Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 5.84 | Odds: OSU -4, O/U 64.5 | Download Chart
Expected Points
Team Stats [show/hide]
| Overall |  |
 |
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 81 | 79 |
| Total EPA | 13 | 26.79 |
| Offensive EPA | 7.2 | 34.5 |
| Special Teams EPA | 2.47 | -6.86 |
| Penalty EPA | 4.55 | -2.95 |
| Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA | -1.22 | 2.10 |
| Production | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 68 | 67 |
| Yards | 459 | 687 |
| Yards/Play | 6.75 | 10.25 |
| EPA | 7.20 | 34.50 |
| EPA/Play | 0.11 | 0.51 |
| Passes | 25 (37%) | 47 (70%) |
| Yards | 237 | 572 |
| Yards/Play | 9.48 | 12.17 |
| EPA | 9.29 | 32.52 |
| EPA/Play | 0.37 | 0.69 |
| Rushes | 43 (63%) | 20 (30%) |
| Yards | 233 | 110 |
| Yards/Play | 5.42 | 5.50 |
| EPA | -2.09 | 1.99 |
| EPA/Play | -0.05 | 0.10 |
| Rushing | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 68 | 67 |
| Rushes | 43 (63%) | 20 (30%) |
| Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) | 3 (7%) | 1 (5%) |
| Successful Power Runs (Rate) | 3 (100%) | 0 (0%) |
| Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) | 7 (16%) | 3 (15%) |
| Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) | 20 (47%) | 6 (30%) |
| Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) | 21 (49%) | 12 (60%) |
| OL Line Yards | 54.4 | 45.8 |
| Per Carry | 1.27 | 2.29 |
| Highlight Yards | 101.5 | 24 |
| Per Rush Opportunity | 4.83 | 2.00 |
| Explosiveness | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 81 | 79 |
| Scrimmage Plays | 68 | 67 |
| Explosive Plays | 4 (6%) | 10 (15%) |
| When Passing (EPA > 2.4) | 3 (12%) | 9 (19%) |
| When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) | 1 (2%) | 1 (5%) |
| EPA w/o Explosive Plays | -7.59 | -1.59 |
| EPA/Play | -0.12 | -0.03 |
| When Passing | 1.23 | -1.11 |
| EPA/Play | 0.05 | -0.02 |
| When Rushing | -8.82 | -0.47 |
| EPA/Play | -0.21 | -0.02 |
| Situational | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Successful Plays (EPA > 0) | 37 (54%) | 42 (63%) |
| When Passing | 17 (68%) | 31 (66%) |
| When Rushing | 20 (47%) | 11 (55%) |
| On Standard Downs | 28 (55%) | 37 (67%) |
| On Passing Downs | 9 (53%) | 5 (42%) |
| On Early Downs | 29 (56%) | 36 (64%) |
| On Late Downs | 8 (50%) | 6 (55%) |
| During "Middle 8" | 6 (46%) | 8 (73%) |
| Early Downs | 52 | 56 |
| First Downs Created | 12 (23%) | 16 (29%) |
| EPA | 6.72 | 22.12 |
| EPA/Play | 0.13 | 0.39 |
| Passes | 20 (38%) | 38 (68%) |
| Rushes | 32 (62%) | 18 (32%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 15 (75%) | 26 (68%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 14 (44%) | 10 (56%) |
| "Middle 8" Plays | 13 | 11 |
| EPA | -6.76 | 2.91 |
| EPA/play | -0.52 | 0.26 |
| Passes | 5 (38%) | 9 (82%) |
| Rushes | 8 (62%) | 2 (18%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 3 (60%) | 6 (67%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 3 (38%) | 2 (100%) |
| Drives | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total | 11 | 13 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 30 | Own 24 |
| Plays/Drive | 6.87 | 7.09 |
| Yards/Drive | 48.68 | 62.87 |
| Available Yards % | 70% | 83% |
| Defensive | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 67 | 68 |
| Stop Rate | 25% | 43% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 3 (4%) | 6 (9%) |
| Passing | 1 (2%) | 1 (4%) |
| Rushing | 2 (10%) | 5 (12%) |
| TFLs Generated | 2 | 6 |
| Passing | 0 | 1 |
| Rushing | 2 | 5 |
| Sacks Generated | 0 (0%) | 1 (4%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1 | 0 |
| Fumbles Forced | 0 | 0 |
| Turnovers | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 2 |
| Fumbles | 2 | 1 |
| Fumbles Lost | 1 | 1 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 1 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 1 |
| Turnover Margin | 1 | -1 |
| Expected Turnovers | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| Expected Turnover Margin | 0.2 | -0.2 |
| Turnover Luck (pts) | 3.9 | -3.9 |
| Special Teams | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 13 | 12 |
| Total EPA | 2.47 | -6.86 |
| Field Goal EPA | 0.05 | -1.91 |
| Punting EPA | -0.82 | -0.01 |
| Kickoff Return EPA | 3.24 | -4.94 |
Utah [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Cameron Rising | 17/22, 214 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 66.0 xQBR | 9.30 | 0.25 | 5.81 | 65% | 10.0% | |
| Bryson Barnes | 2/2, 23 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 78.9 xQBR | 11.50 | 1.74 | 3.48 | 100% | 25.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Cameron Rising | 10 carries, 99 yds, 1 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) | 9.90 | 0.50 | 5.03 | 60% | 11.0% | |
| Brant Kuithe | 1 carry, 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 7.00 | 1.07 | 1.07 | 100% | 4.0% | |
| Micah Bernard | 3 carries, 31 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.33 | 0.31 | 0.92 | 33% | -1.0% | |
| Bryson Barnes | 1 carry, 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.00 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 100% | 2.0% | |
| Britain Covey | 2 carries, 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.00 | -0.08 | -0.16 | 50% | 1.0% | |
| TJ Pledger | 7 carries, 23 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.29 | -0.25 | -1.72 | 43% | -11.0% | |
| Tavion Thomas | 18 carries, 67 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.72 | -0.21 | -3.71 | 39% | 0.0% | |
| Michael Williams | 1 carry, -14 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) | -14.00 | -4.42 | -4.42 | 0% | -4.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Britain Covey | 3 catches (3 targets), 34 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.33 | 1.30 | 3.90 | 100% | 11.0% | |
| Dalton Kincaid | 3 catches (4 targets), 45 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 15.00 | 0.85 | 3.42 | 75% | 23.0% | |
| Micah Bernard | 2 catches (2 targets), 15 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 7.50 | 1.16 | 2.31 | 50% | 12.0% | |
| Brant Kuithe | 6 catches (6 targets), 77 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.83 | 0.31 | 1.87 | 83% | -1.0% | |
| Solomon Enis | 1 catch (1 target), 14 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 14.00 | 1.77 | 1.77 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| Devaughn Vele | 2 catches (2 targets), 33 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 16.50 | 0.61 | 1.21 | 100% | 2.0% | |
| Cole Fotheringham | 2 catches (2 targets), 19 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.50 | 0.37 | 0.75 | 100% | -1.0% | |
Ohio State [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| C.J. Stroud | 37/46, 572 yds, 6 TD, 1 INT, 0 Scks, 90.0 xQBR | 12.43 | 0.70 | 32.39 | 65% | 119.0% | |
| TEAM | 0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 62.4 xQBR | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| C.J. Stroud | 1 carry, 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.00 | 2.46 | 2.46 | 100% | 3.0% | |
| Miyan Williams | 2 carries, 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.50 | 0.56 | 1.13 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| TreVeyon Henderson | 17 carries, 83 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.88 | -0.09 | -1.60 | 47% | 0.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 15 catches (15 targets), 346 yds, 3 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) | 23.07 | 1.67 | 25.12 | 87% | 73.0% | |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | 6 catches (6 targets), 71 yds, 3 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.83 | 2.14 | 12.87 | 100% | 47.0% | |
| Emeka Egbuka | 3 catches (3 targets), 46 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 15.33 | 1.18 | 3.55 | 67% | 5.0% | |
| Mitch Rossi | 1 catch (1 target), 22 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 22.00 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 100% | 6.0% | |
| Jeremy Ruckert | 3 catches (3 targets), 25 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.33 | 0.57 | 1.71 | 100% | 3.0% | |
| TreVeyon Henderson | 4 catches (4 targets), 27 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.75 | 0.33 | 1.34 | 75% | 2.0% | |
| Julian Fleming | 5 catches (5 targets), 35 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 7.00 | -0.04 | -0.19 | 40% | -2.0% | |
Big Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute EPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 6:24 | |
(4th & 1 at UTAH 38) Cameron Rising run for 62 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | 6.73 | 66.7% | 15.5% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99 Started Drive at: UTAH 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.27 = 6.73 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.27) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.7% Win Probability (After): 82.2% Away Score: 28 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 13:43 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 20) C.J. Stroud pass intercepted, touchback. Clark Phillips III return for no gain - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | -6.21 | 23.0% | -8.5% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 80 Started Drive at: OSU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.44 - 3.77 = -6.21 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.23) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.44) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.0% Win Probability (After): 14.6% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:17 | |
(Kickoff at UTAH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 62 yds , Britain Covey return for 97 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 28, OSU 14 | 5.47 | 67.5% | 14.5% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Return Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 0 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.53 = 5.47 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.53) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 28, OSU 14 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.5% Win Probability (After): 82.1% Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 8:02 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 48) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 52 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 28, OSU 21 | 5.24 | 19.1% | 14.6% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.76 = 5.24 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.24) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 28, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.1% Win Probability (After): 33.6% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 14 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:32 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 50 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 21, OSU 14 | 5.16 | 20.1% | 15.4% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.84 = 5.16 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.16) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 21, OSU 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.1% Win Probability (After): 35.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:17 | |
(4th & 1 at UTAH 25) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 25 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 14, OSU 7 | 4.82 | 23.0% | 14.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.18 = 4.82 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.82) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 14, OSU 7 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 76 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.0% Win Probability (After): 37.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 12:12 | |
(4th & 5 at UTAH 25) Michael Williams run for a loss of 14 yards to the Utah 11 Michael Williams fumbled, recovered by OhSt Bryson Shaw - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | -4.42 | 80.7% | -4.0% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 11 Started Drive at: UTAH 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.74 - -0.32 = -4.42 Score Difference (Before): 14 (13.68) Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.26) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, -9 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.7% Win Probability (After): 76.7% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 14:19 | |
(3rd & 2 at OSU 35) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 45 yds to the Utah 20 for a 1ST down - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | 4.16 | 19.5% | 4.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 20 Started Drive at: OSU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.93 - -0.24 = 4.16 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.24) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.5% Win Probability (After): 23.8% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:40 | |
(2nd & 4 at 50) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 49 yds Jaxon Smith-Njigba fumbled, recovered by Utah Cole Bishop - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | -3.50 | 18.0% | -0.2% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 80 Started Drive at: OSU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.52 - 1.98 = -3.50 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.02) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.52) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 73 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.0% Win Probability (After): 17.7% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q1 0:53 | |
(2nd & 10 at OSU 36) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 30 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST down - UTAH 14, OSU 0 | 3.14 | 20.5% | 3.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 34 Started Drive at: OSU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.07 - -0.07 = 3.14 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.07) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 14, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.5% Win Probability (After): 24.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 1:54 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 15) Bryson Barnes pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 15 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 45, OSU 45 | 2.67 | 22.1% | 24.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99 Started Drive at: UTAH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.33 = 2.67 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.67) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 45, OSU 45 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.1% Win Probability (After): 46.2% Away Score: 38 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 6:24 | |
(4th & 1 at UTAH 38) Cameron Rising run for 62 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | 6.73 | 66.7% | 15.5% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99 Started Drive at: UTAH 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.27 = 6.73 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.27) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.7% Win Probability (After): 82.2% Away Score: 28 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 8:32 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 50 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 21, OSU 14 | 5.16 | 20.1% | 15.4% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.84 = 5.16 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.16) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 21, OSU 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.1% Win Probability (After): 35.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:02 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 48) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 52 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 28, OSU 21 | 5.24 | 19.1% | 14.6% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.76 = 5.24 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.24) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 28, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.1% Win Probability (After): 33.6% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 14 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:17 | |
(Kickoff at UTAH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 62 yds , Britain Covey return for 97 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 28, OSU 14 | 5.47 | 67.5% | 14.5% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Return Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 0 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.53 = 5.47 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.53) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 28, OSU 14 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.5% Win Probability (After): 82.1% Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 14:17 | |
(4th & 1 at UTAH 25) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 25 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 14, OSU 7 | 4.82 | 23.0% | 14.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.18 = 4.82 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.82) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 14, OSU 7 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 76 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.0% Win Probability (After): 37.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 4:35 | |
(4th & 4 at UTAH 39) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 9 yds to the Utah 30 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 38 | 2.94 | 58.2% | 13.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 30 Started Drive at: OSU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.00 - 1.06 = 2.94 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.06) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.2% Win Probability (After): 71.4% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 4:22 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 30) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 30 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 38, OSU 45 | 2.88 | 75.7% | 12.7% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.12 = 2.88 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.12) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 45 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.7% Win Probability (After): 88.4% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:20 | |
(2nd & 7 at UTAH 8) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 8 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 35, OSU 28 | 2.52 | 23.4% | 12.6% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99 Started Drive at: UTAH 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.48 = 2.52 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.52) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.4% Win Probability (After): 36.0% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:12 | |
(3rd & 3 at UTAH 5) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 5 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 38, OSU 38 | 2.40 | 37.8% | 12.4% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.60 = 2.40 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.40) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.8% Win Probability (After): 50.2% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Scoring Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 9:29 | |
(2nd & 7 at OSU 19) Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 19 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 7, OSU 0 | 2.66 | 50.3% | 8.3% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 99 Started Drive at: UTAH 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.34 = 2.66 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.34) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 7, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.3% Win Probability (After): 58.5% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 3:28 | |
(3rd & 6 at OSU 12) Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 12 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 14, OSU 0 | 2.73 | 69.0% | 11.9% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 99 Started Drive at: UTAH 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.27 = 2.73 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.27) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 14, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 67 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.0% Win Probability (After): 80.9% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 14:17 | |
(4th & 1 at UTAH 25) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 25 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 14, OSU 7 | 4.82 | 23.0% | 14.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.18 = 4.82 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.82) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 14, OSU 7 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 76 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.0% Win Probability (After): 37.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 9:07 | |
(1st & Goal at OSU 6) Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 21, OSU 7 | 1.21 | 75.6% | 7.0% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99 Started Drive at: UTAH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.79 = 1.21 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.79) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 21, OSU 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 79 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.6% Win Probability (After): 82.6% Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 8:32 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 50 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 21, OSU 14 | 5.16 | 20.1% | 15.4% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.84 = 5.16 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.16) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 21, OSU 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.1% Win Probability (After): 35.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:17 | |
(Kickoff at UTAH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 62 yds , Britain Covey return for 97 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 28, OSU 14 | 5.47 | 67.5% | 14.5% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Return Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 0 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.53 = 5.47 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.53) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 28, OSU 14 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.5% Win Probability (After): 82.1% Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 8:02 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 48) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 52 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 28, OSU 21 | 5.24 | 19.1% | 14.6% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.76 = 5.24 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.24) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 28, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.1% Win Probability (After): 33.6% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 14 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:24 | |
(4th & 1 at UTAH 38) Cameron Rising run for 62 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | 6.73 | 66.7% | 15.5% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99 Started Drive at: UTAH 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.27 = 6.73 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.27) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.7% Win Probability (After): 82.2% Away Score: 28 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 11:20 | |
(2nd & 7 at UTAH 8) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 8 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 35, OSU 28 | 2.52 | 23.4% | 12.6% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99 Started Drive at: UTAH 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.48 = 2.52 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.52) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.4% Win Probability (After): 36.0% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:10 | |
(4th & 5 at OSU 6) Jadon Redding 24 yd FG GOOD - UTAH 38, OSU 28 | 0.05 | 73.7% | 6.2% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6 Started Drive at: UTAH 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.95 = 0.05 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.95) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.7% Win Probability (After): 79.9% Away Score: 35 (38) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 2:53 | |
(4th & 10 at UTAH 14) Noah Ruggles 31 yd FG GOOD - UTAH 38, OSU 31 | 0.60 | 23.1% | 11.5% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14 Started Drive at: OSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.40 = 0.60 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.60) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.1% Win Probability (After): 34.7% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 10:12 | |
(3rd & 3 at UTAH 5) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 5 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 38, OSU 38 | 2.40 | 37.8% | 12.4% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.60 = 2.40 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.40) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.8% Win Probability (After): 50.2% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:22 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 30) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 30 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 38, OSU 45 | 2.88 | 75.7% | 12.7% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.12 = 2.88 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.12) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 45 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.7% Win Probability (After): 88.4% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:54 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 15) Bryson Barnes pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 15 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 45, OSU 45 | 2.67 | 22.1% | 24.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99 Started Drive at: UTAH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.33 = 2.67 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.67) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 45, OSU 45 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.1% Win Probability (After): 46.2% Away Score: 38 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 0:09 | |
(2nd & 1 at UTAH 2) Noah Ruggles 19 yd FG GOOD - UTAH 45, OSU 48 | -2.51 | 83.2% | 9.7% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 2 Started Drive at: OSU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 5.51 = -2.51 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.51) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 45, OSU 48 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.2% Win Probability (After): 92.9% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (48) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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All Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at UTAH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 56 yds , Britain Covey return for 20 yds to the Utah 29 - UTAH 0, OSU 0 | -0.76 | 37.4% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 71 Started Drive at: UTAH 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.10 - 0.86 = -0.76 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.4% Win Probability (After): 36.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:46 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 29) Cameron Rising pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 11 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST down - UTAH 0, OSU 0 | 0.53 | 45.4% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 60 Started Drive at: UTAH 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.06 - 1.53 = 0.53 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.53) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.4% Win Probability (After): 43.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:20 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 40) Cameron Rising pass incomplete - UTAH 0, OSU 0 | -0.72 | 45.0% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60 Started Drive at: UTAH 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.49 - 2.21 = -0.72 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.21) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.0% Win Probability (After): 45.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:58 | |
(2nd & 10 at UTAH 40) Tavion Thomas run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - UTAH 0, OSU 0 | 1.28 | 43.4% | 2.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 50 Started Drive at: UTAH 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.83 - 1.55 = 1.28 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.55) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.4% Win Probability (After): 46.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:29 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) Cameron Rising run for 6 yds to the OhSt 44 - UTAH 0, OSU 0 | 0.35 | 47.5% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 44 Started Drive at: UTAH 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.17 - 2.82 = 0.35 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.82) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.5% Win Probability (After): 47.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:08 | |
(2nd & 4 at OSU 44) Cameron Rising pass incomplete - UTAH 0, OSU 0 | -0.96 | 47.7% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44 Started Drive at: UTAH 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.17 - 3.12 = -0.96 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.12) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.7% Win Probability (After): 46.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:08 | |
(3rd & 4 at OSU 44) Timeout OHIO ST, clock 13:08 - UTAH 0, OSU 0 | 0.00 | 46.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44 Started Drive at: UTAH 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.17 - 2.17 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.17) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.5% Win Probability (After): 46.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 12:48 | |
(3rd & 4 at OSU 44) Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the OhSt 44 - UTAH 0, OSU 0 | -2.01 | 49.7% | -8.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44 Started Drive at: UTAH 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.15 - 2.16 = -2.01 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.16) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.7% Win Probability (After): 41.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 12:26 | |
(4th & 4 at OSU 44) Cameron Peasley punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Smith-Njigba at the OhSt 10 - UTAH 0, OSU 0 | -0.23 | 42.7% | -2.8% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 90 Started Drive at: UTAH 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.12 - 0.11 = -0.23 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.11) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.12) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.7% Win Probability (After): 39.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 12:10 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 10) TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the OhSt 11 - UTAH 0, OSU 0 | -0.69 | 56.7% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 89 Started Drive at: OSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.59 - 0.10 = -0.69 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.10) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.7% Win Probability (After): 56.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:39 | |
(2nd & 9 at OSU 11) TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the OhSt 13 - UTAH 0, OSU 0 | -0.78 | 56.2% | -2.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 87 Started Drive at: OSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.40 - -0.62 = -0.78 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.62) Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.2% Win Probability (After): 54.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:14 | |
(3rd & 7 at OSU 13) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete - UTAH 0, OSU 0 | -1.15 | 51.7% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 87 Started Drive at: OSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.60 - -1.45 = -1.15 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.45) Score Difference (End): 0 (-2.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.7% Win Probability (After): 52.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:06 | |
(4th & 7 at OSU 13) Jesse Mirco punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 44 - UTAH 0, OSU 0 | 0.21 | 49.9% | 1.8% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 56 Started Drive at: OSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.44 - -2.65 = 0.21 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-2.65) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.44) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.9% Win Probability (After): 51.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 10:57 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 44) TJ Pledger run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line - UTAH 0, OSU 0 | 0.13 | 47.8% | 0.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 50 Started Drive at: UTAH 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.60 - 2.47 = 0.13 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.47) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.8% Win Probability (After): 48.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 10:48 | |
(2nd & 4 at 50) Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 11 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST down - UTAH 0, OSU 0 | 0.88 | 47.6% | 1.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 39 Started Drive at: UTAH 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.59 - 2.71 = 0.88 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.71) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.6% Win Probability (After): 49.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 10:42 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 39) TJ Pledger run for 2 yds to the OhSt 37 - UTAH 0, OSU 0 | -0.62 | 48.8% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 37 Started Drive at: UTAH 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.03 - 3.66 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.66) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.8% Win Probability (After): 48.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 10:24 | |
(2nd & 8 at OSU 37) OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the OhSt 22 for a 1ST down - UTAH 0, OSU 0 | 1.56 | 48.4% | 1.9% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 22 Started Drive at: UTAH 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.66 - 3.11 = 1.56 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.11) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.4% Win Probability (After): 50.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 10:10 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 22) Cameron Rising run for 3 yds to the OhSt 19 - UTAH 0, OSU 0 | -0.27 | 50.2% | 0.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 19 Started Drive at: UTAH 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.38 - 4.65 = -0.27 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.65) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 0, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.2% Win Probability (After): 50.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 9:29 | |
(2nd & 7 at OSU 19) Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 19 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 7, OSU 0 | 2.66 | 50.3% | 8.3% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 99 Started Drive at: UTAH 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.34 = 2.66 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.34) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 7, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.3% Win Probability (After): 58.5% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 9:29 | |
(Kickoff at OSU 35) Jordan Noyes kickoff for 61 yds , Emeka Egbuka return for 16 yds to the OhSt 20 - UTAH 7, OSU 0 | -1.33 | 37.3% | -0.7% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 80 Started Drive at: OSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.32 - 0.00 = -1.33 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.00) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 7, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.3% Win Probability (After): 36.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:13 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 20) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 5 yds to the OhSt 25 - UTAH 7, OSU 0 | 0.10 | 37.0% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 75 Started Drive at: OSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.18 - -0.28 = 0.10 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.28) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 7, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.0% Win Probability (After): 37.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:45 | |
(2nd & 5 at OSU 25) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 3 yds to the OhSt 28 - UTAH 7, OSU 0 | -0.31 | 37.0% | -0.5% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72 Started Drive at: OSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.64 - -0.32 = -0.31 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.32) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 7, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.0% Win Probability (After): 36.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:22 | |
(3rd & 2 at OSU 28) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete - UTAH 7, OSU 0 | -1.70 | 35.0% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72 Started Drive at: OSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.44 - -0.74 = -1.70 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.74) Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 7, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.0% Win Probability (After): 34.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:15 | |
(4th & 2 at OSU 28) Jesse Mirco punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 33 - UTAH 7, OSU 0 | -0.22 | 32.9% | 4.8% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 67 Started Drive at: OSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.60 - -2.38 = -0.22 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.38) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.60) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UTAH 7, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.9% Win Probability (After): 37.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 8:00 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 33) Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 27 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST down - UTAH 7, OSU 0 | 1.53 | 63.1% | 2.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 40 Started Drive at: UTAH 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.13 - 2.60 = 1.53 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.60) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 7, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.1% Win Probability (After): 66.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 7:26 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 40) Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the OhSt 35 - UTAH 7, OSU 0 | 0.07 | 67.4% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 35 Started Drive at: UTAH 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.08 - 4.01 = 0.07 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.01) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 7, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.4% Win Probability (After): 67.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 6:57 | |
(2nd & 5 at OSU 35) TJ Pledger run for 6 yds to the OhSt 29 for a 1ST down - UTAH 7, OSU 0 | 0.41 | 67.3% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 29 Started Drive at: UTAH 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.51 - 4.09 = 0.41 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.09) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 7, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.3% Win Probability (After): 67.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 6:09 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 29) Britain Covey run for 8 yds to the OhSt 21 - UTAH 7, OSU 0 | 0.50 | 66.9% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 21 Started Drive at: UTAH 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.09 - 4.59 = 0.50 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.59) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 7, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.9% Win Probability (After): 68.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 5:33 | |
(2nd & 2 at OSU 21) Cameron Rising run for 5 yds to the OhSt 16 for a 1ST down - UTAH 7, OSU 0 | 0.18 | 69.0% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 16 Started Drive at: UTAH 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.32 - 5.15 = 0.18 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.15) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 7, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.0% Win Probability (After): 68.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 4:49 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 16) Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 3 yds to the OhSt 13 - UTAH 7, OSU 0 | -0.42 | 69.2% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 13 Started Drive at: UTAH 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.93 - 5.35 = -0.42 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.35) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 7, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.2% Win Probability (After): 69.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 4:05 | |
(2nd & 7 at OSU 13) Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the OhSt 12 - UTAH 7, OSU 0 | -0.69 | 69.5% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 12 Started Drive at: UTAH 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.26 - 4.95 = -0.69 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.95) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 7, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.5% Win Probability (After): 68.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 3:28 | |
(3rd & 6 at OSU 12) Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 12 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 14, OSU 0 | 2.73 | 69.0% | 11.9% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 99 Started Drive at: UTAH 33 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.27 = 2.73 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.27) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 14, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 67 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.0% Win Probability (After): 80.9% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 3:28 | |
(Kickoff at OSU 35) Jordan Noyes kickoff for 63 yds , Emeka Egbuka return for 22 yds to the OhSt 24 - UTAH 14, OSU 0 | -1.13 | 21.2% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 76 Started Drive at: OSU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.62 - -0.50 = -1.13 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.50) Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 14, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.2% Win Probability (After): 20.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:09 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 24) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 9 yds to the OhSt 33 - UTAH 14, OSU 0 | 1.17 | 19.6% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 67 Started Drive at: OSU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.55 - -0.62 = 1.17 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.62) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 14, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.6% Win Probability (After): 21.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:33 | |
(2nd & 1 at OSU 33) TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OhSt 37 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Marvin Harrison Jr.) to the OhSt 27 - UTAH 14, OSU 0 | -1.56 | 20.4% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 73 Started Drive at: OSU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.01 - 0.49 = -1.56 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.45) Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 14, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.4% Win Probability (After): 19.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:00 | |
(2nd & 7 at OSU 27) TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 26 - UTAH 14, OSU 0 | -1.01 | 18.9% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 74 Started Drive at: OSU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.94 - -0.93 = -1.01 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.93) Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 14, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.9% Win Probability (After): 17.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:30 | |
(3rd & 8 at OSU 26) Timeout OHIO ST, clock 01:30 - UTAH 14, OSU 0 | 0.00 | 17.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74 Started Drive at: OSU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.94 - -1.94 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.94) Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 14, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.5% Win Probability (After): 17.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:22 | |
(3rd & 8 at OSU 26) C.J. Stroud run for 10 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST down - UTAH 14, OSU 0 | 2.46 | 18.3% | 3.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 64 Started Drive at: OSU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.61 - -1.85 = 2.46 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.85) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 14, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.3% Win Probability (After): 21.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:09 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 36) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete - UTAH 14, OSU 0 | -0.68 | 21.7% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 64 Started Drive at: OSU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.08 - 0.60 = -0.68 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.40) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 14, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.7% Win Probability (After): 21.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:53 | |
(2nd & 10 at OSU 36) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 30 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST down - UTAH 14, OSU 0 | 3.14 | 20.5% | 3.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 34 Started Drive at: OSU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.07 - -0.07 = 3.14 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.07) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 14, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.5% Win Probability (After): 24.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:34 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 34) TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the Utah 31 - UTAH 14, OSU 0 | -0.27 | 24.1% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 31 Started Drive at: OSU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.79 - 3.06 = -0.27 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.94) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 14, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.1% Win Probability (After): 23.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:00 | |
(2nd & 7 at UTAH 31) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 6 yds to the Utah 25 - UTAH 14, OSU 0 | 0.52 | 22.7% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 25 Started Drive at: OSU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.29 - 2.76 = 0.52 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.24) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 14, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.7% Win Probability (After): 24.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:48 | |
(3rd & 1 at UTAH 25) TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the Utah 25 - UTAH 14, OSU 0 | -0.98 | 24.4% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25 Started Drive at: OSU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.27 - 3.25 = -0.98 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.75) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 14, OSU 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.4% Win Probability (After): 23.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:17 | |
(4th & 1 at UTAH 25) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 25 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 14, OSU 7 | 4.82 | 23.0% | 14.2% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.18 = 4.82 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.82) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 14, OSU 7 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 76 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.0% Win Probability (After): 37.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 14:17 | |
(Kickoff at UTAH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 65 yds , Britain Covey return for 21 yds to the Utah 21 - UTAH 14, OSU 7 | -1.16 | 68.0% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 79 Started Drive at: UTAH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - 2.10 = -1.16 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.10) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 14, OSU 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.0% Win Probability (After): 66.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 14:01 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 21) Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 23 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST down - UTAH 14, OSU 7 | 1.17 | 68.5% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 56 Started Drive at: UTAH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.15 - 1.98 = 1.17 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.98) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 14, OSU 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.5% Win Probability (After): 70.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 13:21 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 44) Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Utah 46 - UTAH 14, OSU 7 | -0.52 | 71.7% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 54 Started Drive at: UTAH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.70 - 3.22 = -0.52 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.22) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 14, OSU 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.7% Win Probability (After): 71.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 13:00 | |
(2nd & 8 at UTAH 46) Micah Bernard run for 8 yds to the OHIOST 46 UTAH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Utah 44 - UTAH 14, OSU 7 | -0.01 | 70.9% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 56 Started Drive at: UTAH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - 2.70 = -0.01 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.70) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 14, OSU 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.9% Win Probability (After): 71.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 12:30 | |
(2nd & 10 at UTAH 44) Cameron Rising pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 8 yds to the OhSt 48 - UTAH 14, OSU 7 | 0.21 | 69.8% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 48 Started Drive at: UTAH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.83 - 2.62 = 0.21 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.62) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 14, OSU 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.8% Win Probability (After): 71.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 12:00 | |
(3rd & 2 at OSU 48) Brant Kuithe run for 7 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST down - UTAH 14, OSU 7 | 1.07 | 67.6% | 4.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 41 Started Drive at: UTAH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.94 - 2.88 = 1.07 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.88) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 14, OSU 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.6% Win Probability (After): 71.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 11:45 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 41) Cameron Rising run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 42 Cameron Rising fumbled, recovered by Utah Cameron Rising - UTAH 14, OSU 7 | -1.02 | 72.0% | -4.3% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 42 Started Drive at: UTAH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.93 - 3.95 = -1.02 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.95) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 14, OSU 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.0% Win Probability (After): 67.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 10:15 | |
(3rd & 4 at OSU 42) Cameron Rising pass complete to Solomon Enis for 14 yds to the OhSt 28 for a 1ST down - UTAH 14, OSU 7 | 1.77 | 72.4% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 28 Started Drive at: UTAH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.65 - 2.88 = 1.77 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.88) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 14, OSU 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.4% Win Probability (After): 72.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 9:18 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 28) Cameron Rising run for 16 yds to the OhSt 12 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Jack Sawyer) to the OhSt 6 for a 1ST down - UTAH 14, OSU 7 | 1.18 | 73.2% | 3.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 6 Started Drive at: UTAH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.83 - 4.59 = 1.18 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.65) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 14, OSU 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 73 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.2% Win Probability (After): 77.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 9:07 | |
(1st & Goal at OSU 6) Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 21, OSU 7 | 1.21 | 75.6% | 7.0% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 99 Started Drive at: UTAH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.79 = 1.21 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.79) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 21, OSU 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 79 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.6% Win Probability (After): 82.6% Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 9:07 | |
(Kickoff at OSU 35) Jordan Noyes kickoff for 64 yds , Emeka Egbuka return for 39 yds to the OhSt 40 - UTAH 21, OSU 7 | 0.22 | 17.9% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 60 Started Drive at: OSU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.14 - -0.08 = 0.22 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.08) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 21, OSU 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.9% Win Probability (After): 19.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:55 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 40) Miyan Williams run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - UTAH 21, OSU 7 | 0.75 | 19.6% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 50 Started Drive at: OSU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - 1.11 = 0.75 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.89) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 21, OSU 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.6% Win Probability (After): 19.9% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:32 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 50 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 21, OSU 14 | 5.16 | 20.1% | 15.4% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.84 = 5.16 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.16) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 21, OSU 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.1% Win Probability (After): 35.6% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:17 | |
(Kickoff at UTAH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 62 yds , Britain Covey return for 97 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 28, OSU 14 | 5.47 | 67.5% | 14.5% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 0 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.53 = 5.47 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.53) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 28, OSU 14 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.5% Win Probability (After): 82.1% Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 8:17 | |
(Kickoff at OSU 35) Jadon Redding kickoff for 47 yds for a 1ST down , Xavier Johnson return for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, Personal Foul (Connor O'Toole) to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST down - UTAH 28, OSU 14 | 0.77 | 18.0% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 52 Started Drive at: OSU 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.68 - -0.10 = 0.77 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-21.91) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 28, OSU 14 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.0% Win Probability (After): 19.4% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:02 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 48) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 52 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 28, OSU 21 | 5.24 | 19.1% | 14.6% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.76 = 5.24 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.24) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 28, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.1% Win Probability (After): 33.6% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 14 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:55 | |
(Kickoff at UTAH 35) Dominic DiMaccio kickoff for 62 yds , Britain Covey return for 26 yds to the Utah 29 - UTAH 28, OSU 21 | -0.71 | 67.5% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 71 Started Drive at: UTAH 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.83 - 1.53 = -0.71 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.53) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 28, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.5% Win Probability (After): 67.4% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 7:44 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 29) Tavion Thomas run for 8 yds to the Utah 37 - UTAH 28, OSU 21 | 0.42 | 67.9% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 63 Started Drive at: UTAH 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.24 - 1.83 = 0.42 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.83) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 28, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.9% Win Probability (After): 69.3% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 7:16 | |
(2nd & 2 at UTAH 37) Cameron Rising pass incomplete - UTAH 28, OSU 21 | -0.92 | 70.3% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63 Started Drive at: UTAH 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.47 - 2.39 = -0.92 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.39) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 28, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.3% Win Probability (After): 68.5% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 7:07 | |
(3rd & 2 at UTAH 37) Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the Utah 38 - UTAH 28, OSU 21 | -1.20 | 68.7% | -2.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 62 Started Drive at: UTAH 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.37 - 1.56 = -1.20 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.56) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 28, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.7% Win Probability (After): 66.3% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 6:24 | |
(4th & 1 at UTAH 38) Cameron Rising run for 62 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | 6.73 | 66.7% | 15.5% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 99 Started Drive at: UTAH 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.27 = 6.73 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.27) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.7% Win Probability (After): 82.2% Away Score: 28 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 6:24 | |
(Kickoff at OSU 35) Jordan Noyes kickoff for 52 yds , Emeka Egbuka return for 13 yds to the OhSt 26 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | -0.85 | 16.9% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 74 Started Drive at: OSU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.65 - 0.20 = -0.85 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.80) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.9% Win Probability (After): 16.9% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:11 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 26) Miyan Williams run for 7 yds to the OhSt 33 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | 0.38 | 16.9% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 67 Started Drive at: OSU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.77 - 0.39 = 0.38 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.61) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.9% Win Probability (After): 16.9% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:45 | |
(2nd & 3 at OSU 33) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | -0.58 | 17.3% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67 Started Drive at: OSU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.10 - 0.49 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.51) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.3% Win Probability (After): 16.2% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:31 | |
(3rd & 3 at OSU 33) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 11 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST down - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | 1.46 | 16.6% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 56 Started Drive at: OSU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - 0.00 = 1.46 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.00) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.6% Win Probability (After): 18.4% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:10 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 44) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 6 yds to the 50 yard line - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | 0.06 | 18.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 50 Started Drive at: OSU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - 1.77 = 0.06 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.23) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.4% Win Probability (After): 18.4% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:40 | |
(2nd & 4 at 50) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 49 yds Jaxon Smith-Njigba fumbled, recovered by Utah Cole Bishop - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | -3.50 | 18.0% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 80 Started Drive at: OSU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.52 - 1.98 = -3.50 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.02) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.52) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 73 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.0% Win Probability (After): 17.7% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 4:00 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 20) Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 7 yds to the Utah 27 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | 0.31 | 82.5% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 73 Started Drive at: UTAH 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.60 - 1.29 = 0.31 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.29) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.5% Win Probability (After): 82.1% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 3:31 | |
(2nd & 3 at UTAH 27) TJ Pledger run for 1 yd to the Utah 28 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | -0.59 | 84.9% | -3.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 72 Started Drive at: UTAH 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.76 - 1.35 = -0.59 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.35) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.9% Win Probability (After): 81.6% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 3:19 | |
(3rd & 2 at UTAH 28) Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST down - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | 0.87 | 84.7% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 69 Started Drive at: UTAH 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.64 - 0.77 = 0.87 Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.77) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.7% Win Probability (After): 85.1% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 2:31 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 31) Cameron Rising run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 28 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | -0.79 | 85.3% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 72 Started Drive at: UTAH 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 1.60 = -0.79 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.60) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.3% Win Probability (After): 84.8% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 2:06 | |
(2nd & 13 at UTAH 28) Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 23 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST down - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | 1.44 | 84.7% | 1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 49 Started Drive at: UTAH 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.26 - 0.82 = 1.44 Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.82) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.7% Win Probability (After): 86.2% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 1:37 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 49) Cameron Rising run for 4 yds to the OhSt 45 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | 0.01 | 86.4% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 45 Started Drive at: UTAH 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.90 - 1.89 = 0.01 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.89) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.4% Win Probability (After): 86.3% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 1:12 | |
(2nd & 6 at OSU 45) TJ Pledger run for no gain to the OhSt 45 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | -0.39 | 86.5% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45 Started Drive at: UTAH 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.27 - 1.66 = -0.39 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.66) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.5% Win Probability (After): 85.4% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:41 | |
(3rd & 6 at OSU 45) Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Dalton Kincaid - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | -0.64 | 86.5% | -2.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45 Started Drive at: UTAH 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.48 - 1.12 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.12) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.5% Win Probability (After): 84.4% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:35 | |
(4th & 6 at OSU 45) Cameron Peasley punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Smith-Njigba at the OhSt 10 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | -0.48 | 85.5% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 90 Started Drive at: UTAH 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - 0.49 = -0.48 Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.49) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.01) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.5% Win Probability (After): 84.3% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:27 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 10) C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 11 yds to the OhSt 21 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, Personal Foul (Vonte Davis) to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST down - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | 0.62 | 15.6% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 64 Started Drive at: OSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.60 - 0.06 = 0.62 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.01) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.6% Win Probability (After): 17.0% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:17 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 36) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 9 yds to the OhSt 45 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | 0.61 | 16.5% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 55 Started Drive at: OSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.89 - 0.28 = 0.61 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.72) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.5% Win Probability (After): 17.1% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:17 | |
(2nd & 1 at OSU 45) Timeout OHIO ST, clock 00:17 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | 0.00 | 16.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55 Started Drive at: OSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.89 - 0.89 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.11) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.8% Win Probability (After): 16.8% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:13 | |
(2nd & 1 at OSU 45) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 15 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST down - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | 0.82 | 17.3% | 2.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 40 Started Drive at: OSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.34 - 0.52 = 0.82 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.48) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.3% Win Probability (After): 20.0% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:11 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 40) TEAM pass incomplete - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | 0.13 | 19.9% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40 Started Drive at: OSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 1.03 = 0.13 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.97) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.9% Win Probability (After): 19.9% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at UTAH 40) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 8 yds to the Utah 32 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | -0.79 | 19.5% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 32 Started Drive at: OSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 0.79 = -0.79 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.21) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.5% Win Probability (After): 18.7% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at OSU 35) Jordan Noyes kickoff for 58 yds , Emeka Egbuka return for 20 yds to the OhSt 27 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | -0.91 | 18.7% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 73 Started Drive at: OSU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.54 - -0.62 = -0.91 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.62) Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.7% Win Probability (After): 17.3% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:52 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 27) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | -1.49 | 20.9% | -2.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73 Started Drive at: OSU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.10 - 0.39 = -1.49 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.61) Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.9% Win Probability (After): 18.2% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:45 | |
(2nd & 10 at OSU 27) TreVeyon Henderson run for 8 yds to the OhSt 35 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | 1.61 | 19.2% | 1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 65 Started Drive at: OSU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - -1.11 = 1.61 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.11) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.2% Win Probability (After): 20.9% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:19 | |
(3rd & 2 at OSU 35) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 45 yds to the Utah 20 for a 1ST down - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | 4.16 | 19.5% | 4.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 20 Started Drive at: OSU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.93 - -0.24 = 4.16 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.24) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.5% Win Probability (After): 23.8% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:43 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 20) C.J. Stroud pass intercepted, touchback. Clark Phillips III return for no gain - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | -6.21 | 23.0% | -8.5% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 80 Started Drive at: OSU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.44 - 3.77 = -6.21 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.23) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.44) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.0% Win Probability (After): 14.6% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:33 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 20) Tavion Thomas run for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 15 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | -1.23 | 85.6% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 85 Started Drive at: UTAH 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.19 - 2.42 = -1.23 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.42) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, -5 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.6% Win Probability (After): 84.6% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:54 | |
(2nd & 15 at UTAH 15) Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 10 yds to the Utah 25 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | 0.04 | 84.6% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 75 Started Drive at: UTAH 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.35 - 1.31 = 0.04 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.31) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.6% Win Probability (After): 84.3% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:18 | |
(3rd & 5 at UTAH 25) Cameron Rising pass incomplete - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | -1.67 | 84.3% | -3.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: UTAH 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.30 - 1.37 = -1.67 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.37) Score Difference (End): 14 (13.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.3% Win Probability (After): 81.2% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:12 | |
(4th & 5 at UTAH 25) Michael Williams run for a loss of 14 yards to the Utah 11 Michael Williams fumbled, recovered by OhSt Bryson Shaw - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | -4.42 | 80.7% | -4.0% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 11 Started Drive at: UTAH 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.74 - -0.32 = -4.42 Score Difference (Before): 14 (13.68) Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.26) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, -9 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.7% Win Probability (After): 76.7% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 11:47 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 11) OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Utah 21 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | -1.11 | 23.5% | -2.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 21 Started Drive at: UTAH 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.62 - 4.72 = -1.11 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.28) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.5% Win Probability (After): 21.4% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:35 | |
(1st & 20 at UTAH 21) TreVeyon Henderson run for 13 yds to the Utah 8 - UTAH 35, OSU 21 | 0.92 | 22.0% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 8 Started Drive at: UTAH 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.51 - 3.58 = 0.92 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.42) Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.0% Win Probability (After): 23.4% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:20 | |
(2nd & 7 at UTAH 8) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 8 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 35, OSU 28 | 2.52 | 23.4% | 12.6% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99 Started Drive at: UTAH 11 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.48 = 2.52 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.52) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.4% Win Probability (After): 36.0% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 21 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:20 | |
(Kickoff at UTAH 35) Dominic DiMaccio kickoff for 55 yds - UTAH 35, OSU 28 | 0.71 | 73.2% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65 Started Drive at: UTAH 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.86 - 2.15 = 0.71 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.15) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 28 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.2% Win Probability (After): 73.3% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:07 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 35) TJ Pledger run for 7 yds to the Utah 42 - UTAH 35, OSU 28 | 0.30 | 73.6% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 58 Started Drive at: UTAH 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.17 - 2.87 = 0.30 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.87) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.6% Win Probability (After): 75.0% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:59 | |
(2nd & 3 at UTAH 42) UTAH Penalty, False Start (Dalton Kincaid) to the Utah 37 - UTAH 35, OSU 28 | -0.86 | 75.2% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 63 Started Drive at: UTAH 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.32 - 3.18 = -0.86 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.18) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.2% Win Probability (After): 74.4% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:39 | |
(2nd & 8 at UTAH 37) Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 7 yds to the Utah 44 - UTAH 35, OSU 28 | 0.42 | 73.6% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 56 Started Drive at: UTAH 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.81 - 2.39 = 0.42 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.39) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.6% Win Probability (After): 74.7% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:02 | |
(3rd & 1 at UTAH 44) Micah Bernard run for 22 yds to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST down - UTAH 35, OSU 28 | 1.52 | 73.0% | 2.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 34 Started Drive at: UTAH 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.37 - 2.85 = 1.52 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.85) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.0% Win Probability (After): 75.1% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:26 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 34) Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 23 yds to the OhSt 11 for a 1ST down - UTAH 35, OSU 28 | 1.08 | 74.1% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 11 Started Drive at: UTAH 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.43 - 4.35 = 1.08 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.35) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 28 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.1% Win Probability (After): 76.1% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:51 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 11) Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the OhSt 10 - UTAH 35, OSU 28 | -0.58 | 78.8% | -2.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 10 Started Drive at: UTAH 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.84 - 5.42 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.42) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.8% Win Probability (After): 75.8% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:32 | |
(2nd & 9 at OSU 10) Britain Covey run for 2 yds to the OhSt 8 - UTAH 35, OSU 28 | -0.66 | 76.0% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 8 Started Drive at: UTAH 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.20 - 4.86 = -0.66 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.86) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 28 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.0% Win Probability (After): 75.0% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:51 | |
(3rd & 7 at OSU 8) Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the OhSt 6 - UTAH 35, OSU 28 | -1.28 | 74.4% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 6 Started Drive at: UTAH 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.95 - 4.23 = -1.28 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.23) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 35, OSU 28 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.4% Win Probability (After): 73.9% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:10 | |
(4th & 5 at OSU 6) Jadon Redding 24 yd FG GOOD - UTAH 38, OSU 28 | 0.05 | 73.7% | 6.2% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6 Started Drive at: UTAH 35 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.95 = 0.05 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.95) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.7% Win Probability (After): 79.9% Away Score: 35 (38) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 7:10 | |
(Kickoff at OSU 35) Jordan Noyes kickoff for 65 yds , Emeka Egbuka return for 20 yds to the OHIOST 45 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Julian Fleming) to the OhSt 10 - UTAH 38, OSU 28 | -1.91 | 23.6% | -3.5% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 90 Started Drive at: OSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.88 - 0.03 = -1.91 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-14.03) Score Difference (End): -10 (-11.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.6% Win Probability (After): 20.2% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:49 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 10) TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the OhSt 16 - UTAH 38, OSU 28 | 0.21 | 23.3% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 84 Started Drive at: OSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.56 - -0.77 = 0.21 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.77) Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.3% Win Probability (After): 23.0% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:23 | |
(2nd & 4 at OSU 16) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 11 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 28 | 0.93 | 23.3% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 73 Started Drive at: OSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.41 - -0.52 = 0.93 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.52) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.3% Win Probability (After): 24.0% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:02 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 27) TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the OhSt 27 - UTAH 38, OSU 28 | -0.79 | 24.7% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73 Started Drive at: OSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.39 - 0.40 = -0.79 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.60) Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.7% Win Probability (After): 23.2% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:13 | |
(2nd & 10 at OSU 27) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 11 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 28 | 1.58 | 22.1% | 3.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 62 Started Drive at: OSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - -0.42 = 1.58 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.42) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.1% Win Probability (After): 25.8% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:56 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 38) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 7 yds to the OhSt 45 - UTAH 38, OSU 28 | 0.58 | 25.0% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 55 Started Drive at: OSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.72 - 1.14 = 0.58 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.86) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.0% Win Probability (After): 26.2% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:31 | |
(2nd & 3 at OSU 45) UTAH Penalty, Defensive Offside (Mika Tafua) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 28 | 0.25 | 26.0% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 50 Started Drive at: OSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 1.71 = 0.25 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.29) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.0% Win Probability (After): 26.6% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:31 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) Timeout OHIO ST, clock 04:31 - UTAH 38, OSU 28 | 0.00 | 26.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50 Started Drive at: OSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 1.96 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.04) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.4% Win Probability (After): 26.4% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:21 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 20 yds to the Utah 30 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 28 | 1.54 | 24.1% | 2.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 30 Started Drive at: OSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.50 - 1.96 = 1.54 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.04) Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.1% Win Probability (After): 26.2% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:01 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 30) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 16 yds to the Utah 14 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 28 | 1.14 | 26.1% | 3.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 14 Started Drive at: OSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.63 - 3.49 = 1.14 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.51) Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.1% Win Probability (After): 29.7% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:40 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 14) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete - UTAH 38, OSU 28 | -0.55 | 28.9% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14 Started Drive at: OSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.07 - 4.62 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.38) Score Difference (End): -10 (-5.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.9% Win Probability (After): 28.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:30 | |
(2nd & 10 at UTAH 14) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for no gain to the Utah 14 - UTAH 38, OSU 28 | -0.73 | 27.7% | -2.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14 Started Drive at: OSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.36 - 4.09 = -0.73 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-5.91) Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.7% Win Probability (After): 24.8% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:57 | |
(3rd & 10 at UTAH 14) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete - UTAH 38, OSU 28 | -0.98 | 24.3% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14 Started Drive at: OSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.40 - 3.38 = -0.98 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.62) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 28 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.3% Win Probability (After): 23.7% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:53 | |
(4th & 10 at UTAH 14) Noah Ruggles 31 yd FG GOOD - UTAH 38, OSU 31 | 0.60 | 23.1% | 11.5% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14 Started Drive at: OSU 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.40 = 0.60 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.60) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.1% Win Probability (After): 34.7% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 28 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 2:53 | |
(Kickoff at UTAH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 50 yds , Britain Covey return for 16 yds to the Utah 31 - UTAH 38, OSU 31 | -0.57 | 75.6% | -2.5% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 69 Started Drive at: UTAH 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.65 - 2.21 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.21) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.6% Win Probability (After): 73.2% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 2:10 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 31) Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 5 yds to the Utah 36 - UTAH 38, OSU 31 | 0.03 | 76.6% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 64 Started Drive at: UTAH 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.68 - 2.65 = 0.03 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.65) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.6% Win Probability (After): 77.0% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 2:05 | |
(2nd & 5 at UTAH 36) Tavion Thomas run for 13 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 31 | 0.79 | 78.4% | 2.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 51 Started Drive at: UTAH 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.47 - 2.68 = 0.79 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.68) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.4% Win Probability (After): 80.7% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 1:29 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 49) Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the OhSt 47 - UTAH 38, OSU 31 | -0.14 | 80.5% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 47 Started Drive at: UTAH 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.34 - 3.48 = -0.14 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.48) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.5% Win Probability (After): 80.5% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 0:34 | |
(2nd & 6 at OSU 47) Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 9 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 31 | 0.81 | 80.9% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 38 Started Drive at: UTAH 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.15 - 3.34 = 0.81 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.34) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.9% Win Probability (After): 81.2% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 0:00 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 38) Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the OhSt 38 - UTAH 38, OSU 31 | -0.55 | 82.6% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 38 Started Drive at: UTAH 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.55 - 4.10 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.10) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.6% Win Probability (After): 81.5% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 14:55 | |
(2nd & 10 at OSU 38) Cameron Rising run for 6 yds to the OhSt 32 - UTAH 38, OSU 31 | 0.13 | 80.3% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 32 Started Drive at: UTAH 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.66 - 3.53 = 0.13 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.53) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.3% Win Probability (After): 80.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 14:32 | |
(3rd & 4 at OSU 32) Cameron Rising run for 1 yd to the OhSt 31 - UTAH 38, OSU 31 | -1.47 | 80.7% | -3.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 31 Started Drive at: UTAH 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.20 - 3.67 = -1.47 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.67) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.7% Win Probability (After): 77.7% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 13:53 | |
(4th & 3 at OSU 31) Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 2 yds to the OhSt 29 - UTAH 38, OSU 31 | -2.81 | 78.3% | -7.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 71 Started Drive at: UTAH 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.65 - 2.16 = -2.81 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.16) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.35) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.3% Win Probability (After): 70.6% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 13:41 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 29) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 3 yds to the OhSt 32 - UTAH 38, OSU 31 | -0.45 | 29.9% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 68 Started Drive at: OSU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.16 - 0.61 = -0.45 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.39) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.9% Win Probability (After): 29.3% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:56 | |
(2nd & 7 at OSU 32) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 30 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 31 | 2.76 | 27.7% | 7.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 38 Started Drive at: OSU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 0.18 = 2.76 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.82) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.7% Win Probability (After): 35.6% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:31 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 38) TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the Utah 34 - UTAH 38, OSU 31 | 0.04 | 34.6% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 34 Started Drive at: OSU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 2.90 = 0.04 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.10) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.6% Win Probability (After): 34.6% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:55 | |
(2nd & 6 at UTAH 34) Timeout OHIO ST, clock 11:55 - UTAH 38, OSU 31 | 0.00 | 33.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34 Started Drive at: OSU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 2.94 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.06) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.5% Win Probability (After): 33.5% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:46 | |
(2nd & 6 at UTAH 34) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Mitch Rossi for 22 yds to the Utah 12 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 31 | 1.83 | 32.5% | 6.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 12 Started Drive at: OSU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.85 - 3.01 = 1.83 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.99) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.5% Win Probability (After): 38.8% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:29 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 12) C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 2 yds to the Utah 10 - UTAH 38, OSU 31 | -0.48 | 38.6% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 10 Started Drive at: OSU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.36 - 4.84 = -0.48 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.16) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.6% Win Probability (After): 38.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:55 | |
(2nd & 8 at UTAH 10) C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 5 yds to the Utah 5 - UTAH 38, OSU 31 | 0.18 | 38.5% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 5 Started Drive at: OSU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.57 - 4.39 = 0.18 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.61) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 31 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.5% Win Probability (After): 37.0% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (31) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:12 | |
(3rd & 3 at UTAH 5) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 5 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 38, OSU 38 | 2.40 | 37.8% | 12.4% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.60 = 2.40 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.40) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.8% Win Probability (After): 50.2% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 31 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:12 | |
(Kickoff at UTAH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 45 yds , Nephi Sewell return for 14 yds to the Utah 34 - UTAH 38, OSU 38 | -0.17 | 54.0% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 66 Started Drive at: UTAH 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.11 - 1.28 = -0.17 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.28) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.0% Win Probability (After): 53.6% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 9:56 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 34) Cameron Rising sacked by Kourt Williams II for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 27 - UTAH 38, OSU 38 | -1.67 | 56.7% | -6.6% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 73 Started Drive at: UTAH 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.33 - 2.00 = -1.67 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.00) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38 Drive Summary: 1 play, -7 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.7% Win Probability (After): 50.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 9:32 | |
(2nd & 17 at UTAH 27) TJ Pledger run for 1 yd to the Utah 28 - UTAH 38, OSU 38 | -0.95 | 48.9% | -8.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 72 Started Drive at: UTAH 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.74 - 0.20 = -0.95 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.20) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -6 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.9% Win Probability (After): 40.8% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 8:56 | |
(3rd & 16 at UTAH 28) Tavion Thomas run for 12 yds to the Utah 40 - UTAH 38, OSU 38 | 0.40 | 39.8% | 4.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 60 Started Drive at: UTAH 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.46 - -0.87 = 0.40 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.87) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.8% Win Probability (After): 44.0% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 8:19 | |
(4th & 4 at UTAH 40) Cameron Peasley punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Smith-Njigba at the OhSt 15 - UTAH 38, OSU 38 | -0.11 | 42.9% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 85 Started Drive at: UTAH 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.67 - -0.57 = -0.11 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.57) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.67) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.9% Win Probability (After): 43.7% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 8:01 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 15) TreVeyon Henderson run for 11 yds to the OhSt 26 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 38 | 0.63 | 58.5% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 74 Started Drive at: OSU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.38 - 0.74 = 0.63 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.74) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38 Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.5% Win Probability (After): 59.3% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:48 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 26) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 10 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 38 | 0.57 | 59.4% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 64 Started Drive at: OSU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.00 - 1.43 = 0.57 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.43) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.4% Win Probability (After): 60.5% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:54 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 36) TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 39 - UTAH 38, OSU 38 | -0.52 | 60.2% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 61 Started Drive at: OSU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.57 - 2.08 = -0.52 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.08) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.2% Win Probability (After): 60.3% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:41 | |
(2nd & 7 at OSU 39) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 16 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 38 | 1.49 | 60.4% | 4.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 45 Started Drive at: OSU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.22 - 1.73 = 1.49 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.73) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.4% Win Probability (After): 64.8% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:19 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 45) C.J. Stroud pass incomplete - UTAH 38, OSU 38 | -0.49 | 64.9% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45 Started Drive at: OSU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.72 - 3.21 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.21) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.9% Win Probability (After): 64.4% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:09 | |
(2nd & 10 at UTAH 45) TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the Utah 43 - UTAH 38, OSU 38 | -0.52 | 64.4% | -2.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 43 Started Drive at: OSU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.04 - 2.56 = -0.52 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.56) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.4% Win Probability (After): 61.8% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:26 | |
(3rd & 8 at UTAH 43) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 4 yds to the Utah 39 - UTAH 38, OSU 38 | -1.05 | 62.3% | -3.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 39 Started Drive at: OSU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.03 - 2.08 = -1.05 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.08) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.3% Win Probability (After): 59.2% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:35 | |
(4th & 4 at UTAH 39) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 9 yds to the Utah 30 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 38 | 2.94 | 58.2% | 13.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 30 Started Drive at: OSU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.00 - 1.06 = 2.94 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.06) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 38 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.2% Win Probability (After): 71.4% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (38) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 4:22 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 30) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 30 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) - UTAH 38, OSU 45 | 2.88 | 75.7% | 12.7% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 99 Started Drive at: OSU 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.12 = 2.88 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.12) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 45 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.7% Win Probability (After): 88.4% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 38 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:22 | |
(Kickoff at UTAH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 41 yds , Britain Covey return for 19 yds to the Utah 43 - UTAH 38, OSU 45 | 0.40 | 13.1% | 1.6% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 57 Started Drive at: UTAH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 0.76 = 0.40 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.24) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 45 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.1% Win Probability (After): 14.7% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 4:10 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 43) Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Utah 45 - UTAH 38, OSU 45 | -0.18 | 16.4% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 55 Started Drive at: UTAH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.55 - 1.73 = -0.18 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.27) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 45 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.4% Win Probability (After): 15.8% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 3:29 | |
(2nd & 8 at UTAH 45) Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Utah 47 - UTAH 38, OSU 45 | -0.47 | 15.1% | -2.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 53 Started Drive at: UTAH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.92 - 1.40 = -0.47 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.60) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 45 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.1% Win Probability (After): 12.7% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 3:12 | |
(3rd & 6 at UTAH 47) OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Cameron Brown) to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 45 | 1.31 | 13.0% | 3.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 49 Started Drive at: UTAH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.32 - 1.01 = 1.31 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.99) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 45 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.0% Win Probability (After): 16.3% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 2:56 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 49) Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the OhSt 48 - UTAH 38, OSU 45 | -0.48 | 15.1% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 48 Started Drive at: UTAH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.73 - 2.21 = -0.48 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.79) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 45 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.1% Win Probability (After): 15.4% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 2:18 | |
(2nd & 9 at OSU 48) Bryson Barnes pass complete to Britain Covey for 8 yds to the OhSt 40 - UTAH 38, OSU 45 | 0.81 | 15.1% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 40 Started Drive at: UTAH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.52 - 1.71 = 0.81 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.29) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 45 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.1% Win Probability (After): 16.4% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 2:11 | |
(3rd & 1 at OSU 40) Bryson Barnes run for 10 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 45 | 0.90 | 16.6% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 30 Started Drive at: UTAH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.17 - 2.27 = 0.90 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.73) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 45 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.6% Win Probability (After): 18.8% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 2:00 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 30) OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Ronnie Hickman) to the OhSt 15 for a 1ST down - UTAH 38, OSU 45 | 1.32 | 18.3% | 3.9% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 15 Started Drive at: UTAH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.48 - 3.16 = 1.32 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.84) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 38, OSU 45 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.3% Win Probability (After): 22.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 1:54 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 15) Bryson Barnes pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 15 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) - UTAH 45, OSU 45 | 2.67 | 22.1% | 24.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99 Started Drive at: UTAH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.33 = 2.67 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.67) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 45, OSU 45 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.1% Win Probability (After): 46.2% Away Score: 38 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 1:54 | |
(Kickoff at OSU 35) Jordan Noyes kickoff for 56 yds , Emeka Egbuka return for 33 yds to the OhSt 42 - UTAH 45, OSU 45 | 0.19 | 66.2% | 4.5% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 58 Started Drive at: OSU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - 1.49 = 0.19 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.49) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 45, OSU 45 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.2% Win Probability (After): 70.7% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:31 | |
(1st & 10 at OSU 42) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 8 yds to the 50 yard line - UTAH 45, OSU 45 | 0.52 | 75.1% | -0.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 50 Started Drive at: OSU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.58 - 2.06 = 0.52 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.06) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 45, OSU 45 Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.1% Win Probability (After): 74.7% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:25 | |
(2nd & 2 at 50) TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST down - UTAH 45, OSU 45 | 0.34 | 78.2% | 1.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 44 Started Drive at: OSU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - 2.35 = 0.34 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.35) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 45, OSU 45 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.2% Win Probability (After): 79.9% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:06 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 44) C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 9 yds to the Utah 35 - UTAH 45, OSU 45 | 1.02 | 78.9% | 2.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 35 Started Drive at: OSU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.58 - 2.56 = 1.02 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.56) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 45, OSU 45 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.9% Win Probability (After): 81.1% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:59 | |
(2nd & 1 at UTAH 35) TreVeyon Henderson run for 12 yds to the Utah 23 for a 1ST down - UTAH 45, OSU 45 | 0.44 | 84.2% | 3.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 23 Started Drive at: OSU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.94 - 3.50 = 0.44 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.50) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 45, OSU 45 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.2% Win Probability (After): 87.9% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:36 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 23) C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 12 yds to the Utah 11 for a 1ST down - UTAH 45, OSU 45 | 0.76 | 91.4% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 11 Started Drive at: OSU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.64 - 3.88 = 0.76 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.88) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 45, OSU 45 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.4% Win Probability (After): 90.0% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:26 | |
(1st & 10 at UTAH 11) TreVeyon Henderson run for 9 yds to the Utah 2 - UTAH 45, OSU 45 | 1.32 | 90.4% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 2 Started Drive at: OSU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.80 - 4.47 = 1.32 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.47) Score Difference (End): 0 (5.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 45, OSU 45 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.4% Win Probability (After): 92.6% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:12 | |
(2nd & 1 at UTAH 2) Timeout OHIO ST, clock 00:12 - UTAH 45, OSU 45 | 0.00 | 87.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 2 Started Drive at: OSU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.80 - 5.80 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.80) Score Difference (End): 0 (5.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 45, OSU 45 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.3% Win Probability (After): 87.3% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (45) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:09 | |
(2nd & 1 at UTAH 2) Noah Ruggles 19 yd FG GOOD - UTAH 45, OSU 48 | -2.51 | 83.2% | 9.7% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 2 Started Drive at: OSU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 5.51 = -2.51 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.51) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 45, OSU 48 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.2% Win Probability (After): 92.9% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 45 (48) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:00 | |
(Kickoff at UTAH 35) Noah Ruggles kickoff for 57 yds , Britain Covey return for 9 yds to the Utah 17 - UTAH 45, OSU 48 | 0.02 | 5.9% | -5.9% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 83 Started Drive at: UTAH 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.03 - 0.01 = 0.02 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.99) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UTAH 45, OSU 48 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.9% Win Probability (After): 0.0% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 48 (48) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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