Virginia 16 @ Georgia Tech 9

Win Probability

Game Excitement Index: 4.97 | Odds: GT -3.5, O/U 47.5 | Download Chart

Expected Points

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Team Stats [show/hide]

Concept from Robert Binion (@robert_binion). Cell colors reflect the percentile of a team's performance against all single-game FBS vs FBS performances in that stat in 2022.
Overall ESPN team id 258 ESPN team id 59
EPA/Play -0.29 8th %ile-0.45 2nd %ile
Success Rate 36% 27th %ile32% 12th %ile
Yards/Play 5.94 53rd %ile3.03 2nd %ile
EPA/Dropback -0.32 17th %ile-0.64 3rd %ile
EPA/Rush -0.25 15th %ile-0.17 24th %ile
Yards/Dropback 7.29 70th %ile3.32 9th %ile
Explosive Play Rate 4% 9th %ile4% 9th %ile
3rd Down Success Rate 22% 7th %ile27% 14th %ile
Red Zone Success Rate 36% 38th %ile27% 23rd %ile
Def Run Stuff Rate 10% 0th %ile22% 14th %ile
Havoc Rate 18% 89th %ile15% 79th %ile
Expected Points ESPN team id 258 ESPN team id 59
Total Plays 8488
Total EPA -26.85-34.84
  Offensive EPA -20.62-33.15
  Special Teams EPA -9.61-1.91
  Penalty EPA 3.172.25
  Non-Scrimmage/Misc EPA 0.21-2.03
Production ESPN team id 258 ESPN team id 59
Scrimmage Plays 7273
  Yards 428221
  Yards/Play 5.943.03
  EPA -20.62-33.15
  EPA/Play -0.29-0.45
Passes 35 (49%)44 (60%)
  Yards 255146
  Yards/Play 7.293.32
  EPA -11.24-28.31
  EPA/Play -0.32-0.64
Rushes 37 (51%)29 (40%)
  Yards 156110
  Yards/Play 4.223.79
  EPA -9.38-4.84
  EPA/Play -0.25-0.17
Rushing ESPN team id 258 ESPN team id 59
Scrimmage Plays 7273
Rushes 37 (51%)29 (40%)
  Power Run Attempts (Down ≥ 3, Distance ≤ 2) 1 (3%)0 (0%)
  Successful Power Runs (Rate) 1 (100%)0 (0%)
  Stuffed Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 0) 8 (22%)3 (10%)
  Stopped Runs (Yds Gained ≤ 2) 19 (51%)13 (45%)
  Opportunity Runs (Yds Gained ≥ 4) 13 (35%)10 (34%)
OL Line Yards 40.454.2
  Per Carry 1.091.87
Highlight Yards 60.520
  Per Rush Opportunity 4.652.00
Explosiveness ESPN team id 258 ESPN team id 59
Total Plays 8488
Scrimmage Plays 7273
Explosive Plays 3 (4%)3 (4%)
  When Passing (EPA > 2.4) 2 (6%)2 (5%)
  When Rushing (EPA > 1.8) 1 (3%)1 (3%)
EPA w/o Explosive Plays -29.28-40.84
  EPA/Play -0.42-0.58
  When Passing -16.81-34.11
    EPA/Play -0.48-0.78
  When Rushing -12.47-6.73
    EPA/Play -0.35-0.24
Situational ESPN team id 258 ESPN team id 59
Successful Plays (EPA > 0) 26 (36%)23 (32%)
  When Passing 14 (40%)13 (30%)
  When Rushing 12 (32%)10 (34%)
  On Standard Downs 16 (33%)15 (37%)
  On Passing Downs 10 (42%)8 (25%)
  On Early Downs 23 (41%)17 (33%)
  On Late Downs 3 (19%)6 (27%)
  During "Middle 8" 8 (57%)5 (45%)
Early Downs 5651
  First Downs Created 12 (21%)6 (12%)
  EPA -3.81-13.17
  EPA/Play -0.07-0.26
  Passes 23 (41%)27 (53%)
  Rushes 33 (59%)24 (47%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 12 (52%)10 (37%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 11 (33%)7 (29%)
"Middle 8" Plays 1411
  EPA 0.040.34
  EPA/play 0.000.03
  Passes 6 (43%)6 (55%)
  Rushes 8 (57%)5 (45%)
  Successful Passes (Rate) 4 (67%)1 (17%)
  Successful Rushes (Rate) 4 (50%)4 (80%)
Drives ESPN team id 258 ESPN team id 59
Total 1615
Avg Starting Field Position Own 33Own 23
Plays/Drive 5.696.62
Yards/Drive 34.4426.59
Available Yards % 51%35%
Defensive ESPN team id 258 ESPN team id 59
Scrimmage Plays 7372
Stop Rate 70%49%
Havoc Plays Created 11 (15%)13 (18%)
  Passing 10 (23%)4 (11%)
  Rushing 1 (3%)9 (24%)
TFLs Generated 1010
  Passing 92
  Rushing 18
Sacks Generated 8 (18%)0 (0%)
Passes Defensed 00
Interceptions 12
Fumbles Forced 01
Turnovers ESPN team id 258 ESPN team id 59
Turnovers 32
  Fumbles 21
  Fumbles Lost 11
  Fumbles Recovered 10
  Interceptions 21
Turnover Margin -11
Expected Turnovers 1.40.7
Expected Turnover Margin -0.70.7
Turnover Luck (pts) -1.41.4
Special Teams ESPN team id 258 ESPN team id 59
Total Plays 12 15
Total EPA -9.61 -1.91
  Field Goal EPA -4.68 -0.16
  Punting EPA -3.05 -1.75
  Kickoff Return EPA -1.88 0

Virginia [show/hide]

ESPN team id 258
Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Brennan Armstrong 20/35, 255 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT, 0 Scks, 38.1 xQBR, 2.55 DETMER 7.29 -0.32 -11.24 40% -48.0%
Rush attempts
Brennan Armstrong 13 carries, 91 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.00 0.27 3.57 54% 11.0%
Keytaon Thompson 1 carry, 5 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 5.00 0.12 0.12 100% 0.0%
TEAM 1 carry, -1 yd, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) -1.00 -0.04 -0.04 0% -1.0%
Xavier Brown 12 carries, 44 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.67 -0.22 -2.64 33% -16.0%
Perris Jones 10 carries, 17 yds, 0 TD, 2 Fum (1 lost) 1.70 -1.04 -10.39 0% -23.0%
Pass targets
Dontayvion Wicks 4 catches (7 targets), 99 yds, 1 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 24.75 0.78 5.47 57% 12.0%
Grant Misch 4 catches (4 targets), 28 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 7.00 0.47 1.90 100% 0.0%
Lavel Davis Jr. 1 catch (2 targets), 31 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 31.00 0.60 1.20 50% 0.0%
Keytaon Thompson 7 catches (9 targets), 89 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.71 0.07 0.60 44% -3.0%
Sean Wilson 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.56 -0.56 0% -1.0%
Sackett Wood Jr. 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -1.72 -1.72 0% -5.0%
Billy Kemp IV 0 catches (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -1.30 -2.61 0% -5.0%
Xavier Brown 4 catches (5 targets), 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 -0.86 -4.30 20% -12.0%

Georgia Tech [show/hide]

ESPN team id 59
Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA
Dropbacks
Jeff Sims 6/11, 47 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 1 Sck, 43.3 xQBR, 0.06 DETMER 3.92 -0.77 -9.23 33% -16.0%
Zach Gibson 10/25, 99 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 7 Scks, 37.1 xQBR, 0.00 DETMER 3.09 -0.60 -19.08 28% -67.0%
Rush attempts
Jeff Sims 2 carries, 6 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.00 0.50 1.00 50% 3.0%
Malik Rutherford 1 carry, 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 4.00 -0.06 -0.06 0% 0.0%
Dontae Smith 9 carries, 33 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.67 -0.07 -0.64 33% 2.0%
Zach Gibson 5 carries, 20 yds, 0 TD, 1 Fum (1 lost) 4.00 -0.27 -1.33 60% -6.0%
Hassan Hall 12 carries, 47 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 3.92 -0.32 -3.80 25% 1.0%
Pass targets
Hassan Hall 4 catches (6 targets), 37 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 9.25 0.15 0.89 67% -1.0%
Malachi Carter 4 catches (7 targets), 43 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 10.75 -0.03 -0.22 43% 3.0%
Peje' Harris 0 catches (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.40 -0.80 0% -3.0%
Ryan King 0 catches (1 target), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.87 -0.87 0% -4.0%
Leo Blackburn 0 catches (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.65 -1.31 0% -3.0%
Dylan Leonard 1 catch (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -0.72 -1.45 0% -7.0%
Nate McCollum 5 catches (10 targets), 62 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 12.40 -0.15 -1.53 50% -7.0%
Malik Rutherford 2 catches (3 targets), 4 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 2.00 -0.57 -1.70 33% -3.0%
E.J. Jenkins 0 catches (2 targets), 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 Fum (0 lost) 0.00 -1.22 -2.44 0% -5.0%

Big Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute EPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 6:51 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 7 at UVA 23) Brennan Armstrong pass intercepted for a TD LaMiles Brooks return for 37 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart PAT MISSED) - UVA 0, GT 6 -6.30 43.3% -16.6%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 99

Started Drive at: UVA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -6.00 - 0.30 = -6.30

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.30)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 0, GT 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.3%

Win Probability (After): 26.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:21 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & Goal at UVA 8) Jeff Sims pass intercepted, touchback. Coen King return for no gain - UVA 0, GT 0 -4.62 62.7% -7.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 80

Started Drive at: GT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.73 - 3.89 = -4.62

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.89)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.73)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.7%

Win Probability (After): 55.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:50 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 2 at 50) Perris Jones run for 11 yds to the GTech 39 Perris Jones fumbled, forced by Trenilyas Tatum, recovered by GTech LaMiles Brooks - UVA 0, GT 0 -4.11 49.7% -9.6%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 61

Started Drive at: UVA 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.11 - 2.00 = -4.11

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.00)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.11)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.7%

Win Probability (After): 40.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:19 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 5 at GT 9) Zach Gibson run for no gain to the GTech 9 Zach Gibson fumbled, recovered by Virg Nick Jackson - UVA 13, GT 9 -4.08 37.5% -11.3%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 9

Started Drive at: GT 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -5.56 - -1.47 = -4.08

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-5.47)

Score Difference (End): 4 (9.56)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.5%

Win Probability (After): 26.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:40 ESPN team id 258 (4th & 9 at UVA 37) TEAM punt blocked by Jalen Huff blocked by Jalen Huff Stevie Bracey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 36 Stevie Bracey fumbled, forced by Kaleb Edwards, recovered by GTech Ahmari Harvey - UVA 16, GT 9 -3.27 75.8% -10.4%

Play Type: Blocked Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 36

Started Drive at: UVA 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.27 - 0.00 = -3.27

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.00)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.73)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.8%

Win Probability (After): 65.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:50 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 14 at GT 3) Shanahan, David punt 44 yards to the GATECH47, out-of-bounds, PENALTY VIRGINIA personal foul (Davis Jr., Lavel) 15 yards to the GATECH18, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GATECH. - UVA 16, GT 9 3.10 9.0% 9.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 97 -> 82

Started Drive at: GT 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.42 - -2.68 = 3.10

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.68)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.0%

Win Probability (After): 17.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 6:59 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 10 at UVA 9) Brennan Armstrong run for 43 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST down - UVA 16, GT 9 3.10 78.4% 8.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 48

Started Drive at: UVA 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.16 - 0.07 = 3.10

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.07)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.4%

Win Probability (After): 86.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:24 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 44) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 44 yds for a TD, (Will Bettridge PAT MISSED) - UVA 13, GT 6 3.08 57.1% 6.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 99

Started Drive at: UVA 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 2.92 = 3.08

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.92)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.1%

Win Probability (After): 63.9%

Away Score: 7 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:21 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 14 at GT 21) Zach Gibson pass complete to Hassan Hall for 16 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST down - UVA 13, GT 6 2.99 29.0% 3.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 63

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.64 - -1.34 = 2.99

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.34)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.0%

Win Probability (After): 32.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:22 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 36) Brennan Armstrong pass intercepted Zamari Walton return for no gain to the GTech 18 - UVA 7, GT 6 -2.83 56.1% -6.9%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 82

Started Drive at: UVA 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.79 - 2.04 = -2.83

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.04)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.21)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.1%

Win Probability (After): 49.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Most Important Plays [show/hide]

As determined by absolute WPA.

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 6:51 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 7 at UVA 23) Brennan Armstrong pass intercepted for a TD LaMiles Brooks return for 37 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart PAT MISSED) - UVA 0, GT 6 -6.30 43.3% -16.6%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 99

Started Drive at: UVA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -6.00 - 0.30 = -6.30

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.30)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 0, GT 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.3%

Win Probability (After): 26.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:19 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 5 at GT 9) Zach Gibson run for no gain to the GTech 9 Zach Gibson fumbled, recovered by Virg Nick Jackson - UVA 13, GT 9 -4.08 37.5% -11.3%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 9

Started Drive at: GT 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -5.56 - -1.47 = -4.08

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-5.47)

Score Difference (End): 4 (9.56)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.5%

Win Probability (After): 26.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:40 ESPN team id 258 (4th & 9 at UVA 37) TEAM punt blocked by Jalen Huff blocked by Jalen Huff Stevie Bracey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 36 Stevie Bracey fumbled, forced by Kaleb Edwards, recovered by GTech Ahmari Harvey - UVA 16, GT 9 -3.27 75.8% -10.4%

Play Type: Blocked Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 36

Started Drive at: UVA 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.27 - 0.00 = -3.27

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.00)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.73)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.8%

Win Probability (After): 65.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:47 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 10 at UVA 31) Hassan Hall run for 14 yds to the Virg 17 for a 1ST down - UVA 13, GT 6 1.89 37.1% 10.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 17

Started Drive at: GT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.11 - 2.22 = 1.89

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.78)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.1%

Win Probability (After): 47.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q1 12:50 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 2 at 50) Perris Jones run for 11 yds to the GTech 39 Perris Jones fumbled, forced by Trenilyas Tatum, recovered by GTech LaMiles Brooks - UVA 0, GT 0 -4.11 49.7% -9.6%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 61

Started Drive at: UVA 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.11 - 2.00 = -4.11

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.00)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.11)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.7%

Win Probability (After): 40.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:24 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 1 at UVA 8) Gavin Stewart 25 yd FG GOOD - UVA 13, GT 9 -0.16 40.9% 9.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8

Started Drive at: GT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 3.16 = -0.16

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.84)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.9%

Win Probability (After): 50.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:50 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 14 at GT 3) Shanahan, David punt 44 yards to the GATECH47, out-of-bounds, PENALTY VIRGINIA personal foul (Davis Jr., Lavel) 15 yards to the GATECH18, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GATECH. - UVA 16, GT 9 3.10 9.0% 9.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 97 -> 82

Started Drive at: GT 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.42 - -2.68 = 3.10

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.68)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.0%

Win Probability (After): 17.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 2:01 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & Goal at GT 1) Brennan Armstrong run for 1 yd for a TD, (Will Bettridge KICK) - UVA 7, GT 6 1.09 44.7% 8.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.91 = 1.09

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-0.09)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.7%

Win Probability (After): 53.5%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:00 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 10 at UVA 36) Zach Gibson sacked by Kam Butler for a loss of 6 yards to the Virg 42 - UVA 16, GT 9 -2.44 27.5% -8.8%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 42

Started Drive at: UVA 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.65 - 1.79 = -2.44

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.21)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.5%

Win Probability (After): 18.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:31 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 14 at GT 24) David Shanahan punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 31 - UVA 7, GT 6 0.21 38.7% 8.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 69

Started Drive at: GT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.55 - -1.76 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-2.76)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.55)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.7%

Win Probability (After): 47.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Scoring Plays [show/hide]

Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 6:51 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 7 at UVA 23) Brennan Armstrong pass intercepted for a TD LaMiles Brooks return for 37 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart PAT MISSED) - UVA 0, GT 6 -6.30 43.3% -16.6%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 99

Started Drive at: UVA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -6.00 - 0.30 = -6.30

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.30)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 0, GT 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.3%

Win Probability (After): 26.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:01 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & Goal at GT 1) Brennan Armstrong run for 1 yd for a TD, (Will Bettridge KICK) - UVA 7, GT 6 1.09 44.7% 8.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.91 = 1.09

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-0.09)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.7%

Win Probability (After): 53.5%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:24 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 44) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 44 yds for a TD, (Will Bettridge PAT MISSED) - UVA 13, GT 6 3.08 57.1% 6.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 99

Started Drive at: UVA 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 2.92 = 3.08

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.92)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.1%

Win Probability (After): 63.9%

Away Score: 7 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 0:24 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 1 at UVA 8) Gavin Stewart 25 yd FG GOOD - UVA 13, GT 9 -0.16 40.9% 9.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8

Started Drive at: GT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 3.16 = -0.16

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.84)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.9%

Win Probability (After): 50.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:21 ESPN team id 258 (4th & Goal at GT 11) Will Bettridge 28 yd FG GOOD - UVA 16, GT 9 0.37 68.1% 6.7%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11

Started Drive at: GT 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.63 = 0.37

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.63)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.1%

Win Probability (After): 74.8%

Away Score: 13 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

All Plays [show/hide]

Play shading guide:
  • Yellow - penalty
  • Red - turnover
  • Green - scoring play
Time Offense Play Description EPA WP% WPA
Q1 15:00 ESPN team id 59 (Kickoff at GT 35) Brendan Farrell kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UVA 0, GT 0 0.00 60.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.86 - 0.86 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.86)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 60.7%

Win Probability (After): 60.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:45 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 25) Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 5 yds to the GTech 30 - UVA 0, GT 0 0.06 62.1% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 70

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.10 - 1.04 = 0.06

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.1%

Win Probability (After): 61.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:28 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 5 at GT 30) Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 4 yds to the GTech 34 - UVA 0, GT 0 0.12 59.3% 2.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 70 -> 66

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.38 - 1.26 = 0.12

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.26)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.38)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 59.3%

Win Probability (After): 61.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 14:16 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 1 at GT 34) GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Jordan Williams) to the GTech 29 - UVA 0, GT 0 -1.41 58.2% -3.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 71

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.08 - 1.34 = -1.41

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.34)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-0.08)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.2%

Win Probability (After): 54.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:58 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 6 at GT 29) Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Malachi Carter - UVA 0, GT 0 -1.67 54.7% -2.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 71

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.72 - -0.04 = -1.67

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-0.04)

Score Difference (End): 0 (-1.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.7%

Win Probability (After): 51.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:49 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 6 at GT 29) David Shanahan punt for 29 yds, downed at the Virg 42 - UVA 0, GT 0 -0.74 51.9% -2.7%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 58

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.32 - -1.58 = -0.74

Score Difference (Before): 0 (-1.58)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.32)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 9 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.9%

Win Probability (After): 49.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q1 13:25 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 42) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 4 yds to the Virg 46 - UVA 0, GT 0 -0.06 50.3% 0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 54

Started Drive at: UVA 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.22 - 2.28 = -0.06

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.28)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.3%

Win Probability (After): 51.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 13:00 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 6 at UVA 46) Perris Jones run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line - UVA 0, GT 0 -0.22 50.5% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 50

Started Drive at: UVA 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.99 - 2.21 = -0.22

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.21)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.5%

Win Probability (After): 50.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:50 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 2 at 50) Perris Jones run for 11 yds to the GTech 39 Perris Jones fumbled, forced by Trenilyas Tatum, recovered by GTech LaMiles Brooks - UVA 0, GT 0 -4.11 49.7% -9.6%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 61

Started Drive at: UVA 42

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.11 - 2.00 = -4.11

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.00)

Score Difference (End): 0 (2.11)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.7%

Win Probability (After): 40.1%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:20 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 39) Hassan Hall run for 2 yds to the GTech 41 - UVA 0, GT 0 -0.49 58.8% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 59

Started Drive at: GT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.61 - 2.10 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): 0 (2.10)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 58.8%

Win Probability (After): 57.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 12:05 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 8 at GT 41) Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the GTech 44 - UVA 0, GT 0 -0.35 57.1% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 59 -> 56

Started Drive at: GT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.26 - 1.61 = -0.35

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.61)

Score Difference (End): 0 (1.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.1%

Win Probability (After): 55.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 11:23 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 5 at GT 44) Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 23 yds to the Virg 33 for a 1ST down - UVA 0, GT 0 2.82 56.7% 5.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 33

Started Drive at: GT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.06 - 1.24 = 2.82

Score Difference (Before): 0 (1.24)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 28 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.7%

Win Probability (After): 62.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:45 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UVA 33) Dontae Smith run for 3 yds to the Virg 30 - UVA 0, GT 0 -0.43 63.1% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 33 -> 30

Started Drive at: GT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.65 - 4.08 = -0.43

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.08)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.1%

Win Probability (After): 62.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:10 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 7 at UVA 30) Dontae Smith run for 10 yds to the Virg 20 for a 1ST down - UVA 0, GT 0 1.01 61.7% 4.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 20

Started Drive at: GT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.71 - 3.70 = 1.01

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.70)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 41 yards

Win Probability (Before): 61.7%

Win Probability (After): 65.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 10:00 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UVA 20) Dontae Smith run for 2 yds to the Virg 18 - UVA 0, GT 0 -0.46 64.4% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 18

Started Drive at: GT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.25 - 4.70 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.70)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.4%

Win Probability (After): 63.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 9:24 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 8 at UVA 18) Dontae Smith run for 6 yds to the Virg 12 - UVA 0, GT 0 0.35 63.8% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 18 -> 12

Started Drive at: GT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.61 - 4.25 = 0.35

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.25)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.61)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 49 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.8%

Win Probability (After): 63.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:59 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 2 at UVA 12) Dontae Smith run for 2 yds to the Virg 10 for a 1ST down - UVA 0, GT 0 0.52 63.4% 1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 10

Started Drive at: GT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.13 - 4.61 = 0.52

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.61)

Score Difference (End): 0 (5.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.4%

Win Probability (After): 64.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 8:28 ESPN team id 59 (1st & Goal at UVA 10) Dontae Smith run for 2 yds to the Virg 8 - UVA 0, GT 0 -0.35 64.9% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 10 -> 8

Started Drive at: GT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.76 - 5.11 = -0.35

Score Difference (Before): 0 (5.11)

Score Difference (End): 0 (4.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.9%

Win Probability (After): 64.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:40 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & Goal at UVA 8) Jeff Sims pass complete to Dylan Leonard for no gain to the Virg 8 - UVA 0, GT 0 -0.90 66.7% -4.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8

Started Drive at: GT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.86 - 4.76 = -0.90

Score Difference (Before): 0 (4.76)

Score Difference (End): 0 (3.86)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.7%

Win Probability (After): 62.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:21 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & Goal at UVA 8) Jeff Sims pass intercepted, touchback. Coen King return for no gain - UVA 0, GT 0 -4.62 62.7% -7.3%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 80

Started Drive at: GT 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.73 - 3.89 = -4.62

Score Difference (Before): 0 (3.89)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.73)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 62.7%

Win Probability (After): 55.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 7:15 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 20) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Xavier Brown for 3 yds to the Virg 23 - UVA 0, GT 0 -0.53 44.7% -1.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 77

Started Drive at: UVA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.22 - 0.75 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.75)

Score Difference (End): 0 (0.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 0

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.7%

Win Probability (After): 43.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (0)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:51 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 7 at UVA 23) Brennan Armstrong pass intercepted for a TD LaMiles Brooks return for 37 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart PAT MISSED) - UVA 0, GT 6 -6.30 43.3% -16.6%

Play Type: Interception Return Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 99

Started Drive at: UVA 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -6.00 - 0.30 = -6.30

Score Difference (Before): 0 (0.30)

Score Difference (End): 6 (6.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 0, GT 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 43.3%

Win Probability (After): 26.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 0 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:51 ESPN team id 258 (Kickoff at UVA 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UVA 0, GT 6 0.00 29.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.70 - 0.70 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.30)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-5.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 6

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.7%

Win Probability (After): 29.7%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:28 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 25) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Lavel Davis Jr. for 31 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST down - UVA 0, GT 6 2.30 30.2% 4.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 44

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.03 - 0.73 = 2.30

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-5.27)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.2%

Win Probability (After): 34.3%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 6:16 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 44) Perris Jones run for 3 yds to the GTech 41 - UVA 0, GT 6 -0.23 34.8% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 41

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.80 - 3.03 = -0.23

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.97)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 34 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.8%

Win Probability (After): 34.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:57 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 7 at GT 41) Perris Jones run for 1 yd to the GTech 40 - UVA 0, GT 6 -0.79 34.9% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 41 -> 40

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.01 - 2.80 = -0.79

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.20)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-3.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 35 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.9%

Win Probability (After): 33.2%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 5:00 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 6 at GT 40) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 15 yds to the GTech 25 for a 1ST down - UVA 0, GT 6 2.18 34.6% 3.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 40 -> 25

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.19 - 2.01 = 2.18

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-3.99)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-1.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 6

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.6%

Win Probability (After): 37.9%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:20 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 25) Perris Jones run for 1 yd to the GTech 24 - UVA 0, GT 6 -0.54 40.6% -2.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 25 -> 24

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.65 - 4.19 = -0.54

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-1.81)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 6

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.6%

Win Probability (After): 38.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 4:00 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 9 at GT 24) Perris Jones run for 1 yd to the GTech 23 - UVA 0, GT 6 -0.61 39.5% -1.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 23

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.02 - 3.63 = -0.61

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.37)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-2.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 6

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.5%

Win Probability (After): 38.0%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:28 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 8 at GT 23) Armstrong, Brennan pass incomplete to Thompson, Keytaon, PENALTY GATECH pass interference (Wallace, KJ) 9 yards to the GATECH14, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VIRGINIA. - UVA 0, GT 6 1.91 38.0% 3.8%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 23 -> 14

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.93 - 3.02 = 1.91

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-2.98)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-1.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 6

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.0%

Win Probability (After): 41.8%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:23 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 14) Armstrong, Brennan pass incomplete to Thompson, Keytaon, PENALTY GATECH pass interference (Brooks, LaMiles) 12 yards to the GATECH2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VIRGINIA. - UVA 0, GT 6 1.36 41.8% 2.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 14 -> 2

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.29 - 4.93 = 1.36

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-1.07)

Score Difference (End): -6 (0.29)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 6

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 52 yards

Win Probability (Before): 41.8%

Win Probability (After): 44.5%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 3:00 ESPN team id 258 (1st & Goal at GT 2) Xavier Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 4 - UVA 0, GT 6 -0.79 44.9% -1.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 2 -> 4

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.50 - 6.29 = -0.79

Score Difference (Before): -6 (0.29)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-0.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 6

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 50 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.9%

Win Probability (After): 43.4%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:39 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & Goal at GT 4) Xavier Brown run for 3 yds to the GTech 1 - UVA 0, GT 6 0.40 44.4% -1.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 4 -> 1

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.90 - 5.51 = 0.40

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-0.49)

Score Difference (End): -6 (-0.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 0, GT 6

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 53 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.4%

Win Probability (After): 42.6%

Away Score: 0 (0) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:01 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & Goal at GT 1) Brennan Armstrong run for 1 yd for a TD, (Will Bettridge KICK) - UVA 7, GT 6 1.09 44.7% 8.8%

Play Type: Rushing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 1 -> 99

Started Drive at: UVA 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 7.00 - 5.91 = 1.09

Score Difference (Before): -6 (-0.09)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 54 yards

Win Probability (Before): 44.7%

Win Probability (After): 53.5%

Away Score: 0 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 2:01 ESPN team id 59 (Kickoff at GT 35) Brendan Farrell kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UVA 7, GT 6 0.00 49.7% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.98 - 0.98 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.02)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.7%

Win Probability (After): 49.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:37 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 25) Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 17 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST down - UVA 7, GT 6 1.14 50.1% 2.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 58

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.20 - 1.06 = 1.14

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.06)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.1%

Win Probability (After): 52.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 1:23 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 42) Malik Rutherford run for 4 yds to the GTech 46 - UVA 7, GT 6 -0.06 52.3% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 58 -> 54

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.20 - 2.26 = -0.06

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.26)

Score Difference (End): -1 (1.20)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 21 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.3%

Win Probability (After): 52.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:40 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 6 at GT 46) Jeff Sims pass complete to Malik Rutherford for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 44 - UVA 7, GT 6 -1.16 49.0% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 56

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 2.19 = -1.16

Score Difference (Before): -1 (1.19)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.0%

Win Probability (After): 49.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q1 0:01 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 8 at GT 44) Jeff Sims sacked by Nick Jackson for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 39 - UVA 7, GT 6 -2.00 45.8% -3.9%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 61

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.97 - 1.03 = -2.00

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.03)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.97)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.8%

Win Probability (After): 41.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:45 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 13 at GT 39) David Shanahan punt for 40 yds, downed at the Virg 21 - UVA 7, GT 6 -0.11 45.2% 0.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 79

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.00 - -0.90 = -0.11

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-1.90)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.00)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.2%

Win Probability (After): 45.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 14:40 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 21) Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV - UVA 7, GT 6 -0.65 54.6% -2.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 79

Started Drive at: UVA 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.35 - 1.00 = -0.65

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.00)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.6%

Win Probability (After): 52.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:34 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 10 at UVA 21) Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete - UVA 7, GT 6 -0.90 52.3% -2.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 79

Started Drive at: UVA 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.57 - 0.34 = -0.90

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.34)

Score Difference (End): 1 (0.43)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.3%

Win Probability (After): 50.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:28 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 10 at UVA 21) Armstrong, Brennan pass incomplete to Wicks, Dontayvion, PENALTY GATECH personal foul (Douse, D'Quan) 15 yards to the VIRGINIA36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VIRGINIA. - UVA 7, GT 6 2.63 50.1% 6.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 64

Started Drive at: UVA 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.05 - -0.58 = 2.63

Score Difference (Before): 1 (0.42)

Score Difference (End): 1 (3.05)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.1%

Win Probability (After): 56.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:22 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 36) Brennan Armstrong pass intercepted Zamari Walton return for no gain to the GTech 18 - UVA 7, GT 6 -2.83 56.1% -6.9%

Play Type: Interception Return

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 82

Started Drive at: UVA 21

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.79 - 2.04 = -2.83

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.04)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.21)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 56.1%

Win Probability (After): 49.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 14:00 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 18) Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the GTech 19 - UVA 7, GT 6 -0.66 51.1% -2.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 81

Started Drive at: GT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.11 - 0.77 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.23)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 51.1%

Win Probability (After): 49.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:30 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 9 at GT 19) Hassan Hall run for 4 yds to the GTech 23 - UVA 7, GT 6 -0.40 48.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 81 -> 77

Started Drive at: GT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.31 - 0.09 = -0.40

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.91)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.6%

Win Probability (After): 48.6%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 13:00 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 5 at GT 23) Jeff Sims run for 5 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST down - UVA 7, GT 6 1.64 47.9% 4.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 77 -> 72

Started Drive at: GT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.36 - -0.28 = 1.64

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-1.28)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 10 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.9%

Win Probability (After): 52.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:40 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 28) Jeff Sims run for 1 yd to the GTech 29 - UVA 7, GT 6 -0.64 52.2% -1.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 71

Started Drive at: GT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.77 - 1.41 = -0.64

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.41)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.2%

Win Probability (After): 50.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 12:10 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 9 at GT 29) Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the GTech 32 - UVA 7, GT 6 -0.41 50.5% -1.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 71 -> 68

Started Drive at: GT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.41 - 0.82 = -0.41

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.18)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.5%

Win Probability (After): 49.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:54 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 6 at GT 32) Jeff Sims pass incomplete to E.J. Jenkins - UVA 7, GT 6 -1.45 49.1% -3.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 68

Started Drive at: GT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.00 - 0.46 = -1.45

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.54)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-2.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 49.1%

Win Probability (After): 45.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:47 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 6 at GT 32) David Shanahan punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 15 - UVA 7, GT 6 0.14 45.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 68 -> 85

Started Drive at: GT 18

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.81 - -0.95 = 0.14

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-1.95)

Score Difference (End): 1 (1.81)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 45.4%

Win Probability (After): 45.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 11:47 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 15) Brown, Xavier rush for 2 yards to the VIRGINIA17, PENALTY VIRGINIA personal foul (Johnson III, Jestus) 7 yards to the VIRGINIA8, NO PLAY. - UVA 7, GT 6 -0.99 54.4% -2.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 85 -> 92

Started Drive at: UVA 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.18 - 0.81 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): 1 (1.81)

Score Difference (End): 1 (0.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 54.4%

Win Probability (After): 51.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 11:05 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 17 at UVA 8) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 5 yds to the Virg 13 - UVA 7, GT 6 -0.15 53.2% -2.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 92 -> 87

Started Drive at: UVA 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.44 - -0.29 = -0.15

Score Difference (Before): 1 (0.71)

Score Difference (End): 1 (0.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 53.2%

Win Probability (After): 50.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:45 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 12 at UVA 13) Brennan Armstrong run for 3 yds to the Virg 16 - UVA 7, GT 6 -0.19 52.2% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 87 -> 84

Started Drive at: UVA 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.74 - -0.54 = -0.19

Score Difference (Before): 1 (0.46)

Score Difference (End): 1 (0.26)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.2%

Win Probability (After): 50.8%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 10:03 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 9 at UVA 16) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Xavier Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 14 - UVA 7, GT 6 -1.38 52.1% -6.8%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 84 -> 86

Started Drive at: UVA 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.99 - -0.61 = -1.38

Score Difference (Before): 1 (0.39)

Score Difference (End): 1 (-0.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.1%

Win Probability (After): 45.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 9:24 ESPN team id 258 (4th & 11 at UVA 14) Daniel Sparks punt for 48 yds , Nate McCollum returns for no gain to the GTech 14 GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tyson Meiguez) to the GTech 28 - UVA 7, GT 6 0.48 42.9% 4.8%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 72

Started Drive at: UVA 15

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.51 - -2.05 = 0.48

Score Difference (Before): 1 (-0.99)

Score Difference (End): -1 (0.51)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.9%

Win Probability (After): 47.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 9:16 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 28) Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Leo Blackburn - UVA 7, GT 6 -0.74 50.9% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72

Started Drive at: GT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.64 - 1.38 = -0.74

Score Difference (Before): -1 (0.38)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-0.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 50.9%

Win Probability (After): 50.7%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:47 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 10 at GT 28) Hassan Hall run for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 24 - UVA 7, GT 6 -1.57 48.1% -4.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 76

Started Drive at: GT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.98 - 0.59 = -1.57

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-0.41)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-1.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 48.1%

Win Probability (After): 43.9%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:39 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 14 at GT 24) Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Nate McCollum - UVA 7, GT 6 -0.84 42.6% -3.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 76

Started Drive at: GT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.77 - -0.93 = -0.84

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-1.93)

Score Difference (End): -1 (-2.77)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 42.6%

Win Probability (After): 39.4%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 8:31 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 14 at GT 24) David Shanahan punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 31 - UVA 7, GT 6 0.21 38.7% 8.6%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 69

Started Drive at: GT 28

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.55 - -1.76 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): -1 (-2.76)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.55)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 38.7%

Win Probability (After): 47.3%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 8:09 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 31) Perris Jones run for 3 yds to the Virg 34 - UVA 7, GT 6 -0.34 52.8% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 66

Started Drive at: UVA 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.18 - 1.52 = -0.34

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.52)

Score Difference (End): 1 (2.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.8%

Win Probability (After): 52.2%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:45 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 7 at UVA 34) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 22 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST down - UVA 7, GT 6 1.85 52.2% 3.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 44

Started Drive at: UVA 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.85 - 1.01 = 1.85

Score Difference (Before): 1 (2.01)

Score Difference (End): 1 (3.85)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 7, GT 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 52.2%

Win Probability (After): 56.1%

Away Score: 7 (7) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:24 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 44) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 44 yds for a TD, (Will Bettridge PAT MISSED) - UVA 13, GT 6 3.08 57.1% 6.8%

Play Type: Passing Touchdown

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 99

Started Drive at: UVA 31

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 6.00 - 2.92 = 3.08

Score Difference (Before): 1 (3.92)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 69 yards

Win Probability (Before): 57.1%

Win Probability (After): 63.9%

Away Score: 7 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:24 ESPN team id 59 (Kickoff at GT 35) Brendan Farrell kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UVA 13, GT 6 0.00 32.9% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.53 - 0.53 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.47)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.47)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.9%

Win Probability (After): 32.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:24 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 25) GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Corey Robinson II) to the GTech 20 - UVA 13, GT 6 -0.59 32.9% -2.7%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 80

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.06 - 0.53 = -0.59

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.47)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.06)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.9%

Win Probability (After): 30.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 7:08 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 15 at GT 20) Zach Gibson run for 1 yd to the GTech 21 - UVA 13, GT 6 -0.48 30.0% -0.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 79

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.53 - -0.05 = -0.48

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.05)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.53)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.0%

Win Probability (After): 29.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:47 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 14 at GT 21) Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Nate McCollum - UVA 13, GT 6 -1.02 29.1% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 79

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.39 - -0.37 = -1.02

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.37)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.39)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.1%

Win Probability (After): 28.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 6:21 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 14 at GT 21) Zach Gibson pass complete to Hassan Hall for 16 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST down - UVA 13, GT 6 2.99 29.0% 3.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 63

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.64 - -1.34 = 2.99

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.34)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.0%

Win Probability (After): 32.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:53 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 37) Zach Gibson pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 6 yds to the GTech 43 - UVA 13, GT 6 0.40 35.8% -0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 57

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.87 - 1.47 = 0.40

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.53)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.13)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 35.8%

Win Probability (After): 35.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 5:17 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 4 at GT 43) Zach Gibson sacked by Chico Bennett Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 39 - UVA 13, GT 6 -1.33 36.0% -2.4%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 57 -> 61

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 1.71 = -1.33

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.29)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.0%

Win Probability (After): 33.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:48 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 8 at GT 39) Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Hassan Hall - UVA 13, GT 6 -1.42 33.2% -1.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 61

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.82 - 0.60 = -1.42

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.40)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.82)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 33.2%

Win Probability (After): 32.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:36 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 8 at GT 39) David Shanahan punt for 38 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 22 yds to the Virg 45 - UVA 13, GT 6 -1.49 30.7% -4.7%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 55

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.23 - -0.75 = -1.49

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.75)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.23)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 19 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.7%

Win Probability (After): 26.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 4:12 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 45) Xavier Brown run for 18 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST down - UVA 13, GT 6 1.21 74.0% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 37

Started Drive at: UVA 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.31 - 2.10 = 1.21

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.10)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.0%

Win Probability (After): 74.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 4:03 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 37) Xavier Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 39 - UVA 13, GT 6 -0.99 74.5% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 37 -> 39

Started Drive at: UVA 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.15 - 3.13 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.13)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.5%

Win Probability (After): 73.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 3:06 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 12 at GT 39) Brennan Armstrong run for 7 yds to the GTech 32 - UVA 13, GT 6 0.80 73.4% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 39 -> 32

Started Drive at: UVA 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.72 - 1.92 = 0.80

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.92)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 23 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.4%

Win Probability (After): 73.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:48 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 5 at GT 32) Brennan Armstrong run for 2 yds to the GTech 30 - UVA 13, GT 6 -0.97 73.4% -1.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 32 -> 30

Started Drive at: UVA 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - 2.43 = -0.97

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.43)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 73.4%

Win Probability (After): 72.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q2 2:13 ESPN team id 258 (4th & 3 at GT 30) Timeout VIRGINIA, clock 02:13 - UVA 13, GT 6 0.00 72.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 30

Started Drive at: UVA 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.46 - 1.46 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.46)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.46)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.1%

Win Probability (After): 72.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:56 ESPN team id 258 (4th & 3 at GT 30) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 6 yds to the GTech 24 for a 1ST down - UVA 13, GT 6 2.10 70.6% 4.7%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 30 -> 24

Started Drive at: UVA 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.56 - 1.45 = 2.10

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.45)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 70.6%

Win Probability (After): 75.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:32 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 12 at GT 26) Timeout GEORGIA TECH, clock 01:32 - UVA 13, GT 6 0.00 75.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 26

Started Drive at: UVA 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.56 - 3.56 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.56)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.56)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.1%

Win Probability (After): 75.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:27 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 24) Perris Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 26 - UVA 13, GT 6 -1.20 77.3% -2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 24 -> 26

Started Drive at: UVA 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.22 - 3.41 = -1.20

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.41)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 29 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.3%

Win Probability (After): 74.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:26 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 12 at GT 26) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Grant Misch for 4 yds to the GTech 22 - UVA 13, GT 6 0.53 74.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 22

Started Drive at: UVA 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.70 - 2.17 = 0.53

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.17)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.70)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.4%

Win Probability (After): 74.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:21 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 8 at GT 22) Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion Wicks - UVA 13, GT 6 -0.71 74.9% -3.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 22

Started Drive at: UVA 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.02 - 2.73 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.73)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 74.9%

Win Probability (After): 71.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:16 ESPN team id 258 (4th & 8 at GT 22) Will Bettridge 39 yd FG MISSED - UVA 13, GT 6 -2.56 72.0% -6.0%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 22 -> 78

Started Drive at: UVA 45

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.49 - 2.06 = -2.56

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.06)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.51)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 33 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.0%

Win Probability (After): 66.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 1:10 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 22) Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate McCollum for 25 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST down - UVA 13, GT 6 0.94 34.0% 2.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 53

Started Drive at: GT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.49 - 0.56 = 0.94

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.44)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.51)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 1 play, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.0%

Win Probability (After): 36.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 1:00 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 47) Zach Gibson run for 7 yds to the GATECH 46 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Virg 31 for a 1ST down - UVA 13, GT 6 1.44 36.8% 3.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 53 -> 31

Started Drive at: GT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.93 - 1.28 = 1.44

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.51)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 36.8%

Win Probability (After): 40.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:58 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UVA 31) Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Peje' Harris - UVA 13, GT 6 -0.27 39.8% -0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 31

Started Drive at: GT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.58 - 2.85 = -0.27

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.15)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.42)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.8%

Win Probability (After): 39.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:53 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 10 at UVA 31) Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Peje' Harris - UVA 13, GT 6 -0.53 39.3% -2.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 31

Started Drive at: GT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.12 - 2.65 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.35)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 47 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.3%

Win Probability (After): 36.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:47 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 10 at UVA 31) Hassan Hall run for 14 yds to the Virg 17 for a 1ST down - UVA 13, GT 6 1.89 37.1% 10.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 31 -> 17

Started Drive at: GT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.11 - 2.22 = 1.89

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.78)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 61 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.1%

Win Probability (After): 47.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:41 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UVA 17) Zach Gibson sacked by Michael Diatta for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 19 - UVA 13, GT 6 -1.31 47.0% -6.5%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 17 -> 19

Started Drive at: GT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.77 - 4.08 = -1.31

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.92)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.0%

Win Probability (After): 40.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:41 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 12 at UVA 19) Timeout GEORGIA TECH, clock 00:41 - UVA 13, GT 6 0.00 40.6% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 19

Started Drive at: GT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.77 - 2.77 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.23)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.6%

Win Probability (After): 40.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:33 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 12 at UVA 19) Zach Gibson run for 11 yds to the Virg 8 - UVA 13, GT 6 1.60 40.1% 6.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 19 -> 8

Started Drive at: GT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.46 - 2.86 = 1.60

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.14)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-2.54)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.1%

Win Probability (After): 47.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:28 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 1 at UVA 8) Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Nate McCollum - UVA 13, GT 6 -1.28 47.3% -5.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8

Started Drive at: GT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.19 - 4.47 = -1.28

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-2.53)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.81)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 6

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 47.3%

Win Probability (After): 41.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (6)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q2 0:24 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 1 at UVA 8) Gavin Stewart 25 yd FG GOOD - UVA 13, GT 9 -0.16 40.9% 9.1%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 8 -> 8

Started Drive at: GT 22

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 3.16 = -0.16

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.84)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 70 yards

Win Probability (Before): 40.9%

Win Probability (After): 50.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 6 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q2 0:24 ESPN team id 258 (Kickoff at UVA 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 62 yds , Demick Starling return for no gain to the Virg 3 - UVA 13, GT 9 -0.25 66.3% -0.8%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 97

Started Drive at: UVA 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.02 - 0.27 = -0.25

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.27)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 66.3%

Win Probability (After): 65.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:13 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 3) TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 2 - UVA 13, GT 9 -0.04 65.5% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 97 -> 98

Started Drive at: UVA 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - 0.03 = -0.04

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.03)

Score Difference (End): 4 (3.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.5%

Win Probability (After): 64.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q2 0:13 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 11 at UVA 2) Timeout GEORGIA TECH, clock 00:13 - UVA 13, GT 9 0.00 64.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 98

Started Drive at: UVA 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - -0.01 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 4 (3.99)

Score Difference (End): 4 (3.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, -1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.3%

Win Probability (After): 64.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q2 0:01 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 11 at UVA 2) Brennan Armstrong run for 1 yd to the Virg 3 - UVA 13, GT 9 0.04 64.3% -0.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 98 -> 97

Started Drive at: UVA 3

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.01 - -0.04 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): 4 (3.96)

Score Difference (End): 4 (3.99)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.3%

Win Probability (After): 63.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 0

Q3 15:00 ESPN team id 258 (Kickoff at UVA 35) Gavin Stewart kickoff for 65 yds , Demick Starling return for 24 yds to the GATECH 41 VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Virg 14 - UVA 13, GT 9 -1.63 63.8% -4.3%

Play Type: Kickoff Return (Offense)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 86

Started Drive at: UVA 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.27 - 1.36 = -1.63

Score Difference (Before): 4 (3.13)

Score Difference (End): 4 (3.73)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 63.8%

Win Probability (After): 59.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:20 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 14) Brennan Armstrong run for 11 yds to the Virg 25 for a 1ST down - UVA 13, GT 9 0.36 64.9% -1.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 86 -> 75

Started Drive at: UVA 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.36 - 1.01 = 0.36

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.01)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.36)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.9%

Win Probability (After): 63.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 14:00 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 25) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 31 yds to the GATECH 44 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the Virg 46 for a 1ST down - UVA 13, GT 9 1.55 65.1% 2.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 54

Started Drive at: UVA 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.92 - 1.53 = 1.55

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.36)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.92)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 32 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.1%

Win Probability (After): 67.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:29 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 46) Perris Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 45 - UVA 13, GT 9 -1.02 69.3% -3.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 55

Started Drive at: UVA 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.89 - 2.90 = -1.02

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.90)

Score Difference (End): 4 (5.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.3%

Win Probability (After): 65.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 13:15 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 11 at UVA 45) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Grant Misch for 8 yds to the GTech 47 - UVA 13, GT 9 0.48 69.1% -0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 55 -> 47

Started Drive at: UVA 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.33 - 1.86 = 0.48

Score Difference (Before): 4 (5.86)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.33)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.1%

Win Probability (After): 68.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:45 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 3 at GT 47) Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon Thompson - UVA 13, GT 9 -2.02 69.5% -4.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 47

Started Drive at: UVA 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.30 - 2.32 = -2.02

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.32)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.5%

Win Probability (After): 65.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 12:33 ESPN team id 258 (4th & 3 at GT 47) Daniel Sparks punt for 42 yds, downed at the GTech 5 - UVA 13, GT 9 0.27 65.3% -5.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 95

Started Drive at: UVA 14

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.53 - 0.26 = 0.27

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.26)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.53)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 39 yards

Win Probability (Before): 65.3%

Win Probability (After): 60.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 12:24 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 5) Hassan Hall run for 6 yds to the GTech 11 - UVA 13, GT 9 0.21 39.6% 0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 95 -> 89

Started Drive at: GT 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.35 - -0.55 = 0.21

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.55)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.6%

Win Probability (After): 40.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:58 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 4 at GT 11) Zach Gibson pass incomplete to E.J. Jenkins - UVA 13, GT 9 -0.99 39.5% -0.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 89

Started Drive at: GT 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.31 - -0.32 = -0.99

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.32)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-5.31)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.5%

Win Probability (After): 38.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:49 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 4 at GT 11) Hassan Hall run for no gain to the GTech 11 - UVA 13, GT 9 -1.36 37.9% -2.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 89

Started Drive at: GT 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.71 - -1.35 = -1.36

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-5.35)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-6.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.9%

Win Probability (After): 35.3%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 11:09 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 4 at GT 11) David Shanahan punt for 49 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 9 yds to the Virg 20 VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Virg 39 - UVA 13, GT 9 0.30 34.6% -4.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 89 -> 61

Started Drive at: GT 5

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.41 - -2.80 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-6.71)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.41)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.6%

Win Probability (After): 30.5%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 11:00 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 39) Keytaon Thompson run for 5 yds to the Virg 44 - UVA 13, GT 9 0.12 69.2% 0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 61 -> 56

Started Drive at: UVA 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.59 - 2.47 = 0.12

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.47)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.59)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 69.2%

Win Probability (After): 69.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 10:09 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 5 at UVA 44) Xavier Brown run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down - UVA 13, GT 9 0.48 68.6% 1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 50

Started Drive at: UVA 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.10 - 2.62 = 0.48

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.62)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.10)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.6%

Win Probability (After): 70.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:56 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at 50) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 5 yds to the GTech 45 - UVA 13, GT 9 0.06 68.1% 0.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 50 -> 45

Started Drive at: UVA 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.19 - 3.13 = 0.06

Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.13)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.1%

Win Probability (After): 69.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:40 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 5 at GT 45) Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion Wicks - UVA 13, GT 9 -1.01 68.5% -1.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: UVA 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.23 - 3.23 = -1.01

Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.23)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.5%

Win Probability (After): 67.1%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:35 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 5 at GT 45) Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV - UVA 13, GT 9 -1.95 67.4% -3.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: UVA 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.25 - 2.21 = -1.95

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.21)

Score Difference (End): 4 (4.25)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 67.4%

Win Probability (After): 64.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 9:23 ESPN team id 258 (4th & 5 at GT 45) Daniel Sparks punt for 41 yds, downed at the GTech 4 - UVA 13, GT 9 0.30 64.3% -5.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 96

Started Drive at: UVA 39

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.45 - 0.15 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): 4 (4.15)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-4.45)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 64.3%

Win Probability (After): 58.8%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 9:00 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 4) Dontae Smith run for 3 yds to the GTech 7 - UVA 13, GT 9 -0.52 39.8% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 96 -> 93

Started Drive at: GT 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.02 - -0.50 = -0.52

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-4.50)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-5.02)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.8%

Win Probability (After): 40.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:30 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 7 at GT 7) Dontae Smith run for 2 yds to the GTech 9 - UVA 13, GT 9 -0.30 39.1% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 93 -> 91

Started Drive at: GT 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.40 - -1.10 = -0.30

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-5.10)

Score Difference (End): -4 (-5.40)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 39.1%

Win Probability (After): 38.7%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:19 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 5 at GT 9) Zach Gibson run for no gain to the GTech 9 Zach Gibson fumbled, recovered by Virg Nick Jackson - UVA 13, GT 9 -4.08 37.5% -11.3%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 9

Started Drive at: GT 4

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -5.56 - -1.47 = -4.08

Score Difference (Before): -4 (-5.47)

Score Difference (End): 4 (9.56)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 37.5%

Win Probability (After): 26.2%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 8:00 ESPN team id 258 (1st & Goal at GT 9) Perris Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 13 Perris Jones fumbled, recovered by Virg Brennan Armstrong - UVA 13, GT 9 -1.32 72.7% -1.1%

Play Type: Fumble Recovery (Own)

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 9 -> 13

Started Drive at: GT 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.04 - 5.36 = -1.32

Score Difference (Before): 4 (9.36)

Score Difference (End): 4 (8.04)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.7%

Win Probability (After): 71.6%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 7:00 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & Goal at GT 13) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 7 yds to the GTech 6 - UVA 13, GT 9 -0.06 71.2% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 13 -> 6

Started Drive at: GT 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.17 - 4.23 = -0.06

Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.23)

Score Difference (End): 4 (8.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.2%

Win Probability (After): 71.0%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:52 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & Goal at GT 6) VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Lavel Davis Jr.) to the GTech 11 - UVA 13, GT 9 -0.57 71.4% -1.5%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 6 -> 11

Started Drive at: GT 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.63 - 4.21 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): 4 (8.21)

Score Difference (End): 4 (7.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.4%

Win Probability (After): 69.9%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:25 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & Goal at GT 11) Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Lavel Davis Jr. - UVA 13, GT 9 -1.10 71.0% -4.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11

Started Drive at: GT 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.75 - 3.85 = -1.10

Score Difference (Before): 4 (7.85)

Score Difference (End): 4 (6.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 13, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.0%

Win Probability (After): 66.4%

Away Score: 13 (13) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:21 ESPN team id 258 (4th & Goal at GT 11) Will Bettridge 28 yd FG GOOD - UVA 16, GT 9 0.37 68.1% 6.7%

Play Type: Field Goal Good

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 11 -> 11

Started Drive at: GT 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.00 - 2.63 = 0.37

Score Difference (Before): 4 (6.63)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.00)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 68.1%

Win Probability (After): 74.8%

Away Score: 13 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 6:21 ESPN team id 59 (Kickoff at GT 35) Brendan Farrell kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback - UVA 16, GT 9 0.00 31.4% 0.0%

Play Type: Kickoff

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 75

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.03 - -0.03 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.03)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 0 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.4%

Win Probability (After): 31.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 6:16 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 25) Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Dylan Leonard - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.55 31.8% -2.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 75

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.58 - -0.03 = -0.55

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.03)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 31.8%

Win Probability (After): 29.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:47 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 10 at GT 25) Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the GTech 28 - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.81 30.4% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 75 -> 72

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.41 - -0.60 = -0.81

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.60)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.41)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.4%

Win Probability (After): 28.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:37 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 7 at GT 28) Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Hassan Hall - UVA 16, GT 9 -1.23 29.5% -3.5%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.64 - -1.41 = -1.23

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-8.41)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.64)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.5%

Win Probability (After): 26.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 5:25 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 7 at GT 28) David Shanahan punt for 48 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 10 yds to the Virg 34 - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.14 26.3% 1.8%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 66

Started Drive at: GT 25

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.78 - -2.64 = -0.14

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.64)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.78)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 26.3%

Win Probability (After): 28.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 5:14 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 34) Brennan Armstrong run for 1 yd to the Virg 35 - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.46 72.0% -0.6%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 65

Started Drive at: UVA 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.32 - 2.79 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.79)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.32)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 1 yards

Win Probability (Before): 72.0%

Win Probability (After): 71.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 4:34 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 9 at UVA 35) Brennan Armstrong run for 11 yds to the Virg 46 for a 1ST down - UVA 16, GT 9 0.99 71.9% 4.1%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 65 -> 54

Started Drive at: UVA 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.34 - 2.35 = 0.99

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.35)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 71.9%

Win Probability (After): 76.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:54 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 46) Xavier Brown run for 2 yds to the Virg 48 - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.47 76.7% -2.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 54 -> 52

Started Drive at: UVA 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.88 - 3.35 = -0.47

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.35)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.88)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 14 yards

Win Probability (Before): 76.7%

Win Probability (After): 74.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:27 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 8 at UVA 48) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 37 yds to the GTech 15 for a 1ST down - UVA 16, GT 9 2.49 75.7% 5.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 15

Started Drive at: UVA 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 5.35 - 2.86 = 2.49

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.86)

Score Difference (End): 7 (12.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.7%

Win Probability (After): 81.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:22 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 15) VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Derek Devine) to the GTech 20 - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.71 80.8% -0.9%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 15 -> 20

Started Drive at: UVA 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.63 - 5.35 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): 7 (12.35)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.63)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.8%

Win Probability (After): 79.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 3:10 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 15 at GT 20) Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Xavier Brown - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.66 78.8% 0.7%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 20

Started Drive at: UVA 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.98 - 4.64 = -0.66

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.64)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 51 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.8%

Win Probability (After): 79.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:55 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 15 at GT 20) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Xavier Brown for 8 yds to the GTech 12 - UVA 16, GT 9 0.17 80.1% -1.1%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 20 -> 12

Started Drive at: UVA 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.15 - 3.98 = 0.17

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.98)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.15)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.1%

Win Probability (After): 78.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:45 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 7 at GT 12) Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion Wicks - UVA 16, GT 9 -1.36 80.2% -4.0%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 12

Started Drive at: UVA 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.79 - 4.15 = -1.36

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.15)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.79)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.2%

Win Probability (After): 76.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 2:17 ESPN team id 258 (4th & 7 at GT 12) Will Bettridge 29 yd FG MISSED - UVA 16, GT 9 -2.50 77.2% -6.2%

Play Type: Field Goal Missed

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 12 -> 80

Started Drive at: UVA 34

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.29 - 2.79 = -2.50

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.79)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.29)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 59 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.2%

Win Probability (After): 71.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 1:59 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 20) Hassan Hall run for 2 yds to the GTech 22 - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.53 29.4% -0.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 78

Started Drive at: GT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.75 - -0.21 = -0.53

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.21)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.75)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 29.4%

Win Probability (After): 28.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 1:05 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 8 at GT 22) Zach Gibson sacked by Chico Bennett Jr. and Paul Akere for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 17 - UVA 16, GT 9 -1.55 28.8% -5.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 83

Started Drive at: GT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.14 - -0.59 = -1.55

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.59)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.14)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 28.8%

Win Probability (After): 23.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:50 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 13 at GT 17) Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Malik Rutherford - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.94 23.7% -2.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 83

Started Drive at: GT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.98 - -2.04 = -0.94

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.04)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.98)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 23.7%

Win Probability (After): 20.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:43 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 13 at GT 17) David Shanahan punt for 40 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 5 yds to the Virg 48 - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.49 20.7% -0.2%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 83 -> 52

Started Drive at: GT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.45 - -2.96 = -0.49

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.96)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.45)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 20.7%

Win Probability (After): 20.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q3 0:20 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 48) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Grant Misch for 8 yds to the GTech 44 - UVA 16, GT 9 0.48 80.0% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 44

Started Drive at: UVA 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.93 - 3.45 = 0.48

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.45)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.93)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 8 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.0%

Win Probability (After): 80.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q3 0:01 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 2 at GT 44) Xavier Brown run for 10 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST down - UVA 16, GT 9 0.44 80.5% 0.8%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 44 -> 34

Started Drive at: UVA 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.34 - 3.90 = 0.44

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.90)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.5%

Win Probability (After): 81.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:45 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 34) Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Sean Wilson - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.56 79.5% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 34

Started Drive at: UVA 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.74 - 4.30 = -0.56

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.30)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.74)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.5%

Win Probability (After): 78.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:25 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 10 at GT 34) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Grant Misch for 8 yds to the GTech 26 - UVA 16, GT 9 0.41 79.4% -0.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 34 -> 26

Started Drive at: UVA 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 4.17 - 3.76 = 0.41

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.76)

Score Difference (End): 7 (11.17)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 26 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.4%

Win Probability (After): 79.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 14:00 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 2 at GT 26) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Xavier Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 27 - UVA 16, GT 9 -1.91 80.2% -3.9%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 26 -> 27

Started Drive at: UVA 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.23 - 4.14 = -1.91

Score Difference (Before): 7 (11.14)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.23)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.2%

Win Probability (After): 76.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 13:30 ESPN team id 258 (4th & 3 at GT 27) Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon Thompson - UVA 16, GT 9 -2.75 77.5% -7.9%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 27 -> 73

Started Drive at: UVA 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.53 - 2.22 = -2.75

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.22)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.47)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 25 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.5%

Win Probability (After): 69.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 13:26 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 28) Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Nate McCollum - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.80 30.6% -2.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 72

Started Drive at: GT 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.30 - 0.50 = -0.80

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.50)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 30.6%

Win Probability (After): 27.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:57 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 10 at GT 28) Dontae Smith run for 3 yds to the GTech 31 - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.46 27.9% -1.9%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 72 -> 69

Started Drive at: GT 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.76 - -0.30 = -0.46

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.30)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.76)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 3 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.9%

Win Probability (After): 26.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 12:00 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 7 at GT 31) Zach Gibson sacked by Chico Bennett Jr. and Paul Akere for a loss of 10 yards to the GTech 21 - UVA 16, GT 9 -2.29 25.0% -6.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 79

Started Drive at: GT 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.89 - -0.60 = -2.29

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.60)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 25.0%

Win Probability (After): 18.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:52 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 17 at GT 21) David Shanahan punt for 55 yds, downed at the Virg 24 - UVA 16, GT 9 0.63 16.8% 6.3%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 79 -> 76

Started Drive at: GT 27

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.06 - -2.69 = 0.63

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.69)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.06)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.8%

Win Probability (After): 23.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 11:45 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 24) Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 12 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST down - UVA 16, GT 9 0.87 77.2% 3.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 76 -> 64

Started Drive at: UVA 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.89 - 2.02 = 0.87

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.02)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.89)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 77.2%

Win Probability (After): 80.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:14 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 36) Xavier Brown run for 5 yds to the Virg 41 VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Virg 31 - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.62 82.5% -4.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 69

Started Drive at: UVA 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.28 - 2.78 = -0.62

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.89)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.28)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 7 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.5%

Win Probability (After): 77.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 11:00 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 15 at UVA 31) Brennan Armstrong run for 5 yds to the Virg 36 - UVA 16, GT 9 0.04 80.1% -0.0%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 64

Started Drive at: UVA 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.27 - 2.23 = 0.04

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.23)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.27)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 80.1%

Win Probability (After): 80.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 10:24 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 10 at UVA 36) Xavier Brown run for 1 yd to the Virg 37 - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.82 82.6% -5.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 63

Started Drive at: UVA 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.44 - 2.27 = -0.82

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.27)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.44)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 82.6%

Win Probability (After): 77.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:50 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 9 at UVA 37) Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete - UVA 16, GT 9 -1.18 81.3% -6.1%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 63

Started Drive at: UVA 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.19 - 1.37 = -1.18

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.37)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 81.3%

Win Probability (After): 75.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:40 ESPN team id 258 (4th & 9 at UVA 37) TEAM punt blocked by Jalen Huff blocked by Jalen Huff Stevie Bracey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 36 Stevie Bracey fumbled, forced by Kaleb Edwards, recovered by GTech Ahmari Harvey - UVA 16, GT 9 -3.27 75.8% -10.4%

Play Type: Blocked Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 63 -> 36

Started Drive at: UVA 24

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -3.27 - 0.00 = -3.27

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.00)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-3.73)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 13 yards

Win Probability (Before): 75.8%

Win Probability (After): 65.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 9:32 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at UVA 36) Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Leo Blackburn - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.57 34.8% -2.3%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 36

Started Drive at: UVA 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.70 - 3.27 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-3.73)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-4.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 34.8%

Win Probability (After): 32.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:22 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 10 at UVA 36) Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Ryan King - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.87 32.5% -3.6%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 36

Started Drive at: UVA 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.81 - 2.67 = -0.87

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-4.33)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.19)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 32.5%

Win Probability (After): 28.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 9:00 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 10 at UVA 36) Zach Gibson sacked by Kam Butler for a loss of 6 yards to the Virg 42 - UVA 16, GT 9 -2.44 27.5% -8.8%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 36 -> 42

Started Drive at: UVA 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.65 - 1.79 = -2.44

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.21)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.65)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 27.5%

Win Probability (After): 18.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 8:18 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 16 at UVA 42) David Shanahan punt for 33 yds, downed at the Virg 9 - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.05 17.6% 1.1%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 91

Started Drive at: UVA 36

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.69 - -0.63 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.63)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.69)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -6 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.6%

Win Probability (After): 18.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 7:30 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at UVA 9) Xavier Brown run for no gain to the Virg 9 - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.71 79.6% 0.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 91

Started Drive at: UVA 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.05 - 0.66 = -0.71

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.66)

Score Difference (End): 7 (6.95)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 79.6%

Win Probability (After): 79.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:59 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 10 at UVA 9) Brennan Armstrong run for 43 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST down - UVA 16, GT 9 3.10 78.4% 8.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 91 -> 48

Started Drive at: UVA 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 3.16 - 0.07 = 3.10

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.07)

Score Difference (End): 7 (10.16)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 43 yards

Win Probability (Before): 78.4%

Win Probability (After): 86.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 6:42 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 48) Xavier Brown run for 1 yd to the GTech 47 - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.45 88.7% -1.5%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 47

Started Drive at: UVA 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.80 - 3.25 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): 7 (10.25)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.80)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 44 yards

Win Probability (Before): 88.7%

Win Probability (After): 87.2%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:52 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 9 at GT 47) Brennan Armstrong run for 4 yds to the GTech 43 - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.02 89.9% -3.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 43

Started Drive at: UVA 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 2.50 - 2.52 = -0.02

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.52)

Score Difference (End): 7 (9.50)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.9%

Win Probability (After): 86.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:27 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 5 at GT 43) Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Sackett Wood Jr. - UVA 16, GT 9 -1.72 89.5% -5.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 43

Started Drive at: UVA 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.55 - 2.27 = -1.72

Score Difference (Before): 7 (9.27)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 89.5%

Win Probability (After): 84.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 5:18 ESPN team id 258 (4th & 5 at GT 43) Daniel Sparks punt for 36 yds, downed at the GTech 7 - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.26 86.9% -2.5%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 93

Started Drive at: UVA 9

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.32 - 0.57 = -0.26

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.57)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.32)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 48 yards

Win Probability (Before): 86.9%

Win Probability (After): 84.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 4:55 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 7) Zach Gibson pass complete to Hassan Hall for 5 yds to the GTech 12 - UVA 16, GT 9 0.01 16.1% -1.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 93 -> 88

Started Drive at: GT 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.30 - -0.31 = 0.01

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.31)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-7.30)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.1%

Win Probability (After): 14.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:39 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 5 at GT 12) Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Nate McCollum - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.81 16.7% -2.2%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 88

Started Drive at: GT 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.03 - -0.23 = -0.81

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.23)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-8.03)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 16.7%

Win Probability (After): 14.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 4:00 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 5 at GT 12) Zach Gibson sacked by Paul Akere for a loss of 9 yards to the GTech 3 - UVA 16, GT 9 -1.81 14.0% -5.1%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 88 -> 97

Started Drive at: GT 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -2.69 - -0.89 = -1.81

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.89)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-9.69)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 14.0%

Win Probability (After): 8.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:50 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 14 at GT 3) Shanahan, David punt 44 yards to the GATECH47, out-of-bounds, PENALTY VIRGINIA personal foul (Davis Jr., Lavel) 15 yards to the GATECH18, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GATECH. - UVA 16, GT 9 3.10 9.0% 9.0%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 97 -> 82

Started Drive at: GT 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.42 - -2.68 = 3.10

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-9.68)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.58)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, -4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 9.0%

Win Probability (After): 17.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 3:30 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 18) Zach Gibson pass complete to Malachi Carter for 4 yds to the GTech 22 - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.05 17.7% 0.4%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 82 -> 78

Started Drive at: GT 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.38 - 0.43 = -0.05

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.57)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.62)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 4 plays, 0 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.7%

Win Probability (After): 18.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:15 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 6 at GT 22) Zach Gibson pass complete to Malachi Carter for 12 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST down - UVA 16, GT 9 0.79 17.4% 3.0%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 78 -> 66

Started Drive at: GT 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.29 - 0.50 = 0.79

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.50)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.71)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 5 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.4%

Win Probability (After): 20.5%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 3:03 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 34) Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Malachi Carter - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.45 18.3% -0.8%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 66

Started Drive at: GT 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.82 - 1.27 = -0.45

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.73)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.18)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 6 plays, 12 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.3%

Win Probability (After): 17.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:50 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 10 at GT 34) Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate McCollum for 6 yds to the GTech 40 - UVA 16, GT 9 0.17 19.2% -2.2%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 66 -> 60

Started Drive at: GT 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.99 - 0.82 = 0.17

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.18)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.01)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 7 plays, 18 yards

Win Probability (Before): 19.2%

Win Probability (After): 17.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:24 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 4 at GT 40) Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate McCollum for 9 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST down - UVA 16, GT 9 0.90 17.7% 4.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 60 -> 51

Started Drive at: GT 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.93 - 1.04 = 0.90

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.96)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.07)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 17.7%

Win Probability (After): 22.4%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 2:00 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 49) Gibson, Zach pass complete to Leonard, Dylan for 23 yards to the VIRGINIA28, PENALTY GATECH illegal touching (Leonard, Dylan) 5 yards to the GATECH44, NO PLAY. - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.88 18.2% -0.6%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 51 -> 56

Started Drive at: GT 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.04 - 1.92 = -0.88

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.08)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.96)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 8 plays, 27 yards

Win Probability (Before): 18.2%

Win Probability (After): 17.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:56 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 15 at GT 44) Hassan Hall run for 13 yds to the Virg 43 - UVA 16, GT 9 0.68 12.3% 5.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 56 -> 43

Started Drive at: GT 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.76 - 1.08 = 0.68

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.92)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-5.24)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 9 plays, 40 yards

Win Probability (Before): 12.3%

Win Probability (After): 17.6%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:50 ESPN team id 59 (3rd & 2 at UVA 43) Zach Gibson sacked by Nick Jackson for a loss of 9 yards to the GTech 48 - UVA 16, GT 9 -1.53 15.5% -8.5%

Play Type: Sack

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 52

Started Drive at: GT 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.06 - 1.58 = -1.53

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-5.42)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.94)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 10 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 15.5%

Win Probability (After): 7.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:46 ESPN team id 59 (4th & 11 at GT 48) Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Malachi Carter - UVA 16, GT 9 -1.78 7.2% -4.4%

Play Type: Pass Incompletion

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 52 -> 48

Started Drive at: GT 7

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -1.85 - -0.07 = -1.78

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-7.07)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.85)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 11 plays, 31 yards

Win Probability (Before): 7.2%

Win Probability (After): 2.7%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 1:40 ESPN team id 258 (1st & 10 at GT 47) Xavier Brown run for 2 yds to the GTech 45 - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.34 97.4% -0.3%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 47 -> 45

Started Drive at: GT 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.55 - 1.89 = -0.34

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.89)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.4%

Win Probability (After): 97.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 3

Q4 1:40 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 8 at GT 45) Timeout GEORGIA TECH, clock 01:40 - UVA 16, GT 9 0.00 97.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 45

Started Drive at: GT 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.55 - 1.55 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.55)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.55)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 2 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.3%

Win Probability (After): 97.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:35 ESPN team id 258 (2nd & 8 at GT 45) Brennan Armstrong run for 3 yds to the GTech 42 - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.17 97.6% -0.4%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 45 -> 42

Started Drive at: GT 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.35 - 1.52 = -0.17

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.52)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.6%

Win Probability (After): 97.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 1:35 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 5 at GT 42) Timeout GEORGIA TECH, clock 01:35 - UVA 16, GT 9 0.00 97.3% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 42

Started Drive at: GT 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 1.35 - 1.35 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.35)

Score Difference (End): 7 (8.35)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 5 yards

Win Probability (Before): 97.3%

Win Probability (After): 97.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:59 ESPN team id 258 (3rd & 5 at GT 42) Brennan Armstrong run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 43 - UVA 16, GT 9 -1.04 98.5% -2.2%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 42 -> 43

Started Drive at: GT 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.34 - 1.37 = -1.04

Score Difference (Before): 7 (8.37)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.34)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.5%

Win Probability (After): 96.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Q4 0:44 ESPN team id 258 (4th & 6 at GT 43) VIRGINIA Penalty, Delay of Game (TEAM) to the GTech 48 - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.25 98.2% -0.4%

Play Type: Penalty

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 43 -> 48

Started Drive at: GT 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.22 - 0.46 = -0.25

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.46)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.2%

Win Probability (After): 97.8%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 3 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:44 ESPN team id 258 (4th & 11 at GT 48) Timeout VIRGINIA, clock 00:44 - UVA 16, GT 9 0.00 98.1% 0.0%

Play Type: Timeout

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 48

Started Drive at: GT 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.22 - 0.22 = 0.00

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.22)

Score Difference (End): 7 (7.22)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.1%

Win Probability (After): 98.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 2 Defense Timeouts: 1

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:36 ESPN team id 258 (4th & 11 at GT 48) Daniel Sparks punt for 48 yds for a touchback - UVA 16, GT 9 -0.57 98.1% -2.0%

Play Type: Punt

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 48 -> 80

Started Drive at: GT 48

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): -0.25 - 0.32 = -0.57

Score Difference (Before): 7 (7.32)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.75)

Change of Possession: 1

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 4 yards

Win Probability (Before): 98.1%

Win Probability (After): 96.1%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Fouth Down Decision Evaluation: link

Q4 0:27 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 20) Zach Gibson pass complete to Hassan Hall for 11 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST down - UVA 16, GT 9 0.30 3.4% 0.5%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 80 -> 69

Started Drive at: GT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.51 - 0.22 = 0.30

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.78)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.49)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 1 play, 11 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.4%

Win Probability (After): 3.9%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:20 ESPN team id 59 (1st & 10 at GT 31) Zach Gibson pass complete to Hassan Hall for 5 yds to the GTech 36 - UVA 16, GT 9 0.25 3.8% 0.6%

Play Type: Pass Reception

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 69 -> 64

Started Drive at: GT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.48 - 0.24 = 0.25

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.76)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.52)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 2 plays, 16 yards

Win Probability (Before): 3.8%

Win Probability (After): 4.3%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2

Q4 0:01 ESPN team id 59 (2nd & 5 at GT 36) Zach Gibson run for 1 yd to the GTech 37 - UVA 16, GT 9 0.20 4.7% -4.7%

Play Type: Rush

Yards to End Zone (Before -> After): 64 -> 63

Started Drive at: GT 20

ExpPts (After - Before = Added): 0.28 - 0.08 = 0.20

Score Difference (Before): -7 (-6.92)

Score Difference (End): -7 (-6.72)

Change of Possession: 0

Score: UVA 16, GT 9

Drive Summary: 3 plays, 17 yards

Win Probability (Before): 4.7%

Win Probability (After): 0.0%

Away Score: 16 (16) Home Score: 9 (9)

Pos Team Timeouts: 1 Defense Timeouts: 2