Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 3.74 | Odds: M-OH -2, O/U 56.5 | Download Chart
Expected Points
Team Stats [show/hide]
| Overall |  |
 |
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 75 | 88 |
| Total EPA | -7.9 | 14.93 |
| Offensive EPA | -7.19 | 15.02 |
| Special Teams EPA | -0.70 | 0.61 |
| Penalty EPA | -2.03 | 5.5 |
| Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA | 2.02 | -6.20 |
| Production | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 64 | 79 |
| Yards | 361 | 468 |
| Yards/Play | 5.64 | 5.92 |
| EPA | -7.19 | 15.02 |
| EPA/Play | -0.11 | 0.19 |
| Passes | 34 (53%) | 36 (46%) |
| Yards | 228 | 228 |
| Yards/Play | 6.71 | 6.33 |
| EPA | -6.80 | 5.93 |
| EPA/Play | -0.20 | 0.16 |
| Rushes | 30 (47%) | 43 (54%) |
| Yards | 98 | 229 |
| Yards/Play | 3.27 | 5.33 |
| EPA | -0.39 | 9.09 |
| EPA/Play | -0.01 | 0.21 |
| Rushing | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 64 | 79 |
| Rushes | 30 (47%) | 43 (54%) |
| Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) | 2 (7%) | 0 (0%) |
| Successful Power Runs (Rate) | 1 (50%) | 0 (0%) |
| Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) | 4 (13%) | 10 (23%) |
| Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) | 14 (47%) | 18 (42%) |
| Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) | 11 (37%) | 23 (53%) |
| OL Line Yards | 57.7 | 64.5 |
| Per Carry | 1.92 | 1.50 |
| Highlight Yards | 9.5 | 89 |
| Per Rush Opportunity | 0.86 | 3.87 |
| Explosiveness | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 75 | 88 |
| Scrimmage Plays | 64 | 79 |
| Explosive Plays | 3 (5%) | 6 (8%) |
| When Passing (EPA > 2.4) | 3 (9%) | 2 (6%) |
| When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) | 0 (0%) | 4 (9%) |
| EPA w/o Explosive Plays | -16.65 | -1.84 |
| EPA/Play | -0.27 | -0.03 |
| When Passing | -16.25 | -1.68 |
| EPA/Play | -0.48 | -0.05 |
| When Rushing | -0.39 | -0.17 |
| EPA/Play | -0.01 | 0.00 |
| Situational | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Successful Plays (EPA > 0) | 26 (41%) | 38 (48%) |
| When Passing | 14 (41%) | 15 (42%) |
| When Rushing | 12 (40%) | 23 (53%) |
| On Standard Downs | 19 (42%) | 25 (50%) |
| On Passing Downs | 7 (37%) | 13 (45%) |
| On Early Downs | 20 (41%) | 28 (44%) |
| On Late Downs | 6 (40%) | 10 (63%) |
| During "Middle 8" | 5 (45%) | 7 (47%) |
| Early Downs | 49 | 63 |
| First Downs Created | 13 (27%) | 14 (22%) |
| EPA | -0.39 | 4.84 |
| EPA/Play | -0.01 | 0.08 |
| Passes | 23 (47%) | 28 (44%) |
| Rushes | 26 (53%) | 35 (56%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 11 (48%) | 11 (39%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 9 (35%) | 17 (49%) |
| "Middle 8" Plays | 11 | 15 |
| EPA | -0.82 | 6.49 |
| EPA/play | -0.07 | 0.43 |
| Passes | 5 (45%) | 9 (60%) |
| Rushes | 6 (55%) | 6 (40%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 3 (60%) | 4 (44%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 2 (33%) | 3 (50%) |
| Drives | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total | 10 | 11 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 24 | Own 23 |
| Plays/Drive | 8.72 | 8.77 |
| Yards/Drive | 50.95 | 49.92 |
| Available Yards % | 67% | 65% |
| Defensive | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 79 | 64 |
| Stop Rate | 19% | 45% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 11 (14%) | 6 (9%) |
| Passing | 6 (17%) | 4 (12%) |
| Rushing | 5 (12%) | 2 (7%) |
| TFLs Generated | 11 | 4 |
| Passing | 6 | 2 |
| Rushing | 5 | 2 |
| Sacks Generated | 5 (14%) | 2 (6%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 2 |
| Fumbles Forced | 1 | 0 |
| Turnovers | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 |
| Fumbles | 0 | 1 |
| Fumbles Lost | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 0 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 2 | 0 |
| Turnover Margin | -2 | 2 |
| Expected Turnovers | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| Expected Turnover Margin | -0.4 | 0.4 |
| Turnover Luck (pts) | -7.8 | 7.8 |
| Special Teams | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 11 | 9 |
| Total EPA | -0.7 | 0.61 |
| Field Goal EPA | 0 | 0.74 |
| Punting EPA | 1.33 | 0.92 |
| Kickoff Return EPA | -2.03 | -1.04 |
North Texas [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Austin Aune | 15/32, 228 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT, 2 Scks, 42.1 xQBR | 6.71 | -0.20 | -6.80 | 41% | -21.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Austin Aune | 7 carries, 37 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.29 | 0.60 | 4.22 | 71% | 13.0% | |
| Isaiah Johnson | 6 carries, 21 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.50 | 0.65 | 3.91 | 83% | 13.0% | |
| Ayo Adeyi | 6 carries, 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.83 | -0.35 | -2.08 | 17% | -8.0% | |
| Ikaika Ragsdale | 11 carries, 23 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.09 | -0.59 | -6.44 | 9% | -13.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Roderic Burns | 4 catches (5 targets), 87 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 21.75 | 1.21 | 6.06 | 80% | 13.0% | |
| Jason Pirtle | 3 catches (4 targets), 29 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.67 | 0.92 | 3.67 | 50% | 6.0% | |
| Jake Roberts | 1 catch (1 target), 30 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 30.00 | 2.85 | 2.85 | 100% | 5.0% | |
| Damon Ward Jr. | 6 catches (10 targets), 70 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.67 | 0.23 | 2.30 | 60% | 9.0% | |
| Isaiah Johnson | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.56 | -0.56 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Asher Alberding | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.64 | -0.64 | 0% | -4.0% | |
| Detraveon Brown | 1 catch (3 targets), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.00 | -0.23 | -0.68 | 33% | -1.0% | |
| Khatib Lyles | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -1.11 | -1.11 | 0% | -3.0% | |
| Christian Lee | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -3.29 | -3.29 | 0% | -5.0% | |
Miami (OH) [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Brett Gabbert | 22/31, 228 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 5 Scks, 57.2 xQBR | 6.33 | 0.16 | 5.93 | 42% | 26.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Keyon Mozee | 9 carries, 77 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.56 | 0.53 | 4.74 | 56% | 20.0% | |
| Brett Gabbert | 8 carries, 22 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.75 | 0.55 | 4.43 | 62% | 7.0% | |
| Kenny Tracy | 14 carries, 92 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.57 | 0.14 | 1.96 | 43% | 3.0% | |
| Darez Snider | 2 carries, 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.50 | -0.28 | -0.55 | 50% | -2.0% | |
| Kevin Davis | 10 carries, 33 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.30 | -0.15 | -1.49 | 60% | -8.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Jack Sorenson | 7 catches (10 targets), 116 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 16.57 | 0.57 | 5.75 | 50% | 16.0% | |
| Kevin Davis | 5 catches (6 targets), 24 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.80 | 0.41 | 2.48 | 50% | 15.0% | |
| Nate Muersch | 1 catch (1 target), 11 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.00 | 2.37 | 2.37 | 100% | 4.0% | |
| Rhett Williams | 2 catches (2 targets), 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.00 | 0.62 | 1.23 | 100% | 4.0% | |
| Jack DeJarld | 1 catch (1 target), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 7.00 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 100% | 2.0% | |
| Jalen Walker | 4 catches (7 targets), 34 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.50 | 0.05 | 0.35 | 43% | -3.0% | |
| Jeremiah Batiste | 1 catch (1 target), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.00 | -0.04 | -0.04 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Andrew Homer | 1 catch (2 targets), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 7.00 | -0.39 | -0.78 | 0% | -2.0% | |
Big Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute EPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 6:04 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 37) Austin Aune pass intercepted John Saunders Jr. return for 31 yds to the NoTex 30 - UNT 14, M-OH 13 | -5.49 | 62.8% | -19.0% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 30 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.81 - 1.67 = -5.49 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.67) Score Difference (End): -1 (2.81) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.8% Win Probability (After): 43.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:50 | |
(3rd & 7 at M-OH 28) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 51 yds to the NoTex 21 for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | 4.67 | 74.8% | 9.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 21 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.71 - 0.03 = 4.67 Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.03) Score Difference (End): 6 (10.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.8% Win Probability (After): 84.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:00 | |
(2nd & 8 at UNT 12) Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 43 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST down - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | 3.50 | 40.6% | 6.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 45 Started Drive at: UNT 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.95 - -0.55 = 3.50 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.55) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.6% Win Probability (After): 46.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:16 | |
(3rd & 9 at M-OH 14) Austin Aune pass intercepted Jacquez Warren return for 13 yds to the MiaOh 13 - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | -3.44 | 41.4% | -14.0% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 87 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.20 - 3.24 = -3.44 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.76) Score Difference (End): 6 (6.20) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 74 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.4% Win Probability (After): 27.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:18 | |
(4th & Goal at M-OH 4) Austin Aune pass incomplete to Christian Lee - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -3.29 | 9.3% | -5.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 96 Started Drive at: UNT 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.47 - 2.82 = -3.29 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-10.18) Score Difference (End): 13 (13.47) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.3% Win Probability (After): 4.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 11:20 | |
(3rd & 11 at M-OH 42) Austin Aune pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 14 yds to the MiaOh 28 for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 3.11 | 8.3% | 3.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 28 Started Drive at: UNT 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.97 - 0.86 = 3.11 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.14) Score Difference (End): -13 (-9.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.3% Win Probability (After): 12.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 10:00 | |
(3rd & Goal at M-OH 1) Ikaika Ragsdale run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 4 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -3.03 | 15.3% | -4.5% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 4 Started Drive at: UNT 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.82 - 5.85 = -3.03 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-7.15) Score Difference (End): -13 (-10.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.3% Win Probability (After): 10.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 4:08 | |
(3rd & Goal at UNT 5) Kevin Davis 5 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson Kick) - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | 2.93 | 53.2% | 18.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNT 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.07 = 2.93 Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.07) Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.2% Win Probability (After): 71.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 13 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:15 | |
(2nd & 10 at UNT 25) Austin Aune pass complete to Jake Roberts for 30 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST down - UNT 0, M-OH 3 | 2.85 | 44.8% | 4.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 45 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.89 - 0.05 = 2.85 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.95) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.8% Win Probability (After): 49.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:50 | |
(3rd & 8 at UNT 43) Brett Gabbert run for 4 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Gabriel Murphy) to the NoTex 24 for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 2.56 | 93.7% | 1.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 24 Started Drive at: M-OH 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.58 - 2.04 = 2.56 Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.02) Score Difference (End): 13 (17.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.7% Win Probability (After): 95.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 6:04 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 37) Austin Aune pass intercepted John Saunders Jr. return for 31 yds to the NoTex 30 - UNT 14, M-OH 13 | -5.49 | 62.8% | -19.0% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 30 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.81 - 1.67 = -5.49 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.67) Score Difference (End): -1 (2.81) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.8% Win Probability (After): 43.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:08 | |
(3rd & Goal at UNT 5) Kevin Davis 5 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson Kick) - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | 2.93 | 53.2% | 18.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNT 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.07 = 2.93 Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.07) Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.2% Win Probability (After): 71.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 13 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:16 | |
(3rd & 9 at M-OH 14) Austin Aune pass intercepted Jacquez Warren return for 13 yds to the MiaOh 13 - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | -3.44 | 41.4% | -14.0% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 87 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.20 - 3.24 = -3.44 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.76) Score Difference (End): 6 (6.20) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 74 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.4% Win Probability (After): 27.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:27 | |
(4th & 5 at UNT 30) Graham Nicholson 48 Yd Field Goal - UNT 0, M-OH 3 | 1.52 | 50.0% | 10.0% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30 Started Drive at: M-OH 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.48 = 1.52 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.48) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.0% Win Probability (After): 60.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 11:32 | |
(3rd & Goal at M-OH 2) Austin Aune 2 Yd Run (Ethan Mooney Kick) - UNT 14, M-OH 10 | 1.73 | 55.2% | 9.7% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNT 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.27 = 1.73 Score Difference (Before): -3 (2.27) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 90 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.2% Win Probability (After): 64.9% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:50 | |
(3rd & 7 at M-OH 28) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 51 yds to the NoTex 21 for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | 4.67 | 74.8% | 9.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 21 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.71 - 0.03 = 4.67 Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.03) Score Difference (End): 6 (10.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.8% Win Probability (After): 84.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:30 | |
(2nd & 10 at M-OH 34) Keyon Mozee run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Sean-Thomas Faulkner) to the NoTex 35 for a 1ST down - UNT 0, M-OH 0 | 2.53 | 50.7% | 7.8% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 35 Started Drive at: M-OH 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.78 - 1.22 = 2.53 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.25) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.7% Win Probability (After): 58.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:52 | |
(4th & 10 at UNT 18) Graham Nicholson 36 Yd Field Goal - UNT 14, M-OH 13 | 1.09 | 42.2% | 6.9% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.91 = 1.09 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.09) Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 13 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.2% Win Probability (After): 49.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 3:59 | |
(1st & Goal at UNT 8) Kenny Tracy 8 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick) - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | 1.60 | 50.5% | 6.4% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.40 = 1.60 Score Difference (Before): -4 (1.40) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.5% Win Probability (After): 56.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:20 | |
(3rd & 10 at M-OH 18) Austin Aune pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 11 yds to the MiaOh 7 for a 1ST down - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | 2.21 | 51.1% | 6.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 7 Started Drive at: UNT 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.49 - 3.28 = 2.21 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.28) Score Difference (End): -3 (2.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 83 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.1% Win Probability (After): 57.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Scoring Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 12:27 | |
(4th & 5 at UNT 30) Graham Nicholson 48 Yd Field Goal - UNT 0, M-OH 3 | 1.52 | 50.0% | 10.0% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30 Started Drive at: M-OH 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.48 = 1.52 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.48) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.0% Win Probability (After): 60.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 8:06 | |
(1st & Goal at M-OH 1) Isaiah Johnson 1 Yd Run (Ethan Mooney Kick) - UNT 7, M-OH 3 | 0.56 | 58.0% | 3.1% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.44 = 0.56 Score Difference (Before): -3 (3.44) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 3 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.0% Win Probability (After): 61.2% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:59 | |
(1st & Goal at UNT 8) Kenny Tracy 8 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick) - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | 1.60 | 50.5% | 6.4% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.40 = 1.60 Score Difference (Before): -4 (1.40) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.5% Win Probability (After): 56.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:32 | |
(3rd & Goal at M-OH 2) Austin Aune 2 Yd Run (Ethan Mooney Kick) - UNT 14, M-OH 10 | 1.73 | 55.2% | 9.7% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNT 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.27 = 1.73 Score Difference (Before): -3 (2.27) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 90 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.2% Win Probability (After): 64.9% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:52 | |
(4th & 10 at UNT 18) Graham Nicholson 36 Yd Field Goal - UNT 14, M-OH 13 | 1.09 | 42.2% | 6.9% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.91 = 1.09 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.09) Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 13 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.2% Win Probability (After): 49.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 4:08 | |
(3rd & Goal at UNT 5) Kevin Davis 5 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson Kick) - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | 2.93 | 53.2% | 18.1% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNT 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.07 = 2.93 Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.07) Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.2% Win Probability (After): 71.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 13 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:31 | |
(2nd & 10 at UNT 11) Nate Muersch 11 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson Kick) - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 2.37 | 84.1% | 4.2% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.63 = 2.37 Score Difference (Before): 6 (10.63) Score Difference (End): 13 (13.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.1% Win Probability (After): 88.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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All Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at UNT 35) Graham Nicholson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNT 0, M-OH 0 | 0.00 | 44.2% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.2% Win Probability (After): 44.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:40 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 25) Ikaika Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the NoTex 27 - UNT 0, M-OH 0 | -0.73 | 51.5% | -5.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.32 - 1.05 = -0.73 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.05) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.5% Win Probability (After): 46.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:25 | |
(2nd & 8 at UNT 27) Austin Aune run for 8 yds to the NoTex 35 for a 1ST down - UNT 0, M-OH 0 | 1.47 | 50.3% | 3.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 65 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 0.49 = 1.47 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.49) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.3% Win Probability (After): 53.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:09 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 35) Austin Aune pass incomplete - UNT 0, M-OH 0 | -0.67 | 53.7% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.28 - 1.95 = -0.67 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.95) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.7% Win Probability (After): 52.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:03 | |
(2nd & 10 at UNT 35) Austin Aune pass incomplete to Damon Ward Jr. - UNT 0, M-OH 0 | -0.98 | 51.1% | -2.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.36 - 1.34 = -0.98 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.34) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.1% Win Probability (After): 48.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:59 | |
(3rd & 10 at UNT 35) Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jason Pirtle - UNT 0, M-OH 0 | -1.57 | 48.8% | -3.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.14 - 0.43 = -1.57 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.43) Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.8% Win Probability (After): 45.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:49 | |
(4th & 10 at UNT 35) Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 38 yds , Jalen Walker returns for 7 yds to the MiaOh 34 - UNT 0, M-OH 0 | -0.90 | 46.0% | -1.1% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 66 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.98 - -1.08 = -0.90 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.08) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.98) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.0% Win Probability (After): 44.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 13:43 | |
(1st & 10 at M-OH 34) Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Andrew Homer - UNT 0, M-OH 0 | -0.66 | 54.6% | -2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66 Started Drive at: M-OH 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.25 - 1.91 = -0.66 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.91) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.6% Win Probability (After): 52.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:30 | |
(2nd & 10 at M-OH 34) Keyon Mozee run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Sean-Thomas Faulkner) to the NoTex 35 for a 1ST down - UNT 0, M-OH 0 | 2.53 | 50.7% | 7.8% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 35 Started Drive at: M-OH 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.78 - 1.22 = 2.53 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.25) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.7% Win Probability (After): 58.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:20 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 35) Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack Sorenson - UNT 0, M-OH 0 | -0.61 | 57.3% | -0.5% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35 Started Drive at: M-OH 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.20 - 3.81 = -0.61 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.81) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.3% Win Probability (After): 56.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:10 | |
(2nd & 10 at UNT 35) Keyon Mozee run for 5 yds to the NoTex 30 - UNT 0, M-OH 0 | -0.07 | 56.1% | -0.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 30 Started Drive at: M-OH 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.11 - 3.18 = -0.07 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.18) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.1% Win Probability (After): 55.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:32 | |
(3rd & 5 at UNT 30) Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack Sorenson - UNT 0, M-OH 0 | -1.60 | 54.8% | -4.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30 Started Drive at: M-OH 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - 3.10 = -1.60 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.10) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.8% Win Probability (After): 50.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:27 | |
(4th & 5 at UNT 30) Graham Nicholson 48 Yd Field Goal - UNT 0, M-OH 3 | 1.52 | 50.0% | 10.0% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30 Started Drive at: M-OH 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.48 = 1.52 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.48) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.0% Win Probability (After): 60.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 12:27 | |
(Kickoff at UNT 35) Graham Nicholson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNT 0, M-OH 3 | 0.00 | 46.1% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - 0.64 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.36) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.1% Win Probability (After): 46.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:22 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 25) Austin Aune pass incomplete to Damon Ward Jr. - UNT 0, M-OH 3 | -0.60 | 46.3% | -1.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.04 - 0.64 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.36) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.3% Win Probability (After): 44.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:15 | |
(2nd & 10 at UNT 25) Austin Aune pass complete to Jake Roberts for 30 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST down - UNT 0, M-OH 3 | 2.85 | 44.8% | 4.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 45 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.89 - 0.05 = 2.85 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.95) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.8% Win Probability (After): 49.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:00 | |
(1st & 10 at M-OH 45) Ikaika Ragsdale run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST down - UNT 0, M-OH 3 | 0.92 | 49.5% | 3.0% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 33 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.82 - 2.91 = 0.92 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.09) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.5% Win Probability (After): 52.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:30 | |
(1st & 10 at M-OH 33) Austin Aune pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 10 yds to the MiaOh 23 for a 1ST down - UNT 0, M-OH 3 | 0.39 | 51.7% | 2.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 23 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.29 - 3.91 = 0.39 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.91) Score Difference (End): -3 (1.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.7% Win Probability (After): 54.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:00 | |
(1st & 10 at M-OH 23) Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 4 yds to the MiaOh 19 - UNT 0, M-OH 3 | 0.05 | 54.6% | -0.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 19 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - 4.29 = 0.05 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.29) Score Difference (End): -3 (1.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.6% Win Probability (After): 54.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:40 | |
(2nd & 6 at M-OH 19) Ayo Adeyi run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 18 - UNT 0, M-OH 3 | -0.69 | 56.1% | -3.0% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 18 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 4.28 = -0.69 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.28) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.1% Win Probability (After): 53.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(3rd & 5 at M-OH 18) Austin Aune pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 4 yds to the MiaOh 14 - UNT 0, M-OH 3 | -0.08 | 53.8% | -0.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 14 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.61 - 3.69 = -0.08 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.69) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.8% Win Probability (After): 53.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:45 | |
(4th & 1 at M-OH 14) Isaiah Johnson run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 12 for a 1ST down - UNT 0, M-OH 3 | 1.29 | 53.2% | 4.5% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 12 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.98 - 3.68 = 1.29 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.68) Score Difference (End): -3 (1.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 3 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.2% Win Probability (After): 57.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 9:00 | |
(1st & 10 at M-OH 12) Austin Aune run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 9 - UNT 0, M-OH 3 | -0.27 | 58.7% | -1.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 9 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.69 - 4.96 = -0.27 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.96) Score Difference (End): -3 (1.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 3 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.7% Win Probability (After): 56.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:40 | |
(2nd & 7 at M-OH 9) Isaiah Johnson run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 4 - UNT 0, M-OH 3 | 0.40 | 56.8% | 1.5% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 4 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.10 - 4.69 = 0.40 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.69) Score Difference (End): -3 (2.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 3 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.8% Win Probability (After): 58.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:20 | |
(3rd & 2 at M-OH 4) Isaiah Johnson run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 1 for a 1ST down - UNT 0, M-OH 3 | 1.38 | 56.5% | 2.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 1 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.45 - 5.07 = 1.38 Score Difference (Before): -3 (2.07) Score Difference (End): -3 (3.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 0, M-OH 3 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 74 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.5% Win Probability (After): 58.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:06 | |
(1st & Goal at M-OH 1) Isaiah Johnson 1 Yd Run (Ethan Mooney Kick) - UNT 7, M-OH 3 | 0.56 | 58.0% | 3.1% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.44 = 0.56 Score Difference (Before): -3 (3.44) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 3 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.0% Win Probability (After): 61.2% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:06 | |
(Kickoff at M-OH 35) Ethan Mooney kickoff for 54 yds , Kevin Davis return for 14 yds to the MiaOh 25 - UNT 7, M-OH 3 | -1.04 | 37.5% | -1.3% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.33 - 0.71 = -1.04 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.29) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.5% Win Probability (After): 36.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:00 | |
(1st & 10 at M-OH 25) Brett Gabbert sacked by Gabriel Murphy for a loss of 8 yards to the MiaOh 17 - UNT 7, M-OH 3 | -1.48 | 38.6% | -4.7% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 83 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.77 - 0.70 = -1.48 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.30) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, -8 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.6% Win Probability (After): 33.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:40 | |
(2nd & 18 at M-OH 17) Keyon Mozee run for 14 yds to the MiaOh 31 - UNT 7, M-OH 3 | 0.98 | 34.6% | 2.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 69 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.19 - -0.79 = 0.98 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.79) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.6% Win Probability (After): 36.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:20 | |
(3rd & 4 at M-OH 31) Gabbert, Brett pass incomplete to Sorenson, Jack, PENALTY NORTHTEXAS pass interference (Faulkner, Sean-Thomas) 15 yards to the MIAMIOH46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIAMIOH. - UNT 7, M-OH 3 | 2.07 | 36.6% | 5.0% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 54 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.28 - 0.21 = 2.07 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.79) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.6% Win Probability (After): 41.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:00 | |
(1st & 10 at M-OH 46) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 6 yds to the NoTex 48 - UNT 7, M-OH 3 | 0.28 | 41.6% | 0.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 48 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.57 - 2.29 = 0.28 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.71) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.6% Win Probability (After): 41.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:40 | |
(2nd & 4 at UNT 48) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack DeJarld for 7 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST down - UNT 7, M-OH 3 | 0.67 | 41.7% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 41 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.27 - 2.60 = 0.67 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.40) Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.7% Win Probability (After): 43.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:00 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 41) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 23 yds to the NoTex 18 for a 1ST down - UNT 7, M-OH 3 | 1.44 | 42.9% | 5.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 18 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.71 - 3.27 = 1.44 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.73) Score Difference (End): -4 (0.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.9% Win Probability (After): 48.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:30 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 18) Kevin Davis run for 8 yds to the NoTex 10 - UNT 7, M-OH 3 | 0.52 | 48.2% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 10 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.23 - 4.71 = 0.52 Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.71) Score Difference (End): -4 (1.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.2% Win Probability (After): 49.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:30 | |
(2nd & 2 at UNT 10) Kevin Davis run for 2 yds to the NoTex 8 for a 1ST down - UNT 7, M-OH 3 | 0.13 | 49.6% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 8 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.39 - 5.26 = 0.13 Score Difference (Before): -4 (1.26) Score Difference (End): -4 (1.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.6% Win Probability (After): 49.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:59 | |
(1st & Goal at UNT 8) Kenny Tracy 8 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick) - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | 1.60 | 50.5% | 6.4% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.40 = 1.60 Score Difference (Before): -4 (1.40) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.5% Win Probability (After): 56.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:59 | |
(Kickoff at UNT 35) Graham Nicholson kickoff for 65 yds , Roderic Burns return for 19 yds to the MIAMIOH 46 NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the NoTex 9 - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | -2.03 | 46.2% | -3.9% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 91 Started Drive at: UNT 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.32 - 0.71 = -2.03 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-10.96) Score Difference (End): -3 (-4.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.2% Win Probability (After): 42.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:50 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 10) Austin Aune pass incomplete to Damon Ward Jr. - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | -0.76 | 44.3% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 90 Started Drive at: UNT 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.86 - -0.10 = -0.76 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.10) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.3% Win Probability (After): 42.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:40 | |
(2nd & 10 at UNT 10) Ayo Adeyi run for no gain to the NoTex 10 - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | -0.88 | 42.4% | -2.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 90 Started Drive at: UNT 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.74 - -0.86 = -0.88 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.86) Score Difference (End): -3 (-4.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.4% Win Probability (After): 40.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:30 | |
(3rd & 10 at UNT 10) Austin Aune pass incomplete to Khatib Lyles - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | -1.11 | 40.2% | -3.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 90 Started Drive at: UNT 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.85 - -1.74 = -1.11 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-4.74) Score Difference (End): -3 (-5.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.2% Win Probability (After): 37.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:06 | |
(4th & 10 at UNT 10) Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 70 yds, downed at the MiaOh 20 - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | 1.61 | 36.3% | 5.7% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 80 Started Drive at: UNT 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.22 - -2.83 = 1.61 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-5.83) Score Difference (End): 3 (4.22) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.3% Win Probability (After): 42.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 2:50 | |
(1st & 10 at M-OH 20) Keyon Mozee run for 23 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST down - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | 1.34 | 56.5% | 4.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 57 Started Drive at: M-OH 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - 1.25 = 1.34 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.25) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.5% Win Probability (After): 60.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:50 | |
(1st & 10 at M-OH 43) Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jalen Walker - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | -0.60 | 59.5% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 57 Started Drive at: M-OH 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.00 - 2.60 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.60) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.5% Win Probability (After): 58.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:45 | |
(2nd & 10 at M-OH 43) MIAMI OH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 38 - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | -0.63 | 59.5% | -3.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 62 Started Drive at: M-OH 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.36 - 1.99 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.99) Score Difference (End): 3 (4.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.5% Win Probability (After): 56.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:35 | |
(2nd & 15 at M-OH 38) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andrew Homer for 7 yds to the MiaOh 45 - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | -0.12 | 57.1% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 55 Started Drive at: M-OH 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.23 - 1.35 = -0.12 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.35) Score Difference (End): 3 (4.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.1% Win Probability (After): 57.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:00 | |
(3rd & 8 at M-OH 45) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 11 yds to the NoTex 44 for a 1ST down - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | 2.17 | 57.0% | 4.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 44 Started Drive at: M-OH 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.40 - 1.24 = 2.17 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.24) Score Difference (End): 3 (6.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.0% Win Probability (After): 61.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:15 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 44) Brett Gabbert sacked by Grayson Murphy for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 46 - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | -1.12 | 60.5% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 46 Started Drive at: M-OH 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 3.41 = -1.12 Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.41) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.5% Win Probability (After): 59.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:01 | |
(2nd & 12 at UNT 46) MIAMI OH Penalty, Illegal Participation (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 49 - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | -0.47 | 58.9% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 51 Started Drive at: M-OH 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - 2.31 = -0.47 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.31) Score Difference (End): 3 (4.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.9% Win Probability (After): 58.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:30 | |
(2nd & 17 at M-OH 49) Darez Snider run for no gain to the MiaOh 49 - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | -1.02 | 58.0% | -2.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 51 Started Drive at: M-OH 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.83 - 1.84 = -1.02 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.84) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.0% Win Probability (After): 55.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:00 | |
(3rd & 17 at M-OH 49) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 48 - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | -1.32 | 54.7% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 52 Started Drive at: M-OH 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.54 - 0.79 = -1.32 Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.79) Score Difference (End): 3 (2.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.7% Win Probability (After): 53.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:53 | |
(4th & 18 at M-OH 48) Dom Dzioban punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Roderic Burns at the NoTex 10 - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | 0.49 | 55.5% | 4.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 90 Started Drive at: M-OH 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - -0.50 = 0.49 Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.50) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.99) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.5% Win Probability (After): 59.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 14:50 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 10) Isaiah Johnson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 12 - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | -0.58 | 40.8% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 88 Started Drive at: UNT 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.54 - 0.04 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.96) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.8% Win Probability (After): 39.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:00 | |
(2nd & 8 at UNT 12) Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 43 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST down - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | 3.50 | 40.6% | 6.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 45 Started Drive at: UNT 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.95 - -0.55 = 3.50 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.55) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.6% Win Probability (After): 46.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:50 | |
(1st & 10 at M-OH 45) Austin Aune run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 40 - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | 0.20 | 49.4% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 40 Started Drive at: UNT 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.16 - 2.97 = 0.20 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.03) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.4% Win Probability (After): 50.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:30 | |
(2nd & 5 at M-OH 40) Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 22 yds to the MiaOh 18 for a 1ST down - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | 1.51 | 51.2% | 5.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 18 Started Drive at: UNT 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.69 - 3.18 = 1.51 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.18) Score Difference (End): -3 (1.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 72 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.2% Win Probability (After): 57.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:15 | |
(1st & 10 at M-OH 18) Austin Aune pass incomplete to Detraveon Brown - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | -0.65 | 57.3% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18 Started Drive at: UNT 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.06 - 4.71 = -0.65 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.71) Score Difference (End): -3 (1.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 72 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.3% Win Probability (After): 55.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at M-OH 18) Ikaika Ragsdale run for no gain to the MiaOh 18 - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | -0.79 | 54.1% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18 Started Drive at: UNT 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - 4.07 = -0.79 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.07) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 72 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.1% Win Probability (After): 52.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:20 | |
(3rd & 10 at M-OH 18) Austin Aune pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 11 yds to the MiaOh 7 for a 1ST down - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | 2.21 | 51.1% | 6.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 7 Started Drive at: UNT 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.49 - 3.28 = 2.21 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.28) Score Difference (End): -3 (2.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 83 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.1% Win Probability (After): 57.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:55 | |
(1st & Goal at M-OH 7) Austin Aune pass incomplete to Roderic Burns - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | -0.63 | 56.4% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7 Started Drive at: UNT 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.84 - 5.46 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): -3 (2.46) Score Difference (End): -3 (1.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 83 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.4% Win Probability (After): 56.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:40 | |
(2nd & Goal at M-OH 7) Ayo Adeyi run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 2 - UNT 7, M-OH 10 | 0.44 | 55.8% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 2 Started Drive at: UNT 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.26 - 4.82 = 0.44 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.82) Score Difference (End): -3 (2.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 7, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 88 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.8% Win Probability (After): 55.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:32 | |
(3rd & Goal at M-OH 2) Austin Aune 2 Yd Run (Ethan Mooney Kick) - UNT 14, M-OH 10 | 1.73 | 55.2% | 9.7% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNT 10 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.27 = 1.73 Score Difference (Before): -3 (2.27) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 90 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.2% Win Probability (After): 64.9% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:32 | |
(Kickoff at M-OH 35) Ethan Mooney kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNT 14, M-OH 10 | 0.00 | 39.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.76 - 0.76 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.24) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.4% Win Probability (After): 39.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:20 | |
(1st & 10 at M-OH 25) Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the MiaOh 25 - UNT 14, M-OH 10 | -0.64 | 39.7% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.19 - 0.83 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.17) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.7% Win Probability (After): 38.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at M-OH 25) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 16 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 10 | 1.86 | 39.3% | 4.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 59 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.10 - 0.23 = 1.86 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.77) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.3% Win Probability (After): 43.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:30 | |
(1st & 10 at M-OH 41) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 10 yds to the MIAMIOH 49 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Roughing Passer (KD Davis) to the NoTex 32 for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 10 | 1.80 | 43.8% | 4.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 32 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.89 - 2.09 = 1.80 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.90) Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.8% Win Probability (After): 48.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:47 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 32) Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jalen Walker - UNT 14, M-OH 10 | -0.51 | 47.6% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.35 - 3.86 = -0.51 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.14) Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.6% Win Probability (After): 46.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:20 | |
(2nd & 10 at UNT 32) Keyon Mozee run for 8 yds to the NoTex 24 - UNT 14, M-OH 10 | 0.29 | 46.0% | 1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 24 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 3.31 = 0.29 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.69) Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.0% Win Probability (After): 47.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:00 | |
(3rd & 2 at UNT 24) Keyon Mozee run for 6 yds to the NoTex 18 for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 10 | 1.05 | 48.0% | 5.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 18 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.67 - 3.62 = 1.05 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.38) Score Difference (End): -4 (0.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.0% Win Probability (After): 53.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:13 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 18) Brett Gabbert pass incomplete - UNT 14, M-OH 10 | -0.54 | 52.2% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.06 - 4.60 = -0.54 Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.60) Score Difference (End): -4 (0.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.2% Win Probability (After): 50.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:54 | |
(2nd & 10 at UNT 18) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jeremiah Batiste for 5 yds to the NoTex 13 - UNT 14, M-OH 10 | -0.04 | 49.4% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 13 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.87 - 3.91 = -0.04 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.09) Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.4% Win Probability (After): 48.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:05 | |
(3rd & 5 at UNT 13) Kevin Davis run for a loss of 5 yards to the NoTex 18 - UNT 14, M-OH 10 | -2.03 | 48.2% | -6.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 18 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 3.89 = -2.03 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.11) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.2% Win Probability (After): 42.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:52 | |
(4th & 10 at UNT 18) Graham Nicholson 36 Yd Field Goal - UNT 14, M-OH 13 | 1.09 | 42.2% | 6.9% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.91 = 1.09 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.09) Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 13 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.2% Win Probability (After): 49.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 6:52 | |
(Kickoff at UNT 35) Graham Nicholson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNT 14, M-OH 13 | 0.00 | 60.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 1.07 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.07) Score Difference (End): 1 (2.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 13 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.0% Win Probability (After): 60.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:45 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 25) Ayo Adeyi run for 3 yds to the NoTex 28 - UNT 14, M-OH 13 | -0.49 | 61.2% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.63 - 1.12 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.12) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.2% Win Probability (After): 59.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:30 | |
(2nd & 7 at UNT 28) Austin Aune pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 9 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 13 | 1.23 | 61.5% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 63 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.86 - 0.63 = 1.23 Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.63) Score Difference (End): 1 (2.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.5% Win Probability (After): 62.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:04 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 37) Austin Aune pass intercepted John Saunders Jr. return for 31 yds to the NoTex 30 - UNT 14, M-OH 13 | -5.49 | 62.8% | -19.0% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 30 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.81 - 1.67 = -5.49 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.67) Score Difference (End): -1 (2.81) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.8% Win Probability (After): 43.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:55 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 30) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Rhett Williams for 20 yds to the NoTex 10 for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 13 | 1.04 | 54.8% | 3.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 10 Started Drive at: UNT 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.77 - 3.74 = 1.04 Score Difference (Before): -1 (2.74) Score Difference (End): -1 (3.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.8% Win Probability (After): 57.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:20 | |
(1st & Goal at UNT 10) Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the NoTex 10 - UNT 14, M-OH 13 | -0.53 | 56.4% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 10 Started Drive at: UNT 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.24 - 4.77 = -0.53 Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.77) Score Difference (End): -1 (3.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.4% Win Probability (After): 57.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:35 | |
(2nd & Goal at UNT 10) Keyon Mozee run for 5 yds to the NoTex 5 - UNT 14, M-OH 13 | -0.21 | 53.8% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 5 Started Drive at: UNT 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.05 - 4.26 = -0.21 Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.26) Score Difference (End): -1 (3.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.8% Win Probability (After): 54.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:08 | |
(3rd & Goal at UNT 5) Kevin Davis 5 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson Kick) - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | 2.93 | 53.2% | 18.1% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99 Started Drive at: UNT 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.07 = 2.93 Score Difference (Before): -1 (3.07) Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.2% Win Probability (After): 71.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 13 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:08 | |
(Kickoff at UNT 35) Graham Nicholson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | 0.00 | 32.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.91 - 0.91 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.09) Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.3% Win Probability (After): 32.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:00 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 25) Ayo Adeyi run for 3 yds to the NoTex 28 - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | -0.37 | 32.5% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.52 - 0.89 = -0.37 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.11) Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.5% Win Probability (After): 31.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:30 | |
(2nd & 7 at UNT 28) Austin Aune run for 8 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | 1.14 | 31.7% | 1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 64 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.64 - 0.49 = 1.14 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.51) Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.7% Win Probability (After): 33.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:00 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 36) Ikaika Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the NoTex 38 - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | -0.33 | 33.2% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 62 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.20 - 1.53 = -0.33 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.47) Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.2% Win Probability (After): 32.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:40 | |
(2nd & 8 at UNT 38) Austin Aune run for 5 yds to the NoTex 43 - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | 0.02 | 32.6% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 57 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.21 - 1.20 = 0.02 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.80) Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.6% Win Probability (After): 32.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:10 | |
(3rd & 3 at UNT 43) Austin Aune pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | 0.82 | 32.1% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 50 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 1.24 = 0.82 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.76) Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.1% Win Probability (After): 34.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:55 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) Austin Aune pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 20 yds to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | 1.25 | 34.6% | 4.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 30 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.23 - 1.98 = 1.25 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-4.02) Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.6% Win Probability (After): 39.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:50 | |
(1st & 10 at M-OH 30) Austin Aune pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 15 yds to the MiaOh 15 for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | 1.38 | 39.4% | 5.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 15 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.44 - 3.06 = 1.38 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.94) Score Difference (End): -6 (-1.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.4% Win Probability (After): 44.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:25 | |
(1st & 10 at M-OH 15) Ikaika Ragsdale run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 14 - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | -0.34 | 45.1% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 14 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.90 - 4.24 = -0.34 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-1.76) Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.1% Win Probability (After): 43.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:25 | |
(2nd & 9 at M-OH 14) Timeout MIAMI OH, clock 01:25 - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | 0.00 | 44.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.90 - 3.90 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.10) Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.5% Win Probability (After): 44.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 1:24 | |
(2nd & 9 at M-OH 14) Austin Aune pass incomplete to Asher Alberding - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | -0.64 | 44.6% | -3.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.20 - 3.84 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.16) Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.6% Win Probability (After): 40.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 1:16 | |
(3rd & 9 at M-OH 14) Austin Aune pass intercepted Jacquez Warren return for 13 yds to the MiaOh 13 - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | -3.44 | 41.4% | -14.0% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 87 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.20 - 3.24 = -3.44 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.76) Score Difference (End): 6 (6.20) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 74 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.4% Win Probability (After): 27.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:10 | |
(1st & 10 at M-OH 13) Kenny Tracy run for no gain to the MiaOh 13 - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | -0.16 | 72.7% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 87 Started Drive at: M-OH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 0.28 = -0.16 Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.28) Score Difference (End): 6 (6.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.7% Win Probability (After): 72.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:10 | |
(2nd & 10 at M-OH 13) Timeout NORTH TEXAS, clock 01:10 - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | 0.00 | 72.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 87 Started Drive at: M-OH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 0.13 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.13) Score Difference (End): 6 (6.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.1% Win Probability (After): 72.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 1:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at M-OH 13) Kenny Tracy run for 21 yds to the MiaOh 34 for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | 0.91 | 72.8% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 66 Started Drive at: M-OH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 0.16 = 0.91 Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.16) Score Difference (End): 6 (7.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.8% Win Probability (After): 74.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:48 | |
(1st & 10 at M-OH 34) Brett Gabbert run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 40 - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | 0.25 | 74.6% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 60 Started Drive at: M-OH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.00 - 0.75 = 0.25 Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.75) Score Difference (End): 6 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.6% Win Probability (After): 76.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:48 | |
(2nd & 4 at M-OH 40) Timeout MIAMI OH, clock 00:48 for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | 0.00 | 76.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60 Started Drive at: M-OH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.00 - 1.00 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.00) Score Difference (End): 6 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.6% Win Probability (After): 76.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:43 | |
(2nd & 4 at M-OH 40) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | 0.31 | 76.0% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 50 Started Drive at: M-OH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.20 - 0.89 = 0.31 Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.89) Score Difference (End): 6 (7.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.0% Win Probability (After): 76.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:38 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Rhett Williams for 4 yds to the NoTex 46 - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | 0.20 | 76.4% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 46 Started Drive at: M-OH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.28 - 1.09 = 0.20 Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.09) Score Difference (End): 6 (7.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.4% Win Probability (After): 77.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:38 | |
(2nd & 6 at UNT 46) Timeout NORTH TEXAS, clock 00:38 - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | 0.00 | 77.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46 Started Drive at: M-OH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.28 - 1.28 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.28) Score Difference (End): 6 (7.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.0% Win Probability (After): 77.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:33 | |
(2nd & 6 at UNT 46) Brett Gabbert sacked by Dion Novil and Gabriel Murphy for a loss of 5 yards to the MIAMIOH 49 MIAMI OH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 44 - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | -0.65 | 77.4% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 56 Started Drive at: M-OH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.56 - 1.27 = -0.65 Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.21) Score Difference (End): 6 (6.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.4% Win Probability (After): 75.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:00 | |
(2nd & 16 at M-OH 44) Brett Gabbert sacked by KD Davis and Kevin Wood for a loss of 10 yards to the MiaOh 34 Brett Gabbert fumbled, forced by KD Davis, recovered by MiaOh Brett Gabbert , return for 0 yards - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | -0.13 | 74.4% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 66 Started Drive at: M-OH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.30 - 0.13 = -0.13 Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.13) Score Difference (End): 6 (6.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.4% Win Probability (After): 76.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at M-OH 35) Ethan Mooney kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | 0.00 | 76.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.35 - 1.35 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.35) Score Difference (End): 6 (7.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.1% Win Probability (After): 76.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:55 | |
(1st & 10 at M-OH 25) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 2 yds to the MiaOh 27 - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | -0.61 | 76.3% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.82 - 1.43 = -0.61 Score Difference (Before): 6 (7.43) Score Difference (End): 6 (6.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.3% Win Probability (After): 75.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:34 | |
(2nd & 8 at M-OH 27) MIAMI OH Penalty, False Start (Kevin Davis) to the MiaOh 22 - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | -0.62 | 75.7% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 78 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.36 - 0.98 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.98) Score Difference (End): 6 (6.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.7% Win Probability (After): 75.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:22 | |
(2nd & 13 at M-OH 22) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 6 yds to the MiaOh 28 - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | -0.44 | 75.0% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 72 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - 0.42 = -0.44 Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.42) Score Difference (End): 6 (5.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.0% Win Probability (After): 74.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:50 | |
(3rd & 7 at M-OH 28) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 51 yds to the NoTex 21 for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | 4.67 | 74.8% | 9.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 21 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.71 - 0.03 = 4.67 Score Difference (Before): 6 (6.03) Score Difference (End): 6 (10.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.8% Win Probability (After): 84.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:39 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 21) Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jalen Walker - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | -0.58 | 84.2% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 21 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.15 - 4.73 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): 6 (10.73) Score Difference (End): 6 (10.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.2% Win Probability (After): 83.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:25 | |
(2nd & 10 at UNT 21) Kenny Tracy run for 2 yds to the NoTex 19 - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | -0.72 | 83.4% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 19 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.44 - 4.16 = -0.72 Score Difference (Before): 6 (10.16) Score Difference (End): 6 (9.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.4% Win Probability (After): 81.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:55 | |
(3rd & 8 at UNT 19) Brett Gabbert run for 8 yds to the NoTex 11 for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | 1.70 | 82.3% | 2.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 11 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.14 - 3.44 = 1.70 Score Difference (Before): 6 (9.44) Score Difference (End): 6 (11.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.3% Win Probability (After): 84.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:00 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 11) Kenny Tracy run for no gain to the NoTex 11 - UNT 14, M-OH 20 | -0.65 | 84.3% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.57 - 5.22 = -0.65 Score Difference (Before): 6 (11.22) Score Difference (End): 6 (10.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 20 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.3% Win Probability (After): 84.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:31 | |
(2nd & 10 at UNT 11) Nate Muersch 11 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson Kick) - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 2.37 | 84.1% | 4.2% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 99 Started Drive at: M-OH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.63 = 2.37 Score Difference (Before): 6 (10.63) Score Difference (End): 13 (13.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.1% Win Probability (After): 88.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 20 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:31 | |
(Kickoff at UNT 35) Graham Nicholson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 0.00 | 12.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - 0.01 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.99) Score Difference (End): -13 (-12.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.9% Win Probability (After): 12.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:10 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 25) Ikaika Ragsdale run for 3 yds to the NoTex 28 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -0.32 | 12.6% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.40 - -0.08 = -0.32 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-13.08) Score Difference (End): -13 (-13.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.6% Win Probability (After): 12.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:40 | |
(2nd & 7 at UNT 28) Ikaika Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the NoTex 30 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -0.48 | 11.0% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 70 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.84 - -0.37 = -0.48 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-13.37) Score Difference (End): -13 (-13.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.0% Win Probability (After): 10.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:22 | |
(3rd & 5 at UNT 30) Austin Aune pass incomplete to Damon Ward Jr. - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -1.48 | 11.3% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 70 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.10 - -0.62 = -1.48 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-13.62) Score Difference (End): -13 (-15.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.3% Win Probability (After): 9.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:08 | |
(4th & 5 at UNT 30) Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 66 yds, downed at the MiaOh 4 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 1.20 | 10.1% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 96 Started Drive at: UNT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.99 - -2.19 = 1.20 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-15.19) Score Difference (End): 13 (13.99) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.1% Win Probability (After): 8.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 9:55 | |
(1st & 10 at M-OH 4) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 3 yds to the MiaOh 7 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -0.48 | 91.3% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 96 -> 93 Started Drive at: M-OH 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.35 - 0.82 = -0.48 Score Difference (Before): 13 (13.82) Score Difference (End): 13 (13.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.3% Win Probability (After): 89.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:15 | |
(2nd & 7 at M-OH 7) Darez Snider run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 12 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 0.46 | 90.9% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 93 -> 88 Started Drive at: M-OH 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.77 - 0.31 = 0.46 Score Difference (Before): 13 (13.31) Score Difference (End): 13 (13.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.9% Win Probability (After): 91.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:45 | |
(3rd & 2 at M-OH 12) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 1 yd to the MiaOh 13 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -1.28 | 91.1% | -3.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 87 Started Drive at: M-OH 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.86 - 0.42 = -1.28 Score Difference (Before): 13 (13.42) Score Difference (End): 13 (12.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.1% Win Probability (After): 87.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:58 | |
(4th & 1 at M-OH 13) Dom Dzioban punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 43 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -0.48 | 88.8% | -3.0% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 57 Started Drive at: M-OH 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.57 - -1.09 = -0.48 Score Difference (Before): 13 (11.91) Score Difference (End): -13 (-11.43) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.8% Win Probability (After): 85.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 7:54 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 43) Austin Aune pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -0.56 | 13.8% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 57 Started Drive at: UNT 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.02 - 1.58 = -0.56 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-11.42) Score Difference (End): -13 (-11.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.8% Win Probability (After): 12.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:50 | |
(2nd & 10 at UNT 43) Austin Aune run for 6 yds to the NoTex 49 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -0.07 | 12.6% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 51 Started Drive at: UNT 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.95 - 1.02 = -0.07 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-11.98) Score Difference (End): -13 (-12.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.6% Win Probability (After): 12.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:13 | |
(3rd & 4 at UNT 49) Austin Aune pass incomplete - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -1.74 | 12.5% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 51 Started Drive at: UNT 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.72 - 1.03 = -1.74 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-11.97) Score Difference (End): -13 (-13.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.5% Win Probability (After): 11.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:13 | |
(4th & 4 at UNT 49) Timeout MIAMI OH, clock 07:13 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 0.00 | 10.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 51 Started Drive at: UNT 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.72 - -0.72 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-13.72) Score Difference (End): -13 (-13.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.9% Win Probability (After): 10.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 7:02 | |
(4th & 4 at UNT 49) Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 47 yds , Jalen Walker returns for 10 yds to the MiaOh 14 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -0.69 | 11.7% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 86 Started Drive at: UNT 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.33 - -0.63 = -0.69 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-13.63) Score Difference (End): 13 (14.33) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.7% Win Probability (After): 10.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 6:50 | |
(1st & 10 at M-OH 14) Kevin Davis run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 18 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -0.07 | 90.1% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 82 Started Drive at: M-OH 14 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.30 - 1.38 = -0.07 Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.38) Score Difference (End): 13 (14.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.1% Win Probability (After): 89.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:00 | |
(2nd & 6 at M-OH 18) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 16 yds to the MiaOh 34 for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 1.23 | 90.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 66 Started Drive at: M-OH 14 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - 1.36 = 1.23 Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.36) Score Difference (End): 13 (15.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.7% Win Probability (After): 90.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:30 | |
(1st & 10 at M-OH 34) Kenny Tracy run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 37 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -0.39 | 91.4% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 63 Started Drive at: M-OH 14 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.19 - 2.58 = -0.39 Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.58) Score Difference (End): 13 (15.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.4% Win Probability (After): 91.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:00 | |
(2nd & 7 at M-OH 37) Brett Gabbert run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 39 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -0.55 | 91.6% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 61 Started Drive at: M-OH 14 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.65 - 2.20 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.20) Score Difference (End): 13 (14.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.6% Win Probability (After): 91.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:05 | |
(3rd & 5 at M-OH 39) Brett Gabbert sacked by Dion Novil for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaOh 33 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -2.19 | 91.3% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 67 Started Drive at: M-OH 14 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.51 - 1.68 = -2.19 Score Difference (Before): 13 (14.68) Score Difference (End): 13 (12.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.3% Win Probability (After): 89.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:24 | |
(4th & 11 at M-OH 33) Dom Dzioban punt for 52 yds, downed at the NoTex 15 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 0.90 | 89.1% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 85 Started Drive at: M-OH 14 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.43 - -0.48 = 0.90 Score Difference (Before): 13 (12.52) Score Difference (End): -13 (-13.43) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.1% Win Probability (After): 89.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 3:15 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 15) Ayo Adeyi run for 5 yds to the NoTex 20 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -0.10 | 9.8% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 80 Started Drive at: UNT 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.54 - -0.44 = -0.10 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-13.44) Score Difference (End): -13 (-13.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.8% Win Probability (After): 9.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 2:25 | |
(2nd & 5 at UNT 20) Austin Aune sacked by Austin Ertl for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 18 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -1.30 | 9.9% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 82 Started Drive at: UNT 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.82 - -0.52 = -1.30 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-13.52) Score Difference (End): -13 (-14.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.9% Win Probability (After): 8.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 1:40 | |
(3rd & 7 at UNT 18) Austin Aune sacked by Lonnie Phelps for a loss of 7 yards to the NoTex 11 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -1.61 | 8.2% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 89 Started Drive at: UNT 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.31 - -1.70 = -1.61 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-14.70) Score Difference (End): -13 (-16.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -4 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.2% Win Probability (After): 7.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 1:23 | |
(4th & 14 at UNT 11) Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 49 yds , Jalen Walker returns for 4 yds to the MiaOh 44 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 0.10 | 6.6% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 56 Started Drive at: UNT 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.07 - -3.18 = 0.10 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-16.18) Score Difference (End): 13 (16.07) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -4 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.6% Win Probability (After): 5.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 1:00 | |
(1st & 10 at M-OH 44) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 7 yds to the NoTex 49 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 0.28 | 94.4% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 49 Started Drive at: M-OH 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.37 - 3.08 = 0.28 Score Difference (Before): 13 (16.08) Score Difference (End): 13 (16.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.4% Win Probability (After): 94.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:43 | |
(2nd & 3 at UNT 49) Kevin Davis run for 4 yds to the NoTex 45 for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 0.14 | 94.4% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 45 Started Drive at: M-OH 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.51 - 3.36 = 0.14 Score Difference (Before): 13 (16.36) Score Difference (End): 13 (16.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.4% Win Probability (After): 94.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:00 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 45) Kenny Tracy run for 2 yds to the NoTex 43 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -0.46 | 95.2% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 43 Started Drive at: M-OH 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.01 - 3.47 = -0.46 Score Difference (Before): 13 (16.47) Score Difference (End): 13 (16.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.2% Win Probability (After): 94.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:56 | |
(2nd & 8 at UNT 43) Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Kevin Davis - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -0.97 | 94.4% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 43 Started Drive at: M-OH 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.02 - 2.99 = -0.97 Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.99) Score Difference (End): 13 (15.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.4% Win Probability (After): 93.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:50 | |
(3rd & 8 at UNT 43) Brett Gabbert run for 4 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Gabriel Murphy) to the NoTex 24 for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 2.56 | 93.7% | 1.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 24 Started Drive at: M-OH 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.58 - 2.04 = 2.56 Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.02) Score Difference (End): 13 (17.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.7% Win Probability (After): 95.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:41 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 24) Gabbert, Brett pass incomplete to Walker, Jalen, PENALTY MIAMIOH holding (Vaughan, Sam) 10 yards to the NORTHTEXAS34, NO PLAY. - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -1.05 | 96.0% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 34 Started Drive at: M-OH 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.50 - 4.55 = -1.05 Score Difference (Before): 13 (17.55) Score Difference (End): 13 (16.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.0% Win Probability (After): 95.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:36 | |
(1st & 20 at UNT 34) Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack Sorenson - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -0.74 | 95.1% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34 Started Drive at: M-OH 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.82 - 3.56 = -0.74 Score Difference (Before): 13 (16.56) Score Difference (End): 13 (15.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.1% Win Probability (After): 94.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:20 | |
(2nd & 20 at UNT 34) Kenny Tracy run for 4 yds to the NoTex 30 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -0.61 | 95.0% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 30 Started Drive at: M-OH 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.22 - 2.83 = -0.61 Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.83) Score Difference (End): 13 (15.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.0% Win Probability (After): 94.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:50 | |
(3rd & 16 at UNT 30) Kenny Tracy run for a loss of 4 yards to the NoTex 34 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -1.50 | 94.8% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 34 Started Drive at: M-OH 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.69 - 2.19 = -1.50 Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.19) Score Difference (End): 13 (13.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.8% Win Probability (After): 93.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:11 | |
(4th & 20 at UNT 34) Graham Nicholson 52 yd FG MISSED - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -1.87 | 94.1% | -4.2% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 66 Started Drive at: M-OH 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.17 - 0.70 = -1.87 Score Difference (Before): 13 (13.70) Score Difference (End): -13 (-11.83) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.1% Win Probability (After): 89.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 13:00 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 34) Austin Aune pass complete to Detraveon Brown for 12 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 0.75 | 9.4% | 1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 54 Started Drive at: UNT 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.92 - 1.17 = 0.75 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-11.83) Score Difference (End): -13 (-11.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.4% Win Probability (After): 11.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 12:50 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 46) Ikaika Ragsdale run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -0.07 | 10.7% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 50 Started Drive at: UNT 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.81 - 1.88 = -0.07 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-11.12) Score Difference (End): -13 (-11.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.7% Win Probability (After): 10.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 12:20 | |
(2nd & 6 at 50) Austin Aune pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 9 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 1.05 | 9.9% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 41 Started Drive at: UNT 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 1.83 = 1.05 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-11.17) Score Difference (End): -13 (-10.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.9% Win Probability (After): 11.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 12:00 | |
(1st & 10 at M-OH 41) Ikaika Ragsdale run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 42 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -1.24 | 11.4% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 42 Started Drive at: UNT 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.71 - 2.95 = -1.24 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-10.05) Score Difference (End): -13 (-11.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.4% Win Probability (After): 9.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 11:36 | |
(2nd & 11 at M-OH 42) Austin Aune pass incomplete - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -1.15 | 9.8% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42 Started Drive at: UNT 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - 1.78 = -1.15 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-11.22) Score Difference (End): -13 (-12.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.8% Win Probability (After): 8.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 11:20 | |
(3rd & 11 at M-OH 42) Austin Aune pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 14 yds to the MiaOh 28 for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 3.11 | 8.3% | 3.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 28 Started Drive at: UNT 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.97 - 0.86 = 3.11 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.14) Score Difference (End): -13 (-9.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.3% Win Probability (After): 12.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 11:11 | |
(1st & 10 at M-OH 28) Austin Aune pass incomplete to Detraveon Brown - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -0.78 | 11.9% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 28 Started Drive at: UNT 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.23 - 4.02 = -0.78 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-8.98) Score Difference (End): -13 (-9.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.9% Win Probability (After): 11.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 11:04 | |
(2nd & 10 at M-OH 28) Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 18 yds to the MiaOh 10 for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 1.62 | 11.9% | 2.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 10 Started Drive at: UNT 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.03 - 3.41 = 1.62 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-9.59) Score Difference (End): -13 (-7.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.9% Win Probability (After): 14.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 10:40 | |
(1st & Goal at M-OH 10) Isaiah Johnson run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 2 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 0.86 | 13.9% | 2.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 2 Started Drive at: UNT 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.91 - 5.05 = 0.86 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-7.95) Score Difference (End): -13 (-7.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.9% Win Probability (After): 16.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 10:25 | |
(2nd & Goal at M-OH 2) Ikaika Ragsdale run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 1 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -0.04 | 16.6% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 1 Started Drive at: UNT 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.86 - 5.90 = -0.04 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-7.10) Score Difference (End): -13 (-7.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.6% Win Probability (After): 15.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 10:00 | |
(3rd & Goal at M-OH 1) Ikaika Ragsdale run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 4 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -3.03 | 15.3% | -4.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 4 Started Drive at: UNT 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.82 - 5.85 = -3.03 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-7.15) Score Difference (End): -13 (-10.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.3% Win Probability (After): 10.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 10:00 | |
(4th & Goal at M-OH 4) Timeout NORTH TEXAS, clock 10:00 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 0.00 | 11.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4 Started Drive at: UNT 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.82 - 2.82 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-10.18) Score Difference (End): -13 (-10.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.0% Win Probability (After): 11.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 9:18 | |
(4th & Goal at M-OH 4) Austin Aune pass incomplete to Christian Lee - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -3.29 | 9.3% | -5.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 96 Started Drive at: UNT 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.47 - 2.82 = -3.29 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-10.18) Score Difference (End): 13 (13.47) Change of Possession: 1 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.3% Win Probability (After): 4.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 9:00 | |
(1st & 10 at M-OH 4) Kenny Tracy run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 5 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -0.43 | 96.6% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 96 -> 95 Started Drive at: M-OH 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.57 - -0.13 = -0.43 Score Difference (Before): 13 (12.87) Score Difference (End): 13 (12.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.6% Win Probability (After): 95.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 8:20 | |
(2nd & 9 at M-OH 5) Kevin Davis run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 7 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -0.84 | 96.3% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 93 Started Drive at: M-OH 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.46 - -0.63 = -0.84 Score Difference (Before): 13 (12.37) Score Difference (End): 13 (11.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.3% Win Probability (After): 95.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 7:40 | |
(3rd & 7 at M-OH 7) Brett Gabbert run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 15 for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 2.11 | 96.2% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 93 -> 85 Started Drive at: M-OH 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.70 - -1.41 = 2.11 Score Difference (Before): 13 (11.59) Score Difference (End): 13 (13.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.2% Win Probability (After): 97.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 6:50 | |
(1st & 10 at M-OH 15) Kenny Tracy run for 41 yds to the NoTex 44 for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 2.06 | 97.2% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 44 Started Drive at: M-OH 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 0.87 = 2.06 Score Difference (Before): 13 (13.87) Score Difference (End): 13 (15.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.2% Win Probability (After): 98.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 6:00 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 44) Kevin Davis run for 5 yds to the NoTex 39 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 0.37 | 98.7% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 39 Started Drive at: M-OH 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.24 - 2.87 = 0.37 Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.87) Score Difference (End): 13 (16.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.7% Win Probability (After): 98.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 5:20 | |
(2nd & 5 at UNT 39) Kevin Davis run for 1 yd to the NoTex 38 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -0.49 | 99.0% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 38 Started Drive at: M-OH 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.50 - 3.00 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): 13 (16.00) Score Difference (End): 13 (15.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.0% Win Probability (After): 98.2% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 4:30 | |
(3rd & 4 at UNT 38) Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 8 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 1.32 | 99.1% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 30 Started Drive at: M-OH 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.67 - 2.35 = 1.32 Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.35) Score Difference (End): 13 (16.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.1% Win Probability (After): 99.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 3:50 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 30) Kenny Tracy run for 7 yds to the NoTex 23 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 0.69 | 99.5% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 23 Started Drive at: M-OH 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.08 - 3.39 = 0.69 Score Difference (Before): 13 (16.39) Score Difference (End): 13 (17.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 73 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.3% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 3:50 | |
(2nd & 3 at UNT 23) Timeout NORTH TEXAS, clock 03:50 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 0.00 | 99.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 23 Started Drive at: M-OH 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.08 - 4.08 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 13 (17.08) Score Difference (End): 13 (17.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 73 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 3:45 | |
(2nd & 3 at UNT 23) Kevin Davis run for 9 yds to the NoTex 14 for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 0.70 | 99.5% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 14 Started Drive at: M-OH 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.66 - 3.96 = 0.70 Score Difference (Before): 13 (16.96) Score Difference (End): 13 (17.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 82 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 3:02 | |
(1st & 10 at UNT 14) Kenny Tracy run for 5 yds to the NoTex 9 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 0.33 | 99.6% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 9 Started Drive at: M-OH 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.77 - 4.45 = 0.33 Score Difference (Before): 13 (17.45) Score Difference (End): 13 (17.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 87 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.6% Win Probability (After): 99.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 3:02 | |
(2nd & 5 at UNT 9) Timeout NORTH TEXAS, clock 03:02 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 0.00 | 99.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 9 Started Drive at: M-OH 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.77 - 4.77 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 13 (17.77) Score Difference (End): 13 (17.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 87 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.6% Win Probability (After): 99.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 2:50 | |
(2nd & 5 at UNT 9) Kevin Davis run for 3 yds to the NoTex 6 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 0.08 | 99.6% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 6 Started Drive at: M-OH 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.67 - 4.58 = 0.08 Score Difference (Before): 13 (17.58) Score Difference (End): 13 (17.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 90 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.6% Win Probability (After): 99.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 2:00 | |
(3rd & 2 at UNT 6) Kenny Tracy run for 2 yds to the NoTex 4 for a 1ST down - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 1.29 | 99.5% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 4 Started Drive at: M-OH 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.71 - 4.42 = 1.29 Score Difference (Before): 13 (17.42) Score Difference (End): 13 (18.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 92 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.6% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 1:30 | |
(1st & Goal at UNT 4) Brett Gabbert run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 6 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -0.89 | 99.5% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 6 Started Drive at: M-OH 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.55 - 5.44 = -0.89 Score Difference (Before): 13 (18.44) Score Difference (End): 13 (17.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 90 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 0:35 | |
(2nd & Goal at UNT 6) Brett Gabbert run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 8 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | -1.04 | 99.6% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 8 Started Drive at: M-OH 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.27 - 4.31 = -1.04 Score Difference (Before): 13 (17.31) Score Difference (End): 13 (16.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 88 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.6% Win Probability (After): 99.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 0:00 | |
(3rd & Goal at UNT 8) Brett Gabbert run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 10 - UNT 14, M-OH 27 | 0.30 | 99.2% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 10 Started Drive at: M-OH 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.52 - 2.22 = 0.30 Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.22) Score Difference (End): 13 (15.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: UNT 14, M-OH 27 Drive Summary: 15 plays, 86 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.2% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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