Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 1.11 | Odds: WASH -14, O/U 62.0 | Download Chart
Expected Points
Team Stats [show/hide]
| Overall |
|
|
|---|---|---|
| EPA/Play | -0.03 42nd %ile | 0.17 75th %ile |
| Success Rate | 40% 46th %ile | 51% 89th %ile |
| Yards/Play | 6.06 57th %ile | 7.30 85th %ile |
| EPA/Dropback | -0.06 42nd %ile | 0.28 75th %ile |
| EPA/Rush | 0.00 48th %ile | 0.03 53rd %ile |
| Yards/Dropback | 8.41 83rd %ile | 8.41 83rd %ile |
| Explosive Play Rate | 13% 91st %ile | 6% 26th %ile |
| 3rd Down Success Rate | 50% 75th %ile | 39% 43rd %ile |
| Red Zone Success Rate | 40% 51st %ile | 36% 38th %ile |
| Def Run Stuff Rate | 9% 0th %ile | 18% 5th %ile |
| Havoc Rate | 3% 5th %ile | 15% 77th %ile |
| Expected Points | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 75 | 80 |
| Total EPA | -8.03 | 12.79 |
| Offensive EPA | -1.92 | 11.49 |
| Special Teams EPA | -7.88 | 1.96 |
| Penalty EPA | 1.77 | -0.63 |
| Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA | 0.00 | -0.03 |
| Production | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 62 | 69 |
| Yards | 376 | 504 |
| Yards/Play | 6.06 | 7.30 |
| EPA | -1.92 | 11.49 |
| EPA/Play | -0.03 | 0.17 |
| Passes | 34 (55%) | 37 (54%) |
| Yards | 286 | 311 |
| Yards/Play | 8.41 | 8.41 |
| EPA | -1.91 | 10.52 |
| EPA/Play | -0.06 | 0.28 |
| Rushes | 28 (45%) | 32 (46%) |
| Yards | 127 | 193 |
| Yards/Play | 4.54 | 6.03 |
| EPA | -0.01 | 0.97 |
| EPA/Play | 0.00 | 0.03 |
| Rushing | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 62 | 69 |
| Rushes | 28 (45%) | 32 (46%) |
| Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) | 3 (11%) | 4 (12%) |
| Successful Power Runs (Rate) | 2 (67%) | 4 (100%) |
| Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) | 5 (18%) | 3 (9%) |
| Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) | 12 (43%) | 10 (31%) |
| Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) | 14 (50%) | 16 (50%) |
| OL Line Yards | 56.5 | 70.6 |
| Per Carry | 2.02 | 2.21 |
| Highlight Yards | 30.5 | 64.5 |
| Per Rush Opportunity | 2.18 | 4.03 |
| Explosiveness | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 75 | 80 |
| Scrimmage Plays | 62 | 69 |
| Explosive Plays | 8 (13%) | 4 (6%) |
| When Passing (EPA > 2.4) | 7 (21%) | 3 (8%) |
| When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) | 1 (4%) | 1 (3%) |
| EPA w/o Explosive Plays | -33.20 | -0.41 |
| EPA/Play | -0.61 | -0.01 |
| When Passing | -29.80 | 1.67 |
| EPA/Play | -0.88 | 0.05 |
| When Rushing | -3.40 | -2.08 |
| EPA/Play | -0.13 | -0.07 |
| Situational | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Successful Plays (EPA > 0) | 25 (40%) | 35 (51%) |
| When Passing | 13 (38%) | 19 (51%) |
| When Rushing | 12 (43%) | 16 (50%) |
| On Standard Downs | 15 (34%) | 25 (51%) |
| On Passing Downs | 10 (56%) | 10 (50%) |
| On Early Downs | 18 (38%) | 27 (51%) |
| On Late Downs | 7 (50%) | 8 (50%) |
| During "Middle 8" | 2 (67%) | 8 (53%) |
| Early Downs | 48 | 53 |
| First Downs Created | 8 (17%) | 12 (23%) |
| EPA | -4.14 | 12.31 |
| EPA/Play | -0.09 | 0.23 |
| Passes | 26 (54%) | 28 (53%) |
| Rushes | 22 (46%) | 25 (47%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 10 (38%) | 15 (54%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 8 (36%) | 12 (48%) |
| "Middle 8" Plays | 3 | 15 |
| EPA | 3.53 | -1.51 |
| EPA/play | 1.18 | -0.10 |
| Passes | 1 (33%) | 6 (40%) |
| Rushes | 2 (67%) | 9 (60%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 1 (100%) | 2 (33%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 1 (50%) | 6 (67%) |
| Drives | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total | 12 | 12 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 22 | Own 31 |
| Plays/Drive | 7.71 | 7.30 |
| Yards/Drive | 46.66 | 43.43 |
| Available Yards % | 60% | 63% |
| Defensive | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 69 | 62 |
| Stop Rate | 23% | 40% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 2 (3%) | 9 (15%) |
| Passing | 0 (0%) | 9 (26%) |
| Rushing | 2 (6%) | 0 (0%) |
| TFLs Generated | 2 | 8 |
| Passing | 0 | 8 |
| Rushing | 2 | 0 |
| Sacks Generated | 0 (0%) | 8 (24%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 1 |
| Fumbles Forced | 0 | 0 |
| Turnovers | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 4 | 0 |
| Fumbles | 3 | 1 |
| Fumbles Lost | 3 | 0 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 0 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 1 | 0 |
| Turnover Margin | -4 | 4 |
| Expected Turnovers | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| Expected Turnover Margin | -1.2 | 1.2 |
| Turnover Luck (pts) | -13.9 | 13.9 |
| Special Teams | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 13 | 11 |
| Total EPA | -7.88 | 1.96 |
| Field Goal EPA | 0 | 2.22 |
| Punting EPA | -0.86 | -0.29 |
| Kickoff Return EPA | -7.02 | 0.03 |
Stanford [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Tanner McKee | 17/26, 286 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT, 8 Scks, 28.2 xQBR, 0.95 DETMER | 8.41 | -0.06 | -1.91 | 38% | -13.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Casey Filkins | 20 carries, 102 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.10 | 0.20 | 4.09 | 45% | 2.0% | |
| Michael Wilson | 1 carry, 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.00 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| Ari Patu | 1 carry, 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| Caleb Robinson | 1 carry, 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.00 | -0.13 | -0.13 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Tanner McKee | 5 carries, 6 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) | 1.20 | -1.02 | -5.11 | 20% | -2.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Michael Wilson | 6 catches (7 targets), 176 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 29.33 | 2.35 | 16.44 | 86% | 4.0% | |
| John Humphreys | 1 catch (2 targets), 17 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 17.00 | 2.02 | 4.04 | 50% | 2.0% | |
| Casey Filkins | 2 catches (3 targets), 29 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 14.50 | 1.07 | 3.22 | 67% | 3.0% | |
| Elijah Higgins | 4 catches (5 targets), 37 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.25 | 0.55 | 2.75 | 60% | 0.0% | |
| Benjamin Yurosek | 1 catch (2 targets), 16 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 16.00 | 0.52 | 1.05 | 50% | 1.0% | |
| Brycen Tremayne | 1 catch (1 target), 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.00 | -0.17 | -0.17 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Silas Starr | 1 catch (1 target), 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.00 | -0.30 | -0.30 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Brendon Barrow | 1 catch (1 target), 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | -0.40 | -0.40 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Mudia Reuben | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.83 | -0.83 | 0% | 0.0% | |
Washington [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Michael Penix Jr. | 22/37, 311 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 71.7 xQBR, 0.52 DETMER | 8.41 | 0.28 | 10.52 | 51% | 3.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Wayne Taulapapa | 13 carries, 124 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.54 | 0.52 | 6.72 | 77% | 6.0% | |
| Devin Culp | 1 carry, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.00 | 1.24 | 1.24 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| Will Nixon | 4 carries, 21 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.25 | 0.06 | 0.26 | 50% | 4.0% | |
| Jalen McMillan | 1 carry, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.00 | -0.57 | -0.57 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Sam Adams II | 2 carries, 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.00 | -0.38 | -0.75 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Michael Penix Jr. | 1 carry, 5 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) | 5.00 | -1.00 | -1.00 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Dylan Morris | 2 carries, -2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | -1.00 | -0.52 | -1.03 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Giles Jackson | 3 carries, 18 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.00 | -0.57 | -1.71 | 33% | 0.0% | |
| Richard Newton | 5 carries, 19 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.80 | -0.44 | -2.19 | 40% | 0.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Rome Odunze | 8 catches (9 targets), 163 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 20.38 | 1.13 | 10.20 | 78% | 7.0% | |
| Jack Westover | 3 catches (3 targets), 30 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.00 | 0.98 | 2.95 | 100% | 3.0% | |
| Jalen McMillan | 5 catches (9 targets), 59 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.80 | 0.20 | 1.77 | 56% | -1.0% | |
| Giles Jackson | 4 catches (6 targets), 39 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.75 | 0.15 | 0.87 | 33% | -2.0% | |
| Ja'Lynn Polk | 1 catch (2 targets), 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.00 | 0.38 | 0.77 | 50% | -1.0% | |
| Richard Newton | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.94 | -0.94 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Devin Culp | 1 catch (4 targets), 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.00 | -0.25 | -1.01 | 25% | 0.0% | |
| Will Nixon | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -1.61 | -1.61 | 0% | 0.0% | |
Big Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute EPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 1:45 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 22) Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 78 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK) - STAN 22, WASH 40 | 6.38 | 0.1% | 0.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 99 Started Drive at: STAN 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.62 = 6.38 Score Difference (Before): -25 (-24.38) Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 22, WASH 40 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 92 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 15 (22) Home Score: 40 (40) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 3:29 | |
(2nd & 11 at WASH 17) Tanner McKee pass intercepted - STAN 0, WASH 7 | -5.47 | 14.9% | -7.7% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 87 Started Drive at: STAN 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.60 - 3.87 = -5.47 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.13) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.60) Change of Possession: 1 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.9% Win Probability (After): 7.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:25 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 45) Tanner McKee sacked by Jeremiah Martin for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 43 Tanner McKee fumbled, recovered by Stanf Faatui Tuitele , return for 0 yards - STAN 0, WASH 10 | -5.46 | 13.2% | -7.4% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 43 Started Drive at: STAN 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.33 - 2.13 = -5.46 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.87) Score Difference (End): 10 (13.33) Change of Possession: 1 Score: STAN 0, WASH 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.2% Win Probability (After): 5.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:45 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 37) Tanner McKee sacked by Zion Tupuola-Fetui for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 30 Tanner McKee fumbled, recovered by Stanf Faatui Tuitele , return for 0 yards - STAN 15, WASH 33 | -5.33 | 0.7% | -0.3% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 30 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.52 - 0.81 = -5.33 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.19) Score Difference (End): 18 (22.52) Change of Possession: 1 Score: STAN 15, WASH 33 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.7% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:58 | |
(2nd & 11 at WASH 17) John Humphreys 17 Yd pass from Tanner McKee (Tanner McKee Pass to Brycen Tremayne for Two-Point Conversion) - STAN 15, WASH 30 | 4.60 | 0.3% | 2.0% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 99 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 3.40 = 4.60 Score Difference (Before): -23 (-19.60) Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 30 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 77 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 2.3% Away Score: 7 (15) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:49 | |
(4th & 4 at STAN 43) Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 20 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST down - STAN 7, WASH 30 | 4.17 | 0.3% | 0.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 37 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.60 - -1.57 = 4.17 Score Difference (Before): -23 (-24.57) Score Difference (End): -23 (-20.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 30 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 4:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at WASH 23) Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 23 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK) - STAN 7, WASH 17 | 3.60 | 6.6% | 1.9% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 99 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.40 = 3.60 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-13.60) Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.6% Win Probability (After): 8.5% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q3 5:27 | |
(4th & 1 at STAN 44) Tanner McKee run for no gain to the Stanf 44 - STAN 7, WASH 27 | -3.41 | 1.0% | -0.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 44 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.17 - -0.76 = -3.41 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-20.76) Score Difference (End): 20 (24.17) Change of Possession: 1 Score: STAN 7, WASH 27 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.0% Win Probability (After): 0.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 10:27 | |
(3rd & 10 at STAN 24) Casey Filkins run for 22 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST down - STAN 0, WASH 7 | 3.39 | 7.0% | 2.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 54 Started Drive at: STAN 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - -1.76 = 3.39 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.76) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.0% Win Probability (After): 9.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:47 | |
(2nd & 10 at STAN 25) Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 37 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST down - STAN 0, WASH 17 | 3.35 | 3.6% | 2.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 38 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - -0.47 = 3.35 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.47) Score Difference (End): -17 (-14.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.6% Win Probability (After): 5.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 3:29 | |
(2nd & 11 at WASH 17) Tanner McKee pass intercepted - STAN 0, WASH 7 | -5.47 | 14.9% | -7.7% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 87 Started Drive at: STAN 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.60 - 3.87 = -5.47 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.13) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.60) Change of Possession: 1 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.9% Win Probability (After): 7.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:25 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 45) Tanner McKee sacked by Jeremiah Martin for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 43 Tanner McKee fumbled, recovered by Stanf Faatui Tuitele , return for 0 yards - STAN 0, WASH 10 | -5.46 | 13.2% | -7.4% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 43 Started Drive at: STAN 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.33 - 2.13 = -5.46 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.87) Score Difference (End): 10 (13.33) Change of Possession: 1 Score: STAN 0, WASH 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.2% Win Probability (After): 5.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:59 | |
(4th & 13 at STAN 20) Ryan Sanborn punt for 50 yds , Giles Jackson returns for 12 yds to the Wash 42 - STAN 0, WASH 0 | 0.00 | 18.2% | -4.0% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 58 Started Drive at: STAN 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.20 - -2.19 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-2.19) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.20) Change of Possession: 1 Score: STAN 0, WASH 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.2% Win Probability (After): 14.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 10:32 | |
(1st & Goal at STAN 3) Will Nixon run for 3 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) - STAN 0, WASH 7 | 0.80 | 89.5% | 3.8% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99 Started Drive at: WASH 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.20 = 0.80 Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.20) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.5% Win Probability (After): 93.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:27 | |
(3rd & 12 at STAN 44) Tanner McKee pass complete to Casey Filkins for 15 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST down - STAN 0, WASH 7 | 3.10 | 7.3% | 2.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 41 Started Drive at: STAN 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.64 - -0.46 = 3.10 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.46) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.3% Win Probability (After): 10.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:59 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 24) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 21 yds to the Stanf 3 for a 1ST down - STAN 0, WASH 0 | 1.79 | 89.1% | 2.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 3 Started Drive at: WASH 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.15 - 4.37 = 1.79 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.37) Score Difference (End): 0 (6.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.1% Win Probability (After): 91.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:27 | |
(3rd & 10 at STAN 24) Casey Filkins run for 22 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST down - STAN 0, WASH 7 | 3.39 | 7.0% | 2.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 54 Started Drive at: STAN 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - -1.76 = 3.39 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.76) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.0% Win Probability (After): 9.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:47 | |
(2nd & 10 at STAN 25) Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 37 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST down - STAN 0, WASH 17 | 3.35 | 3.6% | 2.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 38 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - -0.47 = 3.35 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.47) Score Difference (End): -17 (-14.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.6% Win Probability (After): 5.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 15:00 | |
(3rd & 6 at STAN 29) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 11 yds to the Stanf 18 for a 1ST down - STAN 0, WASH 7 | 1.73 | 91.1% | 2.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 18 Started Drive at: WASH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.15 - 3.42 = 1.73 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.42) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.1% Win Probability (After): 93.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:58 | |
(2nd & 11 at WASH 17) John Humphreys 17 Yd pass from Tanner McKee (Tanner McKee Pass to Brycen Tremayne for Two-Point Conversion) - STAN 15, WASH 30 | 4.60 | 0.3% | 2.0% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 99 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 3.40 = 4.60 Score Difference (Before): -23 (-19.60) Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 30 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 77 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 2.3% Away Score: 7 (15) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Scoring Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 10:32 | |
(1st & Goal at STAN 3) Will Nixon run for 3 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) - STAN 0, WASH 7 | 0.80 | 89.5% | 3.8% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99 Started Drive at: WASH 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.20 = 0.80 Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.20) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.5% Win Probability (After): 93.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:26 | |
(4th & 10 at STAN 18) Peyton Henry 35 yd FG GOOD - STAN 0, WASH 10 | 0.55 | 91.5% | 1.2% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 65 Started Drive at: WASH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.45 = 0.55 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.45) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 10 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.5% Win Probability (After): 92.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 5:53 | |
(2nd & 1 at STAN 34) Wayne Taulapapa run for 34 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) - STAN 0, WASH 17 | 3.05 | 94.7% | 1.9% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 99 Started Drive at: STAN 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.95 = 3.05 Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.95) Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.7% Win Probability (After): 96.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at WASH 23) Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 23 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK) - STAN 7, WASH 17 | 3.60 | 6.6% | 1.9% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 99 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.40 = 3.60 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-13.60) Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.6% Win Probability (After): 8.5% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q3 10:54 | |
(4th & 8 at STAN 30) Peyton Henry 47 yd FG GOOD - STAN 7, WASH 20 | 1.48 | 93.2% | 1.7% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 65 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.52 = 1.48 Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.52) Score Difference (End): 13 (13.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 20 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.2% Win Probability (After): 94.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 6:43 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 30) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 30 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) - STAN 7, WASH 27 | 2.72 | 97.3% | 2.0% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 99 Started Drive at: WASH 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.28 = 2.72 Score Difference (Before): 13 (17.28) Score Difference (End): 20 (20.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 27 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.3% Win Probability (After): 99.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:49 | |
(4th & 4 at STAN 15) Peyton Henry 32 yd FG GOOD - STAN 7, WASH 30 | 0.04 | 99.5% | 0.3% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 65 Started Drive at: STAN 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.96 = 0.04 Score Difference (Before): 20 (22.96) Score Difference (End): 23 (23.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 30 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 13:58 | |
(2nd & 11 at WASH 17) John Humphreys 17 Yd pass from Tanner McKee (Tanner McKee Pass to Brycen Tremayne for Two-Point Conversion) - STAN 15, WASH 30 | 4.60 | 0.3% | 2.0% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 99 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 3.40 = 4.60 Score Difference (Before): -23 (-19.60) Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 30 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 77 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 2.3% Away Score: 7 (15) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:21 | |
(4th & 5 at STAN 9) Peyton Henry 26 yd FG GOOD - STAN 15, WASH 33 | 0.15 | 99.1% | 0.1% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 65 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.85 = 0.15 Score Difference (Before): 15 (17.85) Score Difference (End): 18 (18.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 33 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 72 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.1% Win Probability (After): 99.1% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 30 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 7:41 | |
(2nd & 12 at STAN 21) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 21 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) - STAN 15, WASH 40 | 3.22 | 99.7% | 0.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 99 Started Drive at: STAN 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.78 = 3.22 Score Difference (Before): 18 (21.78) Score Difference (End): 25 (25.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 40 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.7% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 33 (40) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:45 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 22) Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 78 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK) - STAN 22, WASH 40 | 6.38 | 0.1% | 0.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 99 Started Drive at: STAN 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.62 = 6.38 Score Difference (Before): -25 (-24.38) Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 22, WASH 40 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 92 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 15 (22) Home Score: 40 (40) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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All Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 14:55 | |
(Kickoff at STAN 35) Grady Gross kickoff for 65 yds , Bryce Farrell return for 23 yds to the Stanf 23 - STAN 0, WASH 0 | -1.39 | 14.8% | -0.6% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 77 Started Drive at: STAN 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.45 - 0.94 = -1.39 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.94) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.8% Win Probability (After): 14.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:55 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 23) Casey Filkins run for 2 yds to the Stanf 25 - STAN 0, WASH 0 | -0.51 | 17.8% | -0.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 75 Started Drive at: STAN 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - 0.80 = -0.51 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.80) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.8% Win Probability (After): 17.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:55 | |
(2nd & 8 at STAN 25) Tanner McKee run for no gain to the Stanf 25 - STAN 0, WASH 0 | -1.03 | 17.1% | -1.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: STAN 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.73 - 0.29 = -1.03 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.29) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.1% Win Probability (After): 15.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:55 | |
(3rd & 8 at STAN 25) Tanner McKee sacked by Bralen Trice for a loss of 5 yards to the Stanf 20 - STAN 0, WASH 0 | -1.66 | 15.9% | -1.8% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 80 Started Drive at: STAN 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.40 - -0.73 = -1.66 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.73) Score Difference (End): 0 (-2.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.9% Win Probability (After): 14.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:59 | |
(4th & 13 at STAN 20) Ryan Sanborn punt for 50 yds , Giles Jackson returns for 12 yds to the Wash 42 - STAN 0, WASH 0 | 0.00 | 18.2% | -4.0% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 58 Started Drive at: STAN 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.20 - -2.19 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-2.19) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.20) Change of Possession: 1 Score: STAN 0, WASH 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.2% Win Probability (After): 14.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 12:59 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 42) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn Polk - STAN 0, WASH 0 | -0.65 | 87.4% | -1.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 58 Started Drive at: WASH 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.64 - 2.29 = -0.65 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.29) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.4% Win Probability (After): 86.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:59 | |
(2nd & 10 at WASH 42) Wayne Taulapapa run for 9 yds to the Stanf 49 - STAN 0, WASH 0 | 0.89 | 86.1% | 1.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 49 Started Drive at: WASH 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.53 - 1.64 = 0.89 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.64) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.1% Win Probability (After): 87.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:59 | |
(3rd & 1 at STAN 49) Wayne Taulapapa run for 7 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST down - STAN 0, WASH 0 | 0.82 | 87.5% | 1.0% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 42 Started Drive at: WASH 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.35 - 2.53 = 0.82 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.53) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.5% Win Probability (After): 88.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:59 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 42) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 18 yds to the Stanf 24 for a 1ST down - STAN 0, WASH 0 | 1.02 | 88.6% | 0.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 24 Started Drive at: WASH 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.37 - 3.35 = 1.02 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.35) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.6% Win Probability (After): 89.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:59 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 24) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 21 yds to the Stanf 3 for a 1ST down - STAN 0, WASH 0 | 1.79 | 89.1% | 2.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 3 Started Drive at: WASH 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.15 - 4.37 = 1.79 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.37) Score Difference (End): 0 (6.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.1% Win Probability (After): 91.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:32 | |
(1st & Goal at STAN 3) Will Nixon run for 3 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) - STAN 0, WASH 7 | 0.80 | 89.5% | 3.8% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99 Started Drive at: WASH 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.20 = 0.80 Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.20) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.5% Win Probability (After): 93.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:27 | |
(Kickoff at STAN 35) Grady Gross kickoff for 65 yds , Bryce Farrell return for 24 yds to the Stanf 24 - STAN 0, WASH 7 | -1.12 | 8.0% | 0.2% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 76 Started Drive at: STAN 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.22 - -0.10 = -1.12 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.10) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.0% Win Probability (After): 8.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:27 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 24) Casey Filkins run for 7 yds to the Stanf 31 - STAN 0, WASH 7 | 0.73 | 8.0% | 0.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 69 Started Drive at: STAN 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.52 - -0.21 = 0.73 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.21) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.0% Win Probability (After): 8.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:27 | |
(2nd & 3 at STAN 31) Tanner McKee sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 24 - STAN 0, WASH 7 | -2.29 | 8.1% | -1.1% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 76 Started Drive at: STAN 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.76 - 0.52 = -2.29 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.48) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.1% Win Probability (After): 7.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:27 | |
(3rd & 10 at STAN 24) Casey Filkins run for 22 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST down - STAN 0, WASH 7 | 3.39 | 7.0% | 2.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 54 Started Drive at: STAN 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - -1.76 = 3.39 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.76) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.0% Win Probability (After): 9.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:27 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 46) Caleb Robinson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line - STAN 0, WASH 7 | -0.13 | 9.3% | -0.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 50 Started Drive at: STAN 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.50 - 1.63 = -0.13 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.37) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.3% Win Probability (After): 9.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:27 | |
(2nd & 6 at 50) Tanner McKee sacked by Alphonzo Tuputala for a loss of 6 yards to the Stanf 44 - STAN 0, WASH 7 | -1.96 | 9.1% | -1.9% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 56 Started Drive at: STAN 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.46 - 1.50 = -1.96 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.50) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.1% Win Probability (After): 7.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:27 | |
(3rd & 12 at STAN 44) Tanner McKee pass complete to Casey Filkins for 15 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST down - STAN 0, WASH 7 | 3.10 | 7.3% | 2.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 41 Started Drive at: STAN 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.64 - -0.46 = 3.10 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.46) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.3% Win Probability (After): 10.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:27 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 41) Tanner McKee pass complete to Brendon Barrow for 3 yds to the Wash 38 - STAN 0, WASH 7 | -0.40 | 10.0% | -0.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 38 Started Drive at: STAN 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.24 - 2.64 = -0.40 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.36) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.0% Win Probability (After): 9.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:27 | |
(2nd & 7 at WASH 38) Casey Filkins run for 2 yds to the Wash 36 - STAN 0, WASH 7 | -0.55 | 9.4% | -0.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 36 Started Drive at: STAN 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.69 - 2.24 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.76) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.4% Win Probability (After): 9.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:27 | |
(3rd & 5 at WASH 36) Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 4 yds to the Wash 32 - STAN 0, WASH 7 | 0.27 | 9.0% | -0.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 32 Started Drive at: STAN 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.95 - 1.69 = 0.27 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.31) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.0% Win Probability (After): 8.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:27 | |
(4th & 1 at WASH 32) No Huddle McKee,Tanner rush middle for 0 yards to the WASH32 (Trice,Bralen) PENALTY WASH Offside (Ale,Ulumoo) 5 yards from WASH32 to WASH27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. - STAN 0, WASH 7 | 1.77 | 8.9% | 1.7% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 27 Started Drive at: STAN 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.73 - 1.95 = 1.77 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.05) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.9% Win Probability (After): 10.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 10:27 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 27) Casey Filkins run for no gain to the Wash 27 - STAN 0, WASH 7 | -0.60 | 10.7% | -0.5% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 27 Started Drive at: STAN 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.12 - 3.73 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.27) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.7% Win Probability (After): 10.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:27 | |
(2nd & 10 at WASH 27) Casey Filkins run for 8 yds to the Wash 19 - STAN 0, WASH 7 | 0.69 | 10.1% | 0.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 19 Started Drive at: STAN 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.81 - 3.12 = 0.69 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.88) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.1% Win Probability (After): 10.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:27 | |
(3rd & 2 at WASH 19) Casey Filkins run for 3 yds to the Wash 16 for a 1ST down - STAN 0, WASH 7 | 0.94 | 10.7% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 16 Started Drive at: STAN 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.76 - 3.81 = 0.94 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.19) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.7% Win Probability (After): 11.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:27 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 16) Tanner McKee sacked by Bralen Trice for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 17 - STAN 0, WASH 7 | -0.93 | 11.8% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 17 Started Drive at: STAN 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.83 - 4.76 = -0.93 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.24) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.8% Win Probability (After): 10.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:29 | |
(2nd & 11 at WASH 17) Tanner McKee pass intercepted - STAN 0, WASH 7 | -5.47 | 14.9% | -7.7% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 87 Started Drive at: STAN 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.60 - 3.87 = -5.47 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.13) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.60) Change of Possession: 1 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.9% Win Probability (After): 7.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:29 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 13) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillan - STAN 0, WASH 7 | -0.69 | 89.7% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 87 Started Drive at: WASH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 1.55 = -0.69 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.55) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.7% Win Probability (After): 89.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:29 | |
(2nd & 10 at WASH 13) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 13 yds to the Wash 26 for a 1ST down - STAN 0, WASH 7 | 1.53 | 89.1% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 74 Started Drive at: WASH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.38 - 0.86 = 1.53 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.86) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.1% Win Probability (After): 90.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:29 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 26) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 7 yds to the Wash 33 - STAN 0, WASH 7 | 0.22 | 90.3% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 67 Started Drive at: WASH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.61 - 2.38 = 0.22 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.38) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.3% Win Probability (After): 90.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:29 | |
(2nd & 3 at WASH 33) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Richard Newton - STAN 0, WASH 7 | -0.94 | 90.2% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67 Started Drive at: WASH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 2.61 = -0.94 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.61) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.2% Win Probability (After): 89.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:29 | |
(3rd & 3 at WASH 33) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 8 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST down - STAN 0, WASH 7 | 1.43 | 89.5% | 1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 59 Started Drive at: WASH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.10 - 1.67 = 1.43 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.67) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.5% Win Probability (After): 91.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:29 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 41) Wayne Taulapapa run for 26 yds to the Stanf 33 for a 1ST down - STAN 0, WASH 7 | 1.38 | 91.0% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 33 Started Drive at: WASH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.48 - 3.10 = 1.38 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.10) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.0% Win Probability (After): 91.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:00 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 33) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 1 yd to the Stanf 34 - STAN 0, WASH 7 | -1.00 | 91.3% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 34 Started Drive at: WASH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.45 - 4.45 = -1.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.45) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.3% Win Probability (After): 91.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 15:00 | |
(2nd & 11 at STAN 34) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 5 yds to the Stanf 29 - STAN 0, WASH 7 | 0.02 | 91.4% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 29 Started Drive at: WASH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.42 - 3.39 = 0.02 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.39) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.4% Win Probability (After): 91.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 15:00 | |
(3rd & 6 at STAN 29) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 11 yds to the Stanf 18 for a 1ST down - STAN 0, WASH 7 | 1.73 | 91.1% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 18 Started Drive at: WASH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.15 - 3.42 = 1.73 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.42) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.1% Win Probability (After): 93.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 15:00 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 18) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome Odunze - STAN 0, WASH 7 | -0.62 | 93.1% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18 Started Drive at: WASH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.53 - 5.15 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.15) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.1% Win Probability (After): 92.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 15:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at STAN 18) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete - STAN 0, WASH 7 | -0.82 | 92.9% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18 Started Drive at: WASH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.71 - 4.53 = -0.82 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.53) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.9% Win Probability (After): 91.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:40 | |
(3rd & 10 at STAN 18) Timeout WASHINGTON, clock 13:40 - STAN 0, WASH 7 | 0.00 | 92.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18 Started Drive at: WASH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.71 - 3.71 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.71) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.1% Win Probability (After): 92.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:40 | |
(3rd & 10 at STAN 18) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Giles Jackson - STAN 0, WASH 7 | -1.25 | 92.3% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18 Started Drive at: WASH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.46 - 3.71 = -1.25 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.71) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 7 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.3% Win Probability (After): 91.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:26 | |
(4th & 10 at STAN 18) Peyton Henry 35 yd FG GOOD - STAN 0, WASH 10 | 0.55 | 91.5% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 65 Started Drive at: WASH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.45 = 0.55 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.45) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 10 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.5% Win Probability (After): 92.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 13:21 | |
(Kickoff at STAN 35) Grady Gross kickoff for 63 yds , Bryce Farrell return for 15 yds to the Stanf 17 - STAN 0, WASH 10 | -1.36 | 11.2% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 83 Started Drive at: STAN 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.18 - 0.18 = -1.36 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.82) Score Difference (End): -10 (-11.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.2% Win Probability (After): 10.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 13:21 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 17) Casey Filkins run for 4 yds to the Stanf 21 - STAN 0, WASH 10 | -0.24 | 10.4% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 79 Started Drive at: STAN 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.39 - -0.15 = -0.24 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.15) Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.4% Win Probability (After): 10.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 13:21 | |
(2nd & 6 at STAN 21) Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 16 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST down - STAN 0, WASH 10 | 1.62 | 10.0% | 1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 63 Started Drive at: STAN 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.23 - -0.39 = 1.62 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.39) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.0% Win Probability (After): 11.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 13:21 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 37) Casey Filkins run for 9 yds to the Stanf 46 - STAN 0, WASH 10 | 1.02 | 11.7% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 54 Started Drive at: STAN 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.24 - 1.23 = 1.02 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.77) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.7% Win Probability (After): 12.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 13:21 | |
(2nd & 1 at STAN 46) Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 8 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST down - STAN 0, WASH 10 | 0.25 | 12.4% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 46 Started Drive at: STAN 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.49 - 2.24 = 0.25 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.76) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.4% Win Probability (After): 12.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 13:21 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 46) Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 4 yds to the Wash 42 - STAN 0, WASH 10 | -0.17 | 12.8% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 42 Started Drive at: STAN 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.32 - 2.49 = -0.17 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.51) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.8% Win Probability (After): 12.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 13:21 | |
(2nd & 6 at WASH 42) Casey Filkins run for no gain to the Wash 42 - STAN 0, WASH 10 | -0.99 | 12.6% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42 Started Drive at: STAN 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.33 - 2.32 = -0.99 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.68) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.6% Win Probability (After): 11.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 13:21 | |
(3rd & 6 at WASH 42) Tanner McKee sacked by Alphonzo Tuputala for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 46 - STAN 0, WASH 10 | -2.09 | 11.9% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 46 Started Drive at: STAN 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.75 - 1.33 = -2.09 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.67) Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.9% Win Probability (After): 10.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 9:08 | |
(4th & 10 at WASH 46) Ryan Sanborn punt for 43 yds - STAN 0, WASH 10 | -0.35 | 8.8% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 97 Started Drive at: STAN 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.57 - -0.22 = -0.35 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.22) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.57) Change of Possession: 1 Score: STAN 0, WASH 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.8% Win Probability (After): 7.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 9:08 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 3) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 17 yds to the Wash 20 for a 1ST down - STAN 0, WASH 10 | 1.25 | 90.8% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 97 -> 80 Started Drive at: WASH 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.37 - 0.12 = 1.25 Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.12) Score Difference (End): 10 (11.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.8% Win Probability (After): 91.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:08 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 20) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Giles Jackson - STAN 0, WASH 10 | -0.62 | 91.3% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80 Started Drive at: WASH 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.75 - 1.37 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.37) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.3% Win Probability (After): 90.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:08 | |
(2nd & 10 at WASH 20) Richard Newton run for 1 yd to the Wash 21 - STAN 0, WASH 10 | -0.85 | 90.7% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 79 Started Drive at: WASH 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.10 - 0.75 = -0.85 Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.75) Score Difference (End): 10 (9.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.7% Win Probability (After): 90.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:34 | |
(3rd & 9 at WASH 21) Timeout WASHINGTON, clock 07:34 - STAN 0, WASH 10 | 0.00 | 90.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 79 Started Drive at: WASH 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.10 - -0.10 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 10 (9.90) Score Difference (End): 10 (9.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.1% Win Probability (After): 90.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:34 | |
(3rd & 9 at WASH 21) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 8 yds to the Wash 29 - STAN 0, WASH 10 | -0.50 | 90.6% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 71 Started Drive at: WASH 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.64 - -0.14 = -0.50 Score Difference (Before): 10 (9.86) Score Difference (End): 10 (9.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.6% Win Probability (After): 90.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:34 | |
(4th & 1 at WASH 29) PENALTY WASH Delay Of Game 5 yards from WASH29 to WASH24. NO PLAY. - STAN 0, WASH 10 | -0.67 | 90.1% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 76 Started Drive at: WASH 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.31 - -0.64 = -0.67 Score Difference (Before): 10 (9.36) Score Difference (End): 10 (8.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.1% Win Probability (After): 89.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 6:32 | |
(4th & 6 at WASH 24) Jack McCallister punt for 39 yds , Casey Filkins returns for 8 yds to the Stanf 45 - STAN 0, WASH 10 | -0.67 | 89.0% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 55 Started Drive at: WASH 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.96 - -1.29 = -0.67 Score Difference (Before): 10 (8.71) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.04) Change of Possession: 1 Score: STAN 0, WASH 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.0% Win Probability (After): 88.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 6:25 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 45) Tanner McKee sacked by Jeremiah Martin for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 43 Tanner McKee fumbled, recovered by Stanf Faatui Tuitele , return for 0 yards - STAN 0, WASH 10 | -5.46 | 13.2% | -7.4% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 43 Started Drive at: STAN 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.33 - 2.13 = -5.46 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.87) Score Difference (End): 10 (13.33) Change of Possession: 1 Score: STAN 0, WASH 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.2% Win Probability (After): 5.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:25 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 43) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Devin Culp for 9 yds to the Stanf 34 - STAN 0, WASH 10 | 0.79 | 94.2% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 34 Started Drive at: STAN 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.12 - 3.33 = 0.79 Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.33) Score Difference (End): 10 (14.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.2% Win Probability (After): 94.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:53 | |
(2nd & 1 at STAN 34) Wayne Taulapapa run for 34 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) - STAN 0, WASH 17 | 3.05 | 94.7% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 99 Started Drive at: STAN 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.95 = 3.05 Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.95) Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.7% Win Probability (After): 96.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:47 | |
(Kickoff at STAN 35) Grady Gross kickoff for 51 yds , Jonathan McGill return for 11 yds to the Stanf 25 - STAN 0, WASH 17 | -0.69 | 3.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.64 - 0.05 = -0.69 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.95) Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.7% Win Probability (After): 3.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 5:47 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 25) Tanner McKee pass incomplete - STAN 0, WASH 17 | -0.52 | 3.7% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.47 - 0.05 = -0.52 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.95) Score Difference (End): -17 (-17.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.7% Win Probability (After): 3.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 5:47 | |
(2nd & 10 at STAN 25) Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 37 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST down - STAN 0, WASH 17 | 3.35 | 3.6% | 2.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 38 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - -0.47 = 3.35 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-17.47) Score Difference (End): -17 (-14.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.6% Win Probability (After): 5.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 5:47 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 38) Casey Filkins run for 9 yds to the Wash 29 - STAN 0, WASH 17 | 1.01 | 5.7% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 29 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.89 - 2.88 = 1.01 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-14.12) Score Difference (End): -17 (-13.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.7% Win Probability (After): 5.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 5:47 | |
(2nd & 1 at WASH 29) Tanner McKee pass incomplete - STAN 0, WASH 17 | -0.51 | 5.8% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 29 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.38 - 3.89 = -0.51 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-13.11) Score Difference (End): -17 (-13.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.8% Win Probability (After): 5.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 5:47 | |
(3rd & 1 at WASH 29) Casey Filkins run for 6 yds to the Wash 23 for a 1ST down - STAN 0, WASH 17 | 0.48 | 5.8% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 23 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.85 - 3.38 = 0.48 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-13.62) Score Difference (End): -17 (-13.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.8% Win Probability (After): 6.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 5:47 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 23) Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Benjamin Yurosek - STAN 0, WASH 17 | -0.57 | 6.0% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 23 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - 3.85 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-13.15) Score Difference (End): -17 (-13.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 0, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.0% Win Probability (After): 5.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 4:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at WASH 23) Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 23 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK) - STAN 7, WASH 17 | 3.60 | 6.6% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 99 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.40 = 3.60 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-13.60) Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.6% Win Probability (After): 8.5% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 4:00 | |
(Kickoff at WASH 35) Joshua Karty kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - STAN 7, WASH 17 | 0.00 | 93.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.13 - 1.13 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.13) Score Difference (End): 10 (11.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.3% Win Probability (After): 93.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:00 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 25) Wayne Taulapapa run for 11 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST down - STAN 7, WASH 17 | 0.64 | 93.3% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 64 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 1.13 = 0.64 Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.13) Score Difference (End): 10 (11.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.3% Win Probability (After): 93.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:00 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 36) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Devin Culp - STAN 7, WASH 17 | -0.48 | 93.9% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 64 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 1.77 = -0.48 Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.77) Score Difference (End): 10 (11.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.9% Win Probability (After): 93.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at WASH 36) Wayne Taulapapa run for 9 yds to the Wash 45 - STAN 7, WASH 17 | 0.34 | 93.5% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 55 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.63 - 1.29 = 0.34 Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.29) Score Difference (End): 10 (11.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.5% Win Probability (After): 93.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:00 | |
(3rd & 1 at WASH 45) Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST down - STAN 7, WASH 17 | 0.59 | 93.8% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 52 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.22 - 1.63 = 0.59 Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.63) Score Difference (End): 10 (12.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.8% Win Probability (After): 94.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:00 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 48) Michael Penix Jr. run for 5 yds to the Wash 43 Michael Penix Jr. fumbled, recovered by Stanf Michael Penix Jr. - STAN 7, WASH 17 | -1.00 | 94.3% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 57 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.22 - 2.22 = -1.00 Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.22) Score Difference (End): 10 (11.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.3% Win Probability (After): 93.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:00 | |
(2nd & 15 at WASH 43) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 12 yds to the Stanf 45 - STAN 7, WASH 17 | 0.66 | 93.6% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 45 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.88 - 1.22 = 0.66 Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.22) Score Difference (End): 10 (11.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.6% Win Probability (After): 94.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:00 | |
(3rd & 3 at STAN 45) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillan - STAN 7, WASH 17 | -1.60 | 94.0% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.28 - 1.88 = -1.60 Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.88) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.0% Win Probability (After): 92.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:39 | |
(4th & 3 at STAN 45) Jack McCallister punt for 43 yds - STAN 7, WASH 17 | 0.23 | 93.2% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 98 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.65 - 0.42 = 0.23 Score Difference (Before): 10 (10.42) Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.65) Change of Possession: 1 Score: STAN 7, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.2% Win Probability (After): 91.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:39 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 2) Tanner McKee run for 1 yd to the Stanf 1 - STAN 7, WASH 17 | -0.18 | 8.6% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 99 Started Drive at: STAN 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.29 - -0.10 = -0.18 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.10) Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.6% Win Probability (After): 7.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:33 | |
(2nd & 11 at STAN 1) Timeout STANFORD, clock 00:33 - STAN 7, WASH 17 | 0.00 | 7.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 99 -> 99 Started Drive at: STAN 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.29 - -0.29 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.29) Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.6% Win Probability (After): 7.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:00 | |
(2nd & 11 at STAN 1) Ari Patu run for 3 yds to the Stanf 4 - STAN 7, WASH 17 | 0.12 | 6.7% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 99 -> 96 Started Drive at: STAN 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.09 - -0.12 = 0.12 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.12) Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.7% Win Probability (After): 6.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at WASH 35) Joshua Karty kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - STAN 7, WASH 17 | 0.00 | 94.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.79 - 1.79 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.79) Score Difference (End): 10 (11.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.1% Win Probability (After): 94.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 25) Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the Wash 28 - STAN 7, WASH 17 | -0.41 | 94.1% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.39 - 1.79 = -0.41 Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.79) Score Difference (End): 10 (11.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.1% Win Probability (After): 94.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(2nd & 7 at WASH 28) Wayne Taulapapa run for 6 yds to the Wash 34 - STAN 7, WASH 17 | 0.50 | 94.1% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 66 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.89 - 1.39 = 0.50 Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.39) Score Difference (End): 10 (11.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.1% Win Probability (After): 93.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(3rd & 1 at WASH 34) Richard Newton run for 6 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST down - STAN 7, WASH 17 | 0.89 | 93.9% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 60 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - 1.89 = 0.89 Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.89) Score Difference (End): 10 (12.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.9% Win Probability (After): 94.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 40) Wayne Taulapapa run for 6 yds to the Wash 46 - STAN 7, WASH 17 | 0.15 | 94.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 54 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.92 - 2.78 = 0.15 Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.78) Score Difference (End): 10 (12.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.4% Win Probability (After): 94.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(2nd & 4 at WASH 46) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 23 yds to the Stanf 31 for a 1ST down - STAN 7, WASH 17 | 1.27 | 94.4% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 31 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.19 - 2.92 = 1.27 Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.92) Score Difference (End): 10 (14.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.4% Win Probability (After): 94.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 31) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Devin Culp - STAN 7, WASH 17 | -0.61 | 94.6% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 31 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.58 - 4.19 = -0.61 Score Difference (Before): 10 (14.19) Score Difference (End): 10 (13.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.6% Win Probability (After): 94.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at STAN 31) Will Nixon run for 2 yds to the Stanf 29 - STAN 7, WASH 17 | -0.83 | 94.5% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 29 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.75 - 3.58 = -0.83 Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.58) Score Difference (End): 10 (12.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.5% Win Probability (After): 94.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(3rd & 8 at STAN 29) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Will Nixon - STAN 7, WASH 17 | -1.61 | 94.2% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 29 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.14 - 2.75 = -1.61 Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.75) Score Difference (End): 10 (11.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.2% Win Probability (After): 93.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:54 | |
(4th & 8 at STAN 30) Peyton Henry 47 yd FG GOOD - STAN 7, WASH 20 | 1.48 | 93.2% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 65 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.52 = 1.48 Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.52) Score Difference (End): 13 (13.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 20 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.2% Win Probability (After): 94.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 17 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 10:49 | |
(Kickoff at STAN 35) Grady Gross kickoff for 65 yds , Bryce Farrell return for 14 yds to the Stanf 14 - STAN 7, WASH 20 | -1.61 | 5.6% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 86 Started Drive at: STAN 14 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.56 - 0.06 = -1.61 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.94) Score Difference (End): -13 (-14.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 20 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.6% Win Probability (After): 4.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:49 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 14) Casey Filkins run for 1 yd to the Stanf 15 - STAN 7, WASH 20 | -0.61 | 5.0% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 85 Started Drive at: STAN 14 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.05 - -0.44 = -0.61 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-13.44) Score Difference (End): -13 (-14.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 20 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.0% Win Probability (After): 4.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:49 | |
(2nd & 9 at STAN 15) Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Mudia Reuben - STAN 7, WASH 20 | -0.83 | 4.7% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 85 Started Drive at: STAN 14 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.87 - -1.05 = -0.83 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-14.05) Score Difference (End): -13 (-14.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 20 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.7% Win Probability (After): 4.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:49 | |
(3rd & 9 at STAN 15) Casey Filkins run for 4 yds to the Stanf 19 - STAN 7, WASH 20 | -0.86 | 4.4% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 81 Started Drive at: STAN 14 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.74 - -1.87 = -0.86 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-14.87) Score Difference (End): -13 (-15.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 20 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.4% Win Probability (After): 4.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:09 | |
(4th & 5 at STAN 19) Ryan Sanborn punt for 48 yds , Giles Jackson returns for no gain to the Wash 31 - STAN 7, WASH 20 | 0.07 | 3.4% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 69 Started Drive at: STAN 14 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.61 - -2.68 = 0.07 Score Difference (Before): -13 (-15.68) Score Difference (End): 13 (15.61) Change of Possession: 1 Score: STAN 7, WASH 20 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.4% Win Probability (After): 3.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 9:09 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 31) Will Nixon run for 13 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST down - STAN 7, WASH 20 | 0.68 | 96.5% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 56 Started Drive at: WASH 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.98 - 2.30 = 0.68 Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.30) Score Difference (End): 13 (15.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 20 Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.5% Win Probability (After): 96.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:09 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 44) Shotgun Penix Jr.,Michael pass incomplete short right to Odunze,Rome PENALTY STAN Pass Interference (Kelly,Kyu Blu) 15 yards from WASH44 to STAN41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. - STAN 7, WASH 20 | 0.74 | 96.7% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 41 Started Drive at: WASH 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.72 - 2.98 = 0.74 Score Difference (Before): 13 (15.98) Score Difference (End): 13 (16.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 20 Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.7% Win Probability (After): 97.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:09 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 41) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 5 yds to the Stanf 36 - STAN 7, WASH 20 | 0.00 | 97.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 36 Started Drive at: WASH 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.71 - 3.72 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 13 (16.72) Score Difference (End): 13 (16.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 20 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.1% Win Probability (After): 97.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:09 | |
(2nd & 5 at STAN 36) Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the Stanf 34 - STAN 7, WASH 20 | -0.37 | 97.1% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 34 Started Drive at: WASH 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.34 - 3.71 = -0.37 Score Difference (Before): 13 (16.71) Score Difference (End): 13 (16.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 20 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.1% Win Probability (After): 96.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:09 | |
(3rd & 3 at STAN 34) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 4 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST down - STAN 7, WASH 20 | 0.94 | 96.7% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 30 Started Drive at: WASH 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.28 - 3.34 = 0.94 Score Difference (Before): 13 (16.34) Score Difference (End): 13 (17.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 20 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.7% Win Probability (After): 97.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:43 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 30) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 30 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) - STAN 7, WASH 27 | 2.72 | 97.3% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 99 Started Drive at: WASH 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.28 = 2.72 Score Difference (Before): 13 (17.28) Score Difference (End): 20 (20.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 27 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.3% Win Probability (After): 99.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 20 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:43 | |
(Kickoff at STAN 35) Grady Gross kickoff for 64 yds - STAN 7, WASH 27 | 0.00 | 1.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.47 - -0.47 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-20.47) Score Difference (End): -20 (-20.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 27 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.0% Win Probability (After): 1.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:43 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 25) Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 10 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST down - STAN 7, WASH 27 | 1.02 | 1.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 65 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.55 - -0.47 = 1.02 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-20.47) Score Difference (End): -20 (-19.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 27 Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.0% Win Probability (After): 1.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:43 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 35) Tanner McKee pass complete to Silas Starr for 4 yds to the Stanf 39 - STAN 7, WASH 27 | -0.30 | 1.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 61 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.25 - 0.55 = -0.30 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-19.45) Score Difference (End): -20 (-19.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 27 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.0% Win Probability (After): 1.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:43 | |
(2nd & 6 at STAN 39) Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Michael Wilson - STAN 7, WASH 27 | -0.84 | 1.0% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.60 - 0.25 = -0.84 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-19.75) Score Difference (End): -20 (-20.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 27 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.0% Win Probability (After): 1.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:43 | |
(3rd & 6 at STAN 39) Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 5 yds to the Stanf 44 - STAN 7, WASH 27 | -0.22 | 1.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 56 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.82 - -0.60 = -0.22 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-20.60) Score Difference (End): -20 (-20.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 27 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.0% Win Probability (After): 1.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:27 | |
(4th & 1 at STAN 44) Tanner McKee run for no gain to the Stanf 44 - STAN 7, WASH 27 | -3.41 | 1.0% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 44 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.17 - -0.76 = -3.41 Score Difference (Before): -20 (-20.76) Score Difference (End): 20 (24.17) Change of Possession: 1 Score: STAN 7, WASH 27 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.0% Win Probability (After): 0.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 5:27 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 44) Jalen McMillan run for 2 yds to the Stanf 42 - STAN 7, WASH 27 | -0.57 | 99.5% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 42 Started Drive at: STAN 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.39 - 3.96 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): 20 (23.96) Score Difference (End): 20 (23.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 27 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:27 | |
(2nd & 8 at STAN 42) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 9 yds to the Stanf 33 for a 1ST down - STAN 7, WASH 27 | 1.10 | 99.5% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 33 Started Drive at: STAN 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.49 - 3.39 = 1.10 Score Difference (Before): 20 (23.39) Score Difference (End): 20 (24.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 27 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:27 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 33) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillan - STAN 7, WASH 27 | -0.58 | 99.5% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33 Started Drive at: STAN 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.92 - 4.49 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): 20 (24.49) Score Difference (End): 20 (23.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 27 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:27 | |
(2nd & 10 at STAN 33) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 12 yds to the Stanf 21 for a 1ST down - STAN 7, WASH 27 | 1.16 | 99.5% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 21 Started Drive at: STAN 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.08 - 3.92 = 1.16 Score Difference (Before): 20 (23.92) Score Difference (End): 20 (25.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 27 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:27 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 21) Wayne Taulapapa run for 6 yds to the Stanf 15 - STAN 7, WASH 27 | 0.20 | 99.6% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 15 Started Drive at: STAN 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.28 - 5.08 = 0.20 Score Difference (Before): 20 (25.08) Score Difference (End): 20 (25.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 27 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.6% Win Probability (After): 99.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:27 | |
(2nd & 4 at STAN 15) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Devin Culp - STAN 7, WASH 27 | -0.71 | 99.6% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15 Started Drive at: STAN 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.57 - 5.28 = -0.71 Score Difference (Before): 20 (25.28) Score Difference (End): 20 (24.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 27 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.6% Win Probability (After): 99.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:27 | |
(3rd & 4 at STAN 15) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete - STAN 7, WASH 27 | -1.67 | 99.5% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15 Started Drive at: STAN 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.90 - 4.57 = -1.67 Score Difference (Before): 20 (24.57) Score Difference (End): 20 (22.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 27 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:49 | |
(4th & 4 at STAN 15) Peyton Henry 32 yd FG GOOD - STAN 7, WASH 30 | 0.04 | 99.5% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 65 Started Drive at: STAN 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.96 = 0.04 Score Difference (Before): 20 (22.96) Score Difference (End): 23 (23.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 30 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 27 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 2:49 | |
(Kickoff at STAN 35) Grady Gross kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - STAN 7, WASH 30 | 0.00 | 0.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.46 - -0.46 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -23 (-23.46) Score Difference (End): -23 (-23.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 30 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:49 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 25) Tanner McKee pass incomplete to John Humphreys - STAN 7, WASH 30 | -0.56 | 0.3% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.02 - -0.46 = -0.56 Score Difference (Before): -23 (-23.46) Score Difference (End): -23 (-24.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 30 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:49 | |
(2nd & 10 at STAN 25) Casey Filkins run for 12 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST down - STAN 7, WASH 30 | 1.56 | 0.3% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 63 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.54 - -1.02 = 1.56 Score Difference (Before): -23 (-24.02) Score Difference (End): -23 (-22.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 30 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:49 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 37) Tanner McKee run for 5 yds to the Stanf 42 - STAN 7, WASH 30 | 0.17 | 0.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 58 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.71 - 0.54 = 0.17 Score Difference (Before): -23 (-22.46) Score Difference (End): -23 (-22.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 30 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.4% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:49 | |
(2nd & 5 at STAN 42) Casey Filkins run for 1 yd to the Stanf 43 - STAN 7, WASH 30 | -0.56 | 0.4% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 57 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.15 - 0.71 = -0.56 Score Difference (Before): -23 (-22.29) Score Difference (End): -23 (-22.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 30 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.4% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:49 | |
(3rd & 4 at STAN 43) Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Elijah Higgins - STAN 7, WASH 30 | -1.72 | 0.3% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 57 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.57 - 0.15 = -1.72 Score Difference (Before): -23 (-22.85) Score Difference (End): -23 (-24.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 30 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:49 | |
(4th & 4 at STAN 43) Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 20 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST down - STAN 7, WASH 30 | 4.17 | 0.3% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 37 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.60 - -1.57 = 4.17 Score Difference (Before): -23 (-24.57) Score Difference (End): -23 (-20.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 30 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 0:00 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 37) Tanner McKee run for no gain to the Wash 37 - STAN 7, WASH 30 | -0.66 | 0.3% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.94 - 2.59 = -0.66 Score Difference (Before): -23 (-20.41) Score Difference (End): -23 (-21.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 30 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 15:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at WASH 37) Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 21 yds to the Wash 16 for a 1ST down - STAN 7, WASH 30 | 2.69 | 0.2% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 16 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.61 - 1.92 = 2.69 Score Difference (Before): -23 (-21.08) Score Difference (End): -23 (-18.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 30 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 15:00 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 16) Casey Filkins run for 1 yd to the Wash 17 - STAN 7, WASH 30 | -1.10 | 0.3% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 17 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.51 - 4.61 = -1.10 Score Difference (Before): -23 (-18.39) Score Difference (End): -23 (-19.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 7, WASH 30 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:58 | |
(2nd & 11 at WASH 17) John Humphreys 17 Yd pass from Tanner McKee (Tanner McKee Pass to Brycen Tremayne for Two-Point Conversion) - STAN 15, WASH 30 | 4.60 | 0.3% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 99 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 8.00 - 3.40 = 4.60 Score Difference (Before): -23 (-19.60) Score Difference (End): -15 (-15.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 30 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 77 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 2.3% Away Score: 7 (15) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:58 | |
(Kickoff at WASH 35) Joshua Karty kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - STAN 15, WASH 30 | 0.00 | 98.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.47 - 2.47 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 15 (17.47) Score Difference (End): 15 (17.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 30 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.1% Win Probability (After): 98.1% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:58 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 25) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 61 yds to the Stanf 14 for a 1ST down - STAN 15, WASH 30 | 2.92 | 98.1% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 14 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.39 - 2.47 = 2.92 Score Difference (Before): 15 (17.47) Score Difference (End): 15 (20.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 30 Drive Summary: 1 play, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.1% Win Probability (After): 99.0% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:58 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 14) Will Nixon run for 3 yds to the Stanf 11 - STAN 15, WASH 30 | -0.38 | 99.0% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 11 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.00 - 5.39 = -0.38 Score Difference (Before): 15 (20.39) Score Difference (End): 15 (20.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 30 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.0% Win Probability (After): 99.0% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:58 | |
(2nd & 7 at STAN 11) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 5 yds to the Stanf 6 - STAN 15, WASH 30 | 0.23 | 99.0% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 6 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.23 - 5.00 = 0.23 Score Difference (Before): 15 (20.00) Score Difference (End): 15 (20.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 30 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.0% Win Probability (After): 98.9% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:58 | |
(3rd & 2 at STAN 6) Richard Newton run for 3 yds to the Stanf 9 - STAN 15, WASH 30 | -2.36 | 98.9% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 9 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 5.23 = -2.36 Score Difference (Before): 15 (20.23) Score Difference (End): 15 (17.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 30 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 72 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.9% Win Probability (After): 98.5% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 30 (30) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:21 | |
(4th & 5 at STAN 9) Peyton Henry 26 yd FG GOOD - STAN 15, WASH 33 | 0.15 | 99.1% | 0.1% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 65 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.85 = 0.15 Score Difference (Before): 15 (17.85) Score Difference (End): 18 (18.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 33 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 72 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.1% Win Probability (After): 99.1% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 30 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 11:21 | |
(Kickoff at STAN 35) Grady Gross kickoff for 58 yds - STAN 15, WASH 33 | 0.00 | 0.6% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.31 - -0.31 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.31) Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 33 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.6% Win Probability (After): 0.6% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:21 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 25) Michael Wilson run for 12 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST down - STAN 15, WASH 33 | 1.02 | 0.6% | 0.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 63 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.70 - -0.31 = 1.02 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.31) Score Difference (End): -18 (-17.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 33 Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.6% Win Probability (After): 0.7% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:45 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 37) Tanner McKee sacked by Zion Tupuola-Fetui for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 30 Tanner McKee fumbled, recovered by Stanf Faatui Tuitele , return for 0 yards - STAN 15, WASH 33 | -5.33 | 0.7% | -0.3% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 30 Started Drive at: STAN 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.52 - 0.81 = -5.33 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.19) Score Difference (End): 18 (22.52) Change of Possession: 1 Score: STAN 15, WASH 33 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.7% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:45 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 30) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillan - STAN 15, WASH 33 | -0.55 | 99.7% | -0.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30 Started Drive at: STAN 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.98 - 4.53 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): 18 (22.53) Score Difference (End): 18 (21.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 33 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.7% Win Probability (After): 99.6% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:45 | |
(2nd & 10 at STAN 30) Giles Jackson run for 2 yds to the Stanf 32 - STAN 15, WASH 33 | -1.57 | 99.6% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 32 Started Drive at: STAN 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.41 - 3.98 = -1.57 Score Difference (Before): 18 (21.98) Score Difference (End): 18 (20.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 33 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.6% Win Probability (After): 99.5% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:45 | |
(3rd & 12 at STAN 32) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 11 yds to the Stanf 21 - STAN 15, WASH 33 | 1.42 | 99.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 21 Started Drive at: STAN 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.83 - 2.41 = 1.42 Score Difference (Before): 18 (20.41) Score Difference (End): 18 (21.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 33 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.6% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:45 | |
(4th & 1 at STAN 21) Devin Culp run for 2 yds to the Stanf 19 for a 1ST down - STAN 15, WASH 33 | 1.24 | 99.6% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 19 Started Drive at: STAN 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.07 - 3.83 = 1.24 Score Difference (Before): 18 (21.83) Score Difference (End): 18 (23.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 33 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.6% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 10:45 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 19) Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the Stanf 21 - STAN 15, WASH 33 | -1.05 | 99.7% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 21 Started Drive at: STAN 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.02 - 5.07 = -1.05 Score Difference (Before): 18 (23.07) Score Difference (End): 18 (22.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 33 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.7% Win Probability (After): 99.6% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:41 | |
(2nd & 12 at STAN 21) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 21 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) - STAN 15, WASH 40 | 3.22 | 99.7% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 99 Started Drive at: STAN 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.78 = 3.22 Score Difference (Before): 18 (21.78) Score Difference (End): 25 (25.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 40 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.7% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 33 (40) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:35 | |
(Kickoff at STAN 35) Grady Gross kickoff for 60 yds , Bryce Farrell return for 19 yds to the Stanf 24 - STAN 15, WASH 40 | -0.85 | 0.2% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 76 Started Drive at: STAN 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.92 - -0.06 = -0.85 Score Difference (Before): -25 (-25.06) Score Difference (End): -25 (-25.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 40 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 40 (40) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:35 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 24) Tanner McKee pass complete to Casey Filkins for 14 yds to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST down - STAN 15, WASH 40 | 0.90 | 0.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 62 Started Drive at: STAN 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.82 - -0.08 = 0.90 Score Difference (Before): -25 (-25.08) Score Difference (End): -25 (-24.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 40 Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 40 (40) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:35 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 38) Casey Filkins run for 4 yds to the Stanf 42 - STAN 15, WASH 40 | -0.08 | 0.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 58 Started Drive at: STAN 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.74 - 0.82 = -0.08 Score Difference (Before): -25 (-24.18) Score Difference (End): -25 (-24.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 40 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 40 (40) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:35 | |
(2nd & 6 at STAN 42) Tanner McKee sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the Stanf 37 - STAN 15, WASH 40 | -1.50 | 0.2% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 63 Started Drive at: STAN 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.76 - 0.74 = -1.50 Score Difference (Before): -25 (-24.26) Score Difference (End): -25 (-25.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 40 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 40 (40) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:35 | |
(3rd & 11 at STAN 37) Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Casey Filkins - STAN 15, WASH 40 | -0.78 | 0.2% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63 Started Drive at: STAN 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.55 - -0.76 = -0.78 Score Difference (Before): -25 (-25.76) Score Difference (End): -25 (-26.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 40 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 40 (40) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:58 | |
(4th & 11 at STAN 37) Ryan Sanborn punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Giles Jackson at the Wash 22 - STAN 15, WASH 40 | -0.57 | 0.1% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 78 Started Drive at: STAN 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.76 - -1.19 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): -25 (-26.19) Score Difference (End): 25 (26.76) Change of Possession: 1 Score: STAN 15, WASH 40 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.0% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 40 (40) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 5:58 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 22) Giles Jackson run for 8 yds to the Wash 30 - STAN 15, WASH 40 | 0.22 | 100.0% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 70 Started Drive at: WASH 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.66 - 1.44 = 0.22 Score Difference (Before): 25 (26.44) Score Difference (End): 25 (26.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 40 Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 40 (40) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:58 | |
(2nd & 2 at WASH 30) Richard Newton run for 3 yds to the Wash 33 for a 1ST down - STAN 15, WASH 40 | 0.16 | 100.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 67 Started Drive at: WASH 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.82 - 1.66 = 0.16 Score Difference (Before): 25 (26.66) Score Difference (End): 25 (26.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 40 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 40 (40) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:58 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 33) Richard Newton run for 6 yds to the Wash 39 - STAN 15, WASH 40 | -0.03 | 100.0% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 61 Started Drive at: WASH 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.78 - 1.82 = -0.03 Score Difference (Before): 25 (26.82) Score Difference (End): 25 (26.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 40 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 40 (40) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:58 | |
(2nd & 4 at WASH 39) PENALTY WASH False Start (Jackson,Giles) 5 yards from WASH39 to WASH34. NO PLAY. - STAN 15, WASH 40 | -0.39 | 100.0% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 66 Started Drive at: WASH 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.40 - 1.78 = -0.39 Score Difference (Before): 25 (26.78) Score Difference (End): 25 (26.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 40 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 40 (40) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:58 | |
(2nd & 9 at WASH 34) PENALTY WASH Delay Of Game 5 yards from WASH34 to WASH29. NO PLAY. - STAN 15, WASH 40 | -0.34 | 100.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 71 Started Drive at: WASH 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.05 - 1.40 = -0.34 Score Difference (Before): 25 (26.40) Score Difference (End): 25 (26.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 40 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 40 (40) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:58 | |
(2nd & 14 at WASH 29) Sam Adams II run for no gain to the Wash 29 - STAN 15, WASH 40 | -0.64 | 100.0% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71 Started Drive at: WASH 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.41 - 1.05 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): 25 (26.05) Score Difference (End): 25 (25.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 40 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 40 (40) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:22 | |
(3rd & 14 at WASH 29) Timeout WASHINGTON, clock 03:22 - STAN 15, WASH 40 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71 Started Drive at: WASH 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.41 - 0.41 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 25 (25.41) Score Difference (End): 25 (25.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 40 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 40 (40) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:22 | |
(3rd & 14 at WASH 29) Giles Jackson run for 8 yds to the Wash 37 - STAN 15, WASH 40 | -0.36 | 100.0% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 63 Started Drive at: WASH 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - 0.31 = -0.36 Score Difference (Before): 25 (25.31) Score Difference (End): 25 (24.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 40 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 40 (40) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:15 | |
(4th & 6 at WASH 37) Timeout STANFORD, clock 03:15 - STAN 15, WASH 40 | 0.00 | 99.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63 Started Drive at: WASH 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - -0.05 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 25 (24.95) Score Difference (End): 25 (24.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 40 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 40 (40) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 3:03 | |
(4th & 6 at WASH 37) Jack McCallister punt for 47 yds , Casey Filkins returns for 17 yds to the Stanf 8 - STAN 15, WASH 40 | 0.15 | 100.0% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 92 Started Drive at: WASH 22 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.03 - -0.12 = 0.15 Score Difference (Before): 25 (24.88) Score Difference (End): -25 (-25.03) Change of Possession: 1 Score: STAN 15, WASH 40 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 40 (40) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 3:03 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 8) Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 7 yds to the Stanf 15 - STAN 15, WASH 40 | 0.25 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 85 Started Drive at: STAN 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - -0.13 = 0.25 Score Difference (Before): -25 (-25.13) Score Difference (End): -25 (-24.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 40 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 40 (40) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 3:03 | |
(2nd & 3 at STAN 15) Casey Filkins run for 2 yds to the Stanf 17 - STAN 15, WASH 40 | -0.22 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 83 Started Drive at: STAN 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.10 - 0.13 = -0.22 Score Difference (Before): -25 (-24.87) Score Difference (End): -25 (-25.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 40 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 40 (40) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 3:03 | |
(3rd & 1 at STAN 17) Casey Filkins run for 5 yds to the Stanf 22 for a 1ST down - STAN 15, WASH 40 | 0.62 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 78 Started Drive at: STAN 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.52 - -0.10 = 0.62 Score Difference (Before): -25 (-25.10) Score Difference (End): -25 (-24.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 40 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 40 (40) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:45 | |
(1st & 10 at STAN 22) Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 78 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK) - STAN 22, WASH 40 | 6.38 | 0.1% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 99 Started Drive at: STAN 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.62 = 6.38 Score Difference (Before): -25 (-24.38) Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 22, WASH 40 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 92 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 15 (22) Home Score: 40 (40) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:45 | |
(Kickoff at WASH 35) Joshua Karty kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback WASHINGTON Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Davis,Taj) 12 yards from WASH25 to WASH13. (Taj Davis) - STAN 15, WASH 40 | 0.03 | 99.8% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: STAN 8 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - 1.15 = 0.03 Score Difference (Before): 18 (10.76) Score Difference (End): 25 (26.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 40 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 92 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.8% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 22 (15) Home Score: 40 (40) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:45 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 13) Sam Adams II run for 4 yds to the Wash 17 - STAN 15, WASH 40 | -0.11 | 100.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 83 Started Drive at: WASH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.63 - 0.75 = -0.11 Score Difference (Before): 25 (25.75) Score Difference (End): 25 (25.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 15, WASH 40 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 15 (15) Home Score: 40 (40) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:45 | |
(2nd & 6 at WASH 17) Dylan Morris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 16 - STAN 22, WASH 40 | -0.50 | 100.0% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 84 Started Drive at: WASH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 0.63 = -0.50 Score Difference (Before): 25 (25.63) Score Difference (End): 18 (18.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 22, WASH 40 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 99.8% Away Score: 15 (22) Home Score: 40 (40) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:00 | |
(3rd & 7 at WASH 16) Dylan Morris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 15 - STAN 22, WASH 40 | -0.53 | 99.5% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 85 Started Drive at: WASH 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.52 - 0.01 = -0.53 Score Difference (Before): 18 (18.01) Score Difference (End): 18 (17.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: STAN 22, WASH 40 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 40 (40) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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