Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 3.48 | Odds: TTU -1.5, O/U 61.0 | Download Chart
Expected Points
Team Stats [show/hide]
| Overall |
|
|
|---|---|---|
| EPA/Play | 0.03 52nd %ile | -0.25 11th %ile |
| Success Rate | 43% 58th %ile | 41% 50th %ile |
| Yards/Play | 4.97 26th %ile | 5.04 28th %ile |
| EPA/Dropback | 0.08 57th %ile | -0.78 1st %ile |
| EPA/Rush | 0.00 48th %ile | 0.50 97th %ile |
| Yards/Dropback | 6.81 62nd %ile | 3.70 12th %ile |
| Explosive Play Rate | 8% 47th %ile | 11% 78th %ile |
| 3rd Down Success Rate | 57% 85th %ile | 50% 75th %ile |
| Red Zone Success Rate | 63% 85th %ile | 31% 29th %ile |
| Def Run Stuff Rate | 10% 0th %ile | 17% 4th %ile |
| Havoc Rate | 18% 88th %ile | 8% 34th %ile |
| Expected Points | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 97 | 84 |
| Total EPA | 5.18 | -16.49 |
| Offensive EPA | 2.38 | -18.48 |
| Special Teams EPA | 0.26 | 0.57 |
| Penalty EPA | 2.55 | 2.68 |
| Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA | -0.01 | -1.26 |
| Production | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 89 | 73 |
| Yards | 442 | 368 |
| Yards/Play | 4.97 | 5.04 |
| EPA | 2.38 | -18.48 |
| EPA/Play | 0.03 | -0.25 |
| Passes | 31 (35%) | 43 (59%) |
| Yards | 211 | 159 |
| Yards/Play | 6.81 | 3.70 |
| EPA | 2.33 | -33.53 |
| EPA/Play | 0.08 | -0.78 |
| Rushes | 58 (65%) | 30 (41%) |
| Yards | 237 | 200 |
| Yards/Play | 4.09 | 6.67 |
| EPA | 0.04 | 15.05 |
| EPA/Play | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Rushing | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 89 | 73 |
| Rushes | 58 (65%) | 30 (41%) |
| Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) | 4 (7%) | 1 (3%) |
| Successful Power Runs (Rate) | 3 (75%) | 1 (100%) |
| Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) | 10 (17%) | 3 (10%) |
| Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) | 26 (45%) | 6 (20%) |
| Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) | 25 (43%) | 17 (57%) |
| OL Line Yards | 105.2 | 66.4 |
| Per Carry | 1.81 | 2.21 |
| Highlight Yards | 59 | 68 |
| Per Rush Opportunity | 2.36 | 4.00 |
| Explosiveness | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 97 | 84 |
| Scrimmage Plays | 89 | 73 |
| Explosive Plays | 7 (8%) | 8 (11%) |
| When Passing (EPA > 2.4) | 1 (3%) | 4 (9%) |
| When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) | 6 (10%) | 4 (13%) |
| EPA w/o Explosive Plays | -16.38 | -43.37 |
| EPA/Play | -0.20 | -0.67 |
| When Passing | -1.06 | -45.77 |
| EPA/Play | -0.03 | -1.06 |
| When Rushing | -15.32 | 2.40 |
| EPA/Play | -0.29 | 0.09 |
| Situational | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Successful Plays (EPA > 0) | 38 (43%) | 30 (41%) |
| When Passing | 12 (39%) | 12 (28%) |
| When Rushing | 26 (45%) | 18 (60%) |
| On Standard Downs | 25 (41%) | 19 (39%) |
| On Passing Downs | 13 (46%) | 11 (46%) |
| On Early Downs | 24 (37%) | 20 (37%) |
| On Late Downs | 14 (58%) | 10 (53%) |
| During "Middle 8" | 8 (44%) | 3 (38%) |
| Early Downs | 65 | 54 |
| First Downs Created | 11 (17%) | 11 (20%) |
| EPA | -9.41 | -28.52 |
| EPA/Play | -0.14 | -0.53 |
| Passes | 24 (37%) | 31 (57%) |
| Rushes | 41 (63%) | 23 (43%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 9 (38%) | 8 (26%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 15 (37%) | 12 (52%) |
| "Middle 8" Plays | 18 | 8 |
| EPA | 7.49 | -6.41 |
| EPA/play | 0.42 | -0.80 |
| Passes | 9 (50%) | 4 (50%) |
| Rushes | 9 (50%) | 4 (50%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 4 (44%) | 1 (25%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 4 (44%) | 2 (50%) |
| Drives | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total | 12 | 14 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 31 | Own 31 |
| Plays/Drive | 8.62 | 7.56 |
| Yards/Drive | 44.02 | 36.75 |
| Available Yards % | 63% | 53% |
| Defensive | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 73 | 89 |
| Stop Rate | 25% | 46% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 13 (18%) | 7 (8%) |
| Passing | 11 (26%) | 1 (3%) |
| Rushing | 2 (7%) | 6 (10%) |
| TFLs Generated | 8 | 7 |
| Passing | 6 | 1 |
| Rushing | 2 | 6 |
| Sacks Generated | 6 (14%) | 1 (3%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 5 | 0 |
| Fumbles Forced | 0 | 0 |
| Turnovers | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 3 | 6 |
| Fumbles | 3 | 1 |
| Fumbles Lost | 3 | 1 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 5 |
| Turnover Margin | 3 | -3 |
| Expected Turnovers | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Expected Turnover Margin | 0.1 | -0.1 |
| Turnover Luck (pts) | 14.5 | -14.5 |
| Special Teams | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 8 | 11 |
| Total EPA | 0.26 | 0.57 |
| Field Goal EPA | 1.53 | 0.6 |
| Punting EPA | -1.27 | -0.04 |
| Kickoff Return EPA | 0 | 0 |
Baylor [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Blake Shapen | 19/30, 211 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 49.5 xQBR, 0.26 DETMER | 6.81 | 0.08 | 2.33 | 39% | -7.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Qualan Jones | 8 carries, 38 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.75 | 0.23 | 1.84 | 38% | -5.0% | |
| Richard Reese | 36 carries, 148 yds, 3 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.11 | 0.04 | 1.46 | 50% | 20.0% | |
| Dillon Doyle | 1 carry, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.00 | 0.86 | 0.86 | 100% | 1.0% | |
| Kyron Drones | 1 carry, 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.00 | -0.11 | -0.11 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Jordan Nabors | 3 carries, 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.67 | -0.12 | -0.37 | 33% | -2.0% | |
| Blake Shapen | 9 carries, 36 yds, 0 TD, 2 Fum (2 lost) | 4.00 | -0.40 | -3.63 | 33% | -7.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Gavin Holmes | 5 catches (6 targets), 77 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 15.40 | 0.62 | 3.69 | 50% | 5.0% | |
| Hal Presley | 4 catches (9 targets), 58 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 14.50 | 0.34 | 3.07 | 44% | 6.0% | |
| Qualan Jones | 2 catches (3 targets), 18 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.00 | 0.51 | 1.52 | 33% | 3.0% | |
| Ben Sims | 1 catch (3 targets), 25 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 25.00 | -0.09 | -0.26 | 33% | -1.0% | |
| Jordan Nabors | 1 catch (1 target), 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.00 | -0.27 | -0.27 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Richard Reese | 3 catches (3 targets), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.00 | -0.11 | -0.33 | 67% | -6.0% | |
| Josh Cameron | 1 catch (2 targets), 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.00 | -0.22 | -0.44 | 50% | -2.0% | |
| Kelsey Johnson | 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.61 | -0.61 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Drake Dabney | 2 catches (2 targets), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.00 | -0.46 | -0.92 | 0% | 0.0% | |
Texas Tech [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Donovan Smith | 0/2, 0 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 0 Scks, 25.4 xQBR, 0.00 DETMER | 0.00 | -2.64 | -5.29 | 0% | -5.0% | |
| Tyler Shough | 1/2, 7 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 3 Scks, 16.7 xQBR, 0.04 DETMER | 1.40 | -2.47 | -12.33 | 20% | -1.0% | |
| Behren Morton | 11/33, 152 yds, 1 TD, 3 INT, 3 Scks, 33.3 xQBR, 0.51 DETMER | 4.22 | -0.44 | -15.91 | 31% | -36.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Behren Morton | 3 carries, 32 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.67 | 2.87 | 8.60 | 100% | 25.0% | |
| SaRodorick Thompson | 10 carries, 66 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.60 | 0.49 | 4.94 | 60% | 5.0% | |
| Tyler Shough | 1 carry, 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.00 | 1.29 | 1.29 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| Tahj Brooks | 16 carries, 98 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.12 | 0.01 | 0.22 | 50% | -2.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Xavier White | 2 catches (2 targets), 45 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 22.50 | 2.46 | 4.92 | 100% | 10.0% | |
| Baylor Cupp | 2 catches (4 targets), 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.00 | 0.71 | 2.85 | 50% | 6.0% | |
| Tahj Brooks | 2 catches (2 targets), 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.50 | 1.18 | 2.35 | 100% | 6.0% | |
| Brady Boyd | 1 catch (2 targets), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.00 | 1.01 | 2.03 | 50% | 1.0% | |
| Henry Teeter | 1 catch (2 targets), 1 yd, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 1.00 | 0.07 | 0.14 | 50% | 4.0% | |
| Jerand Bradley | 2 catches (6 targets), 44 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 22.00 | 0.01 | 0.08 | 33% | -4.0% | |
| Myles Price | 1 catch (3 targets), 16 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 16.00 | -0.13 | -0.39 | 33% | 0.0% | |
| Trey Cleveland | 0 catches (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.77 | -1.55 | 0% | -3.0% | |
| Loic Fouonji | 0 catches (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.87 | -1.75 | 0% | -3.0% | |
| Mason Tharp | 1 catch (3 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.97 | -2.91 | 0% | -7.0% | |
| Nehemiah Martinez I | 0 catches (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -1.95 | -3.89 | 0% | -11.0% | |
Big Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute EPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 4:04 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 9) Tyler Shough pass intercepted for a TD AJ McCarty return for 18 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) - BAY 38, TTU 17 | -6.74 | 1.4% | -1.2% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 99 Started Drive at: TTU 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -0.26 = -6.74 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.26) Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 38, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.4% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 31 (38) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
|||||
| Q4 8:09 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 26) Behren Morton pass intercepted, touchback. Tevin Williams III return for no gain - BAY 31, TTU 17 | -5.40 | 7.9% | -5.9% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 80 Started Drive at: TTU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.78 - 3.62 = -5.40 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.38) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.78) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.9% Win Probability (After): 2.0% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:55 | |
(2nd & 9 at BAY 41) Blake Shapen run for no gain to the Bayl 41 Blake Shapen fumbled, recovered by TexTc Rayshad Williams - BAY 24, TTU 10 | -5.21 | 94.6% | -7.5% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 41 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.46 - 2.75 = -5.21 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.75) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.54) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 24, TTU 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.6% Win Probability (After): 87.0% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:52 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 32) Behren Morton pass intercepted Devin Lemear return for 21 yds to the Bayl 21 - BAY 3, TTU 0 | -5.19 | 46.5% | -13.8% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 79 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.31 - 3.88 = -5.19 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.88) Score Difference (End): 3 (4.31) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.5% Win Probability (After): 32.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:46 | |
(4th & 7 at BAY 8) Behren Morton run for 8 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK) - BAY 24, TTU 17 | 4.68 | 10.6% | 16.1% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99 Started Drive at: BAY 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.32 = 4.68 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.68) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.6% Win Probability (After): 26.7% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 11:12 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 37) Donovan Smith pass intercepted Al Walcott return for 4 yds to the TexTc 48 - BAY 31, TTU 17 | -4.59 | 7.6% | -4.7% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 48 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.76 - 0.84 = -4.59 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.16) Score Difference (End): 14 (17.76) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.6% Win Probability (After): 2.8% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:54 | |
(3rd & 19 at TTU 16) Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 39 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST down - BAY 3, TTU 0 | 4.58 | 33.1% | 10.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 45 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.93 - -1.65 = 4.58 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-4.65) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.1% Win Probability (After): 43.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:42 | |
(4th & 5 at TTU 37) Blake Shapen pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 23 yds to the TexTc 14 for a 1ST down - BAY 10, TTU 3 | 3.39 | 76.6% | 6.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 14 Started Drive at: BAY 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.19 - 0.80 = 3.39 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.80) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 10, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.6% Win Probability (After): 83.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 0:17 | |
(4th & 3 at 50) Blake Shapen run for 4 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST down - BAY 3, TTU 0 | 3.27 | 65.3% | 5.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 46 Started Drive at: BAY 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 0.06 = 3.27 Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.06) Score Difference (End): 3 (6.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.3% Win Probability (After): 70.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:45 | |
(3rd & 1 at TTU 17) Qualan Jones run for 17 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) - BAY 45, TTU 17 | 3.17 | 99.9% | 0.1% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 99 Started Drive at: TTU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.83 = 3.17 Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.83) Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 45, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 38 (45) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2:46 | |
(4th & 7 at BAY 8) Behren Morton run for 8 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK) - BAY 24, TTU 17 | 4.68 | 10.6% | 16.1% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99 Started Drive at: BAY 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.32 = 4.68 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.68) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.6% Win Probability (After): 26.7% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 2:52 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 32) Behren Morton pass intercepted Devin Lemear return for 21 yds to the Bayl 21 - BAY 3, TTU 0 | -5.19 | 46.5% | -13.8% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 79 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.31 - 3.88 = -5.19 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.88) Score Difference (End): 3 (4.31) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.5% Win Probability (After): 32.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:49 | |
(4th & 3 at TTU 39) Blake Shapen sacked by Tony Bradford Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the TexTc 45 - BAY 3, TTU 0 | -3.12 | 65.4% | -10.7% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 55 Started Drive at: BAY 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.27 - 0.85 = -3.12 Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.85) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.73) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.4% Win Probability (After): 54.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 3:54 | |
(3rd & 19 at TTU 16) Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 39 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST down - BAY 3, TTU 0 | 4.58 | 33.1% | 10.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 45 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.93 - -1.65 = 4.58 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-4.65) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.1% Win Probability (After): 43.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:30 | |
(3rd & 12 at TTU 40) Behren Morton run for 14 yds to the Bayl 46 for a 1ST down - BAY 0, TTU 0 | 3.10 | 43.5% | 8.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 46 Started Drive at: TTU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - 0.17 = 3.10 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.17) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.5% Win Probability (After): 52.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:09 | |
(4th & 7 at BAY 16) Trey Wolff 33 yd FG GOOD - BAY 3, TTU 3 | 0.60 | 42.0% | 8.3% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 15 Started Drive at: TTU 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.40 = 0.60 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.60) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.0% Win Probability (After): 50.3% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 4:39 | |
(4th & 5 at TTU 31) John Mayers 48 yd FG GOOD - BAY 3, TTU 0 | 1.53 | 55.8% | 7.8% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 30 Started Drive at: BAY 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.47 = 1.53 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.47) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.8% Win Probability (After): 63.6% Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 4:55 | |
(2nd & 9 at BAY 41) Blake Shapen run for no gain to the Bayl 41 Blake Shapen fumbled, recovered by TexTc Rayshad Williams - BAY 24, TTU 10 | -5.21 | 94.6% | -7.5% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 41 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.46 - 2.75 = -5.21 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.75) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.54) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 24, TTU 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.6% Win Probability (After): 87.0% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 0:42 | |
(4th & 5 at TTU 37) Blake Shapen pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 23 yds to the TexTc 14 for a 1ST down - BAY 10, TTU 3 | 3.39 | 76.6% | 6.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 14 Started Drive at: BAY 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.19 - 0.80 = 3.39 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.80) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 10, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.6% Win Probability (After): 83.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 8:45 | |
(4th & 4 at BAY 40) Behren Morton pass incomplete to Nehemiah Martinez I - BAY 0, TTU 0 | -2.72 | 46.3% | -6.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 60 Started Drive at: TTU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.18 - 0.54 = -2.72 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.54) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.18) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.3% Win Probability (After): 39.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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Scoring Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 4:39 | |
(4th & 5 at TTU 31) John Mayers 48 yd FG GOOD - BAY 3, TTU 0 | 1.53 | 55.8% | 7.8% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 30 Started Drive at: BAY 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.47 = 1.53 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.47) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.8% Win Probability (After): 63.6% Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 8:09 | |
(4th & 7 at BAY 16) Trey Wolff 33 yd FG GOOD - BAY 3, TTU 3 | 0.60 | 42.0% | 8.3% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 15 Started Drive at: TTU 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.40 = 0.60 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.60) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.0% Win Probability (After): 50.3% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 3:39 | |
(2nd & Goal at TTU 1) Richard Reese run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) - BAY 10, TTU 3 | 0.83 | 67.6% | 5.9% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.17 = 0.83 Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.17) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 10, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.6% Win Probability (After): 73.6% Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:13 | |
(3rd & Goal at TTU 2) Richard Reese run for 2 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) - BAY 17, TTU 3 | 2.17 | 84.3% | 2.6% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: BAY 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.83 = 2.17 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.83) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 17, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.3% Win Probability (After): 87.0% Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q3 11:09 | |
(2nd & Goal at TTU 9) Blake Shapen pass complete to Hal Presley for 9 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) - BAY 24, TTU 3 | 2.04 | 93.6% | 3.6% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99 Started Drive at: TTU 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.96 = 2.04 Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.96) Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.6% Win Probability (After): 97.3% Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:34 | |
(2nd & Goal at BAY 1) Behren Morton pass complete to Henry Teeter for 1 yd for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK) - BAY 24, TTU 10 | 1.05 | 5.9% | 5.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.95 = 1.05 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-15.05) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 10 Drive Summary: 15 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.9% Win Probability (After): 11.0% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 3 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:46 | |
(4th & 7 at BAY 8) Behren Morton run for 8 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK) - BAY 24, TTU 17 | 4.68 | 10.6% | 16.1% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99 Started Drive at: BAY 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.32 = 4.68 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.68) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.6% Win Probability (After): 26.7% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 12:46 | |
(1st & Goal at TTU 1) Richard Reese run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) - BAY 31, TTU 17 | 0.43 | 89.4% | 4.8% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.57 = 0.43 Score Difference (Before): 7 (13.57) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.4% Win Probability (After): 94.2% Away Score: 24 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:04 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 9) Tyler Shough pass intercepted for a TD AJ McCarty return for 18 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) - BAY 38, TTU 17 | -6.74 | 1.4% | -1.2% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 99 Started Drive at: TTU 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -0.26 = -6.74 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.26) Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 38, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.4% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 31 (38) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:45 | |
(3rd & 1 at TTU 17) Qualan Jones run for 17 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) - BAY 45, TTU 17 | 3.17 | 99.9% | 0.1% |
|
Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 99 Started Drive at: TTU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.83 = 3.17 Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.83) Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 45, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 38 (45) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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All Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at BAY 35) Trey Wolff kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - BAY 0, TTU 0 | 0.00 | 52.3% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.3% Win Probability (After): 52.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:48 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 25) Blake Shapen pass complete to Richard Reese for 1 yd to the Bayl 26 - BAY 0, TTU 0 | -0.78 | 59.3% | -4.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 74 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.28 - 1.06 = -0.78 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.06) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.3% Win Probability (After): 54.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 14:27 | |
(2nd & 9 at BAY 26) Richard Reese run for 4 yds to the Bayl 30 - BAY 0, TTU 0 | -0.27 | 57.0% | -1.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 70 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.18 - 0.45 = -0.27 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.45) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.0% Win Probability (After): 55.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:52 | |
(3rd & 5 at BAY 30) Blake Shapen pass complete to Hal Presley for 8 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST down - BAY 0, TTU 0 | 1.84 | 56.0% | 5.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 62 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.08 - 0.24 = 1.84 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.24) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.0% Win Probability (After): 61.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:15 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 38) Qualan Jones run for 4 yds to the Bayl 42 - BAY 0, TTU 0 | -0.12 | 62.9% | -1.0% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 58 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.95 - 2.07 = -0.12 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.07) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.9% Win Probability (After): 61.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:43 | |
(2nd & 6 at BAY 42) Richard Reese run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 40 - BAY 0, TTU 0 | -1.34 | 59.5% | -0.8% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 60 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.59 - 1.92 = -1.34 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.92) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.5% Win Probability (After): 58.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:03 | |
(3rd & 8 at BAY 40) Blake Shapen run for 9 yds to the Bayl 49 for a 1ST down - BAY 0, TTU 0 | 2.13 | 55.7% | 5.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 51 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.74 - 0.61 = 2.13 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.61) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.7% Win Probability (After): 60.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:45 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 49) Blake Shapen pass complete to Drake Dabney for 2 yds to the TexTc 49 - BAY 0, TTU 0 | -0.40 | 60.3% | 0.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 49 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.33 - 2.72 = -0.40 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.72) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.3% Win Probability (After): 60.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 11:03 | |
(2nd & 8 at TTU 49) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Hal Presley - BAY 0, TTU 0 | -0.97 | 60.8% | -3.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 49 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.30 - 2.28 = -0.97 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.28) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.8% Win Probability (After): 57.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:58 | |
(3rd & 8 at TTU 49) Richard Reese run for 6 yds to the TexTc 43 - BAY 0, TTU 0 | -0.65 | 56.8% | -0.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 43 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.66 - 1.31 = -0.65 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.31) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.8% Win Probability (After): 56.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:15 | |
(4th & 2 at TTU 43) Blake Shapen run for 1 yd to the TexTc 42 - BAY 0, TTU 0 | -3.10 | 55.9% | -6.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 58 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.27 - 0.82 = -3.10 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.82) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.27) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.9% Win Probability (After): 49.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 10:11 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 42) Behren Morton pass incomplete to Jerand Bradley - BAY 0, TTU 0 | -0.60 | 50.1% | -0.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 58 Started Drive at: TTU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.76 - 2.37 = -0.60 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.37) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.1% Win Probability (After): 49.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:05 | |
(2nd & 10 at TTU 42) Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TexTc 45 - BAY 0, TTU 0 | -0.64 | 48.5% | -2.0% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 55 Started Drive at: TTU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.07 - 1.71 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.71) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.5% Win Probability (After): 46.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:50 | |
(3rd & 7 at TTU 45) TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (Matt Keeler) to the TexTc 40 - BAY 0, TTU 0 | -0.92 | 46.6% | -3.1% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 60 Started Drive at: TTU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - 1.12 = -0.92 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.12) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.6% Win Probability (After): 43.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:30 | |
(3rd & 12 at TTU 40) Behren Morton run for 14 yds to the Bayl 46 for a 1ST down - BAY 0, TTU 0 | 3.10 | 43.5% | 8.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 46 Started Drive at: TTU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - 0.17 = 3.10 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.17) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.5% Win Probability (After): 52.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:12 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 46) Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 6 yds to the Bayl 40 - BAY 0, TTU 0 | 0.34 | 52.8% | 0.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 40 Started Drive at: TTU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.52 - 3.19 = 0.34 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.19) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.8% Win Probability (After): 52.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:58 | |
(2nd & 4 at BAY 40) Behren Morton pass incomplete to Trey Cleveland - BAY 0, TTU 0 | -0.94 | 52.7% | -0.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40 Started Drive at: TTU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.60 - 3.54 = -0.94 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.54) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.7% Win Probability (After): 51.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:51 | |
(3rd & 4 at BAY 40) Behren Morton pass incomplete to Jerand Bradley - BAY 0, TTU 0 | -1.91 | 51.2% | -4.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 40 Started Drive at: TTU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.65 - 2.56 = -1.91 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.56) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.2% Win Probability (After): 46.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:45 | |
(4th & 4 at BAY 40) Behren Morton pass incomplete to Nehemiah Martinez I - BAY 0, TTU 0 | -2.72 | 46.3% | -6.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 60 Started Drive at: TTU 42 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.18 - 0.54 = -2.72 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.54) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.18) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.3% Win Probability (After): 39.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 8:40 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 40) Qualan Jones run for 3 yds to the Bayl 43 - BAY 0, TTU 0 | -0.41 | 60.9% | -0.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 57 Started Drive at: BAY 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.76 - 2.17 = -0.41 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.17) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.9% Win Probability (After): 60.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:02 | |
(2nd & 7 at BAY 43) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Hal Presley - BAY 0, TTU 0 | -1.03 | 59.9% | -3.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 57 Started Drive at: BAY 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.75 - 1.78 = -1.03 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.78) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.9% Win Probability (After): 56.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:58 | |
(3rd & 7 at BAY 43) Richard Reese run for 10 yds to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST down - BAY 0, TTU 0 | 2.33 | 55.4% | 6.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 47 Started Drive at: BAY 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.10 - 0.77 = 2.33 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.77) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.4% Win Probability (After): 61.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 7:22 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 47) Jordan Nabors run for 6 yds to the TexTc 41 - BAY 0, TTU 0 | 0.29 | 60.7% | 0.5% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 41 Started Drive at: BAY 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.34 - 3.05 = 0.29 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.05) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.7% Win Probability (After): 61.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:41 | |
(2nd & 4 at TTU 41) Richard Reese run for 6 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST down - BAY 0, TTU 0 | 0.38 | 60.9% | 0.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 35 Started Drive at: BAY 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.75 - 3.38 = 0.38 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.38) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.9% Win Probability (After): 61.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:02 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 35) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Kelsey Johnson - BAY 0, TTU 0 | -0.61 | 62.0% | -0.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 35 Started Drive at: BAY 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.21 - 3.82 = -0.61 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.82) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.0% Win Probability (After): 61.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
|||||
| Q1 6:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at TTU 35) Blake Shapen pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 2 yds to the TexTc 33 - BAY 0, TTU 0 | -0.61 | 61.4% | -1.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 33 Started Drive at: BAY 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.60 - 3.21 = -0.61 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.21) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.4% Win Probability (After): 60.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:16 | |
(3rd & 8 at TTU 33) Blake Shapen run for 3 yds to the TexTc 30 - BAY 0, TTU 0 | -1.01 | 59.7% | -2.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 30 Started Drive at: BAY 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.57 - 2.58 = -1.01 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.58) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 0, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.7% Win Probability (After): 57.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:39 | |
(4th & 5 at TTU 31) John Mayers 48 yd FG GOOD - BAY 3, TTU 0 | 1.53 | 55.8% | 7.8% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 30 Started Drive at: BAY 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.47 = 1.53 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.47) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.8% Win Probability (After): 63.6% Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 4:39 | |
(Kickoff at TTU 35) Noah Rauschenberg kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - BAY 3, TTU 0 | 0.00 | 40.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.72 - 0.72 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.28) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.1% Win Probability (After): 40.1% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:33 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 25) Behren Morton pass incomplete to Myles Price - BAY 3, TTU 0 | -0.58 | 40.1% | -2.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.14 - 0.72 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.28) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.1% Win Probability (After): 37.6% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 4:26 | |
(2nd & 10 at TTU 25) Behren Morton sacked by Garmon Randolph for a loss of 9 yards to the TexTc 16 - BAY 3, TTU 0 | -1.78 | 37.6% | -4.4% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 84 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.65 - 0.13 = -1.78 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.87) Score Difference (End): -3 (-4.65) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -9 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.6% Win Probability (After): 33.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:54 | |
(3rd & 19 at TTU 16) Behren Morton pass complete to Xavier White for 39 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST down - BAY 3, TTU 0 | 4.58 | 33.1% | 10.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 45 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.93 - -1.65 = 4.58 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-4.65) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.1% Win Probability (After): 43.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:42 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 45) Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the Bayl 42 - BAY 3, TTU 0 | -0.33 | 43.4% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 42 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - 2.92 = -0.33 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.08) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.4% Win Probability (After): 43.1% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:21 | |
(2nd & 7 at BAY 42) Behren Morton pass incomplete to Loic Fouonji - BAY 3, TTU 0 | -1.05 | 43.1% | -2.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.53 - 2.58 = -1.05 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.42) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.1% Win Probability (After): 40.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:14 | |
(3rd & 7 at BAY 42) Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 10 yds to the Bayl 32 for a 1ST down - BAY 3, TTU 0 | 2.35 | 40.2% | 6.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 32 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.87 - 1.52 = 2.35 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.48) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 40.2% Win Probability (After): 46.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:52 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 32) Behren Morton pass intercepted Devin Lemear return for 21 yds to the Bayl 21 - BAY 3, TTU 0 | -5.19 | 46.5% | -13.8% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 79 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.31 - 3.88 = -5.19 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.88) Score Difference (End): 3 (4.31) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.5% Win Probability (After): 32.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:41 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 21) Richard Reese run for 1 yd to the Bayl 22 - BAY 3, TTU 0 | -0.61 | 67.4% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 78 Started Drive at: BAY 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.70 - 1.31 = -0.61 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.31) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.4% Win Probability (After): 66.3% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 2:14 | |
(2nd & 9 at BAY 22) Blake Shapen pass complete to Hal Presley for 11 yds to the Bayl 33 for a 1ST down - BAY 3, TTU 0 | 1.37 | 66.3% | 2.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 67 Started Drive at: BAY 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.06 - 0.69 = 1.37 Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.69) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.3% Win Probability (After): 68.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:43 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 33) Richard Reese run for 10 yds to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST down - BAY 3, TTU 0 | 0.54 | 68.1% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 57 Started Drive at: BAY 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - 2.05 = 0.54 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.05) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.1% Win Probability (After): 69.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:18 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 43) Richard Reese run for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 40 - BAY 3, TTU 0 | -1.07 | 68.9% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 60 Started Drive at: BAY 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.54 - 2.61 = -1.07 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.61) Score Difference (End): 3 (4.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.9% Win Probability (After): 67.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:42 | |
(2nd & 13 at BAY 40) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Ben Sims - BAY 3, TTU 0 | -1.00 | 67.3% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60 Started Drive at: BAY 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.59 - 1.59 = -1.00 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.59) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.3% Win Probability (After): 65.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:37 | |
(3rd & 13 at BAY 40) Blake Shapen pass complete to Drake Dabney for 10 yds to the 50 yard line - BAY 3, TTU 0 | -0.52 | 65.3% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 50 Started Drive at: BAY 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.06 - 0.58 = -0.52 Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.58) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.3% Win Probability (After): 65.1% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:17 | |
(4th & 3 at 50) Blake Shapen run for 4 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST down - BAY 3, TTU 0 | 3.27 | 65.3% | 5.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 46 Started Drive at: BAY 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 0.06 = 3.27 Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.06) Score Difference (End): 3 (6.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.3% Win Probability (After): 70.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 14:52 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 46) Blake Shapen pass complete to Jordan Nabors for 4 yds to the TexTc 42 - BAY 3, TTU 0 | -0.27 | 69.4% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 42 Started Drive at: BAY 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.05 - 3.31 = -0.27 Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.31) Score Difference (End): 3 (6.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.4% Win Probability (After): 68.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:14 | |
(2nd & 6 at TTU 42) Blake Shapen pass complete to Richard Reese for 5 yds to the TexTc 37 - BAY 3, TTU 0 | 0.38 | 69.4% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 37 Started Drive at: BAY 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.35 - 2.96 = 0.38 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.96) Score Difference (End): 3 (6.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.4% Win Probability (After): 69.1% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:32 | |
(3rd & 1 at TTU 37) Richard Reese run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 39 - BAY 3, TTU 0 | -2.51 | 69.6% | -3.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 39 Started Drive at: BAY 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.82 - 3.33 = -2.51 Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.33) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.6% Win Probability (After): 65.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:49 | |
(4th & 3 at TTU 39) Blake Shapen sacked by Tony Bradford Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the TexTc 45 - BAY 3, TTU 0 | -3.12 | 65.4% | -10.7% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 55 Started Drive at: BAY 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.27 - 0.85 = -3.12 Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.85) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.73) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.4% Win Probability (After): 54.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 12:42 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 45) SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 48 - BAY 3, TTU 0 | -0.32 | 44.4% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 52 Started Drive at: TTU 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.94 - 2.26 = -0.32 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.74) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.4% Win Probability (After): 43.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:16 | |
(2nd & 7 at TTU 48) Behren Morton pass incomplete to Mason Tharp - BAY 3, TTU 0 | -0.92 | 43.6% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52 Started Drive at: TTU 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.10 - 2.02 = -0.92 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.98) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.6% Win Probability (After): 42.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:09 | |
(3rd & 7 at TTU 48) Behren Morton pass incomplete to Mason Tharp - BAY 3, TTU 0 | -1.71 | 42.4% | -5.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52 Started Drive at: TTU 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.58 - 1.13 = -1.71 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.87) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.4% Win Probability (After): 36.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 12:01 | |
(4th & 7 at TTU 48) Austin McNamara punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Gavin Holmes at the Bayl 9 - BAY 3, TTU 0 | -0.06 | 36.6% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 91 Started Drive at: TTU 45 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.56 - -0.50 = -0.06 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.50) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.56) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.6% Win Probability (After): 36.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 11:51 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 9) Blake Shapen pass complete to Hal Presley for 30 yds to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST down - BAY 3, TTU 0 | 1.93 | 63.2% | 4.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 61 Started Drive at: BAY 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.49 - 0.56 = 1.93 Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.56) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.2% Win Probability (After): 67.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:48 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 39) Qualan Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 38 - BAY 3, TTU 0 | -0.85 | 67.5% | -2.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 62 Started Drive at: BAY 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.64 - 2.49 = -0.85 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.49) Score Difference (End): 3 (4.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.5% Win Probability (After): 65.0% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 11:08 | |
(2nd & 11 at BAY 38) Blake Shapen run for 3 yds to the Bayl 41 - BAY 3, TTU 0 | -0.42 | 65.8% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 59 Started Drive at: BAY 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.20 - 1.62 = -0.42 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.62) Score Difference (End): 3 (4.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.8% Win Probability (After): 64.3% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:22 | |
(3rd & 8 at BAY 41) Blake Shapen pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 5 yds to the Bayl 46 - BAY 3, TTU 0 | -1.07 | 66.6% | -3.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 54 Started Drive at: BAY 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 1.20 = -1.07 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.20) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.6% Win Probability (After): 63.1% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:42 | |
(4th & 3 at BAY 46) Issac Power punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexTc 37 - BAY 3, TTU 0 | -1.87 | 64.2% | -6.2% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 63 Started Drive at: BAY 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.90 - -0.03 = -1.87 Score Difference (Before): 3 (2.97) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.10) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.2% Win Probability (After): 58.0% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 9:34 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 37) Behren Morton pass complete to Myles Price for 16 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST down - BAY 3, TTU 0 | 1.08 | 39.6% | 3.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 47 Started Drive at: TTU 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.90 - 1.82 = 1.08 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.18) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.6% Win Probability (After): 42.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:34 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 47) Morton, Behren pass incomplete to Price, Myles, PENALTY BAYLOR personal foul (Hall, Gabe) 15 yards to the BAYLOR32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASTECH. - BAY 3, TTU 0 | 0.94 | 42.8% | 4.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 32 Started Drive at: TTU 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.85 - 2.90 = 0.94 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.10) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.8% Win Probability (After): 47.1% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 9:14 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 32) SaRodorick Thompson run for 14 yds to the Bayl 18 for a 1ST down - BAY 3, TTU 0 | 0.85 | 46.3% | 4.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 18 Started Drive at: TTU 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.67 - 3.83 = 0.85 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.83) Score Difference (End): -3 (1.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.3% Win Probability (After): 51.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:52 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 18) Behren Morton pass incomplete - BAY 3, TTU 0 | -0.59 | 50.3% | -2.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 18 Started Drive at: TTU 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.06 - 4.65 = -0.59 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.65) Score Difference (End): -3 (1.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.3% Win Probability (After): 48.1% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:44 | |
(2nd & 10 at BAY 18) SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the Bayl 15 - BAY 3, TTU 0 | -0.41 | 48.0% | -2.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 15 Started Drive at: TTU 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.61 - 4.02 = -0.41 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.02) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.0% Win Probability (After): 45.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:14 | |
(3rd & 7 at BAY 15) Behren Morton pass incomplete to Nehemiah Martinez I - BAY 3, TTU 0 | -1.17 | 46.2% | -4.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15 Started Drive at: TTU 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.40 - 3.57 = -1.17 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.57) Score Difference (End): -3 (-0.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.2% Win Probability (After): 41.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:09 | |
(4th & 7 at BAY 16) Trey Wolff 33 yd FG GOOD - BAY 3, TTU 3 | 0.60 | 42.0% | 8.3% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 15 Started Drive at: TTU 37 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.40 = 0.60 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-0.60) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.0% Win Probability (After): 50.3% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 0 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 8:09 | |
(Kickoff at BAY 35) Trey Wolff kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - BAY 3, TTU 3 | 0.00 | 55.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.22 - 1.22 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.22) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.7% Win Probability (After): 55.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:03 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 25) Richard Reese run for 19 yds to the Bayl 44 for a 1ST down - BAY 3, TTU 3 | 1.31 | 55.3% | 2.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 56 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.51 - 1.20 = 1.31 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.20) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.3% Win Probability (After): 58.1% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:29 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 44) Richard Reese run for 2 yds to the Bayl 46 - BAY 3, TTU 3 | -0.55 | 57.1% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 54 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.96 - 2.51 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.51) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.1% Win Probability (After): 57.6% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:57 | |
(2nd & 8 at BAY 46) Blake Shapen pass complete to Richard Reese for 6 yds to the TexTc 48 - BAY 3, TTU 3 | 0.07 | 57.7% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 48 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.17 - 2.10 = 0.07 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.10) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.7% Win Probability (After): 56.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 6:22 | |
(3rd & 2 at TTU 48) Richard Reese run for 4 yds to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST down - BAY 3, TTU 3 | 1.06 | 58.3% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 44 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 2.27 = 1.06 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.27) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.33) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.3% Win Probability (After): 60.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:44 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 44) Shapen, Blake pass incomplete, PENALTY TEXASTECH holding 10 yards to the TEXASTECH34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BAYLOR. - BAY 3, TTU 3 | 0.76 | 60.2% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 34 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.88 - 3.12 = 0.76 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.12) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.2% Win Probability (After): 62.0% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:40 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 34) Richard Reese run for 4 yds to the TexTc 30 - BAY 3, TTU 3 | 0.02 | 61.3% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 30 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.77 - 3.76 = 0.02 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.76) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.3% Win Probability (After): 60.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:10 | |
(2nd & 6 at TTU 30) Qualan Jones run for 6 yds to the TexTc 24 for a 1ST down - BAY 3, TTU 3 | 0.34 | 61.2% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 24 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.17 - 3.83 = 0.34 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.83) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.2% Win Probability (After): 62.1% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:00 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 24) Timeout TEXAS TECH, clock 05:00 - BAY 3, TTU 3 | 0.00 | 62.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.17 - 4.17 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.17) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.3% Win Probability (After): 62.3% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 4:52 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 24) Richard Reese run for 17 yds to the TexTc 7 for a 1ST down - BAY 3, TTU 3 | 1.13 | 62.4% | 4.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 7 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.42 - 4.28 = 1.13 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.28) Score Difference (End): 0 (5.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.4% Win Probability (After): 66.6% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 4:23 | |
(1st & Goal at TTU 7) Richard Reese run for 6 yds to the TexTc 1 - BAY 3, TTU 3 | 0.67 | 67.0% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 7 -> 1 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.15 - 5.47 = 0.67 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.47) Score Difference (End): 0 (6.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 3, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.0% Win Probability (After): 67.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 3:39 | |
(2nd & Goal at TTU 1) Richard Reese run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) - BAY 10, TTU 3 | 0.83 | 67.6% | 5.9% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.17 = 0.83 Score Difference (Before): 0 (6.17) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 10, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.6% Win Probability (After): 73.6% Away Score: 3 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 3:39 | |
(Kickoff at TTU 35) Noah Rauschenberg kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - BAY 10, TTU 3 | 0.00 | 27.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.71 - 0.71 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.29) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 10, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.6% Win Probability (After): 27.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:32 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 25) Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TexTc 28 - BAY 10, TTU 3 | -0.38 | 27.7% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.33 - 0.71 = -0.38 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.29) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 10, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.7% Win Probability (After): 27.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 3:13 | |
(2nd & 7 at TTU 28) Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 27 - BAY 10, TTU 3 | -0.83 | 27.3% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 73 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.36 - 0.46 = -0.83 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.54) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 10, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.3% Win Probability (After): 25.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:27 | |
(3rd & 8 at TTU 27) Behren Morton sacked by Brayden Utley and Matt Jones for a loss of 10 yards to the TexTc 17 - BAY 10, TTU 3 | -1.51 | 25.6% | -5.2% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 83 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.58 - -0.07 = -1.51 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.07) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 10, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -8 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.6% Win Probability (After): 20.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:51 | |
(4th & 18 at TTU 17) Austin McNamara punt for 53 yds , Gavin Holmes returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 26 - BAY 10, TTU 3 | 0.03 | 20.3% | 3.7% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 74 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.26 - -1.29 = 0.03 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.29) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.26) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 10, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, -8 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.3% Win Probability (After): 24.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 1:48 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 26) Richard Reese run for 2 yds to the Bayl 28 - BAY 10, TTU 3 | -0.37 | 76.8% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 72 Started Drive at: BAY 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.76 - 1.13 = -0.37 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.13) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 10, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.8% Win Probability (After): 75.8% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 1:16 | |
(2nd & 8 at BAY 28) Timeout TEXAS TECH, clock 01:16 - BAY 10, TTU 3 | 0.00 | 75.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72 Started Drive at: BAY 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.76 - 0.76 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.76) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 10, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.9% Win Probability (After): 75.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 1:09 | |
(2nd & 8 at BAY 28) Blake Shapen pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 30 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST down - BAY 10, TTU 3 | 1.13 | 76.6% | 2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 42 Started Drive at: BAY 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.00 - 0.88 = 1.13 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.88) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 10, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.6% Win Probability (After): 79.1% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:58 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 42) Blake Shapen pass complete to Josh Cameron for 5 yds to the TexTc 37 - BAY 10, TTU 3 | 0.63 | 79.4% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 37 Started Drive at: BAY 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - 1.80 = 0.63 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.80) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 10, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.4% Win Probability (After): 80.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:58 | |
(2nd & 5 at TTU 37) Timeout BAYLOR, clock 00:58 - BAY 10, TTU 3 | 0.00 | 80.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37 Started Drive at: BAY 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - 2.43 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.43) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 10, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.4% Win Probability (After): 80.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:54 | |
(2nd & 5 at TTU 37) Qualan Jones run for no gain to the TexTc 37 - BAY 10, TTU 3 | -0.47 | 79.6% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37 Started Drive at: BAY 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 2.32 = -0.47 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.32) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 10, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.6% Win Probability (After): 78.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:48 | |
(3rd & 5 at TTU 37) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Josh Cameron - BAY 10, TTU 3 | -1.06 | 79.0% | -2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37 Started Drive at: BAY 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 1.87 = -1.06 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.87) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 10, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 79.0% Win Probability (After): 76.6% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:48 | |
(4th & 5 at TTU 37) Timeout BAYLOR, clock 00:48 - BAY 10, TTU 3 | 0.00 | 77.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37 Started Drive at: BAY 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 0.81 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.81) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 10, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.3% Win Probability (After): 77.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:42 | |
(4th & 5 at TTU 37) Blake Shapen pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 23 yds to the TexTc 14 for a 1ST down - BAY 10, TTU 3 | 3.39 | 76.6% | 6.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 14 Started Drive at: BAY 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.19 - 0.80 = 3.39 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.80) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 10, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 76.6% Win Probability (After): 83.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:33 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 14) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Qualan Jones - BAY 10, TTU 3 | -0.38 | 83.8% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 14 Started Drive at: BAY 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.77 - 4.15 = -0.38 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.15) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 10, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.8% Win Probability (After): 83.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:27 | |
(2nd & 10 at TTU 14) Shapen, Blake pass incomplete to Cameron, Josh, PENALTY TEXASTECH pass interference 12 yards to the TEXASTECH2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BAYLOR. - BAY 10, TTU 3 | 2.22 | 83.5% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 2 Started Drive at: BAY 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.90 - 3.68 = 2.22 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.68) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 10, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.5% Win Probability (After): 84.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:24 | |
(1st & Goal at TTU 2) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Hal Presley - BAY 10, TTU 3 | -0.34 | 84.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 2 Started Drive at: BAY 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.53 - 5.87 = -0.34 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.87) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 10, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.9% Win Probability (After): 84.9% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:17 | |
(2nd & Goal at TTU 2) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Gavin Holmes - BAY 10, TTU 3 | -0.45 | 84.8% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 2 Started Drive at: BAY 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.94 - 5.39 = -0.45 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.39) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 10, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 60 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.8% Win Probability (After): 84.4% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:13 | |
(3rd & Goal at TTU 2) Richard Reese run for 2 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) - BAY 17, TTU 3 | 2.17 | 84.3% | 2.6% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: BAY 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.83 = 2.17 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.83) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 17, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 62 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.3% Win Probability (After): 87.0% Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:13 | |
(Kickoff at TTU 35) Noah Rauschenberg kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - BAY 17, TTU 3 | 0.00 | 12.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.08 - 0.08 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.92) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 17, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.3% Win Probability (After): 12.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:05 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 25) Behren Morton pass incomplete - BAY 17, TTU 3 | 0.04 | 12.0% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.08 - 0.04 = 0.04 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.96) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 17, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.0% Win Probability (After): 12.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at TTU 25) Tahj Brooks run for 31 yds to the Bayl 44 for a 1ST down - BAY 17, TTU 3 | 0.01 | 12.0% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 44 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.69 - -0.01 = 0.01 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.01) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.31) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 17, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.0% Win Probability (After): 13.5% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at TTU 35) Noah Rauschenberg kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - BAY 17, TTU 3 | 0.00 | 13.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.62 - -0.62 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.62) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 17, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.5% Win Probability (After): 13.5% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:43 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 25) Behren Morton sacked by Gabe Hall for a loss of 7 yards to the TexTc 18 - BAY 17, TTU 3 | -1.52 | 14.1% | -3.5% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 82 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.07 - -0.54 = -1.52 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.54) Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 17, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, -7 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.1% Win Probability (After): 10.6% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:16 | |
(2nd & 17 at TTU 18) Behren Morton pass intercepted Mark Milton return for 2 yds to the TexTc 34 - BAY 17, TTU 3 | -2.54 | 11.1% | -2.5% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 34 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.54 - -1.99 = -2.54 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.99) Score Difference (End): 14 (18.54) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 17, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, -5 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.1% Win Probability (After): 8.6% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 14:10 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 34) Richard Reese run for 2 yds to the TexTc 32 - BAY 17, TTU 3 | -0.49 | 91.5% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 32 Started Drive at: TTU 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.06 - 4.55 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.55) Score Difference (End): 14 (18.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 17, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.5% Win Probability (After): 91.4% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:40 | |
(2nd & 8 at TTU 32) Richard Reese run for 9 yds to the TexTc 23 for a 1ST down - BAY 17, TTU 3 | 0.85 | 91.8% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 23 Started Drive at: TTU 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.94 - 4.08 = 0.85 Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.08) Score Difference (End): 14 (18.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 17, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.8% Win Probability (After): 92.1% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:11 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 23) Richard Reese run for 3 yds to the TexTc 20 - BAY 17, TTU 3 | -0.30 | 92.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 20 Started Drive at: TTU 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.62 - 4.92 = -0.30 Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.92) Score Difference (End): 14 (18.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 17, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.8% Win Probability (After): 92.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:32 | |
(2nd & 7 at TTU 20) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Hal Presley - BAY 17, TTU 3 | -0.86 | 93.0% | -0.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20 Started Drive at: TTU 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.76 - 4.62 = -0.86 Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.62) Score Difference (End): 14 (17.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 17, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.0% Win Probability (After): 92.4% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:27 | |
(3rd & 7 at TTU 20) Richard Reese run for 10 yds to the TexTc 10 for a 1ST down - BAY 17, TTU 3 | 1.64 | 92.4% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 10 Started Drive at: TTU 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.42 - 3.78 = 1.64 Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.78) Score Difference (End): 14 (19.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 17, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.4% Win Probability (After): 93.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:52 | |
(1st & Goal at TTU 10) Richard Reese run for 1 yd to the TexTc 9 - BAY 17, TTU 3 | -0.47 | 93.9% | -0.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 9 Started Drive at: TTU 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.96 - 5.43 = -0.47 Score Difference (Before): 14 (19.43) Score Difference (End): 14 (18.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 17, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.9% Win Probability (After): 93.5% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:09 | |
(2nd & Goal at TTU 9) Blake Shapen pass complete to Hal Presley for 9 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) - BAY 24, TTU 3 | 2.04 | 93.6% | 3.6% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99 Started Drive at: TTU 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.96 = 2.04 Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.96) Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.6% Win Probability (After): 97.3% Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:09 | |
(Kickoff at TTU 35) Noah Rauschenberg kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - BAY 24, TTU 3 | 0.00 | 2.8% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.26 - -1.26 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-22.26) Score Difference (End): -21 (-22.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.8% Win Probability (After): 2.8% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:05 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 25) SaRodorick Thompson run for 6 yds to the TexTc 31 - BAY 24, TTU 3 | 0.33 | 2.8% | 0.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.93 - -1.26 = 0.33 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-22.26) Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.8% Win Probability (After): 3.2% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:47 | |
(2nd & 4 at TTU 31) SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 34 - BAY 24, TTU 3 | -0.02 | 3.0% | 0.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 66 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.74 - -0.72 = -0.02 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.72) Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.0% Win Probability (After): 3.1% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:37 | |
(3rd & 1 at TTU 34) SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST down - BAY 24, TTU 3 | 0.54 | 3.0% | 0.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 63 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.04 - -0.57 = 0.54 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.57) Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.0% Win Probability (After): 3.3% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:17 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 37) Behren Morton pass incomplete to Myles Price - BAY 24, TTU 3 | -0.89 | 3.2% | -0.5% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.77 - 0.12 = -0.89 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.88) Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.2% Win Probability (After): 2.7% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:11 | |
(2nd & 10 at TTU 37) Behren Morton pass incomplete to Brady Boyd - BAY 24, TTU 3 | -0.49 | 2.6% | -0.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.38 - -0.89 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.89) Score Difference (End): -21 (-22.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.6% Win Probability (After): 2.4% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:05 | |
(3rd & 10 at TTU 37) Behren Morton pass complete to Brady Boyd for 12 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST down - BAY 24, TTU 3 | 2.52 | 2.1% | 1.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 51 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - -1.70 = 2.52 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-22.70) Score Difference (End): -21 (-20.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 2.1% Win Probability (After): 3.4% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:47 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 49) Behren Morton run for 10 yds to the Bayl 41 for a 1ST down - BAY 24, TTU 3 | 0.82 | 3.5% | 0.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 41 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.88 - 1.07 = 0.82 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-19.93) Score Difference (End): -21 (-19.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.5% Win Probability (After): 3.7% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:28 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 41) Tahj Brooks run for 8 yds to the Bayl 33 - BAY 24, TTU 3 | 1.03 | 4.0% | 0.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 33 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.14 - 2.12 = 1.03 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-18.88) Score Difference (End): -21 (-17.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.0% Win Probability (After): 4.3% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:12 | |
(2nd & 2 at BAY 33) Behren Morton pass incomplete to Baylor Cupp - BAY 24, TTU 3 | -0.92 | 4.3% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 33 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.22 - 3.14 = -0.92 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-17.86) Score Difference (End): -21 (-18.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.3% Win Probability (After): 4.1% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 9:05 | |
(3rd & 2 at BAY 33) SaRodorick Thompson run for 8 yds to the Bayl 25 for a 1ST down - BAY 24, TTU 3 | 1.20 | 3.6% | 0.8% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 25 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.44 - 2.24 = 1.20 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-18.76) Score Difference (End): -21 (-17.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 3.6% Win Probability (After): 4.4% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:50 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 25) Donovan Smith pass incomplete to Loic Fouonji - BAY 24, TTU 3 | -0.69 | 4.3% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.76 - 3.45 = -0.69 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-17.55) Score Difference (End): -21 (-18.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.3% Win Probability (After): 4.2% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:44 | |
(2nd & 10 at BAY 25) SaRodorick Thompson run for 8 yds to the Bayl 17 - BAY 24, TTU 3 | 1.33 | 4.1% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 17 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.02 - 2.68 = 1.33 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-18.32) Score Difference (End): -21 (-16.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.1% Win Probability (After): 4.5% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:16 | |
(3rd & 2 at BAY 17) SaRodorick Thompson run for 16 yds to the Bayl 1 for a 1ST down - BAY 24, TTU 3 | 2.25 | 4.5% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 1 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.26 - 4.02 = 2.25 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-16.98) Score Difference (End): -21 (-14.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 74 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.5% Win Probability (After): 6.5% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 8:10 | |
(1st & Goal at BAY 1) Behren Morton pass complete to Mason Tharp for no gain to the Bayl 1 - BAY 24, TTU 3 | -0.28 | 6.5% | -0.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 1 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.98 - 6.26 = -0.28 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-14.74) Score Difference (End): -21 (-15.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 3 Drive Summary: 14 plays, 74 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.5% Win Probability (After): 6.1% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:34 | |
(2nd & Goal at BAY 1) Behren Morton pass complete to Henry Teeter for 1 yd for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK) - BAY 24, TTU 10 | 1.05 | 5.9% | 5.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.95 = 1.05 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-15.05) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 10 Drive Summary: 15 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.9% Win Probability (After): 11.0% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 3 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:34 | |
(Kickoff at BAY 35) Trey Wolff kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - BAY 24, TTU 10 | 0.00 | 91.9% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.39 - 2.39 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.39) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.9% Win Probability (After): 91.9% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:28 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 25) Blake Shapen run for 4 yds to the Bayl 29 - BAY 24, TTU 10 | -0.07 | 91.8% | -0.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.23 - 2.30 = -0.07 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.30) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.8% Win Probability (After): 91.7% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:49 | |
(2nd & 6 at BAY 29) Richard Reese run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 28 - BAY 24, TTU 10 | -1.53 | 91.9% | -1.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 72 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.77 - 2.30 = -1.53 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.30) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.9% Win Probability (After): 90.6% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:12 | |
(3rd & 7 at BAY 28) Blake Shapen run for 12 yds to the Bayl 40 for a 1ST down - BAY 24, TTU 10 | 2.30 | 91.4% | 1.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 60 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.25 - 0.95 = 2.30 Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.95) Score Difference (End): 14 (17.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.4% Win Probability (After): 92.7% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:37 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 40) Richard Reese run for 1 yd to the Bayl 41 - BAY 24, TTU 10 | -0.54 | 94.5% | -1.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 59 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.75 - 3.29 = -0.54 Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.29) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.5% Win Probability (After): 92.6% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:55 | |
(2nd & 9 at BAY 41) Blake Shapen run for no gain to the Bayl 41 Blake Shapen fumbled, recovered by TexTc Rayshad Williams - BAY 24, TTU 10 | -5.21 | 94.6% | -7.5% |
|
Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 41 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.46 - 2.75 = -5.21 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.75) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.54) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 24, TTU 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.6% Win Probability (After): 87.0% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:50 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 41) Tahj Brooks run for 12 yds to the Bayl 29 for a 1ST down - BAY 24, TTU 10 | 0.96 | 12.0% | 1.5% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 29 Started Drive at: BAY 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.40 - 2.44 = 0.96 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.56) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.60) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.0% Win Probability (After): 13.5% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:40 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 29) Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 31 - BAY 24, TTU 10 | -1.47 | 13.5% | -2.0% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 31 Started Drive at: BAY 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.93 - 3.40 = -1.47 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.60) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.5% Win Probability (After): 11.4% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 4:07 | |
(2nd & 12 at BAY 31) Behren Morton pass complete to Baylor Cupp for 14 yds to the Bayl 17 for a 1ST down - BAY 24, TTU 10 | 2.66 | 11.4% | 4.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 17 Started Drive at: BAY 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.59 - 1.93 = 2.66 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.07) Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.4% Win Probability (After): 16.1% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:49 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 17) Behren Morton pass incomplete to Trey Cleveland - BAY 24, TTU 10 | -0.61 | 15.9% | -1.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17 Started Drive at: BAY 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.98 - 4.58 = -0.61 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.42) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.9% Win Probability (After): 14.2% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:49 | |
(2nd & 10 at BAY 17) TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 21 - BAY 24, TTU 10 | -1.14 | 14.0% | -1.8% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 21 Started Drive at: BAY 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - 3.97 = -1.14 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.03) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.0% Win Probability (After): 12.2% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:41 | |
(2nd & 14 at BAY 21) Morton, Behren pass incomplete to Brooks, Tahj, PENALTY BAYLOR personal foul (Morgan, Christian) 11 yards to the BAYLOR10, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASTECH. - BAY 24, TTU 10 | 2.53 | 11.9% | 4.4% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 10 Started Drive at: BAY 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.37 - 2.84 = 2.53 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.16) Score Difference (End): -14 (-8.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.9% Win Probability (After): 16.3% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:20 | |
(1st & Goal at BAY 10) Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the Bayl 8 - BAY 24, TTU 10 | -0.30 | 15.7% | -0.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 8 Started Drive at: BAY 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.46 - 4.76 = -0.30 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.24) Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.7% Win Probability (After): 15.5% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:00 | |
(2nd & Goal at BAY 8) Behren Morton pass incomplete to Henry Teeter - BAY 24, TTU 10 | -0.90 | 13.9% | -1.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8 Started Drive at: BAY 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.56 - 4.46 = -0.90 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.54) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.9% Win Probability (After): 12.7% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:53 | |
(3rd & Goal at BAY 8) Behren Morton pass incomplete to Baylor Cupp - BAY 24, TTU 10 | -1.27 | 12.0% | -1.5% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8 Started Drive at: BAY 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.32 - 3.59 = -1.27 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.41) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.0% Win Probability (After): 10.4% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
|||||
| Q3 2:46 | |
(4th & 7 at BAY 8) Behren Morton run for 8 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK) - BAY 24, TTU 17 | 4.68 | 10.6% | 16.1% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 99 Started Drive at: BAY 41 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.32 = 4.68 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.68) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.6% Win Probability (After): 26.7% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 10 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 2:46 | |
(Kickoff at BAY 35) Trey Wolff kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - BAY 24, TTU 17 | 0.00 | 78.4% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.20 - 2.20 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.20) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.4% Win Probability (After): 78.4% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:39 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 25) Jordan Nabors run for 2 yds to the Bayl 27 - BAY 24, TTU 17 | -0.46 | 78.4% | -2.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.75 - 2.20 = -0.46 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.20) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.4% Win Probability (After): 75.7% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:11 | |
(2nd & 8 at BAY 27) Blake Shapen pass complete to Qualan Jones for 5 yds to the Bayl 32 - BAY 24, TTU 17 | -0.08 | 75.8% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 68 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 1.75 = -0.08 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.75) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.8% Win Probability (After): 75.0% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:36 | |
(3rd & 3 at BAY 32) Richard Reese run for 16 yds to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST down - BAY 24, TTU 17 | 1.76 | 77.5% | 4.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 52 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.45 - 1.69 = 1.76 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.69) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.45) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 77.5% Win Probability (After): 82.4% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:53 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 48) Blake Shapen pass complete to Ben Sims for 25 yds to the TexTc 27 for a 1ST down - BAY 24, TTU 17 | 1.29 | 82.3% | 1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 27 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.74 - 3.45 = 1.29 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.45) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.3% Win Probability (After): 83.9% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:18 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 27) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Ben Sims - BAY 24, TTU 17 | -0.55 | 84.7% | -1.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 27 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.18 - 4.73 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.73) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.7% Win Probability (After): 83.6% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:14 | |
(2nd & 10 at TTU 27) Richard Reese run for 2 yds to the TexTc 25 - BAY 24, TTU 17 | -0.74 | 83.8% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 25 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.43 - 4.17 = -0.74 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.17) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 83.8% Win Probability (After): 82.4% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:50 | |
(3rd & 8 at TTU 25) Blake Shapen pass complete to Qualan Jones for 13 yds to the TexTc 12 for a 1ST down - BAY 24, TTU 17 | 1.99 | 81.2% | 4.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 12 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.35 - 3.37 = 1.99 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.37) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 63 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.2% Win Probability (After): 85.6% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:36 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 12) Richard Reese run for 7 yds to the TexTc 5 - BAY 24, TTU 17 | 0.45 | 87.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 5 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.79 - 5.34 = 0.45 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.34) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 70 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.1% Win Probability (After): 87.2% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:22 | |
(2nd & 3 at TTU 5) Kyron Drones run for 2 yds to the TexTc 3 - BAY 24, TTU 17 | -0.11 | 88.5% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 3 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.71 - 5.82 = -0.11 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.82) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.71) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 72 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.5% Win Probability (After): 87.4% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 13:31 | |
(3rd & 1 at TTU 3) Dillon Doyle run for 2 yds to the TexTc 1 for a 1ST down - BAY 24, TTU 17 | 0.86 | 88.3% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 1 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.57 - 5.72 = 0.86 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.72) Score Difference (End): 7 (13.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 24, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 74 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.3% Win Probability (After): 88.9% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:46 | |
(1st & Goal at TTU 1) Richard Reese run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) - BAY 31, TTU 17 | 0.43 | 89.4% | 4.8% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.57 = 0.43 Score Difference (Before): 7 (13.57) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.4% Win Probability (After): 94.2% Away Score: 24 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:46 | |
(Kickoff at TTU 35) Noah Rauschenberg kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - BAY 31, TTU 17 | 0.00 | 7.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.51 - -0.51 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.51) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.4% Win Probability (After): 7.4% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:42 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 25) Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the TexTc 31 - BAY 31, TTU 17 | 0.35 | 7.4% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 69 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.17 - -0.52 = 0.35 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.52) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.4% Win Probability (After): 7.4% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:10 | |
(2nd & 4 at TTU 31) Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TexTc 33 - BAY 31, TTU 17 | -0.42 | 7.5% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 67 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.58 - -0.16 = -0.42 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.16) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.5% Win Probability (After): 7.2% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:00 | |
(3rd & 2 at TTU 33) Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the TexTc 33 - BAY 31, TTU 17 | -1.63 | 6.9% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.12 - -0.49 = -1.63 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.49) Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.9% Win Probability (After): 5.3% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:35 | |
(4th & 2 at TTU 33) Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST down - BAY 31, TTU 17 | 2.62 | 4.7% | 3.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 63 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.62 - -2.00 = 2.62 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-16.00) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.7% Win Probability (After): 7.8% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 11:12 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 37) Donovan Smith pass intercepted Al Walcott return for 4 yds to the TexTc 48 - BAY 31, TTU 17 | -4.59 | 7.6% | -4.7% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 48 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.76 - 0.84 = -4.59 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.16) Score Difference (End): 14 (17.76) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.6% Win Probability (After): 2.8% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:00 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 48) Richard Reese run for 2 yds to the TexTc 46 - BAY 31, TTU 17 | -0.47 | 97.9% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 46 Started Drive at: TTU 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - 3.76 = -0.47 Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.76) Score Difference (End): 14 (17.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.9% Win Probability (After): 97.3% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:27 | |
(2nd & 8 at TTU 46) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Hal Presley - BAY 31, TTU 17 | -0.90 | 97.9% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46 Started Drive at: TTU 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.40 - 3.30 = -0.90 Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.30) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.9% Win Probability (After): 96.6% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:22 | |
(3rd & 8 at TTU 46) Blake Shapen run for no gain to the TexTc 46 - BAY 31, TTU 17 | -1.52 | 97.7% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46 Started Drive at: TTU 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.84 - 2.36 = -1.52 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.36) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.7% Win Probability (After): 96.0% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:38 | |
(4th & 8 at TTU 46) Issac Power punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Xavier White at the TexTc 18 - BAY 31, TTU 17 | -0.16 | 97.0% | -2.5% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 82 Started Drive at: TTU 48 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 0.55 = -0.16 Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.55) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.38) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.0% Win Probability (After): 94.5% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 9:32 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 18) Behren Morton pass incomplete to Jerand Bradley - BAY 31, TTU 17 | -0.54 | 4.8% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 82 Started Drive at: TTU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.94 - -0.40 = -0.54 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.40) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.8% Win Probability (After): 4.6% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:55 | |
(2nd & 10 at TTU 18) Behren Morton pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 27 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST down - BAY 31, TTU 17 | 2.49 | 4.5% | 1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 55 Started Drive at: TTU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.54 - -0.95 = 2.49 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.95) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.5% Win Probability (After): 6.0% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:55 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 45) Behren Morton pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 17 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST down - BAY 31, TTU 17 | 1.27 | 5.4% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 38 Started Drive at: TTU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.76 - 1.50 = 1.27 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.50) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.4% Win Probability (After): 7.3% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:55 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 38) Behren Morton pass incomplete to Jerand Bradley - BAY 31, TTU 17 | -0.62 | 7.3% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 38 Started Drive at: TTU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.15 - 2.76 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.24) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.3% Win Probability (After): 6.0% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:49 | |
(2nd & 10 at BAY 38) SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the Bayl 36 - BAY 31, TTU 17 | -0.79 | 5.5% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 36 Started Drive at: TTU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.27 - 2.06 = -0.79 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.94) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.5% Win Probability (After): 4.8% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:31 | |
(3rd & 8 at BAY 36) Behren Morton pass complete to Baylor Cupp for 10 yds to the Bayl 26 for a 1ST down - BAY 31, TTU 17 | 2.39 | 4.8% | 3.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 26 Started Drive at: TTU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.62 - 1.23 = 2.39 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.77) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.8% Win Probability (After): 8.1% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:09 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 26) Behren Morton pass intercepted, touchback. Tevin Williams III return for no gain - BAY 31, TTU 17 | -5.40 | 7.9% | -5.9% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 80 Started Drive at: TTU 18 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.78 - 3.62 = -5.40 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.38) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.78) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 7.9% Win Probability (After): 2.0% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 8:00 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 20) Richard Reese run for no gain to the Bayl 20 - BAY 31, TTU 17 | -0.63 | 98.0% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80 Started Drive at: BAY 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.17 - 1.80 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.80) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.0% Win Probability (After): 97.9% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 7:20 | |
(2nd & 10 at BAY 20) Blake Shapen pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 17 yds to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST down - BAY 31, TTU 17 | 1.30 | 97.5% | 0.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 63 Started Drive at: BAY 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.57 - 1.27 = 1.30 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.27) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.5% Win Probability (After): 98.1% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:49 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 37) Richard Reese run for 6 yds to the Bayl 43 - BAY 31, TTU 17 | 0.09 | 98.5% | -0.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 57 Started Drive at: BAY 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.77 - 2.68 = 0.09 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.68) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.5% Win Probability (After): 98.1% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:11 | |
(2nd & 4 at BAY 43) Richard Reese run for 3 yds to the Bayl 46 - BAY 31, TTU 17 | 0.12 | 98.7% | -0.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 54 Started Drive at: BAY 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - 2.47 = 0.12 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.47) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.7% Win Probability (After): 98.3% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:25 | |
(3rd & 1 at BAY 46) Richard Reese run for 1 yd to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST down - BAY 31, TTU 17 | 0.58 | 99.1% | -0.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 53 Started Drive at: BAY 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.86 - 2.28 = 0.58 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.28) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.1% Win Probability (After): 99.0% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:11 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 47) Richard Reese run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line - BAY 31, TTU 17 | -0.24 | 99.2% | -0.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 50 Started Drive at: BAY 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.48 - 2.71 = -0.24 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.71) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.2% Win Probability (After): 99.1% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:02 | |
(2nd & 7 at 50) Jordan Nabors run for 3 yds to the TexTc 47 - BAY 31, TTU 17 | -0.20 | 99.2% | -0.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 47 Started Drive at: BAY 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.27 - 2.48 = -0.20 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.48) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.2% Win Probability (After): 99.0% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:27 | |
(3rd & 4 at TTU 47) Timeout BAYLOR, clock 04:27 - BAY 31, TTU 17 | 0.00 | 99.3% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 47 Started Drive at: BAY 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.27 - 2.27 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.27) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.3% Win Probability (After): 99.3% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:22 | |
(3rd & 4 at TTU 47) Richard Reese run for a loss of 5 yards to the Bayl 48 - BAY 31, TTU 17 | -2.13 | 99.2% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 52 Started Drive at: BAY 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.02 - 2.15 = -2.13 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.15) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.2% Win Probability (After): 98.9% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:22 | |
(4th & 9 at BAY 48) Timeout TEXAS TECH, clock 04:22 - BAY 31, TTU 17 | 0.00 | 98.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52 Started Drive at: BAY 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.02 - 0.02 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.02) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 98.9% Win Probability (After): 98.9% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 4:22 | |
(4th & 9 at BAY 48) BAYLOR Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 43 - BAY 31, TTU 17 | -0.43 | 99.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 57 Started Drive at: BAY 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.41 - 0.02 = -0.43 Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.02) Score Difference (End): 14 (13.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.1% Win Probability (After): 99.1% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 4:11 | |
(4th & 14 at BAY 43) Issac Power punt for 48 yds, downed at the TexTc 9 - BAY 31, TTU 17 | 0.76 | 99.0% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 91 Started Drive at: BAY 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.26 - -0.50 = 0.76 Score Difference (Before): 14 (13.50) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.26) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 31, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.0% Win Probability (After): 98.5% Away Score: 31 (31) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 4:04 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 9) Tyler Shough pass intercepted for a TD AJ McCarty return for 18 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) - BAY 38, TTU 17 | -6.74 | 1.4% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 99 Started Drive at: TTU 9 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -0.26 = -6.74 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.26) Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 38, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.4% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 31 (38) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 4:04 | |
(Kickoff at TTU 35) Noah Rauschenberg kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - BAY 38, TTU 17 | 0.00 | 0.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.25 - 0.25 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.75) Score Difference (End): -21 (-20.75) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 38, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 3:57 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 25) Tyler Shough run for 4 yds to the TexTc 29 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST down - BAY 38, TTU 17 | 1.29 | 0.3% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 56 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.54 - 0.29 = 1.29 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.75) Score Difference (End): -21 (-19.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 38, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 3:32 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 44) Tyler Shough sacked by Garmon Randolph for a loss of 8 yards to the TexTc 36 - BAY 38, TTU 17 | -1.35 | 0.3% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 64 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.17 - 1.52 = -1.35 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-19.48) Score Difference (End): -21 (-20.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 38, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.3% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 3:12 | |
(2nd & 18 at TTU 36) Tyler Shough pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 7 yds to the TexTc 43 - BAY 38, TTU 17 | 0.00 | 0.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 57 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.23 - 0.23 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.77) Score Difference (End): -21 (-20.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 38, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:55 | |
(3rd & 11 at TTU 43) Tyler Shough sacked by Gabe Hall for a loss of 7 yards to the TexTc 36 - BAY 38, TTU 17 | -1.50 | 0.2% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 64 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.13 - 0.38 = -1.50 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.62) Score Difference (End): -21 (-22.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 38, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:23 | |
(4th & 18 at TTU 36) Tyler Shough sacked by Gabe Hall for a loss of 10 yards to the TexTc 26 - BAY 38, TTU 17 | -2.75 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 26 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.74 - -0.99 = -2.75 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.99) Score Difference (End): 21 (24.74) Change of Possession: 1 Score: BAY 38, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 2:14 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 26) Qualan Jones run for 4 yds to the TexTc 22 - BAY 38, TTU 17 | -0.54 | 99.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 22 Started Drive at: TTU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.30 - 3.84 = -0.54 Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.84) Score Difference (End): 21 (24.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 38, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:38 | |
(2nd & 6 at TTU 22) Timeout BAYLOR, clock 01:38 - BAY 38, TTU 17 | 0.00 | 99.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 22 Started Drive at: TTU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.30 - 3.30 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.30) Score Difference (End): 21 (24.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 38, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 1:32 | |
(2nd & 6 at TTU 22) Qualan Jones run for 5 yds to the TexTc 17 - BAY 38, TTU 17 | 0.71 | 99.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 17 Started Drive at: TTU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.05 - 3.34 = 0.71 Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.34) Score Difference (End): 21 (25.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 38, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.8% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:45 | |
(3rd & 1 at TTU 17) Qualan Jones run for 17 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) - BAY 45, TTU 17 | 3.17 | 99.9% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rushing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 99 Started Drive at: TTU 26 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.83 = 3.17 Score Difference (Before): 21 (24.83) Score Difference (End): 28 (28.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 45, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 38 (45) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:45 | |
(Kickoff at TTU 35) Noah Rauschenberg kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - BAY 45, TTU 17 | 0.00 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.20 - 0.20 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -28 (-27.80) Score Difference (End): -28 (-27.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 45, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 0:38 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 25) Tahj Brooks run for 15 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST down - BAY 45, TTU 17 | 0.55 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 60 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.72 - 0.18 = 0.55 Score Difference (Before): -28 (-27.82) Score Difference (End): -28 (-27.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 45, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 0:28 | |
(1st & 10 at TTU 40) Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TexTc 44 - BAY 45, TTU 17 | 0.09 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 56 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.58 - 0.49 = 0.09 Score Difference (Before): -28 (-27.51) Score Difference (End): -28 (-27.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 45, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q4 0:02 | |
(2nd & 6 at TTU 44) Tahj Brooks run for 8 yds to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST down - BAY 45, TTU 17 | 0.62 | 0.1% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 48 Started Drive at: TTU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.81 - 0.19 = 0.62 Score Difference (Before): -28 (-27.81) Score Difference (End): -28 (-27.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: BAY 45, TTU 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.0% Away Score: 45 (45) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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