Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 6.09 | Odds: WASH -2.5, O/U 60.0 | Download Chart
Expected Points
Team Stats [show/hide]
| Overall |
|
|
|---|---|---|
| EPA/Play | 0.56 99th %ile | 0.11 65th %ile |
| Success Rate | 59% 98th %ile | 38% 37th %ile |
| Yards/Play | 10.68 99th %ile | 5.08 30th %ile |
| EPA/Dropback | 0.43 87th %ile | 0.21 69th %ile |
| EPA/Rush | 0.80 99th %ile | -0.12 30th %ile |
| Yards/Dropback | 11.55 97th %ile | 6.17 51st %ile |
| Explosive Play Rate | 18% 99th %ile | 8% 47th %ile |
| 3rd Down Success Rate | 71% 97th %ile | 50% 75th %ile |
| Red Zone Success Rate | 44% 57th %ile | 44% 57th %ile |
| Def Run Stuff Rate | 18% 5th %ile | 8% 0th %ile |
| Havoc Rate | 14% 74th %ile | 2% 2nd %ile |
| Expected Points | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 74 | 101 |
| Total EPA | 35.11 | 15.51 |
| Offensive EPA | 37.14 | 9.07 |
| Special Teams EPA | -0.42 | 0.58 |
| Penalty EPA | -1.6 | 6.55 |
| Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA | -0.01 | -0.69 |
| Production | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 66 | 86 |
| Yards | 705 | 437 |
| Yards/Play | 10.68 | 5.08 |
| EPA | 37.14 | 9.07 |
| EPA/Play | 0.56 | 0.11 |
| Passes | 42 (64%) | 58 (67%) |
| Yards | 485 | 358 |
| Yards/Play | 11.55 | 6.17 |
| EPA | 17.91 | 12.36 |
| EPA/Play | 0.43 | 0.21 |
| Rushes | 24 (36%) | 28 (33%) |
| Yards | 220 | 96 |
| Yards/Play | 9.57 | 3.43 |
| EPA | 19.22 | -3.29 |
| EPA/Play | 0.80 | -0.12 |
| Rushing | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 66 | 86 |
| Rushes | 24 (36%) | 28 (33%) |
| Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) | 4 (17%) | 2 (7%) |
| Successful Power Runs (Rate) | 4 (100%) | 2 (100%) |
| Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) | 2 (8%) | 5 (18%) |
| Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) | 6 (25%) | 15 (54%) |
| Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) | 14 (58%) | 12 (43%) |
| OL Line Yards | 34.5 | 39.5 |
| Per Carry | 1.44 | 1.41 |
| Highlight Yards | 113 | 26 |
| Per Rush Opportunity | 8.07 | 2.17 |
| Explosiveness | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 74 | 101 |
| Scrimmage Plays | 66 | 86 |
| Explosive Plays | 12 (18%) | 7 (8%) |
| When Passing (EPA > 2.4) | 7 (17%) | 5 (9%) |
| When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) | 5 (21%) | 2 (7%) |
| EPA w/o Explosive Plays | -2.94 | -16.17 |
| EPA/Play | -0.05 | -0.20 |
| When Passing | -8.39 | -7.47 |
| EPA/Play | -0.20 | -0.13 |
| When Rushing | 5.45 | -8.69 |
| EPA/Play | 0.29 | -0.33 |
| Situational | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Successful Plays (EPA > 0) | 39 (59%) | 33 (38%) |
| When Passing | 21 (50%) | 24 (41%) |
| When Rushing | 18 (75%) | 9 (32%) |
| On Standard Downs | 28 (57%) | 18 (33%) |
| On Passing Downs | 11 (65%) | 15 (47%) |
| On Early Downs | 28 (52%) | 20 (32%) |
| On Late Downs | 11 (92%) | 13 (54%) |
| During "Middle 8" | 6 (75%) | 6 (38%) |
| Early Downs | 54 | 62 |
| First Downs Created | 14 (26%) | 10 (16%) |
| EPA | 17.52 | -4.91 |
| EPA/Play | 0.32 | -0.08 |
| Passes | 36 (67%) | 40 (65%) |
| Rushes | 18 (33%) | 22 (35%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 16 (44%) | 14 (35%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 12 (67%) | 6 (27%) |
| "Middle 8" Plays | 8 | 16 |
| EPA | 6.53 | 0.69 |
| EPA/play | 0.82 | 0.04 |
| Passes | 6 (75%) | 11 (69%) |
| Rushes | 2 (25%) | 5 (31%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 4 (67%) | 3 (27%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 2 (100%) | 3 (60%) |
| Drives | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total | 12 | 12 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 23 | Own 27 |
| Plays/Drive | 8.21 | 8.51 |
| Yards/Drive | 67.03 | 49.05 |
| Available Yards % | 87% | 67% |
| Defensive | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 86 | 66 |
| Stop Rate | 30% | 17% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 12 (14%) | 1 (2%) |
| Passing | 8 (14%) | 1 (2%) |
| Rushing | 4 (14%) | 0 (0%) |
| TFLs Generated | 12 | 0 |
| Passing | 8 | 0 |
| Rushing | 4 | 0 |
| Sacks Generated | 5 (9%) | 0 (0%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 1 |
| Fumbles Forced | 0 | 0 |
| Turnovers | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 |
| Fumbles | 1 | 1 |
| Fumbles Lost | 1 | 0 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 0 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 1 | 0 |
| Turnover Margin | -2 | 2 |
| Expected Turnovers | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Expected Turnover Margin | -0.2 | 0.2 |
| Turnover Luck (pts) | -8.9 | 8.9 |
| Special Teams | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 8 | 15 |
| Total EPA | -0.42 | 0.58 |
| Field Goal EPA | 0.11 | 3.31 |
| Punting EPA | 1.22 | -0.49 |
| Kickoff Return EPA | -1.76 | -2.24 |
Washington [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Michael Penix Jr. | 25/42, 485 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT, 0 Scks, 84.3 xQBR, 1.62 DETMER | 11.55 | 0.43 | 17.91 | 50% | 47.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Wayne Taulapapa | 13 carries, 126 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.69 | 0.78 | 10.17 | 77% | 12.0% | |
| Michael Penix Jr. | 2 carries, 34 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 17.00 | 2.55 | 5.11 | 100% | 15.0% | |
| Cameron Davis | 6 carries, 55 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.17 | 0.70 | 4.18 | 83% | 6.0% | |
| Rome Odunze | 1 carry, 5 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.00 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 100% | 5.0% | |
| Will Nixon | 1 carry, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.37 | -0.37 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Rome Odunze | 5 catches (5 targets), 157 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 31.40 | 2.48 | 12.42 | 100% | 29.0% | |
| Jalen McMillan | 6 catches (6 targets), 150 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 25.00 | 1.84 | 11.06 | 83% | 35.0% | |
| Ja'Lynn Polk | 4 catches (4 targets), 82 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 20.50 | 1.92 | 7.67 | 100% | 17.0% | |
| Giles Jackson | 2 catches (2 targets), 37 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 18.50 | 2.53 | 5.06 | 100% | 12.0% | |
| Taj Davis | 1 catch (1 target), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.00 | 1.92 | 1.92 | 100% | 2.0% | |
| Jack Westover | 2 catches (2 targets), 14 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 7.00 | 0.27 | 0.55 | 50% | 1.0% | |
| Quentin Moore | 1 catch (1 target), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.00 | 0.52 | 0.52 | 100% | -1.0% | |
| Wayne Taulapapa | 1 catch (1 target), 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.00 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| Devin Culp | 2 catches (2 targets), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.00 | 0.19 | 0.38 | 50% | 0.0% | |
| Cameron Davis | 1 catch (1 target), 6 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) | 6.00 | -4.51 | -4.51 | 0% | -9.0% | |
Washington State [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Cameron Ward | 33/52, 322 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 5 Scks, 58.5 xQBR, 0.54 DETMER | 5.65 | 0.14 | 7.73 | 40% | 43.0% | |
| Nick Haberer | 1/1, 36 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 74.3 xQBR, 0.00 DETMER | 36.00 | 4.63 | 4.63 | 100% | 9.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Cameron Ward | 10 carries, 40 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.00 | 0.03 | 0.29 | 30% | 6.0% | |
| Nakia Watson | 13 carries, 49 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.77 | -0.02 | -0.23 | 38% | 10.0% | |
| Jaylen Jenkins | 4 carries, 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.50 | -0.43 | -1.71 | 25% | -3.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Robert Ferrel | 4 catches (4 targets), 71 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 17.75 | 2.01 | 8.03 | 75% | 28.0% | |
| Leyton Smithson | 7 catches (7 targets), 58 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.29 | 0.74 | 5.17 | 71% | 15.0% | |
| De'Zhaun Stribling | 7 catches (7 targets), 58 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.29 | 0.73 | 5.10 | 71% | 17.0% | |
| Daiyan Henley | 1 catch (1 target), 36 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 36.00 | 4.63 | 4.63 | 100% | 9.0% | |
| Donovan Ollie | 2 catches (2 targets), 39 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 19.50 | 2.10 | 4.19 | 100% | 8.0% | |
| Billy Riviere III | 1 catch (1 target), 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.00 | 1.62 | 1.62 | 100% | 3.0% | |
| Orion Peters | 1 catch (1 target), 14 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 14.00 | 1.47 | 1.47 | 100% | 3.0% | |
| Lincoln Victor | 3 catches (3 targets), 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.00 | 0.43 | 1.28 | 100% | 4.0% | |
| Nakia Watson | 7 catches (7 targets), 41 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.86 | 0.11 | 0.79 | 29% | 10.0% | |
| Anderson Grover | 1 catch (1 target), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.00 | 0.74 | 0.74 | 100% | 4.0% | |
Big Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute EPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 11:05 | |
(4th & 10 at WASH 34) Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 34 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK) - WASH 14, WSU 17 | 6.38 | 28.5% | 20.5% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 99 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.62 = 6.38 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.38) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 14, WSU 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.5% Win Probability (After): 49.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 14:50 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 25) Jalen McMillan 75 Yd pass from Michael Penix Jr. (Peyton Henry Kick) - WASH 35, WSU 27 | 5.98 | 59.6% | 23.4% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.02 = 5.98 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.02) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 27 Drive Summary: 1 play, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.6% Win Probability (After): 83.0% Away Score: 27 (35) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:35 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 11) Michael Penix Jr. pass intercepted, touchback. - WASH 35, WSU 33 | -5.78 | 75.6% | -14.3% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 80 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.63 - 5.14 = -5.78 Score Difference (Before): 2 (7.14) Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.37) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WASH 35, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.6% Win Probability (After): 61.3% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:28 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 40) Wayne Taulapapa run for 40 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) - WASH 51, WSU 33 | 4.83 | 99.3% | 0.4% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 99 Started Drive at: WASH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.17 = 4.83 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.17) Score Difference (End): 18 (18.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 51, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.3% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 44 (51) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:34 | |
(4th & 1 at WSU 34) Nick Haberer pass complete to Daiyan Henley for 36 yds to the Wash 30 for a 1ST down - WASH 7, WSU 3 | 4.63 | 31.4% | 9.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 30 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.94 - -0.70 = 4.63 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.70) Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.4% Win Probability (After): 40.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 11:15 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 48) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Cameron Davis for 6 yds Cameron Davis fumbled, recovered by WshSt Chau Smith-Wade - WASH 35, WSU 27 | -4.51 | 87.3% | -8.8% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 58 Started Drive at: WASH 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.48 - 3.03 = -4.51 Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.03) Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.52) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WASH 35, WSU 27 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.3% Win Probability (After): 78.6% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:27 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 47) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 47 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) - WASH 14, WSU 10 | 4.10 | 58.8% | 11.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 99 Started Drive at: WASH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.90 = 4.10 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.10) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 14, WSU 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 84 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.8% Win Probability (After): 69.9% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:06 | |
(3rd & 15 at WASH 28) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 25 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST down - WASH 7, WSU 10 | 3.97 | 45.7% | 9.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 47 Started Drive at: WASH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.89 - -1.09 = 3.97 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-4.09) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.7% Win Probability (After): 54.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:23 | |
(3rd & 6 at WSU 26) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 26 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) - WASH 7, WSU 3 | 3.97 | 58.3% | 12.4% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 99 Started Drive at: WSU 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.03 = 3.97 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.03) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.3% Win Probability (After): 70.7% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:24 | |
(4th & 7 at WASH 34) Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 14 yds to the Wash 20 for a 1ST down - WASH 22, WSU 17 | 3.47 | 27.0% | 12.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 20 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.52 - 1.05 = 3.47 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.95) Score Difference (End): -5 (-0.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 22, WSU 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.0% Win Probability (After): 39.3% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 14:50 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 25) Jalen McMillan 75 Yd pass from Michael Penix Jr. (Peyton Henry Kick) - WASH 35, WSU 27 | 5.98 | 59.6% | 23.4% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.02 = 5.98 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.02) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 27 Drive Summary: 1 play, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.6% Win Probability (After): 83.0% Away Score: 27 (35) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:05 | |
(4th & 10 at WASH 34) Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 34 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK) - WASH 14, WSU 17 | 6.38 | 28.5% | 20.5% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 99 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.62 = 6.38 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.38) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 14, WSU 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.5% Win Probability (After): 49.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 5:07 | |
(2nd & 5 at WASH 15) Nakia Watson 15 Yd pass from Cameron Ward (Dean Janikowski Kick) - WASH 21, WSU 24 | 2.25 | 39.1% | 16.0% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.75 = 2.25 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-0.25) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 21, WSU 24 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.1% Win Probability (After): 55.1% Away Score: 22 (21) Home Score: 17 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q3 2:35 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 11) Michael Penix Jr. pass intercepted, touchback. - WASH 35, WSU 33 | -5.78 | 75.6% | -14.3% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 80 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.63 - 5.14 = -5.78 Score Difference (Before): 2 (7.14) Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.37) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WASH 35, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.6% Win Probability (After): 61.3% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:23 | |
(3rd & 6 at WSU 26) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 26 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) - WASH 7, WSU 3 | 3.97 | 58.3% | 12.4% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 99 Started Drive at: WSU 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.03 = 3.97 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.03) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.3% Win Probability (After): 70.7% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:24 | |
(4th & 7 at WASH 34) Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 14 yds to the Wash 20 for a 1ST down - WASH 22, WSU 17 | 3.47 | 27.0% | 12.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 20 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.52 - 1.05 = 3.47 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.95) Score Difference (End): -5 (-0.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 22, WSU 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.0% Win Probability (After): 39.3% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 0:53 | |
(3rd & 6 at WASH 14) Cameron Ward run for 14 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK) - WASH 7, WSU 10 | 3.17 | 42.0% | 11.4% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.83 = 3.17 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.17) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 10 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.0% Win Probability (After): 53.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 13:27 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 47) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 47 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) - WASH 14, WSU 10 | 4.10 | 58.8% | 11.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 99 Started Drive at: WASH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.90 = 4.10 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.10) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 14, WSU 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 84 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.8% Win Probability (After): 69.9% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:29 | |
(3rd & 4 at WASH 37) WASHINGTON Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Alex Cook) to the Wash 18 for a 1ST down - WASH 28, WSU 24 | 2.20 | 38.1% | 9.9% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 18 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.97 - 1.77 = 2.20 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.23) Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 28, WSU 24 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.1% Win Probability (After): 48.1% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q3 6:30 | |
(3rd & 1 at WASH 4) Nakia Watson 4 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) - WASH 35, WSU 33 | 0.56 | 27.5% | 9.5% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: WSU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 5.44 = 0.56 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-2.56) Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.5% Win Probability (After): 37.0% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 27 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Scoring Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 12:18 | |
(4th & 13 at WASH 33) Dean Janikowski 50 yd FG GOOD - WASH 0, WSU 3 | 2.16 | 39.4% | 5.1% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 65 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 0.84 = 2.16 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.84) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.4% Win Probability (After): 44.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 5:23 | |
(3rd & 6 at WSU 26) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 26 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) - WASH 7, WSU 3 | 3.97 | 58.3% | 12.4% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 99 Started Drive at: WSU 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.03 = 3.97 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.03) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.3% Win Probability (After): 70.7% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:53 | |
(3rd & 6 at WASH 14) Cameron Ward run for 14 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK) - WASH 7, WSU 10 | 3.17 | 42.0% | 11.4% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.83 = 3.17 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.17) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 10 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.0% Win Probability (After): 53.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 13:27 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 47) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 47 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) - WASH 14, WSU 10 | 4.10 | 58.8% | 11.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 99 Started Drive at: WASH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.90 = 4.10 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.10) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 14, WSU 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 84 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.8% Win Probability (After): 69.9% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:05 | |
(4th & 10 at WASH 34) Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 34 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK) - WASH 14, WSU 17 | 6.38 | 28.5% | 20.5% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 99 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.62 = 6.38 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.38) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 14, WSU 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.5% Win Probability (After): 49.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 9:41 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 30) Michael Penix Jr. 30 Yd Run (Peyton Henry Kick) - WASH 21, WSU 17 | 3.07 | 62.1% | 7.0% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 99 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.93 = 3.07 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.93) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 21, WSU 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.1% Win Probability (After): 69.1% Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:07 | |
(2nd & 5 at WASH 15) Nakia Watson 15 Yd pass from Cameron Ward (Dean Janikowski Kick) - WASH 21, WSU 24 | 2.25 | 39.1% | 16.0% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.75 = 2.25 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-0.25) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 21, WSU 24 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.1% Win Probability (After): 55.1% Away Score: 22 (21) Home Score: 17 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 1:40 | |
(3rd & 2 at WSU 4) Michael Penix Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) - WASH 28, WSU 24 | 2.03 | 60.8% | 7.8% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: WASH 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.97 = 2.03 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.97) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 28, WSU 24 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 83 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.8% Win Probability (After): 68.6% Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:00 | |
(3rd & Goal at WASH 12) Dean Janikowski 29 yd FG GOOD - WASH 28, WSU 27 | 1.16 | 16.9% | -0.1% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 65 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.84 = 1.16 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.16) Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 28, WSU 27 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.9% Win Probability (After): 16.9% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 24 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: -1 |
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| Q3 14:50 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 25) Jalen McMillan 75 Yd pass from Michael Penix Jr. (Peyton Henry Kick) - WASH 35, WSU 27 | 5.98 | 59.6% | 23.4% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.02 = 5.98 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.02) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 27 Drive Summary: 1 play, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.6% Win Probability (After): 83.0% Away Score: 27 (35) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:30 | |
(3rd & 1 at WASH 4) Nakia Watson 4 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) - WASH 35, WSU 33 | 0.56 | 27.5% | 9.5% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: WSU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 5.44 = 0.56 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-2.56) Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.5% Win Probability (After): 37.0% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 27 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:30 | |
(1st & Goal at WSU 5) Rome Odunze run for 5 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry PAT MISSED) - WASH 41, WSU 33 | 0.17 | 77.4% | 5.0% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99 Started Drive at: WASH 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 5.83 = 0.17 Score Difference (Before): 2 (7.83) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 41, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.4% Win Probability (After): 82.4% Away Score: 35 (41) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:02 | |
(4th & Goal at WSU 3) Peyton Henry 20 yd FG GOOD - WASH 44, WSU 33 | 0.11 | 94.6% | 2.5% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 65 Started Drive at: WASH 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.89 = 0.11 Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.89) Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 44, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 94 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.6% Win Probability (After): 97.1% Away Score: 41 (44) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 1:28 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 40) Wayne Taulapapa run for 40 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) - WASH 51, WSU 33 | 4.83 | 99.3% | 0.4% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 99 Started Drive at: WASH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.17 = 4.83 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.17) Score Difference (End): 18 (18.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 51, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.3% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 44 (51) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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All Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at WSU 35) Grady Gross kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WASH 0, WSU 0 | 0.00 | 41.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.6% Win Probability (After): 41.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:59 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 25) Cameron Ward pass incomplete - WASH 0, WSU 0 | -0.85 | 42.4% | -3.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.22 - 1.07 = -0.85 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.07) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.4% Win Probability (After): 39.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:56 | |
(2nd & 10 at WSU 25) Cameron Ward run for 10 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST down - WASH 0, WSU 0 | 1.73 | 39.6% | 5.0% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 65 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 0.26 = 1.73 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.26) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.6% Win Probability (After): 44.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:34 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 35) Cameron Ward pass incomplete - WASH 0, WSU 0 | -0.79 | 44.4% | -2.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.17 - 1.96 = -0.79 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.96) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.4% Win Probability (After): 42.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:33 | |
(2nd & 10 at WSU 35) WASHINGTON Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Alex Cook) to the Wash 30 for a 1ST down - WASH 0, WSU 0 | 2.85 | 41.8% | 6.7% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 30 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.14 - 1.29 = 2.85 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.29) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.8% Win Probability (After): 48.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:06 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 30) WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 35 - WASH 0, WSU 0 | -0.92 | 48.3% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 35 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.26 - 4.18 = -0.92 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.18) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.3% Win Probability (After): 47.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:58 | |
(1st & 15 at WASH 35) Cameron Ward run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 37 - WASH 0, WSU 0 | -0.91 | 47.7% | -2.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 37 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.40 - 3.31 = -0.91 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.31) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.7% Win Probability (After): 45.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:18 | |
(2nd & 17 at WASH 37) Cameron Ward pass incomplete - WASH 0, WSU 0 | -1.08 | 43.4% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.28 - 2.35 = -1.08 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.35) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.4% Win Probability (After): 42.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:11 | |
(3rd & 17 at WASH 37) Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 4 yds to the Wash 33 - WASH 0, WSU 0 | -0.33 | 41.0% | -2.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 33 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - 1.23 = -0.33 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.23) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.0% Win Probability (After): 38.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:18 | |
(4th & 13 at WASH 33) Dean Janikowski 50 yd FG GOOD - WASH 0, WSU 3 | 2.16 | 39.4% | 5.1% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 65 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 0.84 = 2.16 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.84) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.4% Win Probability (After): 44.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 12:18 | |
(Kickoff at WASH 35) Colton Theaker kickoff for 63 yds - WASH 0, WSU 3 | 0.00 | 57.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - 0.64 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.36) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.2% Win Probability (After): 57.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:17 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 25) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete - WASH 0, WSU 3 | -0.60 | 56.8% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.04 - 0.64 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.36) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.8% Win Probability (After): 55.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:08 | |
(2nd & 10 at WASH 25) Wayne Taulapapa run for 7 yds to the Wash 32 - WASH 0, WSU 3 | 0.23 | 56.2% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 68 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.25 - 0.03 = 0.23 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.97) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.2% Win Probability (After): 55.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:24 | |
(3rd & 3 at WASH 32) Timeout WASHINGTON, clock 11:24 - WASH 0, WSU 3 | 0.00 | 55.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.25 - 0.25 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.75) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.3% Win Probability (After): 55.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:23 | |
(3rd & 3 at WASH 32) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 8 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST down - WASH 0, WSU 3 | 1.60 | 55.2% | 2.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 60 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.91 - 0.30 = 1.60 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.70) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.2% Win Probability (After): 58.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:45 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 40) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 11 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST down - WASH 0, WSU 3 | 0.89 | 57.9% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 49 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.77 - 1.88 = 0.89 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.12) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.9% Win Probability (After): 59.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:23 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 49) Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the WshSt 47 - WASH 0, WSU 3 | -0.69 | 58.9% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 47 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.17 - 2.86 = -0.69 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.14) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.9% Win Probability (After): 58.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:38 | |
(2nd & 8 at WSU 47) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 12 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST down - WASH 0, WSU 3 | 1.36 | 57.4% | 3.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 35 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.66 - 2.31 = 1.36 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.69) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.4% Win Probability (After): 61.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:06 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 35) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete - WASH 0, WSU 3 | -0.56 | 60.0% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.09 - 3.65 = -0.56 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.65) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.0% Win Probability (After): 58.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:01 | |
(2nd & 10 at WSU 35) Timeout WASHINGTON, clock 09:01 - WASH 0, WSU 3 | 0.00 | 59.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.09 - 3.09 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.09) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.4% Win Probability (After): 59.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at WSU 35) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete - WASH 0, WSU 3 | -0.98 | 60.6% | -1.5% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.11 - 3.09 = -0.98 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.09) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.6% Win Probability (After): 59.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:51 | |
(3rd & 10 at WSU 35) (08:51) QB Keeper PENIX JR., Michael rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the WSU32 (SMITH-WADE, Chau), out of bounds, clock 08:46. PENALTY UW Holding on DAVIS, Cameron enforced 10 yards from the WSU35 to the WSU45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - WASH 0, WSU 3 | -1.32 | 58.4% | -1.3% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 45 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.77 - 2.09 = -1.32 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.91) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.4% Win Probability (After): 57.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:24 | |
(3rd & 20 at WSU 45) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete - WASH 0, WSU 3 | -1.41 | 56.5% | -3.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.78 - 0.63 = -1.41 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.37) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.5% Win Probability (After): 53.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:19 | |
(4th & 20 at WSU 45) Jack McCallister punt for 43 yds, downed at the WshSt 2 - WASH 0, WSU 3 | 1.22 | 52.9% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 98 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.43 - -0.79 = 1.22 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.79) Score Difference (End): 3 (2.57) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WASH 0, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.9% Win Probability (After): 51.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 8:10 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 2) Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the WshSt 4 - WASH 0, WSU 3 | -0.36 | 48.3% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 96 Started Drive at: WSU 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.78 - -0.41 = -0.36 Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.59) Score Difference (End): 3 (2.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.3% Win Probability (After): 46.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q1 7:50 | |
(2nd & 8 at WSU 4) Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the WshSt 6 - WASH 0, WSU 3 | -0.49 | 49.6% | -3.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 96 -> 94 Started Drive at: WSU 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.27 - -0.78 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.22) Score Difference (End): 3 (1.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.6% Win Probability (After): 45.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q1 7:15 | |
(3rd & 6 at WSU 6) Cameron Ward pass incomplete - WASH 0, WSU 3 | -1.31 | 49.9% | -6.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 94 Started Drive at: WSU 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.56 - -1.25 = -1.31 Score Difference (Before): 3 (1.75) Score Difference (End): 3 (0.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.9% Win Probability (After): 43.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q1 7:06 | |
(4th & 6 at WSU 6) Nick Haberer punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jalen McMillan at the WshSt 44 - WASH 0, WSU 3 | -0.50 | 45.6% | -7.0% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 44 Started Drive at: WSU 2 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.05 - -2.55 = -0.50 Score Difference (Before): 3 (0.45) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.05) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WASH 0, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.6% Win Probability (After): 38.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 6:59 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 44) Cameron Davis run for 14 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST down - WASH 0, WSU 3 | 0.93 | 61.0% | 2.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 30 Started Drive at: WSU 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.97 - 3.04 = 0.93 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.04) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.0% Win Probability (After): 63.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:21 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 30) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete - WASH 0, WSU 3 | -0.57 | 63.0% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30 Started Drive at: WSU 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.37 - 3.94 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.94) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.37) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.0% Win Probability (After): 61.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:16 | |
(2nd & 10 at WSU 30) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 4 yds to the WshSt 26 - WASH 0, WSU 3 | -0.35 | 59.8% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 26 Started Drive at: WSU 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.02 - 3.37 = -0.35 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.37) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 0, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.8% Win Probability (After): 59.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:23 | |
(3rd & 6 at WSU 26) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 26 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) - WASH 7, WSU 3 | 3.97 | 58.3% | 12.4% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 99 Started Drive at: WSU 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.03 = 3.97 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.03) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.3% Win Probability (After): 70.7% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:23 | |
(Kickoff at WSU 35) Grady Gross kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WASH 7, WSU 3 | 0.00 | 34.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.69 - 0.69 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.31) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.9% Win Probability (After): 34.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q1 5:22 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 25) Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 4 yds to the WshSt 29 - WASH 7, WSU 3 | -0.03 | 34.9% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.66 - 0.69 = -0.03 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.31) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.9% Win Probability (After): 34.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q1 4:54 | |
(2nd & 6 at WSU 29) Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the WshSt 31 - WASH 7, WSU 3 | -0.45 | 34.1% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 69 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.21 - 0.65 = -0.45 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.35) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.1% Win Probability (After): 32.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q1 4:15 | |
(3rd & 4 at WSU 31) Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 3 yds to the WshSt 34 - WASH 7, WSU 3 | -0.86 | 32.3% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 66 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.67 - 0.19 = -0.86 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.81) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.3% Win Probability (After): 30.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q1 3:34 | |
(4th & 1 at WSU 34) Nick Haberer pass complete to Daiyan Henley for 36 yds to the Wash 30 for a 1ST down - WASH 7, WSU 3 | 4.63 | 31.4% | 9.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 30 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.94 - -0.70 = 4.63 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.70) Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.4% Win Probability (After): 40.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 2:54 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 30) Cameron Ward pass incomplete - WASH 7, WSU 3 | -0.57 | 41.0% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.36 - 3.93 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.07) Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 41.0% Win Probability (After): 40.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q1 2:45 | |
(2nd & 10 at WASH 30) Cameron Ward sacked by Bralen Trice for a loss of 5 yards to the Wash 35 - WASH 7, WSU 3 | -2.11 | 40.8% | -5.7% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 35 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.24 - 3.35 = -2.11 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.65) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.8% Win Probability (After): 35.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q1 2:00 | |
(3rd & 15 at WASH 35) Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 13 yds to the Wash 22 - WASH 7, WSU 3 | 1.41 | 34.9% | 2.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 22 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.66 - 1.25 = 1.41 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.75) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.9% Win Probability (After): 37.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q1 1:54 | |
(4th & 2 at WASH 22) Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 4 yds to the Wash 18 for a 1ST down - WASH 7, WSU 3 | 2.05 | 37.3% | 7.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 18 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.71 - 2.66 = 2.05 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.34) Score Difference (End): -4 (0.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.3% Win Probability (After): 45.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 1:22 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 18) Cameron Ward run for 4 yds to the Wash 14 - WASH 7, WSU 3 | -0.10 | 46.5% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 14 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.61 - 4.71 = -0.10 Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.71) Score Difference (End): -4 (0.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.5% Win Probability (After): 44.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q1 1:02 | |
(2nd & 6 at WASH 14) Cameron Ward pass incomplete - WASH 7, WSU 3 | -0.79 | 45.8% | -3.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.83 - 4.61 = -0.79 Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.61) Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 3 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.8% Win Probability (After): 42.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q1 0:53 | |
(3rd & 6 at WASH 14) Cameron Ward run for 14 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK) - WASH 7, WSU 10 | 3.17 | 42.0% | 11.4% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.83 = 3.17 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.17) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 10 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.0% Win Probability (After): 53.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 3 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q1 0:47 | |
(Kickoff at WASH 35) Colton Theaker kickoff for 55 yds , Giles Jackson return for 11 yds to the Wash 21 - WASH 7, WSU 10 | -0.43 | 51.6% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 79 Started Drive at: WASH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.39 - 0.82 = -0.43 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.18) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.6% Win Probability (After): 52.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:46 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 21) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 9 yds to the Wash 30 - WASH 7, WSU 10 | 0.87 | 50.5% | 1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 70 Started Drive at: WASH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.51 - 0.64 = 0.87 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.36) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.5% Win Probability (After): 51.9% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:19 | |
(2nd & 1 at WASH 30) Cameron Davis run for no gain to the Wash 30 - WASH 7, WSU 10 | -0.87 | 51.9% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 70 Started Drive at: WASH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - 1.51 = -0.87 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.49) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.9% Win Probability (After): 50.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:59 | |
(3rd & 1 at WASH 30) Cameron Davis run for 3 yds to the Wash 33 for a 1ST down - WASH 7, WSU 10 | 0.96 | 50.4% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 67 Started Drive at: WASH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.54 - 0.58 = 0.96 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.42) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.4% Win Probability (After): 52.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:19 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 33) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete - WASH 7, WSU 10 | -0.79 | 51.6% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67 Started Drive at: WASH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.78 - 1.57 = -0.79 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.43) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.6% Win Probability (After): 51.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:14 | |
(2nd & 10 at WASH 33) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete - WASH 7, WSU 10 | -0.84 | 50.4% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67 Started Drive at: WASH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - 0.79 = -0.84 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.21) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.4% Win Probability (After): 49.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:07 | |
(3rd & 10 at WASH 33) WASHINGTON Penalty, Delay Of Game (Michael Penix Jr.) to the Wash 28 - WASH 7, WSU 10 | -1.04 | 48.5% | -2.8% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 72 Started Drive at: WASH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.08 - -0.04 = -1.04 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.04) Score Difference (End): -3 (-4.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.5% Win Probability (After): 45.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:06 | |
(3rd & 15 at WASH 28) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 25 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST down - WASH 7, WSU 10 | 3.97 | 45.7% | 9.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 47 Started Drive at: WASH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.89 - -1.09 = 3.97 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-4.09) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 45.7% Win Probability (After): 54.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:35 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 47) Timeout WASHINGTON, clock 13:35 - WASH 7, WSU 10 | 0.00 | 55.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 47 Started Drive at: WASH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.89 - 2.89 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.11) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 7, WSU 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.0% Win Probability (After): 55.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:27 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 47) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 47 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) - WASH 14, WSU 10 | 4.10 | 58.8% | 11.1% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 99 Started Drive at: WASH 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.90 = 4.10 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.10) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 14, WSU 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 84 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.8% Win Probability (After): 69.9% Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:23 | |
(Kickoff at WSU 35) Grady Gross kickoff for 51 yds , Lincoln Victor return for 16 yds to the WshSt 30 - WASH 14, WSU 10 | -0.60 | 29.5% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 70 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.15 - 0.75 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.25) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 14, WSU 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.5% Win Probability (After): 28.9% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 13:21 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 30) Jaylen Jenkins run for 1 yd to the WshSt 31 - WASH 14, WSU 10 | -0.66 | 30.9% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 69 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.67 - 1.33 = -0.66 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.67) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 14, WSU 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.9% Win Probability (After): 29.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 12:46 | |
(2nd & 9 at WSU 31) WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 26 - WASH 14, WSU 10 | -0.84 | 28.9% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 74 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.16 - 0.68 = -0.84 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.32) Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 14, WSU 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.9% Win Probability (After): 28.4% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 12:17 | |
(2nd & 14 at WSU 26) Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 26 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST down - WASH 14, WSU 10 | 2.78 | 27.7% | 5.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 48 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.77 - -0.01 = 2.78 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.01) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 14, WSU 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.7% Win Probability (After): 33.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 12:10 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 48) Cameron Ward pass incomplete - WASH 14, WSU 10 | -0.57 | 32.8% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.23 - 2.80 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.20) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 14, WSU 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.8% Win Probability (After): 32.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 12:09 | |
(2nd & 10 at WASH 48) Cameron Ward pass complete to Orion Peters for 14 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST down - WASH 14, WSU 10 | 1.47 | 32.5% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 34 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.64 - 2.17 = 1.47 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.83) Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 14, WSU 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.5% Win Probability (After): 35.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 11:34 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 34) Cameron Ward pass incomplete - WASH 14, WSU 10 | -0.57 | 35.6% | -2.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.08 - 3.65 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.35) Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 14, WSU 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.6% Win Probability (After): 33.1% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 11:30 | |
(2nd & 10 at WASH 34) Cameron Ward pass incomplete - WASH 14, WSU 10 | -0.95 | 33.9% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 3.13 = -0.95 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.87) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 14, WSU 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.9% Win Probability (After): 33.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 11:23 | |
(3rd & 10 at WASH 34) Cameron Ward pass incomplete - WASH 14, WSU 10 | -1.72 | 33.4% | -5.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.55 - 2.26 = -1.72 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.74) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 14, WSU 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.4% Win Probability (After): 28.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 11:05 | |
(4th & 10 at WASH 34) Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 34 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK) - WASH 14, WSU 17 | 6.38 | 28.5% | 20.5% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 99 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 0.62 = 6.38 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.38) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 14, WSU 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.5% Win Probability (After): 49.0% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 10 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 11:05 | |
(Kickoff at WASH 35) Colton Theaker kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WASH 14, WSU 17 | 0.00 | 52.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.84 - 0.84 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.16) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 14, WSU 17 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.7% Win Probability (After): 52.7% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:04 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 25) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete - WASH 14, WSU 17 | -0.53 | 52.7% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - 0.82 = -0.53 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.18) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 14, WSU 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.7% Win Probability (After): 50.8% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:57 | |
(2nd & 10 at WASH 25) Wayne Taulapapa run for 19 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST down - WASH 14, WSU 17 | 2.01 | 50.5% | 5.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 56 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 0.28 = 2.01 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.72) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 14, WSU 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.5% Win Probability (After): 55.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:21 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 44) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 26 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST down - WASH 14, WSU 17 | 1.60 | 55.6% | 5.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 30 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.95 - 2.35 = 1.60 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.65) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 14, WSU 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.6% Win Probability (After): 61.5% Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:41 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 30) Michael Penix Jr. 30 Yd Run (Peyton Henry Kick) - WASH 21, WSU 17 | 3.07 | 62.1% | 7.0% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 99 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.93 = 3.07 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.93) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 21, WSU 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.1% Win Probability (After): 69.1% Away Score: 14 (21) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:36 | |
(Kickoff at WSU 35) Grady Gross kickoff for 61 yds , Lincoln Victor return for 26 yds to the WshSt 30 - WASH 22, WSU 17 | -0.36 | 31.7% | -4.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 70 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.53 - 0.90 = -0.36 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.10) Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 22, WSU 17 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.7% Win Probability (After): 27.7% Away Score: 21 (22) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 9:34 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 30) Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 27 - WASH 22, WSU 17 | -1.28 | 29.0% | -2.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 73 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.28 - 1.57 = -1.28 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.43) Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 22, WSU 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, -3 yards Win Probability (Before): 29.0% Win Probability (After): 26.4% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 9:04 | |
(2nd & 13 at WSU 27) Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 14 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST down - WASH 22, WSU 17 | 2.05 | 25.5% | 4.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 59 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.24 - 0.20 = 2.05 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-4.80) Score Difference (End): -5 (-2.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 22, WSU 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.5% Win Probability (After): 30.1% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 8:46 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 41) Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the WshSt 45 - WASH 22, WSU 17 | -0.02 | 28.7% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 55 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 2.09 = -0.02 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-2.91) Score Difference (End): -5 (-2.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 22, WSU 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.7% Win Probability (After): 29.3% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 8:27 | |
(2nd & 6 at WSU 45) Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 18 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST down - WASH 22, WSU 17 | 1.50 | 28.9% | 4.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 37 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.46 - 1.96 = 1.50 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.04) Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 22, WSU 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.9% Win Probability (After): 33.5% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 7:42 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 37) Cameron Ward pass incomplete - WASH 22, WSU 17 | -0.50 | 34.0% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.92 - 3.42 = -0.50 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.58) Score Difference (End): -5 (-2.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 22, WSU 17 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.0% Win Probability (After): 32.3% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 7:41 | |
(2nd & 10 at WASH 37) Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 9 yds to the Wash 28 - WASH 22, WSU 17 | 0.79 | 32.3% | 1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 28 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.70 - 2.91 = 0.79 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-2.09) Score Difference (End): -5 (-1.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 22, WSU 17 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.3% Win Probability (After): 33.9% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 7:19 | |
(3rd & 1 at WASH 28) (07:19) WATSON, Nakia rush to the left for a gain of 13 yards to the UW15 (TUPUTALA, Alphonzo), clock 07:17. PENALTY WSU Holding on HILBORN, Christian enforced 10 yards from the UW28 to the UW38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - WASH 22, WSU 17 | -2.19 | 34.3% | -5.9% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 38 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.56 - 3.75 = -2.19 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-1.25) Score Difference (End): -5 (-3.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 22, WSU 17 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.3% Win Probability (After): 28.4% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 6:44 | |
(3rd & 11 at WASH 38) Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the Wash 34 - WASH 22, WSU 17 | -0.93 | 28.6% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 34 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.87 - 1.80 = -0.93 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.20) Score Difference (End): -5 (-4.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 22, WSU 17 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.6% Win Probability (After): 26.7% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 6:24 | |
(4th & 7 at WASH 34) Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 14 yds to the Wash 20 for a 1ST down - WASH 22, WSU 17 | 3.47 | 27.0% | 12.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 20 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.52 - 1.05 = 3.47 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-3.95) Score Difference (End): -5 (-0.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 22, WSU 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.0% Win Probability (After): 39.3% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 5:49 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 20) Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 5 yds to the Wash 15 - WASH 22, WSU 17 | 0.46 | 37.2% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 15 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.77 - 4.31 = 0.46 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-0.69) Score Difference (End): -5 (-0.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 22, WSU 17 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.2% Win Probability (After): 39.2% Away Score: 22 (22) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 5:07 | |
(2nd & 5 at WASH 15) Nakia Watson 15 Yd pass from Cameron Ward (Dean Janikowski Kick) - WASH 21, WSU 24 | 2.25 | 39.1% | 16.0% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99 Started Drive at: WSU 30 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.75 = 2.25 Score Difference (Before): -5 (-0.25) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 21, WSU 24 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.1% Win Probability (After): 55.1% Away Score: 22 (21) Home Score: 17 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 5:02 | |
(Kickoff at WASH 35) Colton Theaker kickoff for 65 yds , Giles Jackson return for 17 yds to the Wash 17 - WASH 21, WSU 24 | -1.06 | 50.9% | -3.7% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 83 Started Drive at: WASH 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.15 - 0.91 = -1.06 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.09) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 21, WSU 24 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.9% Win Probability (After): 47.2% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:00 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 17) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 48 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST down - WASH 21, WSU 24 | 2.87 | 50.1% | 9.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 35 Started Drive at: WASH 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.46 - 0.59 = 2.87 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.41) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 21, WSU 24 Drive Summary: 1 play, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.1% Win Probability (After): 59.5% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:38 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 35) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Quentin Moore for 6 yds to the WshSt 29 - WASH 21, WSU 24 | 0.52 | 59.7% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 29 Started Drive at: WASH 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.86 - 3.34 = 0.52 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.34) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 21, WSU 24 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.7% Win Probability (After): 58.7% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 4:01 | |
(2nd & 4 at WSU 29) Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the WshSt 26 - WASH 21, WSU 24 | 0.07 | 59.9% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 26 Started Drive at: WASH 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.73 - 3.66 = 0.07 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.66) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 21, WSU 24 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.9% Win Probability (After): 58.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:35 | |
(3rd & 1 at WSU 26) Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the WshSt 24 for a 1ST down - WASH 21, WSU 24 | 0.26 | 59.2% | 3.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 24 Started Drive at: WASH 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.00 - 3.74 = 0.26 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.74) Score Difference (End): -3 (1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 21, WSU 24 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.2% Win Probability (After): 62.3% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:04 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 24) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 12 yds to the WshSt 12 for a 1ST down - WASH 21, WSU 24 | 1.09 | 62.2% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 12 Started Drive at: WASH 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.94 - 3.86 = 1.09 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.86) Score Difference (End): -3 (1.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 21, WSU 24 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.2% Win Probability (After): 64.8% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:35 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 12) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete - WASH 21, WSU 24 | -0.41 | 63.8% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12 Started Drive at: WASH 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.42 - 4.83 = -0.41 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.83) Score Difference (End): -3 (1.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 21, WSU 24 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.8% Win Probability (After): 63.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:31 | |
(2nd & 10 at WSU 12) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Devin Culp for 8 yds to the WshSt 4 - WASH 21, WSU 24 | 0.76 | 61.5% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 4 Started Drive at: WASH 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.09 - 4.33 = 0.76 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.33) Score Difference (End): -3 (2.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 21, WSU 24 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 79 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.5% Win Probability (After): 62.0% Away Score: 21 (21) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:40 | |
(3rd & 2 at WSU 4) Michael Penix Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) - WASH 28, WSU 24 | 2.03 | 60.8% | 7.8% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: WASH 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.97 = 2.03 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.97) Score Difference (End): 4 (4.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 28, WSU 24 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 83 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.8% Win Probability (After): 68.6% Away Score: 21 (28) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:40 | |
(Kickoff at WSU 35) Grady Gross kickoff for 55 yds - WASH 28, WSU 24 | 0.00 | 33.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.88 - 0.88 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.12) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 28, WSU 24 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.1% Win Probability (After): 33.1% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 1:39 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 25) Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the WshSt 29 - WASH 28, WSU 24 | -0.11 | 33.1% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.74 - 0.85 = -0.11 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.15) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 28, WSU 24 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.1% Win Probability (After): 32.8% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 1:22 | |
(2nd & 6 at WSU 29) Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 1 yd to the WshSt 30 - WASH 28, WSU 24 | -0.46 | 32.4% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 70 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.28 - 0.73 = -0.46 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.27) Score Difference (End): -4 (-3.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 28, WSU 24 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.4% Win Probability (After): 30.9% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 1:16 | |
(3rd & 5 at WSU 30) Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 12 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST down - WASH 28, WSU 24 | 0.83 | 30.9% | 3.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 58 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.34 - 0.52 = 0.83 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-3.48) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 28, WSU 24 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.9% Win Probability (After): 34.2% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 1:05 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 42) Nakia Watson run for no gain to the Wash 42 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Kamren Fabiculanan) to the Wash 43 for a 1ST down - WASH 28, WSU 24 | 0.58 | 34.2% | 3.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 43 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.93 - 1.24 = 0.58 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.66) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 28, WSU 24 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.2% Win Probability (After): 38.0% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 0:59 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 43) Cameron Ward pass complete to Anderson Grover for 6 yds to the Wash 37 - WASH 28, WSU 24 | 0.74 | 36.6% | 3.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 37 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.47 - 1.73 = 0.74 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.27) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 28, WSU 24 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.6% Win Probability (After): 40.5% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 0:37 | |
(2nd & 4 at WASH 37) Cameron Ward pass incomplete - WASH 28, WSU 24 | -0.35 | 39.9% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.95 - 2.30 = -0.35 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.70) Score Difference (End): -4 (-2.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 28, WSU 24 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.9% Win Probability (After): 38.4% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 0:29 | |
(3rd & 4 at WASH 37) WASHINGTON Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Alex Cook) to the Wash 18 for a 1ST down - WASH 28, WSU 24 | 2.20 | 38.1% | 9.9% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 18 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.97 - 1.77 = 2.20 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.23) Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 28, WSU 24 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.1% Win Probability (After): 48.1% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 0:23 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 18) Cameron Ward pass incomplete - WASH 28, WSU 24 | -0.28 | 48.3% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.44 - 3.72 = -0.28 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.28) Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 28, WSU 24 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 38 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.3% Win Probability (After): 46.9% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 0:18 | |
(2nd & 10 at WASH 18) Nakia Watson run for 11 yds to the Wash 7 for a 1ST down - WASH 28, WSU 24 | 1.58 | 46.1% | 5.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 7 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.83 - 3.25 = 1.58 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-0.75) Score Difference (End): -4 (0.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 28, WSU 24 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.1% Win Probability (After): 51.8% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 0:12 | |
(1st & Goal at WASH 7) Timeout WASHINGTON, clock 00:12 - WASH 28, WSU 24 | 0.00 | 51.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.83 - 4.83 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.83) Score Difference (End): -4 (0.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 28, WSU 24 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.7% Win Probability (After): 51.7% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: -1 |
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| Q2 0:11 | |
(1st & Goal at WASH 7) Cameron Ward pass incomplete - WASH 28, WSU 24 | -0.33 | 26.7% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.36 - 4.68 = -0.33 Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.68) Score Difference (End): -4 (0.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 28, WSU 24 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.7% Win Probability (After): 26.0% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: -1 |
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| Q2 0:07 | |
(2nd & Goal at WASH 7) WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (Cameron Ward) to the Wash 12 - WASH 28, WSU 24 | -0.97 | 26.0% | -5.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 12 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.19 - 4.16 = -0.97 Score Difference (Before): -4 (0.16) Score Difference (End): -4 (-0.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 28, WSU 24 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.0% Win Probability (After): 20.7% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: -1 |
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| Q2 0:06 | |
(2nd & Goal at WASH 12) Cameron Ward pass incomplete - WASH 28, WSU 24 | -0.24 | 20.0% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.73 - 2.97 = -0.24 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-1.03) Score Difference (End): -4 (-1.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 28, WSU 24 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.0% Win Probability (After): 18.4% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 24 (24) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: -1 |
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| Q2 0:00 | |
(3rd & Goal at WASH 12) Dean Janikowski 29 yd FG GOOD - WASH 28, WSU 27 | 1.16 | 16.9% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 65 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.84 = 1.16 Score Difference (Before): -4 (-2.16) Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 28, WSU 27 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.9% Win Probability (After): 16.9% Away Score: 28 (28) Home Score: 24 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: -1 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at WASH 35) Colton Theaker kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WASH 27, WSU 27 | -0.27 | 64.3% | -7.5% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 1.13 = -0.27 Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.13) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 27, WSU 27 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.3% Win Probability (After): 56.8% Away Score: 28 (27) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:50 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 25) Jalen McMillan 75 Yd pass from Michael Penix Jr. (Peyton Henry Kick) - WASH 35, WSU 27 | 5.98 | 59.6% | 23.4% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 99 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 1.02 = 5.98 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.02) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 27 Drive Summary: 1 play, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.6% Win Probability (After): 83.0% Away Score: 27 (35) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:50 | |
(Kickoff at WSU 35) Grady Gross kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WASH 35, WSU 27 | 0.00 | 21.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.04 - 0.04 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.96) Score Difference (End): -8 (-7.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 27 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.9% Win Probability (After): 21.9% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:49 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 25) Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 3 yds to the WshSt 28 - WASH 35, WSU 27 | -0.47 | 21.9% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.33 - 0.14 = -0.47 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.86) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 27 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.9% Win Probability (After): 20.7% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:17 | |
(2nd & 7 at WSU 28) Jaylen Jenkins run for 19 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST down - WASH 35, WSU 27 | 2.23 | 18.0% | 6.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 53 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - -0.36 = 2.23 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-8.36) Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 27 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.0% Win Probability (After): 24.4% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:54 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 47) Jaylen Jenkins run for a loss of 8 yards to the WshSt 39 - WASH 35, WSU 27 | -1.83 | 23.1% | -4.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 61 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.05 - 1.87 = -1.83 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.13) Score Difference (End): -8 (-7.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 27 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.1% Win Probability (After): 19.0% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:24 | |
(2nd & 18 at WSU 39) Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 37 - WASH 35, WSU 27 | -0.96 | 18.3% | -2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 63 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.89 - 0.07 = -0.96 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.93) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 27 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.3% Win Probability (After): 15.9% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:39 | |
(3rd & 20 at WSU 37) Cameron Ward sacked by Kristopher Moll for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 36 - WASH 35, WSU 27 | -0.97 | 15.4% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 64 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.86 - -0.89 = -0.97 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-8.89) Score Difference (End): -8 (-9.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 27 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.4% Win Probability (After): 13.9% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:55 | |
(4th & 21 at WSU 36) Nick Haberer punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jalen McMillan at the Wash 26 - WASH 35, WSU 27 | -0.15 | 13.7% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 74 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.11 - -1.96 = -0.15 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-9.96) Score Difference (End): 8 (10.11) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WASH 35, WSU 27 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.7% Win Probability (After): 13.7% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 11:49 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 26) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 26 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST down - WASH 35, WSU 27 | 1.33 | 86.1% | 1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 48 Started Drive at: WASH 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.05 - 1.72 = 1.33 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.72) Score Difference (End): 8 (11.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 27 Drive Summary: 1 play, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.1% Win Probability (After): 87.5% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:15 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 48) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Cameron Davis for 6 yds Cameron Davis fumbled, recovered by WshSt Chau Smith-Wade - WASH 35, WSU 27 | -4.51 | 87.3% | -8.8% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 58 Started Drive at: WASH 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.48 - 3.03 = -4.51 Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.03) Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.52) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WASH 35, WSU 27 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.3% Win Probability (After): 78.6% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:04 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 42) Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 8 yds to the 50 yard line - WASH 35, WSU 27 | 0.72 | 21.6% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 50 Started Drive at: WSU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.14 - 1.43 = 0.72 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.57) Score Difference (End): -8 (-5.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 27 Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.6% Win Probability (After): 23.3% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:38 | |
(2nd & 2 at 50) run for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 47 fumbled, recovered by WshSt Cameron Ward - WASH 35, WSU 27 | -1.63 | 22.7% | -4.9% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 53 Started Drive at: WSU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.59 - 2.22 = -1.63 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-5.78) Score Difference (End): -8 (-7.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 27 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.7% Win Probability (After): 17.8% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:55 | |
(3rd & 5 at WSU 47) Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 19 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST down - WASH 35, WSU 27 | 2.57 | 17.6% | 7.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 34 Started Drive at: WSU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.32 - 0.75 = 2.57 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.25) Score Difference (End): -8 (-4.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 27 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.6% Win Probability (After): 24.6% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:24 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 34) Jaylen Jenkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 36 - WASH 35, WSU 27 | -1.46 | 25.8% | -4.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 36 Started Drive at: WSU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.92 - 3.38 = -1.46 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-4.62) Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 27 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.8% Win Probability (After): 21.5% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:09 | |
(2nd & 12 at WASH 36) Cameron Ward pass complete to Billy Riviere III for 11 yds to the Wash 25 - WASH 35, WSU 27 | 1.62 | 22.9% | 2.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 25 Started Drive at: WSU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.62 - 2.00 = 1.62 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.00) Score Difference (End): -8 (-4.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 27 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.9% Win Probability (After): 25.6% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:37 | |
(3rd & 1 at WASH 25) Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 12 yds to the Wash 13 for a 1ST down - WASH 35, WSU 27 | 1.39 | 25.7% | 2.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 13 Started Drive at: WSU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.95 - 3.55 = 1.39 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-4.45) Score Difference (End): -8 (-3.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 27 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.7% Win Probability (After): 27.9% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:04 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 13) Cameron Ward run for 2 yds to the Wash 11 - WASH 35, WSU 27 | -0.41 | 27.8% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 11 Started Drive at: WSU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.51 - 4.92 = -0.41 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-3.08) Score Difference (End): -8 (-3.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 27 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.8% Win Probability (After): 27.9% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:46 | |
(2nd & 8 at WASH 11) Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 3 yds to the Wash 8 - WASH 35, WSU 27 | -0.34 | 27.5% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 8 Started Drive at: WSU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.15 - 4.49 = -0.34 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-3.51) Score Difference (End): -8 (-3.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 27 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.5% Win Probability (After): 26.8% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:03 | |
(3rd & 5 at WASH 8) (07:03) WARD, Cameron pass to the left complete for 2 yards to VICTOR, Lincoln caught at the UW6 and advanced to the UW6 (COOK, Alex), clock 06:55. PENALTY Before the snap, UW Illegal Substitution enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the UW8 to the UW4. NO PLAY (replay the down). - WASH 35, WSU 27 | 1.22 | 26.6% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 4 Started Drive at: WSU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.41 - 4.19 = 1.22 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-3.81) Score Difference (End): -8 (-2.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 27 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.6% Win Probability (After): 27.4% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 27 (27) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:30 | |
(3rd & 1 at WASH 4) Nakia Watson 4 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) - WASH 35, WSU 33 | 0.56 | 27.5% | 9.5% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: WSU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 5.44 = 0.56 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-2.56) Score Difference (End): -2 (-2.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.5% Win Probability (After): 37.0% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 27 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:30 | |
(Kickoff at WASH 35) Colton Theaker kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WASH 35, WSU 33 | 0.00 | 65.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.17 - 1.17 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.17) Score Difference (End): 2 (3.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.5% Win Probability (After): 65.5% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:29 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 25) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 7 yds to the Wash 32 - WASH 35, WSU 33 | 0.51 | 65.5% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 68 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - 1.17 = 0.51 Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.17) Score Difference (End): 2 (3.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.5% Win Probability (After): 67.2% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:54 | |
(2nd & 3 at WASH 32) Wayne Taulapapa run for 7 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST down - WASH 35, WSU 33 | 0.48 | 68.1% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 61 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.16 - 1.68 = 0.48 Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.68) Score Difference (End): 2 (4.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.1% Win Probability (After): 68.9% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:19 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 39) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete - WASH 35, WSU 33 | -0.63 | 70.1% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.52 - 2.15 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.15) Score Difference (End): 2 (3.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.1% Win Probability (After): 68.5% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:16 | |
(2nd & 10 at WASH 39) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 2 yds to the Wash 41 - WASH 35, WSU 33 | -0.81 | 68.8% | -3.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 59 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.70 - 1.51 = -0.81 Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.51) Score Difference (End): 2 (2.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.8% Win Probability (After): 65.6% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:29 | |
(3rd & 8 at WASH 41) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 23 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST down - WASH 35, WSU 33 | 2.94 | 65.7% | 6.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 36 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.64 - 0.70 = 2.94 Score Difference (Before): 2 (2.70) Score Difference (End): 2 (5.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.7% Win Probability (After): 72.5% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:52 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 36) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete - WASH 35, WSU 33 | -0.62 | 71.1% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 36 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.01 - 3.63 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): 2 (5.63) Score Difference (End): 2 (5.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.1% Win Probability (After): 72.5% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:47 | |
(2nd & 10 at WSU 36) Wayne Taulapapa run for 7 yds to the WshSt 29 - WASH 35, WSU 33 | 0.31 | 70.8% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 29 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.31 - 3.00 = 0.31 Score Difference (Before): 2 (5.00) Score Difference (End): 2 (5.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.8% Win Probability (After): 70.2% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:20 | |
(3rd & 3 at WSU 29) Wayne Taulapapa run for 18 yds to the WshSt 11 for a 1ST down - WASH 35, WSU 33 | 1.83 | 69.3% | 6.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 11 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.14 - 3.31 = 1.83 Score Difference (Before): 2 (5.31) Score Difference (End): 2 (7.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.3% Win Probability (After): 75.5% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:35 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 11) Michael Penix Jr. pass intercepted, touchback. - WASH 35, WSU 33 | -5.78 | 75.6% | -14.3% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 80 Started Drive at: WASH 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.63 - 5.14 = -5.78 Score Difference (Before): 2 (7.14) Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.37) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WASH 35, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.6% Win Probability (After): 61.3% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:27 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 20) Cameron Ward run for 4 yds to the WshSt 24 - WASH 35, WSU 33 | -0.22 | 38.9% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 76 Started Drive at: WSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.44 - 0.65 = -0.22 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.35) Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.9% Win Probability (After): 38.5% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:03 | |
(2nd & 6 at WSU 24) Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the WshSt 27 - WASH 35, WSU 33 | -0.39 | 38.6% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 73 Started Drive at: WSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.06 - 0.45 = -0.39 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.55) Score Difference (End): -2 (-1.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.6% Win Probability (After): 36.9% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:39 | |
(3rd & 3 at WSU 27) Cameron Ward run for 1 yd to the WshSt 28 - WASH 35, WSU 33 | -1.81 | 37.3% | -3.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 72 Started Drive at: WSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.58 - 0.23 = -1.81 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-1.77) Score Difference (End): -2 (-3.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.3% Win Probability (After): 33.5% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:58 | |
(4th & 2 at WSU 28) Nick Haberer punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jalen McMillan at the Wash 28 - WASH 35, WSU 33 | -0.05 | 33.8% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72 Started Drive at: WSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.42 - -1.37 = -0.05 Score Difference (Before): -2 (-3.37) Score Difference (End): 2 (3.42) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WASH 35, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.8% Win Probability (After): 32.4% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 0:52 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 28) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete - WASH 35, WSU 33 | -0.75 | 68.2% | -2.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72 Started Drive at: WASH 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.67 - 1.42 = -0.75 Score Difference (Before): 2 (3.42) Score Difference (End): 2 (2.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.2% Win Probability (After): 66.1% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:47 | |
(2nd & 10 at WASH 28) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete - WASH 35, WSU 33 | -0.93 | 66.1% | -3.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72 Started Drive at: WASH 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.26 - 0.67 = -0.93 Score Difference (Before): 2 (2.67) Score Difference (End): 2 (1.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.1% Win Probability (After): 62.4% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:40 | |
(3rd & 10 at WASH 28) (00:40) PENIX JR., Michael pass up the middle incomplete intended for POLK, Ja'Lynn thrown to the WSU32, clock 00:34. PENALTY WSU Pass Interference on LANGFORD, Derrick enforced 15 yards to the UW43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - WASH 35, WSU 33 | 2.56 | 62.4% | 7.7% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 57 Started Drive at: WASH 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.31 - -0.26 = 2.56 Score Difference (Before): 2 (1.74) Score Difference (End): 2 (4.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.4% Win Probability (After): 70.1% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:33 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 43) Cameron Davis run for 11 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST down - WASH 35, WSU 33 | 0.76 | 70.1% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 46 Started Drive at: WASH 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.07 - 2.30 = 0.76 Score Difference (Before): 2 (4.30) Score Difference (End): 2 (5.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.1% Win Probability (After): 71.8% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:58 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 46) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 41 yds to the WshSt 5 for a 1ST down - WASH 35, WSU 33 | 2.48 | 71.6% | 3.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 5 Started Drive at: WASH 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.48 - 3.01 = 2.48 Score Difference (Before): 2 (5.01) Score Difference (End): 2 (7.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 35, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.6% Win Probability (After): 75.3% Away Score: 35 (35) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:30 | |
(1st & Goal at WSU 5) Rome Odunze run for 5 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry PAT MISSED) - WASH 41, WSU 33 | 0.17 | 77.4% | 5.0% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 99 Started Drive at: WASH 28 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 5.83 = 0.17 Score Difference (Before): 2 (7.83) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 41, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.4% Win Probability (After): 82.4% Away Score: 35 (41) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:30 | |
(Kickoff at WSU 35) Grady Gross kickoff for 60 yds - WASH 41, WSU 33 | 0.00 | 16.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.30 - 0.30 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.70) Score Difference (End): -8 (-7.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 41, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.4% Win Probability (After): 16.4% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:29 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 25) Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 8 yds to the WshSt 33 - WASH 41, WSU 33 | 0.80 | 16.4% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 67 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.10 - 0.30 = 0.80 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.70) Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 41, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.4% Win Probability (After): 17.8% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:23 | |
(2nd & 2 at WSU 33) Cameron Ward run for 1 yd to the WshSt 34 - WASH 41, WSU 33 | -0.33 | 17.8% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 66 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.76 - 1.10 = -0.33 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.90) Score Difference (End): -8 (-7.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 41, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.8% Win Probability (After): 17.2% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:55 | |
(3rd & 1 at WSU 34) Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST down - WASH 41, WSU 33 | 0.56 | 16.5% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 64 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 0.73 = 0.56 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-7.27) Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 41, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.5% Win Probability (After): 17.9% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:23 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 36) Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 10 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST down - WASH 41, WSU 33 | 0.63 | 17.7% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 54 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.90 - 1.27 = 0.63 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.73) Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 41, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.7% Win Probability (After): 18.7% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:50 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 46) (12:50) WARD, Cameron pass up the middle incomplete intended for STRIBLING, De'Zhaun thrown to the UW5, clock 12:42. PENALTY UW Pass Interference on HAMPTON, Dominique enforced 15 yards to the UW39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - WASH 41, WSU 33 | 1.19 | 18.4% | 2.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 39 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 1.87 = 1.19 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.13) Score Difference (End): -8 (-4.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 41, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.4% Win Probability (After): 20.8% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:39 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 39) Cameron Ward pass incomplete - WASH 41, WSU 33 | -0.67 | 20.8% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.42 - 3.09 = -0.67 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-4.91) Score Difference (End): -8 (-5.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 41, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.8% Win Probability (After): 19.2% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:36 | |
(2nd & 10 at WASH 39) Cameron Ward run for 2 yds to the Wash 37 - WASH 41, WSU 33 | -0.98 | 19.2% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 37 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.52 - 2.51 = -0.98 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-5.49) Score Difference (End): -8 (-6.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 41, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.2% Win Probability (After): 18.1% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:59 | |
(3rd & 8 at WASH 37) Cameron Ward sacked by Jayvon Parker for a loss of 6 yards to the Wash 43 - WASH 41, WSU 33 | -2.39 | 16.7% | -4.4% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 43 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.79 - 1.60 = -2.39 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-6.40) Score Difference (End): -8 (-8.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 41, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.7% Win Probability (After): 12.3% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:19 | |
(4th & 14 at WASH 43) Nick Haberer punt for 40 yds, downed at the Wash 3 - WASH 41, WSU 33 | 0.21 | 11.9% | 3.4% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 97 Started Drive at: WSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.22 - -0.43 = 0.21 Score Difference (Before): -8 (-8.43) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.22) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WASH 41, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.9% Win Probability (After): 15.3% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 11:10 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 3) Wayne Taulapapa run for 1 yd to the Wash 4 - WASH 41, WSU 33 | -0.53 | 85.1% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 97 -> 96 Started Drive at: WASH 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.40 - 0.12 = -0.53 Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.12) Score Difference (End): 8 (7.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 41, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.1% Win Probability (After): 84.2% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:27 | |
(2nd & 9 at WASH 4) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 8 yds to the Wash 12 - WASH 41, WSU 33 | 0.71 | 85.5% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 96 -> 88 Started Drive at: WASH 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.34 - -0.38 = 0.71 Score Difference (Before): 8 (7.62) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 41, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.5% Win Probability (After): 84.9% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:42 | |
(3rd & 1 at WASH 12) Cameron Davis run for 1 yd to the Wash 13 for a 1ST down - WASH 41, WSU 33 | 0.77 | 87.0% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 87 Started Drive at: WASH 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.87 - 0.10 = 0.77 Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.10) Score Difference (End): 8 (8.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 41, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.0% Win Probability (After): 88.1% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:54 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 13) Cameron Davis run for 26 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST down - WASH 41, WSU 33 | 1.64 | 88.8% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 61 Started Drive at: WASH 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.19 - 0.55 = 1.64 Score Difference (Before): 8 (8.55) Score Difference (End): 8 (10.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 41, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.8% Win Probability (After): 89.7% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:25 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 39) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete - WASH 41, WSU 33 | -0.38 | 90.2% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61 Started Drive at: WASH 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.43 - 1.81 = -0.38 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.81) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 41, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.2% Win Probability (After): 89.6% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:19 | |
(2nd & 10 at WASH 39) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 9 yds to the Wash 48 - WASH 41, WSU 33 | 0.40 | 89.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 52 Started Drive at: WASH 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 1.38 = 0.40 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.38) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 41, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.9% Win Probability (After): 89.9% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:43 | |
(3rd & 1 at WASH 48) Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST down - WASH 41, WSU 33 | 0.76 | 91.5% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 49 Started Drive at: WASH 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.65 - 1.89 = 0.76 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.89) Score Difference (End): 8 (10.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 41, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.5% Win Probability (After): 92.0% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:16 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 49) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Devin Culp for 4 yds to the WshSt 45 - WASH 41, WSU 33 | -0.38 | 92.9% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 45 Started Drive at: WASH 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.47 - 2.86 = -0.38 Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.86) Score Difference (End): 8 (10.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 41, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.9% Win Probability (After): 92.0% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:44 | |
(2nd & 6 at WSU 45) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete - WASH 41, WSU 33 | -0.85 | 93.5% | -2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45 Started Drive at: WASH 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.81 - 2.66 = -0.85 Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.66) Score Difference (End): 8 (9.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 41, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.5% Win Probability (After): 91.1% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:43 | |
(3rd & 6 at WSU 45) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Taj Davis for 12 yds to the WshSt 33 for a 1ST down - WASH 41, WSU 33 | 1.92 | 91.9% | 2.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 33 Started Drive at: WASH 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.74 - 1.81 = 1.92 Score Difference (Before): 8 (9.81) Score Difference (End): 8 (11.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 41, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.9% Win Probability (After): 94.1% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:13 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 33) Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 30 yds to the WshSt 3 for a 1ST down - WASH 41, WSU 33 | 1.64 | 94.8% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 3 Started Drive at: WASH 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.43 - 3.78 = 1.64 Score Difference (Before): 8 (11.78) Score Difference (End): 8 (13.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 41, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 94 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.8% Win Probability (After): 95.2% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:53 | |
(1st & Goal at WSU 3) Will Nixon run for no gain to the WshSt 3 - WASH 41, WSU 33 | -0.37 | 96.2% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 3 Started Drive at: WASH 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.61 - 5.98 = -0.37 Score Difference (Before): 8 (13.98) Score Difference (End): 8 (13.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 41, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 94 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.2% Win Probability (After): 95.2% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:16 | |
(2nd & Goal at WSU 3) Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete - WASH 41, WSU 33 | -0.91 | 96.4% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 3 Started Drive at: WASH 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.63 - 5.53 = -0.91 Score Difference (Before): 8 (13.53) Score Difference (End): 8 (12.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 41, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 94 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.4% Win Probability (After): 94.7% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:12 | |
(3rd & Goal at WSU 3) WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Troy Fautanu) declined - WASH 41, WSU 33 | -1.71 | 96.4% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 3 Started Drive at: WASH 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 4.60 = -1.71 Score Difference (Before): 8 (12.60) Score Difference (End): 8 (10.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 41, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 94 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.4% Win Probability (After): 94.6% Away Score: 41 (41) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:02 | |
(4th & Goal at WSU 3) Peyton Henry 20 yd FG GOOD - WASH 44, WSU 33 | 0.11 | 94.6% | 2.5% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 65 Started Drive at: WASH 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.89 = 0.11 Score Difference (Before): 8 (10.89) Score Difference (End): 11 (11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 44, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 94 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.6% Win Probability (After): 97.1% Away Score: 41 (44) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 4:57 | |
(Kickoff at WSU 35) Grady Gross kickoff for 64 yds , Lincoln Victor return for 26 yds to the WshSt 27 - WASH 44, WSU 33 | -0.77 | 5.1% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 73 Started Drive at: WSU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.12 - 0.65 = -0.77 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.35) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 44, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.1% Win Probability (After): 4.6% Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:56 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 27) Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 6 yds to the WshSt 33 - WASH 44, WSU 33 | 0.04 | 5.2% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 67 Started Drive at: WSU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.89 - 0.85 = 0.04 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.15) Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 44, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.2% Win Probability (After): 5.4% Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:32 | |
(2nd & 4 at WSU 33) Cameron Ward pass incomplete - WASH 44, WSU 33 | -0.67 | 5.0% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67 Started Drive at: WSU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.25 - 0.91 = -0.67 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.09) Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 44, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.0% Win Probability (After): 4.7% Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:23 | |
(3rd & 4 at WSU 33) Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the WshSt 35 - WASH 44, WSU 33 | -0.95 | 4.3% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 65 Started Drive at: WSU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.61 - 0.34 = -0.95 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.66) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 44, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.3% Win Probability (After): 3.7% Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:07 | |
(4th & 2 at WSU 35) WASHINGTON Penalty, Delay Of Game (Giles Jackson) to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST down - WASH 44, WSU 33 | 2.46 | 3.7% | 2.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 60 Started Drive at: WSU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - -0.62 = 2.46 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.62) Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 44, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.7% Win Probability (After): 5.8% Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 3:50 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 40) Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 17 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST down - WASH 44, WSU 33 | 0.97 | 4.8% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 43 Started Drive at: WSU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.73 - 1.76 = 0.97 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.24) Score Difference (End): -11 (-8.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 44, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.8% Win Probability (After): 6.8% Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:37 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 43) Cameron Ward sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the WshSt 48 - WASH 44, WSU 33 | -1.43 | 5.6% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 52 Started Drive at: WSU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.21 - 2.64 = -1.43 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-8.36) Score Difference (End): -11 (-9.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 44, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.6% Win Probability (After): 4.1% Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:01 | |
(2nd & 19 at WSU 48) Cameron Ward pass incomplete - WASH 44, WSU 33 | -0.57 | 2.6% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52 Started Drive at: WSU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.55 - 1.12 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-9.88) Score Difference (End): -11 (-10.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 44, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.6% Win Probability (After): 3.0% Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:00 | |
(3rd & 19 at WSU 48) Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 47 - WASH 44, WSU 33 | -1.12 | 2.2% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 53 Started Drive at: WSU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.47 - 0.65 = -1.12 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-10.35) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 44, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.2% Win Probability (After): 1.5% Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:38 | |
(4th & 20 at WSU 47) Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 10 yds to the Wash 43 - WASH 44, WSU 33 | -1.64 | 1.8% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 57 Started Drive at: WSU 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.03 - -0.40 = -1.64 Score Difference (Before): -11 (-11.40) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.03) Change of Possession: 1 Score: WASH 44, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.8% Win Probability (After): 0.7% Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 2:19 | |
(2nd & 5 at WASH 48) Timeout WASHINGTON, clock 02:19 - WASH 44, WSU 33 | 0.00 | 99.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52 Started Drive at: WASH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - 1.84 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.84) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 44, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.2% Win Probability (After): 99.2% Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:19 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 43) Wayne Taulapapa run for 5 yds to the Wash 48 - WASH 44, WSU 33 | -0.14 | 99.1% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 52 Started Drive at: WASH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.84 - 1.98 = -0.14 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.98) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 44, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.1% Win Probability (After): 99.1% Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:18 | |
(2nd & 5 at WASH 48) Wayne Taulapapa run for 12 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST down - WASH 44, WSU 33 | 0.75 | 99.1% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 40 Started Drive at: WASH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - 1.84 = 0.75 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.84) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 44, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.1% Win Probability (After): 99.2% Away Score: 44 (44) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:28 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 40) Wayne Taulapapa run for 40 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) - WASH 51, WSU 33 | 4.83 | 99.3% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 99 Started Drive at: WASH 43 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.17 = 4.83 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.17) Score Difference (End): 18 (18.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 51, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.3% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 44 (51) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:23 | |
(Kickoff at WSU 35) Grady Gross kickoff for 61 yds , Lincoln Victor return for 19 yds to the WshSt 23 - WASH 51, WSU 33 | -0.51 | 0.3% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 77 Started Drive at: WSU 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - 0.50 = -0.51 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.50) Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 51, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:21 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 23) Cameron Ward pass incomplete - WASH 51, WSU 33 | -0.22 | 0.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 77 Started Drive at: WSU 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.21 - 0.43 = -0.22 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.57) Score Difference (End): -18 (-17.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 51, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:14 | |
(2nd & 10 at WSU 23) Nakia Watson run for 9 yds to the WshSt 32 - WASH 51, WSU 33 | 0.19 | 0.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 68 Started Drive at: WSU 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - 0.30 = 0.19 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.70) Score Difference (End): -18 (-17.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 51, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.4% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:57 | |
(3rd & 1 at WSU 32) Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 15 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST down - WASH 51, WSU 33 | 0.95 | 0.4% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 53 Started Drive at: WSU 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.33 - 0.38 = 0.95 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.62) Score Difference (End): -18 (-16.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 51, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.4% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:48 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 47) Timeout WASHINGTON, clock 00:48 - WASH 51, WSU 33 | 0.00 | 0.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 53 Started Drive at: WSU 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.33 - 1.33 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-16.67) Score Difference (End): -18 (-16.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 51, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 0:47 | |
(1st & 10 at WSU 47) Cameron Ward run for 4 yds to the Wash 49 - WASH 51, WSU 33 | 0.14 | 0.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 49 Started Drive at: WSU 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.13 - 0.99 = 0.14 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.01) Score Difference (End): -18 (-16.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 51, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 0:38 | |
(2nd & 6 at WASH 49) Cameron Ward sacked by Zion Tupuola-Fetui for a loss of 11 yards to the WshSt 40 - WASH 51, WSU 33 | -0.77 | 0.4% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 60 Started Drive at: WSU 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.26 - 1.02 = -0.77 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-16.98) Score Difference (End): -18 (-17.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 51, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.4% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 0:31 | |
(3rd & 17 at WSU 40) Timeout WASHINGTON, clock 00:31 - WASH 51, WSU 33 | 0.00 | 0.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60 Started Drive at: WSU 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.26 - 0.26 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.74) Score Difference (End): -18 (-17.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 51, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q4 0:30 | |
(3rd & 17 at WSU 40) Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 10 yds to the 50 yard line - WASH 51, WSU 33 | 0.03 | 0.3% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 50 Started Drive at: WSU 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.31 - 0.28 = 0.03 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.72) Score Difference (End): -18 (-17.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 51, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q4 0:11 | |
(4th & 7 at 50) WASHINGTON Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the Wash 48 for a 1ST down - WASH 51, WSU 33 | 0.86 | 0.4% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 48 Started Drive at: WSU 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.02 - 0.16 = 0.86 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.84) Score Difference (End): -18 (-16.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 51, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.4% Win Probability (After): 0.4% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 0 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:05 | |
(1st & 10 at WASH 48) WASHINGTON Penalty, Delay Of Game (Michael Penix Jr.) to the Wash 43 - WASH 51, WSU 33 | -0.09 | 98.9% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 57 Started Drive at: WSU 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.26 - 0.36 = -0.09 Score Difference (Before): 18 (18.36) Score Difference (End): 18 (18.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 51, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.9% Win Probability (After): 98.9% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:03 | |
(1st & 15 at WASH 43) (00:03) [NH] Kneel down by UW at UW41 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00. - WASH 51, WSU 33 | -0.04 | 98.8% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 59 Started Drive at: WASH 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.17 - 0.21 = -0.04 Score Difference (Before): 18 (18.21) Score Difference (End): 18 (18.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: WASH 51, WSU 33 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.8% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 51 (51) Home Score: 33 (33) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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