Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 1.62 | Odds: BAY -10.5, O/U 56.5 | Download Chart
Expected Points
Team Stats [show/hide]
| Overall |
|
|
|---|---|---|
| EPA/Play | -0.02 44th %ile | 0.00 47th %ile |
| Success Rate | 37% 29th %ile | 46% 73rd %ile |
| Yards/Play | 5.92 53rd %ile | 5.31 36th %ile |
| EPA/Dropback | -0.03 45th %ile | -0.26 22nd %ile |
| EPA/Rush | 0.00 48th %ile | 0.13 70th %ile |
| Yards/Dropback | 8.29 81st %ile | 5.66 42nd %ile |
| Explosive Play Rate | 16% 98th %ile | 8% 47th %ile |
| 3rd Down Success Rate | 50% 75th %ile | 56% 85th %ile |
| Red Zone Success Rate | 38% 44th %ile | 41% 51st %ile |
| Def Run Stuff Rate | 4% 0th %ile | 10% 0th %ile |
| Havoc Rate | 6% 20th %ile | 7% 28th %ile |
| Expected Points | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 59 | 89 |
| Total EPA | -1.77 | 0.17 |
| Offensive EPA | -0.91 | -0.24 |
| Special Teams EPA | -2.34 | 1.28 |
| Penalty EPA | 1.17 | -0.87 |
| Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA | 0.31 | 0.00 |
| Production | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 49 | 83 |
| Yards | 290 | 441 |
| Yards/Play | 5.92 | 5.31 |
| EPA | -0.91 | -0.24 |
| EPA/Play | -0.02 | 0.00 |
| Passes | 28 (57%) | 29 (35%) |
| Yards | 232 | 164 |
| Yards/Play | 8.29 | 5.66 |
| EPA | -0.97 | -7.48 |
| EPA/Play | -0.03 | -0.26 |
| Rushes | 21 (43%) | 54 (65%) |
| Yards | 61 | 299 |
| Yards/Play | 3.05 | 5.86 |
| EPA | 0.06 | 7.24 |
| EPA/Play | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| Rushing | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 49 | 83 |
| Rushes | 21 (43%) | 54 (65%) |
| Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) | 0 (0%) | 4 (7%) |
| Successful Power Runs (Rate) | 0 (0%) | 2 (50%) |
| Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) | 2 (10%) | 2 (4%) |
| Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) | 11 (52%) | 16 (30%) |
| Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) | 7 (33%) | 27 (50%) |
| OL Line Yards | 43.6 | 111.5 |
| Per Carry | 2.08 | 2.06 |
| Highlight Yards | 4.5 | 90 |
| Per Rush Opportunity | 0.64 | 3.33 |
| Explosiveness | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 59 | 89 |
| Scrimmage Plays | 49 | 83 |
| Explosive Plays | 8 (16%) | 7 (8%) |
| When Passing (EPA > 2.4) | 6 (21%) | 3 (10%) |
| When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) | 2 (10%) | 4 (7%) |
| EPA w/o Explosive Plays | -22.77 | -17.96 |
| EPA/Play | -0.56 | -0.24 |
| When Passing | -18.48 | -16.57 |
| EPA/Play | -0.66 | -0.57 |
| When Rushing | -4.30 | -1.40 |
| EPA/Play | -0.23 | -0.03 |
| Situational | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Successful Plays (EPA > 0) | 18 (37%) | 38 (46%) |
| When Passing | 9 (32%) | 13 (45%) |
| When Rushing | 9 (43%) | 25 (46%) |
| On Standard Downs | 11 (37%) | 29 (49%) |
| On Passing Downs | 7 (37%) | 9 (38%) |
| On Early Downs | 12 (32%) | 26 (41%) |
| On Late Downs | 6 (50%) | 12 (60%) |
| During "Middle 8" | 2 (40%) | 8 (42%) |
| Early Downs | 37 | 63 |
| First Downs Created | 5 (14%) | 14 (22%) |
| EPA | -10.23 | -13.23 |
| EPA/Play | -0.28 | -0.21 |
| Passes | 19 (51%) | 20 (32%) |
| Rushes | 18 (49%) | 43 (68%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 5 (26%) | 7 (35%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 7 (39%) | 19 (44%) |
| "Middle 8" Plays | 5 | 19 |
| EPA | -4.25 | 4.41 |
| EPA/play | -0.85 | 0.23 |
| Passes | 3 (60%) | 9 (47%) |
| Rushes | 2 (40%) | 10 (53%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 0 (0%) | 4 (44%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 2 (100%) | 4 (40%) |
| Drives | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total | 11 | 11 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 23 | Own 30 |
| Plays/Drive | 7.59 | 10.37 |
| Yards/Drive | 51.94 | 55.37 |
| Available Yards % | 68% | 79% |
| Defensive | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 83 | 49 |
| Stop Rate | 34% | 31% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 6 (7%) | 3 (6%) |
| Passing | 6 (21%) | 2 (7%) |
| Rushing | 0 (0%) | 1 (5%) |
| TFLs Generated | 3 | 3 |
| Passing | 3 | 2 |
| Rushing | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks Generated | 2 (7%) | 1 (4%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 3 | 0 |
| Fumbles Forced | 0 | 0 |
| Turnovers | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 5 |
| Fumbles | 3 | 2 |
| Fumbles Lost | 2 | 2 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 1 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 3 |
| Turnover Margin | 3 | -3 |
| Expected Turnovers | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| Expected Turnover Margin | 0.2 | -0.2 |
| Turnover Luck (pts) | 14.2 | -14.2 |
| Special Teams | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 10 | 6 |
| Total EPA | -2.34 | 1.28 |
| Field Goal EPA | 0.94 | 0 |
| Punting EPA | -2.98 | 1.28 |
| Kickoff Return EPA | -0.31 | 0 |
Kansas [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Jason Bean | 16/27, 232 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 54.3 xQBR, 0.29 DETMER | 8.29 | -0.03 | -0.97 | 32% | 0.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Jason Bean | 7 carries, 28 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.00 | 0.50 | 3.47 | 43% | 12.0% | |
| Devin Neal | 10 carries, 32 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.20 | 0.01 | 0.07 | 50% | 0.0% | |
| Sevion Morrison | 2 carries, 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 1.50 | -0.73 | -1.47 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Lawrence Arnold | 3 catches (3 targets), 53 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 17.67 | 2.40 | 7.20 | 100% | 5.0% | |
| Jared Casey | 1 catch (1 target), 20 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 20.00 | 2.85 | 2.85 | 100% | 1.0% | |
| Mason Fairchild | 2 catches (2 targets), 19 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.50 | 1.42 | 2.84 | 50% | 2.0% | |
| Trevor Wilson | 2 catches (2 targets), 52 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 26.00 | 1.25 | 2.51 | 50% | 4.0% | |
| Sevion Morrison | 1 catch (1 target), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.00 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| Tanaka Scott | 1 catch (1 target), 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | -0.18 | -0.18 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Kevin Terry | 1 catch (1 target), 9 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.00 | -0.25 | -0.25 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Devin Neal | 1 catch (1 target), -2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | -2.00 | -1.27 | -1.27 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Quentin Skinner | 4 catches (4 targets), 66 yds, 1 TD, 2 Fum (2 lost) | 16.50 | -0.99 | -3.95 | 50% | -4.0% | |
Baylor [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Blake Shapen | 17/27, 164 yds, 1 TD, 3 INT, 2 Scks, 37.5 xQBR, 0.55 DETMER | 5.66 | -0.26 | -7.48 | 45% | 5.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Richard Reese | 30 carries, 183 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.10 | 0.15 | 4.45 | 47% | 9.0% | |
| Dillon Doyle | 2 carries, 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | 1.62 | 3.25 | 100% | 1.0% | |
| Jordan Nabors | 2 carries, 13 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.50 | 1.16 | 2.31 | 50% | 2.0% | |
| Kyron Drones | 2 carries, 9 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.50 | 0.97 | 1.94 | 100% | 1.0% | |
| Qualan Jones | 9 carries, 71 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 7.89 | 0.20 | 1.80 | 56% | 1.0% | |
| Blake Shapen | 6 carries, 17 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) | 2.83 | -0.77 | -4.61 | 17% | -3.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Monaray Baldwin | 2 catches (2 targets), 29 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 14.50 | 2.99 | 5.97 | 100% | 13.0% | |
| Ben Sims | 3 catches (3 targets), 36 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.00 | 1.57 | 4.72 | 100% | 4.0% | |
| Hal Presley | 3 catches (3 targets), 39 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 13.00 | 1.39 | 4.16 | 100% | 2.0% | |
| Richard Reese | 2 catches (2 targets), 26 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 13.00 | 1.50 | 2.99 | 100% | 4.0% | |
| Drake Dabney | 1 catch (1 target), 14 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 14.00 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| Josh Cameron | 2 catches (2 targets), 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.00 | 0.27 | 0.54 | 50% | -2.0% | |
| Gavin Holmes | 2 catches (2 targets), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.50 | -0.29 | -0.58 | 0% | 0.0% | |
| Qualan Jones | 2 catches (2 targets), 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 1.50 | -0.71 | -1.43 | 50% | 0.0% | |
Big Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute EPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 8:42 | |
(2nd & 2 at KU 27) Blake Shapen sacked for a loss of 15 yards to the Bayl 9 - KU 3, BAY 28 | -9.71 | 99.9% | -2.4% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 9 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.41 - 5.29 = -9.71 Score Difference (Before): 25 (30.29) Score Difference (End): -25 (-20.59) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KU 3, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 97.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 10:55 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 25) Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for no gain Quentin Skinner fumbled, recovered by Bayl Jackie Marshall - KU 0, BAY 7 | -4.59 | 13.0% | -4.6% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 25 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.75 - -0.16 = -4.59 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.16) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.75) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KU 0, BAY 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.0% Win Probability (After): 8.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:05 | |
(2nd & 9 at BAY 42) Blake Shapen pass intercepted - KU 3, BAY 21 | -4.47 | 95.7% | -1.8% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 45 Started Drive at: BAY 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.30 - 2.17 = -4.47 Score Difference (Before): 18 (20.17) Score Difference (End): -18 (-15.70) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.7% Win Probability (After): 93.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:26 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 12) Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 20 yds Quentin Skinner fumbled, recovered by Bayl Devin Lemear - KU 3, BAY 28 | -4.04 | 4.1% | -3.9% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 14 Started Drive at: KU 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.99 - 0.05 = -4.04 Score Difference (Before): -25 (-24.95) Score Difference (End): 25 (28.99) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KU 3, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.1% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:00 | |
(3rd & 13 at BAY 47) Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 16 yds to the Bayl 31 for a 1ST down - KU 10, BAY 28 | 3.80 | 0.8% | 2.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 31 Started Drive at: KU 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.34 - -0.46 = 3.80 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.46) Score Difference (End): -18 (-14.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 10, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.8% Win Probability (After): 2.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 11:05 | |
(3rd & 11 at KU 17) Blake Shapen pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 17 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) - KU 0, BAY 7 | 3.66 | 77.6% | 12.5% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 99 Started Drive at: KU 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.34 = 3.66 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.34) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.6% Win Probability (After): 90.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:25 | |
(4th & 1 at KU 7) Blake Shapen run for no gain to the Kans 7 - KU 16, BAY 28 | -3.42 | 98.8% | -3.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 93 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.63 - 4.05 = -3.42 Score Difference (Before): 12 (16.05) Score Difference (End): -12 (-12.63) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KU 16, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.8% Win Probability (After): 95.8% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 3:13 | |
(3rd & 14 at BAY 48) Blake Shapen pass complete to Ben Sims for 17 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST down - KU 3, BAY 14 | 2.96 | 92.6% | 2.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 35 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.26 - 1.30 = 2.96 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.30) Score Difference (End): 11 (15.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.6% Win Probability (After): 94.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(3rd & 8 at KU 27) Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 15 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST down - KU 0, BAY 14 | 2.90 | 5.6% | 1.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 58 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.14 - -1.75 = 2.90 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.75) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.6% Win Probability (After): 7.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:40 | |
(3rd & 9 at KU 6) Jason Bean pass complete to Jared Casey for 20 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST down - KU 10, BAY 28 | 2.85 | 1.2% | 0.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 74 Started Drive at: KU 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.15 - -3.01 = 2.85 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-21.01) Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 10, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.2% Win Probability (After): 2.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 11:05 | |
(3rd & 11 at KU 17) Blake Shapen pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 17 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) - KU 0, BAY 7 | 3.66 | 77.6% | 12.5% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 99 Started Drive at: KU 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.34 = 3.66 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.34) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.6% Win Probability (After): 90.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:29 | |
(3rd & Goal at BAY 4) Jason Bean run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK) - KU 23, BAY 28 | 2.47 | 7.8% | 11.8% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: KU 7 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.53 = 2.47 Score Difference (Before): -12 (-7.47) Score Difference (End): -5 (-5.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 23, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 98 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.8% Win Probability (After): 19.7% Away Score: 16 (23) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:05 | |
(2nd & 9 at BAY 42) Blake Shapen pass intercepted - KU 3, BAY 21 | -1.08 | 99.5% | -5.5% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 45 Started Drive at: BAY 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.82 - 0.26 = -1.08 Score Difference (Before): 25 (25.26) Score Difference (End): -18 (-17.18) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 94.0% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 28 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q1 10:55 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 25) Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for no gain Quentin Skinner fumbled, recovered by Bayl Jackie Marshall - KU 0, BAY 7 | -4.59 | 13.0% | -4.6% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 25 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.75 - -0.16 = -4.59 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.16) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.75) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KU 0, BAY 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.0% Win Probability (After): 8.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:57 | |
(4th & 8 at KU 27) Reis Vernon punt for 14 yds, downed at the Kans 41 - KU 0, BAY 0 | -1.48 | 21.7% | -4.5% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 41 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.40 - -1.92 = -1.48 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.92) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.40) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.7% Win Probability (After): 17.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 14:33 | |
(2nd & 3 at BAY 24) Quentin Skinner 24 Yd pass from Jason Bean (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) - KU 16, BAY 28 | 2.23 | 1.7% | 4.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 99 Started Drive at: KU 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 3.77 = 2.23 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-14.23) Score Difference (End): -12 (-12.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 16, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 96 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.7% Win Probability (After): 6.0% Away Score: 10 (16) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:26 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 12) Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 20 yds Quentin Skinner fumbled, recovered by Bayl Devin Lemear - KU 3, BAY 28 | -4.04 | 4.1% | -3.9% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 14 Started Drive at: KU 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.99 - 0.05 = -4.04 Score Difference (Before): -25 (-24.95) Score Difference (End): 25 (28.99) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KU 3, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.1% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:25 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 49) Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 47 yds to the Bayl 2 for a 1ST down - KU 16, BAY 28 | 2.81 | 7.7% | 3.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 2 Started Drive at: KU 7 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.49 - 2.68 = 2.81 Score Difference (Before): -12 (-9.32) Score Difference (End): -12 (-6.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 16, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 91 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.7% Win Probability (After): 11.6% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q1 3:13 | |
(4th & 5 at BAY 13) Jacob Borcila 30 yd FG GOOD - KU 3, BAY 14 | 0.94 | 7.2% | 3.5% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 65 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.06 = 0.94 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.94) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.2% Win Probability (After): 10.7% Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 13:57 | |
(3rd & 7 at KU 25) Richard Reese run for 9 yds to the Kans 16 for a 1ST down - KU 0, BAY 0 | 1.91 | 80.6% | 3.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 16 Started Drive at: KU 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.98 - 3.07 = 1.91 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.07) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.6% Win Probability (After): 83.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Scoring Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 11:05 | |
(3rd & 11 at KU 17) Blake Shapen pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 17 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) - KU 0, BAY 7 | 3.66 | 77.6% | 12.5% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 99 Started Drive at: KU 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.34 = 3.66 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.34) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.6% Win Probability (After): 90.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 14) Richard Reese run for 14 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) - KU 0, BAY 14 | 1.67 | 91.8% | 2.9% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.33 = 1.67 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.33) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.8% Win Probability (After): 94.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:13 | |
(4th & 5 at BAY 13) Jacob Borcila 30 yd FG GOOD - KU 3, BAY 14 | 0.94 | 7.2% | 3.5% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 65 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.06 = 0.94 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.94) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.2% Win Probability (After): 10.7% Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 11:18 | |
(3rd & 2 at KU 4) Kyron Drones run for 4 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) - KU 3, BAY 21 | 1.62 | 94.5% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.38 = 1.62 Score Difference (Before): 11 (16.38) Score Difference (End): 18 (18.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 15 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.5% Win Probability (After): 95.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 14 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:42 | |
(1st & Goal at KU 10) Jordan Nabors run for 10 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) - KU 3, BAY 28 | 2.72 | 97.3% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99 Started Drive at: BAY 1 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.28 = 2.72 Score Difference (Before): 18 (22.28) Score Difference (End): 25 (25.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 15 plays, 99 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.3% Win Probability (After): 99.3% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:35 | |
(3rd & Goal at BAY 2) Devin Neal run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK) - KU 10, BAY 28 | 1.89 | 1.1% | 1.2% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: BAY 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.11 = 1.89 Score Difference (Before): -25 (-19.89) Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 10, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.1% Win Probability (After): 2.3% Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 14:33 | |
(2nd & 3 at BAY 24) Quentin Skinner 24 Yd pass from Jason Bean (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) - KU 16, BAY 28 | 2.23 | 1.7% | 4.2% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 99 Started Drive at: KU 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 3.77 = 2.23 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-14.23) Score Difference (End): -12 (-12.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 16, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 96 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.7% Win Probability (After): 6.0% Away Score: 10 (16) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 6:29 | |
(3rd & Goal at BAY 4) Jason Bean run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK) - KU 23, BAY 28 | 2.47 | 7.8% | 11.8% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: KU 7 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.53 = 2.47 Score Difference (Before): -12 (-7.47) Score Difference (End): -5 (-5.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 23, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 98 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.8% Win Probability (After): 19.7% Away Score: 16 (23) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 2:37 | |
(2nd & Goal at KU 2) Richard Reese run for 2 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) - KU 23, BAY 35 | 1.43 | 97.1% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: BAY 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.57 = 1.43 Score Difference (Before): 5 (10.57) Score Difference (End): 12 (12.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 23, BAY 35 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.1% Win Probability (After): 98.0% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 28 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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All Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at KU 35) Noah Rauschenberg kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - KU 0, BAY 0 | 0.00 | 20.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.8% Win Probability (After): 20.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 15:00 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 25) Jason Bean pass incomplete - KU 0, BAY 0 | -0.64 | 22.7% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.22 - 0.86 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.7% Win Probability (After): 21.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 15:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at KU 25) Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the Kans 27 - KU 0, BAY 0 | -0.96 | 21.4% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.74 - 0.22 = -0.96 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.22) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.4% Win Probability (After): 20.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 15:00 | |
(3rd & 8 at KU 27) Jason Bean pass incomplete - KU 0, BAY 0 | -1.50 | 20.1% | -2.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.25 - -0.74 = -1.50 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.74) Score Difference (End): 0 (-2.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.1% Win Probability (After): 17.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:57 | |
(4th & 8 at KU 27) Reis Vernon punt for 14 yds, downed at the Kans 41 - KU 0, BAY 0 | -1.48 | 21.7% | -4.5% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 41 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.40 - -1.92 = -1.48 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.92) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.40) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.7% Win Probability (After): 17.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 13:57 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 41) Richard Reese run for 13 yds to the Kans 28 for a 1ST down - KU 0, BAY 0 | 0.80 | 81.4% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 28 Started Drive at: KU 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - 3.55 = 0.80 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.55) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.4% Win Probability (After): 81.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:57 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 28) Qualan Jones run for 3 yds to the Kans 25 - KU 0, BAY 0 | -0.40 | 81.9% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 25 Started Drive at: KU 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.94 - 4.34 = -0.40 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.34) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.9% Win Probability (After): 81.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:57 | |
(2nd & 7 at KU 25) Blake Shapen pass incomplete - KU 0, BAY 0 | -0.87 | 81.6% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25 Started Drive at: KU 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.07 - 3.94 = -0.87 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.94) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.6% Win Probability (After): 80.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:57 | |
(3rd & 7 at KU 25) Richard Reese run for 9 yds to the Kans 16 for a 1ST down - KU 0, BAY 0 | 1.91 | 80.6% | 3.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 16 Started Drive at: KU 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.98 - 3.07 = 1.91 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.07) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.6% Win Probability (After): 83.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:57 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 16) Blake Shapen sacked by Caleb Sampson for a loss of 7 yards to the Kans 23 - KU 0, BAY 0 | -1.65 | 83.9% | -2.5% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 23 Started Drive at: KU 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 4.98 = -1.65 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.98) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.9% Win Probability (After): 81.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:57 | |
(2nd & 17 at KU 23) Richard Reese run for 6 yds to the Kans 17 - KU 0, BAY 0 | -0.01 | 81.4% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 17 Started Drive at: KU 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.32 - 3.33 = -0.01 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.33) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.4% Win Probability (After): 80.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:05 | |
(3rd & 11 at KU 17) Blake Shapen pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 17 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) - KU 0, BAY 7 | 3.66 | 77.6% | 12.5% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 99 Started Drive at: KU 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.34 = 3.66 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.34) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 7 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.6% Win Probability (After): 90.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:05 | |
(Kickoff at KU 35) Noah Rauschenberg kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - KU 0, BAY 7 | 0.00 | 13.0% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.19 - -0.19 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.19) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 7 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.0% Win Probability (After): 13.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:55 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 25) Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for no gain Quentin Skinner fumbled, recovered by Bayl Jackie Marshall - KU 0, BAY 7 | -4.59 | 13.0% | -4.6% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 25 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.75 - -0.16 = -4.59 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.16) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.75) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KU 0, BAY 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.0% Win Probability (After): 8.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:55 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 25) Qualan Jones run for 11 yds to the Kans 14 for a 1ST down - KU 0, BAY 7 | 0.55 | 91.6% | 0.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 14 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.30 - 4.75 = 0.55 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.75) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 7 Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.6% Win Probability (After): 92.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (7) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 14) Richard Reese run for 14 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) - KU 0, BAY 14 | 1.67 | 91.8% | 2.9% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 99 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.33 = 1.67 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.33) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.8% Win Probability (After): 94.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 7 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(Kickoff at KU 35) Noah Rauschenberg kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - KU 0, BAY 14 | 0.00 | 6.8% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.33 - -0.33 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.33) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.8% Win Probability (After): 6.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 25) Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the Kans 27 - KU 0, BAY 14 | -0.49 | 6.8% | -0.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.82 - -0.33 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.33) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.8% Win Probability (After): 6.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(2nd & 8 at KU 27) Jason Bean pass incomplete - KU 0, BAY 14 | -0.94 | 6.4% | -0.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.75 - -0.82 = -0.94 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.82) Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.4% Win Probability (After): 5.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(3rd & 8 at KU 27) Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 15 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST down - KU 0, BAY 14 | 2.90 | 5.6% | 1.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 58 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.14 - -1.75 = 2.90 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.75) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.6% Win Probability (After): 7.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 42) Jason Bean run for no gain to the Kans 42 - KU 0, BAY 14 | -0.65 | 7.4% | -0.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 58 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.49 - 1.14 = -0.65 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.86) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.4% Win Probability (After): 7.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(2nd & 10 at KU 42) Sevion Morrison run for 2 yds to the Kans 44 - KU 0, BAY 14 | -0.70 | 7.1% | -0.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 56 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.21 - 0.49 = -0.70 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.51) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.1% Win Probability (After): 6.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(3rd & 8 at KU 44) BEAN, Jason pass to the right incomplete intended for ARNOLD, Lawrence thrown to the BAY35. PENALTY BAY Pass Interference on MILTON, Mark enforced 15 yards to the BAY41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - KU 0, BAY 14 | 2.82 | 6.7% | 1.6% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 41 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.62 - -0.21 = 2.82 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.21) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.7% Win Probability (After): 8.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 41) Jason Bean pass complete to Sevion Morrison for 12 yds to the Bayl 29 for a 1ST down - KU 0, BAY 14 | 0.90 | 8.3% | 0.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 29 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.52 - 2.62 = 0.90 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.38) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.3% Win Probability (After): 8.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 29) Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the Bayl 28 - KU 0, BAY 14 | -0.49 | 8.7% | -0.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 28 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.03 - 3.52 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.48) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.7% Win Probability (After): 8.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(2nd & 9 at BAY 28) Jason Bean run for 10 yds to the Bayl 18 for a 1ST down - KU 0, BAY 14 | 1.39 | 8.5% | 0.8% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 18 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.42 - 3.03 = 1.39 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.97) Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.5% Win Probability (After): 9.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 18) Jason Bean pass complete to Tanaka Scott for 3 yds to the Bayl 15 - KU 0, BAY 14 | -0.18 | 9.3% | -0.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 15 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.24 - 4.42 = -0.18 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.58) Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.3% Win Probability (After): 9.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(2nd & 7 at BAY 15) Jason Bean run for 4 yds to the Bayl 11 - KU 0, BAY 14 | -0.01 | 9.2% | -0.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 11 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.22 - 4.24 = -0.01 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.76) Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.2% Win Probability (After): 8.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(3rd & 3 at BAY 11) run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 13 fumbled, recovered by Kans Mason Fairchild - KU 0, BAY 14 | -2.05 | 8.9% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 13 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 4.22 = -2.05 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.78) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 8.9% Win Probability (After): 7.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(4th & 5 at BAY 13) KANSAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 18 - KU 0, BAY 14 | -0.61 | 7.7% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 18 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.56 - 2.18 = -0.61 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.82) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.7% Win Probability (After): 7.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(4th & 10 at BAY 18) BAYLOR Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the Bayl 13 - KU 0, BAY 14 | 0.61 | 7.5% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 13 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 1.56 = 0.61 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.44) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 0, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.5% Win Probability (After): 7.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 3:13 | |
(4th & 5 at BAY 13) Jacob Borcila 30 yd FG GOOD - KU 3, BAY 14 | 0.94 | 7.2% | 3.5% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 65 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.06 = 0.94 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.94) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.2% Win Probability (After): 10.7% Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 3:13 | |
(Kickoff at BAY 35) Tabor Allen kickoff for 38 yds - KU 3, BAY 14 | 0.00 | 92.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 2.13 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.13) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.7% Win Probability (After): 92.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:13 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 27) Blake Shapen pass incomplete - KU 3, BAY 14 | -0.70 | 92.8% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - 2.37 = -0.70 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.37) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.8% Win Probability (After): 92.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:13 | |
(2nd & 10 at BAY 27) Richard Reese run for 11 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST down - KU 3, BAY 14 | 1.24 | 92.7% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 62 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.92 - 1.68 = 1.24 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.68) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.7% Win Probability (After): 93.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:13 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 38) Blake Shapen pass complete to Drake Dabney for 14 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST down - KU 3, BAY 14 | 0.70 | 93.5% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 48 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.62 - 2.92 = 0.70 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.92) Score Difference (End): 11 (14.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.5% Win Probability (After): 93.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:13 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 48) Blake Shapen run for 3 yds to the Kans 45 - KU 3, BAY 14 | -0.40 | 93.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 45 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.21 - 3.62 = -0.40 Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.62) Score Difference (End): 11 (14.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.9% Win Probability (After): 93.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:13 | |
(2nd & 7 at KU 45) BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Bayl 48 - KU 3, BAY 14 | -0.87 | 93.9% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 52 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.34 - 3.21 = -0.87 Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.21) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.9% Win Probability (After): 93.0% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:13 | |
(2nd & 14 at BAY 48) Blake Shapen pass incomplete - KU 3, BAY 14 | -1.03 | 93.0% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.30 - 2.34 = -1.03 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.34) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.0% Win Probability (After): 92.6% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:13 | |
(3rd & 14 at BAY 48) Blake Shapen pass complete to Ben Sims for 17 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST down - KU 3, BAY 14 | 2.96 | 92.6% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 35 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.26 - 1.30 = 2.96 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.30) Score Difference (End): 11 (15.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.6% Win Probability (After): 94.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:13 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 35) Blake Shapen pass incomplete - KU 3, BAY 14 | -0.61 | 94.9% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.65 - 4.26 = -0.61 Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.26) Score Difference (End): 11 (14.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 45 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.9% Win Probability (After): 94.1% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at KU 35) Blake Shapen pass complete to Ben Sims for 10 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST down - KU 3, BAY 14 | 1.18 | 94.0% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 25 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.73 - 3.56 = 1.18 Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.56) Score Difference (End): 11 (15.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.0% Win Probability (After): 95.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 15:00 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 25) Richard Reese run for 7 yds to the Kans 18 - KU 3, BAY 14 | 0.40 | 95.2% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 18 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.06 - 4.66 = 0.40 Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.66) Score Difference (End): 11 (16.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.2% Win Probability (After): 95.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 15:00 | |
(2nd & 3 at KU 18) Richard Reese run for 2 yds to the Kans 16 - KU 3, BAY 14 | -0.07 | 95.8% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 16 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.00 - 5.06 = -0.07 Score Difference (Before): 11 (16.06) Score Difference (End): 11 (16.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.8% Win Probability (After): 95.6% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 15:00 | |
(3rd & 1 at KU 16) Richard Reese run for no gain to the Kans 16 - KU 3, BAY 14 | -0.88 | 95.6% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 16 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.12 - 5.00 = -0.88 Score Difference (Before): 11 (16.00) Score Difference (End): 11 (15.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.6% Win Probability (After): 95.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 15:00 | |
(4th & 1 at KU 16) Dillon Doyle run for 4 yds to the Kans 12 for a 1ST down - KU 3, BAY 14 | 1.22 | 95.2% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 12 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.34 - 4.12 = 1.22 Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.12) Score Difference (End): 11 (16.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.2% Win Probability (After): 96.0% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 15:00 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 12) Qualan Jones run for 3 yds to the Kans 9 - KU 3, BAY 14 | -0.32 | 96.0% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 9 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.02 - 5.34 = -0.32 Score Difference (Before): 11 (16.34) Score Difference (End): 11 (16.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.0% Win Probability (After): 95.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 15:00 | |
(2nd & 7 at KU 9) Kyron Drones run for 5 yds to the Kans 4 - KU 3, BAY 14 | 0.32 | 95.8% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 4 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.34 - 5.02 = 0.32 Score Difference (Before): 11 (16.02) Score Difference (End): 11 (16.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 14 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 76 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.8% Win Probability (After): 95.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 14 (14) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:18 | |
(3rd & 2 at KU 4) Kyron Drones run for 4 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) - KU 3, BAY 21 | 1.62 | 94.5% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: BAY 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.38 = 1.62 Score Difference (Before): 11 (16.38) Score Difference (End): 18 (18.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 15 plays, 80 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.5% Win Probability (After): 95.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 14 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:18 | |
(Kickoff at KU 35) Noah Rauschenberg kickoff for 39 yds - KU 3, BAY 21 | 0.00 | 4.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: KU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.26 - -0.26 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.26) Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.7% Win Probability (After): 4.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:18 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 26) Sevion Morrison run for 1 yd to the Kans 27 - KU 3, BAY 21 | -0.77 | 4.6% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 73 Started Drive at: KU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.72 - 0.05 = -0.77 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.95) Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.6% Win Probability (After): 4.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:18 | |
(2nd & 9 at KU 27) Jason Bean pass incomplete - KU 3, BAY 21 | -0.83 | 4.5% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73 Started Drive at: KU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.55 - -0.72 = -0.83 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.72) Score Difference (End): -18 (-19.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.5% Win Probability (After): 3.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:18 | |
(3rd & 9 at KU 27) Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 5 yds to the Kans 32 - KU 3, BAY 21 | -0.30 | 3.9% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 68 Started Drive at: KU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.84 - -1.55 = -0.30 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-19.55) Score Difference (End): -18 (-19.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.9% Win Probability (After): 3.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:46 | |
(4th & 4 at KU 32) Reis Vernon punt for 49 yds , Gavin Holmes returns for 22 yds to the Bayl 41 - KU 3, BAY 21 | -1.55 | 3.8% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 59 Started Drive at: KU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.14 - -1.59 = -1.55 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-19.59) Score Difference (End): 18 (21.14) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.8% Win Probability (After): 4.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 9:46 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 41) Richard Reese run for 1 yd to the Bayl 42 - KU 3, BAY 21 | -0.51 | 96.2% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 58 Started Drive at: BAY 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.45 - 2.96 = -0.51 Score Difference (Before): 18 (20.96) Score Difference (End): 18 (20.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.2% Win Probability (After): 95.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:05 | |
(2nd & 9 at BAY 42) Blake Shapen pass intercepted - KU 3, BAY 21 | -4.47 | 95.7% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 45 Started Drive at: BAY 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.30 - 2.17 = -4.47 Score Difference (Before): 18 (20.17) Score Difference (End): -18 (-15.70) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.7% Win Probability (After): 93.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:05 | |
(4th & 7 at BAY 42) punt for 41 yds, downed at the Bayl 1 - KU 3, BAY 21 | 0.05 | 4.7% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 99 Started Drive at: BAY 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.59 - -0.64 = 0.05 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.64) Score Difference (End): 18 (18.59) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.7% Win Probability (After): 5.1% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 8:05 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 1) Blake Shapen run for 1 yd to the Bayl 2 - KU 3, BAY 21 | -0.53 | 94.8% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 99 -> 98 Started Drive at: BAY 1 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.03 - 0.56 = -0.53 Score Difference (Before): 18 (18.56) Score Difference (End): 18 (18.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.8% Win Probability (After): 94.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:05 | |
(2nd & 9 at BAY 2) Qualan Jones run for 1 yd to the Bayl 3 - KU 3, BAY 21 | -0.79 | 94.7% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 97 Started Drive at: BAY 1 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.75 - 0.03 = -0.79 Score Difference (Before): 18 (18.03) Score Difference (End): 18 (17.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.7% Win Probability (After): 94.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:05 | |
(3rd & 8 at BAY 3) Blake Shapen pass complete to Hal Presley for 16 yds to the Bayl 19 for a 1ST down - KU 3, BAY 21 | 2.46 | 94.4% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 97 -> 81 Started Drive at: BAY 1 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.71 - -0.75 = 2.46 Score Difference (Before): 18 (17.25) Score Difference (End): 18 (19.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.4% Win Probability (After): 95.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:05 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 19) Blake Shapen run for 6 yds to the Bayl 25 - KU 3, BAY 21 | 0.02 | 95.5% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 75 Started Drive at: BAY 1 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.73 - 1.71 = 0.02 Score Difference (Before): 18 (19.71) Score Difference (End): 18 (19.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.5% Win Probability (After): 95.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:05 | |
(2nd & 4 at BAY 25) Qualan Jones run for 12 yds to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST down - KU 3, BAY 21 | 0.72 | 95.4% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 63 Started Drive at: BAY 1 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.45 - 1.73 = 0.72 Score Difference (Before): 18 (19.73) Score Difference (End): 18 (20.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.4% Win Probability (After): 95.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:05 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 37) Richard Reese run for 3 yds to the Bayl 40 - KU 3, BAY 21 | -0.44 | 95.7% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 60 Started Drive at: BAY 1 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.02 - 2.45 = -0.44 Score Difference (Before): 18 (20.45) Score Difference (End): 18 (20.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.7% Win Probability (After): 95.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:05 | |
(2nd & 7 at BAY 40) Richard Reese run for 3 yds to the Bayl 43 - KU 3, BAY 21 | -0.34 | 95.7% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 57 Started Drive at: BAY 1 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - 2.02 = -0.34 Score Difference (Before): 18 (20.02) Score Difference (End): 18 (19.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.7% Win Probability (After): 95.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:05 | |
(3rd & 4 at BAY 43) Richard Reese run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - KU 3, BAY 21 | 1.38 | 95.4% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 50 Started Drive at: BAY 1 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 1.68 = 1.38 Score Difference (Before): 18 (19.68) Score Difference (End): 18 (21.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.4% Win Probability (After): 96.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:05 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) Blake Shapen pass incomplete - KU 3, BAY 21 | -0.52 | 96.7% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 50 Started Drive at: BAY 1 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.55 - 3.06 = -0.52 Score Difference (Before): 18 (21.06) Score Difference (End): 18 (20.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.7% Win Probability (After): 95.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:05 | |
(2nd & 10 at 50) Richard Reese run for 1 yd to the Kans 49 - KU 3, BAY 21 | -0.77 | 95.8% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 49 Started Drive at: BAY 1 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 2.55 = -0.77 Score Difference (Before): 18 (20.55) Score Difference (End): 18 (19.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.8% Win Probability (After): 95.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:04 | |
(3rd & 9 at KU 49) Blake Shapen pass complete to Josh Cameron for 3 yds to the Kans 46 - KU 3, BAY 21 | -0.57 | 96.2% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 46 Started Drive at: BAY 1 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.51 - 1.08 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): 18 (19.08) Score Difference (End): 18 (18.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.2% Win Probability (After): 94.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:04 | |
(4th & 6 at KU 46) Timeout BAYLOR, clock 02:04 - KU 3, BAY 21 | 0.00 | 95.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46 Started Drive at: BAY 1 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.51 - 0.51 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 18 (18.51) Score Difference (End): 18 (18.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.8% Win Probability (After): 95.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 2:04 | |
(4th & 6 at KU 46) Blake Shapen pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 12 yds to the Kans 34 for a 1ST down - KU 3, BAY 21 | 2.31 | 95.7% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 34 Started Drive at: BAY 1 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.70 - 0.39 = 2.31 Score Difference (Before): 18 (18.39) Score Difference (End): 18 (20.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.7% Win Probability (After): 96.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 2:04 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 34) Richard Reese run for 14 yds to the Kans 20 for a 1ST down - KU 3, BAY 21 | 0.71 | 96.7% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 20 Started Drive at: BAY 1 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.41 - 2.70 = 0.71 Score Difference (Before): 18 (20.70) Score Difference (End): 18 (21.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 79 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.7% Win Probability (After): 97.0% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:04 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 20) Blake Shapen pass complete to Hal Presley for 10 yds to the Kans 10 for a 1ST down - KU 3, BAY 21 | 1.14 | 97.0% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 10 Started Drive at: BAY 1 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.55 - 3.41 = 1.14 Score Difference (Before): 18 (21.41) Score Difference (End): 18 (22.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 89 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.0% Win Probability (After): 97.3% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:42 | |
(1st & Goal at KU 10) Jordan Nabors run for 10 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) - KU 3, BAY 28 | 2.72 | 97.3% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 99 Started Drive at: BAY 1 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.28 = 2.72 Score Difference (Before): 18 (22.28) Score Difference (End): 25 (25.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 15 plays, 99 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.3% Win Probability (After): 99.3% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:39 | |
(Kickoff at KU 35) Noah Rauschenberg kickoff for 45 yds , Trevor Wilson return for 2 yds to the Kans 37 KANSAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Kans 10 - KU 3, BAY 28 | -0.31 | 4.5% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 90 Started Drive at: KU 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.15 - 0.16 = -0.31 Score Difference (Before): -25 (-32.21) Score Difference (End): -25 (-25.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.5% Win Probability (After): 4.0% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:26 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 12) Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 20 yds Quentin Skinner fumbled, recovered by Bayl Devin Lemear - KU 3, BAY 28 | -4.04 | 4.1% | -3.9% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 14 Started Drive at: KU 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.99 - 0.05 = -4.04 Score Difference (Before): -25 (-24.95) Score Difference (End): 25 (28.99) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KU 3, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.1% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:18 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 14) Blake Shapen run for 1 yd to the Kans 13 - KU 3, BAY 28 | -0.22 | 99.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 13 Started Drive at: KU 14 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.45 - 3.66 = -0.22 Score Difference (Before): 25 (28.66) Score Difference (End): 25 (28.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.8% Win Probability (After): 99.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:18 | |
(2nd & 9 at KU 13) Timeout BAYLOR, clock 00:18 - KU 3, BAY 28 | 0.00 | 99.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13 Started Drive at: KU 14 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.45 - 3.45 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 25 (28.45) Score Difference (End): 25 (28.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.7% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:18 | |
(2nd & 9 at KU 13) Blake Shapen pass incomplete - KU 3, BAY 28 | -0.38 | 99.7% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13 Started Drive at: KU 14 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 3.39 = -0.38 Score Difference (Before): 25 (28.39) Score Difference (End): 25 (28.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.7% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:05 | |
(2nd & 9 at BAY 42) Blake Shapen pass intercepted - KU 3, BAY 21 | -1.08 | 99.5% | -5.5% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 45 Started Drive at: BAY 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.82 - 0.26 = -1.08 Score Difference (Before): 25 (25.26) Score Difference (End): -18 (-17.18) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 94.0% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 28 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:05 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 45) Jason Bean pass incomplete - KU 3, BAY 21 | 0.00 | 5.8% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45 Started Drive at: BAY 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.55 - 0.55 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.45) Score Difference (End): -18 (-17.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.8% Win Probability (After): 5.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:05 | |
(2nd & 10 at BAY 45) Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the Bayl 42 - KU 3, BAY 21 | 0.04 | 5.8% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 42 Started Drive at: BAY 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.59 - 0.55 = 0.04 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.45) Score Difference (End): -18 (-17.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.8% Win Probability (After): 5.6% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:05 | |
(3rd & 7 at BAY 42) Jason Bean pass incomplete - KU 3, BAY 21 | -0.27 | 5.6% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42 Started Drive at: BAY 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.31 - 0.59 = -0.27 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.41) Score Difference (End): -18 (-17.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.6% Win Probability (After): 5.0% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:02 | |
(3rd & 9 at KU 13) Blake Shapen pass intercepted - KU 3, BAY 21 | -2.10 | 96.2% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 83 Started Drive at: KU 14 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - 2.11 = -2.10 Score Difference (Before): 18 (20.11) Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.01) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KU 3, BAY 21 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.2% Win Probability (After): 95.6% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (21) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:00 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 17) Kneel down by KAN at KAN15 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00. - KU 3, BAY 28 | 0.04 | 4.3% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 85 Started Drive at: KU 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.02 - -0.04 = 0.04 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.04) Score Difference (End): -25 (-25.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.3% Win Probability (After): 3.1% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 21 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at BAY 35) Tabor Allen kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - KU 3, BAY 28 | 0.00 | 99.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.47 - 3.47 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 25 (28.47) Score Difference (End): 25 (28.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.7% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:18 | |
(2nd & 6 at BAY 29) Timeout BAYLOR, clock 14:18 - KU 3, BAY 28 | 0.00 | 99.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.47 - 3.47 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 25 (28.47) Score Difference (End): 25 (28.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.7% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:18 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 25) Richard Reese run for 4 yds to the Bayl 29 - KU 3, BAY 28 | -0.10 | 99.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.41 - 3.50 = -0.10 Score Difference (Before): 25 (28.50) Score Difference (End): 25 (28.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.7% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:18 | |
(2nd & 6 at BAY 29) Jordan Nabors run for 3 yds to the Bayl 32 - KU 3, BAY 28 | -0.41 | 99.7% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 68 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 3.41 = -0.41 Score Difference (Before): 25 (28.41) Score Difference (End): 25 (28.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.7% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:18 | |
(3rd & 3 at BAY 32) Blake Shapen pass complete to Josh Cameron for 7 yds to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST down - KU 3, BAY 28 | 1.11 | 99.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 61 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.11 - 3.00 = 1.11 Score Difference (Before): 25 (28.00) Score Difference (End): 25 (29.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.7% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:18 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 39) Blake Shapen pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 5 yds to the Bayl 44 - KU 3, BAY 28 | -0.10 | 99.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 56 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.01 - 4.11 = -0.10 Score Difference (Before): 25 (29.11) Score Difference (End): 25 (29.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.7% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:18 | |
(2nd & 5 at BAY 44) Richard Reese run for 3 yds to the Bayl 47 - KU 3, BAY 28 | -0.37 | 99.7% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 53 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.64 - 4.01 = -0.37 Score Difference (Before): 25 (29.01) Score Difference (End): 25 (28.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.7% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:18 | |
(3rd & 2 at BAY 47) Richard Reese run for 1 yd to the Bayl 48 - KU 3, BAY 28 | -1.17 | 99.7% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 52 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.47 - 3.64 = -1.17 Score Difference (Before): 25 (28.64) Score Difference (End): 25 (27.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.7% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:18 | |
(4th & 1 at BAY 48) Dillon Doyle run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - KU 3, BAY 28 | 2.03 | 99.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 50 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.50 - 2.47 = 2.03 Score Difference (Before): 25 (27.47) Score Difference (End): 25 (29.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.7% Win Probability (After): 99.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 14:18 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) Blake Shapen pass complete to Ben Sims for 9 yds to the Kans 41 - KU 3, BAY 28 | 0.58 | 99.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 41 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.08 - 4.50 = 0.58 Score Difference (Before): 25 (29.50) Score Difference (End): 25 (30.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.7% Win Probability (After): 99.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:18 | |
(2nd & 1 at KU 41) Blake Shapen run for 6 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST down - KU 3, BAY 28 | -0.06 | 99.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 35 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.02 - 5.08 = -0.06 Score Difference (Before): 25 (30.08) Score Difference (End): 25 (30.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.8% Win Probability (After): 99.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:18 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 35) Qualan Jones run for 8 yds to the Kans 27 - KU 3, BAY 28 | 0.36 | 99.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 27 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.39 - 5.02 = 0.36 Score Difference (Before): 25 (30.02) Score Difference (End): 25 (30.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.8% Win Probability (After): 99.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:42 | |
(2nd & 2 at KU 27) Blake Shapen sacked for a loss of 15 yards to the Bayl 9 - KU 3, BAY 28 | -9.71 | 99.9% | -2.4% |
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Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 9 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.41 - 5.29 = -9.71 Score Difference (Before): 25 (30.29) Score Difference (End): -25 (-20.59) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KU 3, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 97.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 8:42 | |
(1st & Goal at BAY 9) Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the Bayl 3 - KU 3, BAY 28 | 0.52 | 1.3% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 3 Started Drive at: BAY 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.52 - 5.00 = 0.52 Score Difference (Before): -25 (-20.00) Score Difference (End): -25 (-19.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.3% Win Probability (After): 1.6% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 8:42 | |
(2nd & Goal at BAY 3) Jason Bean run for 1 yd to the Bayl 2 - KU 3, BAY 28 | -0.39 | 1.6% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 2 Started Drive at: BAY 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.13 - 5.52 = -0.39 Score Difference (Before): -25 (-19.48) Score Difference (End): -25 (-19.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 3, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.6% Win Probability (After): 1.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 7:35 | |
(3rd & Goal at BAY 2) Devin Neal run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK) - KU 10, BAY 28 | 1.89 | 1.1% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: BAY 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.11 = 1.89 Score Difference (Before): -25 (-19.89) Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 10, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.1% Win Probability (After): 2.3% Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 7:35 | |
(Kickoff at BAY 35) Tabor Allen kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - KU 10, BAY 28 | 0.00 | 98.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.57 - 2.57 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 18 (20.57) Score Difference (End): 18 (20.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 10, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.2% Win Probability (After): 98.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:35 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 25) Richard Reese run for 5 yds to the Bayl 30 - KU 10, BAY 28 | 0.00 | 98.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.57 - 2.57 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 18 (20.57) Score Difference (End): 18 (20.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 10, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.2% Win Probability (After): 98.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:35 | |
(2nd & 5 at BAY 30) Richard Reese run for 9 yds to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST down - KU 10, BAY 28 | 0.66 | 98.2% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 61 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.23 - 2.57 = 0.66 Score Difference (Before): 18 (20.57) Score Difference (End): 18 (21.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 10, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.2% Win Probability (After): 98.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:35 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 39) Blake Shapen pass complete to Qualan Jones for 6 yds to the Bayl 45 - KU 10, BAY 28 | 0.16 | 98.4% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 55 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.39 - 3.23 = 0.16 Score Difference (Before): 18 (21.23) Score Difference (End): 18 (21.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 10, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.4% Win Probability (After): 98.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:35 | |
(2nd & 4 at BAY 45) Richard Reese run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - KU 10, BAY 28 | 0.39 | 98.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 50 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.78 - 3.39 = 0.39 Score Difference (Before): 18 (21.39) Score Difference (End): 18 (21.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 10, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.4% Win Probability (After): 98.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:35 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) Blake Shapen pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 2 yds to the Kans 48 - KU 10, BAY 28 | -0.48 | 98.4% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 48 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.30 - 3.78 = -0.48 Score Difference (Before): 18 (21.78) Score Difference (End): 18 (21.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 10, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.4% Win Probability (After): 98.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:35 | |
(2nd & 8 at KU 48) Blake Shapen pass complete to Qualan Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 49 - KU 10, BAY 28 | -1.59 | 98.4% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 51 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.71 - 3.30 = -1.59 Score Difference (Before): 18 (21.30) Score Difference (End): 18 (19.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 10, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.4% Win Probability (After): 98.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:35 | |
(3rd & 11 at BAY 49) Blake Shapen pass incomplete - KU 10, BAY 28 | -1.43 | 98.2% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 51 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.28 - 1.71 = -1.43 Score Difference (Before): 18 (19.71) Score Difference (End): 18 (18.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 10, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.2% Win Probability (After): 97.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:40 | |
(4th & 11 at BAY 49) Issac Power punt for 46 yds, downed at the Kans 5 - KU 10, BAY 28 | 1.28 | 98.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 95 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.64 - 0.36 = 1.28 Score Difference (Before): 18 (18.36) Score Difference (End): -18 (-19.64) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KU 10, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.1% Win Probability (After): 98.1% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 3:40 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 5) Jason Bean pass complete to Devin Neal for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 3 - KU 10, BAY 28 | -1.27 | 1.3% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 97 Started Drive at: KU 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.89 - -1.62 = -1.27 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-19.62) Score Difference (End): -18 (-20.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 10, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.3% Win Probability (After): 1.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 3:40 | |
(2nd & 12 at KU 3) KANSAS Penalty, False Start (Michael Ford Jr.) to the Kans 2 - KU 10, BAY 28 | -0.06 | 1.2% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 97 -> 98 Started Drive at: KU 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.95 - -2.89 = -0.06 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-20.89) Score Difference (End): -18 (-20.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 10, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, -2 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.2% Win Probability (After): 1.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 3:40 | |
(2nd & 13 at KU 2) Jason Bean pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 4 yds to the Kans 6 - KU 10, BAY 28 | -0.06 | 1.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 94 Started Drive at: KU 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.01 - -2.95 = -0.06 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-20.95) Score Difference (End): -18 (-21.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 10, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.2% Win Probability (After): 1.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 3:40 | |
(3rd & 9 at KU 6) Jason Bean pass complete to Jared Casey for 20 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST down - KU 10, BAY 28 | 2.85 | 1.2% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 74 Started Drive at: KU 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.15 - -3.01 = 2.85 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-21.01) Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 10, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.2% Win Probability (After): 2.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 3:40 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 26) Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the Kans 28 - KU 10, BAY 28 | -0.82 | 2.0% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 72 Started Drive at: KU 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.98 - -0.15 = -0.82 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.15) Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 10, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.0% Win Probability (After): 1.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 3:40 | |
(2nd & 8 at KU 28) Jason Bean run for 6 yds to the Kans 34 - KU 10, BAY 28 | 0.73 | 1.6% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 66 Started Drive at: KU 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.25 - -0.98 = 0.73 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.98) Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 10, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.6% Win Probability (After): 2.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 3:40 | |
(3rd & 2 at KU 34) Jason Bean pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 22 yds to the Bayl 44 for a 1ST down - KU 10, BAY 28 | 2.45 | 2.0% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 44 Started Drive at: KU 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.20 - -0.25 = 2.45 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.25) Score Difference (End): -18 (-15.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 10, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.0% Win Probability (After): 2.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 3:40 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 44) Jason Bean pass incomplete - KU 10, BAY 28 | -0.70 | 2.4% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 44 Started Drive at: KU 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.50 - 2.20 = -0.70 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-15.80) Score Difference (End): -18 (-16.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 10, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.4% Win Probability (After): 2.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 3:40 | |
(2nd & 10 at BAY 44) Jason Bean sacked by Al Walcott for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 47 - KU 10, BAY 28 | -2.04 | 2.3% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 47 Started Drive at: KU 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.54 - 1.50 = -2.04 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-16.50) Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 10, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.3% Win Probability (After): 1.8% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 0:00 | |
(3rd & 13 at BAY 47) Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 16 yds to the Bayl 31 for a 1ST down - KU 10, BAY 28 | 3.80 | 0.8% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 31 Started Drive at: KU 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.34 - -0.46 = 3.80 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.46) Score Difference (End): -18 (-14.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 10, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.8% Win Probability (After): 2.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 15:00 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 31) Devin Neal run for 7 yds to the Bayl 24 - KU 10, BAY 28 | 0.46 | 1.7% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 24 Started Drive at: KU 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.78 - 3.32 = 0.46 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-14.68) Score Difference (End): -18 (-14.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 10, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 72 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.7% Win Probability (After): 1.8% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 14:33 | |
(2nd & 3 at BAY 24) Quentin Skinner 24 Yd pass from Jason Bean (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) - KU 16, BAY 28 | 2.23 | 1.7% | 4.2% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 99 Started Drive at: KU 5 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 3.77 = 2.23 Score Difference (Before): -18 (-14.23) Score Difference (End): -12 (-12.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 16, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 96 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.7% Win Probability (After): 6.0% Away Score: 10 (16) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 14:33 | |
(Kickoff at BAY 35) Tabor Allen kickoff for 45 yds - KU 16, BAY 28 | 0.00 | 96.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 2.07 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 12 (14.07) Score Difference (End): 12 (14.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 16, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.1% Win Probability (After): 96.1% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:33 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 25) Richard Reese run for 5 yds to the Bayl 30 - KU 16, BAY 28 | 0.11 | 96.1% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 2.07 = 0.11 Score Difference (Before): 12 (14.07) Score Difference (End): 12 (14.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 16, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.1% Win Probability (After): 96.0% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:33 | |
(2nd & 5 at BAY 30) Richard Reese run for 2 yds to the Bayl 32 - KU 16, BAY 28 | -0.62 | 96.0% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 68 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.56 - 2.18 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): 12 (14.18) Score Difference (End): 12 (13.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 16, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.0% Win Probability (After): 95.9% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:33 | |
(3rd & 3 at BAY 32) Blake Shapen pass complete to Richard Reese for 12 yds to the Bayl 44 for a 1ST down - KU 16, BAY 28 | 1.58 | 95.9% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 56 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.14 - 1.56 = 1.58 Score Difference (Before): 12 (13.56) Score Difference (End): 12 (15.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 16, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.9% Win Probability (After): 96.4% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:33 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 44) Blake Shapen pass complete to Hal Presley for 13 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST down - KU 16, BAY 28 | 0.56 | 96.4% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 43 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.69 - 3.14 = 0.56 Score Difference (Before): 12 (15.14) Score Difference (End): 12 (15.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 16, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.4% Win Probability (After): 96.7% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:33 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 43) Richard Reese run for 2 yds to the Kans 41 - KU 16, BAY 28 | -0.44 | 96.7% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 41 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.25 - 3.69 = -0.44 Score Difference (Before): 12 (15.69) Score Difference (End): 12 (15.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 16, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.7% Win Probability (After): 96.4% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:33 | |
(2nd & 8 at KU 41) Qualan Jones run for 25 yds to the Kans 16 for a 1ST down - KU 16, BAY 28 | 1.98 | 96.4% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 16 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.23 - 3.25 = 1.98 Score Difference (Before): 12 (15.25) Score Difference (End): 12 (17.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 16, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.4% Win Probability (After): 97.8% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:33 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 16) Richard Reese run for 2 yds to the Kans 14 - KU 16, BAY 28 | -0.54 | 97.8% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 14 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.69 - 5.23 = -0.54 Score Difference (Before): 12 (17.23) Score Difference (End): 12 (16.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 16, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.8% Win Probability (After): 97.5% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:33 | |
(2nd & 8 at KU 14) Richard Reese run for 3 yds to the Kans 11 - KU 16, BAY 28 | -0.36 | 97.5% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 11 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.32 - 4.69 = -0.36 Score Difference (Before): 12 (16.69) Score Difference (End): 12 (16.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 16, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.5% Win Probability (After): 97.4% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:29 | |
(4th & 1 at KU 7) Timeout BAYLOR, clock 09:29 - KU 16, BAY 28 | 0.00 | 98.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 7 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.32 - 4.32 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 12 (16.32) Score Difference (End): 12 (16.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 16, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.9% Win Probability (After): 98.9% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 9:29 | |
(3rd & 5 at KU 11) Richard Reese run for 4 yds to the Kans 7 - KU 16, BAY 28 | -0.15 | 98.9% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 7 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.05 - 4.20 = -0.15 Score Difference (Before): 12 (16.20) Score Difference (End): 12 (16.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 16, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.9% Win Probability (After): 98.8% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:25 | |
(4th & 1 at KU 7) Blake Shapen run for no gain to the Kans 7 - KU 16, BAY 28 | -3.42 | 98.8% | -3.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 93 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.63 - 4.05 = -3.42 Score Difference (Before): 12 (16.05) Score Difference (End): -12 (-12.63) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KU 16, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 68 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.8% Win Probability (After): 95.8% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 9:25 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 7) Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the Kans 9 - KU 16, BAY 28 | -0.38 | 3.9% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 93 -> 91 Started Drive at: KU 7 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.03 - -0.65 = -0.38 Score Difference (Before): -12 (-12.65) Score Difference (End): -12 (-13.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 16, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.9% Win Probability (After): 3.7% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 9:25 | |
(2nd & 8 at KU 9) Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 29 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST down - KU 16, BAY 28 | 2.70 | 3.7% | 2.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 62 Started Drive at: KU 7 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.68 - -1.03 = 2.70 Score Difference (Before): -12 (-13.03) Score Difference (End): -12 (-10.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 16, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.7% Win Probability (After): 6.0% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 9:25 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 38) Jason Bean pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 8 yds to the Kans 46 - KU 16, BAY 28 | 0.70 | 6.0% | 1.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 54 Started Drive at: KU 7 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.37 - 1.68 = 0.70 Score Difference (Before): -12 (-10.32) Score Difference (End): -12 (-9.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 16, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.0% Win Probability (After): 7.1% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 9:25 | |
(2nd & 2 at KU 46) Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the Bayl 49 for a 1ST down - KU 16, BAY 28 | 0.31 | 7.1% | 0.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 49 Started Drive at: KU 7 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.68 - 2.37 = 0.31 Score Difference (Before): -12 (-9.63) Score Difference (End): -12 (-9.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 16, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.1% Win Probability (After): 7.7% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 9:25 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 49) Jason Bean pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 47 yds to the Bayl 2 for a 1ST down - KU 16, BAY 28 | 2.81 | 7.7% | 3.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 2 Started Drive at: KU 7 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.49 - 2.68 = 2.81 Score Difference (Before): -12 (-9.32) Score Difference (End): -12 (-6.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 16, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 91 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.7% Win Probability (After): 11.6% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 9:25 | |
(1st & Goal at BAY 2) KANSAS Penalty, False Start (Quentin Skinner) to the Bayl 7 - KU 16, BAY 28 | -0.66 | 12.9% | -1.2% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 7 Started Drive at: KU 7 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.50 - 6.16 = -0.66 Score Difference (Before): -12 (-5.84) Score Difference (End): -12 (-6.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 16, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 91 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.9% Win Probability (After): 11.7% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 9:25 | |
(1st & Goal at BAY 7) Jason Bean run for 3 yds to the Bayl 4 - KU 16, BAY 28 | -0.06 | 11.7% | -0.8% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 4 Started Drive at: KU 7 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.43 - 5.50 = -0.06 Score Difference (Before): -12 (-6.50) Score Difference (End): -12 (-6.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 16, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 94 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.7% Win Probability (After): 10.9% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 9:25 | |
(2nd & Goal at BAY 4) Jason Bean pass incomplete - KU 16, BAY 28 | -0.91 | 10.9% | -1.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4 Started Drive at: KU 7 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.53 - 5.43 = -0.91 Score Difference (Before): -12 (-6.57) Score Difference (End): -12 (-7.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 16, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 94 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.9% Win Probability (After): 9.7% Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 6:29 | |
(3rd & Goal at BAY 4) Jason Bean run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK) - KU 23, BAY 28 | 2.47 | 7.8% | 11.8% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 99 Started Drive at: KU 7 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.53 = 2.47 Score Difference (Before): -12 (-7.47) Score Difference (End): -5 (-5.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 23, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 98 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.8% Win Probability (After): 19.7% Away Score: 16 (23) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 6:29 | |
(Kickoff at BAY 35) Tabor Allen kickoff for 34 yds - KU 23, BAY 28 | 0.00 | 83.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: BAY 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.11 - 1.11 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.11) Score Difference (End): 5 (6.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 23, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.9% Win Probability (After): 83.9% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:29 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 31) Richard Reese run for 2 yds to the Bayl 33 - KU 23, BAY 28 | -0.60 | 84.0% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 67 Started Drive at: BAY 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.96 - 1.56 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): 5 (6.56) Score Difference (End): 5 (5.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 23, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.0% Win Probability (After): 84.1% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:29 | |
(2nd & 8 at BAY 33) Blake Shapen pass complete to Richard Reese for 14 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST down - KU 23, BAY 28 | 1.42 | 84.1% | 3.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 53 Started Drive at: BAY 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.38 - 0.96 = 1.42 Score Difference (Before): 5 (5.96) Score Difference (End): 5 (7.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 23, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.1% Win Probability (After): 87.4% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:29 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 47) Qualan Jones run for 7 yds to the Kans 46 - KU 23, BAY 28 | 0.44 | 87.4% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 46 Started Drive at: BAY 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.81 - 2.38 = 0.44 Score Difference (Before): 5 (7.38) Score Difference (End): 5 (7.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 23, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.4% Win Probability (After): 88.8% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:29 | |
(2nd & 3 at KU 46) Qualan Jones run for 1 yd to the Kans 45 - KU 23, BAY 28 | -0.74 | 88.8% | -2.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 45 Started Drive at: BAY 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 2.81 = -0.74 Score Difference (Before): 5 (7.81) Score Difference (End): 5 (7.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 23, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.8% Win Probability (After): 86.7% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:29 | |
(3rd & 2 at KU 45) Richard Reese run for 37 yds to the Kans 8 - KU 23, BAY 28 | 0.60 | 86.7% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 8 Started Drive at: BAY 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.67 - 2.07 = 0.60 Score Difference (Before): 5 (7.07) Score Difference (End): 5 (7.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 23, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 61 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.7% Win Probability (After): 87.9% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:29 | |
(1st & Goal at KU 8) Richard Reese run for 6 yds to the Kans 2 - KU 23, BAY 28 | 0.52 | 93.0% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 2 Started Drive at: BAY 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.73 - 5.21 = 0.52 Score Difference (Before): 5 (10.21) Score Difference (End): 5 (10.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 23, BAY 28 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 67 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.0% Win Probability (After): 93.6% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 28 (28) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:37 | |
(2nd & Goal at KU 2) Richard Reese run for 2 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) - KU 23, BAY 35 | 1.43 | 97.1% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: BAY 31 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.57 = 1.43 Score Difference (Before): 5 (10.57) Score Difference (End): 12 (12.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 23, BAY 35 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.1% Win Probability (After): 98.0% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 28 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:37 | |
(Kickoff at KU 35) Noah Rauschenberg kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - KU 23, BAY 35 | 0.00 | 1.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.03 - 1.03 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -12 (-10.97) Score Difference (End): -12 (-10.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 23, BAY 35 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.8% Win Probability (After): 1.8% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 2:37 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 25) Jason Bean pass incomplete - KU 23, BAY 35 | -0.50 | 1.8% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.52 - 1.03 = -0.50 Score Difference (Before): -12 (-10.97) Score Difference (End): -12 (-11.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 23, BAY 35 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.8% Win Probability (After): 1.8% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 2:37 | |
(2nd & 10 at KU 25) Jason Bean pass incomplete - KU 23, BAY 35 | -0.62 | 1.8% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.09 - 0.52 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): -12 (-11.48) Score Difference (End): -12 (-12.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 23, BAY 35 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.8% Win Probability (After): 1.4% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 2:18 | |
(3rd & 20 at KU 15) Timeout KANSAS, clock 02:18 - KU 23, BAY 35 | 0.00 | 1.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 85 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.09 - -0.09 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -12 (-12.09) Score Difference (End): -12 (-12.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 23, BAY 35 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.0% Win Probability (After): 1.0% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 2:18 | |
(3rd & 10 at KU 25) BEAN, Jason pass to the right complete for 7 yards to FAIRCHILD, Mason caught at the KAN32 and advanced to the KAN32 (WALCOTT, Al). PENALTY KAN Holding on ADAMS-REED, Armaj enforced 10 yards from the KAN25 to the KAN15 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - KU 23, BAY 35 | -0.62 | 1.3% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 85 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.51 - 0.11 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): -12 (-11.89) Score Difference (End): -12 (-12.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 23, BAY 35 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.3% Win Probability (After): 0.9% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 2:11 | |
(4th & 11 at KU 24) Timeout KANSAS, clock 02:11 - KU 23, BAY 35 | 0.00 | 0.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.51 - -0.51 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -12 (-12.51) Score Difference (End): -12 (-12.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 23, BAY 35 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.8% Win Probability (After): 0.8% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 2:11 | |
(3rd & 20 at KU 15) Jason Bean pass complete to Kevin Terry for 9 yds to the Kans 24 - KU 23, BAY 35 | -0.25 | 0.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 76 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.73 - -0.48 = -0.25 Score Difference (Before): -12 (-12.48) Score Difference (End): -12 (-12.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 23, BAY 35 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.9% Win Probability (After): 0.8% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 2:02 | |
(4th & 11 at KU 24) Jason Bean pass incomplete - KU 23, BAY 35 | -2.67 | 0.8% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 24 Started Drive at: KU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.43 - -0.76 = -2.67 Score Difference (Before): -12 (-12.76) Score Difference (End): 12 (15.43) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KU 23, BAY 35 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.8% Win Probability (After): 0.5% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 1:18 | |
(2nd & 13 at KU 27) Timeout BAYLOR, clock 01:18 - KU 23, BAY 35 | 0.00 | 99.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 27 Started Drive at: KU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.91 - 1.91 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 12 (13.91) Score Difference (End): 12 (13.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 23, BAY 35 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.5% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:18 | |
(1st & 10 at KU 24) Kneel down by BAY at KAN27 (team loss of 3). - KU 23, BAY 35 | -1.32 | 99.5% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 27 Started Drive at: KU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.91 - 3.23 = -1.32 Score Difference (Before): 12 (15.23) Score Difference (End): 12 (13.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 23, BAY 35 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.5% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:18 | |
(2nd & 13 at KU 27) Kneel down by BAY at KAN29 (team loss of 2). - KU 23, BAY 35 | -0.46 | 99.5% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 29 Started Drive at: KU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - 1.91 = -0.46 Score Difference (Before): 12 (13.91) Score Difference (End): 12 (13.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 23, BAY 35 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.4% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:00 | |
(3rd & 15 at KU 29) Kneel down by BAY at KAN31 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00. - KU 23, BAY 35 | -0.13 | 98.8% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 31 Started Drive at: KU 24 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.87 - 1.00 = -0.13 Score Difference (Before): 12 (13.00) Score Difference (End): 12 (12.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KU 23, BAY 35 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.8% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 23 (23) Home Score: 35 (35) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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