W Carolina 17 @ Georgia Tech 35

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 2.89 | Odds: GT -24.5, O/U 65.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Concept from Robert Binion (@robert_binion). Cell colors reflect the percentile of a team's performance against all single-game FBS vs FBS performances in that stat in 2022.
Overall ESPN team id 2717 ESPN team id 59
EPA/Play -0.21 15th %ile0.17 75th %ile
Success Rate 51% 88th %ile45% 70th %ile
Yards/Play 5.00 27th %ile6.75 74th %ile
EPA/Dropback -0.22 26th %ile0.06 54th %ile
EPA/Rush -0.19 21st %ile0.22 82nd %ile
Yards/Dropback 6.60 58th %ile5.88 46th %ile
Explosive Play Rate 5% 16th %ile11% 79th %ile
3rd Down Success Rate 35% 32nd %ile45% 60th %ile
Red Zone Success Rate 0% 5th %ile50% 72nd %ile
Def Run Stuff Rate 17% 4th %ile24% 22nd %ile
Havoc Rate 22% 95th %ile8% 32nd %ile
Expected Points ESPN team id 2717 ESPN team id 59
Total Plays 8965
Total EPA -17.082.83
  Offensive EPA -16.478.95
  Special Teams EPA 0.09-7.06
  Penalty EPA -0.710.95
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA 0.01-0.01
Production ESPN team id 2717 ESPN team id 59
Scrimmage Plays 7953
  Yards 395358
  Yards/Play 5.006.75
  EPA -16.478.95
  EPA/Play -0.210.17
Passes 42 (53%)17 (32%)
  Yards 277100
  Yards/Play 6.605.88
  EPA -9.321.10
  EPA/Play -0.220.06
Rushes 37 (47%)36 (68%)
  Yards 146258
  Yards/Play 3.957.17
  EPA -7.157.85
  EPA/Play -0.190.22
Rushing ESPN team id 2717 ESPN team id 59
Scrimmage Plays 7953
Rushes 37 (47%)36 (68%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 2 (5%)2 (6%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 1 (50%)1 (50%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 9 (24%)6 (17%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 15 (41%)14 (39%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 20 (54%)20 (56%)
OL Line Yards 22.461.2
  Per Carry 0.611.70
Highlight Yards 41125
  Per Rush Opportunity 2.056.25
Explosiveness ESPN team id 2717 ESPN team id 59
Total Plays 8965
Scrimmage Plays 7953
Explosive Plays 4 (5%)6 (11%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 3 (7%)2 (12%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 1 (3%)4 (11%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -28.64-10.16
  EPA/Play -0.38-0.22
  When Passing -19.46-5.05
    EPA/Play -0.46-0.30
  When Rushing -9.19-5.12
    EPA/Play -0.26-0.16
Situational ESPN team id 2717 ESPN team id 59
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 40 (51%)24 (45%)
  When Passing 21 (50%)7 (41%)
  When Rushing 19 (51%)17 (47%)
  On Standard Downs 29 (50%)20 (53%)
  On Passing Downs 11 (52%)4 (27%)
  On Early Downs 34 (54%)19 (45%)
  On Late Downs 6 (38%)5 (45%)
  During "Middle 8" 14 (52%)3 (60%)
Early Downs 6342
  First Downs Created 16 (25%)8 (19%)
  EPA -2.298.04
  EPA/Play -0.040.19
  Passes 32 (51%)14 (33%)
  Rushes 31 (49%)28 (67%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 18 (56%)5 (36%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 16 (52%)14 (50%)
"Middle 8" Plays 275
  EPA -12.100.46
  EPA/play -0.450.09
  Passes 15 (56%)2 (40%)
  Rushes 12 (44%)3 (60%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 6 (40%)1 (50%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 8 (67%)2 (67%)
Drives ESPN team id 2717 ESPN team id 59
Total 1312
Avg Starting Field Position Own 21Own 39
Plays/Drive 7.305.47
Yards/Drive 35.6241.43
Available Yards % 45%68%
Defensive ESPN team id 2717 ESPN team id 59
Scrimmage Plays 5379
Stop Rate 32%41%
Havoc Plays Created 4 (8%)17 (22%)
  Passing 1 (6%)11 (26%)
  Rushing 3 (8%)6 (16%)
TFLs Generated 313
  Passing 07
  Rushing 36
Sacks Generated 0 (0%)5 (12%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 14
Fumbles Forced 00
Turnovers ESPN team id 2717 ESPN team id 59
Turnovers 51
  Fumbles 20
  Fumbles Lost 10
  Fumbles Recovered 10
  Interceptions 41
Turnover Margin -44
Expected Turnovers 1.90.2
Expected Turnover Margin -1.71.7
Turnover Luck (pts) -11.711.7
Special Teams ESPN team id 2717 ESPN team id 59
Total Plays 10 12
Total EPA 0.09 -7.06
  Field Goal EPA 3.38 -1.75
  Punting EPA -2.04 -2.24
  Kickoff Return EPA -1.24 -3.07

Western Carolina [show/hide]

ESPN team id 2717
Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Carlos Davis 19/29, 239 yds, 2 TD, 3 INT, 4 Scks, 45.9 xQBR, 1.49 DETMER 7.24 -0.07 -2.28 52% -2.0%
Cole Gonzales 6/8, 38 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 1 Sck, 7.7 xQBR, 0.05 DETMER 4.22 -0.78 -7.03 44% 0.0%
Rush attempts
Corey Reddick Jr. 6 carries, 32 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.33 0.34 2.06 50% 0.0%
Carlos Davis 9 carries, 58 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.44 0.21 1.85 78% 0.0%
Branson Adams 1 carry, 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 -0.04 -0.04 0% 0.0%
Cole Gonzales 4 carries, 10 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (0 lost) 2.50 -0.32 -1.27 50% 0.0%
TJ Jones 5 carries, 14 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.80 -0.28 -1.42 20% 0.0%
Desmond Reid 11 carries, 47 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.27 -0.17 -1.90 55% -1.0%
Pass targets
Ajay Belanger 7 catches (7 targets), 48 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.86 0.64 4.50 86% -4.0%
Terrence Horne 1 catch (1 target), 49 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 49.00 4.04 4.04 100% 6.0%
Desmond Reid 4 catches (4 targets), 65 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 16.25 0.94 3.78 75% 5.0%
TJ Jones 5 catches (5 targets), 38 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.60 0.64 3.18 80% 3.0%
Censere Lee 1 catch (1 target), 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 21.00 2.57 2.57 100% 1.0%
Toler Keigley 1 catch (1 target), 22 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 22.00 2.34 2.34 100% 4.0%
Raphael Williams 2 catches (2 targets), 22 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.00 0.54 1.08 100% 0.0%
Corey Reddick Jr. 1 catch (1 target), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.00 0.48 0.48 100% -2.0%
Branson Adams 1 catch (1 target), -1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -1.00 0.35 0.35 100% 0.0%
Clayton Bardall 1 catch (1 target), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.00 0.29 0.29 100% 0.0%
Carlos Davis 1 catch (1 target), -6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -6.00 -1.08 -1.08 0% 0.0%

Georgia Tech [show/hide]

ESPN team id 59
Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Jeff Sims 8/17, 100 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 0 Scks, 55.9 xQBR, 0.13 DETMER 5.88 0.06 1.10 41% 11.0%
Rush attempts
Dontae Smith 13 carries, 117 yds, 3 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.00 0.63 8.17 46% 9.0%
Nate McCollum 2 carries, 47 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 23.50 2.25 4.51 100% 5.0%
Jeff Sims 8 carries, 48 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 6.00 -0.05 -0.41 62% 1.0%
Hassan Hall 5 carries, 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.20 -0.36 -1.81 20% -1.0%
Dylan McDuffie 8 carries, 25 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.12 -0.33 -2.62 38% -1.0%
Pass targets
Nate McCollum 1 catch (1 target), 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 17.00 3.38 3.38 100% 6.0%
Luke Benson 1 catch (1 target), 19 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 19.00 2.76 2.76 100% 7.0%
Kalani Norris 1 catch (1 target), 17 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 17.00 1.97 1.97 100% 2.0%
Malachi Carter 2 catches (2 targets), 22 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 11.00 0.98 1.96 100% 1.0%
E.J. Jenkins 1 catch (1 target), 13 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 13.00 0.85 0.85 100% 3.0%
Peje' Harris 1 catch (1 target), 12 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.00 0.74 0.74 100% 0.0%
Malik Rutherford 1 catch (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.52 -0.52 0% 0.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q3 11:12 ESPN team id 2717 (3rd & 1 at GT 36) run for a loss of 18 yards to the WCaro 46 fumbled, recovered by GTech Ayinde Eley - WCU 14, GT 28 -6.44 3.7% -2.5%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 46

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.08 - 2.36 = -6.44

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.64)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.08)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.7%

Win Probability (After): 1.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:22 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 2 at WCU 42) Carlos Davis pass intercepted - WCU 14, GT 14 -4.98 12.5% -1.4%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 60

Started Drive at: WCU 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.38 - 2.60 = -4.98

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.60)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.38)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WCU 14, GT 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.5%

Win Probability (After): 11.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:10 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 11 at WCU 33) Cole Gonzales pass intercepted - WCU 17, GT 35 -4.80 0.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 12

Started Drive at: WCU 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -5.29 - -0.49 = -4.80

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.49)

Score Difference (End): 18 (23.29)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:35 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 1 at GT 49) Dontae Smith 51 Yd Run (Jude Kelley Kick) - WCU 14, GT 14 4.78 84.5% 8.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.22 = 4.78

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.78)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.5%

Win Probability (After): 92.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:12 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at GT 49) Terrence Horne 49 Yd pass from Carlos Davis (Richard McCollum Kick) - WCU 7, GT 0 4.04 8.5% 6.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 99

Started Drive at: WCU 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.96 = 4.04

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.96)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 84 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.5%

Win Probability (After): 14.8%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:56 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 9 at WCU 40) Nate McCollum 40 Yd Run (Jude Kelley Kick) - WCU 14, GT 21 3.99 89.7% 4.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.01 = 3.99

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.01)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.7%

Win Probability (After): 94.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:32 ESPN team id 2717 (3rd & 10 at WCU 48) Carlos Davis pass complete to Desmond Reid for 30 yds to the GTech 22 for a 1ST down - WCU 7, GT 7 3.54 9.3% 3.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 22

Started Drive at: WCU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.65 - 1.11 = 3.54

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.11)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 7, GT 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.3%

Win Probability (After): 13.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:06 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 11 at GT 27) Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 17 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST down - WCU 7, GT 0 3.38 73.2% 6.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 56

Started Drive at: GT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.42 - -1.96 = 3.38

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.96)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.2%

Win Probability (After): 79.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:21 ESPN team id 2717 (4th & 20 at GT 27) Richard McCollum 44 yd FG GOOD - WCU 17, GT 35 3.38 0.3% 0.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 65

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - -0.38 = 3.38

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.38)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 3:13 ESPN team id 2717 (3rd & 3 at WCU 30) Carlos Davis pass intercepted - WCU 14, GT 21 -3.21 6.9% -2.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 39

Started Drive at: WCU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.89 - 0.31 = -3.21

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.69)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.89)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.9%

Win Probability (After): 4.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 4:35 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 1 at GT 49) Dontae Smith 51 Yd Run (Jude Kelley Kick) - WCU 14, GT 14 4.78 84.5% 8.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.22 = 4.78

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.78)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.5%

Win Probability (After): 92.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:06 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 10 at GT 44) Jeff Sims pass complete to Luke Benson for 19 yds to the WCaro 37 for a 1ST down - WCU 7, GT 0 2.76 75.4% 6.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 37

Started Drive at: GT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.67 - -0.09 = 2.76

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.09)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.4%

Win Probability (After): 82.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:06 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 11 at GT 27) Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 17 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST down - WCU 7, GT 0 3.38 73.2% 6.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 56

Started Drive at: GT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.42 - -1.96 = 3.38

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.96)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.2%

Win Probability (After): 79.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:12 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at GT 49) Terrence Horne 49 Yd pass from Carlos Davis (Richard McCollum Kick) - WCU 7, GT 0 4.04 8.5% 6.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 99

Started Drive at: WCU 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.96 = 4.04

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.96)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 84 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.5%

Win Probability (After): 14.8%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:56 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 9 at WCU 40) Nate McCollum 40 Yd Run (Jude Kelley Kick) - WCU 14, GT 21 3.99 89.7% 4.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.01 = 3.99

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.01)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.7%

Win Probability (After): 94.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:56 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 3 at WCU 32) Carlos Davis pass complete to Ajay Belanger for 6 yds to the WCaro 38 for a 1ST down - WCU 14, GT 27 0.65 7.4% -4.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 62

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.78 - 1.13 = 0.65

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.87)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-11.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 27

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.4%

Win Probability (After): 2.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:58 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 2 at GT 46) David Shanahan punt for 43 yds - WCU 0, GT 0 0.07 92.8% 4.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 89

Started Drive at: GT 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.06 - -0.13 = 0.07

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.13)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.06)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WCU 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.8%

Win Probability (After): 97.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 6:32 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 10 at WCU 48) Carlos Davis pass incomplete - WCU 7, GT 7 -0.95 10.2% -4.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52

Started Drive at: WCU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.10 - 2.05 = -0.95

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 7, GT 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.2%

Win Probability (After): 6.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:37 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at GT 22) Toler Keigley 22 Yd pass from Carlos Davis (Richard McCollum Kick) - WCU 14, GT 7 2.34 14.4% 3.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 99

Started Drive at: WCU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.66 = 2.34

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.66)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.4%

Win Probability (After): 18.2%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:32 ESPN team id 2717 (3rd & 10 at WCU 48) Carlos Davis pass complete to Desmond Reid for 30 yds to the GTech 22 for a 1ST down - WCU 7, GT 7 3.54 9.3% 3.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 22

Started Drive at: WCU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.65 - 1.11 = 3.54

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.11)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 7, GT 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.3%

Win Probability (After): 13.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 11:12 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at GT 49) Terrence Horne 49 Yd pass from Carlos Davis (Richard McCollum Kick) - WCU 7, GT 0 4.04 8.5% 6.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 99

Started Drive at: WCU 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.96 = 4.04

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.96)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 84 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.5%

Win Probability (After): 14.8%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:22 ESPN team id 59 (1st & Goal at WCU 9) Dontae Smith 9 Yd Run (Jude Kelley Kick) - WCU 7, GT 7 1.90 87.3% 3.4%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.10 = 1.90

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.90)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 7, GT 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.3%

Win Probability (After): 90.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:37 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at GT 22) Toler Keigley 22 Yd pass from Carlos Davis (Richard McCollum Kick) - WCU 14, GT 7 2.34 14.4% 3.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 99

Started Drive at: WCU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.66 = 2.34

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.66)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.4%

Win Probability (After): 18.2%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:35 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 1 at GT 49) Dontae Smith 51 Yd Run (Jude Kelley Kick) - WCU 14, GT 14 4.78 84.5% 8.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.22 = 4.78

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.78)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.5%

Win Probability (After): 92.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:56 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 9 at WCU 40) Nate McCollum 40 Yd Run (Jude Kelley Kick) - WCU 14, GT 21 3.99 89.7% 4.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.01 = 3.99

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.01)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.7%

Win Probability (After): 94.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:56 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 2 at WCU 3) Dontae Smith 3 Yd Run (Jude Kelley Kick) - WCU 14, GT 28 2.29 98.5% -1.4%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: WCU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.71 = 2.29

Score Difference (Before): 13 (17.71)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 97.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:55 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & Goal at WCU 2) Dylan McDuffie 2 Yd Run (Jude Kelley Kick) - WCU 14, GT 35 0.65 99.9% -0.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.35 = 0.65

Score Difference (Before): 22 (28.35)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 35

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 36 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:21 ESPN team id 2717 (4th & 20 at GT 27) Richard McCollum 44 yd FG GOOD - WCU 17, GT 35 3.38 0.3% 0.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 65

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - -0.38 = 3.38

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.38)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 14:53 ESPN team id 59 (Kickoff at GT 35) Paxton Robertson kickoff for 57 yds , Hassan Hall return for 18 yds to the GTech 26 - WCU 0, GT 0 -1.00 96.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 74

Started Drive at: GT 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.16 - 0.84 = -1.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.84)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.5%

Win Probability (After): 96.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:53 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 26) Jeff Sims pass complete to Peje' Harris for 12 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST down - WCU 0, GT 0 0.74 96.5% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 62

Started Drive at: GT 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.89 - 1.15 = 0.74

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.15)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.5%

Win Probability (After): 96.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:53 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 38) Nate McCollum run for 7 yds to the GTech 45 - WCU 0, GT 0 0.52 96.8% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 55

Started Drive at: GT 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.41 - 1.89 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.89)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.8%

Win Probability (After): 97.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:53 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 3 at GT 45) Dylan McDuffie run for 2 yds to the GTech 47 - WCU 0, GT 0 -0.48 97.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 53

Started Drive at: GT 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.94 - 2.41 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.41)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.1%

Win Probability (After): 96.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:53 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 1 at GT 47) Dylan McDuffie run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 46 - WCU 0, GT 0 -2.46 96.9% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 54

Started Drive at: GT 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.52 - 1.94 = -2.46

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.94)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.9%

Win Probability (After): 96.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:58 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 2 at GT 46) David Shanahan punt for 43 yds - WCU 0, GT 0 0.07 92.8% 4.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 89

Started Drive at: GT 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.06 - -0.13 = 0.07

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.13)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.06)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WCU 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.8%

Win Probability (After): 97.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 12:58 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 11) Carlos Davis pass complete to Raphael Williams for 12 yds to the WCaro 23 for a 1ST down - WCU 0, GT 0 0.67 5.7% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 77

Started Drive at: WCU 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - 0.27 = 0.67

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.27)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.7%

Win Probability (After): 5.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:58 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 23) TJ Jones run for 2 yds to the WCaro 25 - WCU 0, GT 0 -0.51 5.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 75

Started Drive at: WCU 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.43 - 0.94 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.94)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.4%

Win Probability (After): 5.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:58 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 3 at WCU 30) Carlos Davis pass incomplete - WCU 0, GT 0 -1.10 5.5% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 70

Started Drive at: WCU 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.45 - 1.55 = -1.10

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.55)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.5%

Win Probability (After): 5.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:58 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 2 at GT 46) David Shanahan punt for 43 yds, fair catch by AJ Colombo at the WCaro 11 - WCU 0, GT 0 -0.14 92.8% 1.4%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 89

Started Drive at: GT 26

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.27 - -0.13 = -0.14

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.13)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.27)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WCU 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.8%

Win Probability (After): 94.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 12:58 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 8 at WCU 25) DAVIS, Carlos pass to the right incomplete intended for WHITE, David thrown to the GT 33. PENALTY GT Offsides on WHITE, Keion enforced 5 yards from the WCU25 to the WCU30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - WCU 0, GT 0 1.12 5.2% 0.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: WCU 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.55 - 0.43 = 1.12

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.43)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.2%

Win Probability (After): 5.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:58 ESPN team id 2717 (3rd & 3 at WCU 30) Carlos Davis pass complete to Censere Lee for 21 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST down - WCU 0, GT 0 2.57 5.3% 1.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 49

Started Drive at: WCU 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.02 - 0.45 = 2.57

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.45)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 5.3%

Win Probability (After): 6.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:12 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at GT 49) Terrence Horne 49 Yd pass from Carlos Davis (Richard McCollum Kick) - WCU 7, GT 0 4.04 8.5% 6.3%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 99

Started Drive at: WCU 11

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.96 = 4.04

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.96)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 84 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.5%

Win Probability (After): 14.8%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:06 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 10 at GT 44) Jeff Sims pass complete to Luke Benson for 19 yds to the WCaro 37 for a 1ST down - WCU 7, GT 0 2.76 75.4% 6.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 37

Started Drive at: GT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.67 - -0.09 = 2.76

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.09)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.4%

Win Probability (After): 82.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:06 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at WCU 37) Jeff Sims run for 7 yds to the WCaro 30 - WCU 7, GT 0 0.71 81.0% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 30

Started Drive at: GT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.43 - 2.72 = 0.71

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.28)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.0%

Win Probability (After): 81.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:06 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 3 at WCU 30) Jeff Sims run for 21 yds to the WCaro 9 for a 1ST down - WCU 7, GT 0 1.53 81.6% 2.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 9

Started Drive at: GT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.96 - 3.43 = 1.53

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.57)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.6%

Win Probability (After): 84.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:06 ESPN team id 59 (Kickoff at GT 35) Paxton Robertson kickoff for 65 yds , Hassan Hall return for 28 yds to the GTech 28 - WCU 7, GT 0 -0.89 76.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 72

Started Drive at: GT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.09 - -0.20 = -0.89

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.20)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.1%

Win Probability (After): 76.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:06 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 28) Jeff Sims pass incomplete - WCU 7, GT 0 -0.84 77.7% -2.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72

Started Drive at: GT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.64 - 0.20 = -0.84

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.80)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.7%

Win Probability (After): 75.5%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:06 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 10 at GT 28) Dontae Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 27 - WCU 7, GT 0 -1.32 75.5% -2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 73

Started Drive at: GT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.96 - -0.64 = -1.32

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.64)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 46 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.5%

Win Probability (After): 73.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:06 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 11 at GT 27) Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 17 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST down - WCU 7, GT 0 3.38 73.2% 6.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 56

Started Drive at: GT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.42 - -1.96 = 3.38

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.96)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.2%

Win Probability (After): 79.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:06 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 44) Jeff Sims pass incomplete - WCU 7, GT 0 -0.58 79.6% -1.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 56

Started Drive at: GT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.84 - 1.42 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.58)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.6%

Win Probability (After): 77.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:06 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 10 at GT 44) Jeff Sims pass incomplete - WCU 7, GT 0 -0.93 77.7% -2.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 56

Started Drive at: GT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.09 - 0.84 = -0.93

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.16)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 7, GT 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 63 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.7%

Win Probability (After): 75.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:22 ESPN team id 59 (1st & Goal at WCU 9) Dontae Smith 9 Yd Run (Jude Kelley Kick) - WCU 7, GT 7 1.90 87.3% 3.4%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.10 = 1.90

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.90)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 7, GT 7

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 72 yards

Win Probability (Before): 87.3%

Win Probability (After): 90.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 0 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:18 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 22) Desmond Reid run for 16 yds to the WCaro 38 for a 1ST down - WCU 7, GT 7 1.15 6.2% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 62

Started Drive at: WCU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.04 - 0.88 = 1.15

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.88)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 7, GT 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.2%

Win Probability (After): 6.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:18 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 38) Desmond Reid run for 6 yds to the WCaro 44 - WCU 7, GT 7 0.29 6.8% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 56

Started Drive at: WCU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.37 - 2.08 = 0.29

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.08)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 7, GT 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.8%

Win Probability (After): 6.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:18 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 4 at WCU 44) Carlos Davis pass complete to Ajay Belanger for 4 yds to the WCaro 48 for a 1ST down - WCU 7, GT 7 0.34 6.9% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 52

Started Drive at: WCU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.71 - 2.37 = 0.34

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.37)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 7, GT 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.9%

Win Probability (After): 7.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:18 ESPN team id 2717 (Kickoff at WCU 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 65 yds , Terrence Horne return for 22 yds to the WCaro 22 - WCU 7, GT 7 -0.69 6.2% -0.3%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 78

Started Drive at: WCU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.37 - 1.06 = -0.69

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.06)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.37)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 7, GT 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.2%

Win Probability (After): 5.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:32 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 10 at WCU 48) Carlos Davis pass incomplete - WCU 7, GT 7 -0.95 10.2% -4.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52

Started Drive at: WCU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.10 - 2.05 = -0.95

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.05)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 7, GT 7

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.2%

Win Probability (After): 6.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:32 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 48) Carlos Davis pass incomplete - WCU 7, GT 7 -0.66 10.6% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 52

Started Drive at: WCU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.05 - 2.71 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.71)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 7, GT 7

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.6%

Win Probability (After): 10.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:32 ESPN team id 2717 (3rd & 10 at WCU 48) Carlos Davis pass complete to Desmond Reid for 30 yds to the GTech 22 for a 1ST down - WCU 7, GT 7 3.54 9.3% 3.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 22

Started Drive at: WCU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.65 - 1.11 = 3.54

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.11)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 7, GT 7

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 56 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.3%

Win Probability (After): 13.0%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:37 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at GT 22) Toler Keigley 22 Yd pass from Carlos Davis (Richard McCollum Kick) - WCU 14, GT 7 2.34 14.4% 3.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 99

Started Drive at: WCU 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.66 = 2.34

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.66)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 7

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 78 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.4%

Win Probability (After): 18.2%

Away Score: 7 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:33 ESPN team id 59 (Kickoff at GT 35) Paxton Robertson kickoff for 63 yds , Hassan Hall return for 21 yds to the GTech 23 - WCU 14, GT 7 -1.18 84.3% -0.5%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 77

Started Drive at: GT 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.23 - -0.05 = -1.18

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.05)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 7

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.3%

Win Probability (After): 83.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:33 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 23) Jeff Sims pass incomplete - WCU 14, GT 7 -0.58 84.3% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 77

Started Drive at: GT 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.74 - -0.16 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.16)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 7

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.3%

Win Probability (After): 84.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:33 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 10 at GT 23) Jeff Sims pass complete to Kalani Norris for 17 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST down - WCU 14, GT 7 1.97 84.0% 1.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 60

Started Drive at: GT 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.22 - -0.74 = 1.97

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.74)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 7

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.0%

Win Probability (After): 85.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:33 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 40) Jeff Sims run for 9 yds to the GTech 49 - WCU 14, GT 7 1.02 85.8% 1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 51

Started Drive at: GT 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.24 - 1.22 = 1.02

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.78)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 7

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 85.8%

Win Probability (After): 87.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (7)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:35 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 1 at GT 49) Dontae Smith 51 Yd Run (Jude Kelley Kick) - WCU 14, GT 14 4.78 84.5% 8.0%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 2.22 = 4.78

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.78)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 77 yards

Win Probability (Before): 84.5%

Win Probability (After): 92.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 7 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:28 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 24) Carlos Davis pass complete to TJ Jones for 10 yds to the WCaro 34 for a 1ST down - WCU 14, GT 14 0.97 8.4% 1.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 66

Started Drive at: WCU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.92 - 0.95 = 0.97

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.95)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.4%

Win Probability (After): 10.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:28 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 34) Carlos Davis pass complete to Ajay Belanger for 4 yds to the WCaro 38 - WCU 14, GT 14 -0.23 9.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 62

Started Drive at: WCU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.69 - 1.92 = -0.23

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.92)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.0%

Win Probability (After): 8.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:28 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 6 at WCU 38) DAVIS, Carlos scrambles to the right for a gain of 7 yards to the WCU45, out of bounds. PENALTY WCU Holding on COULTER, Christian enforced 10 yards from the WCU38 to the WCU28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - WCU 14, GT 14 -1.60 8.9% -1.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 72

Started Drive at: WCU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.09 - 1.69 = -1.60

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.69)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.9%

Win Probability (After): 7.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:28 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 16 at WCU 28) Carlos Davis pass complete to TJ Jones for 13 yds to the WCaro 41 - WCU 14, GT 14 1.18 7.8% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 59

Started Drive at: WCU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.27 - 0.09 = 1.18

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.09)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.8%

Win Probability (After): 8.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:28 ESPN team id 2717 (3rd & 3 at WCU 41) Carlos Davis sacked by Ayinde Eley for a loss of 11 yards to the WCaro 30 - WCU 14, GT 14 -2.97 8.4% -1.6%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 70

Started Drive at: WCU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.70 - 1.27 = -2.97

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.27)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.4%

Win Probability (After): 6.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:28 ESPN team id 2717 (Kickoff at WCU 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 61 yds , Samaurie Dukes return for 20 yds to the WCaro 24 - WCU 14, GT 14 -0.55 8.4% 0.4%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 76

Started Drive at: WCU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.52 - 1.07 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.07)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.4%

Win Probability (After): 8.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:02 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at WCU 45) Jeff Sims pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 13 yds to the WCaro 32 for a 1ST down - WCU 14, GT 14 0.85 92.0% 2.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 32

Started Drive at: WCU 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.07 - 3.22 = 0.85

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.22)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.0%

Win Probability (After): 94.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:02 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at WCU 32) Jeff Sims pass incomplete - WCU 14, GT 14 -0.58 92.5% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 32

Started Drive at: WCU 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.51 - 4.09 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.09)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 92.5%

Win Probability (After): 91.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:02 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 10 at WCU 32) Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the WCaro 31 - WCU 14, GT 14 -0.84 91.5% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 31

Started Drive at: WCU 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.68 - 3.51 = -0.84

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.51)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 91.5%

Win Probability (After): 91.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:02 ESPN team id 2717 (4th & 14 at WCU 30) Brandon Dickerson punt for 44 yds , Nate McCollum returns for 29 yds to the WCaro 45 - WCU 14, GT 14 -1.61 9.2% -1.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 45

Started Drive at: WCU 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.22 - -1.61 = -1.61

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.61)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.22)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WCU 14, GT 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.2%

Win Probability (After): 8.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 0:00 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 9 at WCU 31) Jeff Sims run for a loss of 7 yards to the WCaro 38 - WCU 14, GT 14 -2.72 89.1% -3.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 38

Started Drive at: WCU 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.08 - 2.64 = -2.72

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.64)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.1%

Win Probability (After): 86.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:50 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 2) Carlos Davis pass incomplete - WCU 14, GT 14 -0.82 9.3% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 98

Started Drive at: WCU 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.23 - -0.42 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.42)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.3%

Win Probability (After): 9.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:50 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 10 at WCU 2) Carlos Davis pass complete to Desmond Reid for 15 yds to the WCaro 17 for a 1ST down - WCU 14, GT 14 2.00 9.0% 1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 83

Started Drive at: WCU 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.80 - -1.20 = 2.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.20)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.0%

Win Probability (After): 10.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:50 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 17) Carlos Davis run for 2 yds to the WCaro 19 - WCU 14, GT 14 -0.67 10.2% -0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 81

Started Drive at: WCU 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 0.80 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.80)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 10.2%

Win Probability (After): 9.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:50 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 34) Desmond Reid run for 8 yds to the WCaro 42 - WCU 14, GT 14 0.52 11.5% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 58

Started Drive at: WCU 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.50 - 1.97 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.97)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 11.5%

Win Probability (After): 11.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:50 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 16 at WCU 38) David Shanahan punt for 36 yds, downed at the WCaro 2 - WCU 14, GT 14 0.45 89.0% 1.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 98

Started Drive at: WCU 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.42 - -0.03 = 0.45

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.03)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.42)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WCU 14, GT 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.0%

Win Probability (After): 90.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 14:50 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 8 at WCU 19) DAVIS, Carlos pass to the left incomplete intended for WILLIAMS, Raphael thrown to the GT 45. PENALTY GT Pass Interference on WALLACE, KJ enforced 15 yards to the WCU34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - WCU 14, GT 14 1.84 9.4% 2.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 66

Started Drive at: WCU 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.97 - 0.13 = 1.84

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.13)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.4%

Win Probability (After): 11.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:22 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 1 at GT 49) Jeff Sims pass incomplete - WCU 14, GT 14 -0.94 89.2% 2.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 51

Started Drive at: GT 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.26 - 3.20 = -0.94

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.20)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 14

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.2%

Win Probability (After): 91.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:22 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 1 at GT 49) Dontae Smith run for 10 yds to the WCaro 41 for a 1ST down - WCU 14, GT 14 1.14 88.6% 1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 41

Started Drive at: GT 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.58 - 2.43 = 1.14

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.43)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 14

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.6%

Win Probability (After): 90.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:22 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at WCU 41) Dontae Smith run for 1 yd to the WCaro 40 - WCU 14, GT 14 -0.50 90.1% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 40

Started Drive at: GT 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.07 - 3.58 = -0.50

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.58)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 14

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 90.1%

Win Probability (After): 89.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:22 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 2 at WCU 42) Carlos Davis pass intercepted - WCU 14, GT 14 -4.98 12.5% -1.4%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 60

Started Drive at: WCU 2

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.38 - 2.60 = -4.98

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.60)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.38)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WCU 14, GT 14

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.5%

Win Probability (After): 11.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:22 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 40) Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 9 yds to the GTech 49 - WCU 14, GT 14 0.82 88.9% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 51

Started Drive at: GT 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.20 - 2.38 = 0.82

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.38)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 14

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.9%

Win Probability (After): 89.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (14)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:56 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 9 at WCU 40) Nate McCollum 40 Yd Run (Jude Kelley Kick) - WCU 14, GT 21 3.99 89.7% 4.7%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 40

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 3.01 = 3.99

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.01)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 60 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.7%

Win Probability (After): 94.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 14 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:56 ESPN team id 2717 (Kickoff at WCU 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WCU 14, GT 21 0.00 6.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.41 - 0.41 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.59)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.1%

Win Probability (After): 6.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:19 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 40) Timeout WESTRN CAROLINA, clock 10:19 - WCU 14, GT 21 0.00 7.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 60

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.41 - 0.41 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.59)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.6%

Win Probability (After): 7.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:19 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 25) DAVIS, Carlos pass to the right complete for -3 yards to WHITE, David caught at the WCU22 and advanced to the WCU22 (BROOKS, LaMiles). PENALTY GT Roughing the Passer on WHITE, Keion enforced 15 yards from the WCU25 to the WCU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - WCU 14, GT 21 1.26 7.3% 0.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 60

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 0.60 = 1.26

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.40)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.3%

Win Probability (After): 7.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:19 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 40) TJ Jones run for 6 yds to the WCaro 46 - WCU 14, GT 21 0.34 7.8% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 54

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.19 - 1.85 = 0.34

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.15)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.8%

Win Probability (After): 8.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:19 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 4 at WCU 46) Carlos Davis pass complete to TJ Jones for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - WCU 14, GT 21 0.30 8.0% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 50

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.49 - 2.19 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.81)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.0%

Win Probability (After): 8.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:19 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at 50) Carlos Davis run for 6 yds to the GTech 44 - WCU 14, GT 21 0.28 8.1% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 44

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.77 - 2.49 = 0.28

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.51)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.1%

Win Probability (After): 8.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:19 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 4 at GT 44) TJ Jones run for 2 yds to the GTech 42 - WCU 14, GT 21 -0.49 8.3% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 42

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 2.77 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.23)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.3%

Win Probability (After): 8.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:06 ESPN team id 2717 (4th & 3 at GT 43) Timeout WESTRN CAROLINA, clock 07:06 - WCU 14, GT 21 0.00 7.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 43

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 2.29 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.71)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.5%

Win Probability (After): 7.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 7:06 ESPN team id 2717 (4th & 3 at GT 43) DAVIS, Carlos pass to the left complete for 3 yards to WHITE, David caught at the GT 40 and advanced to the GT 40 (SIMS, Myles). PENALTY WCU Pass Interference on WILLIAMS, Raphael enforced 15 yards to the WCU42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - WCU 14, GT 21 -1.41 7.3% -1.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 58

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.04 - 0.37 = -1.41

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.63)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.3%

Win Probability (After): 5.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 7:06 ESPN team id 2717 (3rd & 2 at GT 42) Carlos Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 43 - WCU 14, GT 21 -1.91 8.0% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 43

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.37 - 2.28 = -1.91

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.72)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 8.0%

Win Probability (After): 7.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:35 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 6 at GT 31) Jeff Sims pass incomplete - WCU 14, GT 21 -0.75 93.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 69

Started Drive at: GT 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.70 - 1.46 = -0.75

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.46)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.9%

Win Probability (After): 93.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:35 ESPN team id 2717 (4th & 18 at WCU 42) Brandon Dickerson punt for 45 yds , Nate McCollum returns for 14 yds to the GTech 27 - WCU 14, GT 21 -0.68 6.6% -0.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 73

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.70 - -1.02 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.02)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.70)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.6%

Win Probability (After): 6.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 6:35 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 27) Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the GTech 31 - WCU 14, GT 21 -0.24 94.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 69

Started Drive at: GT 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - 1.70 = -0.24

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.70)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.0%

Win Probability (After): 93.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:35 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 6 at GT 31) Jeff Sims run for 3 yds to the GTech 34 - WCU 14, GT 21 -1.16 93.5% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 66

Started Drive at: GT 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.55 - 0.61 = -1.16

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.61)

Score Difference (End): 7 (6.45)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.5%

Win Probability (After): 92.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:01 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 23) Desmond Reid run for a loss of 4 yards to the WCaro 19 - WCU 14, GT 21 -1.37 9.3% -2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 81

Started Drive at: WCU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.72 - 0.65 = -1.37

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.35)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.3%

Win Probability (After): 7.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:01 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 3 at GT 34) David Shanahan punt for 55 yds , AJ Colombo returns for 12 yds to the WCaro 23 - WCU 14, GT 21 -0.04 93.7% -3.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 77

Started Drive at: GT 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.65 - -0.61 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.39)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.35)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 93.7%

Win Probability (After): 90.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 3:27 ESPN team id 2717 (3rd & 3 at WCU 30) Timeout WESTRN CAROLINA, clock 03:27 - WCU 14, GT 21 0.00 6.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 70

Started Drive at: WCU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.19 - 0.19 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.81)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.9%

Win Probability (After): 6.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:27 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 14 at WCU 19) Carlos Davis run for 11 yds to the WCaro 30 - WCU 14, GT 21 0.42 6.5% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 70

Started Drive at: WCU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.19 - -0.23 = 0.42

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.23)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.5%

Win Probability (After): 6.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:13 ESPN team id 2717 (3rd & 3 at WCU 30) Carlos Davis pass intercepted - WCU 14, GT 21 -3.21 6.9% -2.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 39

Started Drive at: WCU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.89 - 0.31 = -3.21

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.69)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.89)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.9%

Win Probability (After): 4.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:13 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at WCU 24) Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 13 yds to the WCaro 11 for a 1ST down - WCU 14, GT 21 1.14 95.9% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 11

Started Drive at: WCU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.84 - 3.70 = 1.14

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.70)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.84)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 95.9%

Win Probability (After): 96.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:13 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at WCU 39) WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Carlos Davis) to the WCaro 24 for a 1ST down - WCU 14, GT 21 0.95 94.7% 1.2%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 24

Started Drive at: WCU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.70 - 2.75 = 0.95

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.75)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 94.7%

Win Probability (After): 95.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:13 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at WCU 11) Jeff Sims run for 8 yds to the WCaro 3 - WCU 14, GT 21 0.85 96.4% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 3

Started Drive at: WCU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.69 - 4.84 = 0.85

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.84)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.4%

Win Probability (After): 96.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:13 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 2 at WCU 3) Hassan Hall run for no gain to the WCaro 3 - WCU 14, GT 21 -0.64 96.6% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 3

Started Drive at: WCU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.05 - 5.69 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.69)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 96.6%

Win Probability (After): 96.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:13 ESPN team id 2717 (3rd & 3 at WCU 30) Carlos Davis pass intercepted - WCU 14, GT 21 -3.07 6.9% -1.6%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 39

Started Drive at: WCU 23

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.75 - 0.31 = -3.07

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.69)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.75)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 6.9%

Win Probability (After): 5.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:56 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 25) Carlos Davis run for 7 yds to the WCaro 32 - WCU 14, GT 21 0.01 7.4% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 68

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.02 - 1.01 = 0.01

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.99)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 21

Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.4%

Win Probability (After): 7.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (21)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:56 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 3 at WCU 32) Carlos Davis pass complete to Ajay Belanger for 6 yds to the WCaro 38 for a 1ST down - WCU 14, GT 27 0.65 7.4% -4.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 62

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.78 - 1.13 = 0.65

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.87)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-11.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 27

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.4%

Win Probability (After): 2.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 21 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:56 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 38) (01:38) DAVIS, Carlos pass to the left incomplete intended for JONES, TJ thrown to the WCU35. PENALTY WCU Holding on WHITMORE, Blake enforced 10 yards from the WCU38 to the WCU28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - WCU 14, GT 27 -0.83 2.9% -0.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 72

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.95 - 1.78 = -0.83

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-11.22)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-12.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 27

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.9%

Win Probability (After): 2.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:56 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 3 at WCU 32) Carlos Davis pass complete to Ajay Belanger for 6 yds to the WCaro 38 for a 1ST down - WCU 14, GT 27 0.53 2.8% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 62

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.78 - 1.25 = 0.53

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-11.75)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-11.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 27

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 2.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:56 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 38) (01:38) DAVIS, Carlos pass to the left incomplete intended for JONES, TJ thrown to the WCU35. PENALTY WCU Holding on WHITMORE, Blake enforced 10 yards from the WCU38 to the WCU28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - WCU 14, GT 27 -0.83 2.9% -0.3%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 72

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.95 - 1.78 = -0.83

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-11.22)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-12.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 27

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.9%

Win Probability (After): 2.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:56 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 20 at WCU 28) Carlos Davis pass complete to Raphael Williams for 10 yds to the WCaro 38 - WCU 14, GT 27 0.41 2.7% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 62

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.36 - 0.95 = 0.41

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-12.05)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-11.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 27

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.7%

Win Probability (After): 2.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:56 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 10 at WCU 38) Carlos Davis run for 7 yds to the WCaro 45 - WCU 14, GT 27 0.04 2.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 55

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.40 - 1.36 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-11.64)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-11.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 27

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.9%

Win Probability (After): 2.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:56 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at GT 46) Carlos Davis pass complete to Carlos Davis for a loss of 6 yards to the WCaro 48 - WCU 14, GT 27 -1.08 3.1% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 52

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.22 - 2.31 = -1.08

Score Difference (Before): -13 (-10.69)

Score Difference (End): -13 (-11.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 27

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.1%

Win Probability (After): 2.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (27)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:56 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 2 at WCU 3) Dontae Smith 3 Yd Run (Jude Kelley Kick) - WCU 14, GT 28 2.29 98.5% -1.4%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 3 -> 99

Started Drive at: WCU 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.71 = 2.29

Score Difference (Before): 13 (17.71)

Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 24 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 97.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 27 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:56 ESPN team id 2717 (Kickoff at WCU 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WCU 14, GT 28 0.00 2.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.94 - 0.94 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.06)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.7%

Win Probability (After): 2.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:56 ESPN team id 2717 (3rd & 3 at WCU 45) Carlos Davis pass complete to Ajay Belanger for 9 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST down - WCU 14, GT 28 0.91 2.8% 0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 46

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.11 - 1.20 = 0.91

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.80)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.8%

Win Probability (After): 3.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 1:56 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 21 at WCU 43) Carlos Davis pass complete to Clayton Bardall for 12 yds to the GTech 45 - WCU 14, GT 28 0.29 2.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 45

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.24 - 0.94 = 0.29

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.06)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.6%

Win Probability (After): 2.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:00 ESPN team id 2717 (3rd & 9 at GT 45) Carlos Davis pass incomplete - WCU 14, GT 28 -0.45 4.1% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.32 - 0.45 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.55)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.1%

Win Probability (After): 3.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 25) TJ Jones run for no gain to the WCaro 25 - WCU 14, GT 28 -0.59 3.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.21 - -0.62 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.62)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.21)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.1%

Win Probability (After): 3.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 10 at WCU 25) Carlos Davis pass complete to TJ Jones for 11 yds to the WCaro 36 for a 1ST down - WCU 14, GT 28 1.66 3.0% 0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 64

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.45 - -1.21 = 1.66

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.21)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.0%

Win Probability (After): 3.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 36) Desmond Reid run for 6 yds to the WCaro 42 - WCU 14, GT 28 0.32 3.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 58

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.77 - 0.45 = 0.32

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.55)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.3%

Win Probability (After): 3.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 4 at WCU 42) Carlos Davis pass incomplete - WCU 14, GT 28 -0.86 3.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 58

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.09 - 0.77 = -0.86

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.23)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.09)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.4%

Win Probability (After): 3.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2717 (Kickoff at WCU 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WCU 14, GT 28 0.00 3.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.62 - -0.62 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.62)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.1%

Win Probability (After): 3.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2717 (3rd & 4 at WCU 42) Carlos Davis run for 13 yds to the GTech 45 for a 1ST down - WCU 14, GT 28 2.03 3.2% 0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 45

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.94 - -0.09 = 2.03

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.09)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.2%

Win Probability (After): 3.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at GT 45) Carlos Davis pass incomplete - WCU 14, GT 28 -0.70 3.6% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.24 - 1.94 = -0.70

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.06)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.6%

Win Probability (After): 3.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 10 at GT 45) Desmond Reid run for 9 yds to the GTech 36 - WCU 14, GT 28 1.10 3.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 36

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.34 - 1.24 = 1.10

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.76)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.66)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.5%

Win Probability (After): 3.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:12 ESPN team id 2717 (3rd & 1 at GT 36) run for a loss of 18 yards to the WCaro 46 fumbled, recovered by GTech Ayinde Eley - WCU 14, GT 28 -6.44 3.7% -2.5%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 46

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -4.08 - 2.36 = -6.44

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.64)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.08)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.7%

Win Probability (After): 1.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:01 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 16) Carlos Davis run for 10 yds to the WCaro 26 for a 1ST down - WCU 14, GT 28 0.64 3.0% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 74

Started Drive at: WCU 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.24 - -0.88 = 0.64

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.88)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.0%

Win Probability (After): 3.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:01 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 26) Desmond Reid run for 11 yds to the WCaro 37 for a 1ST down - WCU 14, GT 28 0.72 3.0% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 63

Started Drive at: WCU 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.50 - -0.22 = 0.72

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.22)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.0%

Win Probability (After): 3.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:01 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 37) Desmond Reid run for no gain to the WCaro 37 - WCU 14, GT 28 -0.68 3.2% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63

Started Drive at: WCU 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.18 - 0.50 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.50)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.2%

Win Probability (After): 3.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:01 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 10 at WCU 37) Carlos Davis sacked by Charlie Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 36 - WCU 14, GT 28 -1.37 3.0% -0.4%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 64

Started Drive at: WCU 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.55 - -0.18 = -1.37

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.18)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.0%

Win Probability (After): 2.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:01 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 37) Desmond Reid run for no gain to the WCaro 37 - WCU 14, GT 28 -0.68 3.2% -0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63

Started Drive at: WCU 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.18 - 0.50 = -0.68

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.50)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.2%

Win Probability (After): 3.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:01 ESPN team id 2717 (3rd & 11 at WCU 36) WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Tyler Smith) to the WCaro 31 - WCU 14, GT 28 -0.67 2.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 69

Started Drive at: WCU 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.22 - -1.55 = -0.67

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.55)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 20 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.7%

Win Probability (After): 2.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:01 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 10 at WCU 37) Carlos Davis sacked by Charlie Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 36 - WCU 14, GT 28 -1.37 3.0% -0.4%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 64

Started Drive at: WCU 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.55 - -0.18 = -1.37

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.18)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.0%

Win Probability (After): 2.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:01 ESPN team id 2717 (3rd & 16 at WCU 31) Carlos Davis sacked by Keion White for a loss of 8 yards to the WCaro 23 - WCU 14, GT 28 -1.34 2.5% -0.3%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 77

Started Drive at: WCU 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.57 - -2.22 = -1.34

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-16.22)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-17.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.5%

Win Probability (After): 2.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:01 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at WCU 46) Jeff Sims pass intercepted - WCU 14, GT 28 -3.18 98.4% -1.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 84

Started Drive at: WCU 46

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.88 - 4.06 = -3.18

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.06)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.88)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.4%

Win Probability (After): 97.0%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:17 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 39) Dontae Smith run for 13 yds to the WCaro 48 for a 1ST down - WCU 14, GT 28 0.77 98.1% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 48

Started Drive at: GT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.95 - 3.18 = 0.77

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.18)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.1%

Win Probability (After): 98.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:17 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at WCU 48) Dontae Smith run for 2 yds to the WCaro 46 - WCU 14, GT 28 -0.49 98.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 46

Started Drive at: GT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.39 - 3.88 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.88)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 15 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.2%

Win Probability (After): 98.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:17 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 39) Dontae Smith run for 13 yds to the WCaro 48 for a 1ST down - WCU 14, GT 28 0.70 98.1% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 48

Started Drive at: GT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.88 - 3.18 = 0.70

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.18)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.1%

Win Probability (After): 98.2%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:17 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at WCU 48) Dontae Smith run for 2 yds to the WCaro 46 - WCU 14, GT 28 -0.49 98.2% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 46

Started Drive at: GT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.39 - 3.88 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.88)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.2%

Win Probability (After): 98.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:17 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 8 at WCU 46) Dontae Smith run for 5 yds to the WCaro 41 - WCU 14, GT 28 -0.07 98.1% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 41

Started Drive at: GT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.33 - 3.39 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.39)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.1%

Win Probability (After): 98.1%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:17 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 3 at WCU 41) Dylan McDuffie run for 9 yds to the WCaro 32 for a 1ST down - WCU 14, GT 28 1.27 98.1% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 32

Started Drive at: GT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.60 - 3.33 = 1.27

Score Difference (Before): 14 (17.33)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.60)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.1%

Win Probability (After): 98.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:17 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at WCU 32) Jeff Sims run for 7 yds to the WCaro 25 - WCU 14, GT 28 0.18 98.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 25

Started Drive at: GT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.77 - 4.60 = 0.18

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.60)

Score Difference (End): 14 (18.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.4%

Win Probability (After): 98.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:17 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 3 at WCU 25) Hassan Hall run for 19 yds to the WCaro 6 for a 1ST down - WCU 14, GT 28 0.98 98.5% 0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 6

Started Drive at: GT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.76 - 4.77 = 0.98

Score Difference (Before): 14 (18.77)

Score Difference (End): 14 (19.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 98.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:17 ESPN team id 59 (1st & Goal at WCU 6) Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the WCaro 2 - WCU 14, GT 28 0.24 98.9% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 2

Started Drive at: GT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.16 - 5.92 = 0.24

Score Difference (Before): 14 (19.92)

Score Difference (End): 14 (20.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 74 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.9%

Win Probability (After): 98.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:17 ESPN team id 2717 (4th & 24 at WCU 23) Brandon Dickerson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Nate McCollum at the GTech 39 - WCU 14, GT 28 0.25 2.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 61

Started Drive at: WCU 16

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.18 - -3.43 = 0.25

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-17.43)

Score Difference (End): 14 (17.18)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.0%

Win Probability (After): 1.9%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 3:55 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 25) Corey Reddick Jr. run for 1 yd to the WCaro 26 - WCU 14, GT 28 -0.44 2.6% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 74

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.97 - -0.53 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.53)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 28

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.6%

Win Probability (After): 2.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (28)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:55 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 9 at WCU 26) Carlos Davis pass complete to Corey Reddick Jr. for 7 yds to the WCaro 33 - WCU 14, GT 36 0.48 2.6% -1.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 67

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.57 - -1.05 = 0.48

Score Difference (Before): -14 (-15.05)

Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.57)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 36

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 2.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 28 (36)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:55 ESPN team id 2717 (3rd & 2 at WCU 33) Carlos Davis run for 3 yds to the WCaro 36 for a 1ST down - WCU 14, GT 36 1.00 0.3% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 64

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.02 - -0.99 = 1.00

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-22.99)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-21.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 36

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 36 (36)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:55 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 36) Cole Gonzales pass complete to Ajay Belanger for 12 yds to the WCaro 48 for a 1ST down - WCU 14, GT 36 0.88 0.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 52

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.90 - 0.02 = 0.88

Score Difference (Before): -22 (-21.98)

Score Difference (End): -22 (-21.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 36

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 36 (36)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:55 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & Goal at WCU 2) Dylan McDuffie 2 Yd Run (Jude Kelley Kick) - WCU 14, GT 35 0.65 99.9% -0.3%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99

Started Drive at: GT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 6.35 = 0.65

Score Difference (Before): 22 (28.35)

Score Difference (End): 21 (21.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 35

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 76 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.9%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 36 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:55 ESPN team id 2717 (Kickoff at WCU 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WCU 14, GT 35 0.00 0.5% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.31 - -1.31 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-22.31)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-22.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 35

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:55 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 48) Corey Reddick Jr. run for 11 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST down - WCU 14, GT 35 1.20 0.6% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 41

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.78 - 0.57 = 1.20

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.43)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-19.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 35

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:55 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at GT 41) Corey Reddick Jr. run for 7 yds to the GTech 34 - WCU 14, GT 35 0.74 0.7% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 34

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.52 - 1.78 = 0.74

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-19.22)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-18.48)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 35

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.8%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:00 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 3 at GT 34) Corey Reddick Jr. run for 2 yds to the GTech 32 - WCU 14, GT 35 -0.21 0.5% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 32

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.29 - 2.50 = -0.21

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-18.50)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-18.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 35

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 2717 (3rd & 1 at GT 32) Cole Gonzales run for 5 yds to the GTech 27 for a 1ST down - WCU 14, GT 35 0.82 0.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 27

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.11 - 2.29 = 0.82

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-18.71)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-17.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 35

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at GT 27) TJ Jones run for 4 yds to the GTech 23 - WCU 14, GT 35 -0.17 0.6% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 23

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.94 - 3.11 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-17.89)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-18.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 35

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 6 at GT 23) Cole Gonzales pass complete to Ajay Belanger for 7 yds to the GTech 16 for a 1ST down - WCU 14, GT 35 1.42 0.5% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 16

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.36 - 2.94 = 1.42

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-18.06)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-16.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 35

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.6%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at GT 16) Cole Gonzales run for a loss of 10 yards to the GTech 26 Cole Gonzales fumbled, recovered by WCaro Cole Gonzales - WCU 14, GT 35 -2.69 0.6% -0.2%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 16 -> 26

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 4.36 = -2.69

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-16.64)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-19.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 35

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.6%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 20 at GT 26) Cole Gonzales pass complete to TJ Jones for no gain to the GTech 26 - WCU 14, GT 35 -0.93 0.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.74 - 1.67 = -0.93

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-19.33)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-20.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 35

Drive Summary: 12 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 15:00 ESPN team id 2717 (3rd & 20 at GT 26) Cole Gonzales pass incomplete - WCU 14, GT 35 -1.02 0.4% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.28 - 0.74 = -1.02

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-20.26)

Score Difference (End): -21 (-21.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 14, GT 35

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 14 (14) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:21 ESPN team id 2717 (4th & 20 at GT 27) Richard McCollum 44 yd FG GOOD - WCU 17, GT 35 3.38 0.3% 0.4%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 65

Started Drive at: WCU 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - -0.38 = 3.38

Score Difference (Before): -21 (-21.38)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 13 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.7%

Away Score: 14 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 11:21 ESPN team id 59 (Kickoff at GT 35) Paxton Robertson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - WCU 17, GT 35 0.00 99.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.43 - 2.43 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 18 (20.43)

Score Difference (End): 18 (20.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:21 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 25) Jeff Sims pass complete to Malik Rutherford for no gain to the GTech 25 - WCU 17, GT 35 -0.52 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.91 - 2.43 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): 18 (20.43)

Score Difference (End): 18 (19.91)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:21 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 10 at GT 25) Dontae Smith run for 5 yds to the GTech 30 - WCU 17, GT 35 -0.29 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.62 - 1.91 = -0.29

Score Difference (Before): 18 (19.91)

Score Difference (End): 18 (19.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:21 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 5 at GT 30) Jeff Sims pass incomplete - WCU 17, GT 35 -1.66 99.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 70

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - 1.62 = -1.66

Score Difference (Before): 18 (19.62)

Score Difference (End): 18 (17.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:58 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 5 at GT 30) David Shanahan punt for 36 yds, downed at the WCaro 34 - WCU 17, GT 35 -0.44 99.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 66

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.59 - -0.15 = -0.44

Score Difference (Before): 18 (17.85)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-17.41)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 9:58 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 34) Desmond Reid run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 33 - WCU 17, GT 35 -1.23 0.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 67

Started Drive at: WCU 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.44 - 0.80 = -1.23

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.20)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:58 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 5 at GT 30) David Shanahan punt for 36 yds, downed at the WCaro 34 - WCU 17, GT 35 -0.64 99.5% -0.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 66

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.80 - -0.15 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): 18 (17.85)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-17.20)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.5%

Win Probability (After): 99.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 9:10 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at WCU 12) Dylan McDuffie run for 1 yd to the WCaro 11 - WCU 17, GT 35 -0.51 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 11

Started Drive at: WCU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.78 - 5.29 = -0.51

Score Difference (Before): 18 (23.29)

Score Difference (End): 18 (22.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:10 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 9 at WCU 11) Jeff Sims run for no gain to the WCaro 11 - WCU 17, GT 35 -0.80 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11

Started Drive at: WCU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.97 - 4.77 = -0.80

Score Difference (Before): 18 (22.77)

Score Difference (End): 18 (21.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:10 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 9 at WCU 11) Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the WCaro 7 - WCU 17, GT 35 -1.10 99.7% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 7

Started Drive at: WCU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 3.97 = -1.10

Score Difference (Before): 18 (21.97)

Score Difference (End): 18 (20.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.7%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:10 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 11 at WCU 33) Cole Gonzales pass intercepted - WCU 17, GT 35 -4.80 0.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 12

Started Drive at: WCU 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -5.29 - -0.49 = -4.80

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.49)

Score Difference (End): 18 (23.29)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:34 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 5 at WCU 8) Jude Kelley 25 yd FG MISSED - WCU 17, GT 35 -1.75 99.7% -0.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 93

Started Drive at: WCU 12

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 2.79 = -1.75

Score Difference (Before): 18 (20.79)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-19.04)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.7%

Win Probability (After): 99.6%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 7:34 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 20) Cole Gonzales run for 11 yds to the WCaro 31 for a 1ST down - WCU 17, GT 35 0.68 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 69

Started Drive at: WCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.53 - -0.15 = 0.68

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.15)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-17.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:34 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 31) Corey Reddick Jr. run for 2 yds to the WCaro 33 - WCU 17, GT 35 -0.58 0.3% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 67

Started Drive at: WCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - 0.53 = -0.58

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.47)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:34 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 8 at WCU 33) Corey Reddick Jr. run for 9 yds to the WCaro 42 for a 1ST down - WCU 17, GT 35 1.35 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 58

Started Drive at: WCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.30 - -0.05 = 1.35

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-18.05)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-16.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 22 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:34 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 42) Cole Gonzales run for 4 yds to the WCaro 46 - WCU 17, GT 35 -0.07 0.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 54

Started Drive at: WCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.22 - 1.30 = -0.07

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-16.70)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-16.78)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:34 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 15 at GT 44) Cole Gonzales sacked by Jason Moore for a loss of 7 yards to the WCaro 49 - WCU 17, GT 35 -1.17 0.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 51

Started Drive at: WCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.48 - 1.65 = -1.17

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-16.35)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-17.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:34 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 6 at WCU 46) GONZALES, Cole pass to the right incomplete intended for KNIGHT, Malik thrown to the GT 16. PENALTY GT Pass Interference on WALTON, Zamari enforced 15 yards to the GT 39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - WCU 17, GT 35 1.50 0.4% 0.1%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 39

Started Drive at: WCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.72 - 1.22 = 1.50

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-16.78)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-15.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.5%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:34 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at GT 39) GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (5 Yards) to the GTech 44 - WCU 17, GT 35 -1.07 0.5% -0.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 44

Started Drive at: WCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.65 - 2.72 = -1.07

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-15.28)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-16.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.5%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:34 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 22 at WCU 49) Cole Gonzales pass complete to Desmond Reid for 15 yds to the GTech 36 - WCU 17, GT 35 0.84 0.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 36

Started Drive at: WCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.32 - 0.48 = 0.84

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.52)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-16.68)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.4%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 7:34 ESPN team id 2717 (3rd & 7 at GT 36) Desmond Reid run for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 40 - WCU 17, GT 35 -2.04 0.4% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 40

Started Drive at: WCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.73 - 1.32 = -2.04

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-16.68)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-18.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 30 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.4%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:46 ESPN team id 2717 (4th & 11 at GT 40) Cole Gonzales pass complete to Desmond Reid for 5 yds to the GTech 35 - WCU 17, GT 35 -2.61 0.2% 0.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 65

Started Drive at: WCU 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.38 - 0.23 = -2.61

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.77)

Score Difference (End): 18 (20.38)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.3%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 2:46 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 35) Dontae Smith run for 4 yds to the GTech 39 - WCU 17, GT 35 -0.26 99.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 61

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.33 - 1.60 = -0.26

Score Difference (Before): 18 (19.60)

Score Difference (End): 18 (19.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:46 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 6 at GT 39) Hassan Hall run for no gain to the GTech 39 - WCU 17, GT 35 -0.47 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.87 - 1.33 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): 18 (19.33)

Score Difference (End): 18 (18.87)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:46 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 6 at GT 39) Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the GTech 40 - WCU 17, GT 35 -0.85 99.8% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 60

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.02 - 0.87 = -0.85

Score Difference (Before): 18 (18.87)

Score Difference (End): 18 (18.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:57 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 5 at GT 40) David Shanahan punt for 45 yds , AJ Colombo returns for 22 yds to the WCaro 37 - WCU 17, GT 35 -1.50 99.8% 0.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 63

Started Drive at: GT 35

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.29 - 0.21 = -1.50

Score Difference (Before): 18 (18.21)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-16.71)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 99.8%

Win Probability (After): 99.8%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:57 ESPN team id 2717 (1st & 10 at WCU 37) Branson Adams run for 3 yds to the WCaro 40 - WCU 17, GT 35 -0.04 0.2% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 60

Started Drive at: WCU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.72 - 0.76 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.24)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-17.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.2%

Win Probability (After): 0.2%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 0:00 ESPN team id 2717 (2nd & 7 at WCU 40) Cole Gonzales pass complete to Branson Adams for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 39 - WCU 17, GT 35 0.35 0.3% -0.3%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 61

Started Drive at: WCU 37

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.46 - 0.11 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): -18 (-17.89)

Score Difference (End): -18 (-17.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: WCU 17, GT 35

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 0.3%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 17 (17) Home Score: 35 (35)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3