Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 3.37 | Odds: BAY -2.5, O/U 52.5 | Download Chart
Expected Points
Team Stats [show/hide]
| Overall |
|
|
|---|---|---|
| EPA/Play | 0.17 75th %ile | -0.19 17th %ile |
| Success Rate | 45% 71st %ile | 42% 54th %ile |
| Yards/Play | 5.44 41st %ile | 5.02 27th %ile |
| EPA/Dropback | 0.30 77th %ile | -0.30 18th %ile |
| EPA/Rush | 0.05 56th %ile | 0.00 48th %ile |
| Yards/Dropback | 6.14 50th %ile | 5.21 35th %ile |
| Explosive Play Rate | 5% 16th %ile | 2% 2nd %ile |
| 3rd Down Success Rate | 57% 85th %ile | 31% 23rd %ile |
| Red Zone Success Rate | 36% 38th %ile | 14% 9th %ile |
| Def Run Stuff Rate | 4% 0th %ile | 10% 0th %ile |
| Havoc Rate | 1% 1st %ile | 3% 6th %ile |
| Expected Points | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 79 | 72 |
| Total EPA | 14.6 | -14.37 |
| Offensive EPA | 12.75 | -11.73 |
| Special Teams EPA | 1.32 | -3.01 |
| Penalty EPA | 0.54 | -2.71 |
| Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA | -0.01 | 3.08 |
| Production | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 75 | 62 |
| Yards | 408 | 311 |
| Yards/Play | 5.44 | 5.02 |
| EPA | 12.75 | -11.73 |
| EPA/Play | 0.17 | -0.19 |
| Passes | 36 (48%) | 39 (63%) |
| Yards | 221 | 203 |
| Yards/Play | 6.14 | 5.21 |
| EPA | 10.90 | -11.74 |
| EPA/Play | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Rushes | 39 (52%) | 23 (37%) |
| Yards | 194 | 105 |
| Yards/Play | 4.97 | 4.57 |
| EPA | 1.85 | 0.01 |
| EPA/Play | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| Rushing | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 75 | 62 |
| Rushes | 39 (52%) | 23 (37%) |
| Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) | 2 (5%) | 0 (0%) |
| Successful Power Runs (Rate) | 2 (100%) | 0 (0%) |
| Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) | 4 (10%) | 1 (4%) |
| Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) | 15 (38%) | 9 (39%) |
| Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) | 20 (51%) | 13 (57%) |
| OL Line Yards | 87.5 | 49.5 |
| Per Carry | 2.24 | 2.15 |
| Highlight Yards | 44 | 18 |
| Per Rush Opportunity | 2.20 | 1.38 |
| Explosiveness | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 79 | 72 |
| Scrimmage Plays | 75 | 62 |
| Explosive Plays | 4 (5%) | 1 (2%) |
| When Passing (EPA > 2.4) | 3 (8%) | 1 (3%) |
| When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) | 1 (3%) | 0 (0%) |
| EPA w/o Explosive Plays | 0.09 | -14.49 |
| EPA/Play | 0.00 | -0.24 |
| When Passing | 0.52 | -14.49 |
| EPA/Play | 0.01 | -0.37 |
| When Rushing | -0.43 | 0.01 |
| EPA/Play | -0.01 | 0.00 |
| Situational | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Successful Plays (EPA > 0) | 34 (45%) | 26 (42%) |
| When Passing | 17 (47%) | 16 (41%) |
| When Rushing | 17 (44%) | 10 (43%) |
| On Standard Downs | 21 (43%) | 22 (54%) |
| On Passing Downs | 13 (50%) | 4 (19%) |
| On Early Downs | 25 (42%) | 22 (47%) |
| On Late Downs | 9 (60%) | 4 (27%) |
| During "Middle 8" | 1 (25%) | 8 (44%) |
| Early Downs | 60 | 47 |
| First Downs Created | 16 (27%) | 12 (26%) |
| EPA | 8.54 | 1.01 |
| EPA/Play | 0.14 | 0.02 |
| Passes | 26 (43%) | 30 (64%) |
| Rushes | 34 (57%) | 17 (36%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 11 (42%) | 15 (50%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 14 (41%) | 7 (41%) |
| "Middle 8" Plays | 4 | 18 |
| EPA | 1.87 | 0.44 |
| EPA/play | 0.47 | 0.02 |
| Passes | 3 (75%) | 12 (67%) |
| Rushes | 1 (25%) | 6 (33%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 1 (33%) | 5 (42%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 0 (0%) | 3 (50%) |
| Drives | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total | 9 | 9 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 25 | Own 24 |
| Plays/Drive | 10.33 | 7.65 |
| Yards/Drive | 55.04 | 37.52 |
| Available Yards % | 73% | 49% |
| Defensive | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 62 | 75 |
| Stop Rate | 56% | 33% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 2 (3%) | 1 (1%) |
| Passing | 2 (5%) | 1 (3%) |
| Rushing | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
| TFLs Generated | 0 | 1 |
| Passing | 0 | 1 |
| Rushing | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks Generated | 0 (0%) | 1 (3%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 2 | 0 |
| Fumbles Forced | 0 | 0 |
| Turnovers | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 2 |
| Fumbles | 1 | 0 |
| Fumbles Lost | 1 | 0 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 2 |
| Turnover Margin | 1 | -1 |
| Expected Turnovers | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Expected Turnover Margin | -0.1 | 0.1 |
| Turnover Luck (pts) | 5.3 | -5.3 |
| Special Teams | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 4 | 10 |
| Total EPA | 1.32 | -3.01 |
| Field Goal EPA | 0.43 | 1.35 |
| Punting EPA | 0.89 | -2.94 |
| Kickoff Return EPA | 0 | -1.42 |
Kansas State [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Will Howard | 19/27, 196 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 83.1 xQBR, 0.37 DETMER | 7.26 | 0.51 | 13.64 | 52% | 25.0% | |
| Adrian Martinez | 7/8, 25 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 30.8 xQBR, 0.00 DETMER | 2.78 | -0.30 | -2.74 | 33% | -6.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| DJ Giddens | 12 carries, 57 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.75 | 0.20 | 2.39 | 50% | -4.0% | |
| Phillip Brooks | 1 carry, 16 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 16.00 | 1.29 | 1.29 | 100% | 3.0% | |
| Adrian Martinez | 2 carries, 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 2.50 | 0.19 | 0.38 | 50% | 2.0% | |
| Will Howard | 2 carries, 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 5.00 | -0.37 | -0.75 | 50% | -2.0% | |
| Deuce Vaughn | 22 carries, 106 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.82 | -0.07 | -1.46 | 36% | 7.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Ben Sinnott | 7 catches (10 targets), 89 yds, 2 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.71 | 0.65 | 6.54 | 50% | 14.0% | |
| Deuce Vaughn | 8 catches (10 targets), 50 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.25 | 0.42 | 4.23 | 50% | 5.0% | |
| RJ Garcia II | 1 catch (1 target), 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.00 | 1.12 | 1.12 | 100% | 0.0% | |
| DJ Giddens | 1 catch (1 target), 11 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.00 | 1.03 | 1.03 | 100% | 4.0% | |
| Kade Warner | 4 catches (5 targets), 26 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.50 | 0.19 | 0.96 | 40% | 2.0% | |
| Malik Knowles | 3 catches (3 targets), 18 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.00 | 0.14 | 0.41 | 33% | 2.0% | |
| Phillip Brooks | 2 catches (5 targets), 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 8.50 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 40% | -1.0% | |
Baylor [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Blake Shapen | 22/39, 203 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT, 0 Scks, 25.2 xQBR, 0.34 DETMER | 5.21 | -0.30 | -11.74 | 41% | -14.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Richard Reese | 9 carries, 54 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.00 | 0.30 | 2.72 | 56% | 3.0% | |
| Craig Williams | 4 carries, 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.25 | 0.17 | 0.69 | 50% | 3.0% | |
| Qualan Jones | 3 carries, 13 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.33 | -0.06 | -0.19 | 67% | -2.0% | |
| Blake Shapen | 7 carries, 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | -0.46 | -3.20 | 14% | 0.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Josh Cameron | 6 catches (9 targets), 83 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 13.83 | 0.38 | 3.46 | 67% | -1.0% | |
| Ben Sims | 2 catches (3 targets), 13 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.50 | 0.30 | 0.90 | 67% | 4.0% | |
| Monaray Baldwin | 8 catches (13 targets), 75 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.38 | -0.08 | -1.00 | 46% | -3.0% | |
| Craig Williams | 3 catches (3 targets), 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.33 | -0.52 | -1.55 | 0% | -5.0% | |
| Qualan Jones | 1 catch (3 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 0.00 | -0.85 | -2.56 | 0% | -5.0% | |
| Hal Presley | 2 catches (6 targets), 22 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 11.00 | -0.85 | -5.08 | 33% | 1.0% | |
Big Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute EPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2:09 | |
(2nd & 15 at BAY 20) Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 20 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK) - KSU 17, BAY 0 | 4.56 | 85.3% | 3.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99 Started Drive at: KSU 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.44 = 4.56 Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.44) Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.3% Win Probability (After): 88.5% Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q1 8:22 | |
(4th & 6 at BAY 32) Adrian Martinez sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the Bayl 39 - KSU 0, BAY 0 | -3.41 | 51.5% | -6.2% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 61 Started Drive at: KSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.06 - 1.35 = -3.41 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.35) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.06) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.5% Win Probability (After): 45.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 1:53 | |
(3rd & 10 at BAY 19) Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 19 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK) - KSU 24, BAY 3 | 3.27 | 95.1% | 2.3% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 99 Started Drive at: KSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.73 = 3.27 Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.73) Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 24, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.1% Win Probability (After): 97.4% Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:15 | |
(4th & 6 at KSU 20) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Hal Presley - KSU 38, BAY 3 | -3.17 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 80 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.73 - 0.43 = -3.17 Score Difference (Before): -35 (-34.57) Score Difference (End): 35 (37.73) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 4:24 | |
(3rd & 9 at KSU 17) Blake Shapen pass intercepted KANSAS ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Josh Hayes) to the KanSt 3 - KSU 0, BAY 0 | -3.02 | 56.9% | -4.7% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 97 Started Drive at: BAY 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.62 - 3.70 = -3.02 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.64) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.62) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.9% Win Probability (After): 52.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 4:57 | |
(2nd & 10 at KSU 45) Blake Shapen pass intercepted - KSU 38, BAY 3 | -2.88 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 79 Started Drive at: BAY 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.33 - 1.55 = -2.88 Score Difference (Before): -35 (-33.45) Score Difference (End): 35 (36.33) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.0% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(2nd & 8 at BAY 39) Blake Shapen pass complete to Josh Cameron for 25 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST down - KSU 17, BAY 3 | 2.76 | 17.5% | 1.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 36 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.68 - -0.08 = 2.76 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.08) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.5% Win Probability (After): 19.1% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:20 | |
(2nd & 10 at BAY 15) Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 15 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK) - KSU 7, BAY 0 | 2.55 | 59.9% | 7.5% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99 Started Drive at: KSU 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.45 = 2.55 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.45) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 7, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 97 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.9% Win Probability (After): 67.3% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q3 11:58 | |
(4th & 10 at KSU 36) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Josh Cameron - KSU 17, BAY 3 | -2.37 | 14.3% | -2.0% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 64 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.21 - -0.84 = -2.37 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.84) Score Difference (End): 14 (17.21) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.3% Win Probability (After): 12.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:00 | |
(2nd & 8 at KSU 43) DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the Bayl 49 for a 1ST down - KSU 38, BAY 3 | 2.28 | 99.9% | 0.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 49 Started Drive at: KSU 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - 0.16 = 2.28 Score Difference (Before): 35 (35.16) Score Difference (End): 35 (37.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 14:20 | |
(2nd & 10 at BAY 15) Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 15 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK) - KSU 7, BAY 0 | 2.55 | 59.9% | 7.5% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99 Started Drive at: KSU 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.45 = 2.55 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.45) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 7, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 97 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.9% Win Probability (After): 67.3% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q1 8:22 | |
(4th & 6 at BAY 32) Adrian Martinez sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the Bayl 39 - KSU 0, BAY 0 | -3.41 | 51.5% | -6.2% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 61 Started Drive at: KSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.06 - 1.35 = -3.41 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.35) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.06) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.5% Win Probability (After): 45.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:00 | |
(4th & 2 at KSU 20) John Mayers 37 yd FG GOOD - KSU 17, BAY 3 | 1.35 | 23.1% | -6.0% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 65 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.65 = 1.35 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-15.35) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.1% Win Probability (After): 17.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 0 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: -2 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 4:24 | |
(3rd & 9 at KSU 17) Blake Shapen pass intercepted KANSAS ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Josh Hayes) to the KanSt 3 - KSU 0, BAY 0 | -3.02 | 56.9% | -4.7% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 97 Started Drive at: BAY 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.62 - 3.70 = -3.02 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.64) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.62) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.9% Win Probability (After): 52.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:09 | |
(3rd & 4 at BAY 31) Blake Shapen run for 5 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST down - KSU 17, BAY 0 | 0.93 | 14.7% | 4.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 64 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.33 - 0.41 = 0.93 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.59) Score Difference (End): -17 (-15.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.7% Win Probability (After): 18.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: -1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 8:41 | |
(3rd & 6 at BAY 32) Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Phillip Brooks - KSU 0, BAY 0 | -1.51 | 54.8% | -3.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32 Started Drive at: KSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.34 - 2.85 = -1.51 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.85) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.8% Win Probability (After): 50.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 15:00 | |
(4th & 1 at BAY 39) Adrian Martinez pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 3 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST down - KSU 0, BAY 0 | 1.94 | 50.4% | 3.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 36 Started Drive at: KSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.63 - 1.70 = 1.94 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.70) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.4% Win Probability (After): 54.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 14:20 | |
(3rd & 3 at BAY 32) Craig Williams run for 8 yds to the Bayl 40 for a 1ST down - KSU 7, BAY 0 | 1.52 | 34.2% | 3.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 60 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.41 - -0.11 = 1.52 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.11) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 7, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.2% Win Probability (After): 38.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 2:10 | |
(2nd & 5 at KSU 29) Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for 11 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST down - KSU 0, BAY 0 | 1.03 | 53.7% | 3.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 60 Started Drive at: KSU 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.20 - 1.17 = 1.03 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.17) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.7% Win Probability (After): 57.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q3 6:50 | |
(2nd & 12 at BAY 36) Will Howard pass complete to Kade Warner for 17 yds to the Bayl 19 for a 1ST down - KSU 17, BAY 3 | 1.85 | 91.6% | 3.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 19 Started Drive at: KSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.11 - 3.26 = 1.85 Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.26) Score Difference (End): 14 (19.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.6% Win Probability (After): 95.4% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Scoring Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 14:20 | |
(2nd & 10 at BAY 15) Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 15 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK) - KSU 7, BAY 0 | 2.55 | 59.9% | 7.5% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99 Started Drive at: KSU 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.45 = 2.55 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.45) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 7, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 97 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.9% Win Probability (After): 67.3% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 5:57 | |
(4th & 10 at BAY 14) Ty Zentner 31 yd FG GOOD - KSU 10, BAY 0 | 0.43 | 74.8% | -0.4% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 65 Started Drive at: KSU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.57 = 0.43 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.57) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 10, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.8% Win Probability (After): 74.3% Away Score: 7 (10) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 2:09 | |
(2nd & 15 at BAY 20) Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 20 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK) - KSU 17, BAY 0 | 4.56 | 85.3% | 3.2% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99 Started Drive at: KSU 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.44 = 4.56 Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.44) Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.3% Win Probability (After): 88.5% Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 0:00 | |
(4th & 2 at KSU 20) John Mayers 37 yd FG GOOD - KSU 17, BAY 3 | 1.35 | 23.1% | -6.0% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 65 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.65 = 1.35 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-15.35) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.1% Win Probability (After): 17.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 0 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: -2 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 1:53 | |
(3rd & 10 at BAY 19) Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 19 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK) - KSU 24, BAY 3 | 3.27 | 95.1% | 2.3% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 99 Started Drive at: KSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.73 = 3.27 Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.73) Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 24, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.1% Win Probability (After): 97.4% Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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All Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at KSU 35) Noah Rauschenberg kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - KSU 0, BAY 0 | 0.00 | 44.0% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: KSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.0% Win Probability (After): 44.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 15:00 | |
(1st & 10 at KSU 25) Adrian Martinez pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 4 yds to the KanSt 29 - KSU 0, BAY 0 | -0.03 | 48.0% | -0.4% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 71 Started Drive at: KSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.83 - 0.86 = -0.03 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.0% Win Probability (After): 47.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 15:00 | |
(2nd & 6 at KSU 29) Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the KanSt 34 - KSU 0, BAY 0 | 0.38 | 47.6% | 0.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 66 Started Drive at: KSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.21 - 0.83 = 0.38 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.83) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.6% Win Probability (After): 48.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 15:00 | |
(3rd & 1 at KSU 34) Deuce Vaughn run for 8 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST down - KSU 0, BAY 0 | 0.94 | 48.2% | 3.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 58 Started Drive at: KSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.15 - 1.21 = 0.94 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.21) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.2% Win Probability (After): 51.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 15:00 | |
(1st & 10 at KSU 42) Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 2 yds to the KanSt 44 - KSU 0, BAY 0 | -0.46 | 51.8% | -1.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 56 Started Drive at: KSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.69 - 2.15 = -0.46 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.15) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.69) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.8% Win Probability (After): 50.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 15:00 | |
(2nd & 8 at KSU 44) Adrian Martinez pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 8 yds to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST down - KSU 0, BAY 0 | 1.22 | 50.0% | 3.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 48 Started Drive at: KSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.91 - 1.69 = 1.22 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.69) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.0% Win Probability (After): 53.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 15:00 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 48) Adrian Martinez pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 1 yd to the Bayl 47 - KSU 0, BAY 0 | -0.64 | 53.2% | -1.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 47 Started Drive at: KSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.27 - 2.91 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.91) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.2% Win Probability (After): 52.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 15:00 | |
(2nd & 9 at BAY 47) DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the Bayl 43 - KSU 0, BAY 0 | -0.33 | 52.0% | -0.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 43 Started Drive at: KSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.94 - 2.27 = -0.33 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.27) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 32 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.0% Win Probability (After): 51.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 15:00 | |
(3rd & 5 at BAY 43) Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the Bayl 39 - KSU 0, BAY 0 | -0.24 | 51.6% | -1.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 39 Started Drive at: KSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.70 - 1.94 = -0.24 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.94) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.6% Win Probability (After): 50.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 15:00 | |
(4th & 1 at BAY 39) Adrian Martinez pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 3 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST down - KSU 0, BAY 0 | 1.94 | 50.4% | 3.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 36 Started Drive at: KSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.63 - 1.70 = 1.94 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.70) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.4% Win Probability (After): 54.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 15:00 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 36) DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the Bayl 34 - KSU 0, BAY 0 | -0.63 | 54.3% | -0.7% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 34 Started Drive at: KSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.01 - 3.63 = -0.63 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.63) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.3% Win Probability (After): 53.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 15:00 | |
(2nd & 8 at BAY 34) DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the Bayl 32 - KSU 0, BAY 0 | -0.37 | 53.7% | -0.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 32 Started Drive at: KSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.64 - 3.01 = -0.37 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.01) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.7% Win Probability (After): 52.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:41 | |
(3rd & 6 at BAY 32) Timeout BAYLOR, clock 08:41 - KSU 0, BAY 0 | 0.00 | 55.0% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32 Started Drive at: KSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.64 - 2.64 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.64) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.0% Win Probability (After): 55.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 8:41 | |
(3rd & 6 at BAY 32) Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Phillip Brooks - KSU 0, BAY 0 | -1.51 | 54.8% | -3.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32 Started Drive at: KSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.34 - 2.85 = -1.51 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.85) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.8% Win Probability (After): 50.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 8:27 | |
(4th & 6 at BAY 32) Timeout KANSAS ST, clock 08:27 - KSU 0, BAY 0 | 0.00 | 50.7% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32 Started Drive at: KSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.34 - 1.34 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.34) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.7% Win Probability (After): 50.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 8:22 | |
(4th & 6 at BAY 32) Adrian Martinez sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the Bayl 39 - KSU 0, BAY 0 | -3.41 | 51.5% | -6.2% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 61 Started Drive at: KSU 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.06 - 1.35 = -3.41 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.35) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.06) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.5% Win Probability (After): 45.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 8:22 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 39) Craig Williams run for 7 yds to the Bayl 46 - KSU 0, BAY 0 | 0.53 | 54.8% | 1.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 54 Started Drive at: BAY 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.58 - 2.05 = 0.53 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.05) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.8% Win Probability (After): 56.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 8:22 | |
(2nd & 3 at BAY 46) Blake Shapen pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - KSU 0, BAY 0 | 0.20 | 56.1% | 0.6% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 50 Started Drive at: BAY 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - 2.58 = 0.20 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.58) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.1% Win Probability (After): 56.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 8:22 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) Richard Reese run for 4 yds to the KanSt 46 - KSU 0, BAY 0 | -0.06 | 56.7% | -0.0% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 46 Started Drive at: BAY 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.72 - 2.78 = -0.06 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.78) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.7% Win Probability (After): 56.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 8:22 | |
(2nd & 6 at KSU 46) Richard Reese run for 14 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST down - KSU 0, BAY 0 | 1.33 | 56.7% | 1.8% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 32 Started Drive at: BAY 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.04 - 2.72 = 1.33 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.72) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.04) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.7% Win Probability (After): 58.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 8:22 | |
(1st & 10 at KSU 32) Blake Shapen pass complete to Josh Cameron for 8 yds to the KanSt 24 - KSU 0, BAY 0 | 0.47 | 58.5% | 0.5% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 24 Started Drive at: BAY 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.51 - 4.04 = 0.47 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.04) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.5% Win Probability (After): 59.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 8:22 | |
(2nd & 2 at KSU 24) Qualan Jones run for 6 yds to the KanSt 18 for a 1ST down - KSU 0, BAY 0 | 0.33 | 59.0% | 1.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 18 Started Drive at: BAY 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.84 - 4.51 = 0.33 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.51) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.0% Win Probability (After): 60.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 8:22 | |
(1st & 10 at KSU 18) Richard Reese run for 1 yd to the KanSt 17 - KSU 0, BAY 0 | -0.45 | 60.6% | -0.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 17 Started Drive at: BAY 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.39 - 4.84 = -0.45 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.84) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.6% Win Probability (After): 60.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 8:22 | |
(2nd & 9 at KSU 17) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Ben Sims - KSU 0, BAY 0 | -0.76 | 60.2% | -2.2% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 17 Started Drive at: BAY 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.64 - 4.39 = -0.76 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.39) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.2% Win Probability (After): 57.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 4:24 | |
(3rd & 9 at KSU 17) Blake Shapen pass intercepted KANSAS ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Josh Hayes) to the KanSt 3 - KSU 0, BAY 0 | -3.02 | 56.9% | -4.7% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 97 Started Drive at: BAY 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.62 - 3.70 = -3.02 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.64) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.62) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 47 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.9% Win Probability (After): 52.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 4:24 | |
(1st & 10 at KSU 3) Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the KanSt 9 - KSU 0, BAY 0 | 0.38 | 48.7% | -0.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 97 -> 91 Started Drive at: KSU 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.15 - -0.53 = 0.38 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.53) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.7% Win Probability (After): 48.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 4:24 | |
(2nd & 4 at KSU 9) Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 5 yds to the KanSt 14 for a 1ST down - KSU 0, BAY 0 | 0.69 | 48.5% | 2.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 86 Started Drive at: KSU 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.54 - -0.15 = 0.69 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.15) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.5% Win Probability (After): 51.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 4:24 | |
(1st & 10 at KSU 14) Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the KanSt 21 - KSU 0, BAY 0 | 0.33 | 51.4% | 0.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 79 Started Drive at: KSU 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.87 - 0.54 = 0.33 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.54) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 51.4% Win Probability (After): 52.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 4:24 | |
(2nd & 3 at KSU 21) Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 2 yds to the KanSt 23 - KSU 0, BAY 0 | -0.55 | 52.0% | -2.3% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 77 Started Drive at: KSU 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.32 - 0.87 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.87) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.0% Win Probability (After): 49.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 4:24 | |
(3rd & 1 at KSU 23) Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd to the KanSt 24 for a 1ST down - KSU 0, BAY 0 | 0.63 | 49.7% | 3.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 76 Started Drive at: KSU 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.95 - 0.32 = 0.63 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.32) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.7% Win Probability (After): 53.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q1 2:10 | |
(1st & 10 at KSU 24) Timeout BAYLOR, clock 02:10 - KSU 0, BAY 0 | 0.00 | 54.0% | 0.0% |
|
Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76 Started Drive at: KSU 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.95 - 0.95 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.95) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.0% Win Probability (After): 54.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q1 2:10 | |
(1st & 10 at KSU 24) DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the KanSt 29 - KSU 0, BAY 0 | 0.21 | 54.3% | -0.6% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 71 Started Drive at: KSU 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.17 - 0.96 = 0.21 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.96) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.3% Win Probability (After): 53.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q1 2:10 | |
(2nd & 5 at KSU 29) Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for 11 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST down - KSU 0, BAY 0 | 1.03 | 53.7% | 3.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 60 Started Drive at: KSU 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.20 - 1.17 = 1.03 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.17) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.7% Win Probability (After): 57.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q1 2:10 | |
(1st & 10 at KSU 40) Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 44 - KSU 0, BAY 0 | -0.10 | 57.6% | -0.3% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 56 Started Drive at: KSU 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.11 - 2.20 = -0.10 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.20) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.6% Win Probability (After): 57.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q1 2:10 | |
(2nd & 6 at KSU 44) Deuce Vaughn run for 18 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST down - KSU 0, BAY 0 | 1.51 | 57.3% | 2.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 38 Started Drive at: KSU 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.61 - 2.11 = 1.51 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.11) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 59 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.3% Win Probability (After): 60.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q1 0:00 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 38) Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 23 yds to the Bayl 15 for a 1ST down - KSU 0, BAY 0 | 1.43 | 59.6% | 2.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 15 Started Drive at: KSU 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.06 - 3.62 = 1.43 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.62) Score Difference (End): 0 (5.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 82 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.6% Win Probability (After): 62.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 15:00 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 15) Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the Bayl 15 - KSU 0, BAY 0 | -0.57 | 60.0% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15 Started Drive at: KSU 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.46 - 5.03 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.03) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 0, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 82 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.0% Win Probability (After): 59.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 14:20 | |
(2nd & 10 at BAY 15) Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 15 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK) - KSU 7, BAY 0 | 2.55 | 59.9% | 7.5% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 99 Started Drive at: KSU 3 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.45 = 2.55 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.45) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 7, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 97 yards Win Probability (Before): 59.9% Win Probability (After): 67.3% Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 14:20 | |
(Kickoff at BAY 35) Ty Zentner kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - KSU 7, BAY 0 | 0.00 | 34.8% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.15 - 0.15 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.85) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 7, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.8% Win Probability (After): 34.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 14:20 | |
(1st & 15 at BAY 20) Timeout BAYLOR, clock 14:20 - KSU 7, BAY 0 | 0.00 | 33.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.15 - 0.15 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.85) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 7, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.0% Win Probability (After): 33.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 14:20 | |
(1st & 15 at BAY 20) Blake Shapen pass complete to Josh Cameron for 11 yds to the Bayl 31 - KSU 7, BAY 0 | 1.07 | 34.2% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 69 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.56 - -0.51 = 1.07 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.51) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 7, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.2% Win Probability (After): 35.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 14:20 | |
(2nd & 4 at BAY 31) Craig Williams run for 1 yd to the Bayl 32 - KSU 7, BAY 0 | -0.67 | 35.6% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 68 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.11 - 0.56 = -0.67 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.44) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 7, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.6% Win Probability (After): 34.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 14:20 | |
(3rd & 3 at BAY 32) Craig Williams run for 8 yds to the Bayl 40 for a 1ST down - KSU 7, BAY 0 | 1.52 | 34.2% | 3.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 60 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.41 - -0.11 = 1.52 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.11) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 7, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.2% Win Probability (After): 38.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 14:20 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 40) Qualan Jones run for 1 yd to the Bayl 39 - KSU 7, BAY 0 | -1.02 | 38.1% | -3.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 61 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 1.41 = -1.02 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.59) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 7, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.1% Win Probability (After): 34.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 14:20 | |
(2nd & 11 at BAY 39) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Qualan Jones - KSU 7, BAY 0 | -0.87 | 34.6% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.49 - 0.38 = -0.87 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.62) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 7, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.6% Win Probability (After): 33.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 14:20 | |
(3rd & 11 at BAY 39) Blake Shapen pass complete to Qualan Jones for no gain to the Bayl 39 - KSU 7, BAY 0 | -1.27 | 33.0% | -3.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.76 - -0.49 = -1.27 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.49) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 7, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.0% Win Probability (After): 30.0% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 11:20 | |
(4th & 11 at BAY 39) Issac Power punt for 34 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for 13 yds to the KanSt 40 - KSU 7, BAY 0 | -1.93 | 28.7% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 60 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.09 - -1.15 = -1.93 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.15) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.09) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KSU 7, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.7% Win Probability (After): 29.7% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 11:20 | |
(1st & 10 at KSU 40) Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the KanSt 45 - KSU 7, BAY 0 | 0.00 | 70.2% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 55 Started Drive at: KSU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.03 - 3.03 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.03) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.03) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 7, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.2% Win Probability (After): 70.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 11:20 | |
(2nd & 5 at KSU 45) Will Howard pass incomplete to Ben Sinnott - KSU 7, BAY 0 | -0.85 | 70.2% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 55 Started Drive at: KSU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 3.03 = -0.85 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.03) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 7, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 70.2% Win Probability (After): 69.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 11:20 | |
(3rd & 5 at KSU 45) Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 12 yds to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST down - KSU 7, BAY 0 | 1.62 | 69.3% | 2.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 43 Started Drive at: KSU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.80 - 2.18 = 1.62 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.18) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 7, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.3% Win Probability (After): 71.6% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 11:20 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 43) Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Bayl 41 - KSU 7, BAY 0 | -0.39 | 71.6% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 41 Started Drive at: KSU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.40 - 3.80 = -0.39 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.80) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 7, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.6% Win Probability (After): 71.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 11:20 | |
(2nd & 8 at BAY 41) Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 5 yds to the Bayl 36 - KSU 7, BAY 0 | -0.02 | 71.1% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 36 Started Drive at: KSU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.38 - 3.40 = -0.02 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.40) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 7, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.1% Win Probability (After): 72.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 11:20 | |
(3rd & 3 at BAY 36) Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 6 yds to the Bayl 30 for a 1ST down - KSU 7, BAY 0 | 1.04 | 72.3% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 30 Started Drive at: KSU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.42 - 3.38 = 1.04 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.38) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 7, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 72.3% Win Probability (After): 73.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 11:20 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 30) Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 6 yds to the Bayl 24 - KSU 7, BAY 0 | 0.14 | 73.3% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 24 Started Drive at: KSU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.56 - 4.42 = 0.14 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.42) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 7, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.3% Win Probability (After): 74.5% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 11:20 | |
(2nd & 4 at BAY 24) PENALTY KSU False Start 5 yards from BU24 to BU29. NO PLAY. - KSU 7, BAY 0 | -0.62 | 74.5% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 29 Started Drive at: KSU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.94 - 4.56 = -0.62 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.56) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 7, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.5% Win Probability (After): 73.2% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 11:20 | |
(2nd & 9 at BAY 29) Phillip Brooks run for 16 yds to the Bayl 13 for a 1ST down - KSU 7, BAY 0 | 1.29 | 73.2% | 2.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 13 Started Drive at: KSU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.23 - 3.94 = 1.29 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.94) Score Difference (End): 7 (12.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 7, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.2% Win Probability (After): 75.8% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 11:20 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 13) Will Howard pass incomplete to Ben Sinnott - KSU 7, BAY 0 | -0.55 | 75.8% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13 Started Drive at: KSU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.68 - 5.23 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.23) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 7, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.8% Win Probability (After): 75.3% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 11:20 | |
(2nd & 10 at BAY 13) Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Bayl 14 - KSU 7, BAY 0 | -1.05 | 75.3% | -1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 14 Started Drive at: KSU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.63 - 4.68 = -1.05 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.68) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 7, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 75.3% Win Probability (After): 74.1% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 11:20 | |
(3rd & 11 at BAY 14) Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 1 yd to the Bayl 13 - KSU 7, BAY 0 | -0.93 | 74.1% | -2.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 13 Started Drive at: KSU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.70 - 3.63 = -0.93 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.63) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 7, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.1% Win Probability (After): 71.4% Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 5:57 | |
(4th & 10 at BAY 14) Ty Zentner 31 yd FG GOOD - KSU 10, BAY 0 | 0.43 | 74.8% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 65 Started Drive at: KSU 40 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.57 = 0.43 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.57) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 10, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 54 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.8% Win Probability (After): 74.3% Away Score: 7 (10) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 5:57 | |
(Kickoff at BAY 35) Ty Zentner kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - KSU 10, BAY 0 | 0.00 | 28.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.52 - 0.52 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.48) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 10, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.5% Win Probability (After): 28.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 5:57 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 25) Richard Reese run for 1 yd to the Bayl 26 - KSU 10, BAY 0 | -0.44 | 28.5% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 74 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.08 - 0.52 = -0.44 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.48) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 10, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 28.5% Win Probability (After): 27.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 5:57 | |
(2nd & 9 at BAY 26) Blake Shapen pass complete to Craig Williams for 3 yds to the Bayl 29 - KSU 10, BAY 0 | -0.40 | 27.0% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 71 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.32 - 0.08 = -0.40 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.92) Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 10, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 27.0% Win Probability (After): 25.2% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 5:57 | |
(3rd & 6 at BAY 29) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Monaray Baldwin - KSU 10, BAY 0 | -1.12 | 25.2% | -2.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.44 - -0.32 = -1.12 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.32) Score Difference (End): -10 (-11.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 10, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.2% Win Probability (After): 22.7% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 4:54 | |
(4th & 6 at BAY 29) Issac Power punt for 37 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for no gain to the KanSt 34 - KSU 10, BAY 0 | -0.53 | 20.3% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 66 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.85 - -1.32 = -0.53 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-11.32) Score Difference (End): 10 (11.85) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KSU 10, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.3% Win Probability (After): 22.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 4:54 | |
(1st & 10 at KSU 34) Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 19 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST down - KSU 10, BAY 0 | 1.10 | 78.4% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 47 Started Drive at: KSU 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.92 - 1.82 = 1.10 Score Difference (Before): 10 (11.82) Score Difference (End): 10 (12.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 10, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 78.4% Win Probability (After): 80.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 4:54 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 47) Deuce Vaughn run for 10 yds to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST down - KSU 10, BAY 0 | 0.48 | 80.5% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 37 Started Drive at: KSU 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.40 - 2.92 = 0.48 Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.92) Score Difference (End): 10 (13.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 10, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 80.5% Win Probability (After): 81.8% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 4:54 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 37) Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 11 yds to the Bayl 26 for a 1ST down - KSU 10, BAY 0 | 0.73 | 81.8% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 26 Started Drive at: KSU 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.13 - 3.40 = 0.73 Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.40) Score Difference (End): 10 (14.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 10, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 81.8% Win Probability (After): 82.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 4:54 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 26) Will Howard pass incomplete to Phillip Brooks - KSU 10, BAY 0 | -0.48 | 82.5% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26 Started Drive at: KSU 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.64 - 4.13 = -0.48 Score Difference (Before): 10 (14.13) Score Difference (End): 10 (13.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 10, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.5% Win Probability (After): 82.1% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 4:54 | |
(2nd & 10 at BAY 26) Deuce Vaughn run for 11 yds to the Bayl 15 for a 1ST down - KSU 10, BAY 0 | 1.14 | 82.1% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 15 Started Drive at: KSU 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.78 - 3.64 = 1.14 Score Difference (Before): 10 (13.64) Score Difference (End): 10 (14.78) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 10, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 82.1% Win Probability (After): 84.3% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 4:54 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 15) DJ Giddens run for no gain to the Bayl 15 - KSU 10, BAY 0 | -0.52 | 84.3% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15 Started Drive at: KSU 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.26 - 4.78 = -0.52 Score Difference (Before): 10 (14.78) Score Difference (End): 10 (14.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 10, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.3% Win Probability (After): 84.0% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 4:54 | |
(2nd & 10 at BAY 15) PENALTY KSU False Start (Panzer,Hadley) 5 yards from BU15 to BU20. NO PLAY. - KSU 10, BAY 0 | -0.88 | 84.0% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 20 Started Drive at: KSU 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.38 - 4.26 = -0.88 Score Difference (Before): 10 (14.26) Score Difference (End): 10 (13.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 10, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.0% Win Probability (After): 83.5% Away Score: 10 (10) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 2:09 | |
(2nd & 15 at BAY 20) Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 20 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK) - KSU 17, BAY 0 | 4.56 | 85.3% | 3.2% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 99 Started Drive at: KSU 34 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.44 = 4.56 Score Difference (Before): 10 (12.44) Score Difference (End): 17 (17.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.3% Win Probability (After): 88.5% Away Score: 10 (17) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0 |
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| Q2 2:09 | |
(Kickoff at BAY 35) Ty Zentner kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - KSU 17, BAY 0 | 0.00 | 12.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.91 - 0.91 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.09) Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.09) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.7% Win Probability (After): 12.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:09 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 25) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Qualan Jones - KSU 17, BAY 0 | -0.42 | 12.7% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.49 - 0.91 = -0.42 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.09) Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.7% Win Probability (After): 11.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 0 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:09 | |
(1st & 20 at BAY 15) Timeout BAYLOR, clock 02:09 - KSU 17, BAY 0 | 0.00 | 11.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 85 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.49 - 0.49 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.51) Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.1% Win Probability (After): 11.1% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: -1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:09 | |
(1st & 20 at BAY 15) Blake Shapen pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 5 yds to the Bayl 20 - KSU 17, BAY 0 | -0.07 | 14.1% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 80 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.16 - 0.23 = -0.07 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.77) Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.1% Win Probability (After): 13.4% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: -1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:09 | |
(2nd & 15 at BAY 20) Blake Shapen pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 11 yds to the Bayl 31 - KSU 17, BAY 0 | 0.24 | 13.4% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 69 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.41 - 0.16 = 0.24 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.84) Score Difference (End): -17 (-16.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.4% Win Probability (After): 14.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: -1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:09 | |
(3rd & 4 at BAY 31) Blake Shapen run for 5 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST down - KSU 17, BAY 0 | 0.93 | 14.7% | 4.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 64 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.33 - 0.41 = 0.93 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-16.59) Score Difference (End): -17 (-15.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.7% Win Probability (After): 18.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: -1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:09 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 36) No Huddle-Shotgun Shapen,Blake pass incomplete short right to Cameron,Josh PENALTY KSU Holding (Brents,Julius) 10 yards from BU36 to BU46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. - KSU 17, BAY 0 | 0.37 | 18.8% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 54 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.70 - 1.33 = 0.37 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-15.67) Score Difference (End): -17 (-15.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.8% Win Probability (After): 20.1% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: -1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:09 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 46) Blake Shapen pass complete to Hal Presley for 16 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST down - KSU 17, BAY 0 | 0.78 | 20.1% | 3.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 38 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.49 - 1.70 = 0.78 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-15.30) Score Difference (End): -17 (-14.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.1% Win Probability (After): 23.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: -1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:09 | |
(1st & 10 at KSU 38) Qualan Jones run for 6 yds to the KanSt 32 - KSU 17, BAY 0 | 0.50 | 23.7% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 32 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.98 - 2.49 = 0.50 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-14.51) Score Difference (End): -17 (-14.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.7% Win Probability (After): 23.5% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: -1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:09 | |
(2nd & 4 at KSU 32) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Monaray Baldwin - KSU 17, BAY 0 | -0.56 | 23.5% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.42 - 2.98 = -0.56 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-14.02) Score Difference (End): -17 (-14.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.5% Win Probability (After): 22.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: -1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:09 | |
(3rd & 4 at KSU 32) Blake Shapen pass complete to Ben Sims for 5 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST down - KSU 17, BAY 0 | 0.81 | 22.2% | 3.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 27 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.23 - 2.42 = 0.81 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-14.58) Score Difference (End): -17 (-13.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.2% Win Probability (After): 25.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: -1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 2:09 | |
(1st & 10 at KSU 27) Blake Shapen run for no gain to the KanSt 27 - KSU 17, BAY 0 | -0.42 | 25.7% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 27 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.81 - 3.23 = -0.42 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-13.77) Score Difference (End): -17 (-14.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.7% Win Probability (After): 23.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: -1 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:16 | |
(2nd & 10 at KSU 27) Timeout BAYLOR, clock 00:16 - KSU 17, BAY 0 | 0.00 | 23.7% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 27 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.81 - 2.81 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-14.19) Score Difference (End): -17 (-14.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.7% Win Probability (After): 23.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: -2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:16 | |
(2nd & 10 at KSU 27) Blake Shapen pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 8 yds to the KanSt 19 - KSU 17, BAY 0 | 0.68 | 23.3% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 19 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.86 - 2.18 = 0.68 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-14.82) Score Difference (End): -17 (-14.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.3% Win Probability (After): 25.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: -2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:11 | |
(3rd & 2 at KSU 19) Timeout KANSAS ST, clock 00:11 - KSU 17, BAY 0 | 0.00 | 25.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.86 - 2.86 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-14.14) Score Difference (End): -17 (-14.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.5% Win Probability (After): 25.5% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: -2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:11 | |
(3rd & 2 at KSU 19) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Josh Cameron - KSU 17, BAY 0 | -0.76 | 26.1% | -2.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.93 - 2.69 = -0.76 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-14.31) Score Difference (End): -17 (-15.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 0 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.1% Win Probability (After): 23.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: -2 Defense Timeouts: 1 |
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| Q2 0:00 | |
(4th & 2 at KSU 20) John Mayers 37 yd FG GOOD - KSU 17, BAY 3 | 1.35 | 23.1% | -6.0% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 65 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.65 = 1.35 Score Difference (Before): -17 (-15.35) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.1% Win Probability (After): 17.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 0 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: -2 Defense Timeouts: 1 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at BAY 35) Ty Zentner kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - KSU 17, BAY 3 | 0.00 | 17.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.62 - -0.62 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.62) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.2% Win Probability (After): 17.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 25) Richard Reese run for 12 yds to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST down - KSU 17, BAY 3 | 1.09 | 17.2% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 63 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.46 - -0.62 = 1.09 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.62) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.2% Win Probability (After): 17.8% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 37) Blake Shapen run for 2 yds to the Bayl 39 - KSU 17, BAY 3 | -0.54 | 17.8% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 61 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.08 - 0.46 = -0.54 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.54) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.8% Win Probability (After): 17.5% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(2nd & 8 at BAY 39) Blake Shapen pass complete to Josh Cameron for 25 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST down - KSU 17, BAY 3 | 2.76 | 17.5% | 1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 36 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.68 - -0.08 = 2.76 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.08) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.5% Win Probability (After): 19.1% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(1st & 20 at KSU 46) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Hal Presley - KSU 17, BAY 3 | -0.81 | 17.6% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.48 - 1.29 = -0.81 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.71) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 39 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.6% Win Probability (After): 17.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(2nd & 20 at KSU 46) Blake Shapen pass complete to Craig Williams for 7 yds to the KanSt 39 - KSU 17, BAY 3 | -0.48 | 17.0% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 39 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.00 - 0.48 = -0.48 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.52) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.0% Win Probability (After): 16.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(3rd & 13 at KSU 39) Blake Shapen run for 3 yds to the KanSt 36 - KSU 17, BAY 3 | -0.92 | 16.0% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 36 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.92 - 0.00 = -0.92 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.00) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.0% Win Probability (After): 15.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:58 | |
(4th & 10 at KSU 36) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Josh Cameron - KSU 17, BAY 3 | -2.37 | 14.3% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 64 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.21 - -0.84 = -2.37 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.84) Score Difference (End): 14 (17.21) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 49 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.3% Win Probability (After): 12.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 11:58 | |
(1st & 10 at KSU 36) Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 39 - KSU 17, BAY 3 | -0.41 | 89.4% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 61 Started Drive at: KSU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.84 - 3.25 = -0.41 Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.25) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.4% Win Probability (After): 89.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:58 | |
(2nd & 7 at KSU 39) Will Howard pass incomplete to Ben Sinnott - KSU 17, BAY 3 | -0.97 | 89.3% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61 Started Drive at: KSU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - 2.84 = -0.97 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.84) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.3% Win Probability (After): 88.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:58 | |
(3rd & 7 at KSU 39) Will Howard pass incomplete to Deuce Vaughn - KSU 17, BAY 3 | -1.31 | 88.3% | -2.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61 Started Drive at: KSU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.56 - 1.87 = -1.31 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.87) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 88.3% Win Probability (After): 86.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:56 | |
(4th & 7 at KSU 39) Ty Zentner punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Gavin Holmes at the Bayl 13 - KSU 17, BAY 3 | 0.64 | 86.9% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 87 Started Drive at: KSU 36 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.98 - 0.34 = 0.64 Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.34) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.98) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.9% Win Probability (After): 84.9% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 10:56 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 13) Richard Reese run for 6 yds to the Bayl 19 - KSU 17, BAY 3 | 0.04 | 14.1% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 81 Started Drive at: BAY 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.97 - -1.01 = 0.04 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.01) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.1% Win Probability (After): 14.4% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:56 | |
(2nd & 4 at BAY 19) Craig Williams run for 1 yd to the Bayl 20 - KSU 17, BAY 3 | -0.69 | 14.4% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 80 Started Drive at: BAY 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.66 - -0.97 = -0.69 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.97) Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.4% Win Probability (After): 13.4% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:56 | |
(3rd & 3 at BAY 20) Richard Reese run for 10 yds to the Bayl 30 for a 1ST down - KSU 17, BAY 3 | 1.66 | 13.4% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 70 Started Drive at: BAY 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.00 - -1.66 = 1.66 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.66) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 13.4% Win Probability (After): 15.3% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:56 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 30) Richard Reese run for 5 yds to the Bayl 35 - KSU 17, BAY 3 | 0.19 | 15.3% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 65 Started Drive at: BAY 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.19 - 0.00 = 0.19 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.00) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.81) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.3% Win Probability (After): 15.6% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:56 | |
(2nd & 5 at BAY 35) Blake Shapen pass complete to Ben Sims for 8 yds to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST down - KSU 17, BAY 3 | 0.84 | 15.6% | 2.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 57 Started Drive at: BAY 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.03 - 0.19 = 0.84 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.81) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.6% Win Probability (After): 18.2% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:56 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 43) Blake Shapen pass complete to Craig Williams for no gain to the Bayl 43 - KSU 17, BAY 3 | -0.67 | 18.2% | -2.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 57 Started Drive at: BAY 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.37 - 1.03 = -0.67 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.97) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.2% Win Probability (After): 16.1% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:56 | |
(2nd & 10 at BAY 43) Blake Shapen run for 1 yd to the Bayl 44 - KSU 17, BAY 3 | -0.83 | 16.1% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 56 Started Drive at: BAY 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.46 - 0.37 = -0.83 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.63) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.46) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.1% Win Probability (After): 14.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 10:56 | |
(3rd & 9 at BAY 44) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Hal Presley - KSU 17, BAY 3 | -1.61 | 14.7% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 56 Started Drive at: BAY 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.07 - -0.46 = -1.61 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.46) Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.7% Win Probability (After): 13.0% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:50 | |
(4th & 9 at BAY 44) Issac Power punt for 56 yds for a touchback - KSU 17, BAY 3 | -0.47 | 9.2% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 80 Started Drive at: BAY 13 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.42 - -1.95 = -0.47 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.95) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.42) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.2% Win Probability (After): 10.5% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 6:50 | |
(1st & 10 at KSU 20) Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 1 yd to the KanSt 21 - KSU 17, BAY 3 | -0.58 | 90.9% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 79 Started Drive at: KSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.72 - 2.30 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.30) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.9% Win Probability (After): 90.4% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:50 | |
(2nd & 9 at KSU 21) Will Howard run for 8 yds to the KanSt 29 - KSU 17, BAY 3 | 0.41 | 90.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 71 Started Drive at: KSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.13 - 1.72 = 0.41 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.72) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.4% Win Probability (After): 90.5% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:50 | |
(3rd & 1 at KSU 29) Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 5 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST down - KSU 17, BAY 3 | 0.94 | 90.5% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 66 Started Drive at: KSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.07 - 2.13 = 0.94 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.13) Score Difference (End): 14 (17.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.5% Win Probability (After): 91.4% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:50 | |
(1st & 10 at KSU 34) Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the KanSt 39 - KSU 17, BAY 3 | -0.16 | 91.4% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 61 Started Drive at: KSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.91 - 3.07 = -0.16 Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.07) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.4% Win Probability (After): 91.4% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:50 | |
(2nd & 5 at KSU 39) Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 8 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST down - KSU 17, BAY 3 | 0.63 | 91.4% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 53 Started Drive at: KSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.55 - 2.91 = 0.63 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.91) Score Difference (End): 14 (17.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.4% Win Probability (After): 92.4% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:50 | |
(1st & 10 at KSU 47) Will Howard pass incomplete to Kade Warner - KSU 17, BAY 3 | -0.57 | 92.4% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 53 Started Drive at: KSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.97 - 3.55 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.55) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.4% Win Probability (After): 91.4% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:50 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 34) Will Howard run for 2 yds to the Bayl 36 - KSU 17, BAY 3 | -1.16 | 94.1% | -2.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 36 Started Drive at: KSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.26 - 4.42 = -1.16 Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.42) Score Difference (End): 14 (17.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.1% Win Probability (After): 91.6% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:50 | |
(2nd & 12 at BAY 36) Will Howard pass complete to Kade Warner for 17 yds to the Bayl 19 for a 1ST down - KSU 17, BAY 3 | 1.85 | 91.6% | 3.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 19 Started Drive at: KSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.11 - 3.26 = 1.85 Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.26) Score Difference (End): 14 (19.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.6% Win Probability (After): 95.4% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:50 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 19) Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the Bayl 19 - KSU 17, BAY 3 | -0.61 | 95.4% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19 Started Drive at: KSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.50 - 5.11 = -0.61 Score Difference (Before): 14 (19.11) Score Difference (End): 14 (18.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.4% Win Probability (After): 94.7% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 6:50 | |
(2nd & 10 at BAY 19) DJ Giddens run for no gain to the Bayl 19 - KSU 17, BAY 3 | -0.84 | 94.7% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19 Started Drive at: KSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.67 - 4.50 = -0.84 Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.50) Score Difference (End): 14 (17.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 17, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 46 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.7% Win Probability (After): 93.4% Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:53 | |
(3rd & 10 at BAY 19) Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 19 yds for a TD, (Ty Zentner KICK) - KSU 24, BAY 3 | 3.27 | 95.1% | 2.3% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 99 Started Drive at: KSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.73 = 3.27 Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.73) Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 24, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.1% Win Probability (After): 97.4% Away Score: 17 (24) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:45 | |
(Kickoff at BAY 35) Ty Zentner kickoff for 59 yds , Jordan Nabors return for 6 yds to the Bayl 12 - KSU 24, BAY 3 | -1.47 | 1.8% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense) Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 88 Started Drive at: BAY 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.68 - -1.21 = -1.47 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-22.21) Score Difference (End): -21 (-23.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 24, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.8% Win Probability (After): 1.8% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:45 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 12) Richard Reese run for 1 yd to the Bayl 13 - KSU 24, BAY 3 | -0.64 | 1.7% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 87 Started Drive at: BAY 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.28 - -1.65 = -0.64 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-22.65) Score Difference (End): -21 (-23.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 24, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.7% Win Probability (After): 1.6% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:45 | |
(2nd & 9 at BAY 13) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Monaray Baldwin - KSU 24, BAY 3 | -0.72 | 1.6% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 87 Started Drive at: BAY 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.01 - -2.28 = -0.72 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-23.28) Score Difference (End): -21 (-24.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 24, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.6% Win Probability (After): 1.4% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:45 | |
(3rd & 9 at BAY 13) Blake Shapen run for 6 yds to the Bayl 19 - KSU 24, BAY 3 | -0.46 | 1.4% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 81 Started Drive at: BAY 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.47 - -3.01 = -0.46 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-24.01) Score Difference (End): -21 (-24.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 24, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.4% Win Probability (After): 1.3% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:27 | |
(4th & 3 at BAY 19) Blake Shapen pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 1 yd to the Bayl 20 - KSU 24, BAY 3 | -2.01 | 1.3% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 20 Started Drive at: BAY 12 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -5.49 - -3.49 = -2.01 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-24.49) Score Difference (End): 21 (26.49) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KSU 24, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 8 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.3% Win Probability (After): 0.7% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 0:27 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 20) Will Howard pass incomplete to Phillip Brooks - KSU 24, BAY 3 | -0.55 | 99.4% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20 Started Drive at: BAY 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.96 - 5.51 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): 21 (26.51) Score Difference (End): 21 (25.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 24, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.4% Win Probability (After): 99.3% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 15:00 | |
(1st & Goal at BAY 3) DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the Bayl 1 - KSU 24, BAY 3 | 0.08 | 99.5% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 1 Started Drive at: BAY 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.55 - 6.47 = 0.08 Score Difference (Before): 21 (27.47) Score Difference (End): 21 (27.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 24, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.5% Win Probability (After): 99.5% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:06 | |
(Kickoff at BAY 35) Ty Zentner kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - KSU 24, BAY 3 | 0.05 | 1.7% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.18 - -1.23 = 0.05 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-22.23) Score Difference (End): -21 (-22.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 24, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.7% Win Probability (After): 1.7% Away Score: 24 (24) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:06 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 25) Blake Shapen pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 24 yds to the Bayl 49 for a 1ST down - KSU 38, BAY 3 | 1.88 | 1.7% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 51 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.66 - -1.23 = 1.88 Score Difference (Before): -21 (-22.23) Score Difference (End): -21 (-20.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 24 yards Win Probability (Before): 1.7% Win Probability (After): 0.3% Away Score: 24 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:06 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 49) Blake Shapen pass complete to Josh Cameron for 7 yds to the KanSt 44 - KSU 38, BAY 3 | 0.85 | 0.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 44 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.50 - 0.65 = 0.85 Score Difference (Before): -35 (-34.35) Score Difference (End): -35 (-33.50) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:06 | |
(2nd & 3 at KSU 44) Blake Shapen pass complete to Josh Cameron for 20 yds to the KanSt 24 for a 1ST down - KSU 38, BAY 3 | 1.55 | 0.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 24 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.05 - 1.50 = 1.55 Score Difference (Before): -35 (-33.50) Score Difference (End): -35 (-31.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:06 | |
(1st & 10 at KSU 24) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Josh Cameron - KSU 38, BAY 3 | -0.68 | 0.2% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.37 - 3.05 = -0.68 Score Difference (Before): -35 (-31.95) Score Difference (End): -35 (-32.63) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:06 | |
(2nd & 10 at KSU 24) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Monaray Baldwin - KSU 38, BAY 3 | -0.99 | 0.2% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 24 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.38 - 2.37 = -0.99 Score Difference (Before): -35 (-32.63) Score Difference (End): -35 (-33.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:06 | |
(3rd & 10 at KSU 24) Blake Shapen run for 4 yds to the KanSt 20 - KSU 38, BAY 3 | -0.97 | 0.2% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 20 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.41 - 1.38 = -0.97 Score Difference (Before): -35 (-33.62) Score Difference (End): -35 (-34.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.2% Win Probability (After): 0.2% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:15 | |
(4th & 6 at KSU 20) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Hal Presley - KSU 38, BAY 3 | -3.17 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 80 Started Drive at: BAY 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.73 - 0.43 = -3.17 Score Difference (Before): -35 (-34.57) Score Difference (End): 35 (37.73) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 55 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 12:15 | |
(1st & 10 at KSU 20) Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 5 yds to the KanSt 25 - KSU 38, BAY 3 | -0.20 | 99.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 75 Started Drive at: KSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.42 - 2.62 = -0.20 Score Difference (Before): 35 (37.62) Score Difference (End): 35 (37.42) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:15 | |
(2nd & 5 at KSU 25) Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST down - KSU 38, BAY 3 | 0.59 | 99.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 68 Started Drive at: KSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.01 - 2.42 = 0.59 Score Difference (Before): 35 (37.42) Score Difference (End): 35 (38.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:15 | |
(1st & 10 at KSU 32) Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 34 - KSU 38, BAY 3 | -0.44 | 99.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 66 Started Drive at: KSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.57 - 3.01 = -0.44 Score Difference (Before): 35 (38.01) Score Difference (End): 35 (37.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:15 | |
(2nd & 8 at KSU 34) Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 2 yds to the KanSt 36 - KSU 38, BAY 3 | -0.50 | 99.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 64 Started Drive at: KSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 2.57 = -0.50 Score Difference (Before): 35 (37.57) Score Difference (End): 35 (37.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:15 | |
(3rd & 6 at KSU 36) DJ Giddens run for 7 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST down - KSU 38, BAY 3 | 1.33 | 99.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 57 Started Drive at: KSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.40 - 2.07 = 1.33 Score Difference (Before): 35 (37.07) Score Difference (End): 35 (38.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:15 | |
(1st & 10 at KSU 43) DJ Giddens run for 17 yds to the Bayl 40 for a 1ST down - KSU 38, BAY 3 | 0.82 | 99.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 40 Started Drive at: KSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.22 - 3.40 = 0.82 Score Difference (Before): 35 (38.40) Score Difference (End): 35 (39.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:15 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 40) Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Bayl 41 - KSU 38, BAY 3 | -0.94 | 99.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 41 Started Drive at: KSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - 4.22 = -0.94 Score Difference (Before): 35 (39.22) Score Difference (End): 35 (38.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:15 | |
(2nd & 11 at BAY 41) Will Howard pass incomplete to Deuce Vaughn - KSU 38, BAY 3 | -0.85 | 99.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 41 Started Drive at: KSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - 3.28 = -0.85 Score Difference (Before): 35 (38.28) Score Difference (End): 35 (37.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:15 | |
(3rd & 11 at BAY 41) Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Bayl 38 - KSU 38, BAY 3 | -1.20 | 99.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 38 Started Drive at: KSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.24 - 2.43 = -1.20 Score Difference (Before): 35 (37.43) Score Difference (End): 35 (36.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 12:15 | |
(4th & 8 at BAY 38) KANSAS ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (Josh Hayes) declined - KSU 38, BAY 3 | 2.04 | 99.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 38 Started Drive at: KSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.28 - 1.24 = 2.04 Score Difference (Before): 35 (36.24) Score Difference (End): 35 (38.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 6:45 | |
(4th & 8 at BAY 38) Ty Zentner punt for 23 yds, fair catch by Gavin Holmes at the Bayl 15 - KSU 38, BAY 3 | 0.25 | 99.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 85 Started Drive at: KSU 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.22 - 0.96 = 0.25 Score Difference (Before): 35 (35.96) Score Difference (End): -35 (-36.22) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 44 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 99.9% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 6:45 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 15) Blake Shapen pass complete to Hal Presley for 6 yds to the Bayl 21 - KSU 38, BAY 3 | 0.16 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 79 Started Drive at: BAY 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.04 - -0.13 = 0.16 Score Difference (Before): -35 (-35.13) Score Difference (End): -35 (-34.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:45 | |
(2nd & 4 at BAY 21) Blake Shapen pass complete to Josh Cameron for 12 yds to the Bayl 33 for a 1ST down - KSU 38, BAY 3 | 0.57 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 67 Started Drive at: BAY 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.61 - 0.04 = 0.57 Score Difference (Before): -35 (-34.96) Score Difference (End): -35 (-34.39) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:45 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 33) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Monaray Baldwin - KSU 38, BAY 3 | -0.45 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 67 Started Drive at: BAY 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.16 - 0.61 = -0.45 Score Difference (Before): -35 (-34.39) Score Difference (End): -35 (-34.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:45 | |
(2nd & 10 at BAY 33) Blake Shapen pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 11 yds to the Bayl 44 for a 1ST down - KSU 38, BAY 3 | 1.18 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 56 Started Drive at: BAY 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.34 - 0.16 = 1.18 Score Difference (Before): -35 (-34.84) Score Difference (End): -35 (-33.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 6:45 | |
(1st & 10 at BAY 44) Blake Shapen pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 11 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST down - KSU 38, BAY 3 | 0.73 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 45 Started Drive at: BAY 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 1.34 = 0.73 Score Difference (Before): -35 (-33.66) Score Difference (End): -35 (-32.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:19 | |
(1st & 10 at KSU 45) Timeout BAYLOR, clock 05:19 - KSU 38, BAY 3 | 0.00 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45 Started Drive at: BAY 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.07 - 2.07 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -35 (-32.93) Score Difference (End): -35 (-32.93) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:19 | |
(1st & 10 at KSU 45) Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Hal Presley - KSU 38, BAY 3 | -0.43 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45 Started Drive at: BAY 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.52 - 1.95 = -0.43 Score Difference (Before): -35 (-33.05) Score Difference (End): -35 (-33.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.1% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 4:57 | |
(2nd & 10 at KSU 45) Blake Shapen pass intercepted - KSU 38, BAY 3 | -2.88 | 0.1% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 79 Started Drive at: BAY 15 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.33 - 1.55 = -2.88 Score Difference (Before): -35 (-33.45) Score Difference (End): 35 (36.33) Change of Possession: 1 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 40 yards Win Probability (Before): 0.1% Win Probability (After): 0.0% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 4:57 | |
(1st & 10 at KSU 21) PENALTY KSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting BU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting. NO PLAY. - KSU 38, BAY 3 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 79 Started Drive at: KSU 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 1.29 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 35 (36.29) Score Difference (End): 35 (36.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 4:57 | |
(1st & 10 at KSU 21) Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 24 - KSU 38, BAY 3 | -0.40 | 100.0% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 76 Started Drive at: KSU 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.88 - 1.29 = -0.40 Score Difference (Before): 35 (36.29) Score Difference (End): 35 (35.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 4:57 | |
(2nd & 7 at KSU 24) Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 21 - KSU 38, BAY 3 | -0.49 | 100.0% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 79 Started Drive at: KSU 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.40 - 0.88 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): 35 (35.88) Score Difference (End): 35 (35.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 4:57 | |
(3rd & 10 at KSU 21) Will Howard pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 10 yds to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST down - KSU 38, BAY 3 | 1.12 | 100.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 69 Started Drive at: KSU 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.52 - 0.40 = 1.12 Score Difference (Before): 35 (35.40) Score Difference (End): 35 (36.52) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 4:57 | |
(1st & 10 at KSU 31) Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 33 - KSU 38, BAY 3 | -0.45 | 100.0% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 67 Started Drive at: KSU 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.06 - 1.52 = -0.45 Score Difference (Before): 35 (36.52) Score Difference (End): 35 (36.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 4:57 | |
(2nd & 8 at KSU 33) DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST down - KSU 38, BAY 3 | 0.82 | 100.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 59 Started Drive at: KSU 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.88 - 1.06 = 0.82 Score Difference (Before): 35 (36.06) Score Difference (End): 35 (36.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 4:57 | |
(1st & 10 at KSU 41) DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KanSt 43 - KSU 38, BAY 3 | -0.47 | 100.0% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 57 Started Drive at: KSU 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.41 - 1.88 = -0.47 Score Difference (Before): 35 (36.88) Score Difference (End): 35 (36.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 100.0% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:00 | |
(2nd & 8 at KSU 43) DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the Bayl 49 for a 1ST down - KSU 38, BAY 3 | 2.28 | 99.9% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 49 Started Drive at: KSU 21 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - 0.16 = 2.28 Score Difference (Before): 35 (35.16) Score Difference (End): 35 (37.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: KSU 38, BAY 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 99.9% Win Probability (After): 100.0% Away Score: 38 (38) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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