Utah 45 @ Ohio State 48

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 5.84 | Odds: OSU -4, O/U 64.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 254 ESPN team id 194
Total Plays 8179
Total EPA 1326.79
  Offensive EPA 7.234.5
  Special Teams EPA 2.47-6.86
  Penalty EPA 4.55-2.95
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA -1.222.10
Production ESPN team id 254 ESPN team id 194
Scrimmage Plays 6867
  Yards 459687
  Yards/Play 6.7510.25
  EPA 7.2034.50
  EPA/Play 0.110.51
Passes 25 (37%)47 (70%)
  Yards 237572
  Yards/Play 9.4812.17
  EPA 9.2932.52
  EPA/Play 0.370.69
Rushes 43 (63%)20 (30%)
  Yards 233110
  Yards/Play 5.425.50
  EPA -2.091.99
  EPA/Play -0.050.10
Rushing ESPN team id 254 ESPN team id 194
Scrimmage Plays 6867
Rushes 43 (63%)20 (30%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 3 (7%)1 (5%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 3 (100%)0 (0%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 7 (16%)3 (15%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 20 (47%)6 (30%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 21 (49%)12 (60%)
OL Line Yards 54.445.8
  Per Carry 1.272.29
Highlight Yards 101.524
  Per Rush Opportunity 4.832.00
Explosiveness ESPN team id 254 ESPN team id 194
Total Plays 8179
Scrimmage Plays 6867
Explosive Plays 4 (6%)10 (15%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 3 (12%)9 (19%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 1 (2%)1 (5%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -7.59-1.59
  EPA/Play -0.12-0.03
  When Passing 1.23-1.11
    EPA/Play 0.05-0.02
  When Rushing -8.82-0.47
    EPA/Play -0.21-0.02
Situational ESPN team id 254 ESPN team id 194
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 37 (54%)42 (63%)
  When Passing 17 (68%)31 (66%)
  When Rushing 20 (47%)11 (55%)
  On Standard Downs 28 (55%)37 (67%)
  On Passing Downs 9 (53%)5 (42%)
  On Early Downs 29 (56%)36 (64%)
  On Late Downs 8 (50%)6 (55%)
  During "Middle 8" 6 (46%)8 (73%)
Early Downs 5256
  First Downs Created 12 (23%)16 (29%)
  EPA 6.7222.12
  EPA/Play 0.130.39
  Passes 20 (38%)38 (68%)
  Rushes 32 (62%)18 (32%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 15 (75%)26 (68%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 14 (44%)10 (56%)
"Middle 8" Plays 1311
  EPA -6.762.91
  EPA/play -0.520.26
  Passes 5 (38%)9 (82%)
  Rushes 8 (62%)2 (18%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 3 (60%)6 (67%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 3 (38%)2 (100%)
Drives ESPN team id 254 ESPN team id 194
Total 1113
Avg Starting Field Position Own 30Own 24
Plays/Drive 6.877.09
Yards/Drive 48.6862.87
Available Yards % 70%83%
Defensive ESPN team id 254 ESPN team id 194
Scrimmage Plays 6768
Stop Rate 25%43%
Havoc Plays Created 3 (4%)6 (9%)
  Passing 1 (2%)1 (4%)
  Rushing 2 (10%)5 (12%)
TFLs Generated 26
  Passing 01
  Rushing 25
Sacks Generated 0 (0%)1 (4%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 10
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 254 ESPN team id 194
Turnovers 12
  Fumbles 21
  Fumbles Lost 11
  Fumbles Recovered 10
  Interceptions 01
Turnover Margin 1-1
Expected Turnovers 1.51.7
Expected Turnover Margin 0.2-0.2
Turnover Luck (pts) 3.9-3.9
Special Teams ESPN team id 254 ESPN team id 194
Total Plays 13 12
Total EPA 2.47 -6.86
  Field Goal EPA 0.05 -1.91
  Punting EPA -0.82 -0.01
  Kickoff Return EPA 3.24 -4.94
Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Cameron Rising 17/22, 214 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 66.0 xQBR 9.30 0.25 5.81 65% 10.0%
Bryson Barnes 2/2, 23 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 78.9 xQBR 11.50 1.74 3.48 100% 25.0%
Rush attempts
Cameron Rising 10 carries, 99 yds, 1 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) 9.90 0.50 5.03 60% 11.0%
Brant Kuithe 1 carry, 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.00 1.07 1.07 100% 4.0%
Micah Bernard 3 carries, 31 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.33 0.31 0.92 33% -1.0%
Bryson Barnes 1 carry, 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.00 0.90 0.90 100% 2.0%
Britain Covey 2 carries, 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 -0.08 -0.16 50% 1.0%
TJ Pledger 7 carries, 23 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.29 -0.25 -1.72 43% -11.0%
Tavion Thomas 18 carries, 67 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.72 -0.21 -3.71 39% 0.0%
Michael Williams 1 carry, -14 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) -14.00 -4.42 -4.42 0% -4.0%
Pass targets
Britain Covey 3 catches (3 targets), 34 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.33 1.30 3.90 100% 11.0%
Dalton Kincaid 3 catches (4 targets), 45 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 15.00 0.85 3.42 75% 23.0%
Micah Bernard 2 catches (2 targets), 15 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.50 1.16 2.31 50% 12.0%
Brant Kuithe 6 catches (6 targets), 77 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.83 0.31 1.87 83% -1.0%
Solomon Enis 1 catch (1 target), 14 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.00 1.77 1.77 100% 0.0%
Devaughn Vele 2 catches (2 targets), 33 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 16.50 0.61 1.21 100% 2.0%
Cole Fotheringham 2 catches (2 targets), 19 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.50 0.37 0.75 100% -1.0%

Ohio State [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
C.J. Stroud 37/46, 572 yds, 6 TD, 1 INT, 0 Scks, 90.0 xQBR 12.43 0.70 32.39 65% 119.0%
TEAM 0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 62.4 xQBR 0.00 0.13 0.13 100% 0.0%
Rush attempts
C.J. Stroud 1 carry, 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.00 2.46 2.46 100% 3.0%
Miyan Williams 2 carries, 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.50 0.56 1.13 100% 0.0%
TreVeyon Henderson 17 carries, 83 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.88 -0.09 -1.60 47% 0.0%
Pass targets
Jaxon Smith-Njigba 15 catches (15 targets), 346 yds, 3 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 23.07 1.67 25.12 87% 73.0%
Marvin Harrison Jr. 6 catches (6 targets), 71 yds, 3 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.83 2.14 12.87 100% 47.0%
Emeka Egbuka 3 catches (3 targets), 46 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 15.33 1.18 3.55 67% 5.0%
Mitch Rossi 1 catch (1 target), 22 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 22.00 1.83 1.83 100% 6.0%
Jeremy Ruckert 3 catches (3 targets), 25 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 8.33 0.57 1.71 100% 3.0%
TreVeyon Henderson 4 catches (4 targets), 27 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.75 0.33 1.34 75% 2.0%
Julian Fleming 5 catches (5 targets), 35 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.00 -0.04 -0.19 40% -2.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q2 6:24 ESPN team id 254 (4th & 1 at UTAH 38) Cameron Rising run for 62 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 35, OSU 21 6.73 66.7% 15.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.27 = 6.73

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.27)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.7%

Win Probability (After): 82.2%

Away Score: 28 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 13:43 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at UTAH 20) C.J. Stroud pass intercepted, touchback. Clark Phillips III return for no gain - UTAH 35, OSU 21 -6.21 23.0% -8.5%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 80

Started Drive at: OSU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.44 - 3.77 = -6.21

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.23)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.44)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.0%

Win Probability (After): 14.6%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:17 ESPN team id 254 (Kickoff at UTAH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 62 yds , Britain Covey return for 97 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 28, OSU 14 5.47 67.5% 14.5%

Play Type: Kickoff Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 0

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.53 = 5.47

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.53)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 28, OSU 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.5%

Win Probability (After): 82.1%

Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 8:02 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 48) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 52 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 28, OSU 21 5.24 19.1% 14.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.76 = 5.24

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.24)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 28, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.1%

Win Probability (After): 33.6%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:32 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at 50) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 50 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 21, OSU 14 5.16 20.1% 15.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.84 = 5.16

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.16)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 21, OSU 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.1%

Win Probability (After): 35.6%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:17 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 1 at UTAH 25) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 25 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 14, OSU 7 4.82 23.0% 14.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.18 = 4.82

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.82)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, OSU 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.0%

Win Probability (After): 37.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 12:12 ESPN team id 254 (4th & 5 at UTAH 25) Michael Williams run for a loss of 14 yards to the Utah 11 Michael Williams fumbled, recovered by OhSt Bryson Shaw - UTAH 35, OSU 21 -4.42 80.7% -4.0%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 11

Started Drive at: UTAH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.74 - -0.32 = -4.42

Score Difference (Before): 14 (13.68)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.26)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, -9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.7%

Win Probability (After): 76.7%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 14:19 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 2 at OSU 35) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 45 yds to the Utah 20 for a 1ST down - UTAH 35, OSU 21 4.16 19.5% 4.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 20

Started Drive at: OSU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.93 - -0.24 = 4.16

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.24)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.5%

Win Probability (After): 23.8%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:40 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 4 at 50) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 49 yds Jaxon Smith-Njigba fumbled, recovered by Utah Cole Bishop - UTAH 35, OSU 21 -3.50 18.0% -0.2%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 80

Started Drive at: OSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.52 - 1.98 = -3.50

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.02)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.52)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.0%

Win Probability (After): 17.7%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q1 0:53 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 10 at OSU 36) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 30 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST down - UTAH 14, OSU 0 3.14 20.5% 3.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 34

Started Drive at: OSU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.07 - -0.07 = 3.14

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.07)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.5%

Win Probability (After): 24.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q4 1:54 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at OSU 15) Bryson Barnes pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 15 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 45, OSU 45 2.67 22.1% 24.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.33 = 2.67

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.67)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 45, OSU 45

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.1%

Win Probability (After): 46.2%

Away Score: 38 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 6:24 ESPN team id 254 (4th & 1 at UTAH 38) Cameron Rising run for 62 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 35, OSU 21 6.73 66.7% 15.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.27 = 6.73

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.27)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.7%

Win Probability (After): 82.2%

Away Score: 28 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 8:32 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at 50) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 50 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 21, OSU 14 5.16 20.1% 15.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.84 = 5.16

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.16)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 21, OSU 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.1%

Win Probability (After): 35.6%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:02 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 48) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 52 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 28, OSU 21 5.24 19.1% 14.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.76 = 5.24

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.24)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 28, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.1%

Win Probability (After): 33.6%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:17 ESPN team id 254 (Kickoff at UTAH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 62 yds , Britain Covey return for 97 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 28, OSU 14 5.47 67.5% 14.5%

Play Type: Kickoff Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 0

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.53 = 5.47

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.53)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 28, OSU 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.5%

Win Probability (After): 82.1%

Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 14:17 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 1 at UTAH 25) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 25 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 14, OSU 7 4.82 23.0% 14.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.18 = 4.82

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.82)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, OSU 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.0%

Win Probability (After): 37.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 4:35 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 4 at UTAH 39) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 9 yds to the Utah 30 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 38 2.94 58.2% 13.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 30

Started Drive at: OSU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.00 - 1.06 = 2.94

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.06)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.2%

Win Probability (After): 71.4%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 4:22 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at UTAH 30) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 30 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 38, OSU 45 2.88 75.7% 12.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.12 = 2.88

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.12)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 45

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.7%

Win Probability (After): 88.4%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:20 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 7 at UTAH 8) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 8 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 35, OSU 28 2.52 23.4% 12.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.48 = 2.52

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.52)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 28

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.4%

Win Probability (After): 36.0%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:12 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 3 at UTAH 5) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 5 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 38, OSU 38 2.40 37.8% 12.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.60 = 2.40

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.40)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.8%

Win Probability (After): 50.2%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 9:29 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 7 at OSU 19) Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 19 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 7, OSU 0 2.66 50.3% 8.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.34 = 2.66

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.34)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 7, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.3%

Win Probability (After): 58.5%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 3:28 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 6 at OSU 12) Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 12 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 14, OSU 0 2.73 69.0% 11.9%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.27 = 2.73

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.27)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.0%

Win Probability (After): 80.9%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 14:17 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 1 at UTAH 25) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 25 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 14, OSU 7 4.82 23.0% 14.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.18 = 4.82

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.82)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, OSU 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.0%

Win Probability (After): 37.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 9:07 ESPN team id 254 (1st & Goal at OSU 6) Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 21, OSU 7 1.21 75.6% 7.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.79 = 1.21

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.79)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 21, OSU 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.6%

Win Probability (After): 82.6%

Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 8:32 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at 50) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 50 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 21, OSU 14 5.16 20.1% 15.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.84 = 5.16

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.16)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 21, OSU 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.1%

Win Probability (After): 35.6%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:17 ESPN team id 254 (Kickoff at UTAH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 62 yds , Britain Covey return for 97 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 28, OSU 14 5.47 67.5% 14.5%

Play Type: Kickoff Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 0

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.53 = 5.47

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.53)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 28, OSU 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.5%

Win Probability (After): 82.1%

Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 8:02 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 48) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 52 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 28, OSU 21 5.24 19.1% 14.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.76 = 5.24

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.24)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 28, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.1%

Win Probability (After): 33.6%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:24 ESPN team id 254 (4th & 1 at UTAH 38) Cameron Rising run for 62 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 35, OSU 21 6.73 66.7% 15.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.27 = 6.73

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.27)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.7%

Win Probability (After): 82.2%

Away Score: 28 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 11:20 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 7 at UTAH 8) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 8 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 35, OSU 28 2.52 23.4% 12.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.48 = 2.52

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.52)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 28

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.4%

Win Probability (After): 36.0%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:10 ESPN team id 254 (4th & 5 at OSU 6) Jadon Redding 24 yd FG GOOD - UTAH 38, OSU 28 0.05 73.7% 6.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6

Started Drive at: UTAH 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.95 = 0.05

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.95)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.7%

Win Probability (After): 79.9%

Away Score: 35 (38) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 2:53 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 10 at UTAH 14) Noah Ruggles 31 yd FG GOOD - UTAH 38, OSU 31 0.60 23.1% 11.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14

Started Drive at: OSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.40 = 0.60

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.60)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.1%

Win Probability (After): 34.7%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 10:12 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 3 at UTAH 5) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 5 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 38, OSU 38 2.40 37.8% 12.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.60 = 2.40

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.40)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.8%

Win Probability (After): 50.2%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:22 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at UTAH 30) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 30 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 38, OSU 45 2.88 75.7% 12.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.12 = 2.88

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.12)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 45

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.7%

Win Probability (After): 88.4%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:54 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at OSU 15) Bryson Barnes pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 15 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 45, OSU 45 2.67 22.1% 24.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.33 = 2.67

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.67)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 45, OSU 45

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.1%

Win Probability (After): 46.2%

Away Score: 38 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:09 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 1 at UTAH 2) Noah Ruggles 19 yd FG GOOD - UTAH 45, OSU 48 -2.51 83.2% 9.7%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 2

Started Drive at: OSU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 5.51 = -2.51

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.51)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 45, OSU 48

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.2%

Win Probability (After): 92.9%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 254 (Kickoff at UTAH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 56 yds , Britain Covey return for 20 yds to the Utah 29 - UTAH 0, OSU 0 -0.76 37.4% -1.3%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 71

Started Drive at: UTAH 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.10 - 0.86 = -0.76

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.4%

Win Probability (After): 36.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:46 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 29) Cameron Rising pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 11 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST down - UTAH 0, OSU 0 0.53 45.4% -1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 60

Started Drive at: UTAH 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.06 - 1.53 = 0.53

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.53)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.4%

Win Probability (After): 43.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:20 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 40) Cameron Rising pass incomplete - UTAH 0, OSU 0 -0.72 45.0% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60

Started Drive at: UTAH 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.49 - 2.21 = -0.72

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.21)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.0%

Win Probability (After): 45.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:58 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 10 at UTAH 40) Tavion Thomas run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - UTAH 0, OSU 0 1.28 43.4% 2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 50

Started Drive at: UTAH 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.83 - 1.55 = 1.28

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.55)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.4%

Win Probability (After): 46.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:29 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at 50) Cameron Rising run for 6 yds to the OhSt 44 - UTAH 0, OSU 0 0.35 47.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 44

Started Drive at: UTAH 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.17 - 2.82 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.82)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.5%

Win Probability (After): 47.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:08 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 4 at OSU 44) Cameron Rising pass incomplete - UTAH 0, OSU 0 -0.96 47.7% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44

Started Drive at: UTAH 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.17 - 3.12 = -0.96

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.12)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.7%

Win Probability (After): 46.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:08 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 4 at OSU 44) Timeout OHIO ST, clock 13:08 - UTAH 0, OSU 0 0.00 46.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44

Started Drive at: UTAH 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.17 - 2.17 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.17)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 46.5%

Win Probability (After): 46.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 12:48 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 4 at OSU 44) Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the OhSt 44 - UTAH 0, OSU 0 -2.01 49.7% -8.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44

Started Drive at: UTAH 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.15 - 2.16 = -2.01

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.16)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.7%

Win Probability (After): 41.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 12:26 ESPN team id 254 (4th & 4 at OSU 44) Cameron Peasley punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Smith-Njigba at the OhSt 10 - UTAH 0, OSU 0 -0.23 42.7% -2.8%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 90

Started Drive at: UTAH 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.12 - 0.11 = -0.23

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.11)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.12)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.7%

Win Probability (After): 39.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 12:10 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 10) TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the OhSt 11 - UTAH 0, OSU 0 -0.69 56.7% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 89

Started Drive at: OSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.59 - 0.10 = -0.69

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.10)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.7%

Win Probability (After): 56.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:39 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 9 at OSU 11) TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the OhSt 13 - UTAH 0, OSU 0 -0.78 56.2% -2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 87

Started Drive at: OSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.40 - -0.62 = -0.78

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.62)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.2%

Win Probability (After): 54.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:14 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 7 at OSU 13) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete - UTAH 0, OSU 0 -1.15 51.7% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 87

Started Drive at: OSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.60 - -1.45 = -1.15

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.45)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-2.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.7%

Win Probability (After): 52.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:06 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 7 at OSU 13) Jesse Mirco punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 44 - UTAH 0, OSU 0 0.21 49.9% 1.8%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 56

Started Drive at: OSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.44 - -2.65 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-2.65)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.44)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.9%

Win Probability (After): 51.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 10:57 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 44) TJ Pledger run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line - UTAH 0, OSU 0 0.13 47.8% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 50

Started Drive at: UTAH 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.60 - 2.47 = 0.13

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.47)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.8%

Win Probability (After): 48.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 10:48 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 4 at 50) Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 11 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST down - UTAH 0, OSU 0 0.88 47.6% 1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 39

Started Drive at: UTAH 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.59 - 2.71 = 0.88

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.71)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.6%

Win Probability (After): 49.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 10:42 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at OSU 39) TJ Pledger run for 2 yds to the OhSt 37 - UTAH 0, OSU 0 -0.62 48.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 37

Started Drive at: UTAH 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.03 - 3.66 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.66)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.8%

Win Probability (After): 48.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 10:24 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 8 at OSU 37) OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the OhSt 22 for a 1ST down - UTAH 0, OSU 0 1.56 48.4% 1.9%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 22

Started Drive at: UTAH 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.66 - 3.11 = 1.56

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.11)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.4%

Win Probability (After): 50.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 10:10 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at OSU 22) Cameron Rising run for 3 yds to the OhSt 19 - UTAH 0, OSU 0 -0.27 50.2% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 19

Started Drive at: UTAH 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.38 - 4.65 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.65)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.2%

Win Probability (After): 50.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 9:29 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 7 at OSU 19) Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 19 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 7, OSU 0 2.66 50.3% 8.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 44

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.34 = 2.66

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.34)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 7, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.3%

Win Probability (After): 58.5%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 9:29 ESPN team id 194 (Kickoff at OSU 35) Jordan Noyes kickoff for 61 yds , Emeka Egbuka return for 16 yds to the OhSt 20 - UTAH 7, OSU 0 -1.33 37.3% -0.7%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 80

Started Drive at: OSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.32 - 0.00 = -1.33

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.00)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 7, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.3%

Win Probability (After): 36.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:13 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 20) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 5 yds to the OhSt 25 - UTAH 7, OSU 0 0.10 37.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 75

Started Drive at: OSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.18 - -0.28 = 0.10

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.28)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 7, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.0%

Win Probability (After): 37.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:45 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 5 at OSU 25) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 3 yds to the OhSt 28 - UTAH 7, OSU 0 -0.31 37.0% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: OSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.64 - -0.32 = -0.31

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.32)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 7, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.0%

Win Probability (After): 36.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:22 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 2 at OSU 28) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete - UTAH 7, OSU 0 -1.70 35.0% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72

Started Drive at: OSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.44 - -0.74 = -1.70

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.74)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 7, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.0%

Win Probability (After): 34.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:15 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 2 at OSU 28) Jesse Mirco punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 33 - UTAH 7, OSU 0 -0.22 32.9% 4.8%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 67

Started Drive at: OSU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.60 - -2.38 = -0.22

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.38)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.60)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTAH 7, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.9%

Win Probability (After): 37.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 8:00 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 33) Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 27 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST down - UTAH 7, OSU 0 1.53 63.1% 2.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 40

Started Drive at: UTAH 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.13 - 2.60 = 1.53

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.60)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 7, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.1%

Win Probability (After): 66.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 7:26 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at OSU 40) Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the OhSt 35 - UTAH 7, OSU 0 0.07 67.4% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 35

Started Drive at: UTAH 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.08 - 4.01 = 0.07

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.01)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 7, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.4%

Win Probability (After): 67.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 6:57 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 5 at OSU 35) TJ Pledger run for 6 yds to the OhSt 29 for a 1ST down - UTAH 7, OSU 0 0.41 67.3% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 29

Started Drive at: UTAH 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.51 - 4.09 = 0.41

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.09)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 7, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.3%

Win Probability (After): 67.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 6:09 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at OSU 29) Britain Covey run for 8 yds to the OhSt 21 - UTAH 7, OSU 0 0.50 66.9% 1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 21

Started Drive at: UTAH 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.09 - 4.59 = 0.50

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.59)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 7, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.9%

Win Probability (After): 68.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 5:33 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 2 at OSU 21) Cameron Rising run for 5 yds to the OhSt 16 for a 1ST down - UTAH 7, OSU 0 0.18 69.0% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 16

Started Drive at: UTAH 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.32 - 5.15 = 0.18

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.15)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 7, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.0%

Win Probability (After): 68.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 4:49 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at OSU 16) Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 3 yds to the OhSt 13 - UTAH 7, OSU 0 -0.42 69.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 13

Started Drive at: UTAH 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.93 - 5.35 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.35)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 7, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.2%

Win Probability (After): 69.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 4:05 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 7 at OSU 13) Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the OhSt 12 - UTAH 7, OSU 0 -0.69 69.5% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 12

Started Drive at: UTAH 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.26 - 4.95 = -0.69

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.95)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 7, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.5%

Win Probability (After): 68.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 3:28 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 6 at OSU 12) Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 12 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 14, OSU 0 2.73 69.0% 11.9%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.27 = 2.73

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.27)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.0%

Win Probability (After): 80.9%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 3:28 ESPN team id 194 (Kickoff at OSU 35) Jordan Noyes kickoff for 63 yds , Emeka Egbuka return for 22 yds to the OhSt 24 - UTAH 14, OSU 0 -1.13 21.2% -1.1%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 76

Started Drive at: OSU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.62 - -0.50 = -1.13

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.50)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.2%

Win Probability (After): 20.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:09 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 24) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 9 yds to the OhSt 33 - UTAH 14, OSU 0 1.17 19.6% 2.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 67

Started Drive at: OSU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.55 - -0.62 = 1.17

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.62)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.6%

Win Probability (After): 21.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:33 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 1 at OSU 33) TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OhSt 37 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Marvin Harrison Jr.) to the OhSt 27 - UTAH 14, OSU 0 -1.56 20.4% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 73

Started Drive at: OSU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.01 - 0.49 = -1.56

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.45)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.4%

Win Probability (After): 19.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:00 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 7 at OSU 27) TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 26 - UTAH 14, OSU 0 -1.01 18.9% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 74

Started Drive at: OSU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.94 - -0.93 = -1.01

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.93)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.9%

Win Probability (After): 17.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:30 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 8 at OSU 26) Timeout OHIO ST, clock 01:30 - UTAH 14, OSU 0 0.00 17.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74

Started Drive at: OSU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.94 - -1.94 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.94)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.5%

Win Probability (After): 17.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:22 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 8 at OSU 26) C.J. Stroud run for 10 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST down - UTAH 14, OSU 0 2.46 18.3% 3.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 64

Started Drive at: OSU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.61 - -1.85 = 2.46

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.85)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.3%

Win Probability (After): 21.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:09 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 36) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete - UTAH 14, OSU 0 -0.68 21.7% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 64

Started Drive at: OSU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.08 - 0.60 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.40)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 21.7%

Win Probability (After): 21.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:53 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 10 at OSU 36) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 30 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST down - UTAH 14, OSU 0 3.14 20.5% 3.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 34

Started Drive at: OSU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.07 - -0.07 = 3.14

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.07)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.5%

Win Probability (After): 24.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:34 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at UTAH 34) TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the Utah 31 - UTAH 14, OSU 0 -0.27 24.1% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 31

Started Drive at: OSU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.79 - 3.06 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.94)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.1%

Win Probability (After): 23.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 7 at UTAH 31) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 6 yds to the Utah 25 - UTAH 14, OSU 0 0.52 22.7% 1.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 25

Started Drive at: OSU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.29 - 2.76 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.24)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.7%

Win Probability (After): 24.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:48 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 1 at UTAH 25) TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the Utah 25 - UTAH 14, OSU 0 -0.98 24.4% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25

Started Drive at: OSU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.27 - 3.25 = -0.98

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.75)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, OSU 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.4%

Win Probability (After): 23.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:17 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 1 at UTAH 25) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 25 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 14, OSU 7 4.82 23.0% 14.2%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.18 = 4.82

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.82)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, OSU 7

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.0%

Win Probability (After): 37.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 14:17 ESPN team id 254 (Kickoff at UTAH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 65 yds , Britain Covey return for 21 yds to the Utah 21 - UTAH 14, OSU 7 -1.16 68.0% -1.9%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 79

Started Drive at: UTAH 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - 2.10 = -1.16

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.10)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, OSU 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.0%

Win Probability (After): 66.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 14:01 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 21) Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 23 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST down - UTAH 14, OSU 7 1.17 68.5% 2.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 56

Started Drive at: UTAH 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.15 - 1.98 = 1.17

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.98)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, OSU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.5%

Win Probability (After): 70.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 13:21 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 44) Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Utah 46 - UTAH 14, OSU 7 -0.52 71.7% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 54

Started Drive at: UTAH 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.70 - 3.22 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.22)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, OSU 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.7%

Win Probability (After): 71.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 13:00 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 8 at UTAH 46) Micah Bernard run for 8 yds to the OHIOST 46 UTAH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Utah 44 - UTAH 14, OSU 7 -0.01 70.9% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 56

Started Drive at: UTAH 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - 2.70 = -0.01

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.70)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, OSU 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.9%

Win Probability (After): 71.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 12:30 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 10 at UTAH 44) Cameron Rising pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 8 yds to the OhSt 48 - UTAH 14, OSU 7 0.21 69.8% 1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 48

Started Drive at: UTAH 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.83 - 2.62 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.62)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, OSU 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.8%

Win Probability (After): 71.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 12:00 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 2 at OSU 48) Brant Kuithe run for 7 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST down - UTAH 14, OSU 7 1.07 67.6% 4.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 41

Started Drive at: UTAH 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.94 - 2.88 = 1.07

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.88)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, OSU 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.6%

Win Probability (After): 71.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 11:45 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at OSU 41) Cameron Rising run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 42 Cameron Rising fumbled, recovered by Utah Cameron Rising - UTAH 14, OSU 7 -1.02 72.0% -4.3%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 42

Started Drive at: UTAH 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.93 - 3.95 = -1.02

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.95)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, OSU 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.0%

Win Probability (After): 67.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 10:15 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 4 at OSU 42) Cameron Rising pass complete to Solomon Enis for 14 yds to the OhSt 28 for a 1ST down - UTAH 14, OSU 7 1.77 72.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 28

Started Drive at: UTAH 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.65 - 2.88 = 1.77

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.88)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, OSU 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.4%

Win Probability (After): 72.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 9:18 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at OSU 28) Cameron Rising run for 16 yds to the OhSt 12 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Jack Sawyer) to the OhSt 6 for a 1ST down - UTAH 14, OSU 7 1.18 73.2% 3.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 6

Started Drive at: UTAH 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.83 - 4.59 = 1.18

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.65)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 14, OSU 7

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.2%

Win Probability (After): 77.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 9:07 ESPN team id 254 (1st & Goal at OSU 6) Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 21, OSU 7 1.21 75.6% 7.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.79 = 1.21

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.79)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 21, OSU 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 79 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.6%

Win Probability (After): 82.6%

Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 9:07 ESPN team id 194 (Kickoff at OSU 35) Jordan Noyes kickoff for 64 yds , Emeka Egbuka return for 39 yds to the OhSt 40 - UTAH 21, OSU 7 0.22 17.9% 1.1%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 60

Started Drive at: OSU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.14 - -0.08 = 0.22

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.08)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 21, OSU 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.9%

Win Probability (After): 19.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:55 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 40) Miyan Williams run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - UTAH 21, OSU 7 0.75 19.6% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 50

Started Drive at: OSU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - 1.11 = 0.75

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.89)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 21, OSU 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.6%

Win Probability (After): 19.9%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:32 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at 50) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 50 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 21, OSU 14 5.16 20.1% 15.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.84 = 5.16

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.16)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 21, OSU 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.1%

Win Probability (After): 35.6%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:17 ESPN team id 254 (Kickoff at UTAH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 62 yds , Britain Covey return for 97 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 28, OSU 14 5.47 67.5% 14.5%

Play Type: Kickoff Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 0

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.53 = 5.47

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.53)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 28, OSU 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.5%

Win Probability (After): 82.1%

Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 8:17 ESPN team id 194 (Kickoff at OSU 35) Jadon Redding kickoff for 47 yds for a 1ST down , Xavier Johnson return for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, Personal Foul (Connor O'Toole) to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST down - UTAH 28, OSU 14 0.77 18.0% 1.4%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 52

Started Drive at: OSU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.68 - -0.10 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-21.91)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 28, OSU 14

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.0%

Win Probability (After): 19.4%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:02 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 48) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 52 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 28, OSU 21 5.24 19.1% 14.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.76 = 5.24

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.24)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 28, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.1%

Win Probability (After): 33.6%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:55 ESPN team id 254 (Kickoff at UTAH 35) Dominic DiMaccio kickoff for 62 yds , Britain Covey return for 26 yds to the Utah 29 - UTAH 28, OSU 21 -0.71 67.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 71

Started Drive at: UTAH 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.83 - 1.53 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.53)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 28, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.5%

Win Probability (After): 67.4%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 7:44 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 29) Tavion Thomas run for 8 yds to the Utah 37 - UTAH 28, OSU 21 0.42 67.9% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 63

Started Drive at: UTAH 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.24 - 1.83 = 0.42

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.83)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 28, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.9%

Win Probability (After): 69.3%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 7:16 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 2 at UTAH 37) Cameron Rising pass incomplete - UTAH 28, OSU 21 -0.92 70.3% -1.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63

Started Drive at: UTAH 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.47 - 2.39 = -0.92

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.39)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 28, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.3%

Win Probability (After): 68.5%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 7:07 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 2 at UTAH 37) Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the Utah 38 - UTAH 28, OSU 21 -1.20 68.7% -2.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 62

Started Drive at: UTAH 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.37 - 1.56 = -1.20

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.56)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 28, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.7%

Win Probability (After): 66.3%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 6:24 ESPN team id 254 (4th & 1 at UTAH 38) Cameron Rising run for 62 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 35, OSU 21 6.73 66.7% 15.5%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.27 = 6.73

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.27)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.7%

Win Probability (After): 82.2%

Away Score: 28 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 6:24 ESPN team id 194 (Kickoff at OSU 35) Jordan Noyes kickoff for 52 yds , Emeka Egbuka return for 13 yds to the OhSt 26 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 -0.85 16.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 74

Started Drive at: OSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.65 - 0.20 = -0.85

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.80)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.9%

Win Probability (After): 16.9%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:11 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 26) Miyan Williams run for 7 yds to the OhSt 33 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 0.38 16.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 67

Started Drive at: OSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.77 - 0.39 = 0.38

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.61)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.9%

Win Probability (After): 16.9%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:45 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 3 at OSU 33) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete - UTAH 35, OSU 21 -0.58 17.3% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67

Started Drive at: OSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.10 - 0.49 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.51)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.3%

Win Probability (After): 16.2%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:31 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 3 at OSU 33) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 11 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST down - UTAH 35, OSU 21 1.46 16.6% 1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 56

Started Drive at: OSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - 0.00 = 1.46

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.00)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.6%

Win Probability (After): 18.4%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:10 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 44) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 6 yds to the 50 yard line - UTAH 35, OSU 21 0.06 18.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 50

Started Drive at: OSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - 1.77 = 0.06

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.23)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.4%

Win Probability (After): 18.4%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:40 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 4 at 50) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 49 yds Jaxon Smith-Njigba fumbled, recovered by Utah Cole Bishop - UTAH 35, OSU 21 -3.50 18.0% -0.2%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 80

Started Drive at: OSU 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.52 - 1.98 = -3.50

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.02)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.52)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 73 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.0%

Win Probability (After): 17.7%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 4:00 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 20) Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 7 yds to the Utah 27 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 0.31 82.5% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 73

Started Drive at: UTAH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.60 - 1.29 = 0.31

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.29)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.5%

Win Probability (After): 82.1%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 3:31 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 3 at UTAH 27) TJ Pledger run for 1 yd to the Utah 28 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 -0.59 84.9% -3.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 72

Started Drive at: UTAH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.76 - 1.35 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.35)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.9%

Win Probability (After): 81.6%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 3:19 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 2 at UTAH 28) Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST down - UTAH 35, OSU 21 0.87 84.7% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 69

Started Drive at: UTAH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.64 - 0.77 = 0.87

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.77)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.7%

Win Probability (After): 85.1%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 2:31 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 31) Cameron Rising run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 28 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 -0.79 85.3% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 72

Started Drive at: UTAH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 1.60 = -0.79

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.60)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.3%

Win Probability (After): 84.8%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 2:06 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 13 at UTAH 28) Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 23 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST down - UTAH 35, OSU 21 1.44 84.7% 1.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 49

Started Drive at: UTAH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.26 - 0.82 = 1.44

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.82)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.7%

Win Probability (After): 86.2%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:37 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at OSU 49) Cameron Rising run for 4 yds to the OhSt 45 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 0.01 86.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 45

Started Drive at: UTAH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.90 - 1.89 = 0.01

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.89)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.4%

Win Probability (After): 86.3%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:12 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 6 at OSU 45) TJ Pledger run for no gain to the OhSt 45 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 -0.39 86.5% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: UTAH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.27 - 1.66 = -0.39

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.66)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.5%

Win Probability (After): 85.4%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:41 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 6 at OSU 45) Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Dalton Kincaid - UTAH 35, OSU 21 -0.64 86.5% -2.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: UTAH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.48 - 1.12 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.12)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.5%

Win Probability (After): 84.4%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:35 ESPN team id 254 (4th & 6 at OSU 45) Cameron Peasley punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Smith-Njigba at the OhSt 10 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 -0.48 85.5% -1.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 90

Started Drive at: UTAH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - 0.49 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.49)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.01)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.5%

Win Probability (After): 84.3%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:27 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 10) C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 11 yds to the OhSt 21 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, Personal Foul (Vonte Davis) to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST down - UTAH 35, OSU 21 0.62 15.6% 1.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 64

Started Drive at: OSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.60 - 0.06 = 0.62

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.01)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.6%

Win Probability (After): 17.0%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:17 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 36) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 9 yds to the OhSt 45 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 0.61 16.5% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 55

Started Drive at: OSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.89 - 0.28 = 0.61

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.72)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.5%

Win Probability (After): 17.1%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:17 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 1 at OSU 45) Timeout OHIO ST, clock 00:17 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 0.00 16.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55

Started Drive at: OSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.89 - 0.89 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.11)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.8%

Win Probability (After): 16.8%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:13 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 1 at OSU 45) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 15 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST down - UTAH 35, OSU 21 0.82 17.3% 2.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 40

Started Drive at: OSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.34 - 0.52 = 0.82

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.48)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.3%

Win Probability (After): 20.0%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:11 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at UTAH 40) TEAM pass incomplete - UTAH 35, OSU 21 0.13 19.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40

Started Drive at: OSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 1.03 = 0.13

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.97)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.9%

Win Probability (After): 19.9%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 10 at UTAH 40) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 8 yds to the Utah 32 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 -0.79 19.5% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 32

Started Drive at: OSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 0.79 = -0.79

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.21)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 58 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.5%

Win Probability (After): 18.7%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 194 (Kickoff at OSU 35) Jordan Noyes kickoff for 58 yds , Emeka Egbuka return for 20 yds to the OhSt 27 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 -0.91 18.7% -1.3%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 73

Started Drive at: OSU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.54 - -0.62 = -0.91

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.62)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.7%

Win Probability (After): 17.3%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:52 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 27) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete - UTAH 35, OSU 21 -1.49 20.9% -2.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73

Started Drive at: OSU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.10 - 0.39 = -1.49

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.61)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.9%

Win Probability (After): 18.2%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:45 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 10 at OSU 27) TreVeyon Henderson run for 8 yds to the OhSt 35 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 1.61 19.2% 1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 65

Started Drive at: OSU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - -1.11 = 1.61

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.11)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.2%

Win Probability (After): 20.9%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:19 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 2 at OSU 35) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 45 yds to the Utah 20 for a 1ST down - UTAH 35, OSU 21 4.16 19.5% 4.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 20

Started Drive at: OSU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.93 - -0.24 = 4.16

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.24)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.5%

Win Probability (After): 23.8%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:43 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at UTAH 20) C.J. Stroud pass intercepted, touchback. Clark Phillips III return for no gain - UTAH 35, OSU 21 -6.21 23.0% -8.5%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 80

Started Drive at: OSU 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.44 - 3.77 = -6.21

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.23)

Score Difference (End): 14 (16.44)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.0%

Win Probability (After): 14.6%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:33 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 20) Tavion Thomas run for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 15 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 -1.23 85.6% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 85

Started Drive at: UTAH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.19 - 2.42 = -1.23

Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.42)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, -5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.6%

Win Probability (After): 84.6%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:54 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 15 at UTAH 15) Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 10 yds to the Utah 25 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 0.04 84.6% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 75

Started Drive at: UTAH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.35 - 1.31 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.31)

Score Difference (End): 14 (15.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.6%

Win Probability (After): 84.3%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:18 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 5 at UTAH 25) Cameron Rising pass incomplete - UTAH 35, OSU 21 -1.67 84.3% -3.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: UTAH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.30 - 1.37 = -1.67

Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.37)

Score Difference (End): 14 (13.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.3%

Win Probability (After): 81.2%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:12 ESPN team id 254 (4th & 5 at UTAH 25) Michael Williams run for a loss of 14 yards to the Utah 11 Michael Williams fumbled, recovered by OhSt Bryson Shaw - UTAH 35, OSU 21 -4.42 80.7% -4.0%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 11

Started Drive at: UTAH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.74 - -0.32 = -4.42

Score Difference (Before): 14 (13.68)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.26)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, -9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.7%

Win Probability (After): 76.7%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 11:47 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at UTAH 11) OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Utah 21 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 -1.11 23.5% -2.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 21

Started Drive at: UTAH 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.62 - 4.72 = -1.11

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.28)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.5%

Win Probability (After): 21.4%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:35 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 20 at UTAH 21) TreVeyon Henderson run for 13 yds to the Utah 8 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 0.92 22.0% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 8

Started Drive at: UTAH 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.51 - 3.58 = 0.92

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.42)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.0%

Win Probability (After): 23.4%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:20 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 7 at UTAH 8) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 8 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 35, OSU 28 2.52 23.4% 12.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.48 = 2.52

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.52)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 28

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.4%

Win Probability (After): 36.0%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:20 ESPN team id 254 (Kickoff at UTAH 35) Dominic DiMaccio kickoff for 55 yds - UTAH 35, OSU 28 0.71 73.2% 0.2%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65

Started Drive at: UTAH 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.86 - 2.15 = 0.71

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.15)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 28

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.2%

Win Probability (After): 73.3%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:07 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 35) TJ Pledger run for 7 yds to the Utah 42 - UTAH 35, OSU 28 0.30 73.6% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 58

Started Drive at: UTAH 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.17 - 2.87 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.87)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 28

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.6%

Win Probability (After): 75.0%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:59 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 3 at UTAH 42) UTAH Penalty, False Start (Dalton Kincaid) to the Utah 37 - UTAH 35, OSU 28 -0.86 75.2% -0.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 63

Started Drive at: UTAH 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.32 - 3.18 = -0.86

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.18)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 28

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.2%

Win Probability (After): 74.4%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:39 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 8 at UTAH 37) Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 7 yds to the Utah 44 - UTAH 35, OSU 28 0.42 73.6% 1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 56

Started Drive at: UTAH 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.81 - 2.39 = 0.42

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.39)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 28

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.6%

Win Probability (After): 74.7%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:02 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 1 at UTAH 44) Micah Bernard run for 22 yds to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST down - UTAH 35, OSU 28 1.52 73.0% 2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 34

Started Drive at: UTAH 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.37 - 2.85 = 1.52

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.85)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 28

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.0%

Win Probability (After): 75.1%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:26 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at OSU 34) Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 23 yds to the OhSt 11 for a 1ST down - UTAH 35, OSU 28 1.08 74.1% 2.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 11

Started Drive at: UTAH 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.43 - 4.35 = 1.08

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.35)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 28

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.1%

Win Probability (After): 76.1%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:51 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at OSU 11) Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the OhSt 10 - UTAH 35, OSU 28 -0.58 78.8% -2.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 10

Started Drive at: UTAH 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.84 - 5.42 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.42)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 28

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.8%

Win Probability (After): 75.8%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:32 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 9 at OSU 10) Britain Covey run for 2 yds to the OhSt 8 - UTAH 35, OSU 28 -0.66 76.0% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 8

Started Drive at: UTAH 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.20 - 4.86 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.86)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 28

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 62 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.0%

Win Probability (After): 75.0%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:51 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 7 at OSU 8) Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the OhSt 6 - UTAH 35, OSU 28 -1.28 74.4% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 6

Started Drive at: UTAH 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.95 - 4.23 = -1.28

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.23)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 35, OSU 28

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.4%

Win Probability (After): 73.9%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:10 ESPN team id 254 (4th & 5 at OSU 6) Jadon Redding 24 yd FG GOOD - UTAH 38, OSU 28 0.05 73.7% 6.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6

Started Drive at: UTAH 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.95 = 0.05

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.95)

Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 64 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.7%

Win Probability (After): 79.9%

Away Score: 35 (38) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 7:10 ESPN team id 194 (Kickoff at OSU 35) Jordan Noyes kickoff for 65 yds , Emeka Egbuka return for 20 yds to the OHIOST 45 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Julian Fleming) to the OhSt 10 - UTAH 38, OSU 28 -1.91 23.6% -3.5%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 90

Started Drive at: OSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.88 - 0.03 = -1.91

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-14.03)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-11.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.6%

Win Probability (After): 20.2%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:49 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 10) TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the OhSt 16 - UTAH 38, OSU 28 0.21 23.3% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 84

Started Drive at: OSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.56 - -0.77 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.77)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.3%

Win Probability (After): 23.0%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:23 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 4 at OSU 16) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 11 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 28 0.93 23.3% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 73

Started Drive at: OSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.41 - -0.52 = 0.93

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.52)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.3%

Win Probability (After): 24.0%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:02 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 27) TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the OhSt 27 - UTAH 38, OSU 28 -0.79 24.7% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73

Started Drive at: OSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.39 - 0.40 = -0.79

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.60)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.7%

Win Probability (After): 23.2%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:13 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 10 at OSU 27) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 11 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 28 1.58 22.1% 3.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 62

Started Drive at: OSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - -0.42 = 1.58

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.42)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.1%

Win Probability (After): 25.8%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:56 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 38) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 7 yds to the OhSt 45 - UTAH 38, OSU 28 0.58 25.0% 1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 55

Started Drive at: OSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.72 - 1.14 = 0.58

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.86)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.0%

Win Probability (After): 26.2%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:31 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 3 at OSU 45) UTAH Penalty, Defensive Offside (Mika Tafua) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 28 0.25 26.0% 0.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 50

Started Drive at: OSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 1.71 = 0.25

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.29)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.0%

Win Probability (After): 26.6%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:31 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at 50) Timeout OHIO ST, clock 04:31 - UTAH 38, OSU 28 0.00 26.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50

Started Drive at: OSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 1.96 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.04)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.4%

Win Probability (After): 26.4%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:21 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at 50) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 20 yds to the Utah 30 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 28 1.54 24.1% 2.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 30

Started Drive at: OSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.50 - 1.96 = 1.54

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.04)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.1%

Win Probability (After): 26.2%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:01 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at UTAH 30) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 16 yds to the Utah 14 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 28 1.14 26.1% 3.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 14

Started Drive at: OSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.63 - 3.49 = 1.14

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.51)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.1%

Win Probability (After): 29.7%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:40 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at UTAH 14) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete - UTAH 38, OSU 28 -0.55 28.9% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14

Started Drive at: OSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.07 - 4.62 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.38)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.9%

Win Probability (After): 28.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:30 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 10 at UTAH 14) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for no gain to the Utah 14 - UTAH 38, OSU 28 -0.73 27.7% -2.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14

Started Drive at: OSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.36 - 4.09 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.91)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.7%

Win Probability (After): 24.8%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:57 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 10 at UTAH 14) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete - UTAH 38, OSU 28 -0.98 24.3% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14

Started Drive at: OSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.40 - 3.38 = -0.98

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.62)

Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.3%

Win Probability (After): 23.7%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:53 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 10 at UTAH 14) Noah Ruggles 31 yd FG GOOD - UTAH 38, OSU 31 0.60 23.1% 11.5%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14

Started Drive at: OSU 10

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.40 = 0.60

Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.60)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.1%

Win Probability (After): 34.7%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 2:53 ESPN team id 254 (Kickoff at UTAH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 50 yds , Britain Covey return for 16 yds to the Utah 31 - UTAH 38, OSU 31 -0.57 75.6% -2.5%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 69

Started Drive at: UTAH 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.65 - 2.21 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.21)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.6%

Win Probability (After): 73.2%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 2:10 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 31) Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 5 yds to the Utah 36 - UTAH 38, OSU 31 0.03 76.6% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 64

Started Drive at: UTAH 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.68 - 2.65 = 0.03

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.65)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.6%

Win Probability (After): 77.0%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 2:05 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 5 at UTAH 36) Tavion Thomas run for 13 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 31 0.79 78.4% 2.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 51

Started Drive at: UTAH 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.47 - 2.68 = 0.79

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.68)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.4%

Win Probability (After): 80.7%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 1:29 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 49) Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the OhSt 47 - UTAH 38, OSU 31 -0.14 80.5% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 47

Started Drive at: UTAH 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.34 - 3.48 = -0.14

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.48)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.5%

Win Probability (After): 80.5%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:34 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 6 at OSU 47) Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 9 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 31 0.81 80.9% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 38

Started Drive at: UTAH 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.15 - 3.34 = 0.81

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.34)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.9%

Win Probability (After): 81.2%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at OSU 38) Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the OhSt 38 - UTAH 38, OSU 31 -0.55 82.6% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 38

Started Drive at: UTAH 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.55 - 4.10 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.10)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.6%

Win Probability (After): 81.5%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 14:55 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 10 at OSU 38) Cameron Rising run for 6 yds to the OhSt 32 - UTAH 38, OSU 31 0.13 80.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 32

Started Drive at: UTAH 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.66 - 3.53 = 0.13

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.53)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.3%

Win Probability (After): 80.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 14:32 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 4 at OSU 32) Cameron Rising run for 1 yd to the OhSt 31 - UTAH 38, OSU 31 -1.47 80.7% -3.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 31

Started Drive at: UTAH 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.20 - 3.67 = -1.47

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.67)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.7%

Win Probability (After): 77.7%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 13:53 ESPN team id 254 (4th & 3 at OSU 31) Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 2 yds to the OhSt 29 - UTAH 38, OSU 31 -2.81 78.3% -7.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 71

Started Drive at: UTAH 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.65 - 2.16 = -2.81

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.16)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.35)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.3%

Win Probability (After): 70.6%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 13:41 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 29) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 3 yds to the OhSt 32 - UTAH 38, OSU 31 -0.45 29.9% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 68

Started Drive at: OSU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.16 - 0.61 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.39)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.9%

Win Probability (After): 29.3%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:56 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 7 at OSU 32) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 30 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 31 2.76 27.7% 7.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 38

Started Drive at: OSU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 0.18 = 2.76

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.82)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.7%

Win Probability (After): 35.6%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:31 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at UTAH 38) TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the Utah 34 - UTAH 38, OSU 31 0.04 34.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 34

Started Drive at: OSU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 2.90 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.10)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.6%

Win Probability (After): 34.6%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:55 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 6 at UTAH 34) Timeout OHIO ST, clock 11:55 - UTAH 38, OSU 31 0.00 33.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34

Started Drive at: OSU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 2.94 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.06)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.5%

Win Probability (After): 33.5%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:46 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 6 at UTAH 34) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Mitch Rossi for 22 yds to the Utah 12 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 31 1.83 32.5% 6.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 12

Started Drive at: OSU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.85 - 3.01 = 1.83

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.99)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.5%

Win Probability (After): 38.8%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:29 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at UTAH 12) C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 2 yds to the Utah 10 - UTAH 38, OSU 31 -0.48 38.6% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 10

Started Drive at: OSU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.36 - 4.84 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.16)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.6%

Win Probability (After): 38.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:55 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 8 at UTAH 10) C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 5 yds to the Utah 5 - UTAH 38, OSU 31 0.18 38.5% -1.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 5

Started Drive at: OSU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.57 - 4.39 = 0.18

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.61)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.5%

Win Probability (After): 37.0%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:12 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 3 at UTAH 5) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 5 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 38, OSU 38 2.40 37.8% 12.4%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 29

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.60 = 2.40

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.40)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.8%

Win Probability (After): 50.2%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:12 ESPN team id 254 (Kickoff at UTAH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 45 yds , Nephi Sewell return for 14 yds to the Utah 34 - UTAH 38, OSU 38 -0.17 54.0% -0.5%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 66

Started Drive at: UTAH 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.11 - 1.28 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.28)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.0%

Win Probability (After): 53.6%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 9:56 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 34) Cameron Rising sacked by Kourt Williams II for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 27 - UTAH 38, OSU 38 -1.67 56.7% -6.6%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 73

Started Drive at: UTAH 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.33 - 2.00 = -1.67

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.00)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, -7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.7%

Win Probability (After): 50.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 9:32 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 17 at UTAH 27) TJ Pledger run for 1 yd to the Utah 28 - UTAH 38, OSU 38 -0.95 48.9% -8.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 72

Started Drive at: UTAH 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.74 - 0.20 = -0.95

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.20)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.9%

Win Probability (After): 40.8%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 8:56 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 16 at UTAH 28) Tavion Thomas run for 12 yds to the Utah 40 - UTAH 38, OSU 38 0.40 39.8% 4.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 60

Started Drive at: UTAH 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.46 - -0.87 = 0.40

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.87)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.8%

Win Probability (After): 44.0%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 8:19 ESPN team id 254 (4th & 4 at UTAH 40) Cameron Peasley punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Smith-Njigba at the OhSt 15 - UTAH 38, OSU 38 -0.11 42.9% 0.8%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 85

Started Drive at: UTAH 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.67 - -0.57 = -0.11

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.57)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.67)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.9%

Win Probability (After): 43.7%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 8:01 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 15) TreVeyon Henderson run for 11 yds to the OhSt 26 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 38 0.63 58.5% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 74

Started Drive at: OSU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.38 - 0.74 = 0.63

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.74)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.5%

Win Probability (After): 59.3%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:48 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 26) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 10 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 38 0.57 59.4% 1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 64

Started Drive at: OSU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.00 - 1.43 = 0.57

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.43)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.4%

Win Probability (After): 60.5%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:54 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 36) TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 39 - UTAH 38, OSU 38 -0.52 60.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 61

Started Drive at: OSU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.57 - 2.08 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.08)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.2%

Win Probability (After): 60.3%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:41 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 7 at OSU 39) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 16 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 38 1.49 60.4% 4.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 45

Started Drive at: OSU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.22 - 1.73 = 1.49

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.73)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.4%

Win Probability (After): 64.8%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:19 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at UTAH 45) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete - UTAH 38, OSU 38 -0.49 64.9% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: OSU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.72 - 3.21 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.21)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.9%

Win Probability (After): 64.4%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:09 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 10 at UTAH 45) TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the Utah 43 - UTAH 38, OSU 38 -0.52 64.4% -2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 43

Started Drive at: OSU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.04 - 2.56 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.56)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.4%

Win Probability (After): 61.8%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:26 ESPN team id 194 (3rd & 8 at UTAH 43) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 4 yds to the Utah 39 - UTAH 38, OSU 38 -1.05 62.3% -3.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 39

Started Drive at: OSU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.03 - 2.08 = -1.05

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.08)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.3%

Win Probability (After): 59.2%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:35 ESPN team id 194 (4th & 4 at UTAH 39) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 9 yds to the Utah 30 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 38 2.94 58.2% 13.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 30

Started Drive at: OSU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.00 - 1.06 = 2.94

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.06)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 55 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.2%

Win Probability (After): 71.4%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 4:22 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at UTAH 30) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 30 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 38, OSU 45 2.88 75.7% 12.7%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 99

Started Drive at: OSU 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.12 = 2.88

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.12)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 45

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.7%

Win Probability (After): 88.4%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:22 ESPN team id 254 (Kickoff at UTAH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 41 yds , Britain Covey return for 19 yds to the Utah 43 - UTAH 38, OSU 45 0.40 13.1% 1.6%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 57

Started Drive at: UTAH 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 0.76 = 0.40

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.24)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 45

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.1%

Win Probability (After): 14.7%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 4:10 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at UTAH 43) Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Utah 45 - UTAH 38, OSU 45 -0.18 16.4% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 55

Started Drive at: UTAH 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.55 - 1.73 = -0.18

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.27)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 45

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.4%

Win Probability (After): 15.8%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 3:29 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 8 at UTAH 45) Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Utah 47 - UTAH 38, OSU 45 -0.47 15.1% -2.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 53

Started Drive at: UTAH 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.92 - 1.40 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.60)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 45

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.1%

Win Probability (After): 12.7%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 3:12 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 6 at UTAH 47) OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Cameron Brown) to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 45 1.31 13.0% 3.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 49

Started Drive at: UTAH 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.32 - 1.01 = 1.31

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.99)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 45

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 13.0%

Win Probability (After): 16.3%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 2:56 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at OSU 49) Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the OhSt 48 - UTAH 38, OSU 45 -0.48 15.1% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 48

Started Drive at: UTAH 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.73 - 2.21 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.79)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 45

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.1%

Win Probability (After): 15.4%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 2:18 ESPN team id 254 (2nd & 9 at OSU 48) Bryson Barnes pass complete to Britain Covey for 8 yds to the OhSt 40 - UTAH 38, OSU 45 0.81 15.1% 1.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 40

Started Drive at: UTAH 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.52 - 1.71 = 0.81

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.29)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 45

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.1%

Win Probability (After): 16.4%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 2:11 ESPN team id 254 (3rd & 1 at OSU 40) Bryson Barnes run for 10 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 45 0.90 16.6% 2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 30

Started Drive at: UTAH 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.17 - 2.27 = 0.90

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.73)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 45

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.6%

Win Probability (After): 18.8%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 2:00 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at OSU 30) OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Ronnie Hickman) to the OhSt 15 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 45 1.32 18.3% 3.9%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 15

Started Drive at: UTAH 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.48 - 3.16 = 1.32

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.84)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 38, OSU 45

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.3%

Win Probability (After): 22.1%

Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:54 ESPN team id 254 (1st & 10 at OSU 15) Bryson Barnes pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 15 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 45, OSU 45 2.67 22.1% 24.1%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99

Started Drive at: UTAH 43

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.33 = 2.67

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.67)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 45, OSU 45

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.1%

Win Probability (After): 46.2%

Away Score: 38 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 1:54 ESPN team id 194 (Kickoff at OSU 35) Jordan Noyes kickoff for 56 yds , Emeka Egbuka return for 33 yds to the OhSt 42 - UTAH 45, OSU 45 0.19 66.2% 4.5%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 58

Started Drive at: OSU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - 1.49 = 0.19

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.49)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 45, OSU 45

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.2%

Win Probability (After): 70.7%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:31 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at OSU 42) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 8 yds to the 50 yard line - UTAH 45, OSU 45 0.52 75.1% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 50

Started Drive at: OSU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.58 - 2.06 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.06)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 45, OSU 45

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.1%

Win Probability (After): 74.7%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:25 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 2 at 50) TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST down - UTAH 45, OSU 45 0.34 78.2% 1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 44

Started Drive at: OSU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - 2.35 = 0.34

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.35)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 45, OSU 45

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.2%

Win Probability (After): 79.9%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:06 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at UTAH 44) C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 9 yds to the Utah 35 - UTAH 45, OSU 45 1.02 78.9% 2.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 35

Started Drive at: OSU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.58 - 2.56 = 1.02

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.56)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 45, OSU 45

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.9%

Win Probability (After): 81.1%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:59 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 1 at UTAH 35) TreVeyon Henderson run for 12 yds to the Utah 23 for a 1ST down - UTAH 45, OSU 45 0.44 84.2% 3.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 23

Started Drive at: OSU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.94 - 3.50 = 0.44

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.50)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 45, OSU 45

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.2%

Win Probability (After): 87.9%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:36 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at UTAH 23) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 12 yds to the Utah 11 for a 1ST down - UTAH 45, OSU 45 0.76 91.4% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 11

Started Drive at: OSU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.64 - 3.88 = 0.76

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.88)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 45, OSU 45

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.4%

Win Probability (After): 90.0%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:26 ESPN team id 194 (1st & 10 at UTAH 11) TreVeyon Henderson run for 9 yds to the Utah 2 - UTAH 45, OSU 45 1.32 90.4% 2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 2

Started Drive at: OSU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.80 - 4.47 = 1.32

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.47)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 45, OSU 45

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.4%

Win Probability (After): 92.6%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:12 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 1 at UTAH 2) Timeout OHIO ST, clock 00:12 - UTAH 45, OSU 45 0.00 87.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 2

Started Drive at: OSU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.80 - 5.80 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.80)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 45, OSU 45

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.3%

Win Probability (After): 87.3%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:09 ESPN team id 194 (2nd & 1 at UTAH 2) Noah Ruggles 19 yd FG GOOD - UTAH 45, OSU 48 -2.51 83.2% 9.7%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 2

Started Drive at: OSU 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 5.51 = -2.51

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.51)

Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 45, OSU 48

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 83.2%

Win Probability (After): 92.9%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 254 (Kickoff at UTAH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 57 yds , Britain Covey return for 9 yds to the Utah 17 - UTAH 45, OSU 48 0.02 5.9% -5.9%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 83

Started Drive at: UTAH 17

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.03 - 0.01 = 0.02

Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.99)

Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UTAH 45, OSU 48

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.9%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 48 (48)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0