Michigan 42 @ Iowa 3

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 1.38 | Odds: MICH -12, O/U 44.0 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Overall ESPN team id 130 ESPN team id 2294
Total Plays 6988
Total EPA 16.51-23.57
  Offensive EPA 14.86-14.53
  Special Teams EPA -0.35-8.00
  Penalty EPA 2.461.77
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA -0.46-2.81
Production ESPN team id 130 ESPN team id 2294
Scrimmage Plays 6271
  Yards 472310
  Yards/Play 7.614.37
  EPA 14.86-14.53
  EPA/Play 0.24-0.20
Passes 29 (47%)39 (55%)
  Yards 250176
  Yards/Play 8.624.51
  EPA 6.06-5.78
  EPA/Play 0.21-0.15
Rushes 33 (53%)32 (45%)
  Yards 220114
  Yards/Play 6.673.56
  EPA 8.80-8.75
  EPA/Play 0.27-0.27
Rushing ESPN team id 130 ESPN team id 2294
Scrimmage Plays 6271
Rushes 33 (53%)32 (45%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 0 (0%)1 (3%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 0 (0%)1 (100%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 3 (9%)3 (9%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 14 (42%)13 (41%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 17 (52%)13 (41%)
OL Line Yards 51.972
  Per Carry 1.572.25
Highlight Yards 106.511
  Per Rush Opportunity 6.260.85
Explosiveness ESPN team id 130 ESPN team id 2294
Total Plays 6988
Scrimmage Plays 6271
Explosive Plays 5 (8%)4 (6%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 3 (10%)4 (10%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 2 (6%)0 (0%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -2.20-25.90
  EPA/Play -0.04-0.39
  When Passing -3.86-17.15
    EPA/Play -0.13-0.44
  When Rushing 1.66-8.75
    EPA/Play 0.05-0.27
Situational ESPN team id 130 ESPN team id 2294
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 34 (55%)21 (30%)
  When Passing 15 (52%)13 (33%)
  When Rushing 19 (58%)8 (25%)
  On Standard Downs 27 (61%)12 (28%)
  On Passing Downs 7 (39%)9 (32%)
  On Early Downs 30 (59%)14 (27%)
  On Late Downs 4 (36%)7 (35%)
  During "Middle 8" 9 (53%)2 (22%)
Early Downs 5151
  First Downs Created 13 (25%)8 (16%)
  EPA 14.73-8.48
  EPA/Play 0.29-0.17
  Passes 21 (41%)24 (47%)
  Rushes 30 (59%)27 (53%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 13 (62%)7 (29%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 17 (57%)7 (26%)
"Middle 8" Plays 179
  EPA 1.59-2.78
  EPA/play 0.09-0.31
  Passes 12 (71%)7 (78%)
  Rushes 5 (29%)2 (22%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 6 (50%)1 (14%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 3 (60%)1 (50%)
Drives ESPN team id 130 ESPN team id 2294
Total 1313
Avg Starting Field Position Own 25Own 26
Plays/Drive 6.107.62
Yards/Drive 43.4834.76
Available Yards % 58%47%
Defensive ESPN team id 130 ESPN team id 2294
Scrimmage Plays 7162
Stop Rate 65%32%
Havoc Plays Created 8 (11%)6 (10%)
  Passing 6 (15%)4 (14%)
  Rushing 2 (6%)2 (6%)
TFLs Generated 53
  Passing 31
  Rushing 22
Sacks Generated 1 (3%)1 (3%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 12
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 130 ESPN team id 2294
Turnovers 21
  Fumbles 00
  Fumbles Lost 00
  Fumbles Recovered 00
  Interceptions 21
Turnover Margin -11
Expected Turnovers 0.40.2
Expected Turnover Margin -0.20.2
Turnover Luck (pts) -3.93.9
Special Teams ESPN team id 130 ESPN team id 2294
Total Plays 7 17
Total EPA -0.35 -8
  Field Goal EPA 0 -2.92
  Punting EPA -0.35 -3.51
  Kickoff Return EPA 0 -1.57

Michigan [show/hide]

Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Donovan Edwards 1/1, 75 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 78.9 xQBR 75.00 4.85 4.85 100% 5.0%
Cade McNamara 16/24, 169 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 1 Sck, 54.2 xQBR 6.76 0.06 1.47 52% -5.0%
J.J. McCarthy 1/3, 6 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 0 Scks, 52.6 xQBR 2.00 -0.09 -0.26 33% 1.0%
Rush attempts
Blake Corum 5 carries, 74 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 14.80 0.71 3.54 60% 8.0%
Cade McNamara 1 carry, 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 15.00 1.94 1.94 100% 2.0%
A.J. Henning 1 carry, 29 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 29.00 1.58 1.58 100% 1.0%
Cornelius Johnson 1 carry, 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 17.00 1.40 1.40 100% 0.0%
J.J. McCarthy 4 carries, 23 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.75 0.28 1.11 75% -1.0%
Donovan Edwards 3 carries, 1 yd, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.33 0.25 0.75 67% -1.0%
Leon Franklin 1 carry, 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 0.13 0.13 100% 0.0%
Hassan Haskins 17 carries, 56 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.29 -0.10 -1.66 41% -1.0%
Pass targets
Roman Wilson 2 catches (2 targets), 82 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 41.00 2.68 5.36 100% 4.0%
Erick All 2 catches (2 targets), 43 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 21.50 2.54 5.07 100% 0.0%
Luke Schoonmaker 2 catches (2 targets), 49 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 24.50 1.99 3.98 100% 1.0%
Cornelius Johnson 1 catch (3 targets), 15 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 15.00 0.38 1.13 67% 0.0%
Hassan Haskins 3 catches (3 targets), 22 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.33 0.35 1.05 100% 1.0%
Donovan Edwards 3 catches (5 targets), 20 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.67 0.09 0.45 40% 2.0%
Andrel Anthony 1 catch (1 target), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.30 0.30 100% 0.0%
Carter Selzer 1 catch (2 targets), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 -0.07 -0.14 50% 0.0%
A.J. Henning 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.24 -0.24 0% 0.0%
Blake Corum 2 catches (2 targets), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.43 -0.86 0% -1.0%
Daylen Baldwin 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.94 -0.94 0% 0.0%
Mike Sainristil 1 catch (2 targets), 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 1.00 -1.59 -3.17 0% 0.0%
Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Spencer Petras 9/22, 138 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 62.1 xQBR 6.00 0.17 3.94 39% 7.0%
Gavin Williams 0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 37.6 xQBR 0.00 -0.55 -0.55 0% -3.0%
Alex Padilla 10/15, 38 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 0 Scks, 17.6 xQBR 2.53 -0.61 -9.17 27% -1.0%
Rush attempts
Charlie Jones 1 carry, 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 0.77 0.77 100% 0.0%
Arland Bruce IV 1 carry, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 -0.44 -0.44 0% 0.0%
Gavin Williams 12 carries, 56 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.67 -0.13 -1.59 33% -3.0%
Tyler Goodson 18 carries, 50 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.78 -0.42 -7.48 17% -9.0%
Pass targets
Sam LaPorta 6 catches (10 targets), 63 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.00 0.67 6.73 50% 7.0%
Charlie Jones 2 catches (4 targets), 41 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 20.50 0.77 3.10 50% 1.0%
Luke Lachey 1 catch (2 targets), 22 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 22.00 0.47 0.94 50% 1.0%
Arland Bruce IV 2 catches (3 targets), 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 0.00 0.00 67% 0.0%
Monte Pottebaum 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.55 -0.55 0% -3.0%
Gavin Williams 1 catch (2 targets), -1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -1.00 -0.69 -1.38 0% 0.0%
Nico Ragaini 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -1.60 -1.60 0% -1.0%
Tyler Goodson 6 catches (7 targets), 28 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.67 -0.35 -2.45 29% 0.0%
Keagan Johnson 1 catch (7 targets), 13 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 13.00 -0.97 -6.80 14% -1.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 6:38 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 33) Blake Corum 67 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick) - MICH 7, IOWA 0 5.20 82.8% 9.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 99

Started Drive at: MICH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.80 = 5.20

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.80)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 7, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.8%

Win Probability (After): 91.9%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:10 ESPN team id 2294 (4th & 3 at MICH 8) Alex Padilla pass complete to Tyler Goodson for a loss of 7 yards to the Mich 15 - MICH 21, IOWA 3 -5.12 2.1% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 85

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.44 - 2.68 = -5.12

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-15.32)

Score Difference (End): 18 (20.44)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.1%

Win Probability (After): 1.2%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 5:27 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 25) Roman Wilson 75 Yd pass from Donovan Edwards (Jake Moody Kick) - MICH 14, IOWA 0 4.85 91.2% 4.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.15 = 4.85

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.15)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.2%

Win Probability (After): 95.8%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:17 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 7 at IOWA 43) Cade McNamara pass intercepted Jack Campbell return for 1 yd to the Iowa 33 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -4.31 95.5% -4.9%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 67

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.95 - 3.36 = -4.31

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.36)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.05)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.5%

Win Probability (After): 90.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:35 ESPN team id 2294 (4th & 8 at MICH 15) Caleb Shudak 33 yd FG MISSED - MICH 0, IOWA 0 -3.35 26.0% -5.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 80

Started Drive at: IOWA 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.79 - 2.56 = -3.35

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.56)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.79)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MICH 0, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.0%

Win Probability (After): 20.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 7:32 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 8 at IOWA 27) Alex Padilla pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 17 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST down - MICH 21, IOWA 3 3.18 1.8% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 56

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.24 - -1.94 = 3.18

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-19.94)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-16.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.8%

Win Probability (After): 2.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:07 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 7 at MICH 37) Spencer Petras pass complete to Charlie Jones for 28 yds to the Mich 9 for a 1ST down - MICH 14, IOWA 0 2.97 5.5% 1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 9

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.01 - 2.04 = 2.97

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.96)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-8.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.5%

Win Probability (After): 7.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:09 ESPN team id 130 (3rd & 4 at IOWA 18) McCarthy, J.J. pass incomplete to Selzer, Carter, PENALTY IOWA pass interference (Koerner, Jack) 15 yards to the IOWA3, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN. - MICH 35, IOWA 3 2.90 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 3

Started Drive at: IOWA 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.75 - 2.85 = 2.90

Score Difference (Before): 32 (34.85)

Score Difference (End): 32 (37.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 35, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:21 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 4 at IOWA 31) Alex Padilla pass intercepted Caden Kolesar return for 1 yd to the Iowa 36 - MICH 35, IOWA 3 -2.69 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 36

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.75 - -0.06 = -2.69

Score Difference (Before): -32 (-32.06)

Score Difference (End): 32 (34.75)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MICH 35, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:17 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 7 at 50) Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 10 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST down - MICH 14, IOWA 0 2.61 3.5% 1.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 40

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.58 - -0.03 = 2.61

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.03)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.5%

Win Probability (After): 5.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 6:38 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 33) Blake Corum 67 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick) - MICH 7, IOWA 0 5.20 82.8% 9.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 99

Started Drive at: MICH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.80 = 5.20

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.80)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 7, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.8%

Win Probability (After): 91.9%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:35 ESPN team id 2294 (4th & 8 at MICH 15) Caleb Shudak 33 yd FG MISSED - MICH 0, IOWA 0 -3.35 26.0% -5.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 80

Started Drive at: IOWA 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.79 - 2.56 = -3.35

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.56)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.79)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MICH 0, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.0%

Win Probability (After): 20.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 0:17 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 7 at IOWA 43) Cade McNamara pass intercepted Jack Campbell return for 1 yd to the Iowa 33 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -4.31 95.5% -4.9%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 67

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.95 - 3.36 = -4.31

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.36)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.05)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.5%

Win Probability (After): 90.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:27 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 25) Roman Wilson 75 Yd pass from Donovan Edwards (Jake Moody Kick) - MICH 14, IOWA 0 4.85 91.2% 4.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.15 = 4.85

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.15)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.2%

Win Probability (After): 95.8%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:09 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 6 at IOWA 45) Petras, Spencer pass incomplete to Johnson, Keagan, PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference (Hill, Daxton) 15 yards to the MICHIGAN40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA. - MICH 0, IOWA 0 2.47 20.0% 4.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 40

Started Drive at: IOWA 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.55 - 1.08 = 2.47

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.08)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 0, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.0%

Win Probability (After): 24.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:56 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 4 at MICH 26) MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Luke Schoonmaker) to the Mich 21 - MICH 0, IOWA 0 -0.90 82.0% -3.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 79

Started Drive at: MICH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.10 - 1.00 = -0.90

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.00)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 0, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.0%

Win Probability (After): 78.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:26 ESPN team id 2294 (4th & Goal at MICH 4) Caleb Shudak 22 Yd Field Goal - MICH 14, IOWA 3 0.43 5.7% 3.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.57 = 0.43

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.43)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.7%

Win Probability (After): 9.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 7:05 ESPN team id 130 (3rd & 3 at MICH 27) Cade McNamara pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 6 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST down - MICH 0, IOWA 0 1.60 80.5% 3.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 67

Started Drive at: MICH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 0.16 = 1.60

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.16)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 0, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.5%

Win Probability (After): 83.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:56 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at MICH 17) Gavin Williams pass incomplete to Monte Pottebaum - MICH 0, IOWA 0 -0.55 28.8% -3.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17

Started Drive at: IOWA 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.46 - 5.01 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.01)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 0, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.8%

Win Probability (After): 25.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:06 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 5 at MICH 12) Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 15 - MICH 0, IOWA 0 -1.46 26.8% -2.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 15

Started Drive at: IOWA 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.62 - 4.08 = -1.46

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.08)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 0, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.8%

Win Probability (After): 24.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 6:38 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 33) Blake Corum 67 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick) - MICH 7, IOWA 0 5.20 82.8% 9.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 99

Started Drive at: MICH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.80 = 5.20

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.80)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 7, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.8%

Win Probability (After): 91.9%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:27 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 25) Roman Wilson 75 Yd pass from Donovan Edwards (Jake Moody Kick) - MICH 14, IOWA 0 4.85 91.2% 4.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.15 = 4.85

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.15)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.2%

Win Probability (After): 95.8%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:26 ESPN team id 2294 (4th & Goal at MICH 4) Caleb Shudak 22 Yd Field Goal - MICH 14, IOWA 3 0.43 5.7% 3.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.57 = 0.43

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.43)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.7%

Win Probability (After): 9.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 8:23 ESPN team id 130 (1st & Goal at IOWA 4) Hassan Haskins 4 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick) - MICH 21, IOWA 3 0.80 97.1% 1.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.20 = 0.80

Score Difference (Before): 11 (17.20)

Score Difference (End): 18 (18.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.1%

Win Probability (After): 98.1%

Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:16 ESPN team id 130 (1st & Goal at IOWA 1) Hassan Haskins 1 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick) - MICH 28, IOWA 3 0.48 99.6% 0.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: IOWA 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.52 = 0.48

Score Difference (Before): 18 (24.52)

Score Difference (End): 25 (25.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 28, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:24 ESPN team id 130 (3rd & Goal at IOWA 5) Erick All 5 Yd pass from Cade McNamara (Jake Moody Kick) - MICH 35, IOWA 3 2.60 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: MICH 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.40 = 2.60

Score Difference (Before): 25 (29.40)

Score Difference (End): 32 (32.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 35, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 28 (35) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:25 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & Goal at IOWA 1) Donovan Edwards 1 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick) - MICH 42, IOWA 3 1.21 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: IOWA 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.79 = 1.21

Score Difference (Before): 32 (37.79)

Score Difference (End): 39 (39.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 42, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 35 (42) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 130 (Kickoff at MICH 35) Caleb Shudak kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MICH 0, IOWA 0 0.00 82.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 0, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.2%

Win Probability (After): 82.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:54 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 25) Cade McNamara pass complete to Roman Wilson for 7 yds to the Mich 32 - MICH 0, IOWA 0 0.52 85.0% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 68

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.45 - 0.94 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.94)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 0, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.0%

Win Probability (After): 84.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:31 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 3 at MICH 32) Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the Mich 32 - MICH 0, IOWA 0 -1.18 85.3% -1.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.44 - 1.62 = -1.18

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.62)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 0, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.3%

Win Probability (After): 84.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:52 ESPN team id 130 (3rd & 3 at MICH 32) Cade McNamara pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 1 yd to the Mich 33 - MICH 0, IOWA 0 -1.73 81.5% 1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 67

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.16 - 0.57 = -1.73

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.57)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 0, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.5%

Win Probability (After): 82.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:17 ESPN team id 130 (4th & 2 at MICH 33) Brad Robbins punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Iowa 26 - MICH 0, IOWA 0 -0.44 80.8% -1.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 74

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.41 - -0.97 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.97)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.41)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MICH 0, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.8%

Win Probability (After): 79.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 13:12 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 26) Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the Iowa 26 - MICH 0, IOWA 0 -0.88 20.8% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74

Started Drive at: IOWA 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.47 - 1.35 = -0.88

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.35)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 0, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.8%

Win Probability (After): 20.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:36 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 10 at IOWA 26) Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 15 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST down - MICH 0, IOWA 0 1.73 20.2% 2.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 59

Started Drive at: IOWA 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.24 - 0.51 = 1.73

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.51)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 0, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.2%

Win Probability (After): 22.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:24 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 41) Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 43 - MICH 0, IOWA 0 -0.55 22.7% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 57

Started Drive at: IOWA 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.71 - 2.26 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.26)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 0, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 22.7%

Win Probability (After): 21.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:51 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 8 at IOWA 43) Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 45 - MICH 0, IOWA 0 -0.48 20.9% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 55

Started Drive at: IOWA 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.13 - 1.61 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.61)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 0, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.9%

Win Probability (After): 20.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:09 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 6 at IOWA 45) Petras, Spencer pass incomplete to Johnson, Keagan, PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference (Hill, Daxton) 15 yards to the MICHIGAN40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA. - MICH 0, IOWA 0 2.47 20.0% 4.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 40

Started Drive at: IOWA 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.55 - 1.08 = 2.47

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.08)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 0, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.0%

Win Probability (After): 24.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:02 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at MICH 40) Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Mich 38 - MICH 0, IOWA 0 -0.65 24.2% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 38

Started Drive at: IOWA 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.93 - 3.58 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.58)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 0, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 24.2%

Win Probability (After): 23.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:24 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 8 at MICH 38) Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 21 yds to the Mich 17 for a 1ST down - MICH 0, IOWA 0 1.89 23.8% 2.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 17

Started Drive at: IOWA 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.99 - 3.10 = 1.89

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.10)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 0, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.8%

Win Probability (After): 26.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:56 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at MICH 17) Gavin Williams pass incomplete to Monte Pottebaum - MICH 0, IOWA 0 -0.55 28.8% -3.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17

Started Drive at: IOWA 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.46 - 5.01 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.01)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 0, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.8%

Win Probability (After): 25.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:49 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 10 at MICH 17) Tyler Goodson run for 5 yds to the Mich 12 - MICH 0, IOWA 0 -0.37 27.1% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 12

Started Drive at: IOWA 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.10 - 4.47 = -0.37

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.47)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 0, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.1%

Win Probability (After): 26.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:06 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 5 at MICH 12) Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 15 - MICH 0, IOWA 0 -1.46 26.8% -2.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 15

Started Drive at: IOWA 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.62 - 4.08 = -1.46

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.08)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 0, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.8%

Win Probability (After): 24.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:35 ESPN team id 2294 (4th & 8 at MICH 15) Caleb Shudak 33 yd FG MISSED - MICH 0, IOWA 0 -3.35 26.0% -5.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 80

Started Drive at: IOWA 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.79 - 2.56 = -3.35

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.56)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.79)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MICH 0, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.0%

Win Probability (After): 20.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 8:28 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 20) Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds to the Mich 26 - MICH 0, IOWA 0 0.28 79.4% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 74

Started Drive at: MICH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.01 - 0.73 = 0.28

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.73)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 0, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.4%

Win Probability (After): 79.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:56 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 4 at MICH 26) MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Luke Schoonmaker) to the Mich 21 - MICH 0, IOWA 0 -0.90 82.0% -3.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 79

Started Drive at: MICH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.10 - 1.00 = -0.90

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.00)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 0, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.0%

Win Probability (After): 78.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:39 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 9 at MICH 21) Cade McNamara pass complete to Blake Corum for 6 yds to the Mich 27 - MICH 0, IOWA 0 -0.05 81.2% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 73

Started Drive at: MICH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.06 - 0.11 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.11)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 0, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.2%

Win Probability (After): 80.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:05 ESPN team id 130 (3rd & 3 at MICH 27) Cade McNamara pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 6 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST down - MICH 0, IOWA 0 1.60 80.5% 3.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 67

Started Drive at: MICH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 0.16 = 1.60

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.16)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 0, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.5%

Win Probability (After): 83.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:38 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 33) Blake Corum 67 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick) - MICH 7, IOWA 0 5.20 82.8% 9.1%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 99

Started Drive at: MICH 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.80 = 5.20

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.80)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 7, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 85 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.8%

Win Probability (After): 91.9%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:38 ESPN team id 2294 (Kickoff at IOWA 35) Jake Moody kickoff for 64 yds fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Iowa 1 - MICH 7, IOWA 0 -1.57 11.3% -0.2%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 99

Started Drive at: IOWA 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.60 - -0.03 = -1.57

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.03)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 7, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.3%

Win Probability (After): 11.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:33 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 25) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Charlie Jones - MICH 7, IOWA 0 -0.55 11.3% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: IOWA 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.58 - -0.03 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.03)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 7, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.3%

Win Probability (After): 11.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:24 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 10 at IOWA 25) Tyler Goodson run for 4 yds to the Iowa 29 - MICH 7, IOWA 0 -0.47 11.0% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71

Started Drive at: IOWA 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.04 - -0.57 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.57)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 7, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.0%

Win Probability (After): 10.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:46 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 6 at IOWA 29) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Keagan Johnson - MICH 7, IOWA 0 -1.31 11.1% -1.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71

Started Drive at: IOWA 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.36 - -1.05 = -1.31

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.05)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 7, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.1%

Win Probability (After): 9.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:37 ESPN team id 2294 (4th & 6 at IOWA 29) Tory Taylor punt for 52 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 6 yds to the Mich 25 - MICH 7, IOWA 0 0.22 10.6% -2.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 75

Started Drive at: IOWA 1

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.14 - -2.36 = 0.22

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.36)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.14)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MICH 7, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.6%

Win Probability (After): 8.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 5:27 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 25) Roman Wilson 75 Yd pass from Donovan Edwards (Jake Moody Kick) - MICH 14, IOWA 0 4.85 91.2% 4.6%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.15 = 4.85

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.15)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 75 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.2%

Win Probability (After): 95.8%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:27 ESPN team id 2294 (Kickoff at IOWA 35) Jake Moody kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MICH 14, IOWA 0 0.00 4.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.53 - -0.53 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.53)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.1%

Win Probability (After): 4.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:19 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 25) Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 22 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST down - MICH 14, IOWA 0 1.86 4.1% 1.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 53

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.33 - -0.53 = 1.86

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.53)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.1%

Win Probability (After): 5.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:57 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 47) Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line - MICH 14, IOWA 0 -0.35 6.4% -0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 50

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.98 - 1.33 = -0.35

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.67)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.4%

Win Probability (After): 5.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:22 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 7 at 50) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Keagan Johnson - MICH 14, IOWA 0 -0.98 4.5% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.02 - 0.96 = -0.98

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.04)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.5%

Win Probability (After): 4.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:17 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 7 at 50) Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 10 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST down - MICH 14, IOWA 0 2.61 3.5% 1.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 40

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.58 - -0.03 = 2.61

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.03)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.5%

Win Probability (After): 5.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:44 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at MICH 40) Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the Mich 37 - MICH 14, IOWA 0 -0.51 5.7% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 37

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.06 - 2.58 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.42)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.7%

Win Probability (After): 5.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:07 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 7 at MICH 37) Spencer Petras pass complete to Charlie Jones for 28 yds to the Mich 9 for a 1ST down - MICH 14, IOWA 0 2.97 5.5% 1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 9

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.01 - 2.04 = 2.97

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.96)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-8.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.5%

Win Probability (After): 7.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:39 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & Goal at MICH 9) Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Mich 7 - MICH 14, IOWA 0 -0.37 7.6% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 7

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.65 - 5.03 = -0.37

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-8.97)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 68 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.6%

Win Probability (After): 7.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:02 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & Goal at MICH 7) Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the Mich 4 - MICH 14, IOWA 0 -0.42 7.5% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 4

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.30 - 4.72 = -0.42

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.28)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.5%

Win Probability (After): 7.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:29 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & Goal at MICH 4) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Keagan Johnson - MICH 14, IOWA 0 -1.77 6.7% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.56 - 4.34 = -1.77

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.66)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.7%

Win Probability (After): 6.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:26 ESPN team id 2294 (4th & Goal at MICH 4) Caleb Shudak 22 Yd Field Goal - MICH 14, IOWA 3 0.43 5.7% 3.6%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.57 = 0.43

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.43)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.7%

Win Probability (After): 9.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 0 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 1:26 ESPN team id 130 (Kickoff at MICH 35) Caleb Shudak kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MICH 14, IOWA 3 0.00 94.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.17 - 2.17 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.17)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.5%

Win Probability (After): 94.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:19 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 25) A.J. Henning run for 29 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST down - MICH 14, IOWA 3 1.58 94.5% 1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 46

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.75 - 2.17 = 1.58

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.17)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.5%

Win Probability (After): 96.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:53 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at IOWA 46) J.J. McCarthy run for 3 yds to the Iowa 43 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.41 96.0% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 43

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.35 - 3.76 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.76)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.0%

Win Probability (After): 95.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:17 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 7 at IOWA 43) Cade McNamara pass intercepted Jack Campbell return for 1 yd to the Iowa 33 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -4.31 95.5% -4.9%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 67

Started Drive at: MICH 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.95 - 3.36 = -4.31

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.36)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.05)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.5%

Win Probability (After): 90.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:12 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 33) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPorta - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.73 9.5% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67

Started Drive at: IOWA 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.22 - 0.95 = -0.73

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.05)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.5%

Win Probability (After): 8.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:05 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 10 at IOWA 33) Arland Bruce IV run for 2 yds to the Iowa 35 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.44 8.7% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 65

Started Drive at: IOWA 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.23 - 0.21 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.79)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.7%

Win Probability (After): 8.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:56 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 8 at IOWA 35) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPorta for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Taylor Upshaw) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - MICH 14, IOWA 3 2.29 7.2% 2.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 50

Started Drive at: IOWA 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - -0.24 = 2.29

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.23)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-8.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.2%

Win Probability (After): 9.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:50 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at 50) Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Mich 48 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.36 9.3% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 48

Started Drive at: IOWA 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.71 - 2.07 = -0.36

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-8.93)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.3%

Win Probability (After): 8.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:13 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 8 at MICH 48) Petras, Spencer pass complete to LaPorta, Sam for 1 yard to the MICHIGAN47, PENALTY IOWA personal foul (Richman, Mason) 15 yards to the IOWA37, NO PLAY. - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -1.62 9.1% -1.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 63

Started Drive at: IOWA 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.06 - 1.68 = -1.62

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.32)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.1%

Win Probability (After): 7.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:51 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 23 at IOWA 37) Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the Iowa 40 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.53 7.3% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 60

Started Drive at: IOWA 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.52 - 0.01 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.99)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.3%

Win Probability (After): 6.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:10 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 20 at IOWA 40) Gavin Williams run for 7 yds to the Iowa 47 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.87 6.5% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 53

Started Drive at: IOWA 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.48 - -0.61 = -0.87

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.61)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-12.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.5%

Win Probability (After): 5.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:31 ESPN team id 2294 (4th & 13 at IOWA 47) Tory Taylor punt for 45 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the Mich 8 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 0.23 5.0% 1.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 92

Started Drive at: IOWA 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.18 - -1.41 = 0.23

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-12.41)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.18)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.0%

Win Probability (After): 6.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 12:24 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 8) Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Mich 12 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.24 94.3% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 88

Started Drive at: MICH 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.96 - 1.20 = -0.24

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.20)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.3%

Win Probability (After): 93.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:52 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 6 at MICH 12) Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Mich 13 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.77 93.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 87

Started Drive at: MICH 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 1.15 = -0.77

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.15)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.6%

Win Probability (After): 93.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:03 ESPN team id 130 (3rd & 5 at MICH 13) Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Mike Sainristil, broken up by Kaevon Merriweather - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -1.44 93.0% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 87

Started Drive at: MICH 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.13 - 0.31 = -1.44

Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.31)

Score Difference (End): 11 (9.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.0%

Win Probability (After): 91.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:53 ESPN team id 130 (4th & 5 at MICH 13) Brad Robbins punt for 40 yds , Charlie Jones returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Iowa 41 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.63 91.8% -2.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 59

Started Drive at: MICH 8

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.73 - -1.10 = -0.63

Score Difference (Before): 11 (9.90)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.27)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.8%

Win Probability (After): 89.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 10:46 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 41) Spencer Petras pass complete to Charlie Jones for 13 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down - MICH 14, IOWA 3 0.87 10.3% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 46

Started Drive at: IOWA 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.65 - 1.78 = 0.87

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.22)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-8.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.3%

Win Probability (After): 10.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:23 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at MICH 46) Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 48 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -1.19 11.0% -1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 48

Started Drive at: IOWA 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.53 - 2.72 = -1.19

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-8.28)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.0%

Win Probability (After): 9.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:43 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 12 at MICH 48) Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 4 yds to the Mich 44 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.08 9.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 44

Started Drive at: IOWA 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.41 - 1.49 = -0.08

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.51)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.5%

Win Probability (After): 9.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:15 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 8 at MICH 44) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Keagan Johnson, broken up by Junior Colson - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -1.57 7.6% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44

Started Drive at: IOWA 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.25 - 1.32 = -1.57

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.68)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.6%

Win Probability (After): 8.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:08 ESPN team id 2294 (4th & 8 at MICH 44) Tory Taylor punt for 41 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the Mich 3 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.02 6.3% 0.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 97

Started Drive at: IOWA 41

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.36 - -0.33 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.33)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.36)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.3%

Win Probability (After): 6.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 8:58 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 3) Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Mich 5 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.35 93.4% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 97 -> 95

Started Drive at: MICH 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.10 - 0.25 = -0.35

Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.25)

Score Difference (End): 11 (10.90)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.4%

Win Probability (After): 92.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:25 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 8 at MICH 5) Cade McNamara pass complete to Blake Corum for no gain to the Mich 5 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.82 93.1% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 95

Started Drive at: MICH 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.04 - -0.22 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): 11 (10.78)

Score Difference (End): 11 (9.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.1%

Win Probability (After): 92.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:41 ESPN team id 130 (3rd & 8 at MICH 5) Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Donovan Edwards - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -1.13 92.6% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 95

Started Drive at: MICH 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.13 - -1.01 = -1.13

Score Difference (Before): 11 (9.99)

Score Difference (End): 11 (8.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.6%

Win Probability (After): 91.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:41 ESPN team id 130 (4th & 8 at MICH 5) Timeout MICHIGAN, clock 07:41 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 0.00 91.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 95

Started Drive at: MICH 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.13 - -2.13 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 11 (8.87)

Score Difference (End): 11 (8.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.3%

Win Probability (After): 91.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 7:30 ESPN team id 130 (4th & 8 at MICH 5) Brad Robbins punt for 50 yds , Charlie Jones returns for no gain to the Iowa 45 Charlie Jones fumbled, recovered by Iowa - MICH 14, IOWA 3 0.22 90.2% 0.7%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 55

Started Drive at: MICH 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.88 - -2.11 = 0.22

Score Difference (Before): 11 (8.89)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.12)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.2%

Win Probability (After): 90.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 7:23 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 45) Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 48 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.27 9.1% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 52

Started Drive at: IOWA 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.71 - 1.98 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.02)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.1%

Win Probability (After): 8.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 6:46 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 7 at IOWA 48) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPorta - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.95 9.5% -1.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52

Started Drive at: IOWA 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.99 - 1.94 = -0.95

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.06)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.5%

Win Probability (After): 7.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 6:37 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 7 at IOWA 48) Petras, Spencer rush for 10 yards to the MICHIGAN42, PENALTY IOWA holding (Colby, Connor) 10 yards to the IOWA38, NO PLAY. - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -1.11 8.9% -2.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 62

Started Drive at: IOWA 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.07 - 1.04 = -1.11

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.96)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.9%

Win Probability (After): 6.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:44 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 17 at IOWA 38) Spencer Petras pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 13 yds to the Mich 49 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 0.36 6.3% 1.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 49

Started Drive at: IOWA 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - -0.35 = 0.36

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.35)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.3%

Win Probability (After): 8.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 5:00 ESPN team id 2294 (4th & 4 at MICH 49) Tory Taylor punt for 40 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the Mich 9 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.44 7.1% -0.8%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 91

Started Drive at: IOWA 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.39 - 0.05 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.95)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.39)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.1%

Win Probability (After): 6.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 4:54 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 9) Cade McNamara pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 11 yds to the Mich 20 for a 1ST down - MICH 14, IOWA 3 0.76 94.6% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 80

Started Drive at: MICH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.38 - 0.61 = 0.76

Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.61)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.6%

Win Probability (After): 94.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:30 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 20) Donovan Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 18 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.77 94.9% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 82

Started Drive at: MICH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.52 - 1.29 = -0.77

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.29)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.9%

Win Probability (After): 94.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:54 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 12 at MICH 18) Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Cornelius Johnson - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.68 93.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 82

Started Drive at: MICH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.26 - 0.42 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.42)

Score Difference (End): 11 (10.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.5%

Win Probability (After): 93.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:49 ESPN team id 130 (3rd & 12 at MICH 18) Cade McNamara run for 15 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST down - MICH 14, IOWA 3 1.94 92.6% 1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 67

Started Drive at: MICH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.70 - -0.24 = 1.94

Score Difference (Before): 11 (10.76)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.6%

Win Probability (After): 94.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:19 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 33) Cade McNamara pass complete to Hassan Haskins for 13 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down - MICH 14, IOWA 3 0.70 94.4% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 54

Started Drive at: MICH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.33 - 1.63 = 0.70

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.63)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.4%

Win Probability (After): 94.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:45 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 46) Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Donovan Edwards - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.29 94.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 54

Started Drive at: MICH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 2.06 = -0.29

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.06)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.7%

Win Probability (After): 94.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:40 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 10 at MICH 46) Cade McNamara pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 3 yds to the Mich 49 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.49 94.5% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 51

Started Drive at: MICH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.11 - 1.61 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.61)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.5%

Win Probability (After): 94.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:06 ESPN team id 130 (3rd & 7 at MICH 49) Cade McNamara sacked by Seth Benson for a loss of 9 yards to the Mich 40 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -1.49 94.1% -1.3%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 60

Started Drive at: MICH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.33 - 1.16 = -1.49

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.16)

Score Difference (End): 11 (10.67)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.1%

Win Probability (After): 92.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:21 ESPN team id 130 (4th & 16 at MICH 40) Brad Robbins punt for 60 yds for a touchback - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.91 92.9% 0.7%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 80

Started Drive at: MICH 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.86 - 0.06 = -0.91

Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.06)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.14)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.9%

Win Probability (After): 93.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:17 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 20) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Charlie Jones, broken up by Vincent Gray - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.19 6.9% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80

Started Drive at: IOWA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.25 - 0.44 = -0.19

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.56)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.9%

Win Probability (After): 6.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:12 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 10 at IOWA 20) Spencer Petras sacked by Aidan Hutchinson for a loss of 10 yards to the Iowa 10 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -1.06 6.6% -0.9%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 90

Started Drive at: IOWA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.75 - 0.31 = -1.06

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.69)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.6%

Win Probability (After): 5.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:11 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 20 at IOWA 10) Timeout MICHIGAN, clock 01:11 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 0.00 6.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 90

Started Drive at: IOWA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.75 - -0.75 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.75)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.0%

Win Probability (After): 6.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:06 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 20 at IOWA 10) Tyler Goodson run for 7 yds to the Iowa 17 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.23 5.9% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 83

Started Drive at: IOWA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.92 - -0.68 = -0.23

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.68)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.9%

Win Probability (After): 5.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 1:05 ESPN team id 2294 (4th & 13 at IOWA 17) Timeout MICHIGAN, clock 01:05 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 0.00 5.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 83

Started Drive at: IOWA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.92 - -0.92 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.92)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.4%

Win Probability (After): 5.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:51 ESPN team id 2294 (4th & 13 at IOWA 17) Tory Taylor punt for 50 yds, downed at the Mich 33 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.54 5.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 67

Started Drive at: IOWA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.16 - -0.62 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.62)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.16)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.8%

Win Probability (After): 5.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:47 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 33) Cade McNamara pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 6 yds to the Mich 39 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 0.30 94.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 61

Started Drive at: MICH 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.11 - 0.80 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.80)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.11)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.3%

Win Probability (After): 94.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:42 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 4 at MICH 39) Cade McNamara pass complete to Hassan Haskins for 6 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST down - MICH 14, IOWA 3 0.17 94.3% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 55

Started Drive at: MICH 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.19 - 1.02 = 0.17

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.02)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.3%

Win Probability (After): 94.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:31 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 45) Cade McNamara pass complete to Hassan Haskins for 3 yds to the Mich 48 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 0.18 94.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 52

Started Drive at: MICH 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 0.98 = 0.18

Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.98)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.7%

Win Probability (After): 94.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:11 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 7 at MICH 48) Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Cornelius Johnson - MICH 14, IOWA 3 0.29 94.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52

Started Drive at: MICH 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.87 - 0.58 = 0.29

Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.58)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.4%

Win Probability (After): 94.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:06 ESPN team id 130 (3rd & 7 at MICH 48) Cade McNamara pass incomplete to A.J. Henning - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.24 93.6% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52

Started Drive at: MICH 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.19 - 0.43 = -0.24

Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.43)

Score Difference (End): 11 (11.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.6%

Win Probability (After): 93.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 130 (4th & 7 at MICH 48) J.J. McCarthy pass intercepted Jermari Harris return for no gain to the Mich 1 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.12 93.0% 0.6%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 1

Started Drive at: MICH 33

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.67 - 0.12 = -0.12

Score Difference (Before): 11 (11.12)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-6.33)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.0%

Win Probability (After): 93.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2294 (Kickoff at IOWA 35) Jake Moody kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MICH 14, IOWA 3 0.00 6.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.24 - -0.24 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.24)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.4%

Win Probability (After): 6.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:54 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 25) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Keagan Johnson - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.57 6.6% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.81 - -0.24 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.24)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.6%

Win Probability (After): 6.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:48 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 10 at IOWA 25) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Keagan Johnson - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.97 7.0% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.73 - -0.76 = -0.97

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.76)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-12.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.0%

Win Probability (After): 5.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:42 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 10 at IOWA 25) Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 11 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST down - MICH 14, IOWA 3 2.61 5.9% 1.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 64

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - -1.71 = 2.61

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-12.71)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.9%

Win Probability (After): 7.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:15 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 36) Tyler Goodson run for 5 yds to the Iowa 41 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 0.16 6.8% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 59

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.05 - 0.89 = 0.16

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.11)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.8%

Win Probability (After): 7.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:43 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 5 at IOWA 41) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Luke Lachey - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.92 7.0% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 59

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.12 - 1.04 = -0.92

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.96)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.0%

Win Probability (After): 6.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:38 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 5 at IOWA 41) Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Nico Ragaini - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -1.60 6.8% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 59

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.46 - 0.14 = -1.60

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.86)

Score Difference (End): -11 (-12.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.8%

Win Probability (After): 5.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:27 ESPN team id 2294 (4th & 5 at IOWA 41) Tory Taylor punt for 52 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 11 yds to the Mich 18 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.46 6.1% -0.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 82

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.89 - -1.43 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): -11 (-12.43)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.89)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.1%

Win Probability (After): 5.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 13:20 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 18) Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Mich 20 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.58 94.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 80

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.30 - 1.88 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.88)

Score Difference (End): 11 (12.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.4%

Win Probability (After): 94.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:20 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 8 at MICH 20) Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 15 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST down - MICH 14, IOWA 3 1.52 94.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 65

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.82 - 1.30 = 1.52

Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.30)

Score Difference (End): 11 (13.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.3%

Win Probability (After): 94.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:15 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 35) Hassan Haskins run for 8 yds to the Mich 43 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 0.48 93.8% 0.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 57

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.29 - 2.81 = 0.48

Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.81)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.8%

Win Probability (After): 94.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:40 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 2 at MICH 43) Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST down IOWA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Logan Lee) to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST down - MICH 14, IOWA 3 0.45 94.9% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 45

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.74 - 3.27 = 0.45

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.29)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 37 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.9%

Win Probability (After): 94.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:16 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at IOWA 45) Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the Iowa 43 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.54 95.5% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 43

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.23 - 3.77 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.77)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.5%

Win Probability (After): 94.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:39 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 8 at IOWA 43) Blake Corum run for 6 yds to the Iowa 37 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 0.15 95.2% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 37

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.47 - 3.32 = 0.15

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.32)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.2%

Win Probability (After): 95.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:06 ESPN team id 130 (3rd & 2 at IOWA 37) Hassan Haskins run for 5 yds to the Iowa 32 for a 1ST down - MICH 14, IOWA 3 1.01 95.3% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 32

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.53 - 3.53 = 1.01

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.53)

Score Difference (End): 11 (15.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.3%

Win Probability (After): 95.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:33 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at IOWA 32) Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Iowa 31 - MICH 14, IOWA 3 -0.60 96.1% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 31

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.93 - 4.52 = -0.60

Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.52)

Score Difference (End): 11 (14.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.1%

Win Probability (After): 95.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:51 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 9 at IOWA 31) Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 27 yds to the Iowa 4 for a 1ST down - MICH 14, IOWA 3 2.30 96.0% 1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 4

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.20 - 3.89 = 2.30

Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.89)

Score Difference (End): 11 (17.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 14, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.0%

Win Probability (After): 97.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:23 ESPN team id 130 (1st & Goal at IOWA 4) Hassan Haskins 4 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick) - MICH 21, IOWA 3 0.80 97.1% 1.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99

Started Drive at: MICH 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.20 = 0.80

Score Difference (Before): 11 (17.20)

Score Difference (End): 18 (18.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 82 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.1%

Win Probability (After): 98.1%

Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:23 ESPN team id 2294 (Kickoff at IOWA 35) Jake Moody kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MICH 21, IOWA 3 0.00 2.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.52 - -0.52 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.52)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.0%

Win Probability (After): 2.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:16 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 25) Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 27 - MICH 21, IOWA 3 -0.55 2.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.02 - -0.48 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.48)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-19.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.0%

Win Probability (After): 2.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:40 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 8 at IOWA 27) Alex Padilla pass incomplete to Sam LaPorta - MICH 21, IOWA 3 -1.00 2.1% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.91 - -0.90 = -1.00

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.90)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-19.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.1%

Win Probability (After): 1.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:32 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 8 at IOWA 27) Alex Padilla pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 17 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST down - MICH 21, IOWA 3 3.18 1.8% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 56

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.24 - -1.94 = 3.18

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-19.94)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-16.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 1.8%

Win Probability (After): 2.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:04 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 44) Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 47 - MICH 21, IOWA 3 -0.41 2.2% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 53

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.74 - 1.15 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-16.85)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-17.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.2%

Win Probability (After): 2.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:33 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 7 at IOWA 47) Charlie Jones run for 6 yds to the Mich 47 - MICH 21, IOWA 3 0.77 2.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 47

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.55 - 0.79 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.21)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-16.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.2%

Win Probability (After): 2.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:00 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 1 at MICH 47) Tyler Goodson run for 10 yds to the Mich 37 for a 1ST down - MICH 21, IOWA 3 1.13 2.5% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 37

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.72 - 1.59 = 1.13

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-16.41)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-15.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.5%

Win Probability (After): 2.4%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:34 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at MICH 37) Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the Mich 33 - MICH 21, IOWA 3 0.19 2.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 33

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.90 - 2.71 = 0.19

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-15.29)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-15.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.6%

Win Probability (After): 2.6%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:53 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 6 at MICH 33) Alex Padilla pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for no gain to the Mich 33 - MICH 21, IOWA 3 -1.09 2.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.80 - 2.89 = -1.09

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-15.11)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-16.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 42 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.5%

Win Probability (After): 2.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:14 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 6 at MICH 33) Alex Padilla pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 8 yds to the Mich 25 for a 1ST down - MICH 21, IOWA 3 1.90 2.2% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 25

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.69 - 1.79 = 1.90

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-16.21)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-14.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.2%

Win Probability (After): 2.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:41 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at MICH 25) Alex Padilla pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 10 yds to the Mich 15 for a 1ST down - MICH 21, IOWA 3 1.05 2.6% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 15

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.74 - 3.69 = 1.05

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-14.31)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-13.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.6%

Win Probability (After): 3.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:13 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at MICH 15) Tyler Goodson run for 5 yds to the Mich 10 - MICH 21, IOWA 3 0.04 2.8% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 10

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.78 - 4.74 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-13.26)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-13.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 65 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 2.8%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:31 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 5 at MICH 10) Tyler Goodson run for 1 yd to the Mich 9 - MICH 21, IOWA 3 -0.56 2.9% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 9

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.22 - 4.79 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-13.21)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-13.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 66 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.9%

Win Probability (After): 2.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:46 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 4 at MICH 9) Alex Padilla pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 1 yd to the Mich 8 - MICH 21, IOWA 3 -1.61 2.8% -0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 8

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.67 - 4.27 = -1.61

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-13.73)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-15.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 67 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 2.3%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:10 ESPN team id 2294 (4th & 3 at MICH 8) Alex Padilla pass complete to Tyler Goodson for a loss of 7 yards to the Mich 15 - MICH 21, IOWA 3 -5.12 2.1% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 85

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.44 - 2.68 = -5.12

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-15.32)

Score Difference (End): 18 (20.44)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 14 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.1%

Win Probability (After): 1.2%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 1:04 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 15) Blake Corum run for a loss of 6 yards to the Mich 9 - MICH 21, IOWA 3 -1.48 98.9% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 91

Started Drive at: MICH 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.00 - 2.48 = -1.48

Score Difference (Before): 18 (20.48)

Score Difference (End): 18 (19.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, -6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.9%

Win Probability (After): 98.6%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:26 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 16 at MICH 9) Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Mich 10 - MICH 21, IOWA 3 -1.00 98.7% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 90

Started Drive at: MICH 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.00 - 1.00 = -1.00

Score Difference (Before): 18 (19.00)

Score Difference (End): 18 (18.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.7%

Win Probability (After): 98.6%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:55 ESPN team id 130 (3rd & 15 at MICH 10) Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 13 - MICH 21, IOWA 3 -0.87 98.7% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 87

Started Drive at: MICH 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.85 - 0.01 = -0.87

Score Difference (Before): 18 (18.01)

Score Difference (End): 18 (17.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.7%

Win Probability (After): 98.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:02 ESPN team id 130 (4th & 12 at MICH 13) Brad Robbins punt for 64 yds, downed at the Iowa 23 - MICH 21, IOWA 3 1.40 98.7% 0.4%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 77

Started Drive at: MICH 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.47 - -0.93 = 1.40

Score Difference (Before): 18 (17.07)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.47)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.1%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 13:52 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 23) Gavin Williams run for 11 yds to the Iowa 34 for a 1ST down - MICH 21, IOWA 3 1.02 0.8% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 66

Started Drive at: IOWA 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.49 - -0.54 = 1.02

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.54)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-17.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 1.0%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:31 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 34) Gavin Williams run for 2 yds to the Iowa 36 - MICH 21, IOWA 3 -0.65 0.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 64

Started Drive at: IOWA 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.17 - 0.48 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.52)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.9%

Win Probability (After): 0.9%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:00 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 8 at IOWA 36) Alex Padilla pass incomplete to Gavin Williams - MICH 21, IOWA 3 -0.77 0.8% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 64

Started Drive at: IOWA 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.94 - -0.18 = -0.77

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.18)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.8%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:56 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 8 at IOWA 36) Alex Padilla pass incomplete to Tyler Goodson - MICH 21, IOWA 3 -1.29 0.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 64

Started Drive at: IOWA 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.21 - -0.92 = -1.29

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.92)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-20.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:49 ESPN team id 2294 (4th & 8 at IOWA 36) Tory Taylor punt blocked by Cornelius Johnson - MICH 21, IOWA 3 -2.17 0.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Blocked Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 36

Started Drive at: IOWA 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.27 - -2.10 = -2.17

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-20.10)

Score Difference (End): 18 (22.27)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 12:41 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at IOWA 36) J.J. McCarthy run for 8 yds to the Iowa 28 - MICH 21, IOWA 3 0.51 99.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 28

Started Drive at: IOWA 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.79 - 4.29 = 0.51

Score Difference (Before): 18 (22.29)

Score Difference (End): 18 (22.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:01 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 2 at IOWA 28) J.J. McCarthy run for 5 yds to the Iowa 23 for a 1ST down - MICH 21, IOWA 3 0.15 99.6% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 23

Started Drive at: IOWA 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.93 - 4.79 = 0.15

Score Difference (Before): 18 (22.79)

Score Difference (End): 18 (22.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:22 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at IOWA 23) Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 22 yds to the Iowa 1 for a 1ST down - MICH 21, IOWA 3 1.68 99.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 1

Started Drive at: IOWA 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.54 - 4.86 = 1.68

Score Difference (Before): 18 (22.86)

Score Difference (End): 18 (24.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 21, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:16 ESPN team id 130 (1st & Goal at IOWA 1) Hassan Haskins 1 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick) - MICH 28, IOWA 3 0.48 99.6% 0.2%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: IOWA 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.52 = 0.48

Score Difference (Before): 18 (24.52)

Score Difference (End): 25 (25.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 28, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.6%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:16 ESPN team id 2294 (Kickoff at IOWA 35) Jake Moody kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MICH 28, IOWA 3 0.00 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.44 - -0.44 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -25 (-25.44)

Score Difference (End): -25 (-25.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 28, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:11 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 25) Alex Padilla pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 4 yds to the Iowa 29 - MICH 28, IOWA 3 -0.12 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.52 - -0.40 = -0.12

Score Difference (Before): -25 (-25.40)

Score Difference (End): -25 (-25.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 28, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:47 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 6 at IOWA 29) Alex Padilla pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 1 yd to the Iowa 30 - MICH 28, IOWA 3 -0.53 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 70

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.02 - -0.49 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): -25 (-25.49)

Score Difference (End): -25 (-26.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 28, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:26 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 5 at IOWA 30) IOWA Penalty, False Start (Mason Richman) to the Iowa 25 - MICH 28, IOWA 3 -0.79 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 75

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.68 - -0.89 = -0.79

Score Difference (Before): -25 (-25.89)

Score Difference (End): -25 (-26.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 28, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:57 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 10 at IOWA 25) Alex Padilla pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 5 yds to the Iowa 30 - MICH 28, IOWA 3 -0.51 0.2% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.00 - -1.49 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): -25 (-26.49)

Score Difference (End): -25 (-27.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 28, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:19 ESPN team id 2294 (4th & 5 at IOWA 30) Tory Taylor punt for 51 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the Mich 19 - MICH 28, IOWA 3 -0.31 0.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 81

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.24 - -1.93 = -0.31

Score Difference (Before): -25 (-26.93)

Score Difference (End): 25 (27.24)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MICH 28, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 9:12 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at MICH 19) Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Mich 20 - MICH 28, IOWA 3 -0.43 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 80

Started Drive at: MICH 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.55 - 1.98 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): 25 (26.98)

Score Difference (End): 25 (26.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 28, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:38 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 9 at MICH 20) Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 38 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST down - MICH 28, IOWA 3 2.47 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 42

Started Drive at: MICH 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.77 - 1.30 = 2.47

Score Difference (Before): 25 (26.30)

Score Difference (End): 25 (28.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 28, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:01 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at IOWA 42) Hassan Haskins run for 11 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST down - MICH 28, IOWA 3 1.03 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 31

Started Drive at: MICH 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.41 - 3.38 = 1.03

Score Difference (Before): 25 (28.38)

Score Difference (End): 25 (29.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 28, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:20 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at IOWA 31) Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Iowa 27 - MICH 28, IOWA 3 -0.17 99.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 27

Started Drive at: MICH 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.08 - 4.25 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): 25 (29.25)

Score Difference (End): 25 (29.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 28, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:35 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 6 at IOWA 27) Cornelius Johnson run for 17 yds to the Iowa 10 for a 1ST down - MICH 28, IOWA 3 1.40 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 10

Started Drive at: MICH 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.38 - 3.99 = 1.40

Score Difference (Before): 25 (28.99)

Score Difference (End): 25 (30.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 28, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 71 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:58 ESPN team id 130 (1st & Goal at IOWA 10) Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Iowa 5 - MICH 28, IOWA 3 0.21 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 5

Started Drive at: MICH 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.48 - 5.27 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): 25 (30.27)

Score Difference (End): 25 (30.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 28, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:31 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & Goal at IOWA 5) Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Daylen Baldwin - MICH 28, IOWA 3 -0.94 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 5

Started Drive at: MICH 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.43 - 5.37 = -0.94

Score Difference (Before): 25 (30.37)

Score Difference (End): 25 (29.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 28, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.9%

Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:24 ESPN team id 130 (3rd & Goal at IOWA 5) Erick All 5 Yd pass from Cade McNamara (Jake Moody Kick) - MICH 35, IOWA 3 2.60 99.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99

Started Drive at: MICH 19

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.40 = 2.60

Score Difference (Before): 25 (29.40)

Score Difference (End): 32 (32.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 35, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 81 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 28 (35) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:24 ESPN team id 2294 (Kickoff at IOWA 35) Jake Moody kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MICH 35, IOWA 3 0.00 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - 0.20 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -32 (-31.80)

Score Difference (End): -32 (-31.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 35, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:18 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 25) Gavin Williams run for 7 yds to the Iowa 32 - MICH 35, IOWA 3 0.29 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 68

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.48 - 0.19 = 0.29

Score Difference (Before): -32 (-31.81)

Score Difference (End): -32 (-31.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 35, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:42 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 3 at IOWA 32) Alex Padilla pass complete to Gavin Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 31 - MICH 35, IOWA 3 -0.61 0.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 69

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.06 - 0.55 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): -32 (-31.45)

Score Difference (End): -32 (-32.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 35, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.1%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:21 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 4 at IOWA 31) Alex Padilla pass intercepted Caden Kolesar return for 1 yd to the Iowa 36 - MICH 35, IOWA 3 -2.69 0.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 36

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.75 - -0.06 = -2.69

Score Difference (Before): -32 (-32.06)

Score Difference (End): 32 (34.75)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: MICH 35, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.1%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:12 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at IOWA 36) Leon Franklin run for 5 yds to the Iowa 31 - MICH 35, IOWA 3 0.13 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 31

Started Drive at: IOWA 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.71 - 2.58 = 0.13

Score Difference (Before): 32 (34.58)

Score Difference (End): 32 (34.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 35, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:33 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 5 at IOWA 31) J.J. McCarthy run for 7 yds to the Iowa 24 for a 1ST down - MICH 35, IOWA 3 0.87 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 24

Started Drive at: IOWA 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.34 - 2.46 = 0.87

Score Difference (Before): 32 (34.46)

Score Difference (End): 32 (35.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 35, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:55 ESPN team id 130 (1st & 10 at IOWA 24) J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Carter Selzer - MICH 35, IOWA 3 -0.19 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24

Started Drive at: IOWA 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.96 - 3.16 = -0.19

Score Difference (Before): 32 (35.16)

Score Difference (End): 32 (34.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 35, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:51 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & 10 at IOWA 24) J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Carter Selzer for 6 yds to the Iowa 18 - MICH 35, IOWA 3 0.06 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 18

Started Drive at: IOWA 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.83 - 2.77 = 0.06

Score Difference (Before): 32 (34.77)

Score Difference (End): 32 (34.83)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 35, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:09 ESPN team id 130 (3rd & 4 at IOWA 18) McCarthy, J.J. pass incomplete to Selzer, Carter, PENALTY IOWA pass interference (Koerner, Jack) 15 yards to the IOWA3, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN. - MICH 35, IOWA 3 2.90 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 3

Started Drive at: IOWA 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.75 - 2.85 = 2.90

Score Difference (Before): 32 (34.85)

Score Difference (End): 32 (37.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 35, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:03 ESPN team id 130 (1st & Goal at IOWA 3) Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the Iowa 1 - MICH 35, IOWA 3 0.31 100.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 1

Started Drive at: IOWA 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.94 - 5.63 = 0.31

Score Difference (Before): 32 (37.63)

Score Difference (End): 32 (37.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 35, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:25 ESPN team id 130 (2nd & Goal at IOWA 1) Donovan Edwards 1 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick) - MICH 42, IOWA 3 1.21 100.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: IOWA 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.79 = 1.21

Score Difference (Before): 32 (37.79)

Score Difference (End): 39 (39.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 42, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 100.0%

Win Probability (After): 100.0%

Away Score: 35 (42) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:25 ESPN team id 2294 (Kickoff at IOWA 35) Jake Moody kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - MICH 42, IOWA 3 0.00 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.24 - 0.24 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -39 (-38.76)

Score Difference (End): -39 (-38.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 42, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 42 (42) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:17 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 25) Gavin Williams run for 8 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (Joey George) to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST down - MICH 42, IOWA 3 0.50 0.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 52

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.74 - 0.23 = 0.50

Score Difference (Before): -39 (-38.76)

Score Difference (End): -39 (-38.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 42, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 1 play, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 42 (42) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:10 ESPN team id 2294 (1st & 10 at IOWA 48) Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the Iowa 49 - MICH 42, IOWA 3 -0.17 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 51

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.59 - 0.76 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): -39 (-38.24)

Score Difference (End): -39 (-38.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 42, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 42 (42) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:28 ESPN team id 2294 (2nd & 9 at IOWA 49) Alex Padilla pass incomplete to Arland Bruce IV - MICH 42, IOWA 3 0.04 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 51

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.43 - 0.39 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): -39 (-38.61)

Score Difference (End): -39 (-38.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 42, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 42 (42) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:22 ESPN team id 2294 (3rd & 9 at IOWA 49) Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the Mich 47 - MICH 42, IOWA 3 -0.10 0.0% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 47

Started Drive at: IOWA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.15 - 0.25 = -0.10

Score Difference (Before): -39 (-38.75)

Score Difference (End): -39 (-38.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: MICH 42, IOWA 3

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.0%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 42 (42) Home Score: 3 (3)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3