND 14 | -0.73 | 33.6% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 63 Started Drive at: OKST 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.18 - 0.55 = -0.73 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.45) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.6% Win Probability (After): 32.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:56 | |
(3rd & 8 at OKST 37) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Brennan Presley - OKST 7, ND 14 | -1.45 | 32.0% | -2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63 Started Drive at: OKST 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.62 - -0.16 = -1.45 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.16) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.0% Win Probability (After): 29.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:47 | |
(4th & 8 at OKST 37) Tom Hutton punt for 46 yds , Matt Salerno returns for 5 yds to the NDame 22 - OKST 7, ND 14 | -0.53 | 30.1% | 1.6% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 78 Started Drive at: OKST 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.10 - -1.57 = -0.53 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.57) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.10) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 7, ND 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.1% Win Probability (After): 31.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 14:40 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 22) Jack Coan pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 5 yds to the NDame 27 - OKST 7, ND 14 | -0.02 | 69.2% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 73 Started Drive at: ND 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 2.10 = -0.02 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.10) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.2% Win Probability (After): 68.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:13 | |
(2nd & 5 at ND 27) Jack Coan pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 14 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST down - OKST 7, ND 14 | 1.11 | 69.7% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 59 Started Drive at: ND 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.11 - 2.00 = 1.11 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.00) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.7% Win Probability (After): 71.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:50 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 41) Jack Coan pass complete to Lorenzo Styles Jr. for 7 yds to the NDame 48 - OKST 7, ND 14 | 0.27 | 71.9% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 52 Started Drive at: ND 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.30 - 3.04 = 0.27 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.04) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.9% Win Probability (After): 72.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:27 | |
(2nd & 3 at ND 48) Jack Coan pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 11 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST down - OKST 7, ND 14 | 0.61 | 72.3% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 41 Started Drive at: ND 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.97 - 3.37 = 0.61 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.37) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.3% Win Probability (After): 72.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:05 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 41) Jack Coan pass incomplete to Lorenzo Styles Jr. - OKST 7, ND 14 | -0.55 | 72.4% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 41 Started Drive at: ND 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.43 - 3.98 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.98) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.4% Win Probability (After): 72.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:58 | |
(2nd & 10 at OKST 41) Jack Coan pass incomplete to Braden Lenzy - OKST 7, ND 14 | -0.85 | 71.9% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 41 Started Drive at: ND 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.58 - 3.43 = -0.85 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.43) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.9% Win Probability (After): 71.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:50 | |
(3rd & 10 at OKST 41) Jack Coan pass complete to Chris Tyree for 17 yds to the OKSt 24 for a 1ST down - OKST 7, ND 14 | 2.22 | 71.4% | 2.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 24 Started Drive at: ND 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.75 - 2.53 = 2.22 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.53) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 14 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.4% Win Probability (After): 73.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:20 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 24) Jack Coan pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 5 yds to the OKSt 19 - OKST 7, ND 14 | 0.13 | 73.4% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 19 Started Drive at: ND 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.86 - 4.74 = 0.13 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.74) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 14 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.4% Win Probability (After): 74.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:45 | |
(2nd & 5 at OKST 19) Chris Tyree run for 3 yds to the OKSt 16 - OKST 7, ND 14 | -0.04 | 73.9% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 16 Started Drive at: ND 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.77 - 4.81 = -0.04 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.81) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 14 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.9% Win Probability (After): 73.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:04 | |
(3rd & 2 at OKST 16) Michael Mayer 16 Yd pass from Jack Coan (Jonathan Doerer Kick) - OKST 7, ND 21 | 2.27 | 73.4% | 7.3% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 99 Started Drive at: ND 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.73 = 2.27 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.73) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 78 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.4% Win Probability (After): 80.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 14 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:04 | |
(Kickoff at OKST 35) Jonathan Doerer kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - OKST 7, ND 21 | 0.00 | 21.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.36 - -0.36 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.36) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.1% Win Probability (After): 21.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:58 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 25) Spencer Sanders run for 6 yds to the OKSt 31 - OKST 7, ND 21 | 0.33 | 20.9% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.00 - -0.33 = 0.33 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.33) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.9% Win Probability (After): 21.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:34 | |
(2nd & 4 at OKST 31) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 6 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST down - OKST 7, ND 21 | 0.62 | 21.3% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 63 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 0.19 = 0.62 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.81) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.3% Win Probability (After): 22.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:21 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 37) Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 20 yds to the NDame 43 for a 1ST down - OKST 7, ND 21 | 1.49 | 22.4% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 43 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.49 - 1.00 = 1.49 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.00) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.4% Win Probability (After): 24.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:12 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 43) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tay Martin - OKST 7, ND 21 | -0.62 | 23.9% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 43 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.91 - 2.53 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.47) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.9% Win Probability (After): 23.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:04 | |
(2nd & 10 at ND 43) Jaylen Warren run for 15 yds to the NDame 28 for a 1ST down - OKST 7, ND 21 | 1.67 | 23.3% | 3.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 28 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 1.92 = 1.67 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.08) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.3% Win Probability (After): 26.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:51 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 28) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Jaden Bray - OKST 7, ND 21 | -0.62 | 26.5% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.95 - 3.57 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.43) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.5% Win Probability (After): 25.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:46 | |
(2nd & 10 at ND 28) Jaylen Warren run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 30 - OKST 7, ND 21 | -2.11 | 25.0% | -4.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 30 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 2.92 = -2.11 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.08) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.0% Win Probability (After): 20.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:16 | |
(3rd & 12 at ND 30) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Bryson Green - OKST 7, ND 21 | -1.13 | 19.9% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.31 - 0.82 = -1.13 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.18) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.9% Win Probability (After): 18.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:11 | |
(4th & 12 at ND 30) Tanner Brown 48 yd FG MISSED - OKST 7, ND 21 | -2.13 | 17.9% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 70 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.40 - -0.27 = -2.13 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.27) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.40) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.9% Win Probability (After): 17.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 9:04 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 30) Jack Coan pass complete to Lorenzo Styles Jr. for 33 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST down - OKST 7, ND 21 | 1.70 | 82.3% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 37 Started Drive at: ND 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.06 - 2.36 = 1.70 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.36) Score Difference (End): 14 (18.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.3% Win Probability (After): 83.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:35 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 37) Jack Coan pass incomplete - OKST 7, ND 21 | -0.42 | 83.3% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37 Started Drive at: ND 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.51 - 3.93 = -0.42 Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.93) Score Difference (End): 14 (17.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.3% Win Probability (After): 83.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:28 | |
(2nd & 10 at OKST 37) Jack Coan pass complete to Michael Mayer for 9 yds to the OKSt 28 - OKST 7, ND 21 | 0.82 | 83.2% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 28 Started Drive at: ND 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.19 - 3.36 = 0.82 Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.36) Score Difference (End): 14 (18.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.2% Win Probability (After): 83.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:54 | |
(3rd & 1 at OKST 28) Jack Coan pass complete to Michael Mayer for 4 yds to the OKSt 24 for a 1ST down - OKST 7, ND 21 | 0.50 | 83.7% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 24 Started Drive at: ND 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.58 - 4.08 = 0.50 Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.08) Score Difference (End): 14 (18.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.7% Win Probability (After): 84.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:33 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 24) Jack Coan pass incomplete to Kevin Austin Jr. - OKST 7, ND 21 | -0.55 | 84.8% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24 Started Drive at: ND 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.95 - 4.50 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.50) Score Difference (End): 14 (17.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.8% Win Probability (After): 84.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:26 | |
(2nd & 10 at OKST 24) Audric Estime run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 25 - OKST 7, ND 21 | -1.16 | 84.6% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 25 Started Drive at: ND 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.82 - 3.97 = -1.16 Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.97) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.6% Win Probability (After): 83.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:50 | |
(3rd & 11 at OKST 25) Jack Coan run for 2 yds to the OKSt 23 - OKST 7, ND 21 | -0.73 | 83.3% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 23 Started Drive at: ND 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.17 - 2.90 = -0.73 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.90) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.3% Win Probability (After): 83.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:41 | |
(4th & 9 at OKST 23) Jonathan Doerer 41 yd FG MISSED - OKST 7, ND 21 | -2.18 | 83.1% | -2.1% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 77 Started Drive at: ND 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.00 - 2.18 = -2.18 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.18) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.1% Win Probability (After): 81.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 6:35 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 23) Jaylen Warren run for 6 yds to the OKSt 29 - OKST 7, ND 21 | 0.25 | 18.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 71 Started Drive at: OKST 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.32 - 0.07 = 0.25 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.93) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.9% Win Probability (After): 18.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:09 | |
(2nd & 4 at OKST 29) Spencer Sanders run for 11 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST down - OKST 7, ND 21 | 1.21 | 18.9% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 60 Started Drive at: OKST 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.42 - 0.21 = 1.21 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.79) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.9% Win Probability (After): 19.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:58 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 40) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tay Martin - OKST 7, ND 21 | -0.63 | 19.5% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60 Started Drive at: OKST 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.78 - 1.42 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.58) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.5% Win Probability (After): 19.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:53 | |
(2nd & 10 at OKST 40) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tay Martin - OKST 7, ND 21 | -0.69 | 19.1% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60 Started Drive at: OKST 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.18 - 0.87 = -0.69 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.13) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.1% Win Probability (After): 17.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:49 | |
(3rd & 10 at OKST 40) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Brennan Presley - OKST 7, ND 21 | -1.06 | 17.9% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60 Started Drive at: OKST 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.04 - 0.02 = -1.06 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.98) Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.9% Win Probability (After): 16.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:41 | |
(4th & 10 at OKST 40) Tom Hutton punt for 45 yds , Matt Salerno returns for 1 yd to the NDame 16 - OKST 7, ND 21 | 0.11 | 16.6% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 84 Started Drive at: OKST 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.09 - -1.19 = 0.11 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.19) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.09) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.6% Win Probability (After): 16.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 5:35 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 16) Chris Tyree run for 6 yds to the NDame 22 - OKST 7, ND 21 | -0.06 | 84.2% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 78 Started Drive at: ND 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 1.22 = -0.06 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.22) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.2% Win Probability (After): 83.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:03 | |
(2nd & 4 at ND 22) Chris Tyree run for 4 yds to the NDame 26 for a 1ST down - OKST 7, ND 21 | 0.32 | 84.1% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 74 Started Drive at: ND 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.69 - 1.38 = 0.32 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.38) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.1% Win Probability (After): 84.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:30 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 26) Jack Coan pass incomplete - OKST 7, ND 21 | -0.49 | 84.4% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74 Started Drive at: ND 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.19 - 1.69 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.69) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.4% Win Probability (After): 84.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:23 | |
(2nd & 10 at ND 26) Jack Coan pass complete to Kevin Austin Jr. for 16 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST down - OKST 7, ND 21 | 1.40 | 84.1% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 58 Started Drive at: ND 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.41 - 1.00 = 1.40 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.00) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.1% Win Probability (After): 84.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:45 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 42) Coan, Jack pass incomplete to Mayer, Michael, PENALTY OKLAST roughing passer (Martin, Brock) 15 yards to the OKLAST43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME. - OKST 7, ND 21 | 0.95 | 84.8% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 43 Started Drive at: ND 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.20 - 2.25 = 0.95 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.25) Score Difference (End): 14 (17.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.8% Win Probability (After): 85.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:39 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 43) Jack Coan pass complete to Kevin Austin Jr. for 8 yds to the OKSt 35 - OKST 7, ND 21 | 0.55 | 85.2% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 35 Started Drive at: ND 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.53 - 2.99 = 0.55 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.99) Score Difference (End): 14 (17.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.2% Win Probability (After): 87.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:08 | |
(2nd & 2 at OKST 35) Jack Coan pass complete to Michael Mayer for 7 yds to the OKSt 28 for a 1ST down - OKST 7, ND 21 | 0.70 | 87.1% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 28 Started Drive at: ND 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.91 - 3.21 = 0.70 Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.21) Score Difference (End): 14 (17.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.1% Win Probability (After): 87.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:37 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 28) Braden Lenzy run for no gain to the OKSt 28 - OKST 7, ND 21 | -0.31 | 87.5% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28 Started Drive at: ND 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.02 - 3.33 = -0.31 Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.33) Score Difference (End): 14 (17.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.5% Win Probability (After): 87.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:02 | |
(2nd & 10 at OKST 28) Chris Tyree run for 1 yd to the OKSt 27 - OKST 7, ND 21 | -0.47 | 87.6% | -3.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 27 Started Drive at: ND 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.36 - 2.82 = -0.47 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.82) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.6% Win Probability (After): 84.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:23 | |
(3rd & 9 at OKST 27) Jack Coan pass complete to Kevin Austin Jr. for 20 yds to the OKSt 7 for a 1ST down - OKST 7, ND 21 | 3.00 | 86.7% | 4.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 7 Started Drive at: ND 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.23 - 2.23 = 3.00 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.23) Score Difference (End): 14 (19.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.7% Win Probability (After): 90.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:20 | |
(1st & Goal at OKST 7) Jack Coan pass incomplete to Kevin Austin Jr., broken up by Jabbar Muhammad - OKST 7, ND 21 | -0.58 | 91.3% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7 Started Drive at: ND 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.51 - 5.09 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): 14 (19.09) Score Difference (End): 14 (18.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 21 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.3% Win Probability (After): 90.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:16 | |
(2nd & Goal at OKST 7) Michael Mayer 7 Yd pass from Jack Coan (Jonathan Doerer Kick) - OKST 7, ND 28 | 2.50 | 90.9% | 6.6% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99 Started Drive at: ND 16 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.50 = 2.50 Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.50) Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 28 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.9% Win Probability (After): 97.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 21 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:16 | |
(Kickoff at OKST 35) Jonathan Doerer kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - OKST 7, ND 28 | 0.00 | 5.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.55 - 0.55 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.45) Score Difference (End): -21 (-20.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 28 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.4% Win Probability (After): 5.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:09 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 25) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 13 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST down - OKST 7, ND 28 | 0.48 | 5.4% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 62 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.03 - 0.54 = 0.48 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.46) Score Difference (End): -21 (-19.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.4% Win Probability (After): 6.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:54 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 38) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 41 yds to the NDame 21 for a 1ST down - OKST 7, ND 28 | 2.68 | 5.7% | 3.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 21 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.47 - 0.79 = 2.68 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.21) Score Difference (End): -21 (-17.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.7% Win Probability (After): 8.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:43 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 21) Spencer Sanders run for 12 yds to the NDame 9 for a 1ST down - OKST 7, ND 28 | 1.30 | 8.8% | 1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 9 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.72 - 3.42 = 1.30 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-17.58) Score Difference (End): -21 (-16.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.8% Win Probability (After): 10.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:42 | |
(1st & Goal at ND 9) Timeout OKLAHOMA ST, clock 00:42 - OKST 7, ND 28 | 0.00 | 10.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.72 - 4.72 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-16.28) Score Difference (End): -21 (-16.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 7, ND 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.0% Win Probability (After): 10.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:37 | |
(1st & Goal at ND 9) Tay Martin 9 Yd pass from Spencer Sanders (Tanner Brown Kick) - OKST 14, ND 28 | 2.33 | 9.1% | 6.2% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99 Started Drive at: OKST 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.67 = 2.33 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-16.33) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 14, ND 28 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.1% Win Probability (After): 15.4% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:37 | |
(Kickoff at ND 35) Tanner Brown kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - OKST 14, ND 28 | 0.00 | 86.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.48 - 0.48 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.48) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 14, ND 28 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.2% Win Probability (After): 86.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:30 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 25) Logan Diggs run for 4 yds to the NDame 29 - OKST 14, ND 28 | -0.40 | 86.2% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.55 - 0.40 = -0.40 Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.40) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 14, ND 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.2% Win Probability (After): 86.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at OKST 35) Jonathan Doerer kickoff for 61 yds , Brennan Presley return for 9 yds to the OKSt 13 - OKST 14, ND 28 | -1.57 | 14.5% | -2.5% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 87 Started Drive at: OKST 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.19 - -0.62 = -1.57 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.62) Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 14, ND 28 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.5% Win Probability (After): 12.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:50 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 13) Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd to the OKSt 14 - OKST 14, ND 28 | -0.60 | 15.0% | -3.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 86 Started Drive at: OKST 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.65 - -1.05 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.05) Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 14, ND 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.0% Win Probability (After): 12.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:29 | |
(2nd & 9 at OKST 14) Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the OKSt 17 - OKST 14, ND 28 | -0.49 | 13.0% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 83 Started Drive at: OKST 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.06 - -1.57 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.57) Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 14, ND 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.0% Win Probability (After): 12.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:56 | |
(3rd & 6 at OKST 17) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 14 yds to the OKSt 31 for a 1ST down - OKST 14, ND 28 | 2.25 | 11.4% | 4.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 69 Started Drive at: OKST 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - -2.05 = 2.25 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-16.05) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 14, ND 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.4% Win Probability (After): 15.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:41 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 31) Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the OKSt 34 - OKST 14, ND 28 | -0.46 | 15.1% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 66 Started Drive at: OKST 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.21 - 0.25 = -0.46 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.75) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 14, ND 28 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.1% Win Probability (After): 14.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:09 | |
(2nd & 7 at OKST 34) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 10 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST down - OKST 14, ND 28 | 1.47 | 14.6% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 56 Started Drive at: OKST 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - -0.28 = 1.47 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.28) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 14, ND 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.6% Win Probability (After): 15.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:47 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 44) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Brennan Presley - OKST 14, ND 28 | -0.71 | 15.5% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 56 Started Drive at: OKST 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.40 - 1.10 = -0.71 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.90) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 14, ND 28 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.5% Win Probability (After): 15.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:40 | |
(2nd & 10 at OKST 44) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 6 yds to the 50 yard line - OKST 14, ND 28 | -0.03 | 15.1% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 50 Started Drive at: OKST 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.42 - 0.45 = -0.03 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.55) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 14, ND 28 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.1% Win Probability (After): 15.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:20 | |
(3rd & 4 at 50) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 6 yds to the NDame 44 for a 1ST down - OKST 14, ND 28 | 1.70 | 15.1% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 44 Started Drive at: OKST 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - 0.42 = 1.70 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.58) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 14, ND 28 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.1% Win Probability (After): 16.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:05 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 44) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaylen Warren for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 45 - OKST 14, ND 28 | -1.39 | 16.0% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 45 Started Drive at: OKST 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.72 - 2.12 = -1.39 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.88) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 14, ND 28 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.0% Win Probability (After): 14.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:30 | |
(2nd & 11 at ND 45) Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 15 yds to the NDame 30 for a 1ST down - OKST 14, ND 28 | 2.53 | 15.0% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 30 Started Drive at: OKST 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.35 - 0.83 = 2.53 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.17) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 14, ND 28 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.0% Win Probability (After): 17.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:16 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 30) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Rashod Owens for 25 yds to the NDame 5 for a 1ST down - OKST 14, ND 28 | 2.28 | 17.3% | 3.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 5 Started Drive at: OKST 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.61 - 3.33 = 2.28 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.67) Score Difference (End): -14 (-8.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 14, ND 28 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 82 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.3% Win Probability (After): 20.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:52 | |
(1st & Goal at ND 5) Tay Martin 5 Yd pass from Spencer Sanders (Tanner Brown Kick) - OKST 21, ND 28 | 1.40 | 20.1% | 11.7% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99 Started Drive at: OKST 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.60 = 1.40 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.40) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 87 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.1% Win Probability (After): 31.8% Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:52 | |
(Kickoff at ND 35) Tanner Brown kickoff for 62 yds , Chris Tyree return for 16 yds to the NDame 19 - OKST 21, ND 28 | -1.30 | 75.1% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 81 Started Drive at: ND 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.84 - 2.14 = -1.30 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.14) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.1% Win Probability (After): 72.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:38 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 19) Chris Tyree run for 5 yds to the NDame 24 - OKST 21, ND 28 | -0.14 | 74.7% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 76 Started Drive at: ND 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.86 - 2.00 = -0.14 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.00) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.7% Win Probability (After): 75.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:08 | |
(2nd & 5 at ND 24) Jack Coan pass incomplete to Kevin Austin Jr. - OKST 21, ND 28 | -1.03 | 74.7% | -2.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76 Started Drive at: ND 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.91 - 1.94 = -1.03 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.94) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.7% Win Probability (After): 72.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:04 | |
(3rd & 5 at ND 24) Jack Coan pass incomplete to Deion Colzie - OKST 21, ND 28 | -1.59 | 71.0% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76 Started Drive at: ND 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.67 - 0.92 = -1.59 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.92) Score Difference (End): 7 (6.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.0% Win Probability (After): 69.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:56 | |
(4th & 5 at ND 24) Jay Bramblett punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 40 - OKST 21, ND 28 | -0.44 | 69.0% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 60 Started Drive at: ND 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.08 - -0.65 = -0.44 Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.35) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.92) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.0% Win Probability (After): 67.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 9:50 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 40) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Bryson Green - OKST 21, ND 28 | -0.66 | 32.7% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60 Started Drive at: OKST 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.62 - 1.28 = -0.66 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.72) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.7% Win Probability (After): 31.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:45 | |
(2nd & 10 at OKST 40) LD Brown run for 3 yds to the OKSt 43 - OKST 21, ND 28 | -0.62 | 32.6% | -2.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 57 Started Drive at: OKST 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.12 - 0.73 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.27) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.6% Win Probability (After): 29.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:29 | |
(3rd & 7 at OKST 43) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete - OKST 21, ND 28 | -1.50 | 30.6% | -3.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 57 Started Drive at: OKST 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.38 - 0.12 = -1.50 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.88) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.6% Win Probability (After): 26.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:22 | |
(4th & 7 at OKST 43) Tom Hutton punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Matt Salerno at the NDame 15 - OKST 21, ND 28 | -0.43 | 26.5% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 85 Started Drive at: OKST 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.83 - -1.40 = -0.43 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.40) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.83) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.5% Win Probability (After): 26.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 9:15 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 15) Logan Diggs run for 2 yds to the NDame 17 - OKST 21, ND 28 | -0.57 | 73.9% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 83 Started Drive at: ND 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.22 - 1.80 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.80) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.9% Win Probability (After): 73.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:41 | |
(2nd & 8 at ND 17) Logan Diggs run for 5 yds to the NDame 22 - OKST 21, ND 28 | -0.10 | 74.2% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 78 Started Drive at: ND 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.08 - 1.17 = -0.10 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.17) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.2% Win Probability (After): 73.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:00 | |
(3rd & 3 at ND 22) Jack Coan pass complete to Lorenzo Styles Jr. for 10 yds to the NDame 32 for a 1ST down - OKST 21, ND 28 | 1.56 | 73.6% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 68 Started Drive at: ND 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.58 - 1.02 = 1.56 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.02) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.6% Win Probability (After): 75.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:30 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 32) Jack Coan pass complete to Logan Diggs for no gain to the NDame 32 - OKST 21, ND 28 | -0.60 | 75.0% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68 Started Drive at: ND 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.93 - 2.53 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.53) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.0% Win Probability (After): 74.4% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:56 | |
(2nd & 10 at ND 32) Jack Coan pass incomplete to Michael Mayer - OKST 21, ND 28 | -1.04 | 74.7% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68 Started Drive at: ND 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.92 - 1.96 = -1.04 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.96) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.7% Win Probability (After): 72.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:49 | |
(3rd & 10 at ND 32) Jack Coan pass complete to Logan Diggs for 12 yds to the NDame 44 for a 1ST down - OKST 21, ND 28 | 2.22 | 73.2% | 3.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 56 Started Drive at: ND 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.25 - 1.03 = 2.22 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.03) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.2% Win Probability (After): 76.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:17 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 44) Jack Coan pass complete to Logan Diggs for 3 yds to the NDame 47 - OKST 21, ND 28 | -0.36 | 77.3% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 53 Started Drive at: ND 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.87 - 3.22 = -0.36 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.22) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.3% Win Probability (After): 76.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:51 | |
(2nd & 7 at ND 47) Jack Coan pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 3 yds to the 50 yard line - OKST 21, ND 28 | -0.36 | 77.1% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 50 Started Drive at: ND 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.47 - 2.83 = -0.36 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.83) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.1% Win Probability (After): 76.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:16 | |
(3rd & 4 at 50) Jack Coan pass incomplete to Kevin Austin Jr. - OKST 21, ND 28 | -1.89 | 77.2% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50 Started Drive at: ND 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.62 - 2.51 = -1.89 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.51) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.2% Win Probability (After): 75.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:09 | |
(4th & 4 at 50) Jay Bramblett punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 11 - OKST 21, ND 28 | 0.05 | 76.1% | -3.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 89 Started Drive at: ND 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.68 - 0.63 = 0.05 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.63) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.68) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.1% Win Probability (After): 73.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 5:02 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 11) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaylen Warren for 4 yds to the OKSt 15 - OKST 21, ND 28 | -0.17 | 26.9% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 85 Started Drive at: OKST 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.85 - -0.69 = -0.17 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.69) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.9% Win Probability (After): 26.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:41 | |
(2nd & 6 at OKST 15) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaylen Warren for 7 yds to the OKSt 22 for a 1ST down - OKST 21, ND 28 | 0.65 | 26.4% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 78 Started Drive at: OKST 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.19 - -0.84 = 0.65 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.84) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.4% Win Probability (After): 27.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:27 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 22) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Jaden Bray - OKST 21, ND 28 | -0.57 | 27.8% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 78 Started Drive at: OKST 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.76 - -0.19 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.19) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.8% Win Probability (After): 26.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:18 | |
(2nd & 10 at OKST 22) Spencer Sanders run for 26 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST down - OKST 21, ND 28 | 2.56 | 27.0% | 5.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 52 Started Drive at: OKST 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.78 - -0.77 = 2.56 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.77) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.0% Win Probability (After): 32.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:55 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 48) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 9 yds to the NDame 43 - OKST 21, ND 28 | 1.05 | 31.0% | 2.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 43 Started Drive at: OKST 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.82 - 1.77 = 1.05 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.23) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.0% Win Probability (After): 33.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:42 | |
(2nd & 1 at ND 43) Dominic Richardson run for 3 yds to the NDame 40 for a 1ST down - OKST 21, ND 28 | -0.04 | 33.8% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 40 Started Drive at: OKST 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.77 - 2.81 = -0.04 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.19) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.8% Win Probability (After): 33.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:29 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 40) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 11 yds to the NDame 29 for a 1ST down - OKST 21, ND 28 | 0.78 | 34.1% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 29 Started Drive at: OKST 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.55 - 2.76 = 0.78 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.24) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.1% Win Probability (After): 35.1% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:16 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 29) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 9 yds to the NDame 20 - OKST 21, ND 28 | 1.08 | 32.9% | 4.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 20 Started Drive at: OKST 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.62 - 3.54 = 1.08 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.46) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.9% Win Probability (After): 37.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:57 | |
(2nd & 1 at ND 20) Spencer Sanders run for 12 yds to the NDame 8 for a 1ST down - OKST 21, ND 28 | 0.68 | 37.2% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 8 Started Drive at: OKST 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.29 - 4.62 = 0.68 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.38) Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 21, ND 28 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 81 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.2% Win Probability (After): 38.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:47 | |
(1st & Goal at ND 8) Tay Martin 8 Yd pass from Spencer Sanders (Tanner Brown Kick) - OKST 28, ND 28 | 1.71 | 39.9% | 9.6% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99 Started Drive at: OKST 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.29 = 1.71 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.71) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 28, ND 28 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 89 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.9% Win Probability (After): 49.5% Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:47 | |
(Kickoff at ND 35) Tanner Brown kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - OKST 28, ND 28 | 0.00 | 53.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.08 - 1.08 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.08) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 28, ND 28 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.4% Win Probability (After): 53.4% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:44 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 25) Jack Coan pass incomplete to Chris Tyree - OKST 28, ND 28 | -0.64 | 53.4% | -3.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.44 - 1.08 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.08) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 28, ND 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.4% Win Probability (After): 49.9% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:39 | |
(2nd & 10 at ND 25) Jack Coan pass incomplete to Braden Lenzy - OKST 28, ND 28 | -1.00 | 49.9% | -5.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.55 - 0.45 = -1.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.45) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 28, ND 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.9% Win Probability (After): 44.1% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:34 | |
(3rd & 10 at ND 25) Jack Coan pass incomplete - OKST 28, ND 28 | -1.44 | 44.3% | -6.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.99 - -0.55 = -1.44 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.55) Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 28, ND 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.3% Win Probability (After): 37.6% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:23 | |
(4th & 10 at ND 25) Jay Bramblett punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NOTREDAME 36 NOTRE DAME Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Xavier Watts) to the OKSt 43 - OKST 28, ND 28 | -0.36 | 38.0% | 4.7% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 57 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.35 - -1.99 = -0.36 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.99) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.35) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 28, ND 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.0% Win Probability (After): 42.7% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 2:17 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 43) Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 5 yds to the OKSt 48 - OKST 28, ND 28 | 0.12 | 56.7% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 52 Started Drive at: OKST 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.46 - 2.34 = 0.12 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.34) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 28, ND 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.7% Win Probability (After): 57.1% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:59 | |
(2nd & 5 at OKST 48) Jaylen Warren run for 7 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST down - OKST 28, ND 28 | 0.71 | 56.5% | 3.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 45 Started Drive at: OKST 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.17 - 2.46 = 0.71 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.46) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 28, ND 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.5% Win Probability (After): 59.7% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:46 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 45) Sanders, Spencer pass incomplete to Martin, Tay, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Lewis, Clarence) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST. - OKST 28, ND 28 | 0.95 | 59.4% | 2.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 30 Started Drive at: OKST 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.13 - 3.18 = 0.95 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.18) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 28, ND 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.4% Win Probability (After): 61.7% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:40 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 30) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 15 yds to the NDame 15 for a 1ST down - OKST 28, ND 28 | 0.92 | 62.0% | 2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 15 Started Drive at: OKST 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.06 - 4.14 = 0.92 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.14) Score Difference (End): 0 (5.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 28, ND 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.0% Win Probability (After): 64.3% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:19 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 15) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tay Martin - OKST 28, ND 28 | -0.57 | 63.9% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15 Started Drive at: OKST 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.49 - 5.06 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.06) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 28, ND 28 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.9% Win Probability (After): 63.8% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:10 | |
(2nd & 10 at ND 15) John Paul Richardson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 16 - OKST 28, ND 28 | -1.16 | 63.0% | -3.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 16 Started Drive at: OKST 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 4.49 = -1.16 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.49) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 28, ND 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.0% Win Probability (After): 59.6% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:41 | |
(3rd & 12 at ND 16) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaylen Warren for a loss of 5 yards to the NDame 21 - OKST 28, ND 28 | -1.12 | 60.2% | -5.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 21 Started Drive at: OKST 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.21 - 3.34 = -1.12 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.34) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 28, ND 28 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.2% Win Probability (After): 54.7% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:06 | |
(4th & 17 at ND 21) Tanner Brown 38 Yd Field Goal - OKST 31, ND 28 | 0.79 | 54.9% | 12.5% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21 Started Drive at: OKST 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.21 = 0.79 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.21) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.9% Win Probability (After): 67.4% Away Score: 28 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 0:06 | |
(Kickoff at ND 35) Tanner Brown kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - OKST 31, ND 28 | 0.00 | 37.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 0.81 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.19) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.2% Win Probability (After): 37.2% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:00 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 25) Jack Coan pass complete to Lorenzo Styles Jr. for 12 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST down - OKST 31, ND 28 | 0.96 | 37.2% | 2.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 63 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.76 - 0.81 = 0.96 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.19) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.2% Win Probability (After): 39.9% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:55 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 37) Jack Coan pass incomplete to Michael Mayer - OKST 31, ND 28 | -0.66 | 40.1% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.14 - 1.80 = -0.66 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.20) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.1% Win Probability (After): 38.0% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:48 | |
(2nd & 10 at ND 37) Jack Coan pass incomplete - OKST 31, ND 28 | -0.78 | 38.1% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 1.16 = -0.78 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.84) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.1% Win Probability (After): 35.9% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:43 | |
(3rd & 10 at ND 37) Jack Coan pass complete to Michael Mayer for 19 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST down - OKST 31, ND 28 | 2.66 | 35.8% | 11.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 44 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.03 - 0.37 = 2.66 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.63) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.8% Win Probability (After): 47.6% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:13 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 44) Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the OKSt 44 Logan Diggs fumbled, forced by Kolby Harvell-Peel, recovered by OKSt Kolby Harvell-Peel , return for 3 yds to the OKSt 44 - OKST 31, ND 28 | -5.72 | 46.9% | -16.9% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 56 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.74 - 2.98 = -5.72 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.02) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.74) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.9% Win Probability (After): 30.0% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:07 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 44) Spencer Sanders run for 11 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST down - OKST 31, ND 28 | 0.54 | 70.4% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 45 Started Drive at: OKST 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.21 - 2.67 = 0.54 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.67) Score Difference (End): 3 (6.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.4% Win Probability (After): 70.9% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:49 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 45) Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the NDame 43 - OKST 31, ND 28 | -0.50 | 70.7% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 43 Started Drive at: OKST 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - 3.28 = -0.50 Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.28) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.7% Win Probability (After): 70.7% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:26 | |
(2nd & 8 at ND 43) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Bryson Green for 17 yds to the NDame 26 for a 1ST down - OKST 31, ND 28 | 1.54 | 70.8% | 3.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 26 Started Drive at: OKST 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - 2.80 = 1.54 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.80) Score Difference (End): 3 (7.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.8% Win Probability (After): 73.9% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:10 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 26) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 21 yds to the NDame 5 for a 1ST down - OKST 31, ND 28 | 1.50 | 74.9% | 4.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 5 Started Drive at: OKST 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.88 - 4.37 = 1.50 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.37) Score Difference (End): 3 (8.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.9% Win Probability (After): 78.9% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:41 | |
(1st & Goal at ND 5) Brennan Presley run for 4 yds Brennan Presley fumbled, forced by Drew White, recovered by NDame Ramon Henderson - OKST 31, ND 28 | -6.43 | 79.8% | -16.5% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 80 Started Drive at: OKST 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.57 - 5.86 = -6.43 Score Difference (Before): 3 (8.86) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.43) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.8% Win Probability (After): 63.3% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:35 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 20) Jack Coan pass incomplete to Lorenzo Styles Jr. - OKST 31, ND 28 | -0.68 | 36.7% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80 Started Drive at: ND 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - 0.64 = -0.68 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.36) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.7% Win Probability (After): 35.5% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:30 | |
(2nd & 10 at ND 20) Jack Coan pass incomplete to Braden Lenzy, broken up by Jabbar Muhammad - OKST 31, ND 28 | -0.84 | 35.5% | -3.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80 Started Drive at: ND 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.88 - -0.05 = -0.84 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.05) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.5% Win Probability (After): 31.7% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:22 | |
(3rd & 10 at ND 20) Jack Coan run for 4 yds to the NDame 24 - OKST 31, ND 28 | -1.13 | 31.4% | -2.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 76 Started Drive at: ND 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.03 - -0.90 = -1.13 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.90) Score Difference (End): -3 (-5.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.4% Win Probability (After): 29.2% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:47 | |
(4th & 6 at ND 24) Jay Bramblett punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 39 - OKST 31, ND 28 | -0.46 | 29.0% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 61 Started Drive at: ND 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.48 - -2.02 = -0.46 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-5.02) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.48) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.0% Win Probability (After): 29.6% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 11:41 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 39) Spencer Sanders run for 22 yds to the NDame 39 for a 1ST down - OKST 31, ND 28 | 1.26 | 70.4% | 3.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 39 Started Drive at: OKST 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.69 - 2.42 = 1.26 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.42) Score Difference (End): 3 (6.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.4% Win Probability (After): 74.1% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:22 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 39) Jaylen Warren run for 7 yds to the NDame 32 - OKST 31, ND 28 | 0.42 | 74.0% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 32 Started Drive at: OKST 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.08 - 3.66 = 0.42 Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.66) Score Difference (End): 3 (7.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.0% Win Probability (After): 75.1% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:08 | |
(2nd & 3 at ND 32) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 13 yds to the NDame 19 for a 1ST down - OKST 31, ND 28 | 0.65 | 75.2% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 19 Started Drive at: OKST 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.72 - 4.07 = 0.65 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.07) Score Difference (End): 3 (7.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.2% Win Probability (After): 77.2% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:51 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 19) Spencer Sanders run for 5 yds to the NDame 14 - OKST 31, ND 28 | 0.10 | 77.9% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 14 Started Drive at: OKST 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.80 - 4.69 = 0.10 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.69) Score Difference (End): 3 (7.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.9% Win Probability (After): 77.7% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:39 | |
(2nd & 5 at ND 14) Jaylen Warren run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 16 - OKST 31, ND 28 | -1.05 | 77.7% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 16 Started Drive at: OKST 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.76 - 4.81 = -1.05 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.81) Score Difference (End): 3 (6.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.7% Win Probability (After): 76.1% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:05 | |
(3rd & 7 at ND 16) Sanders, Spencer pass complete to Carter, Logan for 14 yards to the NOTREDAME2, PENALTY OKLAST face mask (Woodard, Hunter) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME31, NO PLAY. - OKST 31, ND 28 | -1.53 | 76.2% | -7.2% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 31 Started Drive at: OKST 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.23 - 3.75 = -1.53 Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.75) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.2% Win Probability (After): 69.1% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:47 | |
(3rd & 22 at ND 31) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 7 yds to the NDame 24 - OKST 31, ND 28 | -0.17 | 71.4% | -2.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 24 Started Drive at: OKST 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.02 - 2.19 = -0.17 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.19) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 31, ND 28 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.4% Win Probability (After): 68.7% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:07 | |
(4th & 15 at ND 24) Tanner Brown 41 Yd Field Goal - OKST 34, ND 28 | 1.04 | 69.9% | 11.3% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24 Started Drive at: OKST 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.96 = 1.04 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.96) Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.9% Win Probability (After): 81.2% Away Score: 31 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 9:07 | |
(Kickoff at ND 35) Tanner Brown kickoff for 64 yds , Chris Tyree return for 28 yds to the NDame 29 - OKST 34, ND 28 | -0.73 | 28.1% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 71 Started Drive at: ND 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.27 - 1.00 = -0.73 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.00) Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.1% Win Probability (After): 26.9% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:52 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 29) Jack Coan pass complete to Kevin Austin Jr. for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - OKST 34, ND 28 | 1.35 | 28.6% | 3.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 50 Started Drive at: ND 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.66 - 1.32 = 1.35 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.68) Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.6% Win Probability (After): 32.1% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:28 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) Jack Coan pass incomplete to Braden Lenzy - OKST 34, ND 28 | -0.57 | 32.4% | -2.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50 Started Drive at: ND 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - 2.56 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.44) Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.4% Win Probability (After): 30.1% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:22 | |
(2nd & 10 at 50) Jack Coan pass complete to Lorenzo Styles Jr. for 16 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST down - OKST 34, ND 28 | 1.77 | 30.3% | 7.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 34 Started Drive at: ND 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.62 - 1.85 = 1.77 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.15) Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.3% Win Probability (After): 37.3% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:53 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 34) Jack Coan pass incomplete to Braden Lenzy, broken up by Korie Black - OKST 34, ND 28 | -0.57 | 36.2% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34 Started Drive at: ND 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.01 - 3.57 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.43) Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.2% Win Probability (After): 34.2% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:47 | |
(2nd & 10 at OKST 34) Jack Coan pass complete to Michael Mayer for 10 yds to the OKSt 24 for a 1ST down - OKST 34, ND 28 | 1.03 | 34.2% | 4.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 24 Started Drive at: ND 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.12 - 3.09 = 1.03 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.91) Score Difference (End): -6 (-1.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.2% Win Probability (After): 38.9% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:19 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 24) Jack Coan sacked by Brock Martin for a loss of 6 yards to the OKSt 30 - OKST 34, ND 28 | -1.49 | 38.7% | -6.5% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 30 Started Drive at: ND 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.66 - 4.15 = -1.49 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-1.85) Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.7% Win Probability (After): 32.2% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:35 | |
(2nd & 16 at OKST 30) Jack Coan pass intercepted Malcolm Rodriguez return for 11 yds to the OKSt 29 - OKST 34, ND 28 | -4.30 | 31.2% | -13.4% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 71 Started Drive at: ND 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.57 - 2.73 = -4.30 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.27) Score Difference (End): 6 (7.57) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.2% Win Probability (After): 17.8% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:28 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 29) Jaylen Warren run for 20 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST down - OKST 34, ND 28 | 1.05 | 82.8% | 4.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 51 Started Drive at: OKST 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.52 - 1.48 = 1.05 Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.48) Score Difference (End): 6 (8.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.8% Win Probability (After): 86.9% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:07 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 49) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 6 yds to the NDame 45 - OKST 34, ND 28 | 0.38 | 87.3% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 45 Started Drive at: OKST 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.74 - 2.36 = 0.38 Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.36) Score Difference (End): 6 (8.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.3% Win Probability (After): 86.9% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:54 | |
(2nd & 4 at ND 45) Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the NDame 43 - OKST 34, ND 28 | -0.39 | 89.0% | -2.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 43 Started Drive at: OKST 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.17 - 2.56 = -0.39 Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.56) Score Difference (End): 6 (8.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.0% Win Probability (After): 86.4% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:16 | |
(3rd & 2 at ND 43) Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the NDame 42 - OKST 34, ND 28 | -0.94 | 89.5% | -4.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 42 Started Drive at: OKST 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.31 - 2.25 = -0.94 Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.25) Score Difference (End): 6 (7.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.5% Win Probability (After): 84.8% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:38 | |
(4th & 1 at ND 42) Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the NDame 40 for a 1ST down - OKST 34, ND 28 | 1.88 | 88.7% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 40 Started Drive at: OKST 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.12 - 1.25 = 1.88 Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.25) Score Difference (End): 6 (9.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.7% Win Probability (After): 90.5% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 4:28 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 40) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Jaden Bray - OKST 34, ND 28 | -0.46 | 91.6% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40 Started Drive at: OKST 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.52 - 2.98 = -0.46 Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.98) Score Difference (End): 6 (8.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.6% Win Probability (After): 90.7% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:25 | |
(2nd & 10 at ND 40) Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Brennan Presley - OKST 34, ND 28 | -0.70 | 90.9% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40 Started Drive at: OKST 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - 2.53 = -0.70 Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.53) Score Difference (End): 6 (7.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.9% Win Probability (After): 89.9% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:18 | |
(3rd & 10 at ND 40) Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 29 yds to the NDame 11 for a 1ST down - OKST 34, ND 28 | 3.06 | 90.0% | 4.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 11 Started Drive at: OKST 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.89 - 1.83 = 3.06 Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.83) Score Difference (End): 6 (10.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.0% Win Probability (After): 94.5% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:51 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 11) Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd to the NDame 10 - OKST 34, ND 28 | -0.48 | 96.7% | -3.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 10 Started Drive at: OKST 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - 4.82 = -0.48 Score Difference (Before): 6 (10.82) Score Difference (End): 6 (10.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.7% Win Probability (After): 93.4% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:11 | |
(2nd & 9 at ND 10) OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (Josh Sills) to the NDame 15 - OKST 34, ND 28 | -0.56 | 96.3% | -2.6% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 15 Started Drive at: OKST 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.62 - 4.18 = -0.56 Score Difference (Before): 6 (10.18) Score Difference (End): 6 (9.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.3% Win Probability (After): 93.7% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:07 | |
(2nd & 14 at ND 15) Spencer Sanders run for 4 yds to the NDame 11 Spencer Sanders fumbled, forced by Isaiah Foskey, recovered by NDame Drew White - OKST 34, ND 28 | -3.73 | 96.3% | -14.9% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 89 Started Drive at: OKST 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.28 - 3.45 = -3.73 Score Difference (Before): 6 (9.45) Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.72) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.3% Win Probability (After): 81.3% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:04 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 11) Jack Coan pass complete to Chris Tyree for 4 yds to the NDame 15 - OKST 34, ND 28 | -0.07 | 18.2% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 85 Started Drive at: ND 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - 0.27 = -0.07 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.73) Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.2% Win Probability (After): 17.9% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:49 | |
(2nd & 6 at ND 15) Jack Coan pass incomplete to Michael Mayer - OKST 34, ND 28 | -0.62 | 19.5% | -3.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 85 Started Drive at: ND 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.38 - 0.24 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.76) Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.5% Win Probability (After): 15.9% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:44 | |
(3rd & 6 at ND 15) Jack Coan pass incomplete to Braden Lenzy - OKST 34, ND 28 | -1.10 | 17.2% | -3.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 85 Started Drive at: ND 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.44 - -0.34 = -1.10 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-6.34) Score Difference (End): -6 (-7.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.2% Win Probability (After): 13.6% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:38 | |
(4th & 6 at ND 15) Jack Coan pass incomplete to Kevin Austin Jr., broken up by Kolby Harvell-Peel - OKST 34, ND 28 | -2.77 | 13.2% | -10.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 15 Started Drive at: ND 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.18 - -1.40 = -2.77 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-7.40) Score Difference (End): 6 (10.18) Change of Possession: 1 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.2% Win Probability (After): 2.7% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 2:32 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 15) Jaylen Warren run for 4 yds to the NDame 11 - OKST 34, ND 28 | 0.04 | 96.7% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 11 Started Drive at: ND 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.29 - 4.25 = 0.04 Score Difference (Before): 6 (10.25) Score Difference (End): 6 (10.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.7% Win Probability (After): 97.1% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:31 | |
(2nd & 6 at ND 11) Timeout NOTRE DAME, clock 02:31 - OKST 34, ND 28 | 0.00 | 96.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11 Started Drive at: ND 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.29 - 4.29 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 6 (10.29) Score Difference (End): 6 (10.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.8% Win Probability (After): 96.8% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:27 | |
(2nd & 6 at ND 11) Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd to the NDame 10 - OKST 34, ND 28 | -0.64 | 97.1% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 10 Started Drive at: ND 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.64 - 4.28 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): 6 (10.28) Score Difference (End): 6 (9.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.1% Win Probability (After): 95.7% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:26 | |
(3rd & 5 at ND 10) Timeout NOTRE DAME, clock 02:26 - OKST 34, ND 28 | 0.00 | 95.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 10 Started Drive at: ND 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.64 - 3.64 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 6 (9.64) Score Difference (End): 6 (9.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.6% Win Probability (After): 95.6% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:20 | |
(3rd & 5 at ND 10) Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the NDame 8 - OKST 34, ND 28 | -1.01 | 96.1% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 8 Started Drive at: ND 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.60 - 3.61 = -1.01 Score Difference (Before): 6 (9.61) Score Difference (End): 6 (8.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.1% Win Probability (After): 94.1% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:19 | |
(4th & 3 at ND 8) Timeout NOTRE DAME, clock 02:19 - OKST 34, ND 28 | 0.00 | 94.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8 Started Drive at: ND 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.60 - 2.60 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.60) Score Difference (End): 6 (8.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.2% Win Probability (After): 94.2% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 2:16 | |
(Kickoff at ND 35) Tanner Brown kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - OKST 34, ND 28 | -0.01 | 21.1% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.14 - 1.15 = -0.01 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.85) Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 34, ND 28 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.1% Win Probability (After): 20.6% Away Score: 34 (34) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:16 | |
(4th & 3 at ND 8) Tanner Brown 25 yd FG GOOD - OKST 37, ND 28 | 0.37 | 94.5% | 3.9% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8 Started Drive at: ND 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.63 = 0.37 Score Difference (Before): 6 (8.63) Score Difference (End): 9 (9.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 37, ND 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.5% Win Probability (After): 98.4% Away Score: 34 (37) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 2:12 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 25) Jack Coan pass incomplete to Logan Diggs, broken up by Malcolm Rodriguez - OKST 37, ND 28 | -0.42 | 3.2% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.69 - 1.11 = -0.42 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-7.89) Score Difference (End): -9 (-8.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 37, ND 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.2% Win Probability (After): 3.0% Away Score: 37 (37) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:08 | |
(2nd & 10 at ND 25) Jack Coan pass incomplete to Michael Mayer - OKST 37, ND 28 | -0.58 | 3.0% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.10 - 0.68 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.32) Score Difference (End): -9 (-8.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 37, ND 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.0% Win Probability (After): 2.7% Away Score: 37 (37) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:02 | |
(3rd & 10 at ND 25) Jack Coan pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 17 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST down - OKST 37, ND 28 | 1.78 | 2.7% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 58 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - 0.07 = 1.78 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.93) Score Difference (End): -9 (-7.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 37, ND 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.7% Win Probability (After): 4.5% Away Score: 37 (37) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:56 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 42) NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Jarrett Patterson) to the NDame 37 - OKST 37, ND 28 | -0.59 | 3.6% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 63 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.25 - 1.85 = -0.59 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-7.15) Score Difference (End): -9 (-7.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 37, ND 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.6% Win Probability (After): 3.2% Away Score: 37 (37) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:49 | |
(1st & 15 at ND 37) Jack Coan pass incomplete to Michael Mayer, broken up by Tanner McCalister - OKST 37, ND 28 | -0.19 | 3.0% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.87 - 1.06 = -0.19 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-7.94) Score Difference (End): -9 (-8.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 37, ND 28 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.0% Win Probability (After): 2.9% Away Score: 37 (37) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:42 | |
(2nd & 15 at ND 37) Logan Diggs run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line - OKST 37, ND 28 | 0.81 | 2.6% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 50 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - 0.65 = 0.81 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-8.35) Score Difference (End): -9 (-7.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 37, ND 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.6% Win Probability (After): 3.6% Away Score: 37 (37) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:21 | |
(3rd & 1 at 50) Jack Coan pass complete to Lorenzo Styles Jr. for 15 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST down - OKST 37, ND 28 | 1.39 | 2.9% | 2.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 35 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - 1.30 = 1.39 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-7.70) Score Difference (End): -9 (-6.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 37, ND 28 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.9% Win Probability (After): 5.2% Away Score: 37 (37) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:17 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 35) Coan, Jack pass incomplete to Tyree, Chris, PENALTY OKLAST holding (Rodriguez, Malcolm) 10 yards to the OKLAST25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME. - OKST 37, ND 28 | 0.82 | 5.0% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 25 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.45 - 2.63 = 0.82 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-6.37) Score Difference (End): -9 (-5.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 37, ND 28 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.0% Win Probability (After): 7.2% Away Score: 37 (37) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:11 | |
(1st & 10 at OKST 25) Jack Coan pass incomplete - OKST 37, ND 28 | -0.35 | 6.7% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.10 - 3.45 = -0.35 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-5.55) Score Difference (End): -9 (-5.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 37, ND 28 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.7% Win Probability (After): 6.4% Away Score: 37 (37) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:05 | |
(2nd & 10 at OKST 25) Jack Coan pass complete to Kevin Austin Jr. for 25 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK) - OKST 37, ND 35 | 3.88 | 5.2% | 22.0% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.12 = 3.88 Score Difference (Before): -9 (-5.88) Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 37, ND 35 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 70 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.2% Win Probability (After): 27.2% Away Score: 37 (37) Home Score: 28 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:05 | |
(2nd & 10 at ND 35) Timeout OKLAHOMA ST, clock 01:05 - OKST 37, ND 28 | 0.00 | 29.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99 Started Drive at: ND 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 7.00 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.08) Score Difference (End): -9 (-2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 37, ND 28 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 70 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.8% Win Probability (After): 29.8% Away Score: 37 (37) Home Score: 35 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:05 | |
(Kickoff at OKST 35) Jonathan Doerer on-side kick recovered by OKLAHOMA ST at the NDame 43 - OKST 37, ND 28 | 0.95 | 99.0% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 43 Started Drive at: ND 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.75 - 0.79 = 0.95 Score Difference (Before): 9 (9.79) Score Difference (End): 9 (10.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 37, ND 28 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.0% Win Probability (After): 99.1% Away Score: 37 (37) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:02 | |
(1st & 10 at ND 43) TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 46 - OKST 37, ND 35 | -0.86 | 99.1% | -12.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 46 Started Drive at: ND 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 1.71 = -0.86 Score Difference (Before): 9 (10.71) Score Difference (End): 2 (2.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 37, ND 35 Drive Summary: 1 play, -3 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.1% Win Probability (After): 86.5% Away Score: 37 (37) Home Score: 28 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:26 | |
(2nd & 13 at ND 46) TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line - OKST 37, ND 35 | -0.21 | 93.5% | 6.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 50 Started Drive at: ND 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.48 - 0.69 = -0.21 Score Difference (Before): 2 (2.69) Score Difference (End): 2 (2.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: OKST 37, ND 35 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -7 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.5% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 37 (37) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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