Win Probability
Game Excitement Index: 5.52 | Odds: DUKE -3.5, O/U 54.0 | Download Chart
Expected Points
Team Stats [show/hide]
| Overall |
|
|
|---|---|---|
| EPA/Play | -0.12 28th %ile | 0.08 61st %ile |
| Success Rate | 40% 44th %ile | 52% 92nd %ile |
| Yards/Play | 3.93 8th %ile | 5.97 55th %ile |
| EPA/Dropback | -0.27 21st %ile | 0.08 57th %ile |
| EPA/Rush | 0.11 67th %ile | 0.08 62nd %ile |
| Yards/Dropback | 3.09 7th %ile | 6.66 59th %ile |
| Explosive Play Rate | 7% 36th %ile | 4% 9th %ile |
| 3rd Down Success Rate | 43% 56th %ile | 59% 89th %ile |
| Red Zone Success Rate | 25% 22nd %ile | 50% 73rd %ile |
| Def Run Stuff Rate | 8% 0th %ile | 3% 0th %ile |
| Havoc Rate | 10% 48th %ile | 6% 17th %ile |
| Expected Points | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 85 | 85 |
| Total EPA | -3.67 | -4.55 |
| Offensive EPA | -8.47 | 5.95 |
| Special Teams EPA | 4.10 | -12.66 |
| Penalty EPA | 3.32 | 2.16 |
| Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA | -2.62 | 0.00 |
| Production | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 73 | 71 |
| Yards | 287 | 424 |
| Yards/Play | 3.93 | 5.97 |
| EPA | -8.47 | 5.95 |
| EPA/Play | -0.12 | 0.08 |
| Passes | 44 (60%) | 35 (49%) |
| Yards | 136 | 233 |
| Yards/Play | 3.09 | 6.66 |
| EPA | -11.70 | 2.95 |
| EPA/Play | -0.27 | 0.08 |
| Rushes | 29 (40%) | 36 (51%) |
| Yards | 143 | 197 |
| Yards/Play | 4.93 | 5.63 |
| EPA | 3.22 | 3.00 |
| EPA/Play | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| Rushing | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 73 | 71 |
| Rushes | 29 (40%) | 36 (51%) |
| Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) | 0 (0%) | 1 (3%) |
| Successful Power Runs (Rate) | 0 (0%) | 1 (100%) |
| Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) | 1 (3%) | 3 (8%) |
| Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) | 6 (21%) | 13 (36%) |
| Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) | 16 (55%) | 20 (56%) |
| OL Line Yards | 73.3 | 66.1 |
| Per Carry | 2.53 | 1.84 |
| Highlight Yards | 24.5 | 55.5 |
| Per Rush Opportunity | 1.53 | 2.78 |
| Explosiveness | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 85 | 85 |
| Scrimmage Plays | 73 | 71 |
| Explosive Plays | 5 (7%) | 3 (4%) |
| When Passing (EPA > 2.4) | 3 (7%) | 2 (6%) |
| When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) | 2 (7%) | 1 (3%) |
| EPA w/o Explosive Plays | -22.38 | -1.81 |
| EPA/Play | -0.33 | -0.03 |
| When Passing | -20.70 | -2.74 |
| EPA/Play | -0.47 | -0.08 |
| When Rushing | -1.68 | 0.93 |
| EPA/Play | -0.06 | 0.03 |
| Situational | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Successful Plays (EPA > 0) | 29 (40%) | 37 (52%) |
| When Passing | 13 (30%) | 18 (51%) |
| When Rushing | 16 (55%) | 19 (53%) |
| On Standard Downs | 22 (44%) | 29 (56%) |
| On Passing Downs | 7 (30%) | 8 (42%) |
| On Early Downs | 20 (37%) | 31 (53%) |
| On Late Downs | 9 (47%) | 6 (50%) |
| During "Middle 8" | 6 (46%) | 6 (60%) |
| Early Downs | 54 | 59 |
| First Downs Created | 9 (17%) | 15 (25%) |
| EPA | -4.75 | 7.36 |
| EPA/Play | -0.09 | 0.12 |
| Passes | 30 (56%) | 27 (46%) |
| Rushes | 24 (44%) | 32 (54%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 7 (23%) | 15 (56%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 13 (54%) | 16 (50%) |
| "Middle 8" Plays | 13 | 10 |
| EPA | 1.33 | 3.05 |
| EPA/play | 0.10 | 0.31 |
| Passes | 5 (38%) | 8 (80%) |
| Rushes | 8 (62%) | 2 (20%) |
| Successful Passes (Rate) | 1 (20%) | 4 (50%) |
| Successful Rushes (Rate) | 5 (63%) | 2 (100%) |
| Drives | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total | 11 | 12 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 32 | Own 22 |
| Plays/Drive | 9.05 | 8.58 |
| Yards/Drive | 40.40 | 51.66 |
| Available Yards % | 59% | 66% |
| Defensive | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 71 | 73 |
| Stop Rate | 39% | 36% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 4 (6%) | 7 (10%) |
| Passing | 3 (9%) | 6 (14%) |
| Rushing | 1 (3%) | 1 (3%) |
| TFLs Generated | 4 | 6 |
| Passing | 3 | 5 |
| Rushing | 1 | 1 |
| Sacks Generated | 1 (3%) | 3 (7%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 1 |
| Fumbles Forced | 0 | 0 |
| Turnovers | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 |
| Fumbles | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles Lost | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1 | 0 |
| Turnover Margin | -1 | 1 |
| Expected Turnovers | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Expected Turnover Margin | -0.2 | 0.2 |
| Turnover Luck (pts) | -3.9 | 3.9 |
| Special Teams | |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 12 | 14 |
| Total EPA | 4.1 | -12.66 |
| Field Goal EPA | 1.82 | 0.56 |
| Punting EPA | -0.57 | -12.9 |
| Kickoff Return EPA | 2.85 | -0.32 |
Duke [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Riley Leonard | 20/41, 136 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 3 Scks, 36.9 xQBR, 0.68 DETMER | 3.09 | -0.27 | -11.70 | 30% | -10.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Riley Leonard | 6 carries, 36 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.00 | 0.78 | 4.66 | 100% | 7.0% | |
| Terry Moore | 5 carries, 30 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.00 | 0.25 | 1.24 | 40% | 6.0% | |
| Jaquez Moore | 11 carries, 53 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.82 | -0.09 | -0.96 | 55% | 3.0% | |
| Jordan Waters | 7 carries, 24 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.43 | -0.25 | -1.72 | 29% | -3.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Jontavis Robertson | 3 catches (3 targets), 41 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 13.67 | 1.93 | 5.79 | 67% | 10.0% | |
| Jordan Moore | 3 catches (3 targets), 22 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 7.33 | 1.04 | 3.11 | 67% | 11.0% | |
| Eli Pancol | 3 catches (3 targets), 27 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.00 | 1.00 | 3.01 | 100% | 7.0% | |
| Nicky Dalmolin | 3 catches (3 targets), 9 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | 0.48 | 1.44 | 67% | 18.0% | |
| Malik Bowen-Sims | 1 catch (1 target), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.00 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 100% | 2.0% | |
| Jaquez Moore | 1 catch (1 target), 7 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 7.00 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 100% | 1.0% | |
| Terry Moore | 1 catch (1 target), 3 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 3.00 | -0.51 | -0.51 | 0% | -1.0% | |
| Jordan Waters | 5 catches (5 targets), 21 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.20 | -0.22 | -1.12 | 40% | -3.0% | |
Georgia Tech [show/hide]
| Stat line | Yards/play | EPA/play | EPA | SR | WPA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | |||||||
| Jeff Sims | 22/32, 228 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 45.5 xQBR, 0.38 DETMER | 6.91 | 0.08 | 2.60 | 48% | 14.0% | |
| Zach Gibson | 1/2, 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Scks, 66.5 xQBR, 0.00 DETMER | 2.50 | 0.17 | 0.35 | 100% | 1.0% | |
| Rush attempts | |||||||
| Jeff Sims | 15 carries, 96 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 6.40 | 0.21 | 3.13 | 60% | 6.0% | |
| Dontae Smith | 3 carries, 31 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 10.33 | 0.62 | 1.85 | 67% | 5.0% | |
| Hassan Hall | 17 carries, 70 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 4.12 | -0.12 | -2.07 | 41% | -9.0% | |
| Pass targets | |||||||
| Nate McCollum | 8 catches (8 targets), 101 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 12.62 | 1.09 | 8.72 | 100% | 26.0% | |
| Leo Blackburn | 3 catches (3 targets), 49 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 16.33 | 1.04 | 3.11 | 67% | 6.0% | |
| Dylan Leonard | 2 catches (2 targets), 29 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 14.50 | 1.55 | 3.10 | 100% | 6.0% | |
| Ryan King | 3 catches (3 targets), 29 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.67 | 0.74 | 2.23 | 67% | 1.0% | |
| E.J. Jenkins | 2 catches (2 targets), 18 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 9.00 | 0.47 | 0.93 | 100% | 3.0% | |
| Jeff Sims | 1 catch (1 target), 1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 1.00 | -0.96 | -0.96 | 0% | -3.0% | |
| Hassan Hall | 4 catches (4 targets), 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) | 1.50 | -0.79 | -3.17 | 0% | -7.0% | |
Big Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute EPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 5:55 | |
(4th & 15 at GT 28) David Shanahan punt for 53 yds , Sahmir Hagans returns for 81 yds for a TD, (Charlie Ham KICK) - DUKE 13, GT 20 | -5.87 | 96.0% | -17.6% |
|
Play Type: Punt Return Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 99 Started Drive at: GT 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -1.13 = -5.87 Score Difference (Before): 14 (12.87) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 1 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.0% Win Probability (After): 78.4% Away Score: 6 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 7:24 | |
(3rd & Goal at GT 8) Riley Leonard pass intercepted - DUKE 3, GT 17 | -4.78 | 23.4% | -9.3% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 96 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.34 - 3.45 = -4.78 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.55) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.34) Change of Possession: 1 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.4% Win Probability (After): 14.0% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:30 | |
(4th & 2 at GT 31) Riley Leonard pass complete to Jontavis Robertson for 22 yds to the GTech 9 for a 1ST down - DUKE 3, GT 17 | 3.77 | 21.9% | 4.5% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 9 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.85 - 1.09 = 3.77 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.91) Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.9% Win Probability (After): 26.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 8:15 | |
(3rd & 12 at GT 40) SIMS, Jeff pass up the middle incomplete intended for KING, Ryan thrown to the DU46. PENALTY DU Pass Interference on FISHER-SMITH, Isaiah enforced 15 yards to the DU45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - DUKE 0, GT 0 | 3.07 | 32.5% | 9.1% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 45 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.19 - 0.13 = 3.07 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.13) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.5% Win Probability (After): 41.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:02 | |
(2nd & 9 at DUKE 18) Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 18 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK) - DUKE 0, GT 10 | 2.97 | 56.9% | 13.4% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 99 Started Drive at: GT 6 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.03 = 2.97 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.03) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 10 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 99 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.9% Win Probability (After): 70.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:23 | |
(3rd & 10 at GT 38) Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Moore for 10 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST down - DUKE 3, GT 17 | 2.73 | 15.7% | 7.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 28 Started Drive at: GT 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.57 - 0.84 = 2.73 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.16) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.7% Win Probability (After): 23.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:30 | |
(2nd & 2 at DUKE 37) Jeff Sims pass complete to Leo Blackburn for 37 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK) - DUKE 3, GT 17 | 2.73 | 74.3% | 9.1% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 99 Started Drive at: GT 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.27 = 2.73 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.27) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.3% Win Probability (After): 83.3% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:58 | |
(2nd & 11 at DUKE 37) Riley Leonard run for 9 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Kyle Kennard) to the GTech 39 for a 1ST down - DUKE 0, GT 3 | 2.63 | 56.4% | 6.1% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 39 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.38 - 0.77 = 2.63 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.25) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.4% Win Probability (After): 62.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:07 | |
(4th & 5 at GT 39) Riley Leonard pass incomplete - DUKE 13, GT 20 | -2.52 | 16.0% | -8.1% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 61 Started Drive at: GT 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.92 - 0.60 = -2.52 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.40) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.92) Change of Possession: 1 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.0% Win Probability (After): 7.9% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 3:31 | |
(3rd & 7 at DUKE 28) Riley Leonard pass complete to Eli Pancol for 10 yds to the Duke 38 for a 1ST down - DUKE 0, GT 3 | 2.50 | 53.7% | 4.8% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 62 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - -0.73 = 2.50 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.73) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.7% Win Probability (After): 58.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Most Important Plays [show/hide]
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OT | |
(4th & 19 at GT 35) Charlie Ham 52 yd FG MISSED - DUKE 20, GT 23 | -0.50 | 11.1% | 88.9% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 66 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - 0.45 = -0.50 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.55) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.05) Change of Possession: 1 Score: DUKE 20, GT 23 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.1% Win Probability (After): 0.0% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 5:55 | |
(4th & 15 at GT 28) David Shanahan punt for 53 yds , Sahmir Hagans returns for 81 yds for a TD, (Charlie Ham KICK) - DUKE 13, GT 20 | -5.87 | 96.0% | -17.6% |
|
Play Type: Punt Return Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 99 Started Drive at: GT 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -1.13 = -5.87 Score Difference (Before): 14 (12.87) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 1 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.0% Win Probability (After): 78.4% Away Score: 6 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:08 | |
(1st & Goal at GT 2) Riley Leonard pass complete to Nicky Dalmolin for 2 yds for a TD, (Charlie Ham KICK) - DUKE 20, GT 20 | 1.46 | 26.3% | 16.4% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.54 = 1.46 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.46) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 20, GT 20 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.3% Win Probability (After): 42.7% Away Score: 13 (20) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| OT | |
(3rd & 4 at GT 19) LEONARD, Riley pass to the left complete for 10 yards to HAGANS, Sahmir caught at the GT20 and advanced to the GT9 (POWELL-LEE, Clayton). PENALTY DU Pass Interference on ROBERTSON, Jontavis enforced 15 yards to the GT34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - DUKE 20, GT 23 | -1.15 | 26.5% | -13.6% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 34 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.74 - 1.90 = -1.15 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.10) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 20, GT 23 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.5% Win Probability (After): 12.9% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:02 | |
(2nd & 9 at DUKE 18) Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 18 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK) - DUKE 0, GT 10 | 2.97 | 56.9% | 13.4% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 99 Started Drive at: GT 6 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.03 = 2.97 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.03) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 10 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 99 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.9% Win Probability (After): 70.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:35 | |
(3rd & 10 at GT 15) GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (KJ Wallace) to the GTech 2 for a 1ST down - DUKE 13, GT 20 | 1.95 | 15.5% | 13.1% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 2 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.21 - 3.26 = 1.95 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.74) Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.5% Win Probability (After): 28.6% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:35 | |
(2nd & 10 at GT 30) (00:35) LEONARD, Riley pass up the middle incomplete intended for PANCOL, Eli thrown to the GT15. PENALTY GT Personal Foul on SCOTT, Makius enforced 15 yards from the GT30 to the GT15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - DUKE 13, GT 20 | 1.76 | 10.8% | 13.1% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 15 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.41 - 2.66 = 1.76 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.34) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.8% Win Probability (After): 23.9% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:55 | |
(4th & 6 at GT 34) David Shanahan punt for 50 yds , Sahmir Hagans returns for 40 yds to the GTech 44 - DUKE 13, GT 20 | -2.04 | 85.7% | -11.1% |
|
Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 44 Started Drive at: GT 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.72 - -0.68 = -2.04 Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.32) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.28) Change of Possession: 1 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.7% Win Probability (After): 74.6% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 7:24 | |
(3rd & Goal at GT 8) Riley Leonard pass intercepted - DUKE 3, GT 17 | -4.78 | 23.4% | -9.3% |
|
Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 96 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.34 - 3.45 = -4.78 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.55) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.34) Change of Possession: 1 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.4% Win Probability (After): 14.0% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:15 | |
(3rd & 12 at GT 40) SIMS, Jeff pass up the middle incomplete intended for KING, Ryan thrown to the DU46. PENALTY DU Pass Interference on FISHER-SMITH, Isaiah enforced 15 yards to the DU45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - DUKE 0, GT 0 | 3.07 | 32.5% | 9.1% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 45 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.19 - 0.13 = 3.07 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.13) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.5% Win Probability (After): 41.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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Scoring Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 3:31 | |
(4th & 4 at DUKE 5) Gavin Stewart 22 yd FG GOOD - DUKE 0, GT 3 | 0.10 | 46.5% | -3.0% |
|
Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 65 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.90 = 0.10 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.90) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.5% Win Probability (After): 43.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 8:02 | |
(2nd & 9 at DUKE 18) Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 18 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK) - DUKE 0, GT 10 | 2.97 | 56.9% | 13.4% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 99 Started Drive at: GT 6 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.03 = 2.97 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.03) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 10 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 99 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.9% Win Probability (After): 70.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:03 | |
(4th & 7 at GT 28) Charlie Ham 45 yd FG GOOD - DUKE 3, GT 10 | 1.44 | 32.9% | 8.2% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 65 Started Drive at: DUKE 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.56 = 1.44 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.44) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 10 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.9% Win Probability (After): 41.1% Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 11:30 | |
(2nd & 2 at DUKE 37) Jeff Sims pass complete to Leo Blackburn for 37 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK) - DUKE 3, GT 17 | 2.73 | 74.3% | 9.1% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 99 Started Drive at: GT 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.27 = 2.73 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.27) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.3% Win Probability (After): 83.3% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:31 | |
(4th & 8 at GT 11) Charlie Ham 28 yd FG GOOD - DUKE 6, GT 17 | 0.88 | 11.7% | 7.1% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 65 Started Drive at: GT 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.12 = 0.88 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.88) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 6, GT 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.7% Win Probability (After): 18.8% Away Score: 3 (6) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 10:42 | |
(4th & Goal at DUKE 6) Gavin Stewart 23 yd FG GOOD - DUKE 6, GT 20 | 0.07 | 94.6% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 65 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.93 = 0.07 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.93) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 6, GT 20 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.6% Win Probability (After): 93.9% Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 17 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 5:55 | |
(4th & 15 at GT 28) David Shanahan punt for 53 yds , Sahmir Hagans returns for 81 yds for a TD, (Charlie Ham KICK) - DUKE 13, GT 20 | -5.87 | 96.0% | -17.6% |
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Play Type: Punt Return Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 99 Started Drive at: GT 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -1.13 = -5.87 Score Difference (Before): 14 (12.87) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 1 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.0% Win Probability (After): 78.4% Away Score: 6 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 0:08 | |
(1st & Goal at GT 2) Riley Leonard pass complete to Nicky Dalmolin for 2 yds for a TD, (Charlie Ham KICK) - DUKE 20, GT 20 | 1.46 | 26.3% | 16.4% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.54 = 1.46 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.46) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 20, GT 20 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.3% Win Probability (After): 42.7% Away Score: 13 (20) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| OT | |
(4th & 5 at DUKE 20) Gavin Stewart 37 yd FG GOOD - DUKE 20, GT 23 | 0.39 | 87.2% | 6.2% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 65 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.61 = 0.39 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.61) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 20, GT 23 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.2% Win Probability (After): 93.4% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 20 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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All Plays [show/hide]
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at GT 35) Charlie Ham kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - DUKE 0, GT 0 | 0.00 | 39.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.1% Win Probability (After): 39.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 15:00 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 25) Jeff Sims pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 15 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST down - DUKE 0, GT 0 | 1.20 | 39.1% | 3.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 60 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.06 - 0.86 = 1.20 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.1% Win Probability (After): 43.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 15:00 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 40) Hassan Hall run for 6 yds to the GTech 46 - DUKE 0, GT 0 | 0.29 | 43.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 54 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.35 - 2.06 = 0.29 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.06) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.0% Win Probability (After): 43.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 15:00 | |
(2nd & 4 at GT 46) Hassan Hall run for 8 yds to the Duke 46 for a 1ST down - DUKE 0, GT 0 | 0.72 | 43.0% | 1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 46 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.06 - 2.35 = 0.72 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.35) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.06) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 43.0% Win Probability (After): 44.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:55 | |
(1st & 10 at DUKE 46) Jeff Sims pass incomplete - DUKE 0, GT 0 | -0.86 | 44.6% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.36 - 3.23 = -0.86 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.23) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.6% Win Probability (After): 43.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:55 | |
(2nd & 10 at DUKE 46) Jeff Sims pass complete to Jeff Sims for 1 yd to the Duke 45 - DUKE 0, GT 0 | -0.96 | 42.8% | -3.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 45 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.57 - 2.54 = -0.96 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.54) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 42.8% Win Probability (After): 39.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 13:55 | |
(3rd & 9 at DUKE 45) Jeff Sims pass incomplete - DUKE 0, GT 0 | -1.92 | 39.7% | -3.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.34 - 1.57 = -1.92 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.57) Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.34) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.7% Win Probability (After): 35.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:50 | |
(4th & 9 at DUKE 45) David Shanahan punt for 37 yds , Jalon Calhoun returns for 19 yds to the Duke 27 - DUKE 0, GT 0 | -0.99 | 35.2% | -2.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 73 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.41 - -0.43 = -0.99 Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.43) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.41) Change of Possession: 1 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.2% Win Probability (After): 33.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 12:50 | |
(1st & 10 at DUKE 27) Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Waters for 12 yds to the Duke 39 for a 1ST down - DUKE 0, GT 0 | 0.68 | 64.5% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 61 Started Drive at: DUKE 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.11 - 1.42 = 0.68 Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.42) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.5% Win Probability (After): 66.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:50 | |
(1st & 10 at DUKE 39) Jaquez Moore run for 10 yds to the Duke 49 for a 1ST down - DUKE 0, GT 0 | 0.63 | 66.7% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 51 Started Drive at: DUKE 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.74 - 2.11 = 0.63 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.11) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.7% Win Probability (After): 67.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:00 | |
(1st & 10 at DUKE 49) Jaquez Moore run for 4 yds to the GTech 47 - DUKE 0, GT 0 | -0.07 | 67.2% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 47 Started Drive at: DUKE 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.68 - 2.75 = -0.07 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.75) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.2% Win Probability (After): 67.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 12:00 | |
(2nd & 6 at GT 47) Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Waters for 7 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST down - DUKE 0, GT 0 | 0.92 | 67.1% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 40 Started Drive at: DUKE 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.61 - 2.69 = 0.92 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.69) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.1% Win Probability (After): 68.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:53 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 40) Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the GTech 37 - DUKE 0, GT 0 | -0.49 | 69.3% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 37 Started Drive at: DUKE 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.12 - 3.61 = -0.49 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.61) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.3% Win Probability (After): 68.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 10:53 | |
(2nd & 7 at GT 37) Riley Leonard sacked by Makius Scott and Sylvain Yondjouen for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 40 - DUKE 0, GT 0 | -1.16 | 68.9% | -1.8% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 40 Started Drive at: DUKE 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.97 - 3.13 = -1.16 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.13) Score Difference (End): 0 (1.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 33 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.9% Win Probability (After): 67.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:49 | |
(3rd & 10 at GT 40) Jaquez Moore run for 2 yds to the GTech 38 - DUKE 0, GT 0 | -2.04 | 66.6% | -4.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 38 Started Drive at: DUKE 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.08 - 2.12 = -2.04 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.12) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.6% Win Probability (After): 61.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:00 | |
(4th & 8 at GT 38) Porter Wilson punt for 38 yds for a touchback - DUKE 0, GT 0 | -1.12 | 61.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 80 Started Drive at: DUKE 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.96 - 0.16 = -1.12 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.16) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.96) Change of Possession: 1 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.4% Win Probability (After): 61.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 9:00 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 20) Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the GTech 23 - DUKE 0, GT 0 | -0.52 | 37.5% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 77 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.28 - 0.80 = -0.52 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.80) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.5% Win Probability (After): 36.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 9:00 | |
(2nd & 7 at GT 23) Jeff Sims run for 19 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST down - DUKE 0, GT 0 | 2.06 | 36.1% | 6.5% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 58 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.35 - 0.28 = 2.06 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.28) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 22 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.1% Win Probability (After): 42.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:15 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 42) Jeff Sims sacked by R.J. Oben for a loss of 6 yards to the GTech 36 - DUKE 0, GT 0 | -1.43 | 39.1% | -1.4% |
|
Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 64 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 2.29 = -1.43 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.29) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.1% Win Probability (After): 37.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:15 | |
(2nd & 16 at GT 36) Jeff Sims pass complete to Hassan Hall for 4 yds to the GTech 40 - DUKE 0, GT 0 | -0.68 | 35.0% | -2.5% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 60 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 0.81 = -0.68 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.81) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 35.0% Win Probability (After): 32.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 8:15 | |
(3rd & 12 at GT 40) SIMS, Jeff pass up the middle incomplete intended for KING, Ryan thrown to the DU46. PENALTY DU Pass Interference on FISHER-SMITH, Isaiah enforced 15 yards to the DU45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - DUKE 0, GT 0 | 3.07 | 32.5% | 9.1% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 45 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.19 - 0.13 = 3.07 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.13) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 20 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.5% Win Probability (After): 41.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:36 | |
(1st & 10 at DUKE 45) Jeff Sims pass complete to Leo Blackburn for 8 yds to the Duke 37 - DUKE 0, GT 0 | 0.63 | 44.4% | -2.9% |
|
Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 37 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.82 - 3.19 = 0.63 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.19) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 28 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.4% Win Probability (After): 41.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 6:36 | |
(2nd & 2 at DUKE 37) Jeff Sims run for 15 yds to the Duke 22 for a 1ST down - DUKE 0, GT 0 | 0.82 | 44.6% | 2.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 22 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.64 - 3.82 = 0.82 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.82) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.6% Win Probability (After): 46.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:46 | |
(1st & 10 at DUKE 22) (05:46) SIMS, Jeff pass to the right incomplete intended for KING, Ryan thrown to the DU10. PENALTY GT Holding on HALL, Hassan enforced 10 yards from the DU22 to the DU32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - DUKE 0, GT 0 | -1.12 | 46.6% | -2.1% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 32 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.53 - 4.66 = -1.12 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.66) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 43 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.6% Win Probability (After): 44.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:46 | |
(1st & 20 at DUKE 32) Dontae Smith run for 14 yds to the Duke 18 - DUKE 0, GT 0 | 0.96 | 44.3% | 2.4% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 18 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.51 - 3.54 = 0.96 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.54) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.3% Win Probability (After): 46.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:46 | |
(2nd & 6 at DUKE 18) Jeff Sims run for 10 yds to the Duke 8 for a 1ST down - DUKE 0, GT 0 | 0.81 | 46.8% | 1.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 8 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.32 - 4.51 = 0.81 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.51) Score Difference (End): 0 (5.32) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 67 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.8% Win Probability (After): 48.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:46 | |
(1st & Goal at DUKE 8) Dontae Smith run for 3 yds to the Duke 5 - DUKE 0, GT 0 | -0.07 | 48.2% | -0.2% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 5 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.40 - 5.47 = -0.07 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.47) Score Difference (End): 0 (5.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 70 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.2% Win Probability (After): 48.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:46 | |
(2nd & Goal at DUKE 5) Jeff Sims run for 1 yd to the Duke 4 - DUKE 0, GT 0 | -0.83 | 48.0% | -1.9% |
|
Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 4 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.57 - 5.40 = -0.83 Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.40) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.57) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.0% Win Probability (After): 46.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:46 | |
(3rd & Goal at DUKE 4) Jeff Sims pass incomplete - DUKE 0, GT 0 | -1.65 | 46.1% | -1.7% |
|
Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 4 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.92 - 4.57 = -1.65 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.57) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.1% Win Probability (After): 44.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:46 | |
(1st & 10 at DUKE 22) (05:46) SIMS, Jeff pass to the right incomplete intended for KING, Ryan thrown to the DU10. PENALTY GT Holding on HALL, Hassan enforced 10 yards from the DU22 to the DU32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - DUKE 0, GT 0 | -1.11 | 46.6% | -2.2% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 32 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.54 - 4.66 = -1.11 Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.66) Score Difference (End): 0 (3.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.6% Win Probability (After): 44.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 5:46 | |
(1st & 20 at DUKE 32) Dontae Smith run for 14 yds to the Duke 18 - DUKE 0, GT 0 | 0.96 | 44.3% | 2.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 18 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.51 - 3.54 = 0.96 Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.54) Score Difference (End): 0 (4.51) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 0 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 44.3% Win Probability (After): 46.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:31 | |
(4th & 4 at DUKE 5) Gavin Stewart 22 yd FG GOOD - DUKE 0, GT 3 | 0.10 | 46.5% | -3.0% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 5 -> 65 Started Drive at: GT 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.90 = 0.10 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.90) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 85 yards Win Probability (Before): 46.5% Win Probability (After): 43.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q1 3:31 | |
(Kickoff at DUKE 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - DUKE 0, GT 3 | 0.00 | 57.0% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.70 - 0.70 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.30) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.0% Win Probability (After): 57.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:31 | |
(1st & 10 at DUKE 25) Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Moore for 2 yds to the Duke 27 - DUKE 0, GT 3 | -0.46 | 57.0% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 73 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.24 - 0.70 = -0.46 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.30) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.0% Win Probability (After): 55.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:31 | |
(2nd & 8 at DUKE 27) Jordan Waters run for 1 yd to the Duke 28 - DUKE 0, GT 3 | -0.97 | 55.6% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 72 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.73 - 0.24 = -0.97 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.76) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.6% Win Probability (After): 53.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 3:31 | |
(3rd & 7 at DUKE 28) Riley Leonard pass complete to Eli Pancol for 10 yds to the Duke 38 for a 1ST down - DUKE 0, GT 3 | 2.50 | 53.7% | 4.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 62 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - -0.73 = 2.50 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.73) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.7% Win Probability (After): 58.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:58 | |
(1st & 10 at DUKE 38) Jaquez Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 37 - DUKE 0, GT 3 | -1.06 | 58.6% | -2.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 62 -> 63 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.75 - 1.81 = -1.06 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.19) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.6% Win Probability (After): 56.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:58 | |
(2nd & 11 at DUKE 37) Riley Leonard run for 9 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Kyle Kennard) to the GTech 39 for a 1ST down - DUKE 0, GT 3 | 2.63 | 56.4% | 6.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 39 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.38 - 0.77 = 2.63 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.25) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.38) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 36 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.4% Win Probability (After): 62.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 1:58 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 39) Riley Leonard run for 5 yds to the GTech 34 - DUKE 0, GT 3 | 0.15 | 62.5% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 34 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.53 - 3.38 = 0.15 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.38) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.53) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 62.5% Win Probability (After): 62.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q1 0:00 | |
(2nd & 5 at GT 34) Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaquez Moore for 7 yds to the GTech 27 for a 1ST down - DUKE 0, GT 3 | 0.60 | 61.0% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 27 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.11 - 3.51 = 0.60 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.51) Score Difference (End): -3 (1.11) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 61.0% Win Probability (After): 62.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 15:00 | |
(2nd & 10 at GT 27) DUKE Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jontavis Robertson) to the GTech 36 - DUKE 0, GT 3 | -2.27 | 63.2% | -6.7% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 36 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.28 - 3.55 = -2.27 Score Difference (Before): -3 (0.55) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.72) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.2% Win Probability (After): 56.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 15:00 | |
(3rd & 19 at GT 36) DUKE Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the GTech 41 - DUKE 0, GT 3 | -0.20 | 56.5% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 41 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.08 - 1.28 = -0.20 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.72) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.92) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.5% Win Probability (After): 56.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 15:00 | |
(3rd & 24 at GT 41) Riley Leonard pass incomplete - DUKE 0, GT 3 | -1.43 | 56.4% | -3.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 41 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.35 - 1.08 = -1.43 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.92) Score Difference (End): -3 (-3.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.4% Win Probability (After): 53.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 14:55 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 27) Riley Leonard pass incomplete - DUKE 0, GT 3 | -0.57 | 63.5% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 27 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.55 - 4.13 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): -3 (1.13) Score Difference (End): -3 (0.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 63.5% Win Probability (After): 63.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:46 | |
(4th & 24 at GT 41) Porter Wilson punt for 35 yds , Hassan Hall returns for no gain to the GTech 6 - DUKE 0, GT 3 | 0.01 | 54.3% | -1.4% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 94 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.31 - -0.32 = 0.01 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-3.32) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.31) Change of Possession: 1 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 48 yards Win Probability (Before): 54.3% Win Probability (After): 52.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 13:46 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 6) Jeff Sims run for 14 yds to the GTech 20 for a 1ST down - DUKE 0, GT 3 | 0.96 | 47.7% | 1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 94 -> 80 Started Drive at: GT 6 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.23 - 0.27 = 0.96 Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.27) Score Difference (End): 3 (4.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 1 play, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 47.7% Win Probability (After): 48.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:46 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 20) Jeff Sims pass complete to Leo Blackburn for 4 yds to the GTech 24 - DUKE 0, GT 3 | -0.25 | 48.9% | -0.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 76 Started Drive at: GT 6 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.98 - 1.23 = -0.25 Score Difference (Before): 3 (4.23) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.9% Win Probability (After): 48.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:46 | |
(2nd & 6 at GT 24) Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 12 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST down - DUKE 0, GT 3 | 1.30 | 48.9% | 1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 64 Started Drive at: GT 6 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.28 - 0.98 = 1.30 Score Difference (Before): 3 (3.98) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 48.9% Win Probability (After): 50.5% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:46 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 36) Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 21 yds to the Duke 43 for a 1ST down - DUKE 0, GT 3 | 1.13 | 50.5% | 3.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 43 Started Drive at: GT 6 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.41 - 2.28 = 1.13 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.28) Score Difference (End): 3 (6.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 51 yards Win Probability (Before): 50.5% Win Probability (After): 53.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:46 | |
(1st & 10 at DUKE 43) Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the Duke 42 - DUKE 0, GT 3 | -0.61 | 53.7% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 42 Started Drive at: GT 6 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.80 - 3.41 = -0.61 Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.41) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.7% Win Probability (After): 53.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:46 | |
(2nd & 9 at DUKE 42) Hassan Hall run for 6 yds to the Duke 36 - DUKE 0, GT 3 | 0.16 | 53.0% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 36 Started Drive at: GT 6 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.97 - 2.80 = 0.16 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.80) Score Difference (End): 3 (5.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 58 yards Win Probability (Before): 53.0% Win Probability (After): 52.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 13:46 | |
(3rd & 3 at DUKE 36) Hassan Hall run for 6 yds to the Duke 30 for a 1ST down - DUKE 0, GT 3 | 1.17 | 52.7% | 2.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 30 Started Drive at: GT 6 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.13 - 2.97 = 1.17 Score Difference (Before): 3 (5.97) Score Difference (End): 3 (7.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 64 yards Win Probability (Before): 52.7% Win Probability (After): 55.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:38 | |
(1st & 10 at DUKE 30) Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the Duke 29 - DUKE 0, GT 3 | -0.50 | 58.4% | -4.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 29 Started Drive at: GT 6 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.62 - 4.12 = -0.50 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.12) Score Difference (End): 3 (6.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 65 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.4% Win Probability (After): 54.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:38 | |
(2nd & 9 at DUKE 29) Hassan Hall run for 8 yds to the Duke 21 - DUKE 0, GT 3 | 0.78 | 57.5% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 29 -> 21 Started Drive at: GT 6 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.41 - 3.63 = 0.78 Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.63) Score Difference (End): 3 (7.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 73 yards Win Probability (Before): 57.5% Win Probability (After): 58.4% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:38 | |
(3rd & 1 at DUKE 21) Jeff Sims run for 2 yds to the Duke 19 for a 1ST down - DUKE 0, GT 3 | 0.29 | 58.4% | 2.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 21 -> 19 Started Drive at: GT 6 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.70 - 4.41 = 0.29 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.41) Score Difference (End): 3 (7.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.4% Win Probability (After): 60.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:38 | |
(1st & 10 at DUKE 19) GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Pierce Quick) to the Duke 24 - DUKE 0, GT 3 | -0.76 | 60.7% | -2.6% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 24 Started Drive at: GT 6 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.94 - 4.70 = -0.76 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.70) Score Difference (End): 3 (6.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 75 yards Win Probability (Before): 60.7% Win Probability (After): 58.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 10:38 | |
(1st & 15 at DUKE 24) Jeff Sims run for 6 yds to the Duke 18 - DUKE 0, GT 3 | 0.25 | 58.1% | 1.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 18 Started Drive at: GT 6 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.18 - 3.94 = 0.25 Score Difference (Before): 3 (6.94) Score Difference (End): 3 (7.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 3 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 81 yards Win Probability (Before): 58.1% Win Probability (After): 60.0% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (3) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 8:02 | |
(2nd & 9 at DUKE 18) Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 18 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK) - DUKE 0, GT 10 | 2.97 | 56.9% | 13.4% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 99 Started Drive at: GT 6 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.03 = 2.97 Score Difference (Before): 3 (7.03) Score Difference (End): 10 (10.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 10 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 99 yards Win Probability (Before): 56.9% Win Probability (After): 70.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 3 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:55 | |
(Kickoff at DUKE 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 63 yds , Jaylen Stinson return for 25 yds to the Duke 27 - DUKE 0, GT 10 | 1.53 | 33.6% | 0.7% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 73 Started Drive at: DUKE 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.10 - 0.56 = 1.53 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.44) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.6% Win Probability (After): 34.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:55 | |
(1st & 10 at DUKE 27) Riley Leonard pass complete to Terry Moore for 3 yds to the Duke 30 - DUKE 0, GT 10 | -0.51 | 33.7% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 70 Started Drive at: DUKE 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.32 - 0.84 = -0.51 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.16) Score Difference (End): -10 (-9.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.7% Win Probability (After): 32.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:55 | |
(2nd & 7 at DUKE 30) Terry Moore run for 2 yds to the Duke 32 - DUKE 0, GT 10 | -0.35 | 32.9% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 68 Started Drive at: DUKE 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.02 - 0.32 = -0.35 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-9.68) Score Difference (End): -10 (-10.02) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.9% Win Probability (After): 31.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:55 | |
(3rd & 5 at DUKE 32) Riley Leonard pass complete to Jontavis Robertson for 14 yds to the Duke 46 for a 1ST down - DUKE 0, GT 10 | 2.14 | 31.9% | 4.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 54 Started Drive at: DUKE 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - -0.02 = 2.14 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-10.02) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 31.9% Win Probability (After): 36.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:55 | |
(1st & 10 at DUKE 46) Terry Moore run for 8 yds to the GTech 46 - DUKE 0, GT 10 | 0.59 | 36.2% | 0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 46 Started Drive at: DUKE 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.71 - 2.12 = 0.59 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.88) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.29) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.2% Win Probability (After): 36.7% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:55 | |
(2nd & 2 at GT 46) Riley Leonard pass incomplete - DUKE 0, GT 10 | -0.78 | 36.7% | -0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 46 Started Drive at: DUKE 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.93 - 2.71 = -0.78 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.29) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.07) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.7% Win Probability (After): 36.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 7:55 | |
(3rd & 2 at GT 46) Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST down - DUKE 0, GT 10 | 0.86 | 36.2% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 46 -> 43 Started Drive at: DUKE 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.79 - 1.93 = 0.86 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.07) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.21) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 30 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.2% Win Probability (After): 36.9% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:14 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 43) Riley Leonard run for 5 yds to the GTech 38 - DUKE 0, GT 10 | 0.03 | 38.6% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 38 Started Drive at: DUKE 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.87 - 2.85 = 0.03 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.15) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 10 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.6% Win Probability (After): 36.8% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:14 | |
(2nd & 5 at GT 38) Riley Leonard run for 7 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST down - DUKE 0, GT 10 | 0.57 | 38.7% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 31 Started Drive at: DUKE 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.59 - 3.02 = 0.57 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.98) Score Difference (End): -10 (-6.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 10 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 42 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.7% Win Probability (After): 39.3% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:14 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 31) Riley Leonard sacked by Kyle Kennard for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 32 - DUKE 0, GT 10 | -0.87 | 39.3% | -2.7% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 32 Started Drive at: DUKE 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.73 - 3.59 = -0.87 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-6.41) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.3% Win Probability (After): 36.6% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:14 | |
(2nd & 11 at GT 32) LEONARD, Riley pass to the left incomplete intended for HARDING JR., Darrell thrown to the GT15. PENALTY DU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on LYTLE, Chance enforced 5 yards from the GT32 to the GT37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - DUKE 0, GT 10 | -0.57 | 36.6% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 37 Started Drive at: DUKE 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.15 - 2.73 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.27) Score Difference (End): -10 (-7.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 10 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.6% Win Probability (After): 36.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:14 | |
(2nd & 16 at GT 37) Riley Leonard pass incomplete - DUKE 0, GT 10 | -0.71 | 36.2% | -2.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 37 Started Drive at: DUKE 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.44 - 2.15 = -0.71 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-7.85) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 10 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 41 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.2% Win Probability (After): 34.1% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 5:14 | |
(3rd & 16 at GT 37) Riley Leonard pass complete to Eli Pancol for 9 yds to the GTech 28 - DUKE 0, GT 10 | 0.02 | 34.1% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 28 Started Drive at: DUKE 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - 1.44 = 0.02 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.56) Score Difference (End): -10 (-8.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 0, GT 10 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 34.1% Win Probability (After): 35.2% Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:03 | |
(4th & 7 at GT 28) Charlie Ham 45 yd FG GOOD - DUKE 3, GT 10 | 1.44 | 32.9% | 8.2% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 65 Started Drive at: DUKE 27 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 1.56 = 1.44 Score Difference (Before): -10 (-8.44) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 10 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 32.9% Win Probability (After): 41.1% Away Score: 0 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 2:03 | |
(Kickoff at GT 35) Charlie Ham kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - DUKE 3, GT 10 | 0.00 | 66.1% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.19 - 1.19 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.19) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.1% Win Probability (After): 66.1% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:03 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 25) Hassan Hall run for 10 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST down - DUKE 3, GT 10 | 0.37 | 66.1% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 65 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.55 - 1.19 = 0.37 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.19) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.55) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.1% Win Probability (After): 66.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:03 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 35) Jeff Sims pass incomplete - DUKE 3, GT 10 | -0.39 | 66.2% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 65 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 1.55 = -0.39 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.55) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 66.2% Win Probability (After): 65.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:03 | |
(2nd & 10 at GT 35) Jeff Sims pass complete to Hassan Hall for 1 yd to the GTech 36 - DUKE 3, GT 10 | -0.54 | 65.4% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 64 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.62 - 1.16 = -0.54 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.16) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.62) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 65.4% Win Probability (After): 64.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:03 | |
(3rd & 9 at GT 36) DUKE Penalty, Targeting on HEYWARD, Shaka enforced (Shaka Heyward) to the Duke 44 for a 1ST down - DUKE 3, GT 10 | 1.53 | 64.8% | 4.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 44 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.15 - 0.62 = 1.53 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.62) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 11 yards Win Probability (Before): 64.8% Win Probability (After): 68.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:03 | |
(1st & 10 at DUKE 44) Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 8 yds to the Duke 36 - DUKE 3, GT 10 | 0.69 | 68.9% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 36 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.83 - 2.15 = 0.69 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.15) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.83) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 10 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.9% Win Probability (After): 69.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 2:03 | |
(2nd & 2 at DUKE 36) Jeff Sims pass incomplete - DUKE 3, GT 10 | -0.55 | 69.5% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 36 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.28 - 2.83 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.83) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 10 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 69.5% Win Probability (After): 68.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:04 | |
(3rd & 2 at DUKE 36) Jeff Sims pass incomplete - DUKE 3, GT 10 | -0.98 | 68.8% | -1.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 36 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.25 - 2.23 = -0.98 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.23) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 68.8% Win Probability (After): 66.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q2 1:04 | |
(4th & 2 at DUKE 36) Timeout GEORGIA TECH, clock 01:04 - DUKE 3, GT 10 | 0.00 | 67.2% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 36 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.25 - 1.25 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.25) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.2% Win Probability (After): 67.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:57 | |
(4th & 2 at DUKE 36) David Shanahan punt for 36 yds for a touchback - DUKE 3, GT 10 | -1.56 | 67.5% | -7.2% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 80 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.33 - 1.23 = -1.56 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.23) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.67) Change of Possession: 1 Score: DUKE 3, GT 10 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 67.5% Win Probability (After): 60.3% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q2 0:57 | |
(1st & 10 at DUKE 20) Riley Leonard pass incomplete - DUKE 3, GT 10 | -0.12 | 39.7% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 80 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.18 - 0.30 = -0.12 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.70) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 39.7% Win Probability (After): 39.0% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:03 | |
(2nd & 10 at DUKE 20) Jordan Waters run for 6 yds to the Duke 26 - DUKE 3, GT 10 | 0.10 | 37.8% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 74 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 0.03 = 0.10 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.97) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 37.8% Win Probability (After): 38.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:03 | |
(3rd & 4 at DUKE 26) Timeout DUKE, clock 00:03 - DUKE 3, GT 10 | 0.00 | 38.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 74 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.13 - 0.13 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.87) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 38.5% Win Probability (After): 38.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q2 0:00 | |
(3rd & 4 at DUKE 26) Jaquez Moore run for 3 yds to the Duke 29 - DUKE 3, GT 10 | 0.01 | 36.3% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 71 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - -0.01 = 0.01 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.01) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.05) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.3% Win Probability (After): 36.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(Kickoff at DUKE 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - DUKE 3, GT 10 | 0.00 | 36.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.48 - -0.48 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.48) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 10 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.5% Win Probability (After): 36.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(1st & 10 at DUKE 25) Riley Leonard run for 5 yds to the Duke 30 - DUKE 3, GT 10 | 0.22 | 36.5% | -0.4% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.26 - -0.48 = 0.22 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.48) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.5% Win Probability (After): 36.1% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(2nd & 5 at DUKE 30) Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Waters for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 29 - DUKE 3, GT 10 | -1.21 | 36.1% | -2.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 71 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.47 - -0.26 = -1.21 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.26) Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.47) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 4 yards Win Probability (Before): 36.1% Win Probability (After): 33.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 15:00 | |
(3rd & 6 at DUKE 29) Riley Leonard sacked by Ayinde Eley and Khari Gee for a loss of 3 yards to the Duke 26 - DUKE 3, GT 10 | -1.61 | 33.4% | -4.3% |
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Play Type: Sack Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 74 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.08 - -1.47 = -1.61 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.47) Score Difference (End): -7 (-10.08) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 33.4% Win Probability (After): 29.1% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:00 | |
(4th & 9 at DUKE 26) Porter Wilson punt for 54 yds , Nate McCollum returns for 9 yds to the GTech 29 - DUKE 3, GT 10 | 0.40 | 30.5% | 3.0% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 74 -> 71 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.37 - -2.76 = 0.40 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.76) Score Difference (End): 7 (9.37) Change of Possession: 1 Score: DUKE 3, GT 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 30.5% Win Probability (After): 33.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 13:00 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 29) Jeff Sims pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 13 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST down - DUKE 3, GT 10 | 0.60 | 71.3% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 58 Started Drive at: GT 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.10 - 2.49 = 0.60 Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.49) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 10 Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 71.3% Win Probability (After): 73.1% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 13:00 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 42) Hassan Hall run for 13 yds to the Duke 45 for a 1ST down - DUKE 3, GT 10 | 0.67 | 73.1% | 1.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 45 Started Drive at: GT 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.76 - 3.10 = 0.67 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.10) Score Difference (End): 7 (10.76) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 10 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 73.1% Win Probability (After): 74.2% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 12:20 | |
(1st & 10 at DUKE 45) Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 8 yds to the Duke 37 - DUKE 3, GT 10 | 0.47 | 74.0% | 0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 37 Started Drive at: GT 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.25 - 3.79 = 0.47 Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.79) Score Difference (End): 7 (11.25) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 10 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.0% Win Probability (After): 74.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (10) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:30 | |
(2nd & 2 at DUKE 37) Jeff Sims pass complete to Leo Blackburn for 37 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK) - DUKE 3, GT 17 | 2.73 | 74.3% | 9.1% |
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Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 99 Started Drive at: GT 29 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 4.27 = 2.73 Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.27) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 71 yards Win Probability (Before): 74.3% Win Probability (After): 83.3% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 10 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:30 | |
(Kickoff at DUKE 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - DUKE 3, GT 17 | 0.00 | 18.9% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.49 - -0.49 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.49) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.49) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.9% Win Probability (After): 18.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:30 | |
(1st & 10 at DUKE 25) Jaquez Moore run for 5 yds to the Duke 30 - DUKE 3, GT 17 | 0.08 | 18.9% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.40 - -0.49 = 0.08 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.49) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.9% Win Probability (After): 18.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:30 | |
(2nd & 5 at DUKE 30) Jaquez Moore run for 21 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST down - DUKE 3, GT 17 | 2.27 | 18.8% | 4.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 49 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - -0.40 = 2.27 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.40) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.13) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.8% Win Probability (After): 23.0% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:30 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 49) LEONARD, Riley pass up the middle incomplete intended for ROBERTSON, Jontavis thrown to the GT30. PENALTY GT Holding on SIMS, Myles enforced 10 yards from the GT49 to the GT39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - DUKE 3, GT 17 | 0.83 | 23.0% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 39 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.70 - 1.87 = 0.83 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.13) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.30) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.0% Win Probability (After): 23.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:30 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 39) Riley Leonard pass incomplete - DUKE 3, GT 17 | -0.71 | 23.9% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 2.70 = -0.71 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.30) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 26 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.9% Win Probability (After): 22.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:30 | |
(2nd & 10 at GT 39) Jordan Waters run for 5 yds to the GTech 34 - DUKE 3, GT 17 | -0.13 | 22.9% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 34 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.86 - 1.99 = -0.13 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.01) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.9% Win Probability (After): 22.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:30 | |
(3rd & 5 at GT 34) Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the GTech 31 - DUKE 3, GT 17 | -0.78 | 22.5% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 31 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.09 - 1.86 = -0.78 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.14) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.91) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 34 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.5% Win Probability (After): 21.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 11:30 | |
(4th & 2 at GT 31) Riley Leonard pass complete to Jontavis Robertson for 22 yds to the GTech 9 for a 1ST down - DUKE 3, GT 17 | 3.77 | 21.9% | 4.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 9 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.85 - 1.09 = 3.77 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-12.91) Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 56 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.9% Win Probability (After): 26.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 11:30 | |
(1st & Goal at GT 9) Jaquez Moore run for 1 yd to the GTech 8 - DUKE 3, GT 17 | -0.56 | 26.6% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 8 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.44 - 5.00 = -0.56 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.00) Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.56) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.6% Win Probability (After): 25.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:56 | |
(2nd & Goal at GT 8) Riley Leonard pass incomplete - DUKE 3, GT 17 | -0.85 | 25.7% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.52 - 4.37 = -0.85 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.63) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 25.7% Win Probability (After): 24.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:24 | |
(3rd & Goal at GT 8) Riley Leonard pass intercepted - DUKE 3, GT 17 | -4.78 | 23.4% | -9.3% |
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Play Type: Interception Return Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 96 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.34 - 3.45 = -4.78 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.55) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.34) Change of Possession: 1 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 57 yards Win Probability (Before): 23.4% Win Probability (After): 14.0% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:24 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 4) Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 12 yds to the GTech 16 for a 1ST down - DUKE 3, GT 17 | 0.84 | 86.3% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 96 -> 84 Started Drive at: GT 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - 1.28 = 0.84 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.28) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.3% Win Probability (After): 86.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:24 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 16) Jeff Sims run for 5 yds to the GTech 21 - DUKE 3, GT 17 | -0.13 | 86.8% | -0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 79 Started Drive at: GT 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.98 - 2.12 = -0.13 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.12) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.98) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.8% Win Probability (After): 86.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:24 | |
(2nd & 5 at GT 21) Jeff Sims pass incomplete - DUKE 3, GT 17 | -1.02 | 86.7% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 79 Started Drive at: GT 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.96 - 1.98 = -1.02 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.98) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.7% Win Probability (After): 85.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:24 | |
(3rd & 5 at GT 21) SIMS, Jeff pass to the right complete for 4 yards to HALL, Hassan caught at the GT19 and advanced to the GT25 (RIVERS, Chandler). PENALTY Before the snap, GT Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the GT21 to the GT16. NO PLAY (replay the down). - DUKE 3, GT 17 | -0.56 | 85.5% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 84 Started Drive at: GT 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.40 - 0.96 = -0.56 Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.96) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.5% Win Probability (After): 84.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 7:24 | |
(3rd & 10 at GT 16) Jeff Sims pass complete to Hassan Hall for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 15 - DUKE 3, GT 17 | -1.43 | 84.9% | -2.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 85 Started Drive at: GT 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.03 - 0.40 = -1.43 Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.40) Score Difference (End): 14 (12.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.9% Win Probability (After): 82.3% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:23 | |
(4th & 11 at GT 15) David Shanahan punt for 41 yds , Sahmir Hagans returns for 18 yds to the GTech 38 - DUKE 3, GT 17 | -1.73 | 85.0% | -8.2% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 38 Started Drive at: GT 4 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.59 - -0.85 = -1.73 Score Difference (Before): 14 (13.15) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.41) Change of Possession: 1 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.0% Win Probability (After): 76.8% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 5:23 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 38) Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the GTech 35 - DUKE 3, GT 17 | -0.31 | 19.7% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 35 Started Drive at: GT 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.30 - 2.62 = -0.31 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.38) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.70) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.7% Win Probability (After): 18.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:23 | |
(2nd & 7 at GT 35) Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Waters for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 38 - DUKE 3, GT 17 | -1.46 | 18.7% | -3.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 38 Started Drive at: GT 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.84 - 2.30 = -1.46 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.70) Score Difference (End): -14 (-13.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.7% Win Probability (After): 15.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 5:23 | |
(3rd & 10 at GT 38) Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Moore for 10 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST down - DUKE 3, GT 17 | 2.73 | 15.7% | 7.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 38 -> 28 Started Drive at: GT 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.57 - 0.84 = 2.73 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-13.16) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.7% Win Probability (After): 23.4% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:56 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 28) Terry Moore run for 4 yds to the GTech 24 - DUKE 3, GT 17 | -0.25 | 18.3% | 2.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 28 -> 24 Started Drive at: GT 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.32 - 3.57 = -0.25 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.43) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.3% Win Probability (After): 21.0% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 3:56 | |
(2nd & 6 at GT 24) Terry Moore run for 11 yds to the GTech 13 for a 1ST down - DUKE 3, GT 17 | 1.32 | 18.3% | 3.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 13 Started Drive at: GT 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.65 - 3.32 = 1.32 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.68) Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.35) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.3% Win Probability (After): 21.9% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:54 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 13) Riley Leonard pass incomplete - DUKE 3, GT 17 | -0.61 | 19.0% | 0.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 13 Started Drive at: GT 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.06 - 4.67 = -0.61 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.33) Score Difference (End): -14 (-9.94) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.0% Win Probability (After): 19.5% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:54 | |
(2nd & 10 at GT 13) Jaquez Moore run for 2 yds to the GTech 11 - DUKE 3, GT 17 | -0.66 | 17.8% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 11 Started Drive at: GT 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.42 - 4.08 = -0.66 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-9.92) Score Difference (End): -14 (-10.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.8% Win Probability (After): 16.0% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 2:54 | |
(3rd & 8 at GT 11) Riley Leonard pass incomplete - DUKE 3, GT 17 | -1.30 | 16.0% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11 Started Drive at: GT 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - 3.42 = -1.30 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-10.58) Score Difference (End): -14 (-11.88) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 3, GT 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.0% Win Probability (After): 13.7% Away Score: 3 (3) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:31 | |
(4th & 8 at GT 11) Charlie Ham 28 yd FG GOOD - DUKE 6, GT 17 | 0.88 | 11.7% | 7.1% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 65 Started Drive at: GT 38 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.12 = 0.88 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-11.88) Score Difference (End): -11 (-11.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 6, GT 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 27 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.7% Win Probability (After): 18.8% Away Score: 3 (6) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q3 1:31 | |
(Kickoff at GT 35) Charlie Ham kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - DUKE 6, GT 17 | 0.00 | 87.5% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.17 - 2.17 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.17) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.17) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 6, GT 17 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.5% Win Probability (After): 87.5% Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:31 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 25) Jeff Sims run for 5 yds to the GTech 30 - DUKE 6, GT 17 | 0.09 | 87.5% | 0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.27 - 2.17 = 0.09 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.17) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.27) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 6, GT 17 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.5% Win Probability (After): 87.8% Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 1:31 | |
(2nd & 5 at GT 30) Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 9 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST down - DUKE 6, GT 17 | 0.69 | 87.8% | 2.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 61 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.95 - 2.27 = 0.69 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.27) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.95) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 6, GT 17 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 14 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.8% Win Probability (After): 90.4% Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q3 0:56 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 39) Hassan Hall run for 4 yds to the GTech 43 - DUKE 6, GT 17 | -0.17 | 91.5% | -1.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 57 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.80 - 2.96 = -0.17 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.96) Score Difference (End): 11 (13.80) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 6, GT 17 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.5% Win Probability (After): 89.9% Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 15:00 | |
(2nd & 6 at GT 43) Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the GTech 44 - DUKE 6, GT 17 | -0.74 | 90.8% | -1.0% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 56 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 2.73 = -0.74 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.73) Score Difference (End): 11 (12.99) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 6, GT 17 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 19 yards Win Probability (Before): 90.8% Win Probability (After): 89.8% Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 15:00 | |
(3rd & 5 at GT 44) Jeff Sims run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - DUKE 6, GT 17 | 1.43 | 89.8% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 50 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.41 - 1.99 = 1.43 Score Difference (Before): 11 (12.99) Score Difference (End): 11 (14.41) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 6, GT 17 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards Win Probability (Before): 89.8% Win Probability (After): 91.1% Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:00 | |
(1st & 10 at 50) Jeff Sims pass complete to Ryan King for 25 yds to the Duke 25 for a 1ST down - DUKE 6, GT 17 | 1.36 | 91.7% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 25 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.66 - 3.31 = 1.36 Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.31) Score Difference (End): 11 (15.66) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 6, GT 17 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 50 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.7% Win Probability (After): 91.8% Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:00 | |
(1st & 10 at DUKE 25) Jeff Sims run for 2 yds to the Duke 23 - DUKE 6, GT 17 | -0.45 | 93.2% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 23 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.14 - 4.59 = -0.45 Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.59) Score Difference (End): 11 (15.14) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 6, GT 17 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 52 yards Win Probability (Before): 93.2% Win Probability (After): 92.8% Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:00 | |
(2nd & 8 at DUKE 23) Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the Duke 22 - DUKE 6, GT 17 | -0.56 | 92.8% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 22 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.58 - 4.14 = -0.56 Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.14) Score Difference (End): 11 (14.58) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 6, GT 17 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 53 yards Win Probability (Before): 92.8% Win Probability (After): 91.9% Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 14:00 | |
(3rd & 7 at DUKE 22) Jeff Sims pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 14 yds to the Duke 8 for a 1ST down - DUKE 6, GT 17 | 1.90 | 91.9% | 2.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 8 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.48 - 3.58 = 1.90 Score Difference (Before): 11 (14.58) Score Difference (End): 11 (16.48) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 6, GT 17 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 67 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.9% Win Probability (After): 94.3% Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:48 | |
(1st & Goal at DUKE 8) Jeff Sims pass complete to Hassan Hall for 2 yds to the Duke 6 - DUKE 6, GT 17 | -0.51 | 95.9% | -1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 6 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.20 - 5.71 = -0.51 Score Difference (Before): 11 (16.71) Score Difference (End): 11 (16.20) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 6, GT 17 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.9% Win Probability (After): 94.1% Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:48 | |
(2nd & Goal at DUKE 6) Jeff Sims pass incomplete - DUKE 6, GT 17 | -0.92 | 95.5% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.40 - 5.32 = -0.92 Score Difference (Before): 11 (16.32) Score Difference (End): 11 (15.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 6, GT 17 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 95.5% Win Probability (After): 94.8% Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 11:48 | |
(3rd & Goal at DUKE 6) GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (TEAM) declined - DUKE 6, GT 17 | 0.47 | 94.8% | 0.6% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 6 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.87 - 4.40 = 0.47 Score Difference (Before): 11 (15.40) Score Difference (End): 11 (15.87) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 6, GT 17 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.8% Win Probability (After): 95.4% Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 17 (17) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:42 | |
(4th & Goal at DUKE 6) Gavin Stewart 23 yd FG GOOD - DUKE 6, GT 20 | 0.07 | 94.6% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 65 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.93 = 0.07 Score Difference (Before): 11 (13.93) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 6, GT 20 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 69 yards Win Probability (Before): 94.6% Win Probability (After): 93.9% Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 17 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 10:36 | |
(Kickoff at DUKE 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 65 yds , Jontavis Robertson return for 20 yds to the Duke 20 - DUKE 6, GT 20 | 1.32 | 6.5% | 1.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 80 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.11 - -0.21 = 1.32 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.21) Score Difference (End): -14 (-12.89) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 6, GT 20 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.5% Win Probability (After): 7.6% Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:36 | |
(1st & 10 at DUKE 20) Riley Leonard pass complete to Nicky Dalmolin for 1 yd to the Duke 21 - DUKE 6, GT 20 | -0.54 | 6.3% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 79 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.96 - -0.41 = -0.54 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.41) Score Difference (End): -14 (-14.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 6, GT 20 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.3% Win Probability (After): 6.0% Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 10:36 | |
(2nd & 9 at DUKE 21) Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Waters for 6 yds to the Duke 27 - DUKE 6, GT 20 | -0.05 | 6.0% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 73 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.00 - -0.96 = -0.05 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.96) Score Difference (End): -14 (-15.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 6, GT 20 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 6.0% Win Probability (After): 5.8% Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:52 | |
(3rd & 3 at DUKE 27) Riley Leonard pass incomplete - DUKE 6, GT 20 | -1.51 | 5.6% | -0.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 73 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.36 - -0.86 = -1.51 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-14.86) Score Difference (End): -14 (-16.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 6, GT 20 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 5.6% Win Probability (After): 4.8% Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:36 | |
(4th & 3 at DUKE 27) Porter Wilson punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Nate McCollum at the GTech 23 - DUKE 6, GT 20 | 0.15 | 4.5% | -2.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 73 -> 77 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.12 - -2.27 = 0.15 Score Difference (Before): -14 (-16.27) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.12) Change of Possession: 1 Score: DUKE 6, GT 20 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 4.5% Win Probability (After): 2.4% Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 9:36 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 23) Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the GTech 24 - DUKE 6, GT 20 | -0.58 | 97.6% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 76 Started Drive at: GT 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.64 - 2.21 = -0.58 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.21) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.64) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 6, GT 20 Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.6% Win Probability (After): 97.5% Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:36 | |
(2nd & 9 at GT 24) Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the GTech 25 - DUKE 6, GT 20 | -0.91 | 97.5% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 75 Started Drive at: GT 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.73 - 1.64 = -0.91 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.64) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.73) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 6, GT 20 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 2 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.5% Win Probability (After): 96.3% Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:36 | |
(3rd & 8 at GT 25) Jeff Sims pass complete to Ryan King for 8 yds to the GTech 33 for a 1ST down - DUKE 6, GT 20 | 1.95 | 96.3% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 67 Started Drive at: GT 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.68 - 0.73 = 1.95 Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.73) Score Difference (End): 14 (16.68) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 6, GT 20 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.3% Win Probability (After): 97.7% Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:36 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 33) Jeff Sims pass complete to Ryan King for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 29 - DUKE 6, GT 20 | -1.08 | 97.7% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 67 -> 71 Started Drive at: GT 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.61 - 2.68 = -1.08 Score Difference (Before): 14 (16.68) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 6, GT 20 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.7% Win Probability (After): 97.4% Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:36 | |
(2nd & 14 at GT 29) Hassan Hall run for no gain to the GTech 29 - DUKE 6, GT 20 | -1.06 | 97.4% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71 Started Drive at: GT 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.54 - 1.61 = -1.06 Score Difference (Before): 14 (15.61) Score Difference (End): 14 (14.54) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 6, GT 20 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 97.4% Win Probability (After): 96.1% Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 9:36 | |
(3rd & 14 at GT 29) GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Face mask (0 yards) ( Yards) declined - DUKE 6, GT 20 | 0.65 | 96.1% | 1.4% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71 Started Drive at: GT 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.19 - 0.54 = 0.65 Score Difference (Before): 14 (14.54) Score Difference (End): 14 (15.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 6, GT 20 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.1% Win Probability (After): 97.4% Away Score: 6 (6) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:55 | |
(4th & 15 at GT 28) David Shanahan punt for 53 yds , Sahmir Hagans returns for 81 yds for a TD, (Charlie Ham KICK) - DUKE 13, GT 20 | -5.87 | 96.0% | -17.6% |
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Play Type: Punt Return Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 99 Started Drive at: GT 23 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -7.00 - -1.13 = -5.87 Score Difference (Before): 14 (12.87) Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.00) Change of Possession: 1 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.0% Win Probability (After): 78.4% Away Score: 6 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 5:51 | |
(Kickoff at GT 35) Charlie Ham kickoff for 61 yds , Hassan Hall return for 13 yds to the GTech 17 - DUKE 13, GT 20 | -0.32 | 86.0% | -2.2% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 83 Started Drive at: GT 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.01 - 1.33 = -0.32 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.33) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.0% Win Probability (After): 83.8% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:51 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 17) Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 13 yds to the GTech 30 for a 1ST down - DUKE 13, GT 20 | 0.65 | 84.1% | 3.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 70 Started Drive at: GT 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.67 - 1.02 = 0.65 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.02) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.67) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 1 play, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.1% Win Probability (After): 87.6% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:51 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 30) Hassan Hall run for no gain to the GTech 30 - DUKE 13, GT 20 | -0.57 | 87.6% | -2.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 70 Started Drive at: GT 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.10 - 1.67 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.67) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 13 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.6% Win Probability (After): 85.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:51 | |
(2nd & 10 at GT 30) Jeff Sims run for 4 yds to the GTech 34 - DUKE 13, GT 20 | -0.35 | 85.3% | -1.3% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 66 Started Drive at: GT 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.74 - 1.10 = -0.35 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.10) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.3% Win Probability (After): 84.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 5:51 | |
(3rd & 6 at GT 34) Jeff Sims pass incomplete - DUKE 13, GT 20 | -1.38 | 84.0% | -5.0% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66 Started Drive at: GT 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.64 - 0.74 = -1.38 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.74) Score Difference (End): 7 (6.36) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.0% Win Probability (After): 79.1% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:55 | |
(4th & 6 at GT 34) David Shanahan punt for 50 yds , Sahmir Hagans returns for 40 yds to the GTech 44 - DUKE 13, GT 20 | -2.04 | 85.7% | -11.1% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 44 Started Drive at: GT 17 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.72 - -0.68 = -2.04 Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.32) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.28) Change of Possession: 1 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 17 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.7% Win Probability (After): 74.6% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 3:55 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 44) DUKE Penalty, False Start (Andre Harris) to the GTech 49 - DUKE 13, GT 20 | -0.67 | 22.9% | -2.7% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 49 Started Drive at: GT 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.04 - 2.71 = -0.67 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.29) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.96) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.9% Win Probability (After): 20.1% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:55 | |
(1st & 15 at GT 49) Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Moore for 10 yds to the GTech 39 - DUKE 13, GT 20 | 0.84 | 20.1% | 4.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 49 -> 39 Started Drive at: GT 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 2.04 = 0.84 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.96) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 1 play, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 20.1% Win Probability (After): 24.6% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:55 | |
(2nd & 5 at GT 39) Riley Leonard pass incomplete - DUKE 13, GT 20 | -0.70 | 24.6% | -2.4% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39 Started Drive at: GT 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.18 - 2.88 = -0.70 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.12) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.82) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 24.6% Win Probability (After): 22.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:55 | |
(3rd & 5 at GT 39) Riley Leonard pass incomplete - DUKE 13, GT 20 | -1.62 | 22.3% | -5.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 39 Started Drive at: GT 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.56 - 2.18 = -1.62 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.82) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.44) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.3% Win Probability (After): 17.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 3:07 | |
(4th & 5 at GT 39) Riley Leonard pass incomplete - DUKE 13, GT 20 | -2.52 | 16.0% | -8.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 61 Started Drive at: GT 44 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.92 - 0.60 = -2.52 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.40) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.92) Change of Possession: 1 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.0% Win Probability (After): 7.9% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 2:58 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 39) Jeff Sims run for 7 yds to the GTech 46 - DUKE 13, GT 20 | 0.04 | 96.5% | -0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 54 Started Drive at: GT 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 1.81 = 0.04 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.81) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.5% Win Probability (After): 96.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:58 | |
(2nd & 3 at GT 46) Timeout DUKE, clock 02:58 - DUKE 13, GT 20 | 0.00 | 96.3% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 54 Started Drive at: GT 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.85 - 1.85 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.85) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.85) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 1 play, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.3% Win Probability (After): 96.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:58 | |
(2nd & 3 at GT 46) Jeff Sims run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 44 - DUKE 13, GT 20 | -0.74 | 96.7% | -0.6% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 56 Started Drive at: GT 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.16 - 1.90 = -0.74 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.90) Score Difference (End): 7 (8.16) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.7% Win Probability (After): 96.1% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:55 | |
(3rd & 5 at GT 44) Jeff Sims run for 2 yds to the GTech 46 - DUKE 13, GT 20 | -1.11 | 96.4% | -6.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 54 Started Drive at: GT 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - 1.13 = -1.11 Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.13) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 96.4% Win Probability (After): 89.8% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 2:55 | |
(4th & 3 at GT 46) Timeout DUKE, clock 02:55 - DUKE 13, GT 20 | 0.00 | 91.4% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Timeout Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 54 Started Drive at: GT 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.01 - 0.01 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.01) Score Difference (End): 7 (7.01) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.4% Win Probability (After): 91.4% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 2:41 | |
(4th & 3 at GT 46) David Shanahan punt for 54 yds for a touchback - DUKE 13, GT 20 | -0.71 | 91.9% | -6.9% |
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Play Type: Punt Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 80 Started Drive at: GT 39 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.77 - -0.06 = -0.71 Score Difference (Before): 7 (6.94) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.23) Change of Possession: 1 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 7 yards Win Probability (Before): 91.9% Win Probability (After): 85.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| Q4 2:41 | |
(1st & 10 at DUKE 20) Riley Leonard pass complete to Jontavis Robertson for 5 yds to the Duke 25 - DUKE 13, GT 20 | -0.11 | 14.3% | 0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 75 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.60 - 0.71 = -0.11 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.29) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.3% Win Probability (After): 15.1% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:41 | |
(2nd & 5 at DUKE 25) Riley Leonard pass incomplete - DUKE 13, GT 20 | -0.57 | 15.1% | -1.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.03 - 0.60 = -0.57 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.40) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.97) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.1% Win Probability (After): 14.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:41 | |
(3rd & 5 at DUKE 25) Riley Leonard run for 5 yds to the Duke 30 for a 1ST down - DUKE 13, GT 20 | 1.07 | 14.0% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.10 - 0.03 = 1.07 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.97) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.90) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.0% Win Probability (After): 16.2% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 2:41 | |
(1st & 10 at DUKE 30) Riley Leonard pass incomplete - DUKE 13, GT 20 | -0.53 | 16.2% | -0.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 70 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.57 - 1.10 = -0.53 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.90) Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.43) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.2% Win Probability (After): 15.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:57 | |
(2nd & 10 at DUKE 30) (01:57) LEONARD, Riley pass to the right incomplete intended for DALMOLIN, Nicky thrown to the DU36; QB hurried by YONDJOUEN, Sylvain. PENALTY GT Roughing the Passer on YONDJOUEN, Sylvain enforced 15 yards from the DU30 to the DU45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - DUKE 13, GT 20 | 1.04 | 9.8% | 7.7% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 55 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.82 - 0.79 = 1.04 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.21) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.18) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 4 plays, 10 yards Win Probability (Before): 9.8% Win Probability (After): 17.5% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:57 | |
(1st & 10 at DUKE 45) Terry Moore run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line - DUKE 13, GT 20 | -0.08 | 14.8% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 50 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.77 - 1.84 = -0.08 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.16) Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 5 plays, 15 yards Win Probability (Before): 14.8% Win Probability (After): 15.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:57 | |
(2nd & 5 at 50) Riley Leonard pass complete to Eli Pancol for 8 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST down - DUKE 13, GT 20 | 0.49 | 15.0% | 1.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 42 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.26 - 1.77 = 0.49 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.23) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 6 plays, 23 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.0% Win Probability (After): 16.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:57 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 42) Riley Leonard pass complete to Nicky Dalmolin for 6 yds to the GTech 36 - DUKE 13, GT 20 | 0.52 | 16.3% | 2.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 36 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.78 - 2.26 = 0.52 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.74) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.22) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 7 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 16.3% Win Probability (After): 18.6% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:57 | |
(2nd & 4 at GT 36) Riley Leonard pass incomplete - DUKE 13, GT 20 | -0.55 | 18.6% | -1.6% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 36 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.23 - 2.78 = -0.55 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.22) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.77) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 8 plays, 29 yards Win Probability (Before): 18.6% Win Probability (After): 17.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:57 | |
(3rd & 4 at GT 36) Riley Leonard pass complete to Malik Bowen-Sims for 6 yds to the GTech 30 for a 1ST down - DUKE 13, GT 20 | 0.93 | 17.0% | 2.2% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 30 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.16 - 2.23 = 0.93 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.77) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.84) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 9 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 17.0% Win Probability (After): 19.3% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 1:57 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 30) Riley Leonard pass incomplete - DUKE 13, GT 20 | -0.40 | 19.3% | -0.3% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.77 - 3.16 = -0.40 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.84) Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.23) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.3% Win Probability (After): 19.0% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:35 | |
(2nd & 10 at GT 30) (00:35) LEONARD, Riley pass up the middle incomplete intended for PANCOL, Eli thrown to the GT15. PENALTY GT Personal Foul on SCOTT, Makius enforced 15 yards from the GT30 to the GT15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - DUKE 13, GT 20 | 1.76 | 10.8% | 13.1% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 15 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.41 - 2.66 = 1.76 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.34) Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.59) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 10 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 10.8% Win Probability (After): 23.9% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:35 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 15) Riley Leonard pass incomplete - DUKE 13, GT 20 | -0.39 | 22.7% | -1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.76 - 4.16 = -0.39 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.84) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.24) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 11 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 22.7% Win Probability (After): 21.1% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:35 | |
(2nd & 10 at GT 15) Riley Leonard pass incomplete - DUKE 13, GT 20 | -0.51 | 21.1% | -5.7% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 15 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.26 - 3.76 = -0.51 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.24) Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.74) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 21.1% Win Probability (After): 15.5% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:35 | |
(3rd & 10 at GT 15) GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (KJ Wallace) to the GTech 2 for a 1ST down - DUKE 13, GT 20 | 1.95 | 15.5% | 13.1% |
|
Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 2 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.21 - 3.26 = 1.95 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.74) Score Difference (End): -7 (-1.79) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 13, GT 20 Drive Summary: 12 plays, 35 yards Win Probability (Before): 15.5% Win Probability (After): 28.6% Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:08 | |
(1st & Goal at GT 2) Riley Leonard pass complete to Nicky Dalmolin for 2 yds for a TD, (Charlie Ham KICK) - DUKE 20, GT 20 | 1.46 | 26.3% | 16.4% |
|
Play Type: Passing Touchdown Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 99 Started Drive at: DUKE 20 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.54 = 1.46 Score Difference (Before): -7 (-1.46) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 20, GT 20 Drive Summary: 13 plays, 37 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.3% Win Probability (After): 42.7% Away Score: 13 (20) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| Q4 0:08 | |
(Kickoff at GT 35) Charlie Ham kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - DUKE 20, GT 20 | 0.00 | 49.6% | 0.0% |
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Play Type: Kickoff Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.15 - 0.15 = 0.00 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.15) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.15) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 20, GT 20 Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 49.6% Win Probability (After): 49.6% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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| Q4 0:00 | |
(1st & 10 at GT 25) [NH] Kneel down by GT at GT23 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00. - DUKE 20, GT 20 | 0.09 | 55.1% | -6.5% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 77 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.12 - 0.03 = 0.09 Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.03) Score Difference (End): 0 (0.12) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 20, GT 20 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 55.1% Win Probability (After): 48.6% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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(1st & 10 at DUKE 25) Jeff Sims pass incomplete - DUKE 20, GT 20 | 0.08 | 84.8% | 1.8% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.26 - 2.18 = 0.08 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.18) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 20, GT 20 Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 84.8% Win Probability (After): 86.7% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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(2nd & 10 at DUKE 25) Zach Gibson pass incomplete - DUKE 20, GT 20 | 0.02 | 86.7% | -0.9% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 25 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.28 - 2.26 = 0.02 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.26) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.28) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 20, GT 20 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards Win Probability (Before): 86.7% Win Probability (After): 85.7% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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(3rd & 10 at DUKE 25) Zach Gibson pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 5 yds to the Duke 20 - DUKE 20, GT 20 | 0.33 | 85.7% | 1.5% |
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Play Type: Pass Reception Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 20 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.61 - 2.28 = 0.33 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.28) Score Difference (End): 0 (2.61) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 20, GT 20 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 85.7% Win Probability (After): 87.2% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 20 (20) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 |
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(4th & 5 at DUKE 20) Gavin Stewart 37 yd FG GOOD - DUKE 20, GT 23 | 0.39 | 87.2% | 6.2% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Good Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 65 Started Drive at: DUKE 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.61 = 0.39 Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.61) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.00) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 20, GT 23 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards Win Probability (Before): 87.2% Win Probability (After): 93.4% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 20 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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| OT | |
(1st & 10 at GT 25) Jaquez Moore run for 3 yds to the GTech 22 - DUKE 20, GT 23 | 0.35 | 19.6% | 6.7% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 22 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.81 - 1.46 = 0.35 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.54) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.19) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 20, GT 23 Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards Win Probability (Before): 19.6% Win Probability (After): 26.3% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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(2nd & 7 at GT 22) Jaquez Moore run for 3 yds to the GTech 19 - DUKE 20, GT 23 | 0.09 | 26.3% | 0.2% |
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Play Type: Rush Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 19 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.90 - 1.81 = 0.09 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.19) Score Difference (End): -3 (-1.10) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 20, GT 23 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.3% Win Probability (After): 26.5% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| OT | |
(3rd & 4 at GT 19) LEONARD, Riley pass to the left complete for 10 yards to HAGANS, Sahmir caught at the GT20 and advanced to the GT9 (POWELL-LEE, Clayton). PENALTY DU Pass Interference on ROBERTSON, Jontavis enforced 15 yards to the GT34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). - DUKE 20, GT 23 | -1.15 | 26.5% | -13.6% |
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Play Type: Penalty Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 34 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.74 - 1.90 = -1.15 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-1.10) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.26) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 20, GT 23 Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 26.5% Win Probability (After): 12.9% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| OT | |
(3rd & 19 at GT 34) Riley Leonard pass incomplete - DUKE 20, GT 23 | -0.15 | 12.9% | 0.1% |
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Play Type: Pass Incompletion Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.60 - 0.74 = -0.15 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.26) Score Difference (End): -3 (-2.40) Change of Possession: 0 Score: DUKE 20, GT 23 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 12.9% Win Probability (After): 13.0% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3 |
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| OT | |
(4th & 19 at GT 35) Charlie Ham 52 yd FG MISSED - DUKE 20, GT 23 | -0.50 | 11.1% | 88.9% |
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Play Type: Field Goal Missed Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 35 -> 66 Started Drive at: GT 25 ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - 0.45 = -0.50 Score Difference (Before): -3 (-2.55) Score Difference (End): 3 (3.05) Change of Possession: 1 Score: DUKE 20, GT 23 Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards Win Probability (Before): 11.1% Win Probability (After): 0.0% Away Score: 20 (20) Home Score: 23 (23) Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2 Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link |
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