Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 5.51 | Odds: ALA -21, O/U 63.5 | Download Chart
Expected Points
Team Stats [show/hide]
| Overall |
|
|
|---|---|---|
| EPA/Play | 0.02 50th %ile | 0.01 49th %ile |
| Success Rate | 43% 60th %ile | 48% 81st %ile |
| Yards/Play | 5.78 49th %ile | 5.75 48th %ile |
| EPA/Dropback | -0.01 47th %ile | 0.12 61st %ile |
| EPA/Rush | 0.07 60th %ile | -0.11 31st %ile |
| Yards/Dropback | 5.20 35th %ile | 7.89 77th %ile |
| Explosive Play Rate | 8% 47th %ile | 4% 9th %ile |
| 3rd Down Success Rate | 28% 16th %ile | 27% 14th %ile |
| Red Zone Success Rate | 33% 31st %ile | 40% 51st %ile |
| Def Run Stuff Rate | 23% 17th %ile | 14% 1st %ile |
| Havoc Rate | 13% 67th %ile | 12% 64th %ile |
| Expected Points | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 77 | 82 |
| Total EPA | -4.54 | 3.45 |
| Offensive EPA | 0.97 | 0.88 |
| Special Teams EPA | -3.28 | -1.64 |
| Penalty EPA | -5.54 | 7.3 |
| Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA | 3.31 | -3.09 |
| Production | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 63 | 67 |
| Yards | 364 | 385 |
| Yards/Play | 5.78 | 5.75 |
| EPA | 0.97 | 0.88 |
| EPA/Play | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Passes | 41 (65%) | 37 (55%) |
| Yards | 213 | 292 |
| Yards/Play | 5.20 | 7.89 |
| EPA | -0.47 | 4.26 |
| EPA/Play | -0.01 | 0.12 |
| Rushes | 22 (35%) | 30 (45%) |
| Yards | 176 | 107 |
| Yards/Play | 8.00 | 3.57 |
| EPA | 1.44 | -3.38 |
| EPA/Play | 0.07 | -0.11 |
| Rushing | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 63 | 67 |
| Rushes | 22 (35%) | 30 (45%) |
| Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) | 1 (5%) | 0 (0%) |
| Successful Power Runs (Rate) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
| Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) | 3 (14%) | 7 (23%) |
| Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) | 6 (27%) | 14 (47%) |
| Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) | 12 (55%) | 13 (43%) |
| OL Line Yards | 42.2 | 42.5 |
| Per Carry | 1.92 | 1.42 |
| Highlight Yards | 98 | 27.5 |
| Per Rush Opportunity | 8.17 | 2.12 |
| Explosiveness | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 77 | 82 |
| Scrimmage Plays | 63 | 67 |
| Explosive Plays | 5 (8%) | 3 (4%) |
| When Passing (EPA > 2.4) | 2 (5%) | 2 (5%) |
| When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) | 3 (14%) | 1 (3%) |
| EPA w/o Explosive Plays | -16.13 | -8.75 |
| EPA/Play | -0.28 | -0.14 |
| When Passing | -6.62 | -3.01 |
| EPA/Play | -0.16 | -0.08 |
| When Rushing | -9.50 | -5.74 |
| EPA/Play | -0.50 | -0.20 |
| Situational | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Successful Plays (EPA > 0) | 27 (43%) | 32 (48%) |
| When Passing | 19 (46%) | 19 (51%) |
| When Rushing | 8 (36%) | 13 (43%) |
| On Standard Downs | 21 (48%) | 27 (55%) |
| On Passing Downs | 6 (32%) | 5 (28%) |
| On Early Downs | 21 (47%) | 29 (53%) |
| On Late Downs | 6 (33%) | 3 (25%) |
| During "Middle 8" | 0 (0%) | 5 (42%) |
| Early Downs | 45 | 55 |
| First Downs Created | 9 (20%) | 16 (29%) |
| EPA | 3.85 | 9.38 |
| EPA/Play | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| Passes | 28 (62%) | 28 (51%) |
| Rushes | 17 (38%) | 27 (49%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 14 (50%) | 17 (61%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 7 (41%) | 12 (44%) |
| "Middle 8" Plays | 6 | 12 |
| EPA | -5.74 | -1.76 |
| EPA/play | -0.96 | -0.15 |
| Passes | 4 (67%) | 6 (50%) |
| Rushes | 2 (33%) | 6 (50%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 0 (0%) | 2 (33%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 0 (0%) | 3 (50%) |
| Drives | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total | 11 | 12 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 23 | Own 26 |
| Plays/Drive | 7.95 | 8.16 |
| Yards/Drive | 39.86 | 45.79 |
| Available Yards % | 52% | 62% |
| Defensive | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 67 | 63 |
| Stop Rate | 36% | 52% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 8 (12%) | 8 (13%) |
| Passing | 4 (11%) | 6 (15%) |
| Rushing | 4 (13%) | 2 (9%) |
| TFLs Generated | 8 | 8 |
| Passing | 4 | 6 |
| Rushing | 4 | 2 |
| Sacks Generated | 3 (8%) | 2 (5%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles Forced | 0 | 0 |
| Turnovers | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 |
| Fumbles | 1 | 0 |
| Fumbles Lost | 1 | 0 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 0 |
| Turnover Margin | -1 | 1 |
| Expected Turnovers | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Expected Turnover Margin | -0.5 | 0.5 |
| Turnover Luck (pts) | -2.5 | 2.5 |
| Special Teams | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 14 | 15 |
| Total EPA | -3.28 | -1.64 |
| Field Goal EPA | 3.04 | -1.46 |
| Punting EPA | -2.54 | 1.54 |
| Kickoff Return EPA | -3.78 | -1.71 |
Alabama [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Bryce Young | 27/39, 213 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 2 Scks, 73.7 xQBR, 0.27 DETMER | 5.20 | -0.01 | -0.47 | 46% | 67.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Jase McClellan | 6 carries, 97 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 16.17 | 0.91 | 5.47 | 33% | 6.0% | |
| Bryce Young | 5 carries, 53 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.60 | 0.69 | 3.46 | 60% | 34.0% | |
| Roydell Williams | 2 carries, 4 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) | 2.00 | -1.64 | -3.27 | 50% | -22.0% | |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 9 carries, 22 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.44 | -0.47 | -4.20 | 22% | -5.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 9 catches (9 targets), 74 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.22 | 0.57 | 5.17 | 78% | 18.0% | |
| Ja'Corey Brooks | 3 catches (3 targets), 33 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.00 | 1.44 | 4.31 | 67% | 12.0% | |
| Cameron Latu | 4 catches (7 targets), 28 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 7.00 | 0.24 | 1.70 | 43% | 41.0% | |
| Traeshon Holden | 4 catches (4 targets), 39 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.75 | 0.37 | 1.47 | 75% | 7.0% | |
| Jase McClellan | 1 catch (1 target), 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.00 | -0.45 | -0.45 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Kobe Prentice | 4 catches (6 targets), 27 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.75 | -0.08 | -0.50 | 50% | 3.0% | |
| Isaiah Bond | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -1.51 | -1.51 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Jermaine Burton | 2 catches (4 targets), 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.00 | -0.53 | -2.11 | 25% | 2.0% | |
Texas [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Quinn Ewers | 9/12, 134 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 82.0 xQBR, 0.00 DETMER | 11.17 | 0.67 | 7.98 | 67% | 0.0% | |
| Hudson Card | 14/22, 158 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 3 Scks, 49.7 xQBR, 0.00 DETMER | 6.32 | -0.15 | -3.72 | 44% | -18.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Hudson Card | 3 carries, 36 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.00 | 1.10 | 3.30 | 67% | 4.0% | |
| Roschon Johnson | 5 carries, 16 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.20 | -0.24 | -1.22 | 40% | -6.0% | |
| Keilan Robinson | 1 carry, -2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | -2.00 | -1.34 | -1.34 | 0% | -2.0% | |
| Bijan Robinson | 21 carries, 57 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.71 | -0.20 | -4.11 | 43% | -25.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Xavier Worthy | 5 catches (7 targets), 97 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 19.40 | 1.12 | 7.85 | 71% | 11.0% | |
| Jordan Whittington | 7 catches (9 targets), 64 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.14 | 0.20 | 1.83 | 67% | -8.0% | |
| Bijan Robinson | 3 catches (4 targets), 73 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 24.33 | 0.44 | 1.77 | 50% | 0.0% | |
| Casey Cain | 1 catch (1 target), 29 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 29.00 | 1.67 | 1.67 | 100% | 14.0% | |
| Keilan Robinson | 1 catch (1 target), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.00 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 100% | -2.0% | |
| Austin Jordan | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.59 | -0.59 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Roschon Johnson | 3 catches (3 targets), 20 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.67 | -0.22 | -0.66 | 33% | 13.0% | |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders | 3 catches (5 targets), 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 1.33 | -0.15 | -0.74 | 60% | -5.0% | |
Big Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute EPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2:34 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 19) Jase McClellan 81 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick) - ALA 10, TEX 3 | 6.22 | 86.8% | 8.4% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 99 Started Drive at: ALA 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.78 = 6.22 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.78) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 81 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.8% Win Probability (After): 95.2% Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 0:37 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 49) Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 46 yds to the Alab 3 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (Khyree Jackson) to the Alab 1 for a 1ST down - ALA 10, TEX 3 | 4.18 | 7.7% | 2.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 1 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.43 - 2.28 = 4.18 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.75) Score Difference (End): -7 (-0.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 74 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.7% Win Probability (After): 10.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:55 | |
(4th & 1 at TEX 25) Roydell Williams run for no gain to the Texas 25 - ALA 17, TEX 16 | -3.55 | 87.7% | -22.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 75 Started Drive at: ALA 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.06 - 2.49 = -3.55 Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.49) Score Difference (End): -1 (0.06) Change of Possession: 1 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.7% Win Probability (After): 64.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 9:30 | |
(4th & 3 at TEX 37) Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 14 yds to the Texas 23 for a 1ST down - ALA 10, TEX 16 | 3.50 | 46.0% | 11.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 23 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.38 - 0.87 = 3.50 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.13) Score Difference (End): -6 (-1.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.0% Win Probability (After): 57.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:00 | |
(2nd & 2 at ALA 3) Bert Auburn 20 yd FG MISSED - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -3.23 | 31.0% | -10.2% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 80 Started Drive at: TEX 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.08 - 3.23 = -3.23 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.23) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.08) Change of Possession: 1 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.0% Win Probability (After): 20.8% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:25 | |
(1st & 15 at TEX 38) Hudson Card pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 42 yds to the Alab 20 for a 1ST down - ALA 10, TEX 10 | 3.10 | 20.8% | 10.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 20 Started Drive at: TEX 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.87 - 0.78 = 3.10 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.78) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.8% Win Probability (After): 31.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 12:00 | |
(3rd & 7 at ALA 28) Bryce Young run for 17 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down - ALA 10, TEX 16 | 2.86 | 45.5% | 8.5% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 55 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.45 - -0.40 = 2.86 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-6.40) Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.5% Win Probability (After): 54.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:20 | |
(3rd & 12 at ALA 35) Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 14 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down - ALA 10, TEX 10 | 2.65 | 85.8% | 3.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 51 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.87 - 0.22 = 2.65 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.22) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.8% Win Probability (After): 89.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 8:47 | |
(4th & 11 at TEX 35) Will Reichard 52 Yd Field Goal - ALA 3, TEX 0 | 2.64 | 90.6% | 3.2% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 34 Started Drive at: ALA 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 0.36 = 2.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.36) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 3, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.6% Win Probability (After): 93.9% Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:05 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 15) Card, Hudson pass incomplete to Sanders, Ja'Tavion, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (McKinstry, Kool-Aid) 13 yards to the ALABAMA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXAS. - ALA 10, TEX 10 | 2.48 | 29.7% | 4.9% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 2 Started Drive at: TEX 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.73 - 3.25 = 2.48 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.25) Score Difference (End): 0 (5.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.7% Win Probability (After): 34.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 1:29 | |
(4th & 10 at ALA 32) Bert Auburn 49 yd FG GOOD - ALA 17, TEX 19 | 1.54 | 42.0% | 34.9% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 31 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.46 = 1.54 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.46) Score Difference (End): 2 (2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 19 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.0% Win Probability (After): 76.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (19) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:35 | |
(2nd & 5 at TEX 42) Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 5 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST down - ALA 17, TEX 19 | 0.69 | 46.0% | 27.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 37 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.40 - 1.71 = 0.69 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-0.29) Score Difference (End): -2 (0.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 19 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.0% Win Probability (After): 73.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:34 | |
(3rd & 3 at ALA 24) Hudson Card sacked by Will Anderson Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Alab 31 - ALA 17, TEX 16 | -1.55 | 63.6% | -23.4% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 31 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - 3.07 = -1.55 Score Difference (Before): -1 (2.07) Score Difference (End): -1 (0.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.6% Win Probability (After): 40.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 3:55 | |
(4th & 1 at TEX 25) Roydell Williams run for no gain to the Texas 25 - ALA 17, TEX 16 | -3.55 | 87.7% | -22.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 75 Started Drive at: ALA 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.06 - 2.49 = -3.55 Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.49) Score Difference (End): -1 (0.06) Change of Possession: 1 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.7% Win Probability (After): 64.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:27 | |
(1st & 10 at TEX 37) Bryce Young run for 20 yds to the Texas 17 for a 1ST down - ALA 17, TEX 19 | 1.87 | 68.2% | 22.5% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 17 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.97 - 2.10 = 1.87 Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.10) Score Difference (End): -2 (1.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 19 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.2% Win Probability (After): 90.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:00 | |
(2nd & 7 at TEX 40) Hudson Card pass complete to Casey Cain for 29 yds to the Alab 31 for a 1ST down - ALA 17, TEX 16 | 1.67 | 41.4% | 14.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 31 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.18 - 1.51 = 1.67 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.51) Score Difference (End): -1 (2.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.4% Win Probability (After): 55.6% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:10 | |
(4th & 7 at TEX 16) Will Reichard 33 yd FG GOOD - ALA 20, TEX 19 | 0.40 | 77.7% | 13.8% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 14 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.60 = 0.40 Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.60) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 20, TEX 19 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.7% Win Probability (After): 91.6% Away Score: 17 (20) Home Score: 19 (19) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 3:13 | |
(2nd & 9 at TEX 26) Hudson Card pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 11 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST down - ALA 17, TEX 16 | 1.12 | 28.0% | 13.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 63 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 0.71 = 1.12 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.29) Score Difference (End): -1 (0.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.0% Win Probability (After): 41.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:30 | |
(4th & 3 at TEX 37) Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 14 yds to the Texas 23 for a 1ST down - ALA 10, TEX 16 | 3.50 | 46.0% | 11.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 23 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.38 - 0.87 = 3.50 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.13) Score Difference (End): -6 (-1.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.0% Win Probability (After): 57.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 8:29 | |
(1st & Goal at TEX 7) Jahmyr Gibbs 7 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick) - ALA 17, TEX 16 | 1.50 | 60.7% | 11.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.50 = 1.50 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-0.50) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.7% Win Probability (After): 72.0% Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Scoring Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 8:47 | |
(4th & 11 at TEX 35) Will Reichard 52 Yd Field Goal - ALA 3, TEX 0 | 2.64 | 90.6% | 3.2% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 34 Started Drive at: ALA 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 0.36 = 2.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.36) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 3, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.6% Win Probability (After): 93.9% Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 2:51 | |
(4th & 8 at ALA 9) Bert Auburn 26 Yd Field Goal - ALA 3, TEX 3 | 0.32 | 8.9% | 3.6% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 8 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.68 = 0.32 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.32) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 3, TEX 3 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.9% Win Probability (After): 12.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 2:34 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 19) Jase McClellan 81 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick) - ALA 10, TEX 3 | 6.22 | 86.8% | 8.4% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 99 Started Drive at: ALA 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.78 = 6.22 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.78) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 81 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.8% Win Probability (After): 95.2% Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 14:55 | |
(2nd & Goal at ALA 1) Bijan Robinson 1 Yd Run (Bert Auburn Kick) - ALA 10, TEX 10 | 0.90 | 10.0% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.10 = 0.90 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-0.90) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.0% Win Probability (After): 10.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:27 | |
(4th & 2 at ALA 16) Bert Auburn 33 Yd Field Goal - ALA 10, TEX 13 | -0.23 | 31.8% | 2.4% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 15 Started Drive at: ALA 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 3.23 = -0.23 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.23) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.8% Win Probability (After): 34.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 12:55 | |
(4th & 4 at ALA 7) Bert Auburn 24 Yd Field Goal - ALA 10, TEX 16 | 0.13 | 48.5% | 10.5% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 6 Started Drive at: TEX 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.87 = 0.13 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.87) Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.5% Win Probability (After): 59.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 8:29 | |
(1st & Goal at TEX 7) Jahmyr Gibbs 7 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick) - ALA 17, TEX 16 | 1.50 | 60.7% | 11.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.50 = 1.50 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-0.50) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.7% Win Probability (After): 72.0% Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:29 | |
(4th & 10 at ALA 32) Bert Auburn 49 yd FG GOOD - ALA 17, TEX 19 | 1.54 | 42.0% | 34.9% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 31 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.46 = 1.54 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.46) Score Difference (End): 2 (2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 19 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.0% Win Probability (After): 76.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (19) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:10 | |
(4th & 7 at TEX 16) Will Reichard 33 yd FG GOOD - ALA 20, TEX 19 | 0.40 | 77.7% | 13.8% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 14 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.60 = 0.40 Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.60) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 20, TEX 19 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.7% Win Probability (After): 91.6% Away Score: 17 (20) Home Score: 19 (19) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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All Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at ALA 35) Will Stone kickoff for 64 yds , Jahmyr Gibbs return for 17 yds to the TEXAS 48 ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (9 Yards) to the Alab 9 - ALA 0, TEX 0 | -2.29 | 91.1% | -0.8% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 91 Started Drive at: ALA 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.43 - 0.86 = -2.29 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.00) Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 0, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.1% Win Probability (After): 90.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:55 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 9) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 6 yds to the Alab 15 - ALA 0, TEX 0 | 0.19 | 92.9% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 85 Started Drive at: ALA 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.18 - -0.02 = 0.19 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.02) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 0, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.9% Win Probability (After): 92.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:00 | |
(2nd & 4 at ALA 15) ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Alab 10 - ALA 0, TEX 0 | -1.26 | 92.1% | 0.5% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 90 Started Drive at: ALA 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.84 - 0.42 = -1.26 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.42) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 0, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.1% Win Probability (After): 92.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:00 | |
(2nd & 9 at ALA 10) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 7 yds to the Alab 17 - ALA 0, TEX 0 | 0.59 | 91.1% | 0.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 83 Started Drive at: ALA 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.17 - -0.76 = 0.59 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.76) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 0, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.1% Win Probability (After): 91.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:45 | |
(3rd & 2 at ALA 17) Bryce Young pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 10 yds to the Alab 27 for a 1ST down - ALA 0, TEX 0 | 1.62 | 91.8% | 0.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 73 Started Drive at: ALA 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.43 - -0.19 = 1.62 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.19) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 0, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.8% Win Probability (After): 92.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:00 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 27) Bryce Young pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - ALA 0, TEX 0 | 1.38 | 92.9% | 0.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 50 Started Drive at: ALA 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.82 - 1.44 = 1.38 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.44) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 0, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.9% Win Probability (After): 93.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:35 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) Jase McClellan run for 4 yds to the Texas 46 - ALA 0, TEX 0 | -0.05 | 94.4% | -0.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 46 Started Drive at: ALA 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - 2.82 = -0.05 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.82) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 0, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.4% Win Probability (After): 94.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:25 | |
(2nd & 6 at TEX 46) Bryce Young pass incomplete to Cameron Latu - ALA 0, TEX 0 | -0.93 | 94.2% | -0.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46 Started Drive at: ALA 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.79 - 2.72 = -0.93 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.72) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 0, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.2% Win Probability (After): 93.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:55 | |
(3rd & 6 at TEX 46) Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 13 yds to the Texas 33 for a 1ST down - ALA 0, TEX 0 | 2.25 | 90.1% | 4.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 33 Started Drive at: ALA 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.01 - 1.76 = 2.25 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.76) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 0, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.1% Win Probability (After): 94.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(1st & 10 at TEX 33) Bryce Young pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 7 yds to the Texas 26 - ALA 0, TEX 0 | 0.28 | 92.5% | -0.5% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 26 Started Drive at: ALA 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.38 - 4.10 = 0.28 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.10) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 0, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 70 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.5% Win Probability (After): 92.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:00 | |
(2nd & 3 at TEX 26) Jahmyr Gibbs run for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 30 - ALA 0, TEX 0 | -1.58 | 92.6% | -0.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 30 Started Drive at: ALA 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.83 - 4.42 = -1.58 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.42) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 0, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 66 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.6% Win Probability (After): 92.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:50 | |
(3rd & 7 at TEX 30) Bryce Young sacked by Ovie Oghoufo for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 34 - ALA 0, TEX 0 | -2.14 | 91.8% | -1.7% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 34 Started Drive at: ALA 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.70 - 2.84 = -2.14 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.84) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 0, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.8% Win Probability (After): 90.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:47 | |
(4th & 11 at TEX 35) Will Reichard 52 Yd Field Goal - ALA 3, TEX 0 | 2.64 | 90.6% | 3.2% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 34 Started Drive at: ALA 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 0.36 = 2.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.36) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 3, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.6% Win Probability (After): 93.9% Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 8:47 | |
(Kickoff at TEX 35) Will Reichard kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - ALA 3, TEX 0 | 0.00 | 5.0% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.67 - 0.67 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.33) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 3, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.0% Win Probability (After): 5.0% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:09 | |
(1st & 10 at TEX 25) Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 8 yds to the Texas 33 - ALA 3, TEX 0 | 0.71 | 7.5% | -2.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 67 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.42 - 0.71 = 0.71 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.29) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 3, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.5% Win Probability (After): 5.1% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:41 | |
(2nd & 2 at TEX 33) Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST down - ALA 3, TEX 0 | 0.27 | 7.6% | 0.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 63 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.71 - 1.45 = 0.27 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.55) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 3, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.6% Win Probability (After): 7.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:00 | |
(1st & 10 at TEX 37) Quinn Ewers pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 8 yds to the Texas 45 TEXAS Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Texas 30 - ALA 3, TEX 0 | -0.88 | 7.3% | -0.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 70 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.84 - 1.72 = -0.88 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.29) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 3, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.3% Win Probability (After): 7.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:45 | |
(1st & 17 at TEX 30) Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 22 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST down - ALA 3, TEX 0 | 1.93 | 6.9% | 1.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 48 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.80 - 0.88 = 1.93 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.12) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 3, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.9% Win Probability (After): 8.1% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:00 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 48) ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Alab 43 - ALA 3, TEX 0 | 0.62 | 9.7% | -1.1% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 43 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.43 - 2.80 = 0.62 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.20) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 3, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.7% Win Probability (After): 8.6% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
|||||
| Q1 5:45 | |
(1st & 5 at ALA 43) Bijan Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 45 - ALA 3, TEX 0 | -1.01 | 9.4% | 0.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 45 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.41 - 3.42 = -1.01 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.42) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 3, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.4% Win Probability (After): 9.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:00 | |
(2nd & 7 at ALA 45) Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Alab 40 - ALA 3, TEX 0 | 0.30 | 8.9% | -0.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 40 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.69 - 2.39 = 0.30 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.61) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 3, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.9% Win Probability (After): 8.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:45 | |
(3rd & 2 at ALA 40) ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down - ALA 3, TEX 0 | 0.91 | 8.6% | 1.2% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 35 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.60 - 2.68 = 0.91 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.32) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 3, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.6% Win Probability (After): 9.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:40 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 35) Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Austin Jordan - ALA 3, TEX 0 | -0.59 | 9.7% | -0.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 3.59 = -0.59 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.59) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 3, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.7% Win Probability (After): 8.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:30 | |
(2nd & 10 at ALA 35) Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 8 yds to the Alab 27 - ALA 3, TEX 0 | 0.54 | 6.8% | 2.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 27 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.55 - 3.01 = 0.54 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.01) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 3, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.8% Win Probability (After): 9.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:00 | |
(3rd & 2 at ALA 27) Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 4 yds to the Alab 23 for a 1ST down - ALA 3, TEX 0 | 0.79 | 7.5% | 0.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 23 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.33 - 3.55 = 0.79 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.55) Score Difference (End): -3 (1.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 3, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.5% Win Probability (After): 7.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
|||||
| Q1 3:30 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 23) Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 14 yds to the Alab 9 for a 1ST down - ALA 3, TEX 0 | 0.94 | 10.2% | -1.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 9 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.26 - 4.32 = 0.94 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.32) Score Difference (End): -3 (2.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 3, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.2% Win Probability (After): 9.0% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:25 | |
(1st & Goal at ALA 9) Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the Alab 8 - ALA 3, TEX 0 | -0.54 | 11.8% | -0.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 8 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.72 - 5.26 = -0.54 Score Difference (Before): -3 (2.26) Score Difference (End): -3 (1.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 3, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.8% Win Probability (After): 11.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:15 | |
(2nd & Goal at ALA 8) Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Ja'Tavion Sanders - ALA 3, TEX 0 | -0.86 | 11.7% | -1.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.86 - 4.72 = -0.86 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.72) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 3, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.7% Win Probability (After): 10.1% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:01 | |
(3rd & Goal at ALA 8) Timeout TEXAS, clock 03:01 - ALA 3, TEX 0 | 0.00 | 10.2% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.86 - 3.86 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.86) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 3, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.2% Win Probability (After): 10.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:55 | |
(3rd & Goal at ALA 8) Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Ja'Tavion Sanders - ALA 3, TEX 0 | -1.16 | 10.4% | -1.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.70 - 3.85 = -1.16 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.85) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 3, TEX 0 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.4% Win Probability (After): 9.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:51 | |
(4th & 8 at ALA 9) Bert Auburn 26 Yd Field Goal - ALA 3, TEX 3 | 0.32 | 8.9% | 3.6% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 8 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.68 = 0.32 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.32) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 3, TEX 3 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.9% Win Probability (After): 12.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 2:51 | |
(Kickoff at ALA 35) Will Stone kickoff for 65 yds , Jahmyr Gibbs return for 19 yds to the Alab 19 - ALA 3, TEX 3 | -1.49 | 87.8% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 81 Started Drive at: ALA 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.41 - 1.08 = -1.49 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.08) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 3, TEX 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.8% Win Probability (After): 86.3% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 2:34 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 19) Jase McClellan 81 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick) - ALA 10, TEX 3 | 6.22 | 86.8% | 8.4% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 99 Started Drive at: ALA 19 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.78 = 6.22 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.78) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 81 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.8% Win Probability (After): 95.2% Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 2:34 | |
(Kickoff at TEX 35) Will Reichard kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - ALA 10, TEX 3 | 0.00 | 5.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - -0.05 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.05) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.3% Win Probability (After): 5.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:25 | |
(1st & 10 at TEX 25) Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Texas 27 - ALA 10, TEX 3 | -0.45 | 5.1% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.48 - -0.03 = -0.45 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.03) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.1% Win Probability (After): 5.1% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:31 | |
(2nd & 8 at TEX 27) Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 7 yds to the Texas 34 - ALA 10, TEX 3 | 0.79 | 6.2% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 66 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.51 - -0.28 = 0.79 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.28) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.2% Win Probability (After): 4.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:16 | |
(3rd & 1 at TEX 34) Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 17 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down - ALA 10, TEX 3 | 1.60 | 6.2% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 49 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.25 - 0.65 = 1.60 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.35) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.2% Win Probability (After): 7.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:37 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 49) Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 46 yds to the Alab 3 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (Khyree Jackson) to the Alab 1 for a 1ST down - ALA 10, TEX 3 | 4.18 | 7.7% | 2.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 1 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.43 - 2.28 = 4.18 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.75) Score Difference (End): -7 (-0.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 74 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.7% Win Probability (After): 10.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:31 | |
(1st & Goal at ALA 1) Ewers, Quinn pass incomplete, PENALTY ALABAMA roughing passer (Turner, Dallas) 0 yards to the ALABAMA1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXAS. - ALA 10, TEX 3 | 0.00 | 11.1% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.42 - 6.42 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-0.58) Score Difference (End): -7 (-0.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 74 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.1% Win Probability (After): 11.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:01 | |
(1st & Goal at ALA 1) Bijan Robinson run for no gain to the Alab 1 - ALA 10, TEX 3 | -0.23 | 11.8% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.15 - 6.38 = -0.23 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-0.62) Score Difference (End): -7 (-0.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 74 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.8% Win Probability (After): 11.1% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:55 | |
(2nd & Goal at ALA 1) Bijan Robinson 1 Yd Run (Bert Auburn Kick) - ALA 10, TEX 10 | 0.90 | 10.0% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.10 = 0.90 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-0.90) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.0% Win Probability (After): 10.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:55 | |
(Kickoff at ALA 35) Will Stone kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - ALA 10, TEX 10 | 0.00 | 86.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - 1.18 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.18) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.7% Win Probability (After): 86.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 14:43 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 25) Jase McClellan run for 4 yds to the Alab 29 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.10 | 86.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.09 - 1.19 = -0.10 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.19) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.6% Win Probability (After): 86.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 14:15 | |
(2nd & 6 at ALA 29) Bryce Young pass incomplete - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.99 | 87.1% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.06 - 1.05 = -0.99 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.05) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.1% Win Probability (After): 85.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 13:55 | |
(3rd & 6 at ALA 29) Bryce Young pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 8 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST down - ALA 10, TEX 10 | 1.97 | 86.6% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 63 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.01 - 0.04 = 1.97 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.04) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.6% Win Probability (After): 88.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 13:39 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 37) Bryce Young pass incomplete to Cameron Latu - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.66 | 87.8% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.40 - 2.06 = -0.66 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.06) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.8% Win Probability (After): 87.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 13:25 | |
(2nd & 10 at ALA 37) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 3 yds to the Alab 40 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.66 | 87.3% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 60 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.75 - 1.41 = -0.66 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.41) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.3% Win Probability (After): 86.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 12:40 | |
(3rd & 7 at ALA 40) ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (JC Latham) to the Alab 35 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.80 | 87.5% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 65 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.05 - 0.85 = -0.80 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.85) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.5% Win Probability (After): 85.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 12:27 | |
(3rd & 12 at ALA 35) Timeout ALABAMA, clock 12:27 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | 0.00 | 86.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.05 - 0.05 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.05) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.8% Win Probability (After): 86.8% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 12:20 | |
(3rd & 12 at ALA 35) Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 14 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down - ALA 10, TEX 10 | 2.65 | 85.8% | 3.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 51 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.87 - 0.22 = 2.65 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.22) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.8% Win Probability (After): 89.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 11:57 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 49) Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 48 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.96 | 87.9% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 52 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.90 - 2.86 = -0.96 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.9% Win Probability (After): 88.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 11:10 | |
(2nd & 11 at ALA 48) Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 2 yds to the 50 yard line - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.38 | 88.5% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 50 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - 1.84 = -0.38 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.84) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.5% Win Probability (After): 86.8% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 10:02 | |
(3rd & 9 at 50) Bryce Young sacked by Jaylan Ford for a loss of 11 yards to the Alab 39 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -2.29 | 88.3% | -3.2% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 61 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.79 - 1.49 = -2.29 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.49) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.3% Win Probability (After): 85.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 10:02 | |
(4th & 20 at ALA 39) ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Demouy Kennedy) to the Alab 34 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.17 | 85.7% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 66 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.93 - -0.76 = -0.17 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.76) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.7% Win Probability (After): 85.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 9:47 | |
(4th & 25 at ALA 34) James Burnip punt for 50 yds , Xavier Worthy returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 15 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | 0.34 | 84.3% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 85 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.78 - -1.12 = 0.34 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.12) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.78) Change of Possession: 1 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.3% Win Probability (After): 85.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 9:35 | |
(1st & 10 at TEX 15) Robinson, Bijan rush for 4 yards to the TEXAS19, PENALTY TEXAS illegal formation 5 yards to the TEXAS10, NO PLAY. - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.99 | 13.6% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 90 Started Drive at: TEX 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.27 - 0.72 = -0.99 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.72) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.6% Win Probability (After): 14.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 9:10 | |
(1st & 15 at TEX 10) Bijan Robinson run for 7 yds to the Texas 17 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | 0.41 | 12.6% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 90 -> 83 Started Drive at: TEX 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.09 - -0.32 = 0.41 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.32) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.6% Win Probability (After): 13.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 8:17 | |
(2nd & 8 at TEX 17) Hudson Card run for 9 yds to the Texas 26 for a 1ST down - ALA 10, TEX 10 | 1.35 | 12.9% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 74 Started Drive at: TEX 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.42 - 0.07 = 1.35 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.07) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.9% Win Probability (After): 14.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 7:49 | |
(1st & 10 at TEX 26) Keilan Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 24 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -1.34 | 14.8% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 76 Started Drive at: TEX 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.09 - 1.44 = -1.34 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.44) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.8% Win Probability (After): 12.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 7:14 | |
(2nd & 12 at TEX 24) Roschon Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 22 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -1.14 | 15.6% | -4.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 78 Started Drive at: TEX 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.94 - 0.19 = -1.14 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.19) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.6% Win Probability (After): 11.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 6:33 | |
(3rd & 14 at TEX 22) Hudson Card pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 1 yd to the Texas 23 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.90 | 13.4% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 77 Started Drive at: TEX 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.89 - -0.99 = -0.90 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.99) Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.4% Win Probability (After): 12.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 6:07 | |
(4th & 13 at TEX 23) TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 18 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.16 | 11.9% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 82 Started Drive at: TEX 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.14 - -1.98 = -0.16 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.98) Score Difference (End): 0 (-2.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.9% Win Probability (After): 11.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 5:59 | |
(4th & 18 at TEX 18) Daniel Trejo punt for 37 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for no gain to the Alab 45 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.43 | 11.5% | 2.6% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 55 Started Drive at: TEX 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.48 - -2.05 = -0.43 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-2.05) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.48) Change of Possession: 1 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.5% Win Probability (After): 14.1% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 5:50 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 45) Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the Alab 47 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.41 | 86.3% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 53 Started Drive at: ALA 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.02 - 2.42 = -0.41 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.42) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.3% Win Probability (After): 86.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 5:12 | |
(2nd & 8 at ALA 47) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 5 yds to the Texas 48 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.07 | 87.6% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 48 Started Drive at: ALA 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.00 - 2.07 = -0.07 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.07) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.6% Win Probability (After): 86.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 4:42 | |
(3rd & 3 at TEX 48) Bryce Young pass incomplete to Kobe Prentice - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -2.06 | 87.4% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48 Started Drive at: ALA 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - 2.26 = -2.06 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.26) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.4% Win Probability (After): 85.1% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 4:35 | |
(4th & 3 at TEX 48) James Burnip punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 15 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.98 | 85.3% | -1.0% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 85 Started Drive at: ALA 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.74 - 0.24 = -0.98 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.24) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.74) Change of Possession: 1 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.3% Win Probability (After): 84.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 4:20 | |
(1st & 10 at TEX 15) Hudson Card pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 15 yds to the Texas 30 for a 1ST down - ALA 10, TEX 10 | 0.81 | 15.4% | 1.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 70 Started Drive at: TEX 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.61 - 0.80 = 0.81 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.80) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.4% Win Probability (After): 17.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 4:09 | |
(1st & 10 at TEX 30) Hudson Card pass incomplete to Xavier Worthy - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.46 | 18.6% | -2.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 70 Started Drive at: TEX 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.03 - 1.49 = -0.46 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.49) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.6% Win Probability (After): 15.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 3:47 | |
(2nd & 10 at TEX 30) Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the Texas 31 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.88 | 14.4% | 1.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 69 Started Drive at: TEX 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.07 - 0.94 = -0.88 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.94) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.4% Win Probability (After): 15.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 3:20 | |
(3rd & 9 at TEX 31) Hudson Card sacked by Kool-Aid McKinstry for a loss of 12 yards to the Texas 19 TEXAS Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Hudson Card) to the Texas 19 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -1.76 | 13.6% | -3.6% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 81 Started Drive at: TEX 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.69 - 0.20 = -1.76 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.07) Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.6% Win Probability (After): 10.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 3:14 | |
(4th & 21 at TEX 19) Daniel Trejo punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kool-Aid McKinstry at the Alab 45 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.88 | 11.5% | 0.9% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 55 Started Drive at: TEX 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.48 - -1.60 = -0.88 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.60) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.48) Change of Possession: 1 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.5% Win Probability (After): 12.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 2:59 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 45) Bryce Young pass complete to Jase McClellan for 2 yds to the Alab 47 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.45 | 87.1% | -0.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 53 Started Drive at: ALA 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.03 - 2.48 = -0.45 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.48) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.1% Win Probability (After): 87.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:34 | |
(2nd & 8 at ALA 47) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 1 yd to the Alab 48 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.61 | 85.8% | 0.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 52 Started Drive at: ALA 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.43 - 2.04 = -0.61 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.04) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.8% Win Probability (After): 85.8% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 1:46 | |
(3rd & 7 at ALA 48) Bryce Young pass incomplete to Isaiah Bond - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -1.51 | 84.1% | -2.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52 Started Drive at: ALA 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.07 - 1.44 = -1.51 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.44) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.1% Win Probability (After): 81.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 1:40 | |
(4th & 7 at ALA 48) James Burnip punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Xavier Worthy at the Texas 12 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.74 | 81.0% | 0.4% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 88 Started Drive at: ALA 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.57 - 0.17 = -0.74 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.17) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.57) Change of Possession: 1 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.0% Win Probability (After): 81.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 1:24 | |
(1st & 10 at TEX 12) Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Texas 17 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | 0.28 | 18.7% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 83 Started Drive at: TEX 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.58 - 0.31 = 0.28 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.31) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.7% Win Probability (After): 18.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 1:07 | |
(2nd & 5 at TEX 17) ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Will Anderson Jr.) to the Texas 22 for a 1ST down - ALA 10, TEX 10 | 0.40 | 18.9% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 78 Started Drive at: TEX 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.98 - 0.58 = 0.40 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.58) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.9% Win Probability (After): 19.8% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:56 | |
(1st & 10 at TEX 22) Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Texas 25 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | 0.21 | 19.7% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 75 Started Drive at: TEX 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.00 - 0.80 = 0.21 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.80) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.7% Win Probability (After): 20.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:32 | |
(2nd & 7 at TEX 25) Bijan Robinson run for 18 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST down - ALA 10, TEX 10 | 1.08 | 20.7% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 57 Started Drive at: TEX 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.82 - 0.74 = 1.08 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.74) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.7% Win Probability (After): 23.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:32 | |
(1st & 10 at TEX 43) TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Cole Hutson) to the Texas 38 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.51 | 24.4% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 62 Started Drive at: TEX 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 1.67 = -0.51 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.67) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.4% Win Probability (After): 22.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:25 | |
(1st & 15 at TEX 38) Hudson Card pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 42 yds to the Alab 20 for a 1ST down - ALA 10, TEX 10 | 3.10 | 20.8% | 10.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 20 Started Drive at: TEX 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.87 - 0.78 = 3.10 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.78) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.8% Win Probability (After): 31.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:17 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 20) Hudson Card pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 1 yd to the Alab 19 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | 0.11 | 29.9% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 19 Started Drive at: TEX 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.63 - 3.52 = 0.11 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.52) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.9% Win Probability (After): 30.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:10 | |
(2nd & 9 at ALA 19) Card, Hudson pass incomplete to Cain, Casey, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (McKinstry, Kool-Aid) 4 yards to the ALABAMA15, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXAS. - ALA 10, TEX 10 | 0.76 | 29.6% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 15 Started Drive at: TEX 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.99 - 3.23 = 0.76 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.23) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.6% Win Probability (After): 30.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:05 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 15) Card, Hudson pass incomplete to Sanders, Ja'Tavion, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (McKinstry, Kool-Aid) 13 yards to the ALABAMA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXAS. - ALA 10, TEX 10 | 2.48 | 29.7% | 4.9% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 2 Started Drive at: TEX 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.73 - 3.25 = 2.48 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.25) Score Difference (End): 0 (5.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.7% Win Probability (After): 34.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:03 | |
(1st & Goal at ALA 2) Hudson Card pass incomplete to Xavier Worthy - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.16 | 33.8% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 2 Started Drive at: TEX 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.94 - 5.10 = -0.16 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.10) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.8% Win Probability (After): 33.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:00 | |
(2nd & 2 at ALA 3) Bert Auburn 20 yd FG MISSED - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -3.23 | 31.0% | -10.2% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 80 Started Drive at: TEX 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.08 - 3.23 = -3.23 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.23) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.08) Change of Possession: 1 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.0% Win Probability (After): 20.8% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at TEX 35) Will Reichard kickoff for 65 yds , Roschon Johnson return for 15 yds to the Texas 15 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -1.70 | 20.8% | -3.3% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 85 Started Drive at: TEX 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.84 - 0.86 = -1.70 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.8% Win Probability (After): 17.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:45 | |
(1st & 10 at TEX 15) Bijan Robinson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 11 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -1.80 | 20.1% | -3.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 89 Started Drive at: TEX 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.18 - 0.62 = -1.80 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.62) Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, -4 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.1% Win Probability (After): 16.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:08 | |
(2nd & 14 at TEX 11) Hudson Card pass incomplete to Bijan Robinson - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.84 | 16.4% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 89 Started Drive at: TEX 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.95 - -1.11 = -0.84 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.11) Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -4 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.4% Win Probability (After): 15.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:45 | |
(3rd & 14 at TEX 11) Hudson Card run for 7 yds to the Texas 18 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.40 | 15.8% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 82 Started Drive at: TEX 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.35 - -1.95 = -0.40 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.95) Score Difference (End): 0 (-2.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.8% Win Probability (After): 13.8% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:15 | |
(4th & 7 at TEX 18) Daniel Trejo punt for 61 yds, downed at the Alab 21 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | 1.41 | 13.4% | 4.0% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 79 Started Drive at: TEX 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.82 - -2.23 = 1.41 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-2.23) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.82) Change of Possession: 1 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.4% Win Probability (After): 17.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 13:05 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 21) Jahmyr Gibbs run for no gain to the Alab 21 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.71 | 81.5% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 79 Started Drive at: ALA 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 0.84 = -0.71 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.84) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.5% Win Probability (After): 80.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:05 | |
(2nd & 10 at ALA 21) Bryce Young pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for a loss of 7 yards to the Alab 14 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -1.73 | 80.3% | -3.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 86 Started Drive at: ALA 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.58 - 0.16 = -1.73 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.16) Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -7 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.3% Win Probability (After): 76.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:48 | |
(3rd & 17 at ALA 14) Bryce Young pass incomplete to Kobe Prentice - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.73 | 76.8% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 86 Started Drive at: ALA 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.36 - -1.62 = -0.73 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.62) Score Difference (End): 0 (-2.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -7 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.8% Win Probability (After): 75.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:40 | |
(4th & 17 at ALA 14) James Burnip punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Xavier Worthy at the Texas 44 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | 0.09 | 74.6% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 56 Started Drive at: ALA 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.48 - -2.56 = 0.09 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-2.56) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.48) Change of Possession: 1 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -7 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.6% Win Probability (After): 74.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 11:32 | |
(1st & 10 at TEX 44) Hudson Card pass incomplete to Jordan Whittington - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.70 | 26.7% | -0.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 56 Started Drive at: TEX 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.82 - 2.52 = -0.70 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.52) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.7% Win Probability (After): 26.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:50 | |
(2nd & 10 at TEX 44) Roschon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Texas 49 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.43 | 25.8% | -0.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 51 Started Drive at: TEX 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.49 - 1.92 = -0.43 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.92) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.8% Win Probability (After): 25.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:45 | |
(3rd & 5 at TEX 49) Hudson Card pass incomplete to Jordan Whittington - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -1.85 | 25.1% | -4.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 51 Started Drive at: TEX 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.34 - 1.51 = -1.85 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.51) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.1% Win Probability (After): 20.1% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:41 | |
(4th & 5 at TEX 49) Daniel Trejo punt for 50 yds, downed at the Alab 1 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | 0.87 | 19.9% | 3.5% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 99 Started Drive at: TEX 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.53 - -0.34 = 0.87 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.34) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.53) Change of Possession: 1 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.9% Win Probability (After): 23.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 10:30 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 1) Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the Alab 4 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.43 | 78.1% | -2.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 99 -> 96 Started Drive at: ALA 1 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.97 - -0.54 = -0.43 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.54) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.1% Win Probability (After): 75.8% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:00 | |
(2nd & 7 at ALA 4) Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jermaine Burton - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.97 | 76.5% | -1.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 96 -> 96 Started Drive at: ALA 1 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.95 - -0.98 = -0.97 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.98) Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.5% Win Probability (After): 74.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:50 | |
(3rd & 7 at ALA 4) Bryce Young pass incomplete - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -1.12 | 74.3% | -3.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 96 -> 96 Started Drive at: ALA 1 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.04 - -1.92 = -1.12 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.92) Score Difference (End): 0 (-3.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.3% Win Probability (After): 70.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:39 | |
(4th & 7 at ALA 4) James Burnip punt for 44 yds , Xavier Worthy returns for 9 yds to the Alab 39 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.61 | 71.8% | -0.2% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 96 -> 39 Started Drive at: ALA 1 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.69 - -3.08 = -0.61 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-3.08) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.69) Change of Possession: 1 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.8% Win Probability (After): 71.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 9:00 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 39) Hudson Card pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 6 yds to the Alab 33 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | 0.42 | 26.9% | 2.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 33 Started Drive at: ALA 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.08 - 3.66 = 0.42 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.66) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.9% Win Probability (After): 29.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:30 | |
(2nd & 4 at ALA 33) Hudson Card pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 38 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (Will Anderson Jr.) to the Alab 23 for a 1ST down - ALA 10, TEX 10 | 0.45 | 28.7% | -0.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 23 Started Drive at: ALA 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.53 - 3.98 = 0.45 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.08) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.7% Win Probability (After): 28.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:15 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 23) Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Alab 19 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -0.09 | 31.2% | -0.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 19 Started Drive at: ALA 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.42 - 4.51 = -0.09 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.51) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.2% Win Probability (After): 30.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:25 | |
(2nd & 6 at ALA 19) Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Alab 15 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | 0.13 | 34.1% | -3.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 15 Started Drive at: ALA 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.55 - 4.42 = 0.13 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.42) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.1% Win Probability (After): 31.1% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:45 | |
(3rd & 2 at ALA 15) Bijan Robinson run for no gain to the Alab 15 - ALA 10, TEX 10 | -1.41 | 33.9% | -2.8% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15 Started Drive at: ALA 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.15 - 4.56 = -1.41 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.56) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.9% Win Probability (After): 31.1% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:27 | |
(4th & 2 at ALA 16) Bert Auburn 33 Yd Field Goal - ALA 10, TEX 13 | -0.23 | 31.8% | 2.4% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 15 Started Drive at: ALA 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 3.23 = -0.23 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.23) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.8% Win Probability (After): 34.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 10 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 6:27 | |
(Kickoff at ALA 35) Will Stone kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - ALA 10, TEX 13 | 0.00 | 70.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.74 - 0.74 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.26) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 13 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.4% Win Probability (After): 70.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:15 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 25) Bryce Young pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 21 - ALA 10, TEX 13 | -1.19 | 70.6% | -4.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 79 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.46 - 0.73 = -1.19 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.27) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, -4 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.6% Win Probability (After): 66.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:44 | |
(2nd & 14 at ALA 21) Bryce Young pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 10 yds to the Alab 31 - ALA 10, TEX 13 | 0.71 | 68.1% | 0.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 69 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.23 - -0.48 = 0.71 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.48) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.1% Win Probability (After): 68.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:00 | |
(3rd & 4 at ALA 31) Bryce Young run for 5 yds to the Alab 36 ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (-10 Yards) to the Alab 26 - ALA 10, TEX 13 | -1.02 | 66.3% | 0.8% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 74 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.79 - 0.24 = -1.02 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.77) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.3% Win Probability (After): 67.1% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:00 | |
(3rd & 9 at ALA 26) Bryce Young run for 7 yds to the Alab 33 - ALA 10, TEX 13 | -0.38 | 60.8% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 67 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.16 - -0.78 = -0.38 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.78) Score Difference (End): -3 (-4.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.8% Win Probability (After): 63.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:42 | |
(4th & 2 at ALA 33) James Burnip punt for 40 yds , Xavier Worthy returns for 2 yds to the Texas 29 - ALA 10, TEX 13 | -0.63 | 60.1% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 71 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.83 - -1.20 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-4.20) Score Difference (End): 3 (4.83) Change of Possession: 1 Score: ALA 10, TEX 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.1% Win Probability (After): 59.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 3:00 | |
(1st & 10 at TEX 29) Hudson Card pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 13 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST down - ALA 10, TEX 13 | 0.68 | 40.2% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 58 Started Drive at: TEX 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.55 - 1.87 = 0.68 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.87) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 13 Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.2% Win Probability (After): 41.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:30 | |
(1st & 10 at TEX 42) Hudson Card sacked by Jaylen Moody for a loss of 9 yards to the Texas 33 - ALA 10, TEX 13 | -1.63 | 41.3% | -3.1% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 67 Started Drive at: TEX 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.93 - 2.56 = -1.63 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.56) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 13 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.3% Win Probability (After): 38.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:14 | |
(2nd & 19 at TEX 33) Hudson Card run for 20 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST down - ALA 10, TEX 13 | 2.35 | 38.6% | 4.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 47 Started Drive at: TEX 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.27 - 0.92 = 2.35 Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.92) Score Difference (End): 3 (6.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 13 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.6% Win Probability (After): 43.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:35 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 47) Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Alab 44 - ALA 10, TEX 13 | -0.42 | 44.5% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 44 Started Drive at: TEX 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 3.29 = -0.42 Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.29) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 13 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.5% Win Probability (After): 42.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:14 | |
(2nd & 7 at ALA 44) Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Alab 39 - ALA 10, TEX 13 | 0.19 | 46.3% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 39 Started Drive at: TEX 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.08 - 2.89 = 0.19 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.89) Score Difference (End): 3 (6.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 13 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.3% Win Probability (After): 44.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:00 | |
(3rd & 2 at ALA 39) Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST down - ALA 10, TEX 13 | 0.65 | 45.7% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 37 Started Drive at: TEX 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.72 - 3.06 = 0.65 Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.06) Score Difference (End): 3 (6.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.7% Win Probability (After): 46.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:32 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 37) Card, Hudson pass incomplete to Robinson, Bijan, PENALTY ALABAMA offside 5 yards to the ALABAMA32, NO PLAY. - ALA 10, TEX 13 | 0.69 | 49.4% | -2.2% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 32 Started Drive at: TEX 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.41 - 3.71 = 0.69 Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.71) Score Difference (End): 3 (7.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 13 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.4% Win Probability (After): 47.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:18 | |
(1st & 5 at ALA 32) Hudson Card pass incomplete - ALA 10, TEX 13 | -0.43 | 50.1% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32 Started Drive at: TEX 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.98 - 4.40 = -0.43 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.40) Score Difference (End): 3 (6.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 13 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.1% Win Probability (After): 49.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:01 | |
(2nd & 5 at ALA 32) Hudson Card pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 8 yds to the Alab 24 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (12 Yards) to the Alab 12 for a 1ST down - ALA 10, TEX 13 | 1.14 | 49.5% | 6.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 12 Started Drive at: TEX 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.12 - 3.95 = 1.14 Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.98) Score Difference (End): 3 (8.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 13 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.5% Win Probability (After): 55.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:13 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 12) Hudson Card pass complete to Keilan Robinson for 5 yds to the Alab 7 - ALA 10, TEX 13 | 0.16 | 55.4% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 7 Started Drive at: TEX 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.18 - 5.02 = 0.16 Score Difference (Before): 3 (8.02) Score Difference (End): 3 (8.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 13 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.4% Win Probability (After): 53.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:50 | |
(2nd & 5 at ALA 7) Bijan Robinson run for no gain to the Alab 7 - ALA 10, TEX 13 | -0.99 | 57.9% | -7.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7 Started Drive at: TEX 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.18 - 5.17 = -0.99 Score Difference (Before): 3 (8.17) Score Difference (End): 3 (7.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 13 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.9% Win Probability (After): 50.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:06 | |
(3rd & 5 at ALA 7) Hudson Card pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 1 yd to the Alab 6 - ALA 10, TEX 13 | -1.36 | 54.0% | -5.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 6 Started Drive at: TEX 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.87 - 4.23 = -1.36 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.23) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 13 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.0% Win Probability (After): 48.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (13) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:55 | |
(4th & 4 at ALA 7) Bert Auburn 24 Yd Field Goal - ALA 10, TEX 16 | 0.13 | 48.5% | 10.5% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 6 Started Drive at: TEX 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.87 = 0.13 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.87) Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.5% Win Probability (After): 59.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 13 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 12:55 | |
(Kickoff at ALA 35) Will Stone kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - ALA 10, TEX 16 | 0.00 | 53.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - 0.90 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.10) Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.3% Win Probability (After): 53.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:25 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 25) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 3 yds to the Alab 28 - ALA 10, TEX 16 | -0.52 | 52.2% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.47 - 0.99 = -0.52 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.01) Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.2% Win Probability (After): 52.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:20 | |
(2nd & 7 at ALA 28) Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jermaine Burton - ALA 10, TEX 16 | -1.00 | 49.4% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.43 - 0.57 = -1.00 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.43) Score Difference (End): -6 (-6.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.4% Win Probability (After): 47.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:00 | |
(3rd & 7 at ALA 28) Bryce Young run for 17 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down - ALA 10, TEX 16 | 2.86 | 45.5% | 8.5% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 55 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.45 - -0.40 = 2.86 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-6.40) Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.5% Win Probability (After): 54.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:29 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 45) Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 7 yds to the Texas 48 - ALA 10, TEX 16 | 0.51 | 52.3% | 2.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 48 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.95 - 2.43 = 0.51 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.57) Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.3% Win Probability (After): 55.1% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:10 | |
(2nd & 3 at TEX 48) Roydell Williams run for 4 yds to the Texas 44 for a 1ST down - ALA 10, TEX 16 | 0.27 | 52.8% | 1.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 44 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.17 - 2.89 = 0.27 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.11) Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.8% Win Probability (After): 54.1% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:45 | |
(1st & 10 at TEX 44) Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 8 yds to the Texas 36 - ALA 10, TEX 16 | 0.62 | 53.2% | 1.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 36 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.80 - 3.18 = 0.62 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.82) Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.2% Win Probability (After): 54.8% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:10 | |
(2nd & 2 at TEX 36) Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 37 - ALA 10, TEX 16 | -1.10 | 55.2% | -2.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 37 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.75 - 3.85 = -1.10 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.15) Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.2% Win Probability (After): 53.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:35 | |
(3rd & 3 at TEX 37) Bryce Young pass incomplete - ALA 10, TEX 16 | -1.76 | 50.7% | -1.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.02 - 2.78 = -1.76 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.22) Score Difference (End): -6 (-4.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.7% Win Probability (After): 49.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:30 | |
(4th & 3 at TEX 37) Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 14 yds to the Texas 23 for a 1ST down - ALA 10, TEX 16 | 3.50 | 46.0% | 11.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 23 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.38 - 0.87 = 3.50 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.13) Score Difference (End): -6 (-1.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.0% Win Probability (After): 57.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 8:59 | |
(1st & 10 at TEX 23) Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 16 yds to the Texas 7 for a 1ST down - ALA 10, TEX 16 | 1.14 | 56.9% | 5.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 7 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.53 - 4.39 = 1.14 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-1.61) Score Difference (End): -6 (-0.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 10, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.9% Win Probability (After): 61.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:29 | |
(1st & Goal at TEX 7) Jahmyr Gibbs 7 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick) - ALA 17, TEX 16 | 1.50 | 60.7% | 11.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 99 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.50 = 1.50 Score Difference (Before): -6 (-0.50) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.7% Win Probability (After): 72.0% Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:29 | |
(Kickoff at TEX 35) Will Reichard kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - ALA 17, TEX 16 | 0.00 | 34.0% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 1.04 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.04) Score Difference (End): -1 (0.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.0% Win Probability (After): 34.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:23 | |
(1st & 10 at TEX 25) Hudson Card pass incomplete - ALA 17, TEX 16 | -0.51 | 33.0% | -4.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.46 - 0.97 = -0.51 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.03) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.0% Win Probability (After): 28.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at TEX 25) Hudson Card pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 1 yd to the Texas 26 - ALA 17, TEX 16 | -0.95 | 29.5% | -4.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 74 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.36 - 0.59 = -0.95 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.41) Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.5% Win Probability (After): 24.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:41 | |
(3rd & 9 at TEX 26) Hudson Card pass incomplete - ALA 17, TEX 16 | -1.15 | 25.0% | -6.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.38 - -0.24 = -1.15 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-1.24) Score Difference (End): -1 (-2.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.0% Win Probability (After): 18.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:28 | |
(4th & 9 at TEX 26) Daniel Trejo punt for 48 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 23 - ALA 17, TEX 16 | 0.56 | 18.1% | 5.8% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 77 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.91 - -1.48 = 0.56 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-2.48) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.91) Change of Possession: 1 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.1% Win Probability (After): 23.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 7:10 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 23) Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 11 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST down - ALA 17, TEX 16 | 0.68 | 76.3% | 3.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 66 Started Drive at: ALA 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.66 - 0.98 = 0.68 Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.98) Score Difference (End): 1 (2.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.3% Win Probability (After): 79.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:00 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 34) Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 21 yds to the Texas 45 for a 1ST down - ALA 17, TEX 16 | 1.12 | 80.7% | 3.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 45 Started Drive at: ALA 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.83 - 1.72 = 1.12 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.72) Score Difference (End): 1 (3.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.7% Win Probability (After): 83.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:14 | |
(1st & 10 at TEX 45) Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 8 yds to the Texas 37 - ALA 17, TEX 16 | 0.64 | 86.1% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 37 Started Drive at: ALA 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.44 - 2.81 = 0.64 Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.81) Score Difference (End): 1 (4.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.1% Win Probability (After): 86.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:55 | |
(2nd & 2 at TEX 37) Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST down - ALA 17, TEX 16 | 0.22 | 87.2% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 34 Started Drive at: ALA 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.55 - 3.32 = 0.22 Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.32) Score Difference (End): 1 (4.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.2% Win Probability (After): 87.5% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:37 | |
(1st & 10 at TEX 34) Bryce Young run for 4 yds to the Texas 30 - ALA 17, TEX 16 | 0.13 | 87.7% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 30 Started Drive at: ALA 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.45 - 3.32 = 0.13 Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.32) Score Difference (End): 1 (4.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.7% Win Probability (After): 87.5% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:58 | |
(2nd & 6 at TEX 30) Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 4 yds to the Texas 26 - ALA 17, TEX 16 | -0.06 | 88.1% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 26 Started Drive at: ALA 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.42 - 3.48 = -0.06 Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.48) Score Difference (End): 1 (4.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.1% Win Probability (After): 87.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:15 | |
(3rd & 2 at TEX 26) Jahmyr Gibbs run for 1 yd to the Texas 25 - ALA 17, TEX 16 | -0.83 | 88.0% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 25 Started Drive at: ALA 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - 3.42 = -0.83 Score Difference (Before): 1 (4.42) Score Difference (End): 1 (3.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.0% Win Probability (After): 86.5% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:55 | |
(4th & 1 at TEX 25) Roydell Williams run for no gain to the Texas 25 - ALA 17, TEX 16 | -3.55 | 87.7% | -22.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 75 Started Drive at: ALA 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.06 - 2.49 = -3.55 Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.49) Score Difference (End): -1 (0.06) Change of Possession: 1 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.7% Win Probability (After): 64.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 3:42 | |
(1st & 10 at TEX 25) Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the Texas 26 - ALA 17, TEX 16 | -0.43 | 37.3% | -9.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 74 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.69 - 1.12 = -0.43 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.12) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.3% Win Probability (After): 28.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:13 | |
(2nd & 9 at TEX 26) Hudson Card pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 11 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST down - ALA 17, TEX 16 | 1.12 | 28.0% | 13.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 63 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.83 - 0.71 = 1.12 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.29) Score Difference (End): -1 (0.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.0% Win Probability (After): 41.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:42 | |
(1st & 10 at TEX 37) Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Texas 40 - ALA 17, TEX 16 | -0.14 | 41.7% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 60 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.55 - 1.68 = -0.14 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.68) Score Difference (End): -1 (0.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.7% Win Probability (After): 42.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:00 | |
(2nd & 7 at TEX 40) Hudson Card pass complete to Casey Cain for 29 yds to the Alab 31 for a 1ST down - ALA 17, TEX 16 | 1.67 | 41.4% | 14.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 31 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.18 - 1.51 = 1.67 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.51) Score Difference (End): -1 (2.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.4% Win Probability (After): 55.6% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:42 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 31) Roschon Johnson run for 6 yds to the Alab 25 - ALA 17, TEX 16 | 0.62 | 59.6% | 2.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 25 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.61 - 2.98 = 0.62 Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.98) Score Difference (End): -1 (2.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.6% Win Probability (After): 62.5% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:38 | |
(2nd & 4 at ALA 25) Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the Alab 24 - ALA 17, TEX 16 | -0.43 | 66.0% | -5.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 24 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 3.49 = -0.43 Score Difference (Before): -1 (2.49) Score Difference (End): -1 (2.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.0% Win Probability (After): 61.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:38 | |
(3rd & 3 at ALA 24) Timeout ALABAMA, clock 01:38 - ALA 17, TEX 16 | 0.00 | 61.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 3.06 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -1 (2.06) Score Difference (End): -1 (2.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.0% Win Probability (After): 61.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:34 | |
(3rd & 3 at ALA 24) Hudson Card sacked by Will Anderson Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Alab 31 - ALA 17, TEX 16 | -1.55 | 63.6% | -23.4% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 31 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - 3.07 = -1.55 Score Difference (Before): -1 (2.07) Score Difference (End): -1 (0.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.6% Win Probability (After): 40.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:34 | |
(4th & 10 at ALA 31) Timeout ALABAMA, clock 01:34 - ALA 17, TEX 16 | 0.00 | 40.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 31 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - 1.51 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.51) Score Difference (End): -1 (0.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 16 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.3% Win Probability (After): 40.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (16) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 1:29 | |
(4th & 10 at ALA 32) Bert Auburn 49 yd FG GOOD - ALA 17, TEX 19 | 1.54 | 42.0% | 34.9% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 31 Started Drive at: TEX 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.46 = 1.54 Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.46) Score Difference (End): 2 (2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 19 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.0% Win Probability (After): 76.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 16 (19) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 1:29 | |
(Kickoff at ALA 35) Will Stone kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - ALA 17, TEX 19 | 0.00 | 37.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 0.81 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.19) Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 19 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.0% Win Probability (After): 37.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:24 | |
(1st & 10 at ALA 25) Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 8 yds to the Alab 33 - ALA 17, TEX 19 | 0.24 | 35.8% | 7.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 67 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 0.82 = 0.24 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.18) Score Difference (End): -2 (-0.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 19 Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.8% Win Probability (After): 43.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:18 | |
(2nd & 2 at ALA 33) Bryce Young pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 20 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST down - ALA 17, TEX 19 | 0.64 | 43.7% | 10.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 47 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 1.21 = 0.64 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-0.79) Score Difference (End): -2 (-0.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 19 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.7% Win Probability (After): 54.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:55 | |
(1st & 10 at TEX 47) Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 5 yds to the Texas 42 - ALA 17, TEX 19 | 0.28 | 47.9% | 10.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 42 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.95 - 1.66 = 0.28 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-0.34) Score Difference (End): -2 (-0.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 19 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.9% Win Probability (After): 58.4% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:35 | |
(2nd & 5 at TEX 42) Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 5 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST down - ALA 17, TEX 19 | 0.69 | 46.0% | 27.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 37 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.40 - 1.71 = 0.69 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-0.29) Score Difference (End): -2 (0.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 19 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.0% Win Probability (After): 73.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:35 | |
(1st & 10 at TEX 37) Timeout TEXAS, clock 00:35 - ALA 17, TEX 19 | 0.00 | 71.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.40 - 2.40 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.40) Score Difference (End): -2 (0.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 19 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.2% Win Probability (After): 71.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:27 | |
(1st & 10 at TEX 37) Bryce Young run for 20 yds to the Texas 17 for a 1ST down - ALA 17, TEX 19 | 1.87 | 68.2% | 22.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 17 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.97 - 2.10 = 1.87 Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.10) Score Difference (End): -2 (1.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 19 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.2% Win Probability (After): 90.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:24 | |
(1st & 10 at TEX 17) Bryce Young pass incomplete to Cameron Latu - ALA 17, TEX 19 | -0.27 | 87.2% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.52 - 3.79 = -0.27 Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.79) Score Difference (End): -2 (1.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 19 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.2% Win Probability (After): 87.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:19 | |
(2nd & 10 at TEX 17) Bryce Young pass incomplete - ALA 17, TEX 19 | -0.24 | 85.3% | -2.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.14 - 3.38 = -0.24 Score Difference (Before): -2 (1.38) Score Difference (End): -2 (1.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 19 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.3% Win Probability (After): 83.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:15 | |
(3rd & 10 at TEX 17) Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 3 yds to the Texas 14 - ALA 17, TEX 19 | -0.33 | 80.9% | -4.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 14 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.62 - 2.96 = -0.33 Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.96) Score Difference (End): -2 (0.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 19 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.9% Win Probability (After): 76.5% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:15 | |
(4th & 7 at TEX 14) Timeout TEXAS, clock 00:15 - ALA 17, TEX 19 | 0.00 | 75.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.62 - 2.62 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.62) Score Difference (End): -2 (0.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 17, TEX 19 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.7% Win Probability (After): 75.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 19 (19) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:10 | |
(4th & 7 at TEX 16) Will Reichard 33 yd FG GOOD - ALA 20, TEX 19 | 0.40 | 77.7% | 13.8% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 14 Started Drive at: ALA 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.60 = 0.40 Score Difference (Before): -2 (0.60) Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 20, TEX 19 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.7% Win Probability (After): 91.6% Away Score: 17 (20) Home Score: 19 (19) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:10 | |
(Kickoff at TEX 35) Will Reichard kickoff for 65 yds , Roschon Johnson return for 24 yds to the Texas 24 - ALA 20, TEX 19 | -0.01 | 5.4% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 76 Started Drive at: TEX 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.10 - 0.11 = -0.01 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.89) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 20, TEX 19 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.4% Win Probability (After): 5.4% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 19 (19) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:01 | |
(1st & 10 at TEX 24) Hudson Card pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 30 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST down - ALA 20, TEX 19 | 0.86 | 3.4% | -3.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 46 Started Drive at: TEX 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.91 - 0.04 = 0.86 Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.96) Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: ALA 20, TEX 19 Drive Summary: 1 play, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.4% Win Probability (After): 0.0% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 19 (19) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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